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f x; k P X x , x x1 , x2 , . . . , xk
1
k
• The mean and variance of a discrete uniform
distribution is given by
k k
1 1
Xi and 2 X i 2
• or k
i 1
k
i 1
xP x and 2 x 2 Px 2
• An experiment often consists of repeated
trials, each with two possible outcomes
that may be labeled success or failure.
• The repeated trials are independent and
the probability of success remains constant
from trial to trial.
• The process is referred to as a Bernoulli
process and each trial is called a Bernoulli
trial.
• Each observed outcome in a binomial
probability experiment is called a Bernoulli
trial.
• We use the Bernoulli distribution when
we have an experiment which can result in
one of two outcomes.
• One outcome is labeled “success,” and the
other outcome is labeled “failure.”
• The the probability of success, denoted by
p, remains constant from trial to trial.
The probability of a failure is then 1 – p.
• The repeated trials are independent.
Sample Bernoulli trial outcomes success p
coin comes up
head or tail heads
½
variance
2
0 1 p 1 p p 2
2 2
p1 p
Ten percent of components manufactured
by a certain process are defective. A
component is chosen at random. Let X = 1
if the component is defective, and X = 0
otherwise.
1. What is the distribution of X?
2. Find the mean and variance of X?
X ~ Bernoulli (0.1) since p P X 1 0.1
0.1 and 0.09
2
A coin has probability 0.5 landing heads
when tossed. Let X=1 if the coin comes up
heads, and X = 0 otherwise.
p P X 1 1 / 6 X ~ Bernoulli ( 1 / 6 )
1 / 6 and 2 5 / 36
If a total of n Bernoulli trials are conducted,
and
• the trials are independent.
• each trial has the same success
probability p.
• X is the number of successes in the n
trials.
• then X has the binomial distribution with
parameters n and p, denoted X ~ Bin(n,p)
Determine which of the following probability
experiment qualify as a binomial experiment.
1. An experiment in which a basketball player who
historically makes 80% of his free throws is
asked to shoot three free throws and the number
of made free throws are recorded.
2. The number of people with blood type O negative
based upon a simple random sample size of 10 is
recorded. According to the Information Please
Almanac, 6% of the world population is blood type
O negative.
3. A probability experiment in which three cards are
drawn from a deck without replacement and the
number of aces is recorded.
The probability of exactly X successes in
n trials in a binomial experiment is:
PX p n X n!
X
q
n X ! X !
If X ~ Bin(n, p),
• the probability mass function of X is
X n X n!
p q , x 0 ,1 ,2 ,..., n
p x P X x n X ! X !
0 , otherwise
• Mean X np
• Variance X np1 p
2
A coin is tossed 3 times.
a. Determine the distribution of
getting heads.
b. Find the probability of
getting exactly two heads.
X ~ Bin( 3, 0.5)
P(2 heads)=0.375
• Assume that a finite population
contains items of two types,
successes and failures, and that a
simple random sample is drawn from
the population.
• Then if the sample size is no more
than 5% of the population, the
binomial distribution may be used to
model the number of successes.
A lot contains several thousand
components, 10% of which are
defective. Seven components are
sampled from the lot. Let X represent
the number of defective components in
the sample. What is the distribution
of X?
X ~ Bin( 7, 0.1)
A survey found that one out of five
Americans say he or she has visited a
doctor in any given month. If 10 people
are selected at random, find the
probability that exactly 3 will have
visited a doctor last month.
P(3) =0.201