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Intelligence—Is it Achievable?
Lotfi A. Zadeh
Computer Science Division
Department of EECS
UC Berkeley
URL: http://www-bisc.cs.berkeley.edu
URL: http://zadeh.cs.berkeley.edu/
1 /90 Email: Zadeh@eecs.berkeley.edu LAZ 2/15/2008
2 /90 LAZ 2/15/2008
IMPACT OF MACHINE INTELLIGENCE
z Achievement of human-level machine
intelligence will have a profound impact on
modern society—a society which is driven by
a quest for efficiency, convenience and
enhancement of quality of life.
human-centric info-centric
problems
systems systems
hardware
software
FLe epistemic
G/G: Graduation/Granulation
µ middle
µ young -aged old
1
1
0 0 Age
quantized Age granulated
graduation granulation
FUZZY LOGIC
generalized precisiation
constraint
singular granular
unemployment 7.3% high
temperature 102.5 very high
blood pressure 160/80 high
30 /90 LAZ 2/15/2008
GRANULATION OF A FUNCTION
GRANULATION=SUMMARIZATION
Y f *f (fuzzy graph)
L
large x small
M
S
0
0
S M L
granulation
f summarization *f : if X is small then Y is small
if X is medium then Y is large
if X is large then Y is small
p1 p2 p
pn
0 X
A1 A2 A An
pi is Pi : granular value of pi , i=1, …, n
(Pi , Ai) , i=1, …, n are given
A is given
(?P, A)
32 /90 LAZ 2/15/2008
GRANULAR VS. GRANULE-VALUED
DISTRIBUTIONS
distribution
P g(u): probability
density of X p1 pn
…
P1 P2 P Pn
0 X granules
A1 A2 A An
possibility distribution of probability distribution of
probability distributions possibility distributions
33 /90 LAZ 2/15/2008
GRANULATION OF A DYNAMICAL SYSTEM
YAMAKAWA’S INVERTED PENDULUM (1989)
Grade
Grade
Grade
Low
Not Low
0 30 130 180 0 54 0 5
Speed Throttle Shift
Control Rules:
1. If (speed is low) and (shift is high) then (-3)
2. If (speed is high) and (shift is low) then (+3)
3. If (throt is low) and (speed is high) then (+3)
4. If (throt is low) and (speed is low) then (+1)
5. If (throt is high) and (speed is high) then (-1)
6. If (throt is high) and (speed is low) then (-3)
38 /90 LAZ 2/15/2008
MODALITIES OF VALUATION
PRECISE
v-precise m-precise
Examples
young
1
young m-precisiation
0
v-imprecisiation
Lily is 25 Lily is young
m-imprecisiation
m-precisiation
mh-precisiation mm-precisiation
human-oriented machine-oriented
(mathematically well-
Example: bear market defined)
mh-precisiation: declining stock market with expectation
of further decline
cointension
v-imprecisiation
variable or variable or
system of v-imprecisiation system of
variables variables
v-imprecisiation mm-precisiation
p
young
1
Lily is 25 Lily is young
0
FL FL+
z f-point z f-perpendicular
z f-line z f-bisector
z f-triangle z f-altitude
z f-parallel z f-concurrence
z f-similar z f-tangent
z f-circle z …
z f-median z f-theorem
z Draw an f-triangle
z Draw the f-medians
z Look at the intersection of the f-medians
z F-asses the f-degree, *r, of f-similarity between the
intersection and an f-point
z Mark *r with a spray-pen on the scale [0, 1]
z Repeat the construct *n times
z Empirical f-proof: the f-points *r1, …, *rn form an f-
distance near 1
z Assumed f-properties
ABC and A’B’C’ are f-similar A’
A
B C B’ C”
A A’
B B’
C C’
AB *= A’B’
AC A’C’
c b
r e
B C
a
z cb is f-parallel to BC
z dre is an f-line parallel to BC and passing through
the f-intersection, r, of Bb and Cc
z Dr*=re (by parallelism)
z Therefore Ba= aC
z f-maximum
z f-convexity
z f-separation
z f-causality
z f-subsethood
f(*a)*= *f(a)
Y Y
X X
level set
undominated
z THEOREM 1
A B
FL FL+
mm-precisiation mm-precisiation
mandatory optional