Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Introduction.................................................................................................................................. 3
Technology Components............................................................................................................. 5
Database................................................................................................................................. 6
Data Models............................................................................................................................ 7
Machine Learning................................................................................................................... 8
Production Operations.........................................................................................................12
Back Office............................................................................................................................15
Midstream.............................................................................................................................16
Conclusion..................................................................................................................................18
References..................................................................................................................................19
About Quorum............................................................................................................................20
Current market volatility provides proof that optimization is needed across the oil and gas
value chain. Companies that leverage data to optimize business processes will not only
survive, but thrive during market downturns and dominate the industry on the next upswing.
Introduction
Energy producers live and die by the decisions they make; the concept is well known. E&Ps
take incredible risks to find, drill, complete, and produce oil and gas. Midstream companies
invest billions to gather, process, and send that energy to market.
Specialized applications are available to solve specific and complex problems in the energy
industry. However, good decision making in select areas of the business is insufficient to
thrive in today’s energy market. Companies must execute in all areas of the business, on
top-performing projects, with impeccable timing, and be ready to shift resources as market
conditions change – all while continuing to operate their existing assets.
In the current market environment, companies are cutting budgets for capital projects.
These decreased investments could have a material impact on future production and
accumulating reserves to enable accelerated growth when prices recover. Agile companies
that are making these decisions are not developing a single model; they are generating
numerous models that need to factor in many complex data driven elements, which are
often interdependent.
In the real world, an E&P must consider many factors that are all dependent on moving
targets, especially given the volatility of the markets today. First, companies must focus
on what they have control over, and then move beyond to areas where the only guarantee
is change.
Any big data system delivers one or more of the five Vs: i
VELOCITY
Rate of data
received VERACITY
Quality of
VOLUME data
Amount of
data
VARIETY VALUE
Different types Analytics on
of data the data
Source: Big Data: Using SMART Big Data, Analytics and Metrics to Make Better Decisions
and Improve Performance (Marr)
In 2015, nearly half of the drilling rigs in North America were idled in less than 12 months.
Decisions were made during this time that shifted hundreds of billions of dollars as
companies went from drill mode to survival. When the market shifts upwards, how quickly
will the industry be able to pivot? Cloud computing and Internet-connected devices deliver
the business agility and insight required by the oil and gas industry to quickly adapt to
changing conditions.
Machine Learning
Today, most companies would gain tremendous benefits from connecting data
silos together, providing visibility into the basic relationships that are already
known to exist, such as vendor and cost. It is not surprising that technology
leaders over the last decade dominate in machine learning and artificial
intelligence platforms. IoT and the potential value created by the petabytes of
data streaming from billions of these devices, is why these leaders are advancing
the platforms and tools to eliminate the barriers to entry into this cutting-edge
field. A few of the platforms and toolkits to consider for use:
With disparate and disconnected systems, market volatility masks the problem when prices
increase and leaves executives scrambling for answers when prices rapidly decline. There
are a number of analytics and data services available today that utilize public and internal
sources of data that provide visibility to land availability and drilling activity.
Once the assets have been acquired and field development begins, a real-time field
development engine can continually evaluate and refine reserves, re-value assets, and even
alter development plans as conditions are met and milestones achieved. In the world of IoT,
data streams are already available that provide each department with the real-time data
they need but rarely provide value to any other organization unit.
During the land acquisition phase in a newly discovered basin, landmen descend and
acquire as much land as possible for the lowest cost. Each mineral owner and each lease
can be different. In the deal negotiating confusion, there is an emotional component to land
deals, and time is typically the only means of placing true value on each deal.
Connected energy intelligence answers the questions below in real time, all the time:
What assets should be divested? What assets have the lowest risk?
What assets have the highest value? What divestiture will have the least
impact on future shareholder value?
Most of these questions could be answered by one division, but they become more difficult
to answer when considering:
Internal factors
Field development backlog
Expected decline curves versus actual
Delayed rentals and lease expirations
Seismic data and existing analysis
Downstream activities
Processing facility construction
Gathering systems
Pipeline capacity
External factors
Service provider performance and cost
Resource and equipment costs
Hedging and risk
Companies with solid balance sheets look for acquisition targets that can add long-lasting
shareholder value from distressed companies. Similar to a land acquisition where each
lease is objectively scored, the entire data set for a potential deal must be processed,
analyzed, and scored. Data produces information that can be used to provide the
acquisition and development roadmap given current and expected market conditions.
Data models use hundreds, sometimes thousands, of controllable inputs: drill location,
depth, frac stages, lateral length, proppant type and amount, pump pressures and rates,
etc. Outside economic factors can also play a significant role from one basis to another
and even from one pad to another. The frac water source and location of nearby flow back
locations for blending reused water at these lower prices will drive whether or not a well
gets drilled at all.
The drilling process no longer consists of a tool-pusher capturing drilling depth on a paper
sheet. Data streaming is the new normal, where fiber optics are used to sample hundreds
of sensors every few seconds and gather rates, pressures, weight, torque, molecular of gas
captured, etc. It is now common for a drilling engineer in Houston to monitor drilling activity
in Pennsylvania remotely. However, these systems are still very much point to point and
lack enterprise integration.
The figure below illustrates how Ayata Prescriptive Analytics software enables completion
designers to get the recipe for an optimized well design. As improvements are made, more
data is collected, and the system gets smarter, yielding additional improvements.
Production Operations
For any company that expects to make it through this or any future downturn, the times
when data is not used on a day-to-day, hour-by-hour basis for oil and gas production are
long gone. Technology and information have been lockstep with capital expenditures for
decades, and production operations and the corresponding operating expenses were largely
ignored. However, companies seek efficiency when commodity prices decline. Efficiency is
not a luxury. It is mandated for survival.
Production optimization is not solely dependent on producing more oil and gas all the time;
to truly optimize production, companies must produce smarter with less overhead. Efficient
E&Ps have already introduced mobility into every aspect of operations. Accuracy is a side
effect of manual data collected at the source using smart devices such as tablets. However,
capturing a set of important data points, one time per day, by sending a field technician is
incredibly inefficient.
Utilizing devices and sensors to capture pressures, rates, and equipment control data on
high frequencies yields far more accurate data sets, improving an engineer’s ability to
make production decisions. The scarcity of engineering knowledge increases the time
between receiving event information and a decision’s positive outcome or negative impact.
Intelligent systems must also deliver information back to the field technician, providing
actionable information rather than just a better means of collecting data.
In a study conducted by McKinsey & Company, automation and optimization will yield the
most substantial results for any upstream company. iii Process control automation of oil
and gas assets has been a part of localized production operations for decades from the
perspective of a well, facility, and platform driven by safety and maximizing output. With
the limiting factors of computing and storage infrastructure removed, the industry moves
beyond observational analysis to continuous improvement via data models with many input
variables associated to data points sourced outside of the production system. Warm bodies
in front of a monitor and keyboard do move the needle far enough to enable companies to
thrive in extremely low commodity markets.
Artificial lift was an early form of automation for production operations and, in nearly all
cases, is limited by control automation at a very narrowly focused level. As a connected
analytical system that leverages sensor, business, and third-party data, artificial lift should
be controlled by systems that produce the most for the company, not in terms of volumes,
but revenue.
Consider an unconventional eight natural gas well pad and the effects of equipment failures
on one or two wells. In this situation, a control system can manage total productive output
by enabling other wells to continue to produce longer or with more frequent cycles when
other wells are not available. It can even allow for the wells coming back into production to
have more pipeline and production availability to ‘make up’ for lost production.
The biggest source of lost revenue throughout oil and gas is unplanned downtime, most
of which is preventable through proper maintenance programs. An intelligent optimization
platform goes beyond the current expectation of using human capital to schedule and
deploy human resources. The manufacturers of large and expensive production equipment
are leading the charge in this space and rightly so. It is no longer good enough to sell a
good piece of equipment that works day one. The expectation is added value through
instruction, training, and outright packaged solutions that leverage the sensor and control
data from each component to determine the likelihood of failure by more than just time.
Preventative maintenance is an immediate driver for the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT),
largely because manufacturers of large capital equipment understand the value of data and
how much control they have over their products after they go into production. A natural gas
compressor can have thousands of moving or controlled parts, each with its own useful life.
Data models have to aid in determining and extending the life of each part. Some of these
data models analyze the actual life based on real recorded conditions in order to arrive at
more accurate representations of useful life and what maintenance programs extend it.
This approach also reduces downtime.
The gains realized by keeping large, critical equipment in service longer without unexpected
failures is obvious. When the sensor and control data is pushed from individual control
panels into data models that leverage data from the rest of the enterprise, the result is
operational excellence. Excellence is never achieved; it is the target. There is always some
incremental improvement to make, another competitive advantage to gain.
Improvement can come in the form of intelligently distributing the scarce set of knowledge
from field operators. Some would describe this distribution as route optimization. However,
route optimization is often used to describe reactionary mechanisms to address unplanned
downtime and lost production.
Connected energy intelligence allows for all of the above to be leveraged in order to build
and distribute optimized routes throughout the day. Improving logistics for proper resource
allocation in a 24-7, commodity-based industry will lead to future compounded benefits.
Back Office
Back-office cost centers of oil and gas companies will become the controllers of innovation
in the future. Why? Because they sit in the middle of big data for the oil and gas industry
and they put a dollar value on all of it.
It is often surprising how much effort goes into keeping the data moving between data
silos. Data models exist today in other industries such as retail and manufacturing that are
very similar to what energy companies require. Energy producers need to manage inputs
through vendor performance and optimize output through hedging and risk management,
the same way an automobile manufacturer has to manage its suppliers and the demands
that are influenced by commodity markets.
Hundreds of vendors are used to locate, drill, complete, and produce oil and gas, which
is very similar to a manufacturer. The energy industry is built on relationships and an
assumption of value. Commodity downturns test the business relationships between E&Ps
and service providers as every invoice is scrutinized at a granular level. Decisions made on
relationships alone are why E&Ps were able to achieve immediate efficiency gains through
service provider cost reductions. Similar to manufacturing, a big data solution can identify
performance and quality trends of every vendor, allowing decisions on the merits of quality
and reliability rather than cost or location.
Consider a natural gas gathering and processing company with operations in a rapidly
expanding basin. New plants are being constructed, compressor stations are brought
online, sales meters are installed at each well pad, and everything is connected through
SCADA. The device and sensor data is also streamed to a large big data analytics platform
that is also connected to the back-office ERP, measurement, contract, financial, as well as
commodity prices fed from the NYSE. The company has also worked out terms with their
trading partners on data enrichment agreements that allow for information to flow between
organizations.
Since companies in this sector make the most profits through maintaining a consistent
flow of product at a target capacity, big data solutions have application value. First, let’s
review an example of where it is simply not possible for a single human being to process,
analyze, interpret, and interpolate where and how to make adjustments to flow rates and
send those notifications and control alerts to their upstream customers every hour of
the day. By tapping into real-time data streams from remote devices and sensors, and
applying machine learning, opportunities can be identified that improve the flow of gas
through the system, resulting in more favorable terms for customers. Connecting this
sort of intelligence, once identified, may simply be a matter of distributing actionable
notifications. In order to increase the likelihood of acceptance, real-time analytics can apply
financial terms and not only provide upstream customers with the desired rate, but also the
anticipated revenue value of the change.
The interesting aspect of this scenario is that it is continuous and repeatedly testable by
incentivizing with market forces. Offering customers a five percent reduction in fees to
maintain a consistent 15 percent increase in total volume speaks for itself.
The same data streams can feed other neural networks, enhancing other systems in
order to:
Identify imbalances in the system and feed the opportunity costs and offers for
adjustments
Push gas conditional control parameters back to process control systems to so that
all processing equipment is performing
Estimate line pack
Additional opportunities for improvement are available through the application of cloud
computing, machine learning, and predictive analytics against continual ingestions of
data that affect the results of each model. Cloud computing encourages the efficient use
of capital while expanding computing and storage capacity. And with today’s capabilities
in machine learning, companies can expand beyond one scenario that engineers and
management conceptualize, and instead run through many potential scenarios to produce
the best path forward.
Companies will continue to have better access to data from their trading partners and
services providers including: devices in the field that stream real-time production data, real-
time market and commodity pricing, and risks and the predictive models. Results from each
of these business areas all play an important role in the recommendations that executives
will use to direct their organizations through the ups and downs.
iii McKinsey & Company. (2014, August). Digitizing Oil and Gas Production. Retrieved March 15, 2016, from McKinsey &
Company website: http://www.mckinsey.com/industries/oil-and-gas/our-insights/digitizing-oil-and-gas-production
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