Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
EXAMINATIONS
April 2000
EXAMINERS’ REPORT
ã Faculty of Actuaries
ã Institute of Actuaries
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
3 If its age/sex profile is such that if it experienced the same age/sex specific
mortality rates as the country, then its crude death rate would be twice that
of the country, i.e. the region has a much older age structure (and/or higher male
proportion) than the country.
[ x ]+t:n -t
a a[ x ]+t:n-t
4 tV
Zillmer
= 1- -I
[ x ]:n
a a[ x ]:n
a50:15 æ a ö
50:15
Here 10V = 1 - - (.025) ç ÷
[40]:25
a ça ÷
è [40]:25 ø
11.671 æ 11.671 ö
= 1- - (.025) ç ÷
17.180 è 17.180 ø
= 0.30368
Page 2
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
GP = office premium
et = expenses incurred at time t
px+t (qx+t) probability life aged x + t survives (dies within) one year on
premium/valuation mortality basis.
(b) Income (opening reserve plus interest on excess of premium over expense,
and reserve) equals outgo (death claims and closing reserve for survivors)
if assumptions are borne out.
æ D ö
6 1
A30:30:30 1
= ½A 30:30
}
: 30
= ½ ç A30:30 - 60:60 A60:60 ÷
è D30:30 ø
é æ .04 ö D ì æ .04 ö üù
= ½ ê1 - ç ÷ 30:30 - 60:60
a í1 - ç ÷ 60:60 ýú
a
ë è 1.04 ø D30:30 î è 1.04 ø þû
= .0461
æ2ö s zC ra
Þ Value of benefit = ç ÷ (40,000) 47 s 65
è3ø s46 D47
Most candidates allowed for retirement at any age, not just 65, and many failed to notice
that service exceeded 30 years so the maximum of 2/3rds applied.
Page 3
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
(ii) E[g(T)] = a .
xy:n
Rather than defining asset share, some candidates discussed bonuses and policy payouts.
9 The asset share for a with-profit policy is the accumulated value of premiums
less deductions plus an allocation of profits from non-profit business. The
accumulation is at actual earned rates of return.
Rather than defining asset share, some candidates discussed bonuses and policy payouts.
-1
é Kù é r ù
10 In logistic model P(t) = êCe -rt + ú or ê -rt ú
ë rû ë C re + K û
H .05
As t ® ¥ P(t) ® ÞK=
K 250,000
-1
é 1 ù
P(0) = êC + = 100,000 Þ C = 0.000006
ë 250,000 úû
-1
é 1 ù
Þ P(10) = ê(.000006) e -(.05)(10) +
ë 250,000 úû
= 130,904
Page 4
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
Alternatively, qx= = ( aq )=x ¸ 1 - ½qx> and qx> = ( aq )>x ¸ 1 - ½qx=
Using iteration, and taking starting values in denominators of qx= » ( aq )=x etc.
A large number of candidates used formulae appropriate when decrements are uniform in
the multiple decrement table, but the question specified that independent decrements were
uniform in the single decrement tables.
12 EPV = 500 ò 30
0 e
-dt hh
p35,t dt (premiums)
-20,000 ò 30
0 e
-dt hh
p35,t m35 +t dt (death from healthy)
-30,000 ò 30
0 e
-dt hs
p35,t n35+t dt (death from sick)
-3,000 ò 30
0 e
-dt hs
p35,t dt (sickness income)
ì 30 ¥
m tü
13 EPV f
= 10,000 í S (1 - t p60 m t
) t p64 f
v + S ( t -30 p60 f
- t p60 ) t p64 v ý
ît =1 t =31 þ
ì 30 m t ¥
f m t
¥
f m tü
= 10,000 í S t p64 v + S t - 30 p60 t p64 v - S t p60 t p64 v ý
ît =1 t = 31 t =1 þ
m
{
= 10,000 a64:30 + 30
m 30
p64 f m
v a60:94 f m
- a60:64 }
Page 5
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
m D94 æ 16.4 ö
a64:30 = a64 - a94 = 7.616 - ç 5844.0 ÷ (1.707) = 7.611
D64 è ø
m D94 16.4
30 p64 v30 = = = 0.002806297
D64 5844.0
f :m f m
a60:94 = 1.666 a60:64 = 6.854
Very few candidates provided a satisfactory answer. Many did not attempt to deal with
the term aspect of the question, and most of those who did assumed the annuity ended 30
years after retirement rather than 30 years after the pensioner’s death.
(a) OK to use but need age specific mortality rates at each time
point.
(b) Copes well with age/sex variations provided age specific rates are
available for occupational groups.
(a) Fine but ensure standard rates used are same each time.
Page 6
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
(b) Good except for possible problems gathering the data on age
distributions.
(ii) Occupational A
Crude Rate
52
= (960,000 ´
15000
74
+ 1,400,000 ´
12000
109
+ 740,000 ´ ) ¸ 3,100,000
10,000
ì 3,100 ü
ï15,000 ´ 960,000 ï
ï ï
ï 7,500 ï ì48.44 + 64.29 ü
= 235 ¸ í+ 12,000 ´ ý = 235 ¸ í ý
ï 1,400,000 ï î+ 95.95 þ
ï 7,100 ï
ï+ 10,000 ´ ï
î 740,000 þ
= 235 ¸ 208.68
= 1.126
Answered quite well in general, although some students tended to describe the various
measures in general rather than relate them to the specific situations described.
Page 7
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
Assumes all eligible lives actually take up option, and that they
are subject to Ultimate mortality as opposed to Select if normal
underwriting carried out. If there are many option dates etc., then
the most costly from the insurers point of view is assumed.
æ 1 ö
(ii) Insurer charges ç ÷ (P[65]) (100,000) per annum for whole life policy
è .95 ø
The insurers net liability at option date present value of benefits – (present value of
premiums less expenses)
= 58,705 – (.95)(5,530.53)(10.737)
Extra premium, P’, spread over term assurance policy term, is from:-
D65
.95P ¢ a[50]:15 = 2,292.80
D[50]
æ 2,144.1713 ö
Þ P ¢ = (2,292.80) ç ÷ ¸ (.95) (11.028)
è 4,581.3224 ø
(iii) The office needs to decide which option is costlier, not just in the value of
the option benefit, but its impact on the overall premium required over
the period to the option exercise date.
In this case, it needs to compare the above option cost in premium terms
plus the 15 term assurance premium to the similarly calculated extra
premium for the 10 year option combined with a 10 year term insurance
premium.
It should then charge the higher combined premium, thereby having
option cost at any date more than covered.
Part (i) was well answered, but (ii) and (iii) were very poorly answered. Many candidates
treated the contract as a whole life from the start making the option cost the difference
between a term assurance and a whole life policy for the life aged 50.
Page 8
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
q62 = .017 749 72 p62 = .982 250 28 1 p61 = 0.983 986 A62:3 = .86624
q63 = .019 654 64 p63 = .980 345 36 2 p61 = 0.966 521 A63:2 = .90792
q64 = .021 743 10 p64 = .978 256 90 3 p61 = 0.947 524 A64:1 = .95238
1%
Fund Management Fund
Year Cost of alloc. Fund b/f @ year end charge c/f
Death cost (using full Cap. Units) Yr 1 Þ q61 (4000 – 916.22) = 49.38
Page 9
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
Sterling fund
(4%)
Premium less Sterling Death Management Profit Profit
Year cost of alloc. Expense interest cost charge vector signature
Alternative approach whereby entire death cost is charged to sterling fund is also valid,
providing a-funded capital unit management charge is correspondingly increased.
(ii) (a) Given the shape of the cash flows, with the positives after the
negatives, a discount rate of 10% would mean larger NPV.
(b) Death cost would reduce, probability of being in force and hence
premium income would increase, causing NPV to increase.
A-funding factors would also decrease, accelerating the cash flows.
Given risk discount rate (12%) > sterling fund rate this will
increase NPV.
(c) At 4%, factors will be bigger, unit reserves increase and profit is
deferred. Because risk discount rate exceeds sterling fund rate,
NPV decreases.
Generally well answered, although candidates often failed to give reasons for their correct
conclusions in (ii).
æ 1 4% 4%
ö
17 (i) 6%
Pa30:35 = 50,000 ç
ç 1.01923
1
A30:35 1
+ A30:35 ÷ + 250
÷
è ø
6%
30:35
+ .025Pa + .575P
6%
P .975a30:35 ì
ï
- .575 = 250 + 50,000 í
1 æ
ç A30:35 -
î1.01923 è
ï
D65 ö D65 ü
÷+
ï
ý
D30 ø D30 ï
þ
6%
30:35
a = 15.019
4%
A30:35 = .27483
Page 10
Subject 105 (Actuarial Mathematics 1) — April 2000 — Examiners’ Report
4%
D65 2144.1713
4%
= = .20551
D30 10433.31
- (990) amin[ K
30 + t +1, 35 -t ]
Before
ì
ï 1 æ 4% D65 ö
4%
D65 ü
ï 6%
10V = 60,000 í A
ç 40:25 - ÷ + 40:25
ý - (.975)(990)( a )
ï1.01923 è D40 ø D40 ï
î þ
ì 1 ü
= 60,000 í (.40005 - .30690) + .30690ý - (.975)(990)(13.081)
î1.01923 þ
After
6% 6%
10V = x A40 40
- (.975)(990) a
Parts (i), (iii) and if attempted (iv) were well answered although most students missed the
different bonus treatment needed for death benefits compared with the maturity benefit.
Few candidates seemed familiar with the concept of the gross future loss as a random
variable and answers to part (ii) were weak.
Page 11