MODELOS MATEMÀTICOS

3500
¨X¨AÑOS "Y"
2 1001
3000
4 1035
6 1326 f(x) = 65.9785714286x + 888.4761904762
R² = 0.9835517902
8 1480 2500
10 1609
12 1765
2000
14 1876
16 1908
18 2000 1500
20 2190
22 2249
1000
24 2509
26 2503
28 2707 500
30 3004
0
n= 15 0 5 10 15 20

Modelo y=b+mx
Ecuaciones Auxiliares

Se selecciona el R^2 mas cercano a 1

¨X¨AÑOS "Y" XxY XxX y=1054.61++114.6x

2 1001 2002 4 1020.433
4 1035 4140 16 1152.390
6 1326 7956 36 1284.348
8 1480 11840 64 1416.305
10 1609 16090 100 1548.262
12 1765 21180 144 1680.219
14 1876 26264 196 1812.176
16 1908 30528 256 1944.133
18 2000 36000 324 2076.090
20 2190 43800 400 2208.048
22 2249 49478 484 2340.005
24 2509 60216 576 2471.962
26 2503 65078 676 2603.919
28 2707 75796 784 2735.876
30 3004 90120 900 2867.833
suma 240 29162 540488 4960 29162.00
 Sustituyendo datos y ordenando

15 240 b 29162
240 4960 m 540488

0.2952380952 -0.0142857 888.47619

-0.0142857143 0.00089286 65.9785714

minversa(selecciona 4 recuadros) mmult(selec matriz)

Calculo del coeficiente de correlación

¨X¨AÑOS "Y" XxY XxX y=1054.61++114.6x x-xp

2 1001 2002 4 1020.433 -14
4 1035 4140 16 1152.390 -12
6 1326 7956 36 1284.348 -10
8 1480 11840 64 1416.305 -8
10 1609 16090 100 1548.262 -6
12 1765 21180 144 1680.219 -4
14 1876 26264 196 1812.176 -2
16 1908 30528 256 1944.133 0
18 2000 36000 324 2076.090 2
20 2190 43800 400 2208.048 4
22 2249 49478 484 2340.005 6
24 2509 60216 576 2471.962 8
26 2503 65078 676 2603.919 10
28 2707 75796 784 2735.876 12
30 3004 90120 900 2867.833 14
suma 240 29162 540488 4960 16142.40 0.00
promedio 16 1944.13333

R= 0.9917418
R^2= 0.9836
888.4761904762

15 20 25 30 35
y-yp (x-xp)*(y-yp) (x-xp)^2 (y-yp)^2
-943.13333 13203.867 196 889500.4844
-909.13333 10909.600 144 826523.4178
-618.13333 6181.333 100 382088.8178
-464.13333 3713.067 64 215419.7511
-335.13333 2010.800 36 112314.3511
-179.13333 716.533 16 32088.75111
-68.133333 136.267 4 4642.151111
-36.133333 0.000 0 1305.617778
55.8666667 111.733 4 3121.084444
245.866667 983.467 16 60450.41778
304.866667 1829.200 36 92943.68444
564.866667 4518.933 64 319074.3511
558.866667 5588.667 100 312331.9511
762.866667 9154.400 144 581965.5511
1059.86667 14838.133 196 1123317.351
0.00 73896.00 1120.00 4957087.73
MODELOS MATEMÀTICOS 3500

¨X¨AÑOS "Y"
3000
2 1001
4 1035
6 1326 2500 f(x) = 858.0590944241 x^0.4138280086
R² = 0.9551840398
8 1480
10 1609
2000
12 1765
14 1876
16 1908 1500
18 2000
20 2190
1000
22 2249
24 2509
26 2503 500
28 2707
30 3004
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
n= 15

¨X¨AÑOS "Y" log(x) log(y) log(x)*log(y) log(x)^2

2 1001 0.301 3.000 0.903 0.091
4 1035 0.602 3.015 1.815 0.362
6 1326 0.778 3.123 2.430 0.606
8 1480 0.903 3.170 2.863 0.816
10 1609 1.000 3.207 3.207 1.000
12 1765 1.079 3.247 3.504 1.165
14 1876 1.146 3.273 3.752 1.314
16 1908 1.204 3.281 3.950 1.450
18 2000 1.255 3.301 4.144 1.576
20 2190 1.301 3.340 4.346 1.693
22 2249 1.342 3.352 4.500 1.802
24 2509 1.380 3.400 4.692 1.905
26 2503 1.415 3.398 4.809 2.002
28 2707 1.447 3.432 4.967 2.094
30 3004 1.477 3.478 5.137 2.182
suma 240 29162 16.632 49.017 55.02 20.06
promedio 16 1944.13333

n= 15

Modelo y=aX^b
Aplicando logaritmos Log(y)=Log(aX^b) Donde: Log(y)=y b=m
Log(y)=Log(a)+bLog(X) Log(a)=b Log(X)=x

Ecuaciones Auxiliares
y=b+mx
∑▒ 〖��� (𝑦) 〗 =𝑁���(𝑎)+𝑏∑▒
= 〖��� (𝑥) 〗

= (𝑥) 〗 +𝑏∑▒ 〖 (���(𝑥))^2 〗

∑▒ 〖 (���(𝑦)∗���(𝑥)) 〗 =���(𝑎)∑▒ 〖���

Sustituyendo Datos y Ordenando

15 16.632 log(a) 49.017

16.632 20.06 m=b 55.02

0.8280858 -0.6867076 2.80894256 a= 644.0840656556

-0.6867076 0.61932696 0.41382801 b

PROCESO PARA EL MODELO

�=(∑▒
Cálculo del coeficiente de Correlación "R" 〖 ((𝑥−𝑥𝑝)∗(𝑦−𝑦𝑝)) 〗 )/(√(∑▒(𝑥−𝑥𝑝)^2 )∗√(∑▒(𝑦−𝑦𝑝)^2 ))
Utilizando medias ariméticas de las variables

Log(x) Log(y) log(x)*Log(y)log(x)^2 y=1054.61++114.6x Log(x)-Log(x)p Log(y)-Log(y)(Log(x)-Log(x (Log(y)-Log(y(Log(x)-Log(x)p)(Log(y)-Log(y)p)

0.301 3.000 0.90322066 0.091 1089.1080375031 -0.808 -0.267 0.65248695 0.07148115 0.2159641511
0.602 3.015 1.81517496 0.362 1123.6060750062 -0.507 -0.253 0.25678203 0.0639348 0.1281300376
0.778 3.123 2.42981115 0.606 1143.786133294 -0.331 -0.145 0.10932637 0.0210976 0.048026287
0.903 3.170 2.86303161 0.816 1158.1041125093 -0.206 -0.098 0.04231523 0.00951248 0.0200629693
1.000 3.207 3.20655604 1.000 1169.21 -0.109 -0.061 0.01183671 0.00375005 0.0066624465
1.079 3.247 3.503826 1.165 1178.2841707971 -0.030 -0.021 0.00087707 0.00044306 0.0006233729
1.146 3.273 3.75154392 1.314 1185.9562728887 0.037 0.005 0.00139363 2.9585E-05 0.000203052
1.204 3.281 3.95020997 1.450 1192.6021500124 0.095 0.013 0.00908654 0.00016345 0.0012186815
1.255 3.301 4.14369219 1.576 1198.4642290848 0.146 0.033 0.02145518 0.00110465 0.0048683213
1.301 3.340 4.34601799 1.693 1203.7080375031 0.192 0.073 0.03695366 0.00527809 0.0139658412
1.342 3.352 4.49978667 1.802 1208.4516392222 0.234 0.084 0.05458113 0.00708893 0.0196703309
1.380 3.400 4.69202903 1.905 1212.7822083002 0.271 0.132 0.07366589 0.01734673 0.035747204
1.415 3.398 4.80873153 2.002 1216.7659456775 0.306 0.131 0.09374418 0.01707391 0.0400072507
1.447 3.432 4.96735295 2.094 1220.4543103918 0.338 0.165 0.11448843 0.02712431 0.0557262935
1.477 3.478 5.13698448 2.182 1223.8880957909 0.368 0.210 0.13566302 0.04406064 0.0773136465
suma 16.632 49.017 55.018 20.056 1.61465602 0.28948944 0.6681898859

Xp= 1.10879664
Yp= 3.26779366 R= 0.97733517 R^2 0.9552
 Modelos Mátematicos

"x" años y x*y x^2 x^3 x^4 x^2*y

1 1202 1202 1 1 1 1202
2 1344 2688 4 8 16 5376
3 1501 4503 9 27 81 13509
4 1480 5920 16 64 256 23680
5 1608 8040 25 125 625 40200
6 1715 10290 36 216 1296 61740
7 1811 12677 49 343 2401 88739
8 1905 15240 64 512 4096 121920
9 2008 18072 81 729 6561 162648
10 2105 21050 100 1000 10000 210500
11 2330 25630 121 1331 14641 281930
12 2450 29400 144 1728 20736 352800
13 2503 32539 169 2197 28561 423007
14 2707 37898 196 2744 38416 530572
N= 15 2897 43455 225 3375 50625 651825
120 29566 268604 1240 14400 178312 2969648

N= 15
Modelo
y=cx^2+bx+a
Ecuaciones Auxiliares

PROCESO PARA EL MODELO

Cálculo del coeficiente de Correlación "R"

Utilizando medias ariméticas de las variables

"x" años y x*y X^2*y x^2 y^2

1 1202 1202 1202 1 1444804
2 1344 2688 5376 4 1806336
 3 1501 4503 13509 9 2253001
4 1480 5920 23680 16 2190400
5 1608 8040 40200 25 2585664
6 1715 10290 61740 36 2941225
7 1811 12677 88739 49 3279721
8 1905 15240 121920 64 3629025
9 2008 18072 162648 81 4032064
10 2105 21050 210500 100 4431025
11 2330 25630 281930 121 5428900
12 2450 29400 352800 144 6002500
13 2503 32539 423007 169 6265009
14 2707 37898 530572 196 7327849
15 2897 43455 651825 225 8392609
120 29566 268604 2969648 1240 62010132

Xp= 8
Yp= 1971.06667 R^2= 0.994024242
R= 0.997007644
y^2 cx^2+bx+a y
1444804 1259.67647059
1806336 1335.44369748 700
2253001 1417.17860375
f(x) = 0.1395240789x^2 + 11.2298723335x + 197.0527472527
2190400 1504.8811894 600 R² = 0.9667578679
2585664 1598.55145443
2941225 1698.18939884 500
3279721 1803.79502262
3629025 1915.36832579 400
4032064 2032.90930834
4431025 2156.41797027 300
5428900 2285.89431157
6002500 2421.33833226 200
6265009 2562.75003232
7327849 2710.12941176 100
8392609 2863.47647059
62010132 0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Valor
b 66.8157078216
c 2.9838396897
a 1189.87692308
 1 2 4 1 1 1
1 4 16 2 4 6
1 6 36 4 16 36
2527
1 8 64
1 10 100
1 12 144 21 73 157
1 14 196 73 273 601
1 16 256 157 601 1333
1 18 324 273 1057 2353
1 20 400 421 1641 3661
1 22 484 601 2353 5257
1 24 576 813 3193 7141
1 26 676 1057 4161 9313
1 28 784 1333 5257 11773
1 30 900 1641 6481 14521
1981 7833 17557
30 35
2353 9313 20881
205 2757 10921 24493
245 3193 12657 28393
290 3661 14521 32581
315
305
347
390
420
436
454
460
590
630
623
633
 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
64 100 144 196 256 324 400 484

273 421 601 813 1057 1333 1641 1981

1057 1641 2353 3193 4161 5257 6481 7833
2353 3661 5257 7141 9313 11773 14521 17557
4161 6481 9313 12657 16513 20881 25761 31153
6481 10101 14521 19741 25761 32581 40201 48621
9313 14521 20881 28393 37057 46873 57841 69961
12657 19741 28393 38613 50401 63757 78681 95173
16513 25761 37057 50401 65793 83233 102721 124257
20881 32581 46873 63757 83233 105301 129961 157213
25761 40201 57841 78681 102721 129961 160401 194041
31153 48621 69961 95173 124257 157213 194041 234741
37057 57841 83233 113233 147841 187057 230881 279313
43473 67861 97657 132861 173473 219493 270921 327757
50401 78681 113233 154057 201153 254521 314161 380073
57841 90301 129961 176821 230881 292141 360601 436261
 1 1 1 1
24 26 28 30
576 676 784 900

2353 2757 3193 3661

9313 10921 12657 14521
20881 24493 28393 32581
37057 43473 50401 57841
57841 67861 78681 90301
83233 97657 113233 129961
113233 132861 154057 176821
147841 173473 201153 230881
187057 219493 254521 292141
230881 270921 314161 360601
279313 327757 380073 436261
332353 390001 452257 519121
390001 457653 530713 609181
452257 530713 615441 706441
519121 609181 706441 810901