…Hurricane Florence expected to approach Southeast Coast…

OVERVIEW
Hurricane Florence is forecast to strengthen and become a major hurricane by this evening as it moves to the west and
west-northwest through the first part of this week. By late Thursday morning, Florence is forecast to approach the
Southeast coastline as a major hurricane. Although the latest National Hurricane Center forecast continues to
favor a land-falling hurricane near the southern North Carolina coast, much of South Carolina remains under
the cone of uncertainty. Further track shifts are possible and should be closely monitored, since small
westward shifts will significantly change local impacts.

Regardless of the track, locations along the southeast South Carolina and southeast Georgia coasts will experience an
increasing risk of rip currents, coastal flooding, and building surf through early this week. Additional (and potentially
more significant) impacts are possible by the latter part of this week, but will be highly dependent on the eventual track
and intensity of Florence. Based on the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center, the earliest
reasonable arrival of tropical storm force winds is Wednesday evening.

CURRENT WATCHES, WARNINGS AND/OR ADVISORIES

 Moderate Risk for Rip Currents for all beaches through this evening.

HAZARDS AND IMPACTS

 Rip Currents: Moderate risk for rip currents at all beaches through today, possibly increasing to High Risk by
Tuesday.
 Coastal Flooding: Shallow coastal flooding will be most probable during evening high tides through early this
week, then possibly during each high tide thereafter depending on the track of Florence.
 Rough Surf & Beach Erosion: Surf will gradually build through the week. High Surf Advisories may be needed
as early as Wednesday.

CONFIDENCE
 Rip Currents: High confidence.
 Coastal Flooding: Moderate to high confidence.
 Rough Surf & Beach Erosion: Low to moderate confidence.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Next Update: The next email briefing will be sent by 6 PM EDT Monday, or earlier if warranted.

Stay Aware: Refer to the latest Advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

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Created:
Weather Forecast Office 9/10/2018 5:55 AM
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