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Abstract—Pharmacological treatment is indicated in children and adolescents with hypertension unresponsive to lifestyle
modifications, but there is not enough evidence to recommend 1 class of antihypertensive drugs over others. We performed
a network meta-analysis to compare the results of available randomized clinical trials on pharmacological treatment of
pediatric hypertension. From a total of 554 potentially relevant studies, 13 randomized placebo-controlled clinical trials
enrolling ≥50 patients and a follow-up ≥4 weeks were included. The reduction of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and
diastolic BP (DBP) after treatment were the coprimary end points. A total of 2378 pediatric patients, with a median age
of 12 years, were included in the analysis. After a median follow-up of 35 days, lisinopril and enalapril were found to
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be superior to placebo in reducing SBP and DBP, whereas only for DBP, losartan was found to be superior to placebo
and lisinopril and enalapril were found to be superior to eplerenone. Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and
angiotensin receptor blockers were associated with a greater SBP and DBP reduction compared with placebo, likewise
the mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist was inferior to angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors in DBP reduction. The
analysis was adjusted for study-level mean age, percentage of women, mean baseline blood pressure, and mean weight,
only the latter significantly affected DBP reduction. According to the present analysis, angiotensin-converting enzyme
inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers could represent the best choice as antihypertensive treatment for pediatric
hypertension. However, because of the paucity of available data for the other classes of antihypertensive drugs, definitive
conclusions are not allowed and further randomized controlled trials are warranted. (Hypertension. 2018;72:306-313.
DOI: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.118.10862.) Online Data Supplement •
Key Words: adolescent ◼ angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors ◼ blood pressure
◼ hypertension ◼ network meta-analysis
Received January 18, 2018; first decision February 2, 2018; revision accepted June 6, 2018.
From the Division of Internal Medicine and Hypertension (J.B., F.V., F.R., P.M., S.M.) and Division of Cardiology (F.D.A.), Department of Medical
Sciences, University of Turin, Italy; and Department of Mathematical Sciences G. L. Lagrange, Polytechnic University of Turin, Italy (E.M.E., G.S.H.).
*These authors contributed equally to this work.
†These authors contributed equally to this work.
The online-only Data Supplement is available with this article at http://hyper.ahajournals.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.
118.10862/-/DC1.
Correspondence to Silvia Monticone, Division of Internal Medicine and Hypertension, Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Via Genova
3, 10126 Torino, Italy. E-mail silvia.monticone@unito.it
© 2018 American Heart Association, Inc.
Hypertension is available at http://hyper.ahajournals.org DOI: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.118.10862
306
Burrello et al Hypertension Management in Children 307
According to the European and American Society guide- index, duration of follow-up, baseline SBP and DBP, and follow-up
lines, pharmacological treatment is indicated in hypertensive SBP and DBP for each selected study. For 1 study only δ-DBP (ie,
change from baseline, follow-up DBP−baseline DBP) was available.
children unresponsive to lifestyle modifications, as well as in
δ-SBP (ie, change from baseline, follow-up SBP−baseline SBP) and
all children with symptomatic hypertension, secondary hyper- δ-DBP were evaluated as coprimary end points.
tension, target organ damage, chronic kidney disease, or dia-
betes mellitus.1,2 Pharmacological therapy should be started Arms
with the lowest dose of a single drug then up-titrated until BP The following drugs and pharmacological classes were considered:
control or until the maximum recommended dose is reached. (1) ACE inhibitors (enalapril, fosinopril, and lisinopril); (2) ARBs
When target BP is not achieved with a single agent, a second (losartan, olmesartan, telmisartan, and valsartan); (3) calcium chan-
nel blockers (amlodipine and felodipine); (4) β-blockers (metopro-
drug should be added and up-titrated.1,2 However, the lack of
lol; bisoprolol+hydrochlorothiazide, which was included only in
head-to-head pharmacological trials does not allow to provide main NMA); and (5) mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA:
strong recommendations for any class of antihypertensive eplerenone).
medications over the others, and the choice of a particular drug
is usually driven by hypertension underlying pathogenesis (in Data Analysis
case of secondary hypertension), concurrent disorders, side Continuous variables are reported as mean or median (25th–75th
effects, and clinician’s preference.1,2 Network meta-analysis percentiles, interquartile range). Categorical variables are expressed
as n/N (%). The continuous end points were SBP and DBP and the
(NMA), allowing an integrated analysis of RCTs that com-
differences between the treatment groups were measured in terms of
pare different drugs head-to-head or with placebo whereas difference between mean changes from baseline. All the 13 (12 for
fully respecting randomization,16 can significantly influence
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Meyers, et Valsartan Placebo 245 128/117 28 Dose/kg Low 27.0 62 11.3 132 78 39
al22 withdrawal
Wells, et al23 Valsartan Placebo 245 122/123 28 Dose/kg Low NA 66 11.4 133 78 40
withdrawal
Li, et al24 Eplerenone Placebo 304 137/167 70 Standard Low/ 28.5 71 12.3 127 71 37
concurrent dose high
Hazan, et Olmesartan Placebo 286 141/145 35 Dose/kg High 28.1 71 12.3 130 78 41
al25 withdrawal
Wells, et al26 Telmisartan Placebo 73 14/59 28 Dose/kg High 28.8 75 14.0 132 79 43
concurrent
Flynn, et al29 Amlodipine Placebo 268 90/178 56 Standard High 26.6 66 12.1 138 74 NA
concurrent dose
Li, et al30 Fosinopril Placebo 221 115/106 42 Dose/kg High 29.7 74 12.1 134 72 34
withdrawal
Sorof, et al33 Bisoprolol+ Placebo 94 32/62 98 Standard High 28.3 77 13.9 134 83 43
HCTZ concurrent dose
Wells, et al34 Enalapril Placebo 101 50/51 28 Dose/kg Low NA 53 11.6 129 90 42
withdrawal
The present research was performed following the Preferred 2378 patients (1025 in the placebo group and 1353 in active
Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses amend- treatment) with a median follow-up of 35 days (28–56) were
ment37 to the Quality of Reporting of Meta-analyses statement,38 The eligible for the final analysis (Figure 1A).22–34 As detailed
Cochrane Collaboration, and Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies
in Epidemiology.39
in Table S3, in 4 studies patients affected by secondary
forms of hypertension were excluded, in 6 studies they were
Internal Validity and Quality Appraisal excluded, but not systematically (detailed description of the
Quality of included trials was explored according to Cochrane state- exclusion criteria is provided), whereas in 3 studies the pres-
ments19,36 selection bias (allocation and random sequence generation), ence of secondary hypertension was not investigated. The
performance bias (blinding of participants and personnel), detection main clinical and biochemical characteristics of the included
bias (blinding of outcome assessment), and attrition bias (incomplete patients are summarized in Table, 40% (34.4–44) were
outcome data). women, the median age of the resulting cohort was 12.1
(11.8–12.3) years, the median weight was 66.4 kg (56–73.4),
Results the median body mass index was 28.0 kg/m2 (27.0–28.5) and
The literature search resulted in the identification of 554 the median baseline SBP and DBP were, respectively, 130
potentially relevant studies: 494 were excluded because they and 83 mm Hg (128–134; 74–88).
did not fulfill all the inclusion criteria; of the 60 full text For 7 studies, the design was randomized double-blind
reports assessed, 47 were excluded because of missing data placebo withdrawal (all patients received open-label treat-
(n=9), duplicated reports (n=3), selected cohorts (n=8), not ment, then they were randomized to continue the active treat-
randomized (n=16), ongoing studies (n=1), or retrospective ment or to receive a placebo) and randomized double-blind
design (n=10). Thirteen studies (all RCTs comparing an placebo concurrent for 6 studies (after randomization, 1 arm
antihypertensive drug versus placebo), including a total of was given the treatment, the other a placebo). The treatment
Burrello et al Hypertension Management in Children 309
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Figure 1. Study design. A, Flowchart of study selection. B, Evidence network diagram. The size of each treatment node is proportional to the number of
treated patients (shown in round brackets). The randomized controlled trials comparing the drug with the placebo is reported on the arrow. Gray boxes group
drugs according to their class: β-Bs indicates β-blockers; ACE inhibitors, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors; ARBs, angiotensin receptor blockers;
CCBs, calcium channel blockers; HCTZ, hydrochlorothiazide; and MRA, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist.
strategy was different: in 4 studies (including a total of 799 both SBP (7.7 mm Hg [1.5–13.2] and 7.9 mm Hg [2–14],
patients), a weight-independent standard dose was adminis- respectively) and DBP reduction (6.6 mm Hg [1.7–11.0]
tered, in the other 9 studies (for a total of 1579 patients) a dose and 6.3 [1.6–11.0], respectively), whereas no significant
per kg strategy. For all the selected studies, the evaluated end differences were found in the NMA of studies in which
points were SBP and DBP at baseline and after treatment (for a weight-independent standard dose strategy was adopted
placebo-concurrent studies) or after treatment withdrawal (for (Figure S1B).
placebo-withdrawal studies). Among studies, including patients with a mean age
The evidence network for the main analyses (Figure 1B) >12 years, only lisinopril was associated with a significant
comprised 13 RCTs and 12 different drugs: 3 ACE inhibitors reduction in SBP and DBP compared with placebo (7.9
(enalapril,34 fosinopril,30 and lisinopril31), ARBs (losartan,28 [1.1–13.5]/6.55 [2.2–10.7]; Figure S2A). In NMA of studies,
olmesartan,25 telmisartan,26 and valsartan22,23), 2 calcium chan- including patients with a mean age ≤12 years, (Figure S2B),
nel blockers (amlodipine29 and felodipine32), 1 MRA (eplere- enalapril was associated with a reduction in SBP and DBP
none24), 1 β-blocker (metoprolol27), and an association of a compared with placebo (7.7 mm Hg [3–12.4]/6.3 mm Hg [1–
β-blocker with a thiazide diuretic (bisoprolol+hydrochloroth 11.4]); for SBP only, losartan was superior to placebo (9.3
iazide33). mm Hg [2.5–15.8]) and enalapril was superior to valsartan
In the NMA for single drug (Figure 2), lisinopril and (5.8 mm Hg [0.1–11.3]).
enalapril were associated with a significant reduction in SBP NMR analyses with covariate adjustments based on study-
and DBP compared with placebo (7.8 mm Hg [2.3–12.8]/6.6 level summary measures of age, sex, baseline weight, and
mm Hg [2.5–10.5] and 7.8 mm Hg [2.5–13.5]/6.2 mm Hg [2– baseline BP were performed to correct for potentially con-
10.6], respectively). Lisinopril and enalapril were superior founding variables: a significant effect was found for mean
also to eplerenone in DBP reduction (6.5 mm Hg [1.1–11.6] weight on DBP, whereas the other evaluated parameters did
and 6.1 mm Hg [0.7–11.8], respectively). Finally, a signifi- not significantly affect the end points. The NMR on DBP
cant DBP reduction was observed in losartan-treated patients reduction adjusted by study mean weight (64.3±10.8 kg) dem-
compared with placebo (3.7 mm Hg [0.3–7.5]). Consistently, onstrated that an increase in body weight of 1 kg is associated
in NMA by pharmacological classes of drugs (Figure 3), with an increased difference versus placebo of 0.181 (0.043–
ACE inhibitors and ARBs were associated with a signifi- 0.327) mm Hg (Table S4). The regression lines showed that
cant reduction in SBP and DBP (6.5 mm Hg [3.7–9.7]/4.4 the higher was the mean weight in the study the better was the
mm Hg [2.2–7.3] and 3.3 mm Hg [1.2–5.8]/3.1 mm Hg [1.4– response to antihypertensive treatment (Figure S13A). After
5.0], respectively) compared with placebo and ACE inhibi- correcting for study mean weight, lisinopril and enalapril were
tors were superior to MRA in DBP reduction (4.3 mm Hg associated with an even greater reduction in DBP (7.9 mm Hg
[0.2–9.1]). [4.1–11.7] and 8.5 mm Hg [4.3–12.7], respectively) compared
To assess the impact of treatment strategy and age on with placebo, considering that these 2 cohorts of patients
BP reduction, we performed 2 subgroup NMAs. In agree- displayed the lowest mean weight at baseline (56 and 53 kg,
ment with main analysis, in the NMA, including only the respectively).
studies with a dose per kg strategy (Figure S1A), lisino- The mean age, baseline weight, and baseline BP and
pril and enalapril confirmed their superiority to placebo in women percentage of studies included in the NMR analysis
310 Hypertension August 2018
for SBP and DBP are reported in Table S4, together with their
effect and 95% credibility interval. We performed also rank
probability histogram analyses, which supported our results
(Figures S3 through S12) and standard pairwise meta-anal-
yses for each pairwise comparison to obtain direct estimates
of the treatment difference. Forest plots of the direct compari-
sons can be found in Figures S14 through S23.
All the included studies were randomized, with an overall
low risk of bias (Table S5; Figures S24 and S25). The Eggers
test for publication bias was not significant in any of the cases
(P value, 0.24 for SBP and P value, 0.10 for DBP).
Discussion
The prevalence of arterial hypertension in children and ado-
lescents, together with overweight and obesity, has increased
markedly in recent years: recent estimates indicate that up to
13% of children in Europe display elevated BP.2 Strong evi-
dence indicates that childhood hypertension is associated with
cardiac organ damage7,8 and represents a strong risk factor for
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Figure 3. Network meta-analysis by classes of drugs. The figure shows the average reduction (mm Hg) after treatment (and its 95% credibility) of systolic
blood pressure (SBP; δ-SBP, above the diagonal identified by drug names) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP; δ-DBP, below the diagonal identified by the
names of drugs). For SBP (above the diagonal) a positive value identifies a reduction of blood pressure (BP) in favor of the column-defining treatment; a
negative value identifies a reduction of BP in favor of the row-defining treatment. For DBP (below the diagonal) a positive value identifies a reduction of BP in
favor of the row-defining treatment; a negative value identifies a reduction of BP in favor of the column-defining treatment. In bold the statistically significant
values (differences are considered as statistically significant when the 0 is not included in the 95% credibility interval). Angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs;
losartan, olmesartan, telmisartan, valsartan); β-blockers (β-Bs; metoprolol); angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors (enalapril, fosinopril, and lisinopril);
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calcium channel blockers (CCBs; amlodipine and felodipine); mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA; eplerenone); bisoprolol+hydrochlorothiazide was
excluded from network meta-analysis by classes of drugs.
analysis, only losartan displayed a significant DBP reduction significant effect was found only for study mean weight in DBP
versus placebo, but no difference was found for SBP. This reduction. Even if in literature obesity is associated with a worse
result could be explained by the increased precision of the response to antihypertensive treatment,22 in our NMR analysis
pooled analysis and the favorable trend observed for the other the increase in study mean weight was associated with a greater
ARBs. ARBs approved by the FDA are candesartan, losartan, BP drop. It should be noted that because individual patient data
olmesartan, and valsartan.45 were not available, our NMR was based on summary measures at
Among MRAs, eplerenone was studied on a large cohort the study level and the association between weight and BP reduc-
of 304 hypertensive children, but a significant BP reduction tion detected at the study level in our analysis may not reflect the
was demonstrated only for the highest dose and only for SBP24 individual level effect modification of that covariate.19,48–51
and the FDA did not approve it. In our analysis, eplerenone This is the first study comparing head-to-head the efficacy
was the only drug that resulted inferior to another in head- in BP reduction of different antihypertensive medications on
to-head comparison (lisinopril and enalapril), whereas there a relatively high number of pediatric patients, demonstrating
was no significant difference versus placebo. Similarly, MRAs that only 2 classes of drugs, ACE inhibitors and ARBs, per-
resulted inferior to ACE inhibitors in DBP reduction in our form better than placebo in this special subpopulation.
analysis by classes of drugs. Our study has potential limitations. First, the paucity of
As reported in literature, the absolute BP-lowering effect may clinical trials investigating other classes of antihypertensive
be influenced by several factors, including age, sex, weight, and medications, other than the newer ACE inhibitors and ARBs,
severity of baseline hypertension. Age significantly affects treat- could have influenced the results; second, heterogeneity, small
ment adherence: compliance in adolescence is significantly lower size, and short follow-up of RCTs included in the analysis, as
than in prepubertal age and associated with a poor outcome46; well as the lack of studies comparing antihypertensive drugs of
obesity is associated with a worse response to antihypertensive different classes between them, should be taken into account.
therapy,22 whereas a higher baseline BP predicts a greater BP Third, patients affected by secondary forms of hypertension,
reduction after treatment.44 Finally, female patients seem to have which benefit from specific and targeted therapies, were not
a better adherence to pharmacological treatment (as demonstrated systematically excluded in all studies. However, because
for other medical conditions).47 In our study, we investigated the patients with stage 3, or higher, chronic kidney disease52 (the
effect of these factors through subgroup NMAs (by treatment most common secondary cause of hypertension in children1),
strategy and age) and NMR. Subgroup NMAs confirmed the were not included in 10 out of 13 studies, it is extremely
superiority of lisinopril and enalapril (administered using a dose unlikely that this heterogeneity could have affected our final
per kg strategy) in both SBP and DBP reduction compared with results. Moreover, our primary end point was BP reduction
placebo, the former in a population with a mean age >12 years from baseline, but there are no data on target organ damage
and the latter in a population with a mean age ≤12 years. Despite prevention/regression or other strong outcome predictors.
the importance of considering the weight of patients when anti- Further RCTs are warranted to definitively confirm
hypertensive treatment is initiated,1,2 the results of the present whether ACE inhibitors and ARBs could actually represent
analysis do not allow to determine whether the dose regimen has the best choice for the management of pediatric hypertension
an impact on treatment effect because treatments with fixed dose independently from the main confounding factors, including
and treatments with dose per kg are not the same. age, sex, weight, and baseline BP.
In our NMR analysis, age, sex, and baseline BP did not Notwithstanding the reported limitations, the findings
significantly affect SBP or DBP reduction at the study level; a from the present meta-analysis represent a comprehensive
312 Hypertension August 2018
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Jacopo Burrello#, Elvira M. Erhardt#, Gaelle Saint-Hilary, Franco Veglio, Franco Rabbia, Paolo
Turin, Turin, Italy (J.B.; S.M.; F.V.; F.R.; P.M.). Department of Mathematical Sciences “G. L.
Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin Via Genova 3, 10126 Torino, Italy.
Manuscript word count: 6179 including references, legends and figure captions.
1
SUPPLEMENTAL METHODS
Endpoint and groups - The endpoints are systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP,
respectively). The following classes of drugs were compared:
• Angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs: losartan, valsartan, olmesartan, telmisartan);
• β-blockers (β-Bs: metoprolol; bisoprolol + HCTZ which was included in main NMA and
excluded in NMA by classes);
• Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE-Is: lisinopril, enalapril, fosinopril)
• Calcium channel blockers (CCBs: felodipine, amlodipine);
• Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA: eplerenone)
All 13 (for SBP 12) included studies compared one treatment versus placebo. Four (for SBP:
three) of them compared different dosages of the same drug to one placebo arm; their differences
where pooled into one arm each, weighting by the inverse of the variance of the differences. Two
of the 13 studies had been subdivided in two cohorts (by race and by obesity, respectively).
Further, four of the 13 studies compared different dosages of the same drug, each with specific
placebo arm; hence, they were treated like separate studies. The following subgroup analyses
were conducted:
• Studies using treatment according to a standard dose (mg/day);
• Studies using treatment according to a dose per Kg (mg/Kg/day);
• Studies including patients with mean age > 12 years;
• Studies including patients with mean age ≤ 12 years;
Network meta-regressions (NMR) were conducted adjusting for the following covariates:
• study mean age of patients included in each study;
• study mean baseline BP of patients included in each study;
• study gender distribution of patients included in each study;
• study mean weight of patients included in each study;
Measure of treatment effect - The endpoints systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and
DBP, respectively) are continuous. The results are presented in terms of treatment difference in
mean changes from baseline, along with their 95% Confidence Interval (CI) for frequentist
analyses, or with their 95% Credibility Interval (CrI) for Bayesian analyses.
Direct comparisons - Each of the included studies was comparing treatment against placebo.
For each pairwise comparison of a treatment or a class of treatment versus placebo, direct
estimates of the treatment difference were obtained using standard pairwise meta-analyses (if
tested in more than one study). Standard pairwise meta-analyses were conducted in a frequentist
framework with the meta package from R, using a random effect model. For each pairwise meta-
analysis, the between-study heterogeneity was assessed: the number of studies comparing
directly the two interventions, the I² statistic (percentage of variability due to heterogeneity
rather than to sampling error) and the p-value of the Cochrane’s Q test are provided in
Supplementary Table S1 of this appendix. In the meta-analyses, the between-study heterogeneity
is important, with 9 out of 17 comparisons with a p-value > 10% for the Cochrane’s Q test.
Network meta-analysis
a. Model and programs
Network meta-analyses (NMA) synthesize direct and indirect comparisons in a connected
network of studies involving different interventions. NMA were conducted in a Bayesian
framework, using a random effect model with the assumption of homogeneous variance (i.e.,
that all comparisons in the network share a common variance)1,2. The study baseline differences
and the basic parameters for the difference relative to the reference group (placebo) are all given
unrelated, minimally informative priors Normal (0, 10,000), while the remaining differences
(functional parameters) are defined in terms of the basic parameters. The between-study variance
parameter τ² was also given a vague prior Inverse.Gamma(0.001, 0.001). The choice of the
2
reference group has no implication for the comparisons. The model was fitted in OpenBUGS
based on the code developed by the National Institute for health and Care Excellence (NICE)
Decision Support Unit3. Its final version is provided in the supplemental material. It was run
routinely in ‘batch-mode’ from R using the package R2OpenBUGS, and the data manipulations
and the results output were performed in R. The analyses were conducted using OpenBUGS
3.2.3 and R version 3.4.0
b. Autocorrelations and convergence
The autocorrelation of the chains was checked through inspection of autocorrelation plots. Since
they initially indicated that the autocorrelation was high for most of the parameters, the chains
were thinned to reduce autocorrelations, discarding all but every 5th sampled value. For each of
the two chains, the first 100,000 Monte-Carlo iterations were run to reach convergence and
disregarded, then 120,000 further simulations per chain (thinned as before) were run to estimate
the parameters. After thinning, the autocorrelations were satisfactory.
The convergence was checked through inspection of the history plots. The convergence seems
satisfactory: for each endpoint, no structure was observed in the history plots, the between- and
within-chain variability have settled together to stability.
c. Heterogeneity assessment
For each endpoint, the estimation of the common between-study variance τ² and its 95% CrI is
provided in Table 2 of this appendix. According to Spiegelhalter et al.1, values of τ from 0.1 to
0.5 (i.e. τ² from 0.01 to 0.25) may appear reasonable in many contexts, from 0.5 to 1.0 (i.e. τ²
from 0.25 to 1.0) might be considered as fairly high, and above 1.0 would represent fairly
extreme heterogeneity. The results therefore suggest that heterogeneity is reasonable for the SBP
and DBP of “standard dose” and the DBP of “dose in kg”. It is fairly high for SPB of “low age”
and DBP of “main analysis” and “high age”. The remaining analyses have fairly high extreme
heterogeneity.
d. Probabilities to perform best
For each analysis the table of differences between the treatments and the rank probability
diagram were examined. The tables can be found in the supplementary material Figures S1 and
S2. Rankograms are presented in Supplementary Figures S3-S8 in this appendix.
Network Meta-Regression
a. Model and programs
NMR is used to relate the size of a treatment effect obtained from a network meta-analysis to
potential effect modifiers – covariates - that may be characteristics of the study participants or
connected with the study setting or conduct. NMRs against continuous covariates were
conducted in a Bayesian framework, using a random treatment effect model that assumes a
common interaction effect for all treatments with covariate centering. The analyses were
conducted using the same priors and under the same conditions as those of the NMA
b. Autocorrelations and convergence
The autocorrelation of the chains was checked through inspection of autocorrelation plots. Since
they initially indicated that the autocorrelation was high for most of the parameters, the chains
were thinned to reduce autocorrelations, discarding all but every kth sampled value (NMR for
covariates mean baseline DBP and mean female gender with a thin of k=30, for mean age and
mean weight with a thin of k=15). For each of the two chains, the first 120,000 Monte-Carlo
iterations were run to reach convergence and disregarded, then 200,000 further simulations per
chain (thinned as before) were run to estimate the parameters. After thinning, the
autocorrelations were satisfactory.
The convergence was checked through inspection of the history plots.
The convergence seems satisfactory: for each endpoint, no structure was observed in the history
plots, the between- and within-chain variability have settled together to stability.
3
c. Heterogeneity assessment
For each endpoint, the estimation of the common between-study variance τ² and its 95% CrI is
provided in Table 2 of this appendix. The results suggest that heterogeneity is reasonable for the
DBP of “weight”. It is fairly high for SPB and DBP “age”. The remaining analyses have fairly
high extreme heterogeneity.
d. Probabilities to perform best
For each covariate-adjustment the table of differences between the treatments and the rank
probability diagram were examined. The results can be found in the Supplementary Table S4.
Rankograms are presented in Supplementary Figures S9-S12 in this appendix.
e. Relation of covariate and treatment difference
For each of the chosen covariates, the treatment differences relative to placebo were calculated
and plotted against the covariate. For all treatments, the same interaction effect is assumed, i.e.,
there is a single interaction term that applies to the relative effects of all the treatments relative to
placebo. Differences above 0 favour the plotted treatment, and the horizontal line (thin grey)
represents no treatment effect. The graph for the significant variables (only weight on DBP) can
be found in the supplementary Figures S13.
f. Limitation
As discussed in e.g. Dias et al.4, individual patient data (IPD) meta-analyses and meta-
regressions are the preferred method to avoid ecological bias or ecological fallacy.
Unfortunately, in our case, IPD were not available so the weight-based NMR was performed
using the mean weight per study. Therefore, from a methodological point of view, we
acknowledge that Simpson’s paradox could occur and that the treatment effect against the weight
in the between-trial case may be different from what could be observed for the within-trial data4-
8
.
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B; Toprol-XL Pediatric Hypertension Investigators. Efficacy and safety of extended
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15. Shahinfar S, Cano F, Soffer BA, Ahmed T, Santoro EP, Zhang Z, Gleim G, Miller K, Vogt
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5
No. of studies I2 P - Value
Direct Comparison
SBP DBP SBP DBP SBP DBP
Supplementary Table S1 – Direct comparisons: number of studies and heterogeneity assessment of pairwise meta-
analyses. I² = percentage of variability due to heterogeneity rather than to sampling error. P-value= p-value of the
Cochrane’s Q test.
NMA: Main analysis 6.397 [0.00; 36.94] 1.00 [0.00; 18.05] 218.8 213.5
NMA: Classes 5.03 [0.00; 21.95] 2.44 [0.00; 11.92] 205.4 200.7
NMA: High Age 6.93 [0.00; 99.36] 0.82 [0.00; 35.89] 139.0 137.0
NMA: Low Age 0.36 [0.00; 37.2] 2.12 [0.00; 70.4] 80.71 79.47
NMA: Dose in Kg 9.90 [0.01; 51.84] 0.13 [0.00; 7.84] 167.7 153.7
NMA: Standard Dose 0.19 [0.00; 67.72] 0.15 [0.00; 26.23] 49.25 53.25
NMR: Age 0.53 [0.00; 20.48] 0.79 [0.00; 18.64] 174.4 172.8
NMR: Baseline BP 6.93 [0.00; 39.17] 2.31 [0.00; 25.79] 218.1 205.4
NMR: Gender 9.10 [0.01; 46.58] 2.56 [0.00; 24.9] 210.6 206.5
NMR: Weight 1.66 [0.00; 29.06] 0.13 [0.00; 9.62] 209.0 200.2
Supplementary Table S2 – Goodness of fit and heterogeneity of the network meta-analysis (NMA) and the network
meta regression (NMR). DIC = Deviance Information Criterion.
6
Secondary HTN
Selected Study Exclusion Criteria
forms Exclusion
Batisky DL Included only patients with either newly or previously diagnosed primary
Excluded hypertension. Excluded patients with contraindication to β-blockers.
J Pediatr 200714
Shahinfar S
Not excluded GFR < 30 mL/min per 1.73 m2
Am J Hypertens 200515
Transient, malignant, or accelerated arterial hypertension; residual aortic
Flynn JT
Excluded coarctation; unstable chronic renal, hepatic, hematologic, endocrine, or
J Pediatr 200416 neurologic disease.
Soffer B Included if male and female children, 6 to 16 years, >/=20 kg, with
Not excluded estimated GFR >/= 30 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and documented hypertension.
Am J Hypertens 200318
SBP was > 20 mmHg or DBP >10 mmHg above the 95th percentile;
evidence of a secondary cause of hypertension such as coarctation of the
Trachtman H
Excluded aorta, hyperthyroidism, or a pheochromocytoma; GFR < 40 ml/min per 1.73
Pediatr Nephrol 200319 m2; kidney transplant; concomitant illness such as liver disease or
congestive heart failure; hypersensitivity to CCB.
GFR < 30 ml/min per 1.73 m2; history of severe or symptomatic HTN;
current treatment with more than two anti-hypertensive medications; HF,
obstructive valvular disease, or cardiomyopathy; uncorrected coarctation of
Wells T Excluded but not the aorta, bilateral renal artery stenosis, or unilateral renal artery stenosis in
J Clin Pharmacol 200221 systematically a single kidney; severe nephrotic syndrome; major organ transplantation;
significant cardiac rhythm disturbances; known sensitivity to ACEIs;
gastrointestinal or hepato-biliary disease; pertinent electrolyte disorders;
other significant systemic diseases.
7
Effect
Variables Mean Value 95% Credibility Interval
(mmHg)
Supplementary Table S4 – Meta-regression analysis for age, gender, baseline weight and baseline BP. SBP,
Systolic Blood Pressure; DBP, Diastolic Blood Pressure; BP, Blood Pressure.
13 studies
Multicenter 13 (100)
Selection bias:
- Low 13 (100)
- Medium 0 (0)
- High 0 (0)
- Unclear 0 (0)
Detection bias:
- Low 10 (76)
- Medium 3 (24)
- High 0 (0)
- Unclear 0 (0)
Attrition bias:
- Low 13 (100)
- Medium 0 (0)
- High 0 (0)
- Unclear 0 (0)
Supplementary Table S5 – Qualitative evaluation of studies
8
Supplementary Figure S1 – Subgroup analysis by treatment strategy: Standard Dose vs Dose per Kg
Legend to Supplementary Figure S1 – The figure shows the average reduction (mmHg) after treatment (and its 95% credibility interval) of SBP (delta-SBP, above the diagonal
identified by drug names) and DBP (delta-DBP, below the diagonal identified by the names of drugs). For SBP (above the diagonal) a positive value identifies a reduction of BP in
favour of the column-defining treatment; a negative value identifies a reduction of BP in favour of the row-defining treatment. For DBP (below the diagonal) a positive value
identifies a reduction of BP in favour of the row-defining treatment; a negative value identifies a reduction of BP in favour of the column-defining treatment. In red the statistically
significant values. N.A., not available; HCTZ, hydrochlorothiazide. (A) NMA of studies using a dose per Kg strategy (N=1732). (B) NMA of studies using a standard dose (N=646).
9
Supplementary Figure S2 – Subgroup analysis: High Age vs Low Age
Legend to Supplementary Figure S2 – The figure shows the average reduction (mmHg) after treatment (and its 95% credibility interval) of SBP (delta-SBP, above the diagonal
identified by drug names) and DBP (delta-DBP, below the diagonal identified by the names of drugs). For SBP (above the diagonal) a positive value identifies a reduction of BP in
favour of the column-defining treatment; a negative value identifies a reduction of BP in favour of the row-defining treatment. For DBP (below the diagonal) a positive value
identifies a reduction of BP in favour of the row-defining treatment; a negative value identifies a reduction of BP in favour of the column-defining treatment. In red the statistically
significant values. N.A., not available; HCTZ, hydrochlorothiazide. (A) NMA of studies on high age range patients (> 12-year-old), (N=1428). (B) NMA of studies on low age range
patients (≤ 12-year-old), (N=950).
10
Supplementary Figure S3 – NMA, Main analysis (all treatments): rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S3 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from left
to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
11
Supplementary Figure S4 – NMA, Classes of drugs: rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S4 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from left
to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
12
Supplementary Figure S5 – NMA, High Age: rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S5 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from left
to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
13
Supplementary Figure S6 – NMA, Low Age: rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S6 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from left
to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
14
Supplementary Figure S7 – NMA, Standard Dose: rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S7 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from left
to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
15
Supplementary Figure S8 – NMA, Dose per Kg: rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S8 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from left
to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
16
Supplementary Figure S9 – NMR, Age: rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S9 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from left
to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
17
Supplementary Figure S10 – NMR, Gender: rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S10 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from
left to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
18
Supplementary Figure S11 – NMR, Weight: rank probabilities
Legend to Supplementary Figure S11 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from
left to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
19
Supplementary Figure S12 – NMR, Baseline BP: rank probabilities
(A) Systolic Blood Pressure
Legend to Supplementary Figure S12 – Histograms provide for each treatment the probability (from
left to right) to be the best, the second best etc.
20
Supplementary Figure S13 – Network meta-regression adjusted on weight for DBP
(A)
(B)
21
Legend to Supplementary Figure S13 – (A) Regression line for DBP adjusted on weight. Treatment
differences relative to placebo were calculated and plotted against the covariate. Differences above 0
favour the plotted treatment; the horizontal line (thin grey) represents no treatment effect. (B) The
figure shows the average reduction (mmHg) after treatment (and its 95% credibility interval) of DBP.
A positive value identifies a reduction of BP in favour of the row-defining treatment; a negative value
identifies a reduction of BP in favour of the column-defining treatment. In red the statistically
significant values. N.A., not available; HCTZ, hydrochlorothiazide.
Legend to Supplementary Figure S14 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
22
Legend to Supplementary Figure S15 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
Legend to Supplementary Figure S16 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
Legend to Supplementary Figure S17 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
23
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
Legend to Supplementary Figure S18 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
Legend to Supplementary Figure S19 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
24
(A) Systolic Blood Pressure
Legend to Supplementary Figure S20 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
Legend to Supplementary Figure S21 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
25
Supplementary Figure S22 – ARBs: direct comparison versus placebo
(A) Systolic Blood Pressure
Legend to Supplementary Figure S22 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
26
Legend to Supplementary Figure S23 – Vertical line: the null effect; squares with horizontal line: study
result with 95%-CI (95% confidence interval); rhombus with vertical line: point estimate of all
individual studies combined (its width represents the 95%-CI); TE: Estimate of treatment effect; seTE:
Standard error of treatment estimate; I2: percentage of variation across studies that is due to
heterogeneity rather than chance; τ²: between-study variance.
27