Jurnal Poisson

1.
Distribusi Poisson
1.1 Poisson I (2 menit)
Tabel 1 Data Poisson Interval 2 Menit
No Interval Frekuensi
1 00.00.00-00.00.00 0
2 17.18.51-17.20.50 10
3 17.20.51-17.22.50 9
4 17.22.51-17.24.50 5
5 17.24.51-17.26.50 4
6 17.26.51-17.28.50 4
7 17.28.51-17.30.50 4
8 17.30.51-17.32.50 3
9 17.32.51-17.34.50 5
10 17.34.51-17.36.50 3
11 17.36.51-17.38.50 5
12 17.38.51-17.40.50 4
13 17.40.51-17.42.50 5
14 17.42.51-17.44.50 5
15 17.44.51-17.46.50 4
16 17.46.51.17.48.50 5
17 17.48.51-17.50.50 3
18 17.50.51-17.52.50 5
19 17.52.51-17.54.50 5
20 17.54.51-17.56.50 4
21 17.56.51-17.58.50 4
22 17.58.51-18.00.50 4
23 18.00.51-18.02.50 4
24 18.02.51-18.04.50 3
25 18.04.51-18.06.50 5
26 18.06.51-18.08.50 4
27 18.08.51-18.10.50 4
28 18.10.51-18.12.50 4
Tabel 1 Data Poisson Interval 2 Menit (Lanjutan)
29 18.12.51-18.14.50 4
30 18.14.51-18.16.50 3
31 18.16.51-18.18.50 4
32 18.18.51-18.20.50 4
33 18.20.51-18.22.50 4
34 18.22.51-18.24.50 4
35 18.24.51-18.26.50 4
36 18.26.51-18.28.50 3
37 18.28.51-18.30.50 3
38 18.30.51-18.32.50 4
39 18.32.51-18.34.50 3
40 18.34.51-18.36.50 5
41 18.36.51-18.38.50 3
42 18.38.51-18.40.50 3
43 18.40.51-18.42.50 3
44 18.42.51-18.44.50 5
45 18.44.51-18.46.50 5
46 18.46.51.18.48.50 2
47 18.48.51-18.50.50 5
48 18.50.51-18.52.50 5
Jumlah 200
Tabel 2 Data Interval 2 Menit (41 Data)

No Interval Frekuensi Frek Kumulatif
1 00.00.00-00.00.00 0 0
2 17.18.51-17.20.50 10 10
3 17.20.51-17.22.50 9 19
4 17.22.51-17.24.50 5 24
5 17.24.51-17.26.50 4 28
6 17.26.51-17.28.50 4 32
7 17.28.51-17.30.50 4 36
Tabel 2 Data Interval 2 Menit (41 Data) (Lanjutan)
8 17.30.51-17.32.50 3 39
9 17.32.51-17.34.50 5 44
10 17.34.51-17.36.50 3 47
11 17.36.51-17.38.50 5 52
12 17.38.51-17.40.50 4 56
13 17.40.51-17.42.50 5 61
14 17.42.51-17.44.50 5 66
15 17.44.51-17.46.50 4 70
16 17.46.51.17.48.50 5 75
17 17.48.51-17.50.50 3 78
18 17.50.51-17.52.50 5 83
19 17.52.51-17.54.50 5 88
20 17.54.51-17.56.50 4 92
21 17.56.51-17.58.50 4 96
22 17.58.51-18.00.50 4 100
23 18.00.51-18.02.50 4 104
24 18.02.51-18.04.50 3 107
25 18.04.51-18.06.50 5 112
26 18.06.51-18.08.50 4 116
27 18.08.51-18.10.50 4 120
28 18.10.51-18.12.50 4 124
29 18.12.51-18.14.50 4 128
30 18.14.51-18.16.50 3 131
31 18.16.51-18.18.50 4 135
32 18.18.51-18.20.50 4 139
33 18.20.51-18.22.50 4 143
34 18.22.51-18.24.50 4 147
35 18.24.51-18.26.50 4 151
36 18.26.51-18.28.50 3 154
37 18.28.51-18.30.50 3 157
38 18.30.51-18.32.50 4 161
Tabel 2 Data Interval 2 Menit (41 Data) (Lanjutan)
39 18.32.51-18.34.50 3 164
40 18.34.51-18.36.50 5 169
41 18.36.51-18.38.50 3 172
Jumlah 172
 Mean
∑𝐹 172
𝜇 = 𝜆𝑡 = = = 4,195
𝑁 41
 Standar Deviasi
∑ 𝐹𝑘 172
𝜎 2 = 𝜆𝑡 = = = 4,195
𝑁 41
 Peluang Teoritis
X =0,1,2,..... 𝜆𝑡 = 4,195 𝑒 = 2,718
 Fungsi Densitas
𝑒 −𝜆𝑡 𝜆𝑡 𝑥
𝑃(𝑥; 𝜆𝑡) =
𝑥!
 X =0
2,718−4,195 4,1950
P(0;4,195) = = 0,015
0!
 X =1
2,718−4,195 4,1951
P(1;4,195) = = 0,063
1!
 X =2
2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(2;4,195) = = 0,132
2!
 X =3
2,718−4,195 4,1953
P(3;4,195) = = 0,185
3!
 X =4
2,718−4,195 4,1954
P(4;4,195) = = 0,194
4!
 X =5
2,718−4,195 4,1955
P(5;4,195) = = 0,163
5!
 X =6
2,718−4,195 4,1956
P(6;4,195) = = 0,114
6!
 X =7
2,718−4,195 4,1957
P(7;4,195) = = 0,068
7!
 X =8
2,718−4,195 4,1958
P(8;4,195) = = 0,035
8!
 X =9
2,718−4,195 4,1959
P(9;4,195) = = 0,016
9!
 Fungsi Kumulatif
𝑥
𝑃(𝑥; 𝜆𝑡) = ∑
𝑥!
0
 X =0
2,718−4,195 4,1950
P(0;4,195) = = 0,015
0!
 X =1
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951
P(1;4,195) = + = 0,078
0! 1!
 X =2
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(2;4,195) = + + = 0,211
0! 1! 2!
 X =3
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(3;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953
= 0,396
3!
 X =4
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(4;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953 2,718−4,195 4,1954
+ = 0,591
3! 4!
 X =5
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(5;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953 2,718−4,195 4,1954 2,718−4,195 4,1955
+ + = 0,754
3! 4! 5!
 X =6
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(6;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953 2,718−4,195 4,1954 2,718−4,195 4,1955
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−4,195 4,1956
= 0,868
6!
 X =7
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(7;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953 2,718−4,195 4,1954 2,718−4,195 4,1955
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−4,195 4,1956 2,718−4,195 4,1957
+ = 0,936
6! 7!
 X =8
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(8;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953 2,718−4,195 4,1954 2,718−4,195 4,1955
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−4,195 4,1956 2,718−4,195 4,1957 2,718−4,195 4,1958
+ + = 0,972
6! 7! 8!
 X =9
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(9;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953 2,718−4,195 4,1954 2,718−4,195 4,1955
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−4,195 4,1956 2,718−4,195 4,1957 2,718−4,195 4,1958
+ + +
6! 7! 8!
2,718−4,195 4,1959
= 0,989
9!
 Peluang Empiris
X =0,10,19,..... 𝜆𝑡 = 4,195 𝑒 = 2,718
 Fungsi Densitas
𝑥!
 X =0
2,718−4,195 4,1950
P(0;4,195) = = 0,015
0!
 X =10
2,718−4,195 4,19510
P(10;4,195) = =0,007
10!
 X =19
2,718−4,195 4,19519
P(19;4,195) = = 0,000
19!
𝑥
𝑃(𝑥; 𝜆𝑡) = ∑
𝑥!
0
 X =0
2,718−4,195 4,1950
P(0;4,195) = = 0,015
0!
 X =10
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(10;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953 2,718−4,195 4,1954 2,718−4,195 4,1955
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−4,195 4,1956 2,718−4,195 4,1957 2,718−4,195 4,1958
+ + +
6! 7! 8!
2,718−4,195 4,1959 2,718−4,195 4,19510
+ = 0,996
9! 10!
 X =19
2,718−4,195 4,1950 2,718−4,195 4,1951 2,718−4,195 4,1952
P(19;4,195) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−4,195 4,1953 2,718−4,195 4,1954 2,718−4,195 4,1955
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−4,195 4,1956 2,718−4,195 4,1957 2,718−4,195 4,1958
+ + +
6! 7! 8!
2,718−4,195 4,1959 2,718−4,195 4,19510 2,718−4,195 4,19511
+ + +
9! 10! 11!
2,718−4,195 4,19512 2,718−4,195 4,19513 2,718−4,195 4,19514
+ + +
12! 13! 14!
2,718−4,195 4,19515 2,718−4,195 4,19516 2,718−4,195 4,19517
+ + +
15! 16! 17!
2,718−4,195 4,19518 2,718−4,195 4,19519
+ = 1,000
18! 19!
1.2 Poisson II (1.5 menit)
Tabel 3 Data Poisson Interval 1.5 Menit
No. Interval Frekuensi

1 00.00.00-00.00.00
2 17.18.51-17.20.20 8
3 17.20.21-17.21.50 8
4 17.21.51-17.23.20 4
5 17.23.21-17.24.50 4
6 17.24.51-17.26.20 3
7 17.26.21-17.27.50 3
8 17.27.51-17.29.20 2
9 17.29.21-17.30.50 4
10 17.30.51-17.32.20 3
11 17.32.21-17.33.50 3
12 17.33.51-17.35.20 3
13 17.35.21-17.36.50 2
14 17.36.51-17.38.20 4
15 17.38.21-17.39.50 3
16 17.39.51-17.41.20 3
17 17.41.21-17.42.50 4
18 17.42.51-17.44.20 3
19 17.44.21-17.45.50 3
20 17.45.51-17.47.20 4
21 17.47.21-17.48.50 4
22 17.48.51-17.50.20 2
23 17.50.21-17.51.50 3
24 17.51.51-17.53.20 4
25 17.53.21-17.54.50 4
26 17.54.51-17.56.20 3
27 17.56.21-17.57.50 3
28 17.57.51-17.59.20 3
29 17.59.21-18.00.50 3
30 18.00.51-18.02.20 3
31 18.02.21-18.03.50 3
32 18.03.51-18.05.20 3
33 18.05.21-18.06.50 3
34 18.06.51-18.08.20 2
35 18.08.21-18.09.50 4
36 18.09.51-18.11.20 3
37 18.11.21-18.12.50 3
38 18.12.51-18.14.20 2
39 18.14.21-18.15.50 3
Tabel 3 Data Poisson Interval 1.5 Menit (Lanjutan)
40 18.15.51-18.17.20 2
41 18.17.21-18.18.50 4
42 18.18.51-18.20.20 2
43 18.20.21-18.21.50 4
44 18.21.51-18.23.20 3
45 18.23.21-18.24.50 3
46 18.24.51-18.26.20 2
47 18.26.21-18.27.50 4
48 18.27.51-18.29.20 2
49 18.29.21-18.30.50 2
50 18.30.51-18.32.20 2
51 18.32.21-18.33.50 4
52 18.33.51-18.35.20 3
53 18.35.21-18.36.50 3
54 18.36.51-18.38.20 2
55 18.38.21-18.39.50 3
56 18.39.51-18.41.20 2
57 18.41.21-18.42.50 2
58 18.42.51-18.44.20 4
59 18.44.21-18.45.50 3
60 18.45.51-18.47.20 3
61 18.47.21-18.48.50 2
62 18.48.51-18.50.20 3
63 18.50.21-18.51.50 7
Jumlah 200
Tabel 4 Data Interval 1.5 Menit (41 Data)
No Interval Frekuensi Frek Kumulatif

1 00.00.00-00.00.00 0 0
2 17.18.51-17.20.20 8 8
3 17.20.21-17.21.50 8 16
4 17.21.51-17.23.20 4 20
5 17.23.21-17.24.50 4 24
6 17.24.51-17.26.20 3 27
7 17.26.21-17.27.50 3 30
8 17.27.51-17.29.20 2 32
9 17.29.21-17.30.50 4 36
10 17.30.51-17.32.20 3 39
11 17.32.21-17.33.50 3 42
12 17.33.51-17.35.20 3 45
Tabel 4 Data Interval 1.5 Menit (41 Data) (Lanjutan)
13 17.35.21-17.36.50 2 47
14 17.36.51-17.38.20 4 51
15 17.38.21-17.39.50 3 54
16 17.39.51-17.41.20 3 57
17 17.41.21-17.42.50 4 61
18 17.42.51-17.44.20 3 64
19 17.44.21-17.45.50 3 67
20 17.45.51-17.47.20 4 71
21 17.47.21-17.48.50 4 75
22 17.48.51-17.50.20 2 77
23 17.50.21-17.51.50 3 80
24 17.51.51-17.53.20 4 84
25 17.53.21-17.54.50 4 88
26 17.54.51-17.56.20 3 91
27 17.56.21-17.57.50 3 94
28 17.57.51-17.59.20 3 97
29 17.59.21-18.00.50 3 100
30 18.00.51-18.02.20 3 103
31 18.02.21-18.03.50 3 106
32 18.03.51-18.05.20 3 109
33 18.05.21-18.06.50 3 112
34 18.06.51-18.08.20 2 114
35 18.08.21-18.09.50 4 118
36 18.09.51-18.11.20 3 121
37 18.11.21-18.12.50 3 124
38 18.12.51-18.14.20 2 126
39 18.14.21-18.15.50 3 129
40 18.15.51-18.17.20 2 131
41 18.17.21-18.18.50 4 135
Jumlah 135
 Mean
∑𝐹 135
𝜇 = 𝜆𝑡 = = = 3,292
𝑁 41
 Standar Deviasi
∑ 𝐹𝑘 135
𝜎 2 = 𝜆𝑡 = = = 3,292
𝑁 41
 Peluang Teoritis
X =0,1,2,..... 𝜆𝑡 = 3,29 𝑒 = 2,718
 Fungsi Densitas
𝑥!
 X =0
2,718−3,292 3,2920
P(0;3,292) = = 0,037
0!
 X =1
2,718−3,292 3,2921
P(1;3,292) = = 0,122
1!
 X =2
2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(2;3,292) = = 0,201
2!
 X =3
2,718−3,292 3,2923
P(3;3,292) = = 0,221
3!
 X =4
2,718−3,292 3,2924
P(4;3,292) = = 0,182
4!
 X =5
2,718−3,292 3,2925
P(5;3,292) = = 0,119
5!
 X =6
2,718−3,292 3,2926
P(6;3,292) = = 0,065
6!
 X =7
2,718−3,292 3,2927
P(7;3,292) = = 0,030
7!
 X =8
2,718−3,292 3,2928
P(8;3,292) = = 0,012
8!
 X =9
2,718−3,292 3,2929
P(9;3,292) = = 0,004
9!
𝑥
𝑃(𝑥; 𝜆𝑡) = ∑
𝑥!
0
 X =0
2,718−3,292 3,2920
P(0;3,292) = = 0,037
0!
 X =1
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921
P(1;3,292) = + = 0,159
0! 1!
 X =2
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(2;3,292) = + + = 0,361
0! 1! 2!
 X =3
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(3;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923
= 0,582
3!
 X =4
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(4;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923 2,718−3,292 3,2924
+ = 0,764
3! 4!
 X =5
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(5;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923 2,718−3,292 3,2924 2,718−3,292 3,2925
+ + = 0,884
3! 4! 5!
 X =6
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(6;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923 2,718−3,292 3,2924 2,718−3,292 3,2925
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−3,292 3,2926
= 0,949
6!
 X =7
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(7;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923 2,718−3,292 3,2924 2,718−3,292 3,2925
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−3,292 3,2926 2,718−3,292 3,2927
+ = 0,980
6! 7!
 X =8
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(8;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923 2,718−3,292 3,2924 2,718−3,292 3,2925
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−3,292 3,2926 2,718−3,292 3,2927 2,718−3,292 3,2928
+ + = 0,993
6! 7! 8!
 X =9
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(9;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923 2,718−3,292 3,2924 2,718−3,292 3,2925
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−3,292 3,2926 2,718−3,292 3,2927 2,718−3,292 3,2928
+ + +
6! 7! 8!
2,718−3,292 3,2929
= 0,998
9!
 Peluang Empiris
X =0,8,16,..... 𝜆𝑡 = 3,292 𝑒 = 2,718
 Fungsi Densitas
𝑥!
 X =0
2,718−3,292 3,2920
P(0;3,292) = = 0,037
0!
 X =8
2,718−3,292 3,2928
P(8;3,292) = =0,012
8!
 X =16
2,718−3,292 3,29216
P(16;3,292) = = 0,000
16!
𝑥
𝑃(𝑥; 𝜆𝑡) = ∑
𝑥!
0
 X =0
2,718−3,292 3,2920
P(0;3,292) = = 0,015
0!
 X =8
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(8;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923 2,718−3,292 3,2924 2,718−3,292 3,2925
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−3,292 3,2926 2,718−3,292 3,2927 2,718−3,292 3,2928
+ + = 0,996
6! 7! 8!
 X =16
2,718−3,292 3,2920 2,718−3,292 3,2921 2,718−3,292 3,2922
P(16;3,292) = + + +
0! 1! 2!
2,718−3,292 3,2923 2,718−3,292 3,2924 2,718−3,292 3,2925
+ + +
3! 4! 5!
2,718−3,292 3,2926 2,718−3,292 3,2927 2,718−3,292 3,2928
+ + +
6! 7! 8!
2,718−3,292 3,2929 2,718−3,292 3,29210 2,718−3,292 3,29211
+ + +
9! 10! 11!
2,718−3,292 3,29212 2,718−3,292 3,29213 2,718−3,292 3,29214
+ + +
12! 13! 14!
2,718−3,292 3,29215 2,718−3,292 3,29216
+ = 1,000
15! 16!

Jurnal Poisson

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Jurnal Poisson

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1.

Tabel 2 Data Interval 2 Menit (41 Data)

No. Interval Frekuensi

Tabel 4 Data Interval 1.5 Menit (41 Data)

No Interval Frekuensi Frek Kumulatif

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