Road Management Initiative
1 Sub-Saharan Africa
Road Economic Decision Model (RED) Package Contents
File
RED - Read Me (version 3.2).XLS
RED - Main (version 3.2).XLS
RED - HDM-III VOC (version 3.2).XLS
RED - HDM-4 VOC (version 3.2).XLS
RED - Risk (version 3.2).XLS
RED - Program (version 3.2).XLS
RED - User Guide & Case Studies (version 3.2).pdf
RED - Africa Transport Technical Note.pdf
Version 3.2 Changes and Improvements
RED - HDM-4 VOC (version 3.2).XLS
RED - Main (version 3.2).XLS
RED - Program (version 3.2).XLS
RED - HDM-III VOC (version 3.2).XLS
RED - Risk (version 3.2).XLS
Version 3.1 Changes and Improvements
RED - HDM-4 VOC (version 3.1).XLS
RED - NMT (version 3.0).XLS
RED - HDM-4 Workspace Sample.ZIP
RED - Main (version 3.1).XLS
RED - Program (version 3.1).XLS
RED - HDM-III VOC (version 3.1).XLS
RED - Risk (version 3.1).XLS
Version 3.0 Changes and Improvements
RED - HDM-III VOC (version 3.0).XLS
RED - Main (version 3.0).XLS
07/06/2018 - 391512128.xls - RED Package Contents
Roads Economic Decision Model Version 3.
Description
This Excel workbook
Main economic evaluation module Excel workbook
HDM-III vehicle operating costs module Excel workbook
HDM-4 vehicle operating costs module Excel workbook
Risk analysis module Excel workbook
Program evaluation module Excel workbook
Model documentation pdf document
SSATP Technical Note presenting the RED model
- Fixed module to be used on computers with Windows configured with commas as decimal symbol
- Fixed calculation of the Financial Investment Costs at the Project-Alter. Solution worksheet
- Improved multi-criteria table on multi-criteria worksheet
- Fixed Ctrl-l macro to place also inputs of Alternative 0 on the Main Module
- No changes
- Improved module to enable a user to define different triangle distributions for the three project alternatives
- Fixed presentation of Inputs Distribution worksheet
- New module designed to estimate vehicle operating costs and speeds following the HDM-4
relationships for motorized and non-motorized vehicles
- Module was removed from the RED package because its functionality was replaced by the new
RED - HDM-4 VOC (version 3.1).XLS module that also computes vehicle operating costs for
non-motorized traffic following the HDM-4 relationships
- Sample HDM-4 workspace was removed from the RED package because its functionality was replaced
by the new RED - HDM-4 VOC (version 3.1).XLS module that computes vehicle operating costs following
the HDM-4 relationships for motorized and non-motorized vehicles
- Changed the multi-criteria indicators to (-10-Low, 0-Medium, 10-High)
- Added investment economic costs multipliers for each alternative on the Constants Worksheet to deal
with cases where project-alternatives have different financial to economic costs multipliers
- Corrected calculation of maintenance net benefits in case of existing variable maintenance costs
- Corrected calculation of diverted traffic benefits
- Changed the multi-criteria indicators to (-10-Low, 0-Medium, 10-High)
- Added computation of overall multi-criteria indicator as a function of multi-criteria weights
- Improved the Typical VOC and Speeds worksheet by defining 5 road condition classes and adding
the calculation of cubic polynomials relating the vehicle fleet vehicle operating costs and speeds to
roughness
- Combined into one worksheet the HDM-III and equations comparison and the comparison graphs
- No changes
- Added a new worksheet presenting "Typical Vehicle Operating Costs and Speeds
for Different Road Classes"
- Added a new output text file named "compo.csv", which contains the VOC composition per
road and vehicle type. If needed, this output file can be opened in Excel to study the VOC composition
- New structure for defining the wet season characteristics. Now the user enters
the traffic and the road characteristics of the dry season and of the wet season separate
- At the Control and Setup worksheet, added a "Road Identification Code" input
- At the Control and Setup worksheet, added a "Duration of the Wet Season (days)" input
- At the Control and Setup worksheet, added a "Population Served (persons)" input
- At the Traffic worksheet, added input for traffic on the wet season separately from the dry season
- At the Project-Alter. Main Features worksheet, changed the input format of the percent of
investment cots from numbers to percentages (i.e., from 35 to 35%)
- At the Project-Alter. Main Features worksheet, changed the input format of the percent of
total accidents from numbers to percentages (i.e., from 35 to 35%)
 Road Management Initiative
RED - HDM-4 VOC (version 3.0).xls
RED - Program (version 3.0).XLS
previously named
RED - Network (version 3.0).XLS
RED - Risk (version 3.0).XLS
RED - NMT (version 3.0).XLS
Version 2.0 Changes and Improvements
RED - HDM-III VOC (version 2.0).XLS
RED - Main (version 2.0).XLS
RED - NMT (version 2.0).XLS
RED - HDM-4 VOC (version 2.0).xls
RED - Network (version 2.0).XLS
07/06/2018 - 391512128.xls - RED Package Contents
Roads Economic Decision Model Version 3.1 Sub-Saharan Africa
- At the Project-Alter. Main Features worksheet, the terrain type and road type are entered at the top
of the worksheet
- At the Project-Alter. Main Features worksheet, the user enters the road length and condition
for the dry and wet seasons separately
- At the Project-Alter. Main Features worksheet, the diverted traffic road condition does not
consider a dry and wet season separately
- At the Project-Alter. Solution worksheet, added the following indicators:
PV of Economic Normal Traffic User Costs (million $)
PV of Economic Generated Traffic User Costs (million $)
PV of Economic Society Costs (million $)
Investment per Population Served ($/person)
Population Served per Investment (person/000$)
- Renamed all worksheets and labels to replace "Options" for "Alternatives"
- Redefined the main inputs for the sensitivity and switching values analyses
- Added present value of society costs graph
- Added multi-criteria worksheet designed to store multi-criteria indicators for future reference
- Changed the procedure to import data from HDM-4 outputs to make it compatible with
HDM-4 version 1.3
- Module renamed from Network to Program
- Added option to characterize both the roughness and the speeds of all vehicles
- Redefined the module to include a budget constraint optimization done with the EBM-32 model.
- Redefined the module to perform two runs of the RED model for each road, thus permitting
to analyze up to 7 project-alternatives per road
- Redefined the module to store multi-criteria indicators
- Option to import and export data from Main Module
- New Road Sections Net Present Value worksheet
- New Unconstrained Budget worksheet
- New Budget Constraint A worksheet
- New Budget Constraint B worksheet
- New Budget Constraint C worksheet
- New Budget Constraint D worksheet
- New Budget Constraint E worksheet
- New Recommended Program worksheet
- New Program Net Present Value worksheet
- New Multi-Criteria worksheet
- Upgraded the module to make it compatible with the other modules.
- No changes
- New inputs to preserve basic information, but not being
used by the model:
Country Name/Region
Year
Currency Name
Exchange Rate Divider to US$
- Comparison and graphs worksheets renamed for clarity
- Added data validation on Project-Options Main Features
- New economic indicators on Project-Options Solution:
Financial Investment Costs (million $)
PV of Economic Agency Costs (million $)
Net Present Value per PV of Economic Agency Costs (ratio)
- Added Efficiency Frontier graph
- New module to compute non-motorized transport vehicle
operating costs and speeds following the HDM-4 relationships
- New module to collect vehicle operating costs and speeds from
the HDM-4 model
- New module to evaluate automatically a network of sections
 Road Management Initiative Roads Economic Decision Model Version 3.1 Sub-Saharan Africa

Road Economic Decision Model (RED) Basic Steps

- On all RED workbooks, only enter values on cells that have a yellow background and don't insert or delete rows or columns.

- For a typical RED application, the steps are the following:

1) For a given country, compute unit vehicle operating costs (VOC) and speeds function of roughness using the RED - HDM-III VOC Workbook
or the RED - HDM-4 VOC Workbook or any other model, and define cubic polynomials relating unit VOCs and speeds to roughness, which
are essential to the use of the RED - MAIN Workbook.

Use the RED - HDM-III VOC Workbook to compute VOCs and speeds for motorized vehicles, following the HDM-III relationships,
following the steps below:

a) Enter the country specific vehicle fleet data on the Basic Input Data Worksheet.
b) If necessary, enter the country specific calibration data on the Calibration Data Worksheet.
c) Compute the results by pressing the corresponding button on the Compute Results Worksheet.
d) Copy the results automatically into the RED - MAIN Workbook by pressing the corresponding button on the Compute Results Worksheet.
Note that RED - HDM-III VOC copies all the corresponding results of the nine possible vehicle types into RED - MAIN.
e) If needed, view the results on the following worksheets:
Coefficients Worksheet-> Cubic polynomials coefficients relating vehicle operating costs and speeds to roughness (copied into the RED-MAIN Workbook)
Speeds Worksheet -> Speeds function of roughness for all vehicles and road classes
VOC Worksheet -> Vehicle operating costs function of roughness for all vehicles and road classes
Typical VOC and Speeds -> Typical unit vehicle operating costs and speeds for different road classes
HDM-III & Equations Comparison Worksheet -> Comparison between HDM-III results and cubic polynomials
Graph VOC - Polynomial Worksheet -> Graph comparing HDM-III results and cubic polynomial equation
Graph Speeds - Polynomial Worksheet -> Graph comparing HDM-III results and cubic polynomial equation
Graph VOC - Exponential Worksheet -> Graph comparing HDM-III results and cubic exponential equation
Graph Speeds - Exponential Worksheet -> Graph comparing HDM-III results and cubic exponential equation

Use the RED - HDM-4 VOC Workbook to compute VOCs and speeds for motorized vehicles, following the HDM-4 relationships,
following the steps below:

a) Enter the country specific vehicle fleet data on the Basic Input Data Worksheet.
b) If necessary, enter the country specific calibration data on the Calibration Data Worksheet.
c) Compute the results by pressing the corresponding button on the Compute Results Worksheet.
d) Copy the results automatically into the RED - MAIN Workbook by pressing the corresponding button on the Compute Results Worksheet.
Note that RED - HDM-4 VOC copies all the corresponding results of the nine possible vehicle types into RED - MAIN.
e) If needed, view the results on the following worksheets:
Coefficients Worksheet-> Cubic polynomials coefficients relating vehicle operating costs and speeds to roughness (copied into the RED-MAIN Workbook)
Speeds Worksheet -> Speeds function of roughness for all vehicles and road classes
VOC Worksheet -> Vehicle operating costs function of roughness for all vehicles and road classes
HDM-4 & Equations Comparison Worksheet -> Comparison between HDM-4 results and cubic polynomials
Typical VOC and Speeds -> Typical unit vehicle operating costs and speeds for different road classes

Other alternative is to use any other model to compute VOCs and speeds as a function of roughness, for motorized and non-motorized vehicles, and to
copy the corresponding cubic polynomial results manually into the RED - MAIN workbook.

2) Perform the economic evaluation of a given project (road) using the RED - MAIN Workbook.

a) Enter the control data on the Control and Setup Worksheet.

b) Review the VOC and Speeds cubic polynomial coefficients copied from the VOC workbooks on the Unit VOC and Speeds Worksheet.
c) Enter the time and accidents data on the Time and Accidents Worksheet.
d) Enter the traffic data on the Traffic Worksheet.
e) Enter the project-alternatives data on the Project-Alter. Main Features Worksheet.
f) If needed, enter additional net benefits on the Project-Alter. Other Benefits Worksheet.

The economic evaluation results are computed automatically. Therefore, there is no need to press a button to compute the results.

g) View a summary of the economic indicators results for all project-alternatives on the Project-Alter. Solution Worksheet.
h) View the a graph of the Net Present Value or the Total Society Costs.
i) View the detailed results for each project-alternative on the following worksheets:
Alter. 1, 2 or 3 Feasibility Worksheet -> Input data and resulting cost streams and economic indicators
Alter. 1, 2 or 3 User Impact Worksheet -> Benefits to road users
Alter. 1, 2 or 3 Benefits Distribution Worksheet -> Distribution of net benefits among vehicle types
Alter. 1, 2 or 3 Sensitivity Worksheet -> Sensitivity analysis for the main input parameters
Alter. 1, 2 or 3 Switching Values Worksheet -> Sensitivity analysis for the main input parameters

Note that to calculate the sensitivity and switching values, you have to press a button on the corresponding worksheet.

3) If needed, perform a risk analysis using the RED - RISK Workbook.

a) Enter the triangular distributions for the main input parameter on the Basic Input Data Worksheet.
b) Enter the number of scenarios to evaluate on the Compute Results Worksheet.
c) Perform the risk analysis by pressing the corresponding button on the Compute Results Worksheet.
d) View the results on the following worksheets:
Risk Analysis Solution Worksheet -> Summary risk analysis results for all project-options
Alter. 1, 2 or 3 - Net Present Value Worksheet -> Output net present value frequency distribution
Alter. 1, 2 or 3 - Rate of Return Worksheet -> Output rate of return frequency distribution
Inputs Distribution Worksheet -> Frequency distributions for the main input parameters

4) If you are evaluating a series of road sections, you can use the RED - PROGRAM Workbook to evaluate a series of sections automatically, with

07/06/2018 - 391512128.xls - RED Basic Steps

Road Management Initiative Roads Economic Decision Model Version 3.1 Sub-Saharan Africa
or without budget constraints.

a) Enter the road sections characteristics on the RED Inputs Worksheet, where each row represents a road section and each column collects
the corresponding RED Main Worksheet inputs. Note that you define up to 7 project-alternative per road section.
b) Press the Execute RED Model button on the RED Inputs Worksheet.
c) View the economic evaluation results for all road sections on the RED Outputs Worksheet.
d) View a graph of the NPV and the main results for a road section on the Road Section Net Present Value Worksheet.
e) View the unconstrained budget program on the Unconstrained Budget Worksheet.
f) Perform a budget constraint optimization on the Budget Constraint A, B, C, D, and E Worksheets. For each budget scenario, enter the
available budget and press the Perform Budget Optimization and Collect Optimization Results buttons.
g) Define a recommended program on the Recommended Program Worksheet, by selecting one project-alternative per road.
h) View the program Net Present Value for the different budget constraints scenarios at the Program Net Present Value Worksheet.
I) View the multi-criteria results for the recommended program on the Multi-Criteria Worksheet. Press the Update Multi-Criteria Analysis button.

07/06/2018 - 391512128.xls - RED Basic Steps