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Assumptions
CY Q1 CY Q2 CY Q3 CY Q4
20% 15% 30% 35%
* assume months within each quarter have equal sales irrespective of
the number of days in each month
Widget Sales
30-Sep-13
Sale Price per unit $ 29.99
Contribution Margin 25% Contrib margin ratio = contribution margin per unit / Sales pri
Variable Cost per unit $ 22.49
Contrib margin 7.50 Contrib margin = sales price/unit - total variable cost/unit
Indirect Costs
Date $
31-Dec-13 $ 100,000
28-Feb-14 $ 100,000
30-Apr-14 $ 120,000
30-Jun-14 $ 120,000
31-Aug-14 $ 120,000
30-Sep-14 $ 180,000
30-Nov-14 $ 120,000
31-Dec-14 $ 300,000
31-Mar-15 $ 120,000
30-Jun-15 $ 300,000
30-Sep-15 $ 120,000
31-Dec-15 $ 300,000
Assets Opening
Cash $ 36,000
Accounts Receivable $ 1,200,000
Property Plant and Equipment $ 1,000,000
Total Assets $ 2,236,000
Taxation
Tricky Widgets has substantial historic tax losses. Assume that no tax will be payable for the period of analysis.
Q1 Q1
Forecast
Total cost $ 684,825 $ 684,825
Counter 1 2
Start of Period 1-Oct-13 1-Nov-13
End of Period 30-Sep-13 31-Oct-13 30-Nov-13
Cash $ 36,000
M 419,860
M+1
M+2
Cash receipts - 419,860
$ 100,000 31-Dec-13 ok
$ 100,000 28-Feb-14 ok
$ 120,000 30-Apr-14 ok Cash receipts ON OPENING RECEIVABLES $ 360,000 $ 720,000
$ 120,000 30-Jun-14 ok
$ 120,000 31-Aug-14 ok TOTAL cash in $ 360,000 $ 1,139,860
$ 180,000 30-Sep-14 ok
$ 120,000 30-Nov-14 ok M 582,101
$ 300,000 31-Dec-14 ok M+1
$ 120,000 31-Mar-15 ok M+2
$ 300,000 30-Jun-15 ok Total cost - 582,101
$ 120,000 30-Sep-15 ok
$ 300,000 31-Dec-15 ok
Cash payment on opening payables $ 210,000 $ 420,000
Debt anortisation
Debt facility $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333
Q1 q2 q2 q2 q3 q3 q3
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1-Dec-13 1-Jan-14 1-Feb-14 1-Mar-14 1-Apr-14 1-May-14 1-Jun-14
31-Dec-13 31-Jan-14 28-Feb-14 31-Mar-14 30-Apr-14 31-May-14 30-Jun-14
$ 120,000
$ 70,000
CY 2013 CY 2014
Variable cost Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
CV M1 $ 524,825 $ 393,619 $ 787,238 $ 918,444 $ 545,818 $ 409,364
CV M2 $ 524,825 $ 393,619 $ 787,238 $ 918,444 $ 545,818 $ 409,364
CV M3 $ 524,825 $ 393,619 $ 787,238 $ 918,444 $ 545,818 $ 409,364
CY 2013 CY 2014
Total cost Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
ontribution-margin Total cost M1 $ 684,825 $ 513,619 $ 1,027,238 $ 1,198,444 $ 712,218 $ 534,164
Total cost M2 $ 684,825 $ 513,619 $ 1,027,238 $ 1,198,444 $ 712,218 $ 534,164
Total cost M3 $ 684,825 $ 513,619 $ 1,027,238 $ 1,198,444 $ 712,218 $ 534,164
CY 2013 CY 2014
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Indirect costs $ 480,000 $ 360,000 $ 720,000 $ 840,000 $ 499,200 $ 374,400
Cost M1 $ 160,000 $ 120,000 $ 240,000 $ 280,000 $ 166,400 $ 124,800
Cost M2 $ 160,000 $ 120,000 $ 240,000 $ 280,000 $ 166,400 $ 124,800
Cost M3 $ 160,000 $ 120,000 $ 240,000 $ 280,000 $ 166,400 $ 124,800
q4 q4 q4 Q1 Q1 Q1 q2 q2
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
1-Jul-14 1-Aug-14 1-Sep-14 1-Oct-14 1-Nov-14 1-Dec-14 1-Jan-15 1-Feb-15
31-Jul-14 31-Aug-14 30-Sep-14 31-Oct-14 30-Nov-14 31-Dec-14 31-Jan-15 28-Feb-15
18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
1-Mar-15 1-Apr-15 1-May-15 1-Jun-15 1-Jul-15 1-Aug-15 1-Sep-15 1-Oct-15
31-Mar-15 30-Apr-15 31-May-15 30-Jun-15 31-Jul-15 31-Aug-15 30-Sep-15 31-Oct-15
CY 2016
Q3 Q4
$ 1,027,011 $ 1,198,180
$ 1,027,011 $ 1,198,180
$ 1,027,011 $ 1,198,180
CY 2016
Q3 Q4
$ 1,296,979 $ 1,513,142
$ 1,296,979 $ 1,513,142
$ 1,296,979 $ 1,513,142
CY 2016
Q3 Q4
$ 809,902 $ 944,886
$ 269,967 $ 314,962
$ 269,967 $ 314,962
$ 269,967 $ 314,962
Q1 Q1 q2 q2 q2 q3 q3 q3
26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
1-Nov-15 1-Dec-15 1-Jan-16 1-Feb-16 1-Mar-16 1-Apr-16 1-May-16 1-Jun-16
30-Nov-15 31-Dec-15 31-Jan-16 29-Feb-16 31-Mar-16 30-Apr-16 31-May-16 30-Jun-16
$ 300,000
$ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333
34 35 36
1-Jul-16 1-Aug-16 1-Sep-16
31-Jul-16 31-Aug-16 30-Sep-16
$ 1,200,000
$ 700,000
Assumptions
CY Q1 CY Q2 CY Q3 CY Q4
20% 15% 30% 35%
* assume months within each quarter have equal sales irrespective of
the number of days in each month
Widget Sales
30-Sep-13
Sale Price per unit $ 33.59
Contribution Margin 25%
Variable Cost per unit $ 25.19
Contrib margin 8.40
Indirect Costs
Date $
31-Dec-13 $ 100,000
28-Feb-14 $ 100,000
30-Apr-14 $ 120,000
30-Jun-14 $ 120,000
31-Aug-14 $ 120,000
30-Sep-14 $ 180,000
30-Nov-14 $ 120,000
31-Dec-14 $ 300,000
31-Mar-15 $ 120,000
30-Jun-15 $ 300,000
30-Sep-15 $ 120,000
31-Dec-15 $ 300,000
Assets Opening
Cash $ 36,000
Accounts Receivable $ 1,200,000
Property Plant and Equipment $ 1,000,000
Total Assets $ 2,236,000
Taxation
Tricky Widgets has substantial historic tax losses. Assume that no tax will be payable for the period of analysis.
Q1 Q1
Forecast
Total cost $ 684,825 $ 684,825
Counter 1 2
Start of Period 1-Oct-13 1-Nov-13
End of Period 30-Sep-13 31-Oct-13 30-Nov-13
Cash $ 36,000
M 419,860
M+1
M+2
M 582,101
M+1
M+2
Total cost - 582,101
Debt anortisation
Debt facility $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333
Q1 q2 q2 q2 q3 q3 q3
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1-Dec-13 1-Jan-14 1-Feb-14 1-Mar-14 1-Apr-14 1-May-14 1-Jun-14
31-Dec-13 31-Jan-14 28-Feb-14 31-Mar-14 30-Apr-14 31-May-14 30-Jun-14
$ 120,000
$ 70,000
CY 2013 CY 2014
Variable cost Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
CV M1 $ 524,825 $ 440,853 $ 881,706 $ 1,028,657 $ 580,750 $ 435,563
CV M2 $ 524,825 $ 440,853 $ 881,706 $ 1,028,657 $ 580,750 $ 435,563
CV M3 $ 524,825 $ 440,853 $ 881,706 $ 1,028,657 $ 580,750 $ 435,563
CY 2013 CY 2014
Total cost Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Total cost M1 $ 684,825 $ 560,853 $ 1,121,706 $ 1,308,657 $ 747,150 $ 560,363
Total cost M2 $ 684,825 $ 560,853 $ 1,121,706 $ 1,308,657 $ 747,150 $ 560,363
Total cost M3 $ 684,825 $ 560,853 $ 1,121,706 $ 1,308,657 $ 747,150 $ 560,363
CY 2013 CY 2014
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Indirect costs $ 480,000 $ 360,000 $ 720,000 $ 840,000 $ 499,200 $ 374,400
Cost M1 $ 160,000 $ 120,000 $ 240,000 $ 280,000 $ 166,400 $ 124,800
Cost M2 $ 160,000 $ 120,000 $ 240,000 $ 280,000 $ 166,400 $ 124,800
Cost M3 $ 160,000 $ 120,000 $ 240,000 $ 280,000 $ 166,400 $ 124,800
q4 q4 q4 Q1 Q1 Q1 q2 q2
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
1-Jul-14 1-Aug-14 1-Sep-14 1-Oct-14 1-Nov-14 1-Dec-14 1-Jan-15 1-Feb-15
31-Jul-14 31-Aug-14 30-Sep-14 31-Oct-14 30-Nov-14 31-Dec-14 31-Jan-15 28-Feb-15
18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
1-Mar-15 1-Apr-15 1-May-15 1-Jun-15 1-Jul-15 1-Aug-15 1-Sep-15 1-Oct-15
31-Mar-15 30-Apr-15 31-May-15 30-Jun-15 31-Jul-15 31-Aug-15 30-Sep-15 31-Oct-15
CY 2016
Q3 Q4
$ 1,092,740 $ 1,274,863
$ 1,092,740 $ 1,274,863
$ 1,092,740 $ 1,274,863
CY 2016
Q3 Q4
$ 1,362,707 $ 1,589,825
$ 1,362,707 $ 1,589,825
$ 1,362,707 $ 1,589,825
CY 2016
Q3 Q4
$ 809,902 $ 944,886
$ 269,967 $ 314,962
$ 269,967 $ 314,962
$ 269,967 $ 314,962
Q1 Q1 q2 q2 q2 q3 q3 q3
26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
1-Nov-15 1-Dec-15 1-Jan-16 1-Feb-16 1-Mar-16 1-Apr-16 1-May-16 1-Jun-16
30-Nov-15 31-Dec-15 31-Jan-16 29-Feb-16 31-Mar-16 30-Apr-16 31-May-16 30-Jun-16
$ 300,000
$ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333 $ 23,333
34 35 36
1-Jul-16 1-Aug-16 1-Sep-16
31-Jul-16 31-Aug-16 30-Sep-16
$ 1,200,000
$ 700,000