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Perusahaan Gas Negara
December 2008
December 2008
December
Table of Content
Recent Update
Recent Update
Background & Overview
g
Operational Review and Performance
Financial Review and Performance
Project and Capex
Outlook and Future Plan
Outlook and Future Plan
R
Recent Update
tU d t
RECENT UPDATE
AGMS
AGMS appointed new management team (June 2008)
i d (J 2008)
Completion of SSWJ Pipelines (August 2008)
Major GSA with PLN (April & September 2008)
Gas Supply HOA from Ketapang Block PSC (April 2008)
Major LNG supply MOA with Total E&P (July 2008)
1
9M‐‐2008 RESULTS (YOY COMPARISON)
9M
Consolidated Revenues
Consolidated Revenues Rp9 02 T
Rp9.02 T 47 2%
47.2%
Consolidated EBITDA
Consolidated EBITDA Rp4 61 T
Rp4.61 T 63 8%
63.8%
Distribution Flow (MMScfd)
( ) 566 40.4%
2
SSWJ IN OPERATION AUGUST 2008
The 1035 km length of gas transmission pipeline has been in operations
since August 2008 with capacity of 970 MMScfd
ConocoPhillips Gas
Plant
P t i Gas
Pertamina G
Plant
Operated
Pagardewa Compressor
3
B
Background & Overview
k d&O i
OVERVIEW
Established in 1859 as a private Dutch company
Firma L I Einthoven n Co Gravenhage
Firma L.I Einthoven n Co Gravenhage
Established as Perusahaan Gas Negara in 1965
g
Licensed under the Oil and Gas Law Number 22 Year 2001
Licensed under the Oil and Gas Law Number 22 Year 2001
S k li 5 1 i A
Stock‐split 5:1 in August 2008
2008
Stock price IDR 2175, Mkt. Cap. IDR 49.95 Trillion (per Sept. 30)
4
CORPORATE STRUCTURE
Distribution Transmission
SBU II PT TGI
(Eastern Part of Java) Grissik-Duri and Grissik-Singapore
SBU III
(Northern Part of Sumatera)
5
OUR SHAREHOLDERS
As of September 30, 2008
Public
Series B Shares 10 432 469 440
10,432,469,440 1 043 246 944 000
1,043,246,944,000 45 42%
45.42%
Public
45% GOI
55%
6
INDONESIAN GAS MARKET OVERVIEW
Indonesia has proven gas reserves 112.47 TCF
Underserved Domestic Gas Demand (Geographical Constraints)
INDONESIA GAS RESERVES
(STATUS AS OF : JANUARY 1, 2008)
(STATUS AS OF : JANUARY 1, 2008)
1.27
52.59
8.15 24.06
Indonesian Gas Reserves as of 1 Jan 2007
24.21
3.18
28.0
4.16 13.65
5.08
PROVEN : 112.47 TSCF
CADANGAN GAS (TSCF)
CADANGAN GAS (TSCF) POTENTIAL : 57.6 TSCF
TOTAL : 170.07 TSCF
7
POTENTIAL SHIFT FROM OIL TO GAS
Competitive gas price relative to other sources of energy
Demand for gas exceeds supply
Relative Energy Price (as of November 1, 2008)
PGN Gas Price Vs HSD Price
Gasoline (non‐subsidized) 17.3 US$/MMBtu
Kerosene (non‐subsidized) 17.3 40
HSD (non‐subsidized) 15.8 35
30
Diesel (non‐subsidized) 15.0
25
Gasoline (subsidized) 17.5
20
LPG (non‐subsidized) 14.8 15 15.21
HSD (subsidized) 13.9 10
5 5.49
MFO (non‐subsidized) 10.7
0
LPG (subsidized)
LPG (subsidized) 11 8
11.8
1/31/2002 11/12/2003 8/23/2005 6/4/2007 12/2/2008
Kerosene (subsidized) 6.5
USD / MMBtu HSD Unsubsidized Price (US$/MMBtu)
Distributed Gas 5.5
PGN Average Sales Price (US$/MMBtu)
0 5 10 15 20 Note: based on crude oil price of USD 49/barrel
Source: Pertamina
Source: Pertamina
8
O
Operational Review & Performance
ti lR i &P f
OUR BUSINESS MODEL
We have strong market position in gas distribution and transmission
Our transmission network allows for greater control over distribution volume
Our transmission network allows for greater control over distribution volume
PGN Gas Sales Agreement
• Industry
Distribution ((Sales Price)) • Commercial
G P h
Gas Purchase SSWJ • Retail
Upstream
• Chevron
U
PGN
Transmission
Gas Transport Agreement
(Toll Fee)
• Singapore Power
Transportation
• PLN
9
OUR TRANSMISSION NETWORK
Completion of the SSWJ Gas Transmission Pipeline enables PGN to operate
transmission pipelines with a total length of 2109 km
Medan
Grissik – Pagardewa – Labuhan Maringgai – Muara Bekasi
– Rawamaju (SSWJ II)
Capacity = 440 mmscfd
Dur
i
KALIMANTAN
SULAWESI
Grissik PAPUA
Pagardewa
Grissik – Duri
Capacity = 425 mmscfd
Jakart
a JAWA
10
OUR TRANSMISSION BUSINESS
m m s c fd
– Tarif regulated based on 12% IRR and 80% utilization
rate 500 30%
-30%
0 -50%
2005 2006 2007 9M 2007 9M 2008
Transmission Volume Transmission Utilization (RHS)
11
OUR DISTRIBUTION NETWORK
• Extensive distribution network covering 9 major cities in Indonesia with capacity of 1005
MMScfd (56% utilization rate)
• The network and facilities are managed by three SBUs – West Java (SBU I), East Java (SBU
II) and Sumatra (SBU III)
12
OUR DISTRIBUTION BUSINESS
Distribution – Sale of Gas to End User 700 56% 56% 60%
54%
• Gas Sales Agreements (GSA) 47%
600 46% 50%
– Minimum pay volumes
– Price in US$ & IDR 500
40%
m m s c fd
Selling Price (per MMBtu) 400
30%
– Industry / Commercial US$ 5.49 300 566
– Household US$ 6.62 20%
200 422 403
308 33233
100 10%
13
STRONG DISTRIBUTION CUSTOMER BASE
• Industrial customers continue to dominate PGN’s customer base and drive PGN’s distribution
business growth As of September 30 2008 sales volume of industrial customers was 558
business growth. As of September 30, 2008, sales volume of industrial customers was 558
MMScfd or equal to 98.7% of PGN’s sales.
Chemical 18%
Power Plant 19% Chemical 20%
Textile 4% Power Plant 25%
Food 8% Textile 4%
Food 7%
Ceramic 16%
Ceramic 15%
Fabric Metal 4%
Fabric Metal 4%
Others 7%
Others 3%
Basic Metal 5%
Basic Metal 5%
Basic Metal 5%
Glass 5%
Glass 8%
Paper 13%
Paper 8%
Wood 1%
14
OUR MARKET SHARE
OUR MARKET SHARE
15
Fi
Financial Review & Performance
i lR i &P f
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Revenue Trend 5,000
EBITDA and EBIT Trend
51%
4,500 47%
10 000
10,000 44% 46%
8,802 9,021 4,000
9,000 39%
1,208 1,083 3,500
8,000
Rp billions
6,632 3,000
7,000 6,128
In Rp. billioons
6 000
6,000 5,434
, 1,101 2 500
2,500
In R
827
4,609
5,000 1,154
2,000 4,094
4,000 7,594 7,938 3,514
1,500 2,929 3,082
3,000 2,815
5,531 5,301 2,393
4,280 1,000 2,141 2,160
2,000
1 552
1,552
1,000 500
0 0
2005 2006 2007 9M 2007 9M 2008 2005 2006 2007 9M 2007 9M 2008
Distribution revenue Transmission revenue EBITDA EBIT EBITDA margin
Net Income
2,000
1,500
In Rp. billions
16
INCOME STATEMENT
INCOME STATEMENT
(billion rupiah)
FX Gain/Loss
Loss
oss Loss
oss
IDR 192 bio IDR 148 bio
9,021
Up to Q3 2007 Up to Q3 2008
4,609
63.7%
3,514
2,815
62 7%
62.7%
50.3% 1,853
2,160 56.8% 2,043
1,233 1,303
9M 2007 9M 2008
17
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET
(billion rupiah)
18
DEBT COMPOSITION AS OF Sep 30, 200
DEBT COMPOSITION AS OF Sep 30, 20088
Long‐term debt amounting to USD 1.056 billion
Mostly long dated/maturity loans from Developmental Banks
Floating (33.12%)
JPY (33.02%)
USD (66.98%)
Fixed (66.88%)
19
P j t & CAPEX
Project & CAPEX
WEST JAVA DISTRIBUTION EXPANSION
The West Java Distribution Expansion Project with 463km main pipelines commenced in 2005. The project aims to distribute the gas
from SSWJ and is expected to be fully completed in 2009
Banten
Bogor Cirebon • After completion PGN total distribution
capacity will reach +1,500 MMScfd.
20
WEST JAVA DISTRIBUTION PROGRESS & KEY MILESTONES
Aug 2007 Sept 2007 Dec 2007 Mar & Jun Oct 2008 – Pipeline
Distribution mainline 2008 Completion of World Bank
Distribution mainlines for Distribution
for Bitung-Batuceper Di t ib ti
Distribution P k
Packages
Rawamaju-Kalimalang-Kedep- mainline for Bitung-
Pondok Ungu and Rawamaju- Batu Ceper was and distribution mainlines for Feb 2009 – Pipeline
Walahar were partially partially completed branchlines for Banten, Banten and Completion of PGN
completed and commenced and commenced Bogor, Jakarta, Bekasi Greater Packages
operations. The pipelines operations to and Karawang are Jakarta are
Dec 2009 – Completion
received gas from SSWJ to strengthen the expected to complete expected
p to
of Bojonegoro-Serpong
Bojonegoro Serpong
PGN’s existing and new existing network by Dec 2007 complete
transmission mainline
customers
21
PROJECTED CAPEX
(Million USD)
Project 2008E
Transmission
Transmission 191
Distribution 54
LNG 0.9
Totall 24 9
245.9
(Million USD)
Source of Fund
f d 2008E
PGN 106.9
22
O tl k & F t
Outlook & Future Plan
Outlook & Future Pl
Plan
FUTURE PROJECTS
PILOT PROJECT CNG PONDOK UNGU
LNG RECEIVING TERMINAL
DURI –– MEDAN TRANSMISSION PIPELINE
DURI
Integrated CBM Development with Pipeline Transmission
23
Thank You
PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk
PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (Persero) Tbk
Investor Relations
Jl. K H Zainul Arifin No. 20, Jakarta 11140
Indonesia
d i
Ph: 62 21 6334838 Fax: 62 21 6331632
www.pgn.co.id