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FAIRFIELD COUNTY
OFFICE MARKET
NEW LEASES CARRY DEMAND, CURRENT CONDITIONS
BUT BIG BLOCKS WEIGH ON Year-to-date gross leasing activity totaled 1.5 million square feet, 18.5%
ABSORPTION lower than the total leasing volume tracked through the first half of 2017.
$37 25%
Pricing remained stable through the second quarter, with a slight 0.3%
increase to $36.57/SF. However, there was a 4.2% decrease reflected $35 22%
in the average asking rent over the past year, the result of the removal $33 19%
of higher-priced blocks, mostly in Greenwich, coupled with the addition $31 16%
of a 275,000-square-foot, lower-priced sublease offering from GE
$29 13%
Capital Finance in the Stamford Non-Central Business District during 2Q09 2Q10 2Q11 2Q12 2Q13 2Q14 2Q15 2Q16 2Q17 2Q18
the first quarter. Average Asking Rent (Price/SF) Availability (%)
of space totaling 40,000 square feet that had stood on the market for -600
many years came offline at 600 Steamboat Road. Elridge Industries, a -1000
spinoff of Guggenheim, and Eagle Point Credit Company each leased -1400
20,000 square feet at the property. Another company that recently 2Q09 2Q10 2Q11 2Q12 2Q13 2Q14 2Q15 2Q16 2Q17 2Q18
expanded was U.S. Trust Bank of America Private Wealth, which took
an additional 10,500 square feet at 55 Railroad Avenue, bringing its MARKET SUMMARY
total occupancy at this property to 16,800 square feet. Current Prior Year Ago 12 Month
Quarter Quarter Period Forecast
Limited Options in Greenwich Driving Stamford Relocation Trend Total Inventory 41MSF 41MSF 41MSF
All in all, leasing activity in Greenwich CBD has more than doubled, Availability Rate 25.9% 25.8% 25.8%
from 80,000 square feet leased during the first half of 2017 to nearly
Quarterly Net Absorption (45,256) (267,149) (122,006)
190,000 square feet leased year-to-date. Consequently, the Greenwich
CBD showed the largest decrease in Class A availability, from 22.7% Average Asking Rent $36.57 $36.45 $38.19
last year to 8.5%. The limited options in Downtown Greenwich are Under Construction 0 0 0
already causing a growing number of tenants to consider relocating to
Deliveries 0 0 0
neighboring Stamford.
© NEWMARK KNIGHT FRANK | 2018 RESEARCH | 1
2Q 2018 FAIRFIELD COUNTY OFFICE MARKET
In fact, such relocations already constitute a trend: Since the start of This submarket lost 304,100 square feet through the first half of 2018,
2017, relocations from Greenwich accounted for roughly 164,000 square mostly because of GE Capital Finance’s addition of 275,000 square
feet of leasing tracked in Stamford. As options continue to dwindle, it is feet at 800 Long Ridge Road and the recent addition of KPMG’s 40,000-
likely more tenants will opt for Stamford. square-foot space at 3001-3003 Summer Street. As a result, availability
in this submarket increased to 37.6%, from 36.7% in the previous
Higher Leasing Volumes in Stamford CBD, Norwalk and Danbury quarter and 34.8% in the prior year.
Year-to-date, leasing volumes in Stamford CBD, Norwalk and Danbury
surpassed levels seen in the first half of 2017, while the Greenwich Non- Finance and TAMI Firms Drive Demand; Medical Remains
CBD, Stamford Non-CBD, Central and Eastern markets saw their leasing in Hiatus
volumes drop by comparison. The Stamford CBD registered 390,000 Although the county’s tenant makeup has increasingly diversified over
square feet of leasing, up 14.3% over the past year. The largest lease of last few years, the finance and insurance industries remain the leading
the second quarter was signed by Black Diamond Capital Management, business sectors. Combined, this sector captured 32.0%, or 476,000
which took 22,948 square feet at 2187 Atlantic Street. Although demand square feet, of total demand, on par with last year. However, whereas
in Norwalk remains sluggish, mid-year 2018 totals were four times higher insurers accounted for much of the activity in the first half of 2017,
than in 2017, the result of FactSet’s 173,000-square-foot lease at 45 finance firms have dominated this year with 29.0%, compared with
Glover Avenue. In Danbury, demand was highlighted by Owl Cyber 14.0% a year ago. TAMI tenants (technology, advertising, media and
Defense Solutions’ 30,230-square-foot lease at 42 Old Ridgebury Road. information) captured 29.0%, or 434,000 square feet of demand,
versus 19.0% in the first half of 2017. Within the TAMI sector,
Leasing in the Greenwich Non-CBD totaled 67,000 square feet, compared technology firms saw a large increase from roughly 2.0% last year to
with 261,000 square feet reached at midyear 2017. Excluding Blue Sky 22.0%. This jump was mostly the result of the 173,000-square-foot deal
Studios’ 147,000-square-foot renewal, which was included in last year’s that FactSet, a tech-related company, signed in the first quarter. By
total, the Greenwich Non-CBD’s totals would still lag behind last year’s by contrast, media tenants, which comprised approximately 16.0% of
41.4%. Both the Stamford Non-CBD and the Eastern markets saw leasing activity at this time last year, have comprised only 3.0% this year. The
levels drop by almost 50.0% from a year ago and the Central market saw professional and business services sector have seen demand decline
a 9.6% decrease during the same period. this year to approximately 163,000 square feet, or 11.0%, compared
with 258,000 square feet a year ago. Within this sector, demand by
Vacancy Remains on High Ground as Supply Outpaces Demand legal services have increased from 1.2% last year to 4.0% this year.
Since the beginning of this year, the county has lost 312,405 square Medical and healthcare-related tenants remain in hiatus mode. This
feet in occupied space, most of which was centered in the Stamford sector has declined by 53.2% since midyear 2017, capturing only 6.5%
Non-CBD. of the overall activity.
SUBMARKET STATISTICS
Total Under Total Qtr YTD Direct Sublet Total
Inventory Construction Availability Absorption Absorption Asking Rent Asking Rent Asking Rent
(SF) (SF) Rate (SF) (SF) (Price/SF) (Price/SF) (Price/SF)
May, while four declined. Trade, transportation and utilities led growing 4.3% Trade, Transportation &
Utilities
industries with 2,600 new jobs, or 0.9%. Both education and health Information
10.8% 17.0%
services and leisure and hospitality gained 500 jobs. The finance Financial Services
sector gained 400 jobs, or 0.3%. By comparison, employment in 2.9% Prof. & Business Services
construction retracted by 300 jobs (negative 0.5%), while professional 14.8% Education
services and information each lost 200 positions. 9.9%
Healthcare
3.1%
15.8%
As of May 2018, Connecticut’s unemployment rate remained Leisure & Hospitality
12%
3%
10% 2%
8% 1%
6% 0%
4% -1%
2% -2%
May-13 May-14 May-15 May-16 May-17 May-18 May-13 May-14 May-15 May-16 May-17 May-18
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
6%
Total Nonfarm
4% Construction
Manufacturing
2% Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Information
0% Financial Services
Prof. & Business Services
-2% Education
Healthcare
-4% Leisure & Hospitality
May-13 May-14 May-15 May-16 May-17 May-18 Other
Government
United States NY-NJ-CT-PA -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Newmark Knight Frank has implemented a proprietary database and our tracking methodology has been revised. With this expansion and refinement in our data, there may be adjustments in
historical statistics including availability, asking rents, absorption and effective rents. Newmark Knight Frank Research Reports are available at www.ngkf.com/research
All information contained in this publication is derived from sources that are deemed to be reliable. However, Newmark Knight Frank (NKF) has not verified any such information, and the same
constitutes the statements and representations only of the source thereof, and not of NKF. Any recipient of this publication should independently verify such information and all other information
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