STAT 2507 A & C - Introduction to Statistical Modeling I

Instructor: Mohamedou Ould-Haye

Office: HP 5239; Tel: 6123 520 2600 Ext. 1287
E-mail: ouldhaye@math.carleton.ca
Web page: math.carleton.ca/ouldhaye
Lectures: Mondays & Wednesdays 11:30am-1pm & 2:30-4pm
Office Hours: Mondays & Wednesdays 4-5pm
Computer Labs: One hour Lab (starting the week of Sep. 27th . Times vary depending upon your lab
group. All labs are held in room 3393 HP). Labs on Weeks of Sep. 25, Oct. 18, Nov. 8, and 22 are
COMPULSORY and will be used in preparing the assignments. The other labs will be used as tutorials to
help you in solving some of the practice questions.
Text Book: Introduction to Probability and Statistics (Second Canadian Edition) by W. Mendenhall,
Beaver, Beaver, and Ahmed
Other reference: Student solutions manual. (for the same textbook above).
Marking Scheme: Course grade will be made up of 3 parts:

• Lab assignments ———————–25%

• Midterm ———————————25%

• Final Exam —————————- 50%

Lab assignment: There will be 4 assignments (will be posted on my webpage two weeks before the due
dates) with the following due dates: October 13, November 1, November 15, November 29. Assignments are
to be handed in to me in class. No late assignments will be accepted.
Midterm: There will be a 90-minute closed book exam on November 5, Friday. 5:30pm to 7pm. place TBA
in class.
Final Exam: 3-hour final examination (same for all sections) to be held during the exam period (date and
time TBD) covering the entire course. Ensure that you DO NOT schedule flights or other departures during
the exam period.
Important Notes: You will receive a zero if you miss the test or an assignment unless you provide me with
a proper documented reason (e.g., medical), soon after the test, assignment.
Calculator: You may use non-programmable, non-graphing calculators for the tests and the final exam. I
reserve the right to disallow any calculator.
Tutorial Centre: Room 1160HP (tunnel junction to Herzberg), is a drop-in centre where students in
elementary courses can get one-on-one help in Mathematics and Statistics. The centre will open in the 2nd
or 3rd week of classes, the opening date will be announced later on.
Important Note:

1. The last day for withdrawal from Fall courses is December 06, 2010

2. Students with disabilities requiring academic accommodations in this course must register with the
Paul Menton Centre for Students with Disabilities (PMC) for a formal evaluation of disability-related
needs. Documented disabilities include but are not limited to mobility/physical impairments, specific
Learning Disabilities (LD), psychiatric/psychological disabilities, sensory disabilities, Attention Deficit
Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), and chronic medical conditions. Registered PMC students are re-
quired to contact the PMC every term to have a Letter of Accommodation sent to the Instructor by
their Coordinator. In addition, students are expected to confirm their need for accommodation with the
Instructor no later than two weeks before the first assignment is due or the first in-class test/midterm.
If you require accommodations only for formally scheduled exam(s) in this course, you must request
accommodations by November 15.

3. Accommodations for other reasons such as religious obligation, or parental leave, will be done only in
accordance with University policy. These policies are administered by the office of Equity Services.

4. Students wishing to see their examination papers must make an appointment within three weeks of the
exam. Note that this is not an opportunity to argue about the marking and you may use this privilege
to learn where you went wrong.
 TENTATIVE LECTURE SCHEDULE
WEEK TOPICS SECTIONS
What is Statistics? Population and sample. Elements of Statistical problems.
1 Data sets, describing data sets by graphs, histograms, stem and leaf plots 1
Mathematical notation. Mean, median, mode. Standard deviation , variance
2 Tchebysheff’s theorem, empirical rule. Percentiles, quartiles, z-scores. Box plots 2
Events, sample space, combination of events, probability of an event
3 Addition rule, multiplicative rule. Conditional probability and independence 4
Bayes’ rule. Probability distribution of a discrete random variable.
4 Expectation and variance 4
5 Binomial, hypergeometric, and Poisson distributions 5
6 Continuous distributions, normal distribution. Normal approximation to the binomial. 6
Random sampling. Sampling distributions. Central Limit Theorem.
7 Sample mean and sample proportion. Sum and difference of independent random variables 7
Large Sample Estimation. Population Mean.
Large sample confidence intervals for the population mean
8-9 Confidence intervals for parameter of a binomial.Choosing sample size. 8
Difference between two means. Difference between two binomial populations
Test of hypothesis: Large sample. Rejection region. Acceptance region. Test Statistic.
9-10 Test of hypothesis for the mean. Test of hypothesis for a binomial proportion 9
10-11 Test of hypothesis, large and small sample tests. p-values. Type- I & II errors. 9 & 10
Small-sample inference for difference between two means.
11-12 Difference between two proportions. Inference for population variance. 10
12 Bivariate data 3
NOTE: The above schedule is subject to change.