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HIDROLÓGICO DE LA CUENCA
DEL RIO PAMPAS
A. Índice del Estudio
RESUMEN EJECUTIVO
1. INTRODUCCIÓN
Generalidades
Antecedentes
Objetivos
2. INFORMACIÓN BASICA DE LA CUENCA
La cuenca del río Pampas se encuentra ubicada entre las coordenadas UTM: Datum:
WGS 84: 473000 y 710000 E y 8 590000 y 8 365000 N.
Recurso Hídrico
La cuenca del río Pampas tiene una área de drenaje total de 23 236,37 km2, una
altitud media de 4 066 msnm., y una longitud máxima de cauce del río de 424,07
km., presenta una pendiente promedio de 0,82 %, las descarga media mensual de río
Pampas es de 152,22 m3/s, mientras que de la estación Huasapampa que registra las
descargas del río Sondondo es de 15,00 m3/s. Los tributarios más importantes son
los ríos: Alto Pampas, Caracha, Sondondo, Chicha, Torobamba y Bajo Pampas.
Fuente: ANA
Fuente: ANA
Fuente: ANA
El método Pfafstetter de codificación y delimitación de unidades hidrográficas, es
un sistema analítico, organizado y con características de aplicación global, que se
basa, principalmente, en la superficie de las unidades de drenaje y de la ubicación
de ésta dentro del contexto hidrográfico en el que se encuentra, en relación con
las unidades de drenaje vecinas, respondiendo a criterios netamente topológicos.
Fuente: ANA
La cuenca del río Pampas forma parte de la vertiente del Océano Atlántico y limita
con las siguientes cuencas:
Por el Norte: Mantaro, e Intercuenca Bajo Apurímac.
Por el Este: Intercuenca Alto Apurímac e Intercuenca Bajo Apurímac.
Por el Sur: Yauca, Ocoña e Intercuenca Alto Apurímac.
Por el Oeste: Pisca, Ica, Grande y Acarí.
Fuente: ANA
En esta subcuenca se ubican los ríos Apacheta, Seco, Checlla, Totos, diversas
quebradas como: Pucaruni, Yuraccancha, Amaro, Yuraccolpa, Chalhuamayo,
Vizcacha, y otras, posee una densidad de drenaje de 0,62 km/km2 y una
declividad de los terrenos de 0,22.
Sub-cuenca Caracha
Esta Unidad Hidrográfica tiene un superficie de 4288 km2, un perímetro de 371
km, siendo su altitud media de 4000 msnm., presenta una pendiente de cauce en el
orden 1,34%, y una longitud de cauce principal 120 km. El factor de forma es de 0,30
mientras que el coeficiente de compacidad es de 1,58.
Existen varias lagunas que dan origen a la formación del río Caracha:
Turpococha, Huachhuaccasa, Chalhuamayo, Chinchinca, Palccamayo, Tiococha,
Huanzo, Taccraccocha, Orjoruccyo, Callccocha, Tipecc.
Sub-cuenca Sondondo
El río Sondondo está formado por los ríos Andamarca y Mayobamba, los que a su vez
nacen de las lagunas de Tuntococha, Sahuaccocha, Suytujocha, Hijatojocha,
Chaupijocha, Accaccua, Turiana, Parjajocha.
Entre otros afluentes del río Sondondo se tiene: río Michcca, Paljacha,
Cactahuayco, Chonta, Cabracancha, Pichjane.
Esta Unidad Hidrográfica tiene un superficie de 3640 km2, un perímetro de 343 km,
y una altitud media de 3500 msnm., presenta una pendiente de cauce en el orden
1,78%, y una longitud de cauce principal 120 km. El factor de forma es de 0,25
mientras que el coeficiente de compacidad determinado es de 1,59.
Sub-cuenca Chicha
El rio Soras se forma de las lagunas Llumpata, Llactajocham, Lliptacocha,
Caranjacocha, Kerojocha, Huamkahocha, que dan origen a los tributarios:
Pachachaca, Challhua, Huancani, Ccantuchayoc, Huayllaripa, Yanamayo, que en su
conjunto forman el río Soras; el río Pauche y el río Ocharán juntamente con el río
Soras forman el rio Chicha.
Sub-cuenca Torobamba
El río Torobamba se forma en las lagunas Hatunticclla, Toctococha y Uchcococha y
los río Yanamito, Chacabamba; sus principales afluentes son el río Uras,
Miskihauico; las quebradas secas afluentes son: Illahura, Socosmayo, Condoray,
Rapijasa, Anjihay, Auquirajay.
Área de la cuenca
Según los cálculos obtenidos por el programa ArcMap 10.5 el área de la cuenca es de
24014.23 km2, según la referencia de los apuntes de clase se considera una cuenca
muy grande (mayor a 5000 Km2).
Forma de la cuenca
La forma es medianamente alargada, por ello los escurrimientos máximos serán de
mayor duración que una redondeada.
Coeficiente de Compacidad
1174.734
𝐾𝑐 = 0.282 x = 2.138
√24014.229
Relación de elongación
√24014.229
𝑅𝑒 = 1.1284 x = 0.4123
424.07
Factor de forma
24014.229
𝐹𝐹 = = 0.134
424.072
Pendiente de la cuenca
La pendiente media de la cuenca es 0.82 (m/m), este valor fue sacado de la literatura
y del software ArcMap.
Coeficiente de masividad
En nuestro caso del río Chancay – Huaral reemplazando las variables de pendiente y
área de la cuenca
0.82
𝐶𝑚 = = 0.0341 ∗ 103 𝑘𝑚−2
24014.229
Análisis geomorfológicos mediante SIG
3. ANÁLISIS DE PARÁMETROS METEOROLÓGICOS
- Estación Vilcashuaman-Ayacucho
- Estación Chilcayoc-Ayacucho
Fuente: SENAMHI
ESTACION CHOCLOCHA
Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Setiembr Octubre Noviembr Diciembr
1972 e e e
1975 123.70 156.50 144.10 50.60 40.50 5.20 0.70 1.40 31.60 38.10 59.80 83.90
1976 182.60 150.70 120.00 34.30 6.50 13.90 20.70 32.50 47.10 5.20 4.60 101.80
1977 99.20 68.10 20.70 0.00 0.30 0.60 28.80 29.30 92.10 85.00
1978 103.80 87.90 74.80 39.30 5.60 3.60 1.20 1.00 19.10 29.90 81.40 64.40
1979 50.70 105.40 113.30 27.20 4.40 2.30 2.80 5.90 5.80 11.00 24.80 35.60
1980 84.40 48.70 46.70 33.30 28.00 39.80 30.30 64.60 81.30 21.20
1981 40.70 60.30 34.70 0.10 0.00 17.40 22.80 30.90 76.80
1983 0.90 44.50 95.40 114.60 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.00 57.00
1984
1985 5.20 47.00 20.60 18.10 4.30 28.20 1.00 0.20 13.30
1986 89.50 89.60 22.70 0.90 18.20 1.10 1.60 0.90 0.70 3.00
1987 248.30 70.60 103.30 33.60 2.90 0.00 18.70 11.60 4.00 16.50 21.00
1988 230.80 161.20 152.40 106.80 68.10 1.50 0.00 0.30 4.70 39.00 16.30 81.50
1989 104.40 68.60 88.90 44.20 14.00 8.30 0.50 25.00 32.00 69.00 24.10
1990 19.00 3.00 22.10 27.30 124.30 94.20 9.30 22.00 59.00 75.70 170.10 77.70
1991 105.10 83.70 71.90 120.50 21.70 0.00 0.00 2.00 26.60 18.10 28.00
1992 83.70 77.40 94.20 39.10 2.00 14.10 11.20 23.00 7.90
1993 123.30 121.70 146.80 170.70 18.40 28.00 8.50 34.80 63.80 96.70 99.80 58.80
1994 122.80 316.60 229.10 42.80 35.90 10.00 27.20 14.80 53.60 26.00 39.60 19.00
1995 28.90 125.60 171.60 93.40 16.10 0.00 0.00 1.00 24.00 57.40 63.90 59.80
1996 213.30 151.70 178.40 108.40 22.20 2.00 2.90 40.90 39.90 60.40 55.10 156.00
1997 242.90 247.40 83.10 117.00 27.90 0.00 0.00 216.50 52.90 97.80 92.60 145.80
1998 364.80 454.60 379.10 147.70 0.00 57.00 0.00 24.10 47.30 115.70 148.40 96.80
1999 231.10 377.50 227.00 196.40 51.50 10.80 14.10 10.00 77.20 185.30 67.50 198.60
2000 189.00 238.50 269.00 113.70 15.00 2.00 31.00 34.00 41.60 154.10 72.00 152.20
2001 263.90 104.90 150.60 141.90 26.30 15.00 15.00 3.00 58.80 94.10 122.00 95.10
2002 97.50 262.90 290.30 78.90 18.00 35.10 21.20 4.00 40.30 78.60 69.40 133.10
2003 273.80 373.60 354.80 119.50 44.00 0.00 14.10 5.00 8.60 33.10 22.40 158.00
2004 57.40 202.00 169.10 78.30 4.00 34.70 12.80 27.30 80.20 74.70 90.00 182.60
2005 126.00 131.50 211.20 56.50 7.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 17.20 38.70 45.20 213.30
2006 238.10 196.50 202.60 0.00 7.00 0.00 22.00 88.00 101.30 126.90
2007 101.70 129.40 159.30 74.20 5.00 3.40 0.00 2.00 20.10 147.10
N° Registros 32 30 31 31 32 31 31 32 29 28 29 29
P ro medio 141.14 159.62 149.24 76.28 23.38 13.98 7.05 20.50 31.45 58.81 62.04 95.31
M áximo 364.80 454.60 379.10 196.40 124.30 94.20 31.00 216.50 80.20 185.30 170.10 213.30
M ínimo 0.90 3.00 20.60 18.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.70 3.00 1.20
ESTACION CHICLAYOC
Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Setiem br Octubre Noviem br Diciem br
1963 e e e
1965 41.30 278.00 223.90 174.00 3.50 3.00 16.50 3.50 72.70 24.20 71.90 124.80
1966 182.50 162.30 95.80 44.00 58.30 0.00 0.00 9.50 41.70 162.30 103.50 110.10
1967 212.70 255.50 256.70 72.10 0.00 32.50 27.00 66.00 47.90 29.30
1970
1971 175.60 182.30 109.90 31.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.40 56.50 0.00 0.00
1972 102.20
1973 272.00 276.10 236.70 78.70 50.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1976
1978
1980
1981
1982
1984 77.90
1985 99.90
1988 395.40 166.10 236.50 144.10 91.80 0.00 22.00 0.00 139.80 189.70 46.70 243.80
1989 295.60 403.70 337.80 279.20 123.50 34.00 238.10 211.20 59.00 234.70 72.20 0.00
1990 197.80 32.40 24.70 31.00 0.00 208.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 188.60 251.80
1991 307.70 421.60 328.80 268.20 165.10 54.80 12.60 29.70 104.00 94.20 159.70 50.80
1993 423.90 136.30 375.20 365.40 81.20 49.40 78.50 92.30 117.20 292.60 291.60 383.20
1994 314.80 430.60 304.70 218.60 54.60 37.70 17.10 9.40 22.10 161.20 79.80 128.80
1995 286.50 178.70 218.50 81.40 7.60 37.10 72.90 22.10 22.00 97.20 162.90 150.20
1996 421.80 399.90 393.30 304.00 52.20 3.30 12.00 35.00 21.40 111.70 64.20 165.10
1997 128.70 282.50 64.00 24.30 44.90 0.00 11.20 26.00 53.80 33.40 139.10 147.70
1998 337.00 226.40 219.50 51.80 0.00 8.30 0.00 4.30 5.20 103.90 25.00 82.50
2000 218.00 412.00 276.00 40.00 10.00 17.00 20.00 45.00 50.00 149.00 41.00 123.00
2001 249.00 220.00 225.00 23.00 59.00 15.00 43.00 63.00 28.00 92.00 136.00 75.80
2002 80.00 201.80 158.90 51.60 11.30 2.10 55.90 14.30 48.20 83.20 91.10
2003 128.10 190.50 189.30 66.60 7.10 1.80 25.50 16.60 47.20 53.10 191.50
2004 91.80 174.50 109.70 35.80 12.40 17.80 34.90 19.20 20.60 35.30 27.10 128.00
2005 108.60 82.10 95.50 41.50 5.00 0.00 3.50 5.60 51.60 190.30
N° Registro s 27 30 28 31 28 28 26 27 24 27 25 27
P ro m e dio 2 0 2 .7 5 2 18 .8 3 18 7 .4 6 9 0 .6 4 3 4 .7 8 2 6 .6 9 2 7 .13 3 3 .3 7 3 9 .2 5 10 5 .0 9 8 8 .5 3 13 2 .5 3
M áximo 423.90 430.60 393.30 365.40 165.10 208.80 238.10 211.20 139.80 292.60 291.60 383.20
M ínimo 29.30 18.90 24.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
4.2 Análisis de consistencia
1. Estación Vilcashuaman
1965 591.72
1966 851.10
1967 868.30
1968 753.40
1969 617.90
1970 995.20
1971 652.30
1972 715.10
1973 915.10
1974 967.00
1975 735.10
1976 982.20
1977 570.80
1978 546.70
1979 586.20
1980 511.00
1981 1142.40
1982 686.67
1983 206.83
1986 202.75
1987 543.20
1988 773.10
1989 1155.50
1990 722.30
1991 636.00
1992 389.50
1993 1016.00
1994 719.70
1995 792.50
1996 723.30
1997 739.70
1998 446.70
1999 362.00
2000 465.70
2001 464.90
2002 839.68
2003 682.65
2004 711.19
2005 688.70
2006 912.42
2007 716.10
2008 628.75
2009 904.70
2010 506.86
Pp(mm)
1400.00
Precipitación Anual
1200.00
1000.00
800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
0.00
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Años
Prueba de t student:
periodo 1 n1 19
periodo 2 n2 25
Media.Arit.1 X1 731.32
Media.Arit.2 X2 669.76
T. tabla T. Estadístico
2.02 > 0.36
Prueba de F de Fisher:
periodo 1 n1 19
periodo 2 n2 25
varianza 1 48327.16
varianza 2 46334.34
F. tabla F. Estadístico
1.75 > 1.04
k 14.67
k° 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
r 0.20 -0.07 -0.26 -0.10 0.07 0.24 0.00 -0.20 -0.21 -0.21 -0.04 0.05 0.20 0.10 0.07
LI 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32
LS -0.32 -0.32 -0.33 -0.33 -0.34 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35 -0.36 -0.36 -0.37 -0.37 -0.38 -0.39 -0.39
CORRELOGRAMA
0.40
Coeficiente de Autocorrelacion
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00 r
-0.10 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 LI
®
-0.20
LS
-0.30
-0.40
-0.50
Tiempo de Retraso (k)
P.p (mm)
1600.0
1400.0
Precipitacion Anual
1200.0
1000.0
800.0
600.0
400.0
200.0
0.0
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Años
Prueba de T student.
periodo 1 n1 21
periodo 2 n2 17
Media.Arit.1 X1 648.97
Media.Arit.2 X2 803.38
T. tabla T. Estadístico
2.03 > 0.06
Prueba de F de Fisher.
periodo 1 n1 21
periodo 2 n2 17
varianza 1 77075.02
varianza 2 46216.69
F. tabla F. Estadístico
1.89 > 1.67
Análisis de independencia.
k 12.67
k° 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
r -0.14 0.11 -0.02 -0.09 0.07 -0.09 0.06 -0.27 0.04 -0.11 -0.01 -0.03 0.12
LI 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34
LS -0.34 -0.35 -0.36 -0.36 -0.37 -0.37 -0.38 -0.39 -0.39 -0.40 -0.41 -0.42 -0.42
CORRELOGRAMA
Coeficiente de Autocorrelacion ®
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00 r
-0.10 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 LI
-0.20 LS
-0.30
-0.40
-0.50
Tiempo de Retraso (k)
3. ESTACIÓN PAUCARAY
Año Año
1965 250
1966 483
1967 1455
1968 2694
1969 3780
1970 3872
1971 1273
1972 2154
1973 212
1974 778
1975 921
1976 677
1977 0
1981 1087
1994 84
1995 545
1996 489
1997 605
1998 661
1999 753
2000 1050
2001 740
2002 651
2003 688
2004 602
2005 650
2006 479
2007 803
2008 593
2009 709
2010 173
P.p (mm)
4500
4000
Precpitacion Anual
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Años
Prueba de cramer.
periodo 1 n1 8
periodo 2 n2 31
Media.Arit.1 X1 1995.25
Media.Arit.2 X2 964.84
desv.stan S2 939.76
tk 1.10
T 4.57
T. tabla T. Estadístico
2.03 > 4.57
Prueba de F de Fisher.
periodo 1 n1 8
periodo 2 n2 23
varianza 1 1253317.58
varianza 2 76445.69
F. tabla F. Estadístico
2.49 > 16.39
Análisis de independencia.
k 10.33
k° 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
r 0.62 0.44 0.10 -0.06 -0.12 -0.02 -0.13 -0.06 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09
LI 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.38
LS -0.39 -0.39 -0.40 -0.41 -0.42 -0.42 -0.43 -0.44 -0.45 -0.47 -0.48
CORRELOGRAMA
0.80
Coeficiente de Autocorrelacion ®
0.60
0.40
0.20 r
0.00 LI
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 LS
-0.20
-0.40
-0.60
Tiempo de Retraso (k)
Precipitacion
AÑO
(mm)
1986 1382.770
1987 862.030
1988 1675.900
1989 2289.000
1990 935.100
1991 1997.200
1992 153.470
1993 2686.800
1994 1779.400
1995 1337.100
1996 1983.900
1997 955.600
1998 1063.900
1999 549.852
2000 1401.000
2001 1228.800
2002 827.350
2003 937.761
2004 707.100
2005 678.955
2006 888.993
2007 980.097
2008 312.883
2500.000
Precipitacion (mm)
2000.000
1500.000
1000.000
500.000
0.000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Años
T de Student
Bloque 1 Bloque 2
Año Pp (mm) Año Pp (mm)
1 1986 299.2903322 1 1997 1323.900
2 1987 598.1601465 2 1998 1835.500
3 1988 862.6 3 1999 1647.000
4 1989 518.47255 4 2000 1312.100
5 1990 703.7 5 2001 1090.600
6 1991 591.3427155 6 2002 1129.300
7 1992 451.2239896 7 2003 1406.900
8 1993 971.3 8 2004 1013.100
9 1994 937.4 9 2005 855.600
10 1995 641.7 10 2006 1121.492
11 1996 1031.2 11 2007 739.920
12 2008 937.334
Se analiza los años más homogeneos del total : del 1983 hasta 1987
Xk 1201.062
nʹ 12
Ʈk 0.642201354
(Ʈk)² 0.412422579
v 21
Tk de tabla 2.08 Tk 6.453409737
0.5
Tk(tabla) > Tk (cramer) entonces hay consistencia
Tk(tabla) < Tk (cramer) entonces hay in consistencia
F de Fisher
Precipitacio
n AÑO
n (mm) k=1 k=2 k=3 k=4 k=5 k=6 k=7 k=8
1 1986 299.290 236372.143 62353.9564 288811.633 166920.229 240858.445 333065.449 -9177.53423 13130.8147 433047.427
2 1987 598.160 34034.9287 157643.298 91110.7881 131468.803 181798.549 -5009.41306 7167.24919 113380.79 129020.026
3 1988 862.600 41585.6252 24034.6347 34680.9057 47957.6767 -1321.46165 1890.68956 29909.3655 -6997.20967 8978.26805
4 1989 518.473 111323.844 160635.34 222130.811 -6120.75834 8757.31343 138534.476 -32409.7406 -160870.26 192616.684
5 1990 703.700 92840.0548 128381.691 -3537.52504 5061.33617 80066.7421 -18731.3831 -92975.8278 -222745.073 64340.2113
6 1991 591.343 185249.054 -5104.49084 7303.28232 115532.737 -27028.5502 -134159.972 -321411.204 -252418.129 133964.058
7 1992 451.224 -7058.62538 10099.1726 159761.735 -37375.7964 -185519.969 -444455.941 -349050.486 -179547.639 256167.307
8 1993 971.300 -278.280147 -4402.19421 1029.88062 5111.95585 12246.8711 9617.9979 4947.38978 1858.28946 194.498638
9 1994 937.400 6298.46701 -1473.50816 -7313.96293 -17522.2877 -13761.0109 -7078.509 -2658.75932 -3430.96841 398.151068
10 1995 641.700 -23309.8522 -115701.697 -277190.142 -217689.415 -111976.983 -42059.6834 -54275.4825 -141900.956 99637.2729
11 1996 1031.200 27068.0778 64847.8331 50927.8099 26196.6918 9839.74145 12697.5924 33197.3188 4116.65499 5453.2726
12 1997 1323.900 321881.248 252787.275 130030.927 48840.9267 63026.2676 164779.514 20433.5902 -37297.4484 134356.173
13 1998 1835.500 605610.31 311519.122 117009.722 150993.983 394767.389 48953.3855 -89354.6532 144137.329 771140.884
14 1999 1647.000 244649.449 91892.7987 118582.11 310027.916 38445.2123 -70174.0763 113197.283 -149952.246 475611.987
15 2000 1312.100 47268.6206 60997.3015 159474.868 19775.7842 -36096.7544 58227.4073 -77133.7465 -7101.98009 125844.921
16 2001 1090.600 22911.2012 59900.3677 7427.98384 -13558.3048 21870.801 -28972.2126 -2667.5753 17754.5703
17 2002 1129.300 77297.8086 9585.36475 -17496.1739 28222.9485 -37386.8914 -3442.34489 29565.5221
18 2003 1406.900 25060.5312 -45743.0074 73787.7066 -97746.4481 -8999.8653 202091.855
19 2004 1013.100 -5672.39122 9150.09228 -12121.1115 -1116.03412 3107.64738
20 2005 855.600 -16701.6707 22124.6744 2037.09796 10353.8202
21 2006 1121.492 -35689.1485 -3286.02763 26941.3413
22 2007 739.920 4352.99516 47277.3538
23 2008 937.334 400.795843
PROMEDIO 957.354 1995094.39 1250242 1146448.35 664981.944 629585.846 13682.9762 -822262.813 -885638.03 3168264.05
K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
r 0.62971216 0.39461421 0.36185379 0.20988842 0.19871634 0.00431876 -0.25953102 -0.27953416
Ls 0.36281129 0.36978031 0.3771721 0.3850303 0.39340483 0.40235294 0.41194046 0.42224323
Li -0.45372038 -0.4650184 -0.4771721 -0.49029346 -0.50451595 -0.52 -0.53694046 -0.55557657
CORRELOGRAMA
0.8
Coeficiente de Autocorrelacion (r)
0.6
0.4
0.2 Ls
0 Li
0 2 4 6 8 10
-0.2 r
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Tiempo de retraso (k)
ESTACION CHLCAYOC
Precipitación
AÑO
(mm)
1986 1382.770
1987 862.030
1988 1675.900
1989 2289.000
1990 935.100
1991 1997.200
1992 153.470
1993 2686.800
1994 1779.400
1995 1337.100
1996 1983.900
1997 955.600
1998 1063.900
1999 549.852
2000 1401.000
2001 1228.800
2002 827.350
2003 937.761
2004 707.100
2005 678.955
2006 888.993
2007 980.097
2008 312.883
2500.000
Precipitacion (mm)
2000.000
1500.000
1000.000
500.000
0.000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Años
T de Student
Bloque 1 Bloque 2
Año Pp (mm) Año Pp (mm)
1 1986 1382.77 1 1997 955.6
2 1987 862.03 2 1998 1063.9
3 1988 1675.9 3 1999 549.8519882
4 1989 2289 4 2000 1401
5 1990 935.1 5 2001 1228.8
6 1991 1997.2 6 2002 827.3502877
7 1992 153.47 7 2003 937.7610369
8 1993 2686.8 8 2004 707.1
9 1994 1779.4 9 2005 678.9554952
10 1995 1337.1 10 2006 888.9929043
11 1996 1983.9 11 2007 980.0966308
12 2008 312.8830952
Se analiza los años más homogeneos del total : del 1983 hasta 1987
Xk 1469.398
nʹ 13
Ʈk 0.42646
(Ʈk)² 0.181868132
v 21
Tk de tabla 2.08 Tk 5.979384602
0.5
Tk(tabla)< Tk (cramer) entonces hay inconsistencia
F de Fisher
PROMEDIO 1200.650 -842529.181 2728615.78 916379.063 275434.8 2800669.82 -935972.499 2012756.61 -987669.774 8736831.41
K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
r -0.09643418 0.31231183 0.10488689 0.03152571 0.32055899 -0.10712951 0.23037604 -0.11304668
Ls 0.36281129 0.36978031 0.3771721 0.3850303 0.39340483 0.40235294 0.41194046 0.42224323
Li -0.45372038 -0.4650184 -0.4771721 -0.49029346 -0.50451595 -0.52 -0.53694046 -0.55557657
CORRELOGRAMA
0.6
Coeficiente de Autocorrelacion (r)
0.4
0.2
Ls
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 Li
-0.2
r
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Tiempo de retraso (k)
4.2 COMPLETACIÓN DE INFORMACIÓN PLUVIOMÉTRICA.
ESTACIÓN VILCASHUAMA
Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Setiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre
1965 92.62 85.01 69.07 14.22 10.70 0.00 7.90 0.00 71.20 33.70 52.60 154.70
1966 97.40 126.00 109.60 22.70 57.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.40 143.00 134.00 137.30
1967 149.90 243.00 231.90 39.50 18.00 0.00 20.60 42.60 32.40 38.40 32.00 20.00
1968 95.00 183.90 226.50 0.00 18.60 39.30 25.00 52.50 34.70 35.70 27.00 15.20
1969 79.00 91.00 87.80 29.00 0.00 24.00 8.10 28.00 100.00 41.00 25.40 104.60
1970 345.40 108.00 121.70 50.20 14.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.90 49.20 32.20 221.40
1971 127.60 194.60 153.60 42.20 4.60 7.30 0.00 4.10 3.10 28.60 9.40 77.20
1972 149.20 94.10 190.00 61.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.70 25.60 46.00 106.10
1973 253.40 187.10 182.20 48.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.20 12.00 32.00 149.50
1974 283.00 276.20 137.60 53.30 6.00 26.00 0.00 57.00 12.00 17.00 25.90 73.00
1975 142.20 142.90 205.00 0.00 45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.00 26.00 7.30 87.70
1976 283.50 281.00 209.00 0.00 12.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 125.20 0.00 0.00 71.00
1977 24.00 256.20 87.40 12.00 0.00 0.00 20.70 0.00 0.00 13.00 114.50 43.00
1978 207.40 88.40 48.00 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.00 61.00 49.50 59.00
1979 126.00 136.00 145.00 44.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 16.20 35.00 34.00
1980 93.20 135.10 104.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 3.00 81.70 29.80 48.20
1981 159.60 328.00 135.80 64.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 104.80 49.20 82.00 106.00 100.00
1982 144.20 247.20 80.00 55.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.96 51.91 71.20
1983 109.00 28.012 22.760 4.685 2.163 1.296 0.803 2.699 5.314 6.738 9.465 13.893
1986 27.690 25.417 20.651 4.251 1.962 1.176 0.729 2.449 4.822 6.114 8.588 98.90
1987 246.10 46.00 8.90 6.60 6.50 9.60 12.00 16.30 6.00 69.10 50.20 65.90
1988 212.50 115.60 161.30 72.30 13.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.40 0.00 5.60 177.70
1989 291.50 260.80 91.00 77.40 119.90 6.00 6.80 36.00 28.70 104.70 88.70 44.00
1990 162.50 41.20 36.30 14.80 30.30 83.90 0.00 20.20 26.70 86.60 219.80
1991 138.50 167.30 106.40 66.00 19.00 46.00 0.00 0.00 8.40 47.60 25.80 11.00
1992 61.40 95.40 49.60 12.80 0.00 3.60 4.40 70.40 4.60 27.80 18.60 40.90
1993 189.20 111.00 155.80 66.00 27.80 9.60 11.20 25.80 47.00 37.20 125.20 210.20
1994 234.20 118.50 123.60 46.50 4.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 15.40 109.70 64.60
1995 210.40 100.60 181.40 12.40 8.00 0.00 3.80 4.80 27.60 53.30 85.00 105.20
1996 141.30 201.70 104.40 50.60 2.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 29.40 25.80 56.50 92.60
1997 113.40 180.50 110.20 51.00 10.90 0.00 2.90 40.10 55.20 35.30 72.60 67.60
1998 111.40 72.90 113.60 13.40 0.00 11.80 0.00 0.00 10.30 22.80 37.40 53.10
1999 70.00 87.60 25.10 18.50 0.20 0.00 6.50 0.00 65.40 5.80 46.20 36.70
2000 75.60 129.70 69.10 0.20 18.40 0.00 0.00 1.20 19.70 40.80 44.30 66.70
2001 140.70 68.50 71.30 0.00 16.40 0.20 2.20 24.30 19.00 28.20 40.70 53.40
2002 79.60 249.10 154.40 39.20 16.00 0.00 53.90 3.80 35.70 59.80 60.05 88.14
2003 97.40 146.40 134.50 41.60 2.70 0.00 0.00 15.75 31.00 39.50 26.60 147.20
2004 83.40 196.00 95.20 47.70 8.10 7.92 4.91 11.90 32.46 26.90 27.40 169.30
2005 101.40 79.50 181.20 22.50 28.50 0.00 1.90 19.90 46.40 40.80 42.70 123.90
2006 239.40 147.90 147.70 52.30 2.00 13.40 0.00 31.90 14.20 53.12 109.40 101.10
2007 124.10 96.10 153.50 37.40 3.90 0.00 13.90 9.50 15.30 35.30 87.20 139.90
2008 196.20 128.55 100.30 10.20 5.50 7.10 0.00 2.10 5.60 23.20 38.30 111.70
2009 144.00 181.86 145.07 57.60 13.79 2.00 21.60 17.21 33.87 44.90 119.00 123.80
2010 213.70 178.70 37.31 7.68 3.55 2.12 1.32 4.43 8.71 11.05 15.52 22.78
Tiempos húmedos y secos.
1200
1000
800
P.p (mm)
600
400
200
0
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
años
1970 24.12 36.16 28.28 12.16 3.44 1.00 0.00 3.00 58.00 42.00 34.00
1971 125.00 166.00 91.30 39.27 11.10 2.95 2.65 11.60 3.90 30.60 14.80 124.20
1972 197.60 135.00 217.20 94.60 3.10 4.28 3.84 7.24 20.78 44.47 52.70 136.44
1973 215.30 139.80 144.18 97.20 18.90 4.10 4.18 7.87 40.80 48.32 65.40 122.00
1974 76.17 147.50 129.10 38.41 12.30 11.90 2.59 4.87 6.20 17.40 54.00 57.40
1975 165.20 134.30 150.90 42.30 54.00 15.60 1.40 8.09 23.21 38.60 36.10 84.60
1976 149.00 166.90 98.20 39.00 5.70 4.25 3.82 14.20 29.70 3.40 27.10 110.00
1977 66.40 156.30 129.61 59.20 25.30 1.40 5.40 0.00 63.80 41.10 120.80 92.70
1978 145.50 83.40 83.80 51.10 5.50 1.70 4.26 12.60 50.40 76.10 106.20 101.10
1979 60.80 155.90 111.40 35.50 14.25 9.70 3.50 13.00 15.00 23.10 72.60 71.60
1980 114.40 106.60 144.50 49.10 17.90 11.50 21.20 8.28 38.90 113.60 56.00 66.20
1981 107.60 179.10 102.00 36.90 17.82 4.60 4.25 74.00 22.96 69.20 58.22 141.90
1982 149.20 187.00 62.50 90.20 5.80 1.60 4.31 21.70 23.32 80.40 128.10 153.09
1983 39.22 58.79 45.99 19.78 5.59 1.48 1.33 2.51 7.20 37.60 18.27 186.80
1984 152.10 328.40 151.00 103.70 41.70 6.94 6.24 11.75 33.71 72.12 140.00 133.20
1985 85.00 137.60 161.30 56.21 45.10 24.60 7.30 26.90 32.60 51.92 117.40
1986 189.90 234.30 127.39 99.00 15.49 4.11 20.60 27.20 20.40 30.20 50.60 130.98
1987 10.92 16.37 12.81 62.50 1.56 0.41 0.37 0.70 2.01 4.29 5.09 13.17
1988
1989 54.03 80.98 63.35 82.40 18.80 17.30 1.84 3.46 23.90 87.80 38.20 40.70
1990 41.25 27.30 48.37 20.80 5.88 1.56 1.40 2.64 7.58 16.21 91.60 117.10
1991
1992 9.26 13.89 10.86 4.67 1.32 0.35 0.31 0.59 1.70 3.64 4.31 53.00
1993 282.30 175.50 256.10 263.30 24.35 6.46 5.80 10.93 31.37 67.11 79.54 205.92
1994
1995 39.22 111.80 103.90 19.78 8.70 0.00 1.33 2.51 7.20 15.41 18.27 47.29
1996 63.61 95.34 74.58 106.20 34.00 0.00 5.80 10.80 23.40 32.90 36.80 114.00
1997 125.90 128.00 80.00 45.60 23.10 0.00 0.30 24.50 27.50 43.50 77.20 132.50
1998 219.70 139.60 138.40 45.30 0.00 11.90 0.00 6.40 16.10 43.40 74.20 91.30
1999 108.80 219.90 160.60 78.40 49.50 0.50 1.90 1.30 22.30 100.10 32.60 146.80
2000 200.90 228.00 191.40 53.40 31.60 0.00 9.10 6.00 29.40 62.48 74.06 160.00
2001 242.70 128.80 163.00 78.40 11.20 8.00 12.70 4.90 27.40 43.10 64.51 72.30
2002 92.80 179.00 162.50 50.30 31.20 8.40 21.60 5.60 38.30 38.50 71.60 111.50
2003 107.50 157.90 139.80 51.90 10.10 0.60 1.30 4.90 2.10 60.20 40.30 171.20
2004 46.80 171.00 134.00 116.20 6.00 9.90 3.60 6.90 41.80 25.60 55.70 169.70
2005 108.72 115.90 254.40 40.00 8.70 0.00 0.00 2.20 13.60 13.60 45.60 128.00
2006 160.50 132.80 136.10 74.80 0.70 16.20 0.00 10.30 21.35 55.80 78.10 140.19
2007 114.17 113.50 208.30 72.40 22.30 4.32 3.10 6.40 25.60 41.00 49.90 110.70
2008 201.10 153.70 105.90 30.70 5.00 4.45 0.10 13.00 9.90 46.21 42.40 111.10
2009 145.40 147.40 98.00 72.60 30.60 0.10 5.47 3.80 16.20 53.90 191.50 161.70
2010 196.10 166.90 74.39 31.99 9.04 2.40 2.16 4.06 11.65 24.93 29.55 76.49
Tiempos húmedos y secos.
1400
1200
1000
P.P (mm)
800
600
400
200
0
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
años
Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Setiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre
1964
1965
52.00 37.90 38.88 20.00 0.00 0.00 11.00 11.00 34.00 19.00 6.21 20.49
1966
56.06 67.29 69.03 20.80 6.38 2.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.00 108.00 77.00
1967
258.00 297.00 349.00 93.00 56.00 0.00 0.00 44.00 77.00 106.00 8.00 167.00
1968
456.00 291.00 633.00 126.00 60.00 102.00 59.00 89.00 187.00 247.00 109.14 335.00
1969
345.00 743.00 839.00 511.00 223.00 125.00 47.68 66.00 107.35 260.00 198.00 315.00
1970
761.00 537.00 569.00 324.00 355.00 101.00 0.00 94.00 306.00 263.00 133.00 429.00
1971
577.00 170.93 175.34 52.84 16.22 7.08 10.97 18.09 24.70 41.71 86.00 92.43
1972
613.00 311.43 319.48 151.00 29.55 12.90 19.99 32.97 284.00 160.00 51.00 168.41
1973
21.05 25.27 25.92 7.81 2.40 1.05 98.00 2.67 3.65 6.16 4.14 13.66
1974
97.95 117.56 207.00 36.34 25.00 4.87 7.54 12.45 16.98 28.68 100.00 124.00
1975
115.14 138.18 397.00 139.00 13.11 0.00 8.87 14.63 19.96 0.00 0.00 74.72
1976
345.00 88.94 91.24 27.49 8.44 3.68 5.71 9.42 12.85 21.70 14.57 48.10
1977
0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0
1978
1979
1980
1981
121.58 566.00 149.69 45.11 13.85 6.04 9.36 15.45 21.08 35.60 23.90 78.91
1994
8.81 10.57 10.84 3.27 1.00 0.44 0.68 1.12 1.53 2.58 1.73 41.00
1995
113.00 80.00 124.00 39.00 0.00 0.00 8.55 6.00 19.26 20.00 76.00 59.00
1996
66.16 79.40 157.00 24.55 7.53 3.29 0.00 6.00 18.00 18.00 30.00 79.00
1997
71.53 85.85 88.07 26.54 0.00 0.00 4.00 46.00 36.00 23.00 61.00 163.00
1998
176.00 86.00 179.00 37.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 13.00 27.00 34.00 101.00
1999
57.00 195.00 133.00 80.00 8.00 12.00 8.00 0.00 48.00 50.00 25.00 137.00
2000
172.00 286.00 220.00 30.00 3.00 16.00 29.00 40.00 18.00 95.00 29.00 112.00
2001
199.00 140.00 158.00 94.00 24.00 1.00 9.00 46.00 4.00 20.00 17.00 28.00
2002
71.00 159.00 144.00 36.00 5.00 9.00 51.00 13.00 17.00 22.00 62.00 62.00
2003
108.00 139.00 134.00 48.00 5.00 0.00 1.00 26.00 16.00 51.00 37.00 123.00
2004
82.00 176.00 106.00 24.00 2.00 22.00 24.00 16.00 36.00 21.00 19.00 73.61
2005
97.00 131.00 129.00 52.00 12.00 0.00 9.40 15.50 21.16 35.73 6.00 141.00
2006
69.17 139.00 106.00 65.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 8.79 6.00 20.26 13.60 44.89
2007
126.95 119.00 223.00 47.10 4.00 0.00 1.00 16.13 22.01 38.00 69.00 137.00
2008
178.00 161.00 79.00 31.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 20.08 33.91 16.00 70.00
2009
123.73 189.00 131.00 44.00 4.00 0.00 9.53 6.00 17.00 58.00 87.00 40.00
2010
88.00 22.69 23.27 7.01 2.15 0.94 1.46 2.40 3.28 5.54 3.72 12.27
Tiempos húmedos y secos.
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
suma de prec. Por año promedio de prec. Anual serie movil de 4 años
ESTACION CHOCLOCOCHA
Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Setiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre
1974 30.0081331 38.8430421 37.0476723 16.0343786 5.25414787 2.92352571 1.56351498 25.30 7.0579351 11.3776158 55.20 82.60
1975 123.70 156.50 144.10 50.60 40.50 5.20 0.70 1.40 31.60 38.10 59.80 83.90
1976 182.60 150.70 120.00 34.30 6.50 13.90 20.70 32.50 47.10 5.20 4.60 101.80
1977 99.20 101.001436 96.3330339 68.10 20.70 0.00 0.30 0.60 28.80 29.30 92.10 85.00
1978 103.80 87.90 74.80 39.30 5.60 3.60 1.20 1.00 19.10 29.90 81.40 64.40
1979 50.70 105.40 113.30 27.20 4.40 2.30 2.80 5.90 5.80 11.00 24.80 35.60
1980 84.40 48.70 46.70 33.30 28.00 8.57340496 4.58509635 39.80 30.30 64.60 81.30 21.20
1981 40.70 60.30 34.70 27.8905776 9.13918916 0.10 0.00 17.40 12.2767394 22.80 30.90 76.80
1982 63.40 26.2208396 25.0088824 22.40 2.00 1.97351429 1.05544451 2.63787029 4.76443075 17.80 3.30 1.20
1983 0.90 44.50 95.40 114.60 9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.7688 48.00 57.00
1985 5.20 47.00 20.60 18.10 4.30 28.20 1.00 0.20 13.30 9.61970094 11.3638093 17.5878119
1986 41.9856282 89.50 89.60 22.70 0.90 18.20 1.10 1.60 0.90 0.70 3.00 29.1047039
1987 248.30 70.60 103.30 33.60 2.90 0.00 18.70 11.60 4.00 16.50 21.00 67.6601465
1988 230.80 161.20 152.40 106.80 68.10 1.50 0.00 0.30 4.70 39.00 16.30 81.50
1989 104.40 68.60 88.90 44.20 14.00 8.30 0.50 25.00 32.00 69.00 39.47255 24.10
1990 19.00 3.00 22.10 27.30 124.30 94.20 9.30 22.00 59.00 75.70 170.10 77.70
1991 105.10 113.742715 83.70 71.90 120.50 21.70 0.00 0.00 2.00 26.60 18.10 28.00
1992 83.70 77.40 94.20 39.10 2.00 14.10 11.20 23.00 7.90 24.5968568 29.0564115 44.9707213
1993 123.30 121.70 146.80 170.70 18.40 28.00 8.50 34.80 63.80 96.70 99.80 58.80
1994 122.80 316.60 229.10 42.80 35.90 10.00 27.20 14.80 53.60 26.00 39.60 19.00
1995 28.90 125.60 171.60 93.40 16.10 0.00 0.00 1.00 24.00 57.40 63.90 59.80
1996 213.30 151.70 178.40 108.40 22.20 2.00 2.90 40.90 39.90 60.40 55.10 156.00
1997 242.90 247.40 83.10 117.00 27.90 0.00 0.00 216.50 52.90 97.80 92.60 145.80
1998 364.80 454.60 379.10 147.70 0.00 57.00 0.00 24.10 47.30 115.70 148.40 96.80
1999 231.10 377.50 227.00 196.40 51.50 10.80 14.10 10.00 77.20 185.30 67.50 198.60
2000 189.00 238.50 269.00 113.70 15.00 2.00 31.00 34.00 41.60 154.10 72.00 152.20
2001 263.90 104.90 150.60 141.90 26.30 15.00 15.00 3.00 58.80 94.10 122.00 95.10
2002 97.50 262.90 290.30 78.90 18.00 35.10 21.20 4.00 40.30 78.60 69.40 133.10
2003 273.80 373.60 354.80 119.50 44.00 0.00 14.10 5.00 8.60 33.10 22.40 158.00
2004 57.40 202.00 169.10 78.30 4.00 34.70 12.80 27.30 80.20 74.70 90.00 182.60
2005 126.00 131.50 211.20 56.50 7.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 17.20 38.70 45.20 213.30
2006 238.10 196.50 202.60 96.5798501 0.00 7.00 0.00 22.00 42.5120506 88.00 101.30 126.90
2007 101.70 129.40 159.30 74.20 5.00 3.40 0.00 2.00 20.10 44.7989263 52.9212351 147.10
2008 296.10 183.00 120.70 71.70 3.10 17.00 4.30 16.6729695 30.1141449 48.5449593 57.3464458 88.7553175
TIEMPOS HUMEDOS Y SECOS
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
1964 78.4032297 83.8202941 62.8652121 30.246361 10.4007846 8.74285333 7.70885683 46.30 28.7 101 70.70 98.90
1965 41.30 278.00 223.90 174.00 3.50 3.00 16.50 3.50 72.70 24.20 71.90 124.80
1966 182.50 162.30 95.80 44.00 58.30 0.00 0.00 9.50 41.70 162.30 103.50 110.10
1967 212.70 255.5 256.7 72.10 0.00 32.50 27.00 66.00 36.25 84.13 47.90 29.30
1968 71.98 76.96 57.72 5.80 0.00 11.70 7.08 6.80 29.30 145.50 60.70 64.30
1969 95.80 249.00 56.00 109.00 0.00 12.90 11.37 10.93 18.49 42.90 40.29 58.51
1971 175.60 182.30 109.90 31.8 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.4 56.50 0.00 0.00
1972 23.19 24.79 18.59 8.94 3.08 2.59 2.28 2.19 3.71 8.60 102.20 11.73
1973 272.00 276.10 236.70 78.70 50.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.9260046 72.2483113 104.904763
1974 122.10 245.00 187.40 67.60 50.90 22.74 20.05 156.00 21.80 48.1
1975 76.2 91.14 83.10 15.70 11.31 9.51 8.38 8.06 13.63 10.00 57.40 133.4
1977 14.63 15.64 11.73 9.60 1.94 1.63 1.44 1.38 2.34 5.43 5.10 54.90
1979 8.96 9.58 39.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.12 4.53
1983 8.55 18.90 6.86 3.30 1.13 0.95 11.40 7.40 1.37 3.17 2.98 4.33
1984 17.67 18.89 14.17 77.90 2.34 1.97 1.74 1.67 2.82 6.56 6.16 8.94
1985 22.66 24.23 18.17 8.74 3.01 99.90 2.23 2.14 3.62 8.41 7.90 11.46
1986 185.23 387.40 148.52 71.46 24.57 20.66 28.30 17.51 29.61 68.71 116.30 284.50
1987 110.48 44.20 88.59 42.62 84.80 75.20 10.86 10.44 17.66 282.80 38.49 55.89
1988 395.40 166.10 236.50 144.10 91.80 0.00 22.00 0.00 139.80 189.70 46.70 243.80
1989 295.60 403.70 337.80 279.20 123.50 34.00 238.10 211.20 59.00 234.70 72.20 0.00
1990 197.80 32.40 24.70 31.00 0.00 208.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 188.60 251.80
1991 307.70 421.60 328.80 268.20 165.10 54.80 12.60 29.70 104.00 94.20 159.70 50.80
1992 29.30 21.90 25.70 0.00 0.00 38.00 0.00 2.46 4.17 9.67 9.08 13.19
1993 423.90 136.30 375.20 365.40 81.20 49.40 78.50 92.30 117.20 292.60 291.60 383.20
1994 314.80 430.60 304.70 218.60 54.60 37.70 17.10 9.40 22.10 161.20 79.80 128.80
1995 286.50 178.70 218.50 81.4 7.60 37.10 72.90 22.10 22 97.20 162.90 150.20
1996 421.80 399.90 393.30 304.00 52.20 3.30 12.00 35.00 21.40 111.7 64.2 165.10
1997 128.70 282.50 64.00 24.30 44.90 0.00 11.20 26 53.8 33.4 139.1 147.7
1998 337 226.4 219.5 51.8 0 8.3 0 4.3 5.2 103.9 25 82.5
1999 34.4 84.9602113 63.7201499 30.6576975 0 0 0.4 7.51191815 12.7020113 211 12.5 92
2000 218 412 276 40 10 17 20 45 50 149 41 123
2001 249 220 225 23 59 15 43 63 28 92 136 75.8
2002 80 201.8 158.9 51.6 11.3 2.1 55.9 14.3 28.9502877 48.2 83.2 91.1
2003 128.1 190.5 189.3 66.6 7.1 1.8 20.4610369 25.5 16.6 47.2 53.1 191.5
2004 91.8 174.5 109.7 35.8 12.4 17.8 34.9 19.2 20.6 35.3 27.1 128
2005 108.6 82.1 95.5 41.5 5 0 3.5 5.6 51.6 49.1212218 46.1342734 190.3
2006 247.7 140.3 180.4 54.9177996 18.8845264 15.874249 13.9968393 13.4562622 22.7533887 59.1 49.5961222 72.0137169
2007 159.438049 185.3 196.4 82.1 21.1506696 0 15.67646 9.8 25.4837953 46.6 55.5476569 182.6
2008 40.744271 159.6 32.6695373 15 5.40503736 4.5434504 0 0 5 15.1142221 14.195161 20.611416
TIEMPOS HUMEDOS Y SECOS
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
1964 10.007 10.001 8.531 2.731 1.006 0.409 0.319 0.845 3.000 20.000 2.726 20.200
1965 68.400 163.900 54.900 65.200 3.200 2.200 1.200 2.900 38.300 25.700 43.100 62.400
1966 160.400 41.500 117.000 3.500 19.400 0.000 0.000 0.000 49.100 173.900 64.700 95.100
1967 185.400 286.300 192.900 43.200 3.100 0.000 24.900 19.600 25.900 57.600 19.400 23.700
1968 83.400 91.200 132.100 22.200 20.300 6.000 11.100 34.400 9.000 34.200 52.100 43.800
1969 100.600 88.900 119.100 26.400 0.400 0.900 0.600 5.500 10.100 45.000 47.700 53.800
1970 126.600 91.200 107.900 52.600 30.200 7.600 0.000 0.000 47.800 30.500 7.500 88.100
1971 129.000 198.200 169.000 82.300 13.200 0.000 0.000 7.600 5.800 20.400 62.500 73.800
1972 109.000 106.200 195.200 40.900 0.000 0.000 6.200 0.900 34.400 66.400 30.000 78.400
1973 141.100 134.600 138.400 68.700 0.000 4.300 4.500 25.400 49.800 23.700 32.300 129.400
1974 233.700 209.800 96.000 42.500 8.700 13.100 5.600 90.300 6.100 9.000 34.100 32.000
1975 96.800 101.900 137.200 1.800 65.600 0.000 0.000 0.000 28.900 15.100 23.200 137.800
1976 211.300 142.900 157.800 29.200 1.000 0.000 21.400 4.600 156.900 0.000 0.000 80.500
1977 16.500 202.000 82.600 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.200 1.000 8.800 7.800 136.800 33.500
1978 103.800 75.500 72.500 8.600 4.200 0.000 0.000 1.400 0.000 2.400 33.500 47.400
1979 24.000 44.700 207.500 1.600 0.000 8.100 0.000 22.900 0.000 14.200 11.400 59.488
1980 52.975 24.200 91.100 1.900 0.000 2.400 26.300 3.800 16.700 18.600 19.300 24.400
1981 148.385 410.200 45.800 40.499 1.200 6.060 0.000 61.700 37.170 11.200 67.200 43.300
1982 151.300 54.540 22.400 41.500 13.900 6.500 0.000 4.611 13.671 19.295 14.865 41.912
1993 49.419 49.390 42.134 13.488 19.200 6.200 5.950 7.200 19.200 17.473 13.461 155.600
1994 211.000 197.000 147.800 56.800 5.700 5.913 4.622 12.233 6.800 51.193 39.440 111.202
1995 129.100 84.542 72.122 33.100 8.502 3.455 0.800 3.900 17.300 43.200 73.100 64.700
1996 265.000 195.000 157.700 80.200 4.600 1.500 4.000 14.600 6.500 8.500 26.300 80.200
1997 189.200 114.100 119.400 17.200 27.700 0.000 7.000 50.300 34.800 20.700 99.700 116.700
1998 184.200 182.700 153.500 25.000 0.000 6.830 5.339 1.600 5.500 19.500 56.200 93.800
1999 80.600 239.600 200.100 106.300 4.100 6.100 4.400 3.500 69.100 63.800 24.800 89.000
2000 165.900 237.400 135.100 18.400 37.600 5.400 8.100 31.300 8.000 77.100 13.900 146.400
2001 239.900 126.600 140.700 58.300 34.400 10.100 14.100 13.900 43.200 30.600 74.400 42.700
2002 98.400 149.000 126.300 57.100 11.900 5.200 52.300 19.700 63.900 26.500 47.100 136.200
2003 171.600 155.800 163.200 62.400 18.500 0.000 7.000 30.200 21.300 41.000 37.300 106.900
2004 73.600 138.500 125.800 26.700 0.000 31.200 15.700 16.400 29.200 41.800 41.900 158.400
2005 49.500 69.900 110.100 49.100 9.400 0.000 5.000 21.900 58.300 50.600 27.800 116.500
2006 229.000 140.000 135.400 69.000 0.000 17.400 0.000 33.900 11.000 69.120 78.000 130.300
2007 88.700 143.900 184.100 85.100 7.800 0.600 0.000 14.000 33.400 30.800 40.700 187.200
2008 230.000 148.100 94.500 15.400 2.600 5.000 0.000 3.800 0.600 33.500 31.100 156.800
2009 129.900 176.000 71.036 53.800 8.374 3.403 2.660 7.039 20.871 29.458 22.695 63.989
4.3 PRECIPITACIÓN TOTAL ANUAL MEDIA AREAL DE LA CUENCA (sebas)
Tabla N°1
ESTACION PAMPAS
Año Ppmax. # de Pp.max Ln.(Pp. probab Dist.N Dist.L METODO GUMBEL
24h orde .24h max.) ilidad ormal n.Nor Y.varia P(X<x) P(Xx)
(n) Ordena mal b.redu
do c.
1999 23.8 1 32.6 3.48 0.09 30.61 3.43 2.82 0.94 0.06
2000 30.3 2 30.3 3.41 0.18 28.55 3.35 2.21 0.90 0.10
2001 27.2 3 27.2 3.30 0.27 27.08 3.29 1.38 0.78 0.22
2002 20.5 4 25.9 3.25 0.36 25.85 3.24 1.04 0.70 0.30
2003 17.2 5 23.8 3.17 0.45 24.71 3.19 0.48 0.54 0.46
2004 25.9 6 22.2 3.10 0.55 23.61 3.14 0.06 0.39 0.61
2005 22.1 7 22.1 3.10 0.64 22.47 3.10 0.03 0.38 0.62
2006 32.6 8 20.5 3.02 0.73 21.24 3.05 -0.39 0.23 0.77
2007 22.2 9 19.8 2.99 0.82 19.77 2.99 -0.58 0.17 0.83
2008 19.8 10 17.2 2.84 0.91 17.71 2.90 -1.27 0.03 0.97
x 24.16 α 3.77
s 4.83 β 21.98
Distribucion Normal
35.00
30.00 y = 0.8197x + 4.3554
R² = 0.9728
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Distribucion Log-Normal
3.50
3.40
3.30 y = 0.8259x + 0.5514
R² = 0.9875
3.20
3.10
3.00
2.90
2.80
2.50 2.70 2.90 3.10 3.30 3.50 3.70
Probabilidad vs P. Gumbel
1.20
y = 0.1007x - 0.1539
1.00
R² = 0.9875
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
-0.20
Tabla N°2
ESTACION HUANCAVELICA
Año Ppm # Pp.ma Ln.(P prob Dist. Dist.Ln. METODO GUMBEL
ax.24 de x.24h. p.ma abili Nor Normal Y.varia P(X<x) P(Xx
h or . x.) dad mal b.redu )
de Orden c.
n ado
1999 16.9 1 30.4 3.41 0.09 27.84 3.33 2.78 0.94 0.06
2000 12.4 2 28.3 3.34 0.18 24.96 3.18 2.38 0.91 0.09
2001 28.3 3 26.2 3.27 0.27 22.91 3.08 1.98 0.87 0.13
2002 26.2 4 16.9 2.83 0.36 21.18 3.00 0.21 0.44 0.56
2003 30.4 5 16.5 2.80 0.45 19.60 2.92 0.13 0.42 0.58
2004 15.2 6 15.2 2.72 0.55 18.06 2.85 -0.11 0.33 0.67
2005 13.2 7 15.2 2.72 0.64 16.48 2.77 -0.11 0.33 0.67
2006 14 8 14 2.64 0.73 14.75 2.68 -0.34 0.25 0.75
2007 15.2 9 13.2 2.58 0.82 12.70 2.58 -0.49 0.19 0.81
2008 16.5 10 12.4 2.52 0.91 9.82 2.44 -0.65 0.15 0.85
x 18.83 α 5.26
s 6.75 β 15.79
Distribucion Normal
30.00
y = 0.7553x + 4.6072
25.00 R² = 0.826
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Distribucion Log-Normal
3.40
3.20
y = 0.7769x + 0.6431
3.00 R² = 0.874
2.80
2.60
2.40
2.20
2.00
2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50
Probabilidad vs P. Gumbel
1.00
y = 0.0949x - 0.0992
0.80 R² = 0.9076
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
-0.20
Tabla N°3
ESTACION PILCACHA
Año Ppma N° Pp.m Ln.(Pp prob Dist.No Dist.L METODO GUMBEL
x.24h ax.24 .max.) abilid rmal n.Nor Y.vari P(X< P(X
h.. ad mal ab.red x) x)
Orde uc.
nado
1999 22.8 1 45.2 3.81 0.09 39.89 3.69 3.22 0.96 0.04
2000 26.2 2 36.8 3.61 0.18 36.75 3.59 1.75 0.84 0.16
2001 36.8 3 33.8 3.52 0.27 34.51 3.52 1.23 0.75 0.25
2002 32 4 32 3.47 0.36 32.63 3.46 0.92 0.67 0.33
2003 22.4 5 31.4 3.45 0.45 30.90 3.40 0.81 0.64 0.36
2004 22.2 6 27.8 3.33 0.55 29.22 3.35 0.18 0.43 0.57
2005 31.4 7 26.2 3.27 0.64 27.49 3.30 -0.10 0.33 0.67
2006 27.8 8 22.8 3.13 0.73 25.61 3.24 -0.69 0.14 0.86
2007 33.8 9 22.4 3.11 0.82 23.37 3.16 -0.76 0.12 0.88
2008 45.2 10 22.2 3.10 0.91 20.23 3.06 -0.79 0.11 0.89
X 30.06 X 3.38 α 5.74
S 7.36 S 0.2357 β 26.75
35137
Distribucion Log-Normal
4.00
3.80
3.60
y = 0.8116x + 0.6362
3.40 R² = 0.9537
3.20
3.00
2.80
2.60
2.40
2.20
2.00
2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00
Probabilidad vs P. Gumbel
1.20
y = 0.1x - 0.1445
1.00
R² = 0.9742
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
-0.20
Suma % Sumatoria Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre Promedio
Año
anual de PP anual Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % Pp % anual
1200.00 236.6 1922 19.7 100.0 60.2 305.3 105.2 533.5 12.3 62.2 6.0 30.2 4.2 21.4 3.2 16.1 3.0 15.3 2.4 12.3 4.0 20.2 2.4 12.1 14.1 71.4 19.7
1200.00 240.0 1923 30.6 152.9 44.0 220.2 75.8 379.1 43.8 218.8 15.1 75.7 4.0 20.1 3.0 15.2 2.2 11.1 2.3 11.3 2.7 13.3 3.6 17.8 12.9 64.6 20.0
1200.00 150.3 1924 17.9 143.3 32.6 260.2 28.2 225.4 24.3 193.9 14.5 115.5 8.7 69.6 4.9 39.5 3.3 26.5 2.4 18.8 3.4 27.4 2.9 22.8 7.1 57.0 12.5
1200.00 252.2 1925 16.0 76.3 65.4 311.2 87.8 417.7 27.2 129.2 10.0 47.7 5.9 27.9 4.0 19.1 3.0 14.5 2.8 13.2 3.2 15.0 7.4 35.3 19.5 93.0 21.0
1200.00 272.8 1926 29.1 127.8 76.4 336.1 82.2 361.7 38.5 169.5 13.9 61.3 5.1 22.4 3.6 16.0 2.2 9.8 2.3 10.2 2.7 11.8 3.8 16.8 12.8 56.5 22.7
1200.00 279.4 1927 39.9 171.3 91.3 392.2 65.9 282.9 26.6 114.2 17.3 74.2 6.8 29.1 4.2 18.0 2.5 10.9 1.8 7.7 2.5 10.7 4.3 18.5 16.4 70.4 23.3
1200.00 244.8 1928 23.9 117.2 50.4 247.0 74.0 362.6 52.6 258.0 13.0 63.7 6.3 31.0 3.6 17.5 1.9 9.5 2.6 12.8 3.5 17.1 5.3 25.8 7.7 37.7 20.4
1200.00 217.0 1929 69.0 381.5 29.2 161.2 53.8 297.5 28.3 156.5 17.8 98.2 5.3 29.3 1.5 8.1 0.6 3.0 1.5 8.1 1.3 7.4 1.9 10.6 7.0 38.5 18.1
1200.00 60.9 1930 19.0 374.6 5.6 109.9 11.5 226.9 10.0 196.0 4.1 80.0 1.0 18.8 1.2 23.8 0.9 17.5 1.2 23.3 2.8 54.3 2.0 40.1 1.8 34.8 5.1
1200.00 375.6 1931 38.6 123.4 105.4 336.9 140.9 450.1 70.0 223.8 11.6 37.0 3.7 11.7 1.0 3.1 0.8 2.5 0.8 2.4 0.8 2.7 0.9 3.0 1.1 3.5 31.3
1200.00 447.0 1932 41.3 110.8 102.2 274.5 185.9 499.2 65.1 174.6 15.2 40.7 5.0 13.3 2.7 7.3 2.2 5.9 0.7 1.9 1.6 4.2 3.7 9.8 21.5 57.7 37.2
1200.00 479.5 1933 125.0 312.8 99.8 249.8 179.2 448.5 41.5 103.8 7.7 19.4 2.5 6.2 1.9 4.8 1.9 4.8 2.0 4.9 2.2 5.4 1.6 4.0 14.3 35.7 40.0
1200.00 325.2 1934 44.2 163.2 58.2 214.9 158.8 586.1 42.0 154.9 6.6 24.3 3.4 12.5 2.3 8.5 2.0 7.4 1.7 6.4 1.8 6.5 2.3 8.4 1.9 6.9 27.1
1200.00 348.0 1935 170.4 587.6 48.1 165.8 41.2 142.0 14.5 49.8 7.0 24.1 4.0 13.7 1.8 6.2 1.6 5.6 1.9 6.6 1.9 6.5 2.1 7.2 53.6 184.9 29.0
1200.00 199.6 1936 33.6 201.7 57.4 345.1 53.5 321.7 21.1 126.7 12.1 72.9 4.7 28.4 3.7 22.1 3.5 21.2 1.5 9.3 4.2 25.5 1.8 10.9 2.4 14.3 16.6
1200.00 331.2 1937 20.6 74.6 124.6 451.3 84.2 305.1 57.3 207.5 8.8 31.8 3.5 12.9 3.1 11.2 2.9 10.5 2.1 7.8 1.8 6.5 5.5 20.0 16.8 60.8 27.6
1200.00 407.7 1938 23.1 68.0 116.2 342.1 160.1 471.3 70.3 206.8 19.8 58.4 5.6 16.4 3.2 9.3 2.4 7.1 2.0 5.9 1.8 5.2 1.4 4.2 1.8 5.2 34.0
1200.00 223.4 1939 47.0 252.3 45.7 245.8 68.9 370.1 29.9 160.5 7.2 38.8 3.1 16.7 2.5 13.4 2.1 11.4 2.1 11.1 1.9 10.0 2.4 13.0 10.6 57.0 18.6
1200.00 216.0 1940 67.5 375.3 63.4 352.0 54.0 300.2 6.1 33.7 4.6 25.3 2.8 15.8 1.2 6.5 1.1 5.9 1.7 9.4 3.0 16.4 6.2 34.6 4.5 24.8 18.0
1200.00 285.5 1941 102.0 428.5 69.7 293.1 53.6 225.3 13.5 56.8 16.1 67.8 3.0 12.8 1.8 7.6 1.7 7.0 1.2 5.1 5.9 24.8 3.9 16.6 13.0 54.8 23.8
1200.00 404.7 1942 71.6 212.2 143.6 425.9 84.4 250.2 71.3 211.5 11.5 34.0 5.3 15.7 3.4 10.1 2.8 8.3 1.6 4.8 2.3 6.7 3.6 10.7 3.4 10.0 33.7
1200.00 313.3 1943 60.1 230.1 97.2 372.3 95.8 366.8 23.9 91.6 6.9 26.5 3.8 14.5 4.2 16.1 3.0 11.3 2.1 8.2 2.5 9.6 4.9 18.8 9.0 34.5 26.1
1200.00 289.1 1944 39.5 164.0 50.3 209.0 126.7 525.8 40.2 166.9 8.3 34.6 3.1 13.0 2.1 8.9 2.0 8.3 1.9 7.7 7.8 32.4 2.8 11.5 4.3 17.8 24.1
1200.00 394.9 1945 64.2 195.0 126.9 385.7 109.3 332.0 48.2 146.4 12.6 38.2 2.9 8.8 2.3 7.0 1.9 5.9 1.8 5.5 1.8 5.4 5.1 15.4 18.0 54.7 32.9
1200.00 237.1 1946 58.9 298.1 38.4 194.5 61.3 310.3 20.5 103.7 7.3 37.0 3.3 16.6 2.3 11.6 1.7 8.7 2.0 10.3 2.9 14.5 9.8 49.7 28.6 144.9 19.8
1200.00 331.3 1947 46.2 167.2 93.7 339.2 79.5 287.8 48.0 174.0 31.3 113.3 13.2 47.7 7.9 28.5 3.5 12.6 1.5 5.6 1.7 6.0 2.2 7.9 2.8 10.2 27.6
1200.00 301.6 1948 46.5 185.2 72.0 286.5 89.1 354.4 37.6 149.5 2.8 11.3 1.9 7.6 1.9 7.6 1.9 7.4 2.3 9.2 15.1 60.2 25.0 99.4 5.4 21.7 25.1
1200.00 219.3 1949 34.6 189.2 52.5 287.4 51.2 280.3 46.6 254.8 7.3 40.2 1.9 10.2 1.6 8.9 1.6 8.7 1.8 9.9 3.4 18.4 12.5 68.5 4.3 23.7 18.3
1200.00 425.6 1950 69.8 196.8 83.7 235.9 159.3 449.3 30.0 84.6 4.1 11.7 2.2 6.2 1.8 5.0 1.6 4.5 1.6 4.5 2.9 8.3 4.5 12.8 64.0 180.5 35.5
1200.00 378.6 1951 100.3 318.0 105.0 332.7 72.1 228.4 27.0 85.7 4.1 13.1 3.6 11.6 2.8 8.8 2.4 7.7 1.6 5.1 4.1 13.1 28.1 89.2 27.4 86.8 31.6
1200.00 404.0 1952 48.9 145.3 132.4 393.3 148.1 439.9 33.2 98.6 9.8 29.2 3.9 11.7 3.0 9.0 2.1 6.3 2.4 7.2 3.8 11.2 4.6 13.7 11.6 34.4 33.7
1200.00 348.0 1953 71.9 247.8 103.4 356.6 124.6 429.5 4.9 17.0 3.0 10.4 2.5 8.7 2.1 7.3 1.9 6.7 1.8 6.1 3.6 12.3 17.5 60.4 10.8 37.2 29.0
1200.00 432.6 1954 78.6 218.1 120.4 334.1 157.2 436.1 23.1 64.0 4.3 11.9 3.0 8.3 2.7 7.6 2.6 7.3 1.8 5.0 5.4 15.0 19.0 52.6 14.4 40.1 36.0
1200.00 319.0 1955 32.7 122.9 157.1 591.0 66.9 251.5 35.4 133.0 5.2 19.5 2.8 10.6 2.4 9.0 2.0 7.6 2.2 8.1 5.4 20.4 2.7 10.3 4.3 16.1 26.6
1200.00 307.4 1956 16.6 64.7 124.4 485.7 106.2 414.6 35.8 139.8 8.4 32.7 3.1 12.1 2.3 9.1 1.7 6.7 1.7 6.7 2.8 11.1 3.3 12.9 1.0 3.7 25.6
1200.00 180.2 1957 23.6 157.2 64.8 431.8 62.6 416.8 6.4 42.8 2.8 18.4 1.8 11.9 1.2 7.7 1.0 6.4 1.1 7.5 1.7 11.5 5.3 35.6 7.9 52.3 15.0
1200.00 309.9 1958 1.4 5.5 89.4 346.1 131.8 510.6 66.6 258.1 7.1 27.4 2.6 10.1 1.2 4.5 0.8 3.0 0.8 3.0 1.8 6.8 5.0 19.3 1.5 5.8 25.8
1200.00 249.7 1959 80.0 384.2 81.2 390.2 31.3 150.4 4.4 21.1 3.4 16.5 2.7 13.0 2.0 9.8 1.2 5.5 0.7 3.6 2.5 12.0 6.6 31.8 33.7 161.8 20.8
1200.00 432.2 1960 58.3 161.9 161.2 447.5 122.4 340.0 51.1 141.8 10.2 28.4 5.3 14.8 3.9 10.7 2.3 6.3 1.1 3.1 2.7 7.6 6.9 19.3 6.7 18.5 36.0
1200.00 458.2 1961 115.7 302.9 88.3 231.3 115.5 302.5 27.2 71.2 7.4 19.3 3.9 10.3 3.0 7.8 2.7 7.0 1.5 4.0 3.5 9.2 21.8 57.0 67.8 177.6 38.2
1200.00 399.1 1962 92.2 277.2 115.8 348.2 100.1 301.0 47.1 141.7 9.3 27.9 4.5 13.6 2.9 8.9 2.4 7.4 2.4 7.1 4.2 12.5 6.7 20.2 11.4 34.3 33.3
1200.00 214.8 1963 9.8 55.0 50.9 284.1 68.6 383.1 24.0 134.3 6.8 38.1 3.0 16.7 1.6 8.9 1.7 9.3 1.8 10.0 3.7 20.9 12.9 72.2 29.9 167.3 17.9
1200.00 161.4 1964 9.8 72.6 68.8 511.8 42.6 316.7 9.5 70.7 4.9 36.4 3.6 26.9 2.9 21.9 2.4 18.0 1.1 8.3 2.1 15.9 7.3 54.4 6.2 46.2 13.4
1200.00 180.8 1965 30.9 205.0 53.8 356.7 59.4 394.2 9.9 65.8 5.9 39.1 3.1 20.3 1.8 11.7 1.2 7.6 2.0 13.3 1.5 10.0 4.5 30.2 6.9 46.0 15.1
1200.00 650.1 1966 58.1 107.2 259.8 479.6 232.5 429.2 32.2 59.5 9.9 18.3 5.7 10.5 4.4 8.2 3.6 6.7 1.0 1.8 8.4 15.6 7.1 13.2 27.3 50.4 54.2
1200.00 182.6 1967 33.9 222.5 25.9 170.4 69.9 459.1 13.7 90.2 4.5 29.5 3.8 25.1 2.7 17.7 1.8 12.0 3.3 21.7 7.6 50.1 7.3 48.0 8.2 53.8 15.2
1200.00 176.7 1968 18.9 128.1 18.6 126.0 80.1 544.0 20.0 136.1 5.1 34.6 3.4 23.1 2.5 17.0 1.9 12.6 1.9 12.6 3.2 21.7 8.3 56.3 12.9 87.8 14.7
1200.00 318.6 1969 117.5 442.7 48.7 183.5 54.6 205.5 25.5 95.9 19.3 72.5 8.2 30.9 3.0 11.2 1.8 6.8 1.2 4.7 2.3 8.8 7.4 27.8 29.1 109.7 26.6
1200.00 295.8 1970 57.3 232.6 60.2 244.2 101.9 413.3 31.7 128.5 8.9 35.9 3.6 14.8 2.4 9.9 1.8 7.2 2.4 9.9 3.8 15.4 6.7 27.2 15.1 61.1 24.6
1200.00 531.3 1971 63.7 143.8 149.9 338.7 217.8 492.0 49.9 112.7 10.4 23.5 5.2 11.8 3.6 8.2 2.2 5.0 1.5 3.3 4.3 9.7 6.7 15.1 16.0 36.2 44.3
1200.00 203.4 1972 32.7 193.1 27.7 163.4 79.9 471.1 25.1 147.9 8.7 51.4 4.8 28.0 2.6 15.2 1.8 10.4 1.9 11.1 3.8 22.5 7.1 42.1 7.4 43.7 17.0
1200.00 266.9 1973 67.0 301.2 79.9 359.3 56.9 255.7 23.3 104.9 7.8 35.1 3.2 14.6 5.9 26.5 1.7 7.7 1.6 7.1 1.3 6.0 5.9 26.5 12.3 55.4 22.2
43.0 1974 4.6 9.7 5.9 2.6 2.0 1.7 2.8 1.8 6.1 5.8
56.9 1975 12.4 11.3 2.5 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.7 18.3 7.7
1200.00 178.2 1976 10.5 70.4 52.4 352.5 71.4 480.5 12.8 86.0 2.2 14.9 1.6 10.6 1.2 7.9 0.7 5.0 0.7 4.5 1.4 9.3 11.0 73.7 12.6 84.7 14.9
1200.00 102.3 1977 14.7 173.0 21.6 253.9 43.0 504.5 10.6 123.8 2.3 26.7 1.1 12.7 0.6 6.6 0.6 6.5 1.2 14.0 0.9 10.3 3.7 43.6 2.1 24.3 8.5
1200.00 253.1 1978 31.9 151.0 102.4 485.3 61.5 291.5 29.7 140.6 4.1 19.2 1.2 5.7 0.9 4.4 0.8 3.7 0.6 2.8 4.8 22.8 1.5 7.1 13.9 65.9 21.1
1200.00 250.7 1979 36.1 172.6 91.1 435.9 58.8 281.4 16.7 80.0 3.4 16.4 1.9 9.2 1.5 7.3 1.2 5.9 1.5 7.3 2.5 12.0 6.9 32.9 29.1 139.1 20.9
1200.00 212.4 1980 13.1 74.0 7.0 39.3 59.7 337.3 102.0 575.9 3.4 19.0 0.9 5.1 1.0 5.8 0.7 4.0 1.6 8.9 4.1 23.2 12.7 71.7 6.3 35.8 17.7
1200.00 598.8 1981 57.2 114.7 333.0 667.4 144.1 288.7 36.8 73.6 9.8 19.6 4.1 8.3 2.2 4.4 1.4 2.8 0.6 1.2 1.1 2.2 0.8 1.5 7.8 15.5 49.9
297.2 1982 79.3 81.1 51.7 12.2 5.6 2.1 1.9 1.1 12.7 14.5 34.8
475.1 1983 113.1 179.4 90.2 49.7 18.2 7.3 3.3 3.1 1.5 3.6 5.6
1200.00 239.2 1984 107.8 540.5 52.8 265.0 22.1 110.7 8.0 40.2 1.8 9.1 2.2 11.0 1.3 6.5 0.8 3.9 2.9 14.5 3.9 19.4 7.2 35.9 28.6 143.2 19.9
1200.00 296.8 1985 44.8 181.1 108.1 437.0 53.0 214.4 52.0 210.3 14.1 57.0 5.3 21.5 2.0 8.0 0.9 3.7 1.1 4.4 2.4 9.5 4.7 18.9 8.5 34.2 24.7
388.3 1986 109.8 102.5 74.3 58.6 12.5 8.7 1.9 1.0 1.7 3.9 13.5
134.1 1987 16.1 32.1 57.3 7.9 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.7 2.1 4.4 4.0 5.3
Senero 202.80 Sfebrero 319.89 Smarzo 357.64 Sabril 134.54 Smayo 38.08 Sjunio 16.89 Sjulio 11.40 Sagosto 8.33 Ssetiembre 8.04 Soctubre 15.01 Snoviembre 29.11 Sdiciembre 58.27
Con el procedimiento anterior se calcula los siguientes caudales faltantes.
Año Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre
1922 19.7 60.2 105.2 12.3 6.0 4.2 3.2 3.0 2.4 4.0 2.4 14.1
1923 30.6 44.0 75.8 43.8 15.1 4.0 3.0 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.6 12.9
1924 17.9 32.6 28.2 24.3 14.5 8.7 4.9 3.3 2.4 3.4 2.9 7.1
1925 16.0 65.4 87.8 27.2 10.0 5.9 4.0 3.0 2.8 3.2 7.4 19.5
1926 29.1 76.4 82.2 38.5 13.9 5.1 3.6 2.2 2.3 2.7 3.8 12.8
1927 39.9 91.3 65.9 26.6 17.3 6.8 4.2 2.5 1.8 2.5 4.3 16.4
1928 23.9 50.4 74.0 52.6 13.0 6.3 3.6 1.9 2.6 3.5 5.3 7.7
1929 69.0 29.2 53.8 28.3 17.8 5.3 1.5 0.6 1.5 1.3 1.9 7.0
1930 19.0 5.6 11.5 10.0 4.1 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.2 2.8 2.0 1.8
1931 38.6 105.4 140.9 70.0 11.6 3.7 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1
1932 41.3 102.2 185.9 65.1 15.2 5.0 2.7 2.2 0.7 1.6 3.7 21.5
1933 125.0 99.8 179.2 41.5 7.7 2.5 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 1.6 14.3
1934 44.2 58.2 158.8 42.0 6.6 3.4 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.8 2.3 1.9
1935 170.4 48.1 41.2 14.5 7.0 4.0 1.8 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.1 53.6
1936 33.6 57.4 53.5 21.1 12.1 4.7 3.7 3.5 1.5 4.2 1.8 2.4
1937 20.6 124.6 84.2 57.3 8.8 3.5 3.1 2.9 2.1 1.8 5.5 16.8
1938 23.1 116.2 160.1 70.3 19.8 5.6 3.2 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.8
1939 47.0 45.7 68.9 29.9 7.2 3.1 2.5 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.4 10.6
1940 67.5 63.4 54.0 6.1 4.6 2.8 1.2 1.1 1.7 3.0 6.2 4.5
1941 102.0 69.7 53.6 13.5 16.1 3.0 1.8 1.7 1.2 5.9 3.9 13.0
1942 71.6 143.6 84.4 71.3 11.5 5.3 3.4 2.8 1.6 2.3 3.6 3.4
1943 60.1 97.2 95.8 23.9 6.9 3.8 4.2 3.0 2.1 2.5 4.9 9.0
1944 39.5 50.3 126.7 40.2 8.3 3.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 7.8 2.8 4.3
1945 64.2 126.9 109.3 48.2 12.6 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.8 1.8 5.1 18.0
1946 58.9 38.4 61.3 20.5 7.3 3.3 2.3 1.7 2.0 2.9 9.8 28.6
1947 46.2 93.7 79.5 48.0 31.3 13.2 7.9 3.5 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.8
1948 46.5 72.0 89.1 37.6 2.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.3 15.1 25.0 5.4
1949 34.6 52.5 51.2 46.6 7.3 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.8 3.4 12.5 4.3
1950 69.8 83.7 159.3 30.0 4.1 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.9 4.5 64.0
1951 100.3 105.0 72.1 27.0 4.1 3.6 2.8 2.4 1.6 4.1 28.1 27.4
1952 48.9 132.4 148.1 33.2 9.8 3.9 3.0 2.1 2.4 3.8 4.6 11.6
1953 71.9 103.4 124.6 4.9 3.0 2.5 2.1 1.9 1.8 3.6 17.5 10.8
1954 78.6 120.4 157.2 23.1 4.3 3.0 2.7 2.6 1.8 5.4 19.0 14.4
1955 32.7 157.1 66.9 35.4 5.2 2.8 2.4 2.0 2.2 5.4 2.7 4.3
1956 16.6 124.4 106.2 35.8 8.4 3.1 2.3 1.7 1.7 2.8 3.3 1.0
1957 23.6 64.8 62.6 6.4 2.8 1.8 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.7 5.3 7.9
1958 1.4 89.4 131.8 66.6 7.1 2.6 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.8 5.0 1.5
1959 80.0 81.2 31.3 4.4 3.4 2.7 2.0 1.2 0.7 2.5 6.6 33.7
1960 58.3 161.2 122.4 51.1 10.2 5.3 3.9 2.3 1.1 2.7 6.9 6.7
1961 115.7 88.3 115.5 27.2 7.4 3.9 3.0 2.7 1.5 3.5 21.8 67.8
1962 92.2 115.8 100.1 47.1 9.3 4.5 2.9 2.4 2.4 4.2 6.7 11.4
1963 9.8 50.9 68.6 24.0 6.8 3.0 1.6 1.7 1.8 3.7 12.9 29.9
1964 9.8 68.8 42.6 9.5 4.9 3.6 2.9 2.4 1.1 2.1 7.3 6.2
1965 30.9 53.8 59.4 9.9 5.9 3.1 1.8 1.2 2.0 1.5 4.5 6.9
1966 58.1 259.8 232.5 32.2 9.9 5.7 4.4 3.6 1.0 8.4 7.1 27.3
1967 33.9 25.9 69.9 13.7 4.5 3.8 2.7 1.8 3.3 7.6 7.3 8.2
1968 18.9 18.6 80.1 20.0 5.1 3.4 2.5 1.9 1.9 3.2 8.3 12.9
1969 117.5 48.7 54.6 25.5 19.3 8.2 3.0 1.8 1.2 2.3 7.4 29.1
1970 57.3 60.2 101.9 31.7 8.9 3.6 2.4 1.8 2.4 3.8 6.7 15.1
1971 63.7 149.9 217.8 49.9 10.4 5.2 3.6 2.2 1.5 4.3 6.7 16.0
1972 32.7 27.7 79.9 25.1 8.7 4.8 2.6 1.8 1.9 3.8 7.1 7.4
1973 67.0 79.9 56.9 23.3 7.8 3.2 5.9 1.7 1.6 1.3 5.9 12.3
1974 4.6 26.3 29.5 9.7 5.9 2.6 2.0 1.7 2.8 1.8 6.1 5.8
1975 17.0 26.9 12.4 11.3 2.5 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.7 18.3 7.7
1976 10.5 52.4 71.4 12.8 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.7 1.4 11.0 12.6
1977 14.7 21.6 43.0 10.6 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.6 1.2 0.9 3.7 2.1
1978 31.9 102.4 61.5 29.7 4.1 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.6 4.8 1.5 13.9
1979 36.1 91.1 58.8 16.7 3.4 1.9 1.5 1.2 1.5 2.5 6.9 29.1
1980 13.1 7.0 59.7 102.0 3.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.6 4.1 12.7 6.3
1981 57.2 333.0 144.1 36.8 9.8 4.1 2.2 1.4 0.6 1.1 0.8 7.8
1982 60.4 79.3 81.1 51.7 12.2 5.6 2.1 1.9 1.1 12.7 14.5 34.8
1983 113.1 179.4 90.2 49.7 18.2 7.3 3.3 3.1 1.5 3.6 5.6 24.2
1984 107.8 52.8 22.1 8.0 1.8 2.2 1.3 0.8 2.9 3.9 7.2 28.6
1985 44.8 108.1 53.0 52.0 14.1 5.3 2.0 0.9 1.1 2.4 4.7 8.5
1986 109.8 102.5 74.3 58.6 12.5 8.7 3.7 1.9 1.0 1.7 3.9 13.5
1987 16.1 32.1 57.3 7.9 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.7 2.1 4.4 4.0 5.3
5.2 ANÁLISIS DE CONSISTENCIA
Se grafica los caudales en el tiempo y se grafica para elegir dos grupos de comparación para la prueba
T student y fissher
Caudal
700.0
600.0
500.0
400.0
Caudal
300.0
200.0
100.0
0.0
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Aplicando T student
Primer grupo ( 1965-1976) Segundo grupo (1977-1988)
n1= 33 n2= 33
Promedio1= 305.2 Promedio2= 289.5
Desv. Estd.1 = 93.9237087 Desv. Estd.2 = 141.528594
S1^2 8821.66305 S2^2 20030.343
Td= 0.5253969
Ttb= 1.99772963
Td <Ttbl Es consistente
Aplicando Fisher
Aplcando Fisher
Fd= 2.27058582
Ftb= 1.80448161
Fd >Ftabla no es consistente
Se observa que el grupo de datos seleccionados no son consistentes porque existe mucha variación.
Probabilidad Distr.
Año Suma Ppmax #orden Ln(PpMax) Distr.Normal
Empirica LogNormal
1922 19.7 54.2 1.0 0.015 3.99 46.40 4.09
1923 20.0 49.9 2.0 0.030 3.91 43.52 3.96
1924 5.3 Análisis
12.5 de frecuencia44.3 3.0 0.045 3.79 41.68 3.88
1925 21.0 41.6 4.0 0.060 3.73 40.28 3.82
1926 22.7 40.0 5.0 0.075 3.69 39.13 3.77
1927 23.3
Se realiza a los datos
38.2para poder6.0realizar el análisis
0.090 de distribución
3.64 lineal y Log-normal.
38.15 3.72
1928 20.4
El método que más37.2 se ajuste a 7.0
una recta sera usado
0.104 para hallar el caudal a difrentes
3.62 37.29 probabilidades.
3.68
1929 18.1 36.0 8.0 0.119 3.58 36.50 3.65
1930 5.1 36.0 9.0 0.134 3.58 35.79 3.62
1931 31.3 35.5 10.0 0.149 3.57 35.13 3.59
1932 37.2 34.0 11.0 0.164 3.53 34.51 3.56
1933 40.0 33.7 12.0 0.179 3.52 33.92 3.53
1934 27.1 33.7 13.0 0.194 3.52 33.37 3.51
1935 29.0 33.3 14.0 0.209 3.50 32.84 3.48
1936 16.6 32.9 15.0 0.224 3.49 32.34 3.46
1937 27.6 32.7 16.0 0.239 3.49 31.85 3.44
1938 34.0 31.6 17.0 0.254 3.45 31.38 3.42
1939 18.6 31.3 18.0 0.269 3.44 30.92 3.40
1940 18.0 29.8 19.0 0.284 3.39 30.48 3.38
1941 23.8 29.0 20.0 0.299 3.37 30.04 3.36
1942 33.7 29.0 21.0 0.313 3.37 29.62 3.34
1943 26.1 27.6 22.0 0.328 3.32 29.20 3.32
1944 24.1 27.6 23.0 0.343 3.32 28.80 3.30
1945 32.9 27.1 24.0 0.358 3.30 28.39 3.28
1946 19.8 26.6 25.0 0.373 3.28 28.00 3.27
1947 27.6 26.6 26.0 0.388 3.28 27.61 3.25
1948 25.1 26.1 27.0 0.403 3.26 27.22 3.23
1949 18.3 25.8 28.0 0.418 3.25 26.84 3.21
1950 35.5 25.6 29.0 0.433 3.24 26.46 3.20
1951 31.6 25.1 30.0 0.448 3.22 26.09 3.18
1952 33.7 24.7 31.0 0.463 3.21 25.71 3.16
1953 29.0 24.6 32.0 0.478 3.20 25.34 3.15
1954 36.0 24.1 33.0 0.493 3.18 24.97 3.13
1955 26.6 23.8 34.0 0.507 3.17 24.59 3.11
1956 25.6 23.3 35.0 0.522 3.15 24.22 3.10
1957 15.0 22.7 36.0 0.537 3.12 23.85 3.08
1958 25.8 22.2 37.0 0.552 3.10 23.47 3.06
1959 20.8 21.1 38.0 0.567 3.05 23.10 3.05
1960 36.0 21.0 39.0 0.582 3.05 22.72 3.03
1961 38.2 20.9 40.0 0.597 3.04 22.33 3.01
1962 33.3 20.8 41.0 0.612 3.04 21.95 2.99
1963 17.9 20.4 42.0 0.627 3.02 21.56 2.98
1964 13.4 20.0 43.0 0.642 3.00 21.16 2.96
1965 15.1 19.9 44.0 0.657 2.99 20.76 2.94
1966 54.2 19.8 45.0 0.672 2.98 20.36 2.92
1967 15.2 19.7 46.0 0.687 2.98 19.94 2.90
1968 14.7 18.6 47.0 0.701 2.92 19.52 2.88
1969 26.6 18.3 48.0 0.716 2.91 19.08 2.87
1970 24.6 18.1 49.0 0.731 2.89 18.64 2.85
1971 44.3 18.0 50.0 0.746 2.89 18.18 2.83
1972 17.0 17.9 51.0 0.761 2.88 17.71 2.80
1973 22.2 17.7 52.0 0.776 2.87 17.22 2.78
1974 8.2 17.0 53.0 0.791 2.83 16.72 2.76
1975 8.4 16.6 54.0 0.806 2.81 16.19 2.74
1976 14.9 15.2 55.0 0.821 2.72 15.63 2.71
1977 8.5 15.1 56.0 0.836 2.71 15.05 2.68
1978 21.1 15.0 57.0 0.851 2.71 14.43 2.66
1979 20.9 14.9 58.0 0.866 2.70 13.77 2.63
1980 17.7 14.7 59.0 0.881 2.69 13.05 2.59
1981 49.9 13.4 60.0 0.896 2.60 12.27 2.56
1982 29.8 12.5 61.0 0.910 2.53 11.41 2.52
1983 41.6 11.2 62.0 0.925 2.41 10.42 2.48
1984 19.9 8.5 63.0 0.940 2.14 9.28 2.42
1985 24.7 8.4 64.0 0.955 2.13 7.88 2.36
1986 32.7 8.2 65.0 0.970 2.11 6.04 2.28
1987 11.2 5.1 66.0 0.985 1.62 3.16 2.15
Promedio= 24.8 Promedio= 3.1
Desv.Est.= 9.953797208 Desv.Est.= 0.447305811
Distribución Normal
60.00
50.00
R² = 0.9753
40.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0
Distribución LogNormal
4.50
4.00
R² = 0.9542
3.50
Distribución LogNormal
3.00
Linear (Distribución
LogNormal)
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50
Como el método que más se ajusta a una recta es la distribución normal, se utilizara este
método para hallar los caudales a diferentes probabilidades del registro que se tiene.
Distr.Norm.Inv
Probabilidad
(Caudal m3/dia)
0.05 8.4
0.10 12.0
0.15 14.5
0.20 16.4
0.25 18.1
0.30 19.6
0.35 20.9
0.40 22.3
0.45 23.5
0.50 24.8
0.55 26.0
0.60 27.3
0.65 28.6
0.70 30.0
0.75 31.5
0.80 33.2
0.85 35.1
0.90 37.5
0.95 41.2
Se ha determinado la demanda de agua de los cultivos a nivel de las subcuencas Alto Pampas, Bajo
Pampas, Caracha, Chicha, Medio Pampas, Sondondo y Torobamba, la metodología consistió en
obtener la cedula de cultivos, coeficientes de cultivo Kc, y la determinación de la demanda de agua.
Cuadro: Área total y bajo riego a nivel de comisión de regantes y por unidad hidrográfica
Fuente: ALA Ayacucho, Andahuaylas y Apurímac
Se ha determinado la demanda de agua para cada una de las subcuencas de la cuenca del río
Pampas, en función al área bajo riego, coeficientes de cultivo, evapotranspiración potencial,
precipitación efectiva y eficiencia de riego. En los Cuadros N°6.2 al 6.8 se presenta la demanda
hídrica a nivel mensualizado y su variación, mayor detalle se muestra en el Anexo V- Información
de Demanda de Agua; en el siguiente cuadro se muestra el resumen de demandas para una
superficie total de 30 982,19 ha.
6.1.2 Cedulas de cultivos y coeficiente de cultivos
ABANCAY
ACCNOCOCHA
PACOCOCHA
HUAMANGA
ESTACION ENER FEBR MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO JULIO AGISTO SETI OCT NOV DIC
ACCNOCOCHA 77.66 78.14 75.79 75.85 73.14 74.26 81.98 78.02 79.97 92.25 89.95 85.34
PACOCOCHA 91.14 79.56 85.36 82.76 85.47 83.23 92.87 103.47 99.7 107.73 104.02 96.5
ABANCAY 125.47 112.58 121.13 115.05 110.47 104.58 116.67 132.1 130.03 161.04 148.35 130.79
HUAMANGA 134.13 114.84 113.29 112.56 108.28 98.31 101 115.02 129.09 144.38 152.48 142.32
SUB CUENCA ENER FEBR MARZO ABRIL MAYO JUNIO JULIO AGISTO SETI OCT NOV DIC
ALTO PAMPAS 84.4 78.85 80.575 79.305 79.305 78.745 87.425 90.745 89.835 99.99 96.985 90.92
MEDIO PAMPAS 125.47 112.58 121.13 115.05 110.47 104.58 116.67 132.1 130.03 161.04 148.35 130.79
BAJO PAMPAS 134.13 114.84 113.29 112.56 108.28 98.31 101 115.02 129.09 144.38 152.48 142.32
Variacion Media de la Evapotranspiración a Nivel
de Subcuenca
(mm/mes) 200
150
100
50
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
(meses del año )
Consumo
T°
promedio
PROVINCIA POBLACIÓN promedio clima
anual Q
anual
(m3/día)
La demanda de agua calculada para las 07 subcuencas del río Pampas asciende a 218,78 Hm3 ,
correspondiente a 30 982,19 ha bajo riego según área analizada; la subcuenca con mayor
demanda anual es la subcuenca Bajo Pampas con 57,35 Hm3 , correspondiente a 7 489 ha; en el
cuadro antes indicado se muestra la variación mensual de la demanda y área total
correspondiente.
REFERENCIAS BIBLIOGRAFICAS
INDICE DE TABLAS
INDICE DE FIGURAS