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Year Quarter Demand forecast Et At At/D At/D% MSE MAD

1i 98
iii 106
iii 109
iv 133
2i 130 111.5 -18.5 18.5 0.142308 14.23077 28.52083 1.541667
iii 116 119.5 3.5 3.5 0.030172 3.017241 18.75 1.833333
iii 133 122 -11 11 0.082707 8.270677 56.33333 2.75
iv 116 128 12 12 0.103448 10.34483 16.33333 3.75
3i 138 123.75 -14.25 14.25 0.103261 10.32609 66.50521 4.9375
iii 130 125.75 -4.25 4.25 0.032692 3.269231 88.02083 5.291667
iii 147 129.25 -17.75 17.75 0.120748 12.07483 210.4219 6.770833
iv 141 132.75 -8.25 8.25 0.058511 5.851064 285.1875 7.458333
4i 144 139 -5 5 0.034722 3.472222 336.0208 7.875
iii 142 140.5 -1.5 1.5 0.010563 1.056338 352.0833 8
iii 165 143.5 -21.5 21.5 0.130303 13.0303 623.5208 9.791667
iv 173 148 -25 25 0.144509 14.45087 1036.021 11.875
5i 156

n=12 n=4
mape 8.282871 8.002433
mad 11.875 13.25
mse 1036.021 702.25
bias -111.5 -53
Ts -9.38947 -4
MAPE

14.23077
3.017241
8.270677
10.34483
10.32609
3.269231
12.07483
5.851064
3.472222
1.056338
13.0303
14.45087

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