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Select WS Horses
Forecaster XL - Create Network
Input Range = A3:C403
Target Range = A4:A404
Train
Select WS Horses
Forecast
Input Range = A404:C404
Output = A405
Forecaster XL - Create Network
Input Range = A3:C403
Target Range = b4:b404
Train
Select WS Horses
Forecast
Input Range = A404:C404
Output = b405
Forecaster XL - Create Network
Input Range = A3:C403
Target Range = c4:c404
Train
Select WS Horses
Forecast
Input Range = A404:C404
Output = c405
Neural Network Information
Generated by Alyuda Forecaster XL - 3/26/2018 at 5:40:29 AM
Training parameters
Stopping condition: 0
Training set error: 0
Error change: 0
Iteration No: 0
Number of iterations: 0
Generalization loss: 0
Network Structure
Number of inputs: 3
Number of outputs: 1
Number of hidden units: 27
Weights
Outputs
1 31
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Hidden
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0.3840248098
#forecastxl#
Performance Report
Generated by Alyuda Forecaster XL - 3/26/2018 at 5:40:30 AM
Input range: book - Book1; sheet - Horses; range - A3:C404; columns - 3; rows - 402.
Target range: book - Book1; sheet - Horses; range - A4:A405; columns - 1; rows - 402.
Actual vs. Forecast (by Rows) Deviation Graph Actual vs. Forecast (Scatter Plot) Input Importance
Summary
Training set Test set
# of rows: 333 68
CCR: n/a n/a
Average AE: 1.514737705 2.439170439
Average MSE: 4.885003692 9.855975976
Tolerance type: Relative Relative
Tolerance: 10% 30%
# of Good forecasts: 69 (21%) 16 (24%)
# of Bad forecasts: 264 (79%) 52 (76%)
RSquared: 0.2498
Correlation: 0.5588
16
14
12
Actual and Forecasted
10
8
6
Actual
4 Forecasted
2
0
Rows
Deviation Graph
Error
15
10
5
Error
0
1 21 41 61 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1
-5 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4
-10
Rows
10
Error
0
1 21 41 61 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1
-5 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4
-10
Rows
13
11
9
Forecasted
7 Actual
5 Actual
Forecasted
3
1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13
Actual
Input Importance
C3 015%
Iteration
B3 041%
A3 045%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Training parameters
Stopping condition: 0
Training set error: 0
Error change: 0
Iteration No: 0
Number of iterations: 0
Generalization loss: 0
Network Structure
Number of inputs: 3
Number of outputs: 1
Number of hidden units: 27
Weights
Outputs
1 31
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Hidden
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6.1680356024 6.9602194849 -6.03276915 -0.092374795 0.5322623646 0.3963046107 10.476954176 -3.301888911 -0.729646831 0
-2.168156202 -2.65613832 -3.085312433 -9.337198822 2.9095157029 2.4723978654 17.769984391 0.7209109634 10.35963582 0.1389239683
-0.268712451
#forecastxl#
Performance Report
Generated by Alyuda Forecaster XL - 3/26/2018 at 6:13:45 AM
Input range: book - HorsesUsingAlyudaForecasterXL.xlsx; sheet - Horses; range - A3:C403; columns - 3; rows - 401.
Target range: book - HorsesUsingAlyudaForecasterXL.xlsx; sheet - Horses; range - B4:B404; columns - 1; rows - 401.
Actual vs. Forecast (by Rows) Deviation Graph Actual vs. Forecast (Scatter Plot) Input Importance
Summary
Training set Test set
# of rows: 333 68
CCR: n/a n/a
Average AE: 1.604780626 2.312813413
Average MSE: 6.573944101 9.965956336
Tolerance type: Relative Relative
Tolerance: 10% 30%
# of Good forecasts: 91 (27%) 22 (32%)
# of Bad forecasts: 242 (73%) 46 (68%)
RSquared: 0.0911
Correlation: 0.4944
16
14
12
Actual and Forecasted
10
8
6
Actual
4 Forecasted
2
0
Rows
Deviation Graph
Error
15
10
5
Error
0
1 21 41 61 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1
-5 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4
-10
-15
Rows
5
Error
0
1 21 41 61 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1
-5 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4
-10
-15
Rows
15
13
11
9
Forecasted
7 Actual
Actual
5 Forecasted
3
1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15
Actual
Input Importance
C3 015%
Iteration
B3 027%
A3 058%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Training parameters
Stopping condition: 0
Training set error: 0
Error change: 0
Iteration No: 0
Number of iterations: 0
Generalization loss: 0
Network Structure
Number of inputs: 3
Number of outputs: 1
Number of hidden units: 22
Weights
Outputs
1 26
-0.655152335 -1.711424442 0.5644187317 4.3207385421 1.4204595251 0.4033283504 3.3314620194 -0.161593353 -1.84408455 2.0268636291
Hidden
22 25
-7.646968843 -24.3352248 -6.538192183 73.698272624 0 0 0 0 0 0
-12.7820169 -22.00135398 -15.17876136 -20.46701448 2.8302280807 0 0 0 0 0
7.3656375326 56.416980536 -14.23744132 -45.5317441 13.487413476 4.4599506942 0 0 0 0
-1.226027932 -3.035863145 7.9751407261 -47.88415053 24.587786412 4.9856714121 6.3349012453 0 0 0
-8.486622376 12.042256102 0.1067624843 12.348695413 -5.428071304 4.1173662607 21.607845669 11.193870433 0 0
-3.144159254 1.6305218191 6.4514133471 -15.37073008 -11.00429142 -7.475013978 -18.2733356 0.475308975 11.602468409 0
-1.219927391 3.6650064225 0.9087703753 17.258695084 2.5505315742 -32.28411773 -19.57404918 -6.004209072 -5.334993868 0.5556513181
1.2505690182 -2.572165256 -20.69176436 0.6314794423 3.4591877928 -16.16164203 -0.221890292 7.6464155852 8.2398270476 13.885947826
1.6854574919 7.0345020832 -25.24618198 -18.96585684 -4.555177628 27.680253009 -22.43900895 -3.212831018 -1.955342308 5.2692283254
-1.018287349 2.4801755253 18.22011487 0.6229696865 4.9994228369 -12.95799043 8.0567080704 12.014544968 9.5050419414 -12.95471439
-0.106534465 6.1445196157 10.411428659 -8.235550666 -14.34529849 -2.461059876 7.2662635743 0.9217166513 0.0619470331 15.45785736
-0.557468038 -7.838110946 0.137391075 17.322774655 -1.512615339 -18.44705213 8.0352148956 -0.117323546 -0.925242826 4.7883087265
-0.472203418 10.48145095 3.6812455391 -2.644152164 2.0981590929 7.2368912418 -7.511383259 0.3579264528 -0.182927194 8.2482592923
7.6476809655 0.0041368547 -0.248706296 0.1247320215 -0.060464156 -0.975534471 -1.419122011 -13.66637881 -3.198593762 -0.127154355
2.3748493818 21.809546769 -21.41611942 -7.021127584 -3.832287261 6.5089821956 -6.336905915 8.2250851489 -0.854570857 3.9777005665
-0.781669782 5.2557717353 14.207370927 0.8993543584 -0.612224419 -1.004567035 -1.582440512 -8.426506952 0.5022216812 17.559483204
1.4525597021 -6.336133693 -23.10037807 0.1260869924 -0.162264347 1.4283812559 -0.532476411 -18.84293127 -1.551196727 -0.660491505
-0.218231733 -2.498019798 5.3462630781 0.2321983609 -1.852866695 2.3664541791 -11.49130768 0.5649201601 -1.828954606 -0.073032328
-8.048078268 4.7579135048 -30.00746613 9.2976938444 3.358555629 1.1758601583 -5.287725809 -8.365954564 -0.576032824 -1.441099765
3.4969805531 5.9268811187 -31.58535787 3.5367234135 0.8443308126 2.7158193334 20.541421106 -5.981557077 -1.514309346 -2.063453103
-1.23469295 27.938770796 0.6480625014 -0.23759072 0.3478067766 -1.309334515 0.8201016246 -12.52546405 4.5890674996 11.405421816
-1.019994784 -0.62620116 0.5496643884 0.7166870761 -0.828301359 0.9054970104 -0.49848509 0.1947585671 -3.066609161 -2.193320528
-0.086449314 -1.564362141 0.8356703547 0.4647912075 0.5645519727 1.3513845528 0.7717279087 -0.439540052 0.7290000252 -0.580902269
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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2.7424590177 -1.095035245 4.859027564 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
-6.677971523 -6.414214372 17.320354661 24.625615911 0 0 0 0 0 0
-0.278456434 13.377020017 -10.65068935 0.1783499198 13.89369414 0 0 0 0 0
7.7553593106 8.44775121 8.244955498 20.830526695 10.785552008 -7.695893803 0 0 0 0
-6.180475814 -16.9989596 1.3495086209 22.539456272 3.6849758502 19.916864502 7.2840170076 0 0 0
-3.700908868 0.5044826535 -0.395499781 -8.786065484 10.526904902 0.0412036501 14.294108076 -15.70877462 0 0
6.4501181538 0.7348354615 2.8656841409 9.8134556078 11.88511959 0.2065380308 1.9453489165 -5.013587464 -10.75436794 0
0.2238290299 6.7434467017 -14.37493095 -5.748735363 -2.649377191 -5.323633216 -1.479038526 -8.178193534 0.5612316025 -9.392132642
3.6987203412 -16.84631465 1.7916599717 -0.011053858 1.2432077856 -10.49851555 4.2281784292 6.6534377616 -1.80184553 -0.667845098
2.4458311845 3.2966226304 -7.415125567 1.5541463949 -0.990366331 0.171591359 -3.934990939 1.1930311394 2.355993043 5.742602336
4.1552880805 0.4765392604 -1.949084407 1.2554341116 1.6691930249 -5.689098296 3.7747354172 8.4593480346 -6.169893796 0.5579381397
-8.472943528 2.9448510183 0.5641864589 -3.800029933 -0.33434524 -13.71342703 -2.253797162 1.760941982 8.2373603531 2.7078915929
-9.568693596 -16.28384993 -5.987055234 5.1625699627 4.3247938659 -1.345716484 1.3749194041 0.778138844 0.4874350426 6.3233477398
0.6221095635 -0.324856305 -0.487748139 0.4151259497 -0.25638109 0.2613791186
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
-11.90248835 0 0 0 0
1.3213253494 7.9769751041 0 0 0
-0.554419197 2.9585355113 7.0746209471 0 0
1.9326736447 -13.68983166 0.2228894286 -0.03901636 0
1.6892925277 8.1429499217 -17.00102315 -0.910529231 -8.639028231
#forecastxl#
Performance Report
Generated by Alyuda Forecaster XL - 3/26/2018 at 6:16:22 AM
Input range: book - HorsesUsingAlyudaForecasterXL.xlsx; sheet - Horses; range - A3:C403; columns - 3; rows - 401.
Target range: book - HorsesUsingAlyudaForecasterXL.xlsx; sheet - Horses; range - C4:C404; columns - 1; rows - 401.
Actual vs. Forecast (by Rows) Deviation Graph Actual vs. Forecast (Scatter Plot) Input Importance
Summary
Training set Test set
# of rows: 333 68
CCR: n/a n/a
Average AE: 1.542829489 2.563034378
Average MSE: 4.983904334 11.11504501
Tolerance type: Relative Relative
Tolerance: 10% 30%
# of Good forecasts: 89 (27%) 20 (29%)
# of Bad forecasts: 244 (73%) 48 (71%)
RSquared: 0.3049
Correlation: 0.5872
18
16
14
12
Actual and Forecasted
10
8
6 Actual
4 Forecasted
2
0
Rows
Deviation Graph
Error
15
10
5
Error
0
1 21 41 61 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1
-5 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4
-10
-15
Rows
5
Error
0
1 21 41 61 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 1 0 1
-5 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4
-10
-15
Rows
15
13
11
9
Forecasted
7 Actual
Actual
5 Forecasted
3
1
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15
Actual
Input Importance
C3 026%
Iteration
B3 018%
A3 056%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%