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THE PROBLEM:
THREE STUDENTS WERE GIVEN A BAG OF 9 STARS, THE BAG CONTAINED 3
COLORS ALL SAME SIZE AND SHAPE. THERE WERE 3 RED, 3 BLUE AND 3
GREEN. IF THE STUDENTS WERE TO REACH IN AND GRAB ONE STAR AT A
TIME, WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY FOR THEM TO GET ONE OF EACH
COLOR?
THE FORMULA:
P(E)=Number of Possible combinations / Number of Sample size
P(e) 3 colors
P= P(s) = 9 total stars
= 13 Per draw with replacement
SO, LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT WHAT WE DO KNOW:
Draw #3
1
Here we have all the Red star
3
possibilities that can
Red star Blue star
happen when we 1
grab a star from the 3 Green Star
bag and replace it
back. 1
1 Red star
3
Red Stars
3
Blue star Blue star
1
Green Star
3
1
Red star
3
Green star Blue star
Green Star
1
3 1
Red star
3
Red star Blue star
1
3 Green Star
1
1
1
3 Red star
3 Blue star
Bag of Stars 3 Blue Stars Blue star
1
3 Green Star
1
Red star
3
Green star Blue star
Green Star
1 1 Red star
3 3
Red star Blue star
1 Green Star
3
1 Red star
1
3
3 Blue star
Green Stars Blue Star
1 Green Star
3 1
Red star
3
Green star Blue star
Green Star
THE PROBIBILITIES FOR EACH COMBONATIONS
9 STARS
3 COLORS/3 DRAWS PROBABILITIES
STARTING W/ THE RED STAR
DRA DRAW DRAW FRACTION DECIMAL % OF
W #1 #2 #3 FORM FORM PROBABILITY
* 1/3 = 1/27 0.037 3.70%
RRR 1/3 * 1/3
* 1/3 = 1/27 0.037 3.70%
RRB 1/3 * 1/3
* 1/3 = 1/27 0.037 3.70%
RRG 1/3 * 1/3
* 1/3 = 1/27 0.037 3.70%
RBR 1/3 * 1/3
* 1/3 = 1/27 0.037 3.70%
RBB 1/3 * 1/3
2+2+2 6 2
3x3x3
=
27
= 9
PART TWO: WITHOUT REPLACEMENTS
FIRST LET’S START WITH THE FORMULA THAT WILL BE
USED TO HELP SOLVE THE QUESTION:
P(e) P(e)
9x8x7 = 504
Here we have all Draw #3
the possibilities that
can happen when
we grab a star from Red star 1
7
the bag and DONT 3
Red star Blue star
replace it. 2
7
3
8 Green Star 7
3 Red star 2
7
Red Stars 8 Blue star Blue star
2
7
3
3
8 Green Star 7
2
Red star 7
3
Green star Blue star 7
2
Green Star 7
2
3 Red star 7
9 3 Red star Blue star
2
7
8 3
Green Star 7
3 2 Red star 3
7
8
Bag of Stars 9 Blue Stars Blue star Blue star
1
7
3
3 Green Star 7
8 3
Red star 7
2
3 Green star Blue star 7
9 Green Star
2
7
2
Red star 7
3
3 Blue star
Red star 7
2
8 Green Star 7
3
3 Red star 7
2
Green Stars
8 Blue Star Blue star 7
2
Green Star 7
2
8 Red star
3
7
Here is another the tree diagram and what it looks like when written out. Notice how the sample
size (the denominator) changes as each star is removed. As the amount in the bag lessons so does
the probability of getting the same color!
Questions to think about while looking at the results:
• Do you notice any patterns?
• Can you predict the outcome of the next set?
9 STARS
3 COLORS/3 DRAWS
without replacement PROBABILITIES
STARTING W/ THE RED STAR
27+27+27+27+27+27 162 9
9x8x7 = 504 = = 32.1%
28
Likely to get 3 stars in one star of
32.1% Each color without replacement