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Federal budget
The budget process 16.1
Fiscal policy is the macroeconomic policy that involves the use of
taxation and spending powers through the commonwealth budget in
order in order to achieve economic objectives
Objectives include:
Stabilising the level of economic activity
Maintaining low inflation
Reducing the level of unemployment
Achieving goals relating to the distribution of income
Budget is an official document presented in may each year outlining
govts revenue and expenditure plans by varying it expenditure (G) and
revenue (T) to reach goals.
Types of budgets
Balanced budget: Planned govt revenue(T) = planned government
expenditure(G)
Budget surplus: Planned govt revenue > planned government
expenditure
Budget deficit: Planned government revenue < planned government
expenditure
The changes in a budget outcome from one year to another indicate the
stance, these include:
An expansionary fiscal policy stance: Govt may reduce taxation revenue
or increase expenditure (or both) creating a smaller surplus or larger
deficit than previously. Its aim is to increase the level of economic
activity by stimulating AD, in turn reducing unemployment but running
the chance of increasing inflation if growth is to quick.
A contractionary fiscal policy stance: Govt may increase taxation
revenue of reduce expenditure(or both) creating a smaller deficit or
larger surplus than previously. Aiming to reduce level of economic
activity by dampening AD, in turn reducing inflation but increasing
unemployment if demand is reduced to much ad firms do not need as
much resources.
A neutral fiscal policy: No change in outcome from previous years level,
therefore no affect on AD or economic activity.
Automatic stabilisers
Automatic stabilisers are policy's that that operate automatically to
counterbalance the level of economic growth and stabilise the economy.
These operate in two situations:
An increase in economic activity: When economy is growing, income
levels increase leading to rises in taxation revenue while unemployment
falls, reducing expenditure on welfare. This would trigger a smaller
deficit or larger surplus, leading to an automatic contraction in AD thus
having a stabilising affect without any govt intervention
A decrease in economic activity: When in recession, income levels fall
leading to less taxation revenue, unemployment rises leading to more
expenditure on welfare. This leads to a smaller surplus or larger deficit,
therefore stimulating AD without govt intervention.
Individuals
· Borrow mostly for personal reasons
· Most common form of borrowing is mortgage arrangement
· Bank has home as the security of the loan in case of default payments in which the bank
has the ability to sell the house to repay the debt
· Also borrow for shorter term purposes such as purchasing a car and travel
· Credit cards are loans that are mostly unsecure and therefore there is no financial assets
financial institutions can claim if borrowers default and as a result interest rates are usually
higher compared to mortgage rates
Business
· Does most borrowing of any sector in the economy
· Need funds to expand production, invest in Research and Development and complete other
special projects
· Funds can be accessed through raising equity by issuing shares or raising debt by issuing
bonds
· Also need to borrow money to overcome downturns of cash flow in the business eg.
Tourism companies
Government
· Sometimes deliberately borrow to increase level of economic activity
· Slow growth rate means the government may borrow money to increase spending or give
tax cuts to stimulate economy
· May also borrow if spending unintentionally grows quicker than revenue
· Governments also borrow to fund major infrastructure projects with the intention of the
money being paid off during the lifetime of its use
Factors Affecting the Demand for Funds
· Individuals with surplus funds must decide whether to keep in money form (currency and
bank deposits) or financial assets (bonds and shares)
· Benefit of holding money is liquidity (the ease in which a financial asset can be transformed
into cash so it can be used as a medium of exchange)
· Other benefits of having money is:
Transactions Motive – money needed to complete necessary day-to-day transactions such
as purchasing of goods and services
Precautionary Motive – unpredictable circumstances and emergencies eg. Sickness
Speculative Motive – financial assets carry risk of capital gains and losses. If losses are
expected the assets will be converted into money
· Demand for liquid funds depends on sophistication of the financial system
· In very simple financial systems individuals will want to carry more cash
· Enhanced operation of financial markets has made it easier to convert financial assets into
liquid funds
· Main opportunity cost of holding funds is the foregone returns that would’ve ben earned by
holding financial assets
· As long as the benefit of holding liquidity outweighs the costs, individuals will seek to hold
money rather than financial assets
· Financial innovation can affect consumers’ demand for liquidity and also reshape financial
markets eg. Increased use of technology to deliver financial services
· Demand for funds by business are determined by a variety of factors which include cash
flow generated by business operations, whether cash flow is sufficient to cover expenses
and general economic conditions
Lenders
· Individuals who place deposits in financial institutions are lending their money with the
intention of getting a return on it
· Some individuals may invest in assets or purchase shares
· Business may deposit funds in financial institution instead of expanding of business if
interest rates are more lucrative than investing in business expansion
· When governments have a surplus they either repay outstanding debts or maintain positive
financial balances (loan money through financial sector)
· Australia has historically low savings rate and has relied on overseas savings to finance
domestic consumption and investment
· Australia net foreign debt over $1 trillion by 2017
· Banks and other lenders in Australia were forced to raise interest rates in excess of official
increases in cash by the reserve bank to attract overseas funds to lend to borrowers in
Australia.
Monetary Policy
Monetary Policy: is a MACRO economic policy that aims to influence the cost and supply of
money in the economy in order to influence economic outcomes such as economic growth
and inflation
The RBA administer monetary policy by influencing the level of interest rates
Objectives:
· Stability of the currency
· Full employment = 5%
· Economic prosperity and welfare of the people of Australia
Inflation Target:
· Keep inflation at 2-3 percent, on average over the medium term
Reserve Bank --> Official cash rate --> Banks --> Interest Rate
Official Cash Rate: The interest rate on unsecured overnight loans between authorised
deposit-taking institutions, most important of which are the BANKS
Borrowing vs Lending
· You borrow money at 2.5% (BORROWING RATE)
· Bank lends out your money at 3% (LENDING RATE)
· Makes a profit
· Difference between the two is called INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL