Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
CONGESTION
TRENDS REPORT
JULY 2018
The analysis in this report was conducted by Transpo Group using
data provided by INRIX. The only Transportation Network Company
that provided data for this report was Lyft. The conclusions of
this report do not necessarily reflect the official policy positions
of Lyft, INRIX, Transpo Group, or the City of Chicago.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary......................................................................................................1
Introduction.....................................................................................................................3
Methodology................................................................................................................... 7
Performance Trends..................................................................................................19
14. Density of Lyft Pickups Per Census Tract in Chicago (Fridays at 5pm).............................................. 24
15. Average Daily Lyft Trips and % of Average Daily Trips (ADT)...................................................................25
List of Tables
1. Congestion Trends Report Data Sources...............................................................................................................9
THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
Executive Summary
The evolution of Transportation Network Companies (TNCs) in This study
the recent past has led major cities to attempt to evaluate the
impacts of TNC services on mobility, equity, and congestion. found that Lyft
trips on key
The results of various studies concerning TNC contributions to congestion have
been mixed. A recent evaluation of Lyft operations in New York City revealed
study roadways
that Lyft was not the primary contributor to the growth in congestion between represent less
2013 and 2017. Transpo Group sought to understand how recent and emerging than 4 percent
trends in the Chicago metropolitan area (“Chicagoland”) might shed new light on
of daily roadway
the issue of TNC services and their contributions to congestion management.
volumes.
Understanding this issue requires acknowledgment that congestion and
transportation system performance is a complex multi-variable problem.
Congestion is driven by numerous factors including changes in demand, capacity,
and mode split. Prioritization of bus, bicycle, and pedestrian activity can also
increase congestion for motor vehicles, particularly when travel and parking
lanes are eliminated; in many cities, TNCs perform a vital function by reducing
The increase
the demand for parking and connecting people to public transportation. in Lyft service
since 2015 has
KEY FINDINGS
not caused a
This study explored the drivers of congestion and evaluated various aspects
of transportation system performance in the Chicago metropolitan region.
corresponding
Transpo Group worked to identify various publicly-available data sources related reduction in
to economic growth, population and demographic trends, and transportation average speeds
system management. After evaluating the drivers of demand, we obtained
on Chicago’s
Lyft data in order to understand how Lyft serves Chicagoland trips.
freeways and
streets.
firm with expertise in socio-economic factors that lead to increased demand. Any
and traffic operations. travel demand must look beyond pavement, streets, and
The study team included the transportation network. Even as the scope of a study
transportation modelers expands to captures these drivers of demand, a comprehensive
with extensive experience examination of transportation management policies must also
in simulation modeling be undertaken to assess the impacts of speed management,
and performance analysis, vulnerable user accommodations, curb use and parking, and the
transportation planners, management of events, closures, and traffic signal operations.
a traffic operations and
safety engineer, data
scientists, and senior
performance analysts.
LEGEND
Study Neighborhoods
River North 4
Streeterville
The Loop
Study Links
Key Links
1. Kennedy
Expressway
2. Damen Ave,
north of I-290
3. Roosevelt Rd, east
of Morgan St 2
4. US 41, north of 6
Michigan Ave 7 8
5. US 41, north of I-55
6. I-290 at the
Chicago River
3
7. I-290, west of
Damen Ave
5
8. US 41, south
of Congress
for a similar study in New York City. a study area comprising the entire roadway
network within The Loop, Streeterville and River
STUDY APPROACH North neighborhoods. These neighborhoods
For this particular study, we compiled data are the heart of downtown Chicago and were
from a variety of sources and examined the selected as representative of the performance
For the Chicago study, we chose to assess key and study area are displayed in Figure 1. We
roadway segments that experience the most supplemented the transportation data analysis
congestion and three downtown areas with the of the Chicago study area with data related
most activity. Based on an overview of INRIX to economic activity, population and vehicle
data, the following roadway segments were registration, bicycling, and public transit. Using
considered congested and key to the overall this information, independent of any TNC data,
Several data sources were used to support the • Ride data with information about a trip’s
various aspects of this analysis. One of the main origin and destination (o/d data), time of
sources is transportation performance data from passenger pick-up and drop-off, and status
the INRIX network, which includes 300 million of the ride (finished/canceled/ in progress);
vehicles, smart phones, cameras, and other
• Aggregated area overview data parsed
sensors with the ability to cover nearly 5 million
by day of the week, hourly brackets,
miles of roads, ramps and interchanges in over
all Lyft rides, and Lyft Line rides.
50 countries. To complement the INRIX data, we
utilized information from a variety of recognized The data obtained from Lyft was aggregated
authorities within the Chicago region, including and entirely anonymized. None of the data
the Chicago Department of Transportation, that Lyft provided to the research team was
Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning, and used to trace individual route choices or
Description Source
Traffic Conditions
Average Road Speeds, Travel Times INRIX
Travel Demand and Capacity Drivers
U.S. Gross Domestic Product U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Multi-modal
The total number
commute
of taxi medallions
trips (bike and
remain unchanged
pedestrians) have
while TNC
increased as well
registrations
as the number of
have increased
bicycle facilities
660,000
640,000
US GDP (Millions of $)
620,000
600,000
580,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
100
99
98
97
% Employment
96
95
94
93
92
91
90
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
2.7M
Population growth typically involves City of Chicago is a concentration point
additional vehicle use, particularly if for business and cultural activity, the
that growth is occurring in vehicles not daytime population, according to the Source: U.S. Census
served by frequent or reliable transit . US Census Bureau , was approximately
The population of the City of Chicago 8 percent bigger than the number of
overall decreased by less than 0.4 people who resided in Chicago in 2010.
percent during the study period. Gas and Diesel Prices Fell
The daytime population of the City of Both gasoline and diesel prices declined
Chicago, however, is much larger than by more than 40 percent during the
the residential population. Since the study period, as displayed in Figure 4.
4.5
4
3.5
Dollars Per Gallon
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov
CHI
Passenger
Vehicle Light Truck Lyft Driver Taxi
Heavy Truck Counts Medallions
Registrations Registrations Registrations
NO
6.4% 12% 3.8% 246% CHANGE
1.160M 9,603 20,795 20,798 6,999
(2014) (2014) (2014) (2015) (2014)
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
While e-commerce data specific to the City of Chicago was not available, it is expected that the national
trend (shown in Figure 6) is representative of the e-commerce activity within the City of Chicago.
Chicago is the nation’s hub of rail and truck freight. According to IDOT, freight operations will grow to 1.7
billion tons annually by 2040. Trucks are expected to account for 80 percent of the traffic added in the State
of Illinois. This shift in vehicle mix on highways toward trucking may decline the road capacity that will lead
to the speed decrease. Moreover, with the future freight demand growth, it is expected that length of trains
will increase that might affect public highway at-grade crossings that might lead to delay at the crossings.
Street Closures
Street closures due to events or construction activities have an impact on street network performance.
According to CDOT’s permit applications, full street closures became more frequent in the City of Chicago.
There were 4,400 full street closure permits issued in 2014 and more than 7,000 in 2017. This accounts for
approximately a 65 percent increase in streets closures that can shift additional traffic volumes to other already
saturated streets. This can cause queues spillback into intersections, decline speeds, and create gridlock.
0
2014 2015 2016 2017
Year
Miles
Ride-Hail Circulation
Many studies have examined the effects of taxi circulation in congested cities and have determined
that this circulation has an impact on congestion. The circulation of TNC vehicles, however, is typically
purposeful and part of the driver’s activities in moving to the next pickup location. TNC operators have
an interest in reducing vehicle downtime and thereby limit circulation to the extent practicable.
Lyft activity is
Public transit Daily Lyft vehicle
highest on Friday
ridership has share on key
evenings, and
decreased study roadways
weekends and is
approximately 6 comprises
concentrated in
percent since 2014 between 0.7 and
the urban core
3.6 percent of ADT
and at O’Hare
Areas of
intense Lyft
activity growth
Lyft Line trips
saw only a slight
are increasing
decrease in vehicle
every year
speeds from
2015 to 2017
700
600
500
Passengers (Millions)
400
300
200
100
0
2014 2015 2016 2017
Year
CTA (Bus) CTA (Rail) Metra Pace
10% 3% 6% 10%
Volume data for arterial routes in the City of Chicago was not available.
Traffic speeds decreased most significantly between 2014 and 2015, when Lyft activity increased from
approximately 80 to 200 pickups per hour. However, during the years with the most growth in Lyft activity
(2015 – 2017), Lyft trips increased approximately 600% while travel speeds decreased only 0.7 mph.
Figure 11. Lyft Pickups vs Roadway Speeds in Study Neighborhoods (Fridays at 5PM)
Source: INRIX, Lyft
14 1,400
12 1,200
Avg Roadway Speed in
Study Neighborhoods
1,000
Lyft Pickups/Hour
10
8 800
6 600
4 400
2 200
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017
Year
In October 2017, Lyft provided an average of 79,000 trips per day within the City of Chicago.
Lyft activity is highest on Friday and the weekends and the lowest on Monday.
100,000
80,000
60,000
Trips
40,000
20,000
0
Sun Mon Tues Wed Thurs Fri Sat
Day
2014 2015 2016 2017
Figure 13 provides additional detail on when in the day trips occur by showing the average number
of Lyft trips by hour of the day and day of the week. There is a clear pattern of AM peak trips (8
AM) and PM peak trips (6 PM) on the weekdays. Thursday, Friday and Saturday trips tend to be
later in the evenings, suggesting that ride-sharing services can provide additional options for
people when other modes of transportation wouldn’t be available or might be less attractive.
8,000
7,000
Trips per Hour
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8 12 4 8
AM PM Time/Day
Figure 14. Density of Lyft Pickups Per Census Tract in Chicago, October 2017 Friday 5pm
Source: Lyft
LEGEND
Pickups Per Tract
1-3
4-8
9-14
15-22
23-34
35-49
50-74
75-108
109-150
151-279
Figure 15. Average Daily Lyft Trips and % of Average Daily Trips (ADT)
Source: Lyft, Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning, Illinois Department of Transportation
LEGEND
Ave Daily % Lyft
Lyft Trips of ADT
Volume data for arterial routes in the City of Chicago was not available.
3
Rides (Millions)
0
07/2014 01/2015 07/2015 01/2016 07/2016 01/2017 07/2017 01/2018
Month/Year
All Rides Lyft Line Rides
not caused a decrease in PM peak hour speeds while the average number of
Lyft pickups increased by approximately 120 pickups per hour
corresponding
(from 80 to 200 per hour). In contrast, from 2016 to 2017 there was
reduction in a 3% increase in average PM peak hour speeds with an increase
average speeds. in approximately 500 Lyft pickups (from 700 to 1200 per hour).
This suggests that within downtown Chicago the increase in Lyft
activity was not the driving factor between changes in speed.
The key findings from this report indicate that it is not possible
to conclude that Lyft is a contributing factor in the growth of
congestion in the City of Chicago and throughout Chicagoland.
A complex array of factors influences the growth and severity
of congestion. Cities around the world have sought to
mitigate congestion with a variety of approaches beyond civil
infrastructure projects, which can lead to improved travel time
reliability even as Vision Zero goals are achieved through slower
speeds and giving priority to vulnerable user accommodations.
These strategies include the following approaches: