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Bond Games

George S. Oldfield
Corporate debt indentures are complex contracts that include a variety of
restrictions and options. On one side, an issuing corporation can engineer
game-based transactions to escape covenant restrictions or capture option
value for its stockholders. On the other side, bondholders can form coalitions
to resist a corporation’s endeavors and capture option value for the coalition.
This article analyzes several types of such strategic debt transactions. The
examples show that corporate debt games can strongly influence corporate
bond prices.

C
orporations can issue a myriad of financial corporate bond games start only with the likelihood
claims—some pure equity, some straight of a substantive default (see Myers 2001). To analyze
debt, and some that combine elements of corporate debt pricing, the potential for bond games
both. All the different types of claims have must be included throughout the life of the debt
embedded option features. Direct options are con- instrument. A corporation can manipulate the value
veyed through specific contract provisions; indi- of a debt contract to its shareholders’ benefit, and
rect ones are conveyed through claims in creditors’ loss, in the normal give and take of bond
restructuring, bankruptcy, and liquidation. The trading.1 Thus, active corporate debt investing
embedded options, although more or less clear in requires both analytical and negotiating skills in the
their apparent influence on pricing, can also have ordinary course of portfolio management.
significant but less obvious valuation conse- Corporate debt markets are not staid and quiet
quences. In particular, normal conflicts between venues in which a few bonds are shuffled about
issuers and investors can generate strategic trading each day. In 2000, about $507 billion of new non-
games in which debt prices deviate substantially convertible corporate debt instruments were
from their apparent option-based values even issued in the United States (Bond Market Associa-
though a default is not part of the game. I show how tion 2001). About 400,000 corporate issues, with a
some of these games work. value of almost $3.5 trillion, are outstanding (“Big
Option-pricing techniques have brought an Board Backpedals . . .” 2001). In secondary markets,
important element of realism to corporate claim trades among institutions and dealers predomi-
pricing. Game analysis takes valuation a step fur- nate. A round lot is $1 million in principal value,
ther by showing how interested parties can find and 100-lot orders are common. Although trading
strategies to neutralize or capture the option fea- in any individual issue is sporadic, each primary
tures of other parties’ claims. These strategic trans- issue generates a cascade of secondary trades, in
actions can strongly influence a corporation’s bond both the new bonds and other issues, as portfolio
values throughout an issue’s life. managers swap new bonds for old ones and dealers
In times of corporate financial distress, debt find the old bonds new homes. These secondary
covenants are important factors in claim valuation trades, distributed across hundreds of thousands of
(see Gilson, John, and Lang 1990). Priority, collat- different corporate debt issues, create “flow trad-
eral, voting rights, and ownership distribution can ing” in the secondary market. On top of this flow
substantially influence a claim’s payoff. Although trading, large transactions generated by informa-
such end-game analyses are an important feature of
tion about issuers, “squeezes,” “corners,” exchange
corporate finance, the focus in this article is differ-
offers, and structured transactions (defined later)
ent. Here, the emphasis is on games that occur in the
occur daily. I analyze the incentives and mechanics
normal course of business. This angle is important
of several types of information trading and the
because many informed commentaries assert that
impact of this trading on corporate bonds’ values.
A difficult or contested strategic corporate
George S. Oldfield is Richard S. Reynolds Professor of bond transaction does not denote a disequilibrium
Finance in the Graduate School of Business, College of between an issuer and its investors. Rather, it means
William and Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia. that a state of nature that was evaluated as a

52 ©2004, AIMR®
Bond Games

low-probability outcome at the time of issue has ing contract terms. If the bonds are widely held or
come to pass and both the issuer and the investors the creditors demand costly terms for relaxing a
are playing out their predictable roles in this state. covenant, the issuing corporation can engineer a
No indenture contract is perfect. Arbitrageurs or freeze-out exchange offer or a more creditor-
issuers simply take advantage of the opportunities friendly defeasance.
afforded in certain states of nature when they occur.
All informed market participants understand that Freeze-Out Exchange Offer. A simple exam-
various types of games—squeezes or “freeze- ple illustrates how a freeze-out exchange offer
outs”—are an inherent part of the corporate bond works. Consider a corporation with asset value V,
market’s natural equilibrium. A market equilibrium where V = $1 billion. The corporation is financed
could not occur without interested parties trying to with straight debt, labeled B, with market value
capture profitable opportunities as they arise. $550 million split among 5.5 million bonds that
Hedge funds, “vulture investors,” dealer pro- currently trade at par value of $100 each. The bonds
prietary trading desks, and convertible bond arbi- have an 8 percent coupon and no current redemp-
trageurs actively seek profits from strategic tion provisions, but the indenture agreement con-
corporate debt trading. Troubled corporations, or tains a restrictive covenant that the corporation
those that want to capture short-term gains for their wants to escape. Assume that a two-thirds vote of
shareholders, carefully monitor chances to freeze the bonds is necessary to change the covenant. (A
out indenture covenants or force exchanges and con- super majority is a common requirement for inden-
versions.2 Although such an occurrence is unlikely ture changes, although simple majorities are fre-
for any single new issue, the existence of hundreds
quently required for changes that do not affect
of thousands of corporate bond issues creates daily
payment terms.) Finally, assume that the bond
or weekly strategic trading in secondary corporate
owners are so dispersed or recalcitrant that secur-
bond markets. The trading by arbitrageurs in these
ing a two-thirds vote to change the covenant would
situations is an important force in corporate bond
pricing for both old and new bonds. Therefore, ini- be quite difficult. In this case, the corporation can
tial investors in any corporate bond issue must be execute a freeze-out.
aware of the possible eventual consequences of the To engineer a voluntary exchange that nullifies
various covenants in a corporate indenture. (freezes out) the restrictive covenant, the corpora-
Many strategic transactions are privately nego- tion can foist a “prisoner’s dilemma” on the current
tiated and virtually invisible to outside observers. bondholders.3 Suppose a new bond issue is offered
In addition, many apparently ordinary exchange to existing bondholders in exchange for the old
offers, tenders, and conversions contain a game- bonds, one for one. The new bonds have an 8.5
based component that only intensive analysis can percent coupon and the same redemption features
uncover. For example, the “sinking fund squeeze” and maturity date as the old ones but no restrictive
described later appeared to be a simple redemption covenant. Any and all tendered bonds can be
by the issuer followed by a private placement. In exchanged. However, the offer has a proviso: Any
fact, the structured transaction presented in that old bond tendered in the exchange constitutes also
example is only one of many arbitrage trades under- a vote by that bond to remove the covenant in the
taken in a dealer’s proprietary trading activity. old bond’s indenture contract. Thus, if a bond-
holder does not tender and two-thirds of the old
The Exchange Game bonds are tendered by other bondholders, the hold-
out bondholder is stuck with the old bond and its
A corporation has a special type of fiduciary obli-
8 percent coupon and no covenant whereas the ten-
gation to its shareholders but a lesser contractual
dering bondholders get a new bond with an 8.5
responsibility to its creditors. To protect them-
selves, creditors frequently require extensive and percent coupon.
restrictive covenants in a debt indenture before If bondholders cannot form a coalition against
providing funds to the corporation (see Smith and the offer, each ith bondholder faces the hypotheti-
Warner 1979). Although these terms are viewed as cal payoff in Table 1. The current market value of
a necessary cost of raising money when the instru- an old bond is $100. All other prices are for illus-
ments are issued, a corporation may later find cer- tration. Only the relative magnitudes are impor-
tain covenants to be too limiting vis-à-vis desired tant. Although an 8.5 percent coupon was used in
corporate initiatives. If the bonds are held by a few this illustration, the corporation can choose what-
creditors—say, as a result of a private placement— ever coupon is necessary to make the relative
negotiations are frequently used to alter the offend- prices work.

May/June 2004 53
Financial Analysts Journal

Table 1. Freeze-Out Game Outcomes bank loans in which a small group of creditors
Bondholder i
carefully monitors the corporation’s action and
acts together to prevent corporate games.
Does Does Not
Two-Thirds Tender Tender In December 2002, Qwest Communications
Do tender $99 $98
International Corporation executed a coercive
Do not tender $101 $100
exchange offer to reduce its aggregate indebted-
ness. Some features of the exchange offer were
similar to a standard freeze-out. Qwest sought to
The columns in Table 1 represent the choices exchange new notes for 11 separate debt instru-
of an individual bondholder. The rows show what ments it had previously issued. The offer, a series
other bondholders might do. The number in each of private placement notes, was made only to the
cell gives the hypothetical bond value of the qualified institutional and non-U.S. holders of the
exchange offer to the ith individual. For example, targeted outstanding notes and debentures. The
if bondholder i tenders (the left column) and two- exchange offer had two tiers. In the first tier, up to
thirds of other bonds are tendered too, all the ten- $6.9 billion in old notes and debentures could be
dered bonds are exchanged for new bonds with a swapped for specified new notes with lower prin-
value of $99. The higher coupon does not quite cipal values and longer maturities but higher cou-
compensate for the less restrictive covenant. If the pons and claim priorities. The second tier offered
ith bondholder tenders and most other bonds do holders of the remaining $6 billion in old instru-
not, investor i gets a new bond that is protected by ments tendered one-for-one exchanges, old notes
the old bond indenture. Thus, the new bond is and debentures for new notes, in which the old and
new notes had the same principal, maturity, and
worth a premium $101 value because it has a higher
coupon but the new notes had a higher claim pri-
coupon and the old bond’s covenant is still in force.
ority. No changes were proposed for indentures of
If individual i does not tender (the right column)
the old instruments not tendered. Thus, $12.9 bil-
but two-thirds of the old bonds make the exchange, lion in old notes and debentures were qualified for
the ith bondholder keeps the old bond with the the exchange in two tiers, with the target amount
lower coupon and loses the covenant. If bond- being $6.9 billion of the old securities.
holder i does not tender and most other bonds are Consider how the exchange offer coerced the
not tendered either, the covenant stays in force and old note and debenture holders to tender those
the old bonds keep their $100 price.4 instruments. On the one hand, if old notes or deben-
Table 1 clearly shows from the payoffs in tures were accepted by Qwest in Tier One, higher
terms of bond value that each bondholder alone coupons and claim priorities were granted in the
facing the same decision should tender old bonds new notes. Because a bankruptcy filing was a dis-
for new ones. The dilemma is that each bondholder tinct possibility, the new notes offered both
would be better off if no bonds were tendered. The increased current income and enhanced potential
incentive in the dilemma forces the exchange, workout benefits. Moreover, although the princi-
which removes the covenant. If bondholders are pal discount was substantial, the new notes were
dispersed and remain uncoordinated, the corpora- structured to trade at par whereas the old notes and
tion can capitalize on this disorganization to sub- debentures traded at a large discount to par
vert the restrictive covenant. This act can be the (because of Qwest’s financial difficulties). Thus, the
first in a more complex type of transaction that is principal “haircut” was about the same as the cap-
ital loss on the old instruments for current inves-
discussed in the section on convertible bonds. Of
tors. Even if tendered instruments were accepted
course, if a corporation makes a practice of this
by Qwest only in Tier Two, the claim priority was
type of freeze-out, the inclusion of restrictive cov-
better in the new notes. Holding the old notes and
enants in future bond issues will bring no value
debentures meant that claim priority in bankruptcy
premium because forced exchanges will be was reduced by the amount of new notes issued.
expected.5 Also, the increase in coupon required to Hence, although the old indenture contracts were
engineer the game can make the interest expense not changed by a direct vote in the exchange, the
too high to justify freezing out the covenant. In effect of the exchange was to reduce the value of
addition, a coalition of bondholders can defeat the any untendered instruments.
corporation’s game by coordinating their actions, A group of institutional investors that owned
not tendering and thus avoiding the prisoner’s the $4 billion of the various old Qwest issues sued
dilemma. Therefore, corporations with dicey rep- Qwest to prevent the exchange offer, which they
utations can be forced into private placements or termed coercive and deficient in value. The ability

54 ©2004, AIMR®
Bond Games

of such a group to organize and file suit demon- Despite the improved claim priority in the new
strates substantial coordination and resistance notes, holdouts were probably anticipating more
among the holders of the old instruments. Never- favorable treatment in a bankruptcy proceeding if
theless, the suit was dismissed and the exchange such a filing should occur. Corporations frequently
offer was completed on 26 December 2002. Results attempt freeze-outs during financial distress to
of the exchange offer are shown in Table 2. reduce indebtedness and eliminate the claims of
The issuer of the original instruments was potentially troublesome holdout creditors during a
Qwest Financial Corporation (QFC), a wholly financial restructuring.6
owned finance subsidiary of Qwest. The new notes’
Indenture Escape through Defeasance. A
issuer was Qwest Service Corporation (QSC),
defeasance is a bond transaction in which a com-
another wholly owned subsidiary of Qwest and one
pany effectively refunds a bond issue without retir-
with substantial real assets. The targeted QFC notes
ing it. To accomplish a defeasance, a corporation
and debentures are listed first in Table 2. Reading
establishes a defeasance trust, purchases govern-
across Table 2 provides the reduction in principal ment (or agency) bonds in sufficient quantity to
value proposed for each issue, the size of the original fund its own bond issue, and delivers the collateral
issue, and the results of the exchange offer. For to the defeasance fund’s trustee. The liability of the
example, from Panel A, for each $1,000 in principal trust is the obligation to pay the defeased bonds’
value at 5.875 percent QFC notes due in 2004, prin- principal and interest. The trustee assures that the
cipal amount of $825 at 13 percent QSC notes due in timely payment of interest and principal from the
2007 was offered. The total old issue was $1.25 bil- government (or agency) bonds’ payouts goes to the
lion, of which $287 million (23 percent) was tendered corporation’s bondholders.
and accepted. The result was a reduction in the A legal defeasance is one in which the bond
indebtedness of Qwest by $50 million ($287 million indenture allows the corporation to escape its inden-
– $237 million) in this issue alone. (Tiers One and ture covenants through the transaction. For exam-
Two are various issues in Panels A, B, and C.) The ple, a legal defeasance can be used to extinguish a
last line of Table 2 shows that, overall, Qwest offered corporation’s obligation under a call-protected pre-
exchanges for up to $12.903 billion in principal value mium issue or to avoid some other covenant that
of old instruments, $5.238 billion was tendered, and restricts corporate endeavors. With a legal defea-
investors received in exchange new notes with prin- sance, the defeasance trust is immune to corporate
cipal value of $3.3 billion. The reduction in Qwest’s bankruptcy and the defeased bonds’ ratings and
total book indebtedness was $1.938 billion. prices increase.

Table 2. Qwest Freeze-Out Results


For Each New QSC
$1,000 Outstanding Tendered Notes Issued
QFC Instruments to be Exchanged Principal (millions) (millions) (millions)
A. Exchanged for 13% QSC notes due in 2007
5.875% Note due 2004 $825 $ 1,250 $ 287 $ 237
6.250% Note due 2005 750 500 79 59
7.750% Note due 2006 680 1,250 369 251
$ 3,000 $ 735 $ 547
B. Exchanged for 13.5% QSC notes due in 2010
6.375% Note due 2008 $625 $ 584 $ 280 $ 175
7.000% Note due 2009 635 1,985 1,047 665
7.900% Note due 2010 640 1,746 1,001 641
7.250% Note due 2011 635 2,250 992 630
$ 6,565 $3,320 $2,111
C. Exchanged for 14% QSC notes due 2014
6.000% Debenture due 2018 $525 $ 393 $ 121 $ 64
7.625% Note due 2021 540 478 230 124
6.875% Debenture due 2028 545 1,477 590 322
7.750% Note due 2031 545 990 242 132
$ 3,338 $1,183 $ 642

Total (millions) $12,903 $5,238 $3,300

May/June 2004 55
Financial Analysts Journal

An economic defeasance (or defeasance in sub- nated action by creditors (usually orchestrated by
stance) does not allow the corporation to escape its an arbitrageur) captures value from the company.
indenture covenants. The defeasance trust in this Sinking-fund provisions can work in a variety
case may not be bankruptcy immune, but the of ways. One type of sinking fund is an escrow
defeased bonds usually trade a bit richer because account into which the corporation pays a fixed
of the pledged government collateral. amount according to a specified schedule. The
A defeasance in substance generally involves account accumulates until the amount in the
discount corporate bonds. The corporation estab- escrow account at the bond’s term is sufficient to
lishes a defeasance trust and puts into the trust pay the principal value of all the issue’s bonds. In
government bonds that yield at least the coupon this case, the sinking fund does not cause early
rate on its own issue. The corporation realizes an bond redemption but the escrow account does
immediate accounting gain that equals the differ- lessen the bonds’ risk. This type of sinking fund is
ence between the actual price of the government now rare.
bonds and the principal value of its own bonds. Another, much more common, type of sinking-
Although a defeasance in substance does not release fund schedule requires the issuing corporation to
a company from its indenture agreement (unless it redeem a fraction of the issue periodically. The
is also a legal defeasance), it does release the com- indenture can specify a lottery-determined call for
pany from interest payments, which are covered by bonds at a fixed price or provide the corporation an
the trust, and it provides early recognition of a gain. option either to buy the required number of bonds
In addition, balance sheet debt is reduced. Thus, a with a market bid or to retire them through a fixed-
defeasance in substance is a transaction that has price lottery. The company may also be able to sink
more accounting benefits than real ones. double the scheduled number (or more) on speci-
fied dates. Sinking-fund redemption prices are fre-
The obvious alternative to defeasance with
quently at a premium over par. Usually, for both
government bonds is for a company to buy and
callable and sinking-fund bonds, for an initial
retire its outstanding debt. Because corporate bonds
period after issue (several years), the bonds are
sell for less than government bonds, buying its own
protected from redemption.
bonds and retiring them should normally be
cheaper for a corporation. However, several condi- Cornering Sinking-Fund Bonds. A profit-
tions restrict this simple solution. First, companies able corner is sometimes possible when a corpora-
must pay a tax on cancellation of indebtedness for tion has the option to sink bonds at market price
buying discount bonds. Second, information gets or at a fixed indenture redemption price. If the
around so fast in corporate bond secondary markets bonds currently trade below the redemption price,
that bondholders can hold out against selling their a potential arbitrage situation exists. An arbi-
bonds. The buy orders alert the bondholders and trageur tries to establish a corner by buying sub-
dealers to the corporation’s attempt to retire its stantially all the bonds below the fixed indenture
bonds, and the bondholders try to hold back large price. Then, the option’s value is captured by the
blocks. The intent on the part of the bondholders is arbitrageur because the bonds are never offered by
to offer the bonds to the corporation eventually at a the arbitrageur to the issuer below the indenture’s
price high enough to capture virtually all the retire- redemption price. The whole transaction can be
ment or defeasance benefits for the bondholders. accomplished with no significant capital outlay.
So, although a company must pay a higher price This activity resolves a puzzle raised by Dunn and
for government bonds than its own bonds would Spatt (1984, p. 420) regarding coordination in
command without such a bondholders’ corner on sinking-fund squeezes. The mechanism for corner-
the market, the actual cost of a defeasance with ing the market involves a structured transaction
government bonds can be lower. Such a defeasance that is executed by an arbitrageur.
defeats a corner because the issuer is not bidding for A sinking-fund corner transaction can work in
its own bonds. Moreover, if the company anticipates a very direct manner. In one actual transaction sev-
a corner attempt, it can try a freeze-out. eral years ago, an arbitrageur established a special
purpose entity (SPE) to buy a large block of a cor-
poration’s debt. These corporate instruments com-
The Sinking-Fund Game posed most of the SPE’s assets. The SPE also set up
A sinking-fund corner, or a squeeze on the issuer, is buys of zero-coupon U.S. Treasury securities with
the opposite of a freeze-out. Whereas in a freeze-out appropriate maturities as necessary (discussed
the corporation captures value from its disorga- later). Simultaneously, the SPE marketed issues of
nized creditors, in a sinking-fund corner, coordi- tranches or serials of coupon-bearing securities

56 ©2004, AIMR®
Bond Games

called “derivative debentures” or “collateralized Table 3. Example’s Derivative Serial Debenture


corporate obligations.” The derivative debentures Structure
were collateralized with the entity’s purchased cor- Principal Amount
porate securities, and the zero-coupon T-bonds Maturity Coupon Rate (millions)
were used to fill the asset structure correctly. The 1990 8.375% $ 6.648
deal was structured so that the cash flows that 1991 8.500 11.875
accrued to the entity’s assets were paid to the 1992 8.500 11.875
debenture owners on a parallel schedule. Any call 1993 8.600 11.875
or default risk was passed through the entity from 1994 8.600 11.875
the sinking-fund collateral to the derivative deben- 1995 8.800 11.875
tures. Residual earnings on the SPE’s assets accrued 1996 8.875 11.875
to the SPE’s equity owners. In this regard, the 1997 8.950 11.875
entity’s capital structure closely resembled the 1998 9.250 11.875
setup of a REMIC (real estate mortgage investment 1999 9.300 11.875
conduit), with mortgage collateral financed 2000 9.300 11.875
through several tranches (see Oldfield 2000). 2001 9.300 11.875
The important features of the corner transac- 2002 9.300 11.875
tion were as follows. First, the corner collateral
comprised both corporate securities and, as neces- The derivative debentures were structured as
sary, zero-coupon U.S. Treasuries. The Treasuries serial bonds with principal amounts in millions of
made the credit quality of the combined collateral dollars, and each maturity tranche matched a sink-
slightly better than the quality of the sinking-fund ing-fund redemption date. In current parlance, the
corporate debt portion alone. Second, the periodic serial tranches were “collateralized debt obliga-
corporate redemption payments on the sinking- tions” with tranching based on the sinking-fund
fund bonds and the zero-coupon bond maturity dates of the issue rather than on credit enhance-
payments were transformed into tranches of serial ment based on payment priority from a portfolio of
bonds with different maturities. Because the entity corporate instruments. Coupon payments at the
owned virtually all of the sinking-fund issue, the stated rate were set to be paid semiannually to
sinking-fund uncertainty of an individual corpo- serial owners on 16 May and 16 November. Each
rate debenture was converted into a much more serial matured on 16 November of the indicated
certain cash maturity payment for the large block year, which matched a sinking-fund redemption
of collateral. This lump sum became the maturity date. The collateral’s call provision was passed
payment of a tranche or bond serial. Third, the through to the serial bonds so that if the sinking-
various maturity tranches could be sold with dif- fund collateral was called (all or none for this issue),
ferent coupon rates and prices by the SPE. Thus, the all serials were called simultaneously. Each serial
derivative debentures could be tailored to different had a different initial offer price.
customers’ needs. In effect, the corner collateral The way this sinking-fund corner trade was
could be resold in a price-discriminating serial structured is outlined in Figure 1. All trades went
bond offering. through the arbitrageur. The SPE’s balance sheet is
at the top, and below it are the transactions (and
Sinking-Fund Structured Transaction. A prices) used to set it up. The arbitrageur negotiated
sinking-fund corner transaction was structured in a price for the sinking-fund bonds with each bond-
the spring of 1986. In it, the corporate collateral was holder separately. Each received a slightly different
approximately $146 million in principal value of a price as a result of intense haggling. (This aspect
large industrial company’s debentures with an 8 supports Dunn and Spatt’s conclusion that bonds
percent semiannual coupon and 2002 maturity. The from the same sinking-fund issue can have different
collateral 8 percent coupon debentures of 2002 were prices for different owners.) The weighted-average
combined with about $11 million market value of price is shown in Figure 1.7 The zero-coupon Trea-
stripped U.S. Treasuries to form 13 derivative suries were bought in the dealer market. The entity
maturity tranches. The maturity, coupon, and prin- bought the collateral from the arbitrageur and
cipal schedule for the derivative bonds is given in simultaneously issued the derivative serial bonds
Table 3. Note that the coupon rates on the deriva- and equity to the arbitrageur to finance its asset
tive debentures increased with maturity although purchase. The arbitrageur then sold the serial bonds
the collateral had a fixed coupon. The Treasury to institutions at a single public offer price for each
strip maturities made up the difference. serial but different prices for different serials. This

May/June 2004 57
Financial Analysts Journal

Figure 1. Transaction Flow of Example Sinking-Fund Corner


(millions)

Special Purpose Entity

Sinking- Derivative
Fund Bonds Serial Bonds
$126.000 $143.550

Zero-Coupon Equity
Treasuries $0.050
$17.600

Collateral Sellers Derivative Buyers


Arbitrageur
Sinking- Derivative
Fund Bonds Serial Bonds
$124.458 Equity $143.649

Zero-Coupon $1.710
Treasuries
$17.555

practice allowed for potential price discrimination arbitrageur retained the entity’s equity, apprecia-
without liquidating the collateral position directly. tion in the equity’s value would provide additional
Such price discrimination can be an important profit. Care must be used in modeling the tax status
source of a corner’s profit (see Oldfield 2003). of the equity, however, because the collateral
Figure 1 shows that the arbitrageur had two would generally be bought at a discount to par. The
potential sources of profit in the transaction. The serial issues would also be sold at a discount.
first source was trading profit. The arbitrageur was A sinking-fund corner can work only if the
a dealer firm whose corporate trading and syndi- collateral is assembled quickly and the derivative
cate desks could make spread profits on the trades. debentures are sold immediately. In fact, they are
The trading profits were split as $1,542,000 on presold in a private placement offering. Otherwise,
sinking-fund bonds, $45,000 on zeroes, and $99,000 the arbitrageur gets squeezed by both sides. On the
on the derivative serial bonds, for a total of one hand, as they sense the nature of the deal,
$1,656,000 in trading with the SPE. The second potential derivative buyers demand a lower deriv-
source was the entity’s equity that would be bought ative debenture price to capture corner profits for
and retained by the dealer. Although the dealer themselves. On the other hand, the arbitrageur must
would pay the SPE only $50,000 for the equity, its
enter simultaneous negotiations with the current
estimated value was $1,710,000. The resulting total
owners of the target corporation’s sinking-fund
potential profit from the sinking-fund corner to the
bonds. They too can anticipate the arbitrageur’s
dealer was $3,316,000.
strategy and try to hold out for higher prices. The
The entity’s equity claim requires further
arbitrageur must try to induce bondholders to sell
explanation. As a separate corporation, the entity
by playing some off against others. Also, if the target
that issues derivative securities also sells a residual
claim of ownership. The equity claim receives any corporation scents the deal, it can defeat the corner
residual flows into the subsidiary in excess of the by issuing attractive substitute bonds and use the
payments due to the debenture owners. In the proceeds to defease the old bonds. Unless these new
worst case, no excess is realized at any time during bonds are included in the corner, buyers can take
the subsidiary’s life. In other cases, however, sig- them instead of the corner derivative debentures.
nificant excess flows occur. In essence, if call or If the target corporation cannot increase the net
accelerated redemption payments flow into the bond supply, the arbitrageur can offer the assem-
subsidiary, the payments due debenture owners bled collateral back to the company at an attractive
are less than those realized by the subsidiary. In compromise price instead of setting up and selling
those cases, the equity claim is quite valuable. derivatives in a structured transaction. To accom-
In the example, the initial purpose of the plish this trade, the corner arbitrageur must show a
sinking-fund bond corner was to sell the entity’s creditable ability to sell derivative debentures. Oth-
debentures for more than the collateral’s cost— erwise, the target corporation can simply wait while
which created an immediate arbitrage profit. If the the corner operator tries to finance the position.8

58 ©2004, AIMR®
Bond Games

Convertible Debentures The fully diluted share exercise value, k, is the price
per share if all the convertible debentures are exer-
Convertible debentures are complex equity-linked
cised for stock at the same time. If the fully diluted
claims issued by corporations. They are fixed-
share market price exceeds k, the debentures are in
income instruments that also convey to bondholders
the money. The conversion ratio for a debenture
a call option against the corporation for common
into stock is x, so m/x is the number of convertible
stock.9 In 2000, about $61.5 billion in various types
debentures. In addition, for this example, each con-
of convertible debentures were issued in the United
vertible bond is callable for a fixed call price, Q(t),
States (“Hedge Funds Drive …” 2001). To under-
which can vary through time.
stand a convertible debenture, one must analyze
To illustrate how conversion ratios affect
both its indenture contract and the nature of the
debenture prices, consider a company that has a
other claims that the corporation has issued.
combined market value of V = $1 billion with aggre-
Asquith (1995) showed that most convertible deben-
gate share value E = $450 million divided among n =
tures are redeemed in a timely fashion, but he did
25 million shares, each with a share price of $18. The
not address other potential anomalies, such as vol-
convertible issue is 5 million debentures, each of
untary early conversion, partial conversion, early
which trades for $110 per instrument. Par value of a
forced conversion, and instruments that are not
convertible debenture is $100. The company has no
redeemed when it appears best for the corporation
other bonds, so B is zero (for now). Given that inter-
to do so. Any of these situations can arise naturally
est rates do not cause a premium, the minimum
from various contract incentives in the debentures.
value of a convertible debenture is its stock value if
Moreover, the contracts that cause such behavior
converted immediately. Therefore, the minimum
may not be associated directly with the convertible
value is at least $110 = 18x. Solving for x gives 6 1/9
debentures themselves. shares as the maximum conversion ratio for the
A standard convertible bond can be exchanged debenture with price $110 when the stock is worth
by its owner for a fixed number of shares of the $18 per share. The usually computed conversion
corporation’s stock. The conversion ratio is nor- price is $100/x = $16.3636, which does not account
mally adjusted if the company splits shares or pays for dilution (see Brealey and Myers 1991, p. 542).
a stock dividend. Convertible bonds are usually Some convertible debentures, however, state the
unsecured debentures, and like other corporate conversion option in terms of a fixed conversion
debt instruments, they are frequently callable and price rather than a ratio. In this case, the fixed price
have sinking-fund provisions. The call price, the would be at most, given the debenture value of $110,
value at which the corporation can redeem the $18.00 per share.
whole bond issue with a brief delay, is generally At a conversion ratio of 6 1/9 shares per deben-
greater than par, although it sometimes declines to ture, the stock value of one debenture is $110 if
par on a schedule specified in the indenture agree- converted. With m = 5,000,000x, or 30,555,555.56
ment. In addition, some convertible bonds contain shares overall, and B = 0, the stock value of each
a put prescribing that the issuer redeem the deben- bond if all debentures are converted is
tures at a fixed price. In summary, then, the conver-
V – B-
sion and redemption features of convertible bond k = -------------
m+n
contracts create complex options for both issuers
1,000,000,000
and owners. These options can create incentives for = -------------------------------------------------------------------
-
30,555,555.56 + 25,000,000
strategic games by different parties to a contract.
= $18.
Feasible Conversion Ratios. A numerical Thus, a conversion ratio of 6 1/9 shares per
example illustrates the alternative conditions for debenture and a debenture price of $110 are consis-
pricing convertible debentures. As previously, the tent with a share price of $18 per share for this
market value of the corporation is V. The corpora- corporation if the option value of the bond is zero.
tion’s market value of equity is E, convertible deben- Moreover, at this conversion ratio and stock
ture value is C, and the value of other senior bonds price, shareholders are indifferent about debenture
(if the company has other bonds outstanding) is B. conversion because the stock price remains the
Equity value E is divided among n shares. The con- same whether or not the bonds are converted. Any
vertible debentures, convertible for m shares over- higher conversion ratio is inconsistent with a $110
all, have an implied exercise share price of price per debenture. For example, at a conversion
V–B ratio of 6 1/8 shares per debenture, the conversion
k = -------------- .
n+m value of a debenture is

May/June 2004 59
Financial Analysts Journal

V – B - = $110.11236, of 6 1/10 shares per instrument. The share price is


---------------------
( n + m )x $18, and the convertible price is $110. As before in
the example, suppose the company’s only debt
so each debenture is worth more converted than
issue is the convertible instruments, so B = 0.
held. At conversion ratios below 6 1/9 shares per
debenture, a price of $110 indicates a “live” option In this situation, the conventional conversion
value in the debenture, so conversion is not opti- price per share is ($100/6.10) or $16.3534 and the
fully diluted conversion price is [from V/(n + m)]
mal. In general, a conversion option is worth more
$18.018. In a conventional sense then, the deben-
alive than dead.
tures are way in the money. But the bondholders
Except for call policy, standard option analy-
will not convert because the conversion value, fully
sis of convertible debenture value deals with
diluted, is only $109.91 (6.10 × $18.018) whereas the
bondholders’ problems alone (see Ingersoll 1977b,
debenture value is $110. Thus, no bondholder is
p. 464). Issuers should call convertible issues just
tempted to convert, and for shareholders to buy and
as they become in the money, fully diluted, and no
convert instruments is also not economical. The
longer call protected.10 Bondholders’ optimal
shareholders would like to have the debentures
exercise strategy leads to conversion in four situ- convert, however, because upon conversion, the
ations. For in-the-money instruments, conversion share price would appreciate to $18.018 per share.
should occur at maturity, at call, at an increase in
In such a case, the redemption features of con-
the exercise price as allowed in the indenture
vertible debentures can benefit shareholders. If the
(because conversion terms become less favorable convertible debentures are subject to sinking at
in the contract), and when dividend payments on either a market purchase price of $110 or “lottery
the stock commanded through conversion exceed call” below $110, the corporation’s management
the debenture coupon. Instruments that are out of can benefit the shareholders with a purchase for
the money should not be converted. In these cir- sinking-fund redemption or lottery call of the
cumstances, all bondholders act the same way: amount scheduled to be sunk. In a lottery call, a
They convert or they wait. fraction of the bonds are called by random choice
Emanuel (1983) and Constantinides (1984) of the trustee. The corporation need not substitute
showed that bondholders may select other, more other debt or equity for the convertibles sunk
complex strategies, however, to increase bond because the bondholders take stock for their deben-
value. These strategies depend on anticipated dilu- tures by converting when the lottery-designated
tion through conversion and the distribution of debentures are identified. In a purchase, the com-
convertible ownership. Briefly, it may be optimal pany must secure financing for the purchase. If a
for bondholders to convert an issue gradually if “doubling option” (twice the normal sinking-fund
they can act in concert. Thus, the market for con- redemption) exists in the debenture covenant, it
vertible debentures may invite a game element in also can be exercised, leading to a partial conver-
which the issuer is a passive player but the creditors sion if a lottery call is used at a price below $110 and
must somehow coordinate their conversions. a redemption if debentures are purchased at $110.
The game element in actual convertible deben- The following example shows how a sinking-
ture markets is different. The corporation is a posi- fund redemption works. Suppose the debentures
tive player in the conversion game. It can defeat the are no longer sinking-fund protected and 20 per-
bondholders to seize option value for its sharehold- cent of the convertibles are scheduled for redemp-
ers, although it is subject to limits determined by the tion. The company can purchase at the market price
ownership control of the corporation in a dynamic or redeem the instruments for, say, $105 through a
setting, the actions available to bondholders to lottery call. Because the current debenture price is
coordinate their activities, and the game’s effect on $110 per bond, the corporation will attempt to
the company’s reputation. Reputation determines redeem (and finance) 1 million debentures at a
future debt indentures, freedom of action, and the price of $105. If bondholders do not convert upon
value of other current and future claims. notice of redemption, the total debt value of the
company becomes
Redemption and Conversion. The example (4,000,000 × $110) + (1,000,000 × $105) = $545,000,000
just described sets the stage for an analysis of
and the share value becomes
redemption and conversion options. The convert-
ible debentures in the example with an exchange $1,000,000,000 – $545,000,000 = $455,000,000.
ratio below 6 1/9 shares per bond have a conver- This share value is divided among 25 million
sion option value impounded in the $110 debenture shares, which gives a share price of $18.20 for a
price. Consider debentures with a conversion ratio $0.20 gain on each share.

60 ©2004, AIMR®
Bond Games

If the bondholders convert upon notice of Exchanges, Indentures, and the Corporate
redemption and the remaining debentures stay at Claim Structure. A “control transaction” involv-
$110, the company’s debt value is $440,000,000 and ing convertible debt introduces into the analysis
its equity value is $560,000,000, divided among the factors outside the simple conversion, call, and
25,000,000 old shares and 6,100,000 new shares. The sinking-fund features of a convertible debenture
result is a share price of $18.0064, which is issue itself. The example shows that a call can be
$109.8390 per debenture, or $4.8390 greater than delayed, and sinking-fund acceleration eschewed,
the $105 redemption price. Thus, the notified debt- if the potential for a change in corporate control
holders should convert if they can and the company through redemption is an issue.
need not finance the redemption. The result is that This aspect leads to another puzzle concerning
a partial voluntary conversion results from the convertible debt. A company can force conversion,
sinking-fund lottery redemption. even during a call-protected period, through an
A similar analysis applies to a complete call. exchange offer to the shareholders. The potential
If the convertible debentures can be called at a for this type of transaction can influence the value
price of $110 or less, they should be called to of a convertible instrument unless some other fac-
benefit the existing shareholders. The convertible tor precludes the exchange. The puzzle is that such
debentures may be call protected, however, in exchange offers appear to be quite rare. Issues of
which case they can trade at Q(t), the call price at
control may be the answer, although indenture
time t, or higher. Naturally, once the call protection
provisions can also limit such transactions.
ceases, convertible instruments should not trade
Return to the example once again. Suppose, as
above the current call price of Q(t). Timely call was
previously, that the stock price is $18 per share, the
documented for most of a sample of convertible
debentures convert at 6 1/10 shares per instrument,
debentures by Asquith.
and the convertible debentures trade at $110 each.
A simple calculation of conversion value and
Thus, the shareholders desire conversion but the
call price is not sufficient, however, to predict a
bondholders do not. Assume also that the deben-
forced conversion or redemption. In the example
given here, two factors could prevent a forced con- tures are not sinking-fund instruments and that
version through a call when the call protection they are either call protected or trading below the
interval has expired. First, to call the convertible call price. In either case, the corporation cannot
instruments, a credible method for financing the simply redeem the debt to increase share value. The
call, unless conversion is assured, must be secured company can, however, execute a debt-for-equity
by the corporation. Given a replacement-debt swap with the shareholders to extract for them
financing cost of perhaps 1–2 percent of the issue some of the convertible debt value even though the
size, the transaction cost alone can explain a slight convertible instruments are apparently redemp-
premium over the call price. tion proof.
Second, a more significant threat to corporate An exchange works by allowing existing
control is a call delay. Consider the convertible shareholders to swap their shares for new debt. In
debenture issue used in the example. If the instru- the process, shares are paid a premium in new-debt
ments are convertible at an exchange ratio of 6 1/10 value for making the exchange. For example, sup-
shares per debenture, the owners of the convertibles pose the illustrative company proposes to issue
are due 30,500,000 shares of stock in total— $300 million of new debt to exchange for 15 million
compared with the 25,000,000 shares of stock other- old shares at an exchange value of $20 per share—
wise outstanding to shareholders. If ownership of which constitutes an exchange-based special divi-
the convertible debentures is concentrated among a dend (Constantinides, p. 390). With the $300 mil-
few coordinated investors, a forced conversion lion new debt, the remaining $700 million of firm
through call may change the share ownership struc- value is split between the remaining old shares and
ture in such a way that corporate control shifts to a the existing convertible debentures. The fully
group outside the existing owners. Of course, if the diluted share value of the company, based on 10
number of shares commanded by the convertible million remaining old shares and the full conver-
debentures is small relative to the amount of stock sion claim from convertible debt of (6.1 × 5,000,000)
outstanding or if the ownership of the debt is dif- = 30,500,000 potential new shares, is
fuse, control is not an issue that concerns manage-
ment.11 Nevertheless, the potential for convertible V – B- = 700,000,000
------------- ------------------------------
instruments to be used as a backdoor to control is n+m 40,500,000
one reason for delayed redemption through call. = $17.284 per share.

May/June 2004 61
Financial Analysts Journal

The immediate conversion value of a convertible million to $300 million. As a result, although at first
debenture, if its shares do not qualify for exchange, the exchange offer appears to increase indebted-
becomes (6.1 × $17.284) = $105.432. This dollar ness, it has the opposite effect because convertible
amount is the new lower bound for convertible debentures convert into stock. In addition, because
debt value. The upper bound is less than $110 convertible debentures without exchange protec-
because the debenture’s claim on stock has been tion are potentially exposed to such games, the
reduced in value. Thus, upon notice of the market value of such debt should be less than the
exchange offer, the convertible debt suffers a loss in price computed strictly from its option features.
value. Because the exchange is a zero-sum game, The forced conversion for the bondholders is sim-
this loss exactly equals the gain in value realized by ply a subgame in multiperiod pricing equilibrium.
shareholders. To the extent that it is anticipated, it affects the debt
If shares obtained by convertible bondholders value from the first day and every day subse-
through conversion qualify for the exchange, the quently. So, to value a convertible debenture, its
conversion value of debentures is much higher. features other than its obvious conversion ratio
First, suppose the convertible debentures do not must be analyzed.
qualify for exchange. The maximum value of an Because an exchange offer for shares with
average share that reflects the weighted exchange bonds can take option value from convertible debt,
value plus full dilution value is indenture contracts for convertible issues usually
mandate an adjustment in the conversion terms to
⎛ 15 ⎞ ⎛ 10 ⎞ make bondholders whole in the event of such an
⎜ ------ × $20⎟ + ⎜ ------ × $17.284⎟ = $18.9136,
⎝ 25 ⎠ ⎝ 25 ⎠ exchange offer. To circumvent this requirement,
the corporation can use a sequential game strat-
or for 25,000,000 shares, $472,840,000. In other
egy. First, the company proffers a replacement
words, $22,840,000 in value has been extracted
convertible instrument to the bondholders in an
from the convertible bondholders, which equals
exchange in which the new debentures do not
$4.568 per debenture. Thus, the minimum debt
prevent self-tenders to shareholders. If this freeze-
value, the one if all debentures convert, is $105.432.
out works, the self-tender can follow. In this case,
But if conversion shares do qualify for
two transactions—one to replace existing deben-
exchange, average share value at best is
tures and another to exchange another type of
⎛ 15 ⎞ ⎛ 40.5 ⎞ instrument for stock—accomplishes the forced
⎜ ---------- × $20⎟ + ⎜ ---------- × $17.284⎟ = $18.018. conversion. Of course, the freeze-out announce-
⎝ 55.5 ⎠ ⎝ 55.5 ⎠
ment will cause bondholders to anticipate the
The total value to shareholders is only $450,000, eventual stock exchange offer, which should at
which means that the minimum debenture value is once collapse the convertible debt’s value. More-
$109.91. over, because bondholders can anticipate the
Several factors can limit a corporation’s ability eventual sequence of transactions when the con-
to do such exchange offers. First, the indenture vertible debentures are initially issued, the full
agreement for the convertible instruments may option value of the bonds should not be realized
preclude such a transaction. Second, the indenture during their life until conversion at maturity (see
agreements of debt previously issued by the cor- Parrino 1997). The degree to which debt value is
poration may preclude any type of exchange offer. affected depends on the issuing corporation’s rep-
Third, such transactions can cause control prob- utation and the reputation’s projected usefulness
lems. In the given example, old shares numbered to the corporation.
only 10,000,000 after the exchange whereas the This game is a high-level game, one in which a
new shares issued for conversion equaled company might build its reputation for years to
30,500,000. Thus, if ownership of convertible debt cash in occasionally for a particularly valuable
is concentrated, the new majority owners may take transaction. One way to avoid or limit such games
a dim view of the corporation’s board and its man- is to cap the stock price in the convertible bond.
agers’ financial stewardship of their interests. That is, the company commits to redeem the debt
Finally, reputation effects can be important. Any at a fixed price if its share price reaches a specified
company that executes such an exchange is likely level. A recent convertible issue by Amazon.com
to find very restrictive covenants in future debt has this feature.13
issues or a lower market price for debentures with
standard features.12 Structured Trades and Convertible
If the exchange offer is designed to force con- Debenture Corners. A structured transaction
version, the result of the exchange offer is a reduc- like the one outlined in the previous section can be
tion in the company’s indebtedness from $450 used to coordinate the actions of convertible debt

62 ©2004, AIMR®
Bond Games

owners and to seize option value from the issuing Convertible debt once traded in an obscure
corporation. Because most convertible debentures corner of the credit markets. These days, with
are also sinking-fund instruments, two potential issues large and frequent, arbitrage between credit
sources of value can be captured in a structured and equity markets is a substantial business. A
position that consolidates all or almost all of one large portion of newly issued convertibles is sold
issue. First, the standard benefit of a sinking-fund directly to hedge funds. The funds sell issuers’
option can accrue to the corner. Second, coordina- shares short to finance their convertible debenture
tion of conversions in redemptions can create addi- purchases. This practice works well when the cost
tional value. In short, when a single entity or of the short hedge position, primarily dividends
coordinated group owns all or almost all of a con- and fees owed to stock lenders, is less than the
vertible debenture issue, forced exchange or coupons earned on the debentures.
redemption games that an issuing corporation
A second type of arbitrage trade, one directed
might play are nullified. In addition, the coordina-
at two different types of investors, can be booked by
tion of conversions during redemptions can
remove the chance of panic conversions and dealers acting as principals. Several large dealers
increase the value of an SPE’s position.14 offer similar structured trades, which are swap-
A setup parallel to a sinking-fund corner based transactions, designed to strip the option from
shows how a structured convertible debt transac- the convertible debenture.15 A notional debenture,
tion can be executed. Consider the convertible issue minus the conversion option, is sold to a credit
used in the previous examples: 5 million deben- investor as a callable corporate instrument with a
tures with a par value of $100, a conversion ratio of floating rate. The option on shares is sold to an
6.1 shares per debenture, and a redemption price of equity investor. If the share option is exercised, the
$105 for sinking-fund lottery purchases. Suppose credit investor’s debenture position is called.
also that the debentures have a 10-year maturity Although a similar structure to strip the option can
and 2 percent coupon, with 5 years of (both call and be established with an SPE, the swap combination
sinking-fund) redemption protection. If one SPE appears to make the trade most efficient if done as a
owns the whole issue, it can issue its own collater- dealer-booked derivative issued by a creditworthy
alized serial notes in six tranches keyed to the dealer. Neither a hedge fund position nor a swap-
sinking-fund schedule and final maturity. Thus, based strip, however, insulates a convertible deben-
the original issue can be parsed into temporal slices ture investor from an issuer’s strategic manipulation
or serials. The derivative notes have maturities of of debt value, unless the investors are few enough
5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 years. Each tranche has 1 million to coordinate their own actions.
notes with par values in the first four serials of $105 In summary, convertible debentures are com-
and a coupon of 1.9 percent. The par value for the plex securities with many interesting features. The
last tranche is $100 with a coupon of 2 percent. The
most obvious contract conditions are the options in
entity’s residual or equity tranche claims excess
the instruments—conversion, call, and sinking
interest and also incurs any tax implications of the
fund. Other factors of the issuing corporation, how-
transaction because of discounts or premiums on
ever, can strongly influence value.16 These factors
collateral purchases and derivative issues.
include other covenants in the convertible debt
Redemption features also are structured into
the debenture tranches. Call is passed through with indenture, indenture restrictions in other debt issues
a partial call (if allowed) that is allocated to short of the company, the concentration of convertible
tranches first. Each tranche can convert upon call debenture ownership and its potential for changing
or maturity, but otherwise, no short-maturity the control structure of the company, and the repu-
tranche can convert until the 10-year tranche does. tation of the corporation. Overall, this analysis sug-
This provision solves the coordination problem gests that debentures that are not called when
because holders of each tranche’s derivative note calling would apparently be optimal, debt that is
must wait until redemption to convert unless the called early, and debentures that convert when they
collateral-issuing corporation changes its dividend apparently should not would provide interesting
substantially or otherwise changes the collateral subjects for empirical research into corporate finan-
redemption terms. The tranche with the highest cial strategy.
option value governs conversion. With all the col-
lateral notes held by the entity, derivative holders
are insulated from freeze-outs. Thus, an SPE with
Summary
derivative issues properly structured can solve For each new debt issue, a corporation that seeks
coordination problems among creditors. The effect debt capital must weigh the costs and benefits of
is to increase the SPE’s convertible collateral value various indenture contracts. Investors do the same.
and the value of the SPE’s derivative instrument. In equilibrium, all parties are satisfied with the

May/June 2004 63
Financial Analysts Journal

contract, an initial debt price is established for a tors and secondary trading is minimal. Rule 144A
new issue, and capital is provided to the issuer private placements are distributed more like public
when the instruments are distributed. issues and are usually exchanged for registered
As the issuing corporation’s fortunes rise and instruments shortly after the initial issue.
fall after issue, the indenture agreement of one or In weighing redemption alternatives, the issu-
more of the company’s debt issues can become ing company’s managers must balance the benefits
restrictive in relation to the company’s opportuni- of its reputation against its immediate requirements
ties and initiatives. In that case, the issuing corpo- for freedom of action. Moreover, arbitrageurs can
ration may wish to escape or modify the indenture take positions to limit corporate options. The poten-
agreement. At the same time, the primary sale and tial for these games between issuing corporations
subsequent trading of a debt issue result in a distri- and bondholders strongly affects debt values—
bution of bondholders that makes various strate- even before the games begin.
gies possible for both the corporation and its
creditors. Thus, depending on the circumstances, a Erik Lie and the participants at the Frank Batten Young
company can choose a negotiation, a defeasance, or Scholars Conference at the College of William and Mary
a game to change the nature of its indebtedness. provided many useful comments. I also thank Gerald
Negotiations are common for conventional Thunelius at the Dreyfus Corporation for helpful infor-
private placements, in which the distribution of the mation regarding convertible debentures.
debt instruments is limited to a small set of credi-

Notes
1. A number of papers have addressed topics related to the 4. An alternative tender mechanism makes the exchange effec-
corporate bond analysis developed here. In terms of direct tive only if two-thirds (or whatever portion is necessary for
covenant provisions, Smith and Warner (1979) and Kalay an indenture modification) of the old bonds are tendered.
(1982) discussed corporate bond indentures and the poten- Although this mechanism avoids filling tenders when too
tial for conflicts among different claimants. Black and Cox few bonds are tendered to effect the proposed change in the
(1976) and Ingersoll (1977a, 1977b) developed continuous- old bond indenture, it also changes the game payoff by
time pricing models for perpetual debt instruments with reducing the incentive to tender. A new bond is not issued
various redemption features. They showed with option- (and protected) if most of the old bonds are not tendered.
pricing analyses how call and conversion aspects affect 5. The same sort of game can be played with existing share-
bond values. Following Ingersoll (1977b), Asquith (1995) holders in a rights offering. A prisoner’s dilemma can be
constructed to force rights conversion even though share-
showed that most callable convertible debt is redeemed by
holders would be better off if rights were allowed to lapse.
corporations in a timely fashion. Conversely, King and
6. In the LTV Corporation bankruptcy case in January 1990,
Mauer (2000) found that 86 percent of their sample of call-
however, a New York court ruled that claims of nontender-
able nonconvertible bonds were called well after the bond’s
ing holders of old bonds would be valued at par in bank-
market price exceeded its call price. Again, focusing on ruptcy whereas the claims of holders of new instruments
convertible debentures, Constantinides (1984), Emanuel would be considered at market value. Because new claims
(1983), and Constantinides and Rosenthal (1984) analyzed are generally issued at substantial discounts to par value,
optimal conversion strategies for owners of convertible the result was a reduction in the use of freeze-outs during
bonds. Regarding redemptions, Dunn and Spatt (1984) dis- distressed restructurings (see Chatterjee et al., 1995). Qwest
cussed sinking-fund games in an N-person Nash equilib- built in the discount up front.
rium framework. Dhillon, Noe, and Ramírez (2001) also 7. A few dispersed bondholders were not approached. Hence,
used game analysis to investigate simultaneous tender and their sinking-fund bond holdings were not included in the
call offers for nonrefundable debt. transaction.
2. For some idea of the frequency of such actions, see Chatter- 8. Actually, in the deal illustrated, after the dealer bought the
jee, Dhillon, and Ramírez (1995). They constructed an initial collateral but before the transactions with the entity and the
sample that contained all the companies that solicited bond- sale of the derivative debentures to confirmed buyers
holders to tender for cash or exchange existing debt for cash occurred, the issuing corporation bought its sinking-fund
and other securities from January 1989 through December bonds from the dealer for almost $129 million. The dealer
1992. This sample consisted of 157 cases. They then sold the zero-coupon Treasuries for about the purchase
restricted the sample to include only companies in financial price, yielding a dealer’s net profit after expenses of about
$4 million. The issuer replaced the sinking-fund bonds with
distress, which left 40 companies with 46 announcements of
a private placement, so the whole transaction comprised an
tenders or exchanges in the time period. Of these 46
efficient exchange of one bond issue with another without
attempts, 16 were tender offers and 30 were exchange offers.
a freeze-out. This approach suited all the parties.
So, about one of these transactions initiated by an issuer
9. Some convertible bonds have been issued that allow con-
occurred each month. Of course, such actions happened version into a different company’s stock. For example,
with private placements also, but none of these issues could Comcast Corporation sold two issues of complex convert-
be included in the sample. ible instruments called “ZONES” in October and Novem-
3. See Ruback (1988) for a parallel analysis involving the forced ber 1999. These instruments are callable subordinated
exchange of stock with standard voting rights for a dual class debentures that can be exchanged, with some complica-
of stock with restricted voting rights but a higher dividend. tions, for tracking shares of Sprint PCS issued by Sprint

64 ©2004, AIMR®
Bond Games

Corporation. Comcast owned about 47.2 million shares of €1,000-principal-value instrument. With the redemption
Sprint PCS at the times the bonds were issued. The October feature, the existing maximum note price will be par after
U.S. SEC 424B2 filing covered an issue of ZONES of $1 the call protection lapses.
billion principal value, or 13,982,103 bonds, with a “green 14. The structured transaction solves the coordination problem
shoe” clause (an underwriter’s call option) for another $150 for optimal conversion outlined by Emanuel (p. 226) and
million in principal value, or 2,097,315 bonds. These Constantinides (p. 372, p. 382).
ZONES have a principal value of $71.52 per bond. The 15. A convertible debt swap works as follows. Suppose the
November filing was for ZONES of $571,427,500 principal owner of a convertible debenture wants to swap it for a pure
value, or 700 million bonds with a principal value of option on the issuer’s stock. A swap dealer facilitates this
$81.6325 per bond. A green shoe clause covered another strategy by locating an investor who wants to make a
$85,714,000 in principal value, or 1,050,000 bonds. Each straight credit investment in the debenture-issuing com-
issue allows a bond to be exchanged, subject to some con- pany. The credit investor pays the swap dealer 100 percent
ditions, for 0.95 of one Sprint PCS share’s market value in of the debenture’s par value (swap notional amount) and
cash before bond maturity or a full share itself at maturity also enters an interest rate swap in which the dealer receives
in 2029. The bonds were underwritten by Salomon Smith the convertible debt’s fixed-coupon payments and pays to
Barney, which then repurchased about $1 billion of the the credit investor a floating rate (frequently, six-month
ZONES from disgruntled customers in January 2000. LIBOR) plus a credit spread. Because a convertible deben-
Salomon borrowed about 11 million Sprint PCS shares from ture’s coupon is usually small (0–2 percent), the expected
Comcast to hedge its position. See Sherer (2000) for a dis- present value (PV) of the difference between the swap fixed
cussion of the repurchase trade. and floating rates, calculated from the swap zero-coupon
10. Precisely, call is optimal when the value of the long-term curve, is generally negative. This negative PV is subtracted
option impounded in the bond maximally exceeds the from the convertible debenture’s par value to calculate the
value of the short-term option bondholders receive upon price paid to the option investor by the dealer for the debt
call. The short-term option is usually 30 days. instrument. In other words, the option investor receives par
11. Control concerns can also explain a company’s issuing value minus the expected PV factor plus a call option on the
convertible debentures that convert into another com- convertible debenture, which is held by the dealer in escrow.
pany’s shares. Such issues usually occur when the issuer The call option’s strike price is par minus the value of the
holds a significant block of another company’s shares. expected PV factor on the exercise day. Thus, the option’s
12. Parrino (1997) provided an example of forced wealth trans- strike price changes daily as swap rates move. The credit
fer from bondholders to stockholders. Parrino also showed investor receives a callable floating-rate notional note. If the
that bondholders can anticipate the possibility of such option investor calls the actual debenture (to convert it into
transfers (because the debt indentures are weak) by pricing stock), the notional note is called away from the credit inves-
the bonds at a discount to other, similar bonds before the tor at par plus any accrued interest. Similarly, if the issuer
transfer occurs. calls the debenture, the dealer calls the credit investor at par
13. The Amazon.com €690,000,000, 6 7/8 percent, 10-year- plus accrued interest and the option owner must exercise to
maturity convertible issue in February 2000 has many fea- get the debenture to deliver to the issuer or exercise for stock.
tures that illustrate the potential for the games I describe. An issuer default unwinds the whole package.
The indenture explicitly provides that senior bond issues 16. An extreme example of the early call of an out-of-the-money
can occur. To use such bonds in an exchange for shares, debenture occurred a few years ago. In March 1999, Com-
however, requires a change in the indenture agreement, but cast Corporation, a cable television company, issued
only a simple majority of principal value needs to vote in 8,700,000 subordinated debentures called “PHONES.”
favor of the indenture change in this particular issue. This These securities were 30-year exchangeable debentures
feature makes freeze-outs especially easy. These notes have with a contingent extension for another 30 years. Each
several other interesting features. The conversion ratio has debenture could be exchanged for the cash value of 0.95
two reset dates—one year and two years after issue—at shares of AT&T common stock, of which Comcast owned
which times the share price for conversion can be lowered 26.6 million shares. The principal value and public offer
if Amazon’s stock trades down in price. Thus, the original price was $82.5625 per debenture. AT&T common stock
conversion ratio of 9.52862 shares can increase to a cap of traded at around $55.00 per share at the time of the
11.781 shares. The note issue is redeemable in whole or in PHONES issue. Comcast called the PHONES in May 1999
part at par with 30 days notice after 20 February 2003. at an approximate call price of $91.20 (including accrued
Conversion can follow the call. There is no sinking-fund interest and a terminal payment finally determined in June
provision. Finally, the conversion option can be withdrawn 1999). Comcast used the shares as partial payment of a $9.2
if Amazon’s stock price increases to 160 percent of its initial billion purchase price for 2 million cable subscribers from
conversion price of €104.947 to €167.915. If withdrawn, AT&T. This game settled a bidding contest between Com-
Amazon must pay €206.25 to each note. In effect, Amazon cast and AT&T (which AT&T won) for MediaOne Group,
can exchange straight 6 7/8 percent notes for the convertible another cable television company. Thus, the call served a
notes with a simple cash payment. The terms of this cove- larger corporate purpose. See Garrity (1999) for a discussion
nant mean that the notes’ value cannot exceed €1,600 per of this deal.

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66 ©2004, AIMR®

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