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To my students
v
b2530 International Strategic Relations and China’s National Security: World at the Crossroads
Preface
vii
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-fm page viii
viii Preface
ix
b2530 International Strategic Relations and China’s National Security: World at the Crossroads
Acknowledgements
xi
b2530 International Strategic Relations and China’s National Security: World at the Crossroads
Contents
Preface vii
About the Author ix
Acknowledgements xi
Note for PhD Students xix
1 Utility Theory 1
1.1 Risk Aversion and Certainty Equivalent . . . . . . 3
xiii
February 22, 2018 15:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-fm page xiv
xiv Contents
3 Risk Measures 19
3.1 One-period Portfolio Selection . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
3.2 Rothschild and Stiglitz “Strict” Risk Aversion . . . 21
3.2.1 Efficient portfolio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
3.2.2 Portfolio analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
3.3 Merton’s Risk Measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
3.3.1 Properties of Merton’s risk measure bp . . . 29
3.3.2 Relationship between bp and conditional
expected return E[Zp |Ze ] . . . . . . . . . . 33
3.3.3 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
Exercises: Capital Market Theory, Risk Measures . . . . 38
Contents xv
6 Mean–Variance Frontier 83
6.1 Mean–Variance Frontier . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
6.1.1 The Sharpe ratio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85
6.1.2 Calculating the mean–variance frontier . . . 86
6.1.3 Decomposing the mean–variance frontier . . 89
6.1.4 Spanning the frontier . . . . . . . . . . . . 92
6.1.5 Hansen–Jagannathan bounds . . . . . . . . 93
xvi Contents
Contents xvii
Bibliography 193
Calculus Notes 195
Index 203
b2530 International Strategic Relations and China’s National Security: World at the Crossroads
The core of the Advanced Finance Theory class covers three main
finance areas in Merton’s (1990) book (with chapter reference below)
• Asset pricing (Chapters 2, 4, 5)
• Option pricing (Chapters 7, 8, 9)
• Capital structure (Chapters 11, 12, 13)
If there is time, one could touch briefly on Intertemporal CAPM
(Chapter 15) and Complete Markets General Equilibrium Theory
(Chapter 16) which are extensions of Asset Pricing.
Chapter 3 is on Ito’s lemma. It is included in the supplementary
materials together with other mathematical tools such as stochastic
calculus. These are basic tools in continuous time mathematics that
all graduate students should master them well in order to tackle the
problems in the core chapters.
Before we start, here are some health warnings from Merton:
“. . . the foundation of modern finance theory rests on the perfect-market
paradigm of rational behavior and frictionless, competitive, and infor-
mationally efficient capital markets. With its further assumption of con-
tinuous trading, the base of our theory should perhaps be labeled the
super perfect-market paradigm. The conditions of this paradigm are not,
of course, literally satisfied in the real world. Furthermore, its accuracy
as a useful approximation to that world varies considerably across time
and place. The practitioner should therefore apply the continuous-time
theory only tentatively, assessing its limitations in each application. Just
so, the researcher should treat it as a point of departure for both problem
finding and problem solving.”
xix
b2530 International Strategic Relations and China’s National Security: World at the Crossroads
Chapter 1
Utility Theory
This may seem a strange choice for a utility functional form, but it
is actually a very clever one. The Arrow–Pratt measures of (absolute
and relative) risk aversion (RA) are
U (W )
ARA = −
U (W )
and
U (W )
RRA = − W.
U (W )
1
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch01 page 2
1
Indeed, with the advances of research, we now know that these lower order of
risk preference measures are not sufficient in distinguishing risks represented by
higher moments of the risky return distribution. But we will confine our scope
here to the classical analyses only omitting e.g. skewness preference.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch01 page 3
Utility Theory 3
U(E[W])
E[U(W)]
W
WC E[W]
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch01 page 4
Chapter 2
5
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch02 page 6
qi
φi = ,
pi
φ(xm)
xm
Here, the forward price equals the expected value of the cash flow.
This occurs if the cash flow can be priced under the assumption of
risk neutrality. Hence the case where φi = 1, for all i, equates to the
case of risk neutrality.
In order to appreciate the importance of the pricing kernel, con-
sider the following expansion of Eq. (2.2). Using the definition of
covariance, the forward price is
Fj = E [xj φ(xm )]
= E [φ(xm )] E (xj ) + Cov [φ(xm ), xj ]
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch02 page 8
subject to
wt+T,i qi Bt,t+T = wt . (2.3)
i
1
This follows from the Von Neuman–Morgenstern expected utility theorem, see
Fama and Miller (1972). Basically, it states that if the investor behaves accord-
ing to five axioms of choice under uncertainty, then maximising expected utility
should always lead to maximising utility and hence an optimal investment choice.
The five axioms govern the comparability, transitivity, independence, certainty
equivalence and ranking of choices.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch02 page 9
or
E[u (wt+T )] = λ,
since i qi = 1. Now, substituting for λ in (2.4), the first-order
condition becomes
pi u (wt+T,i )
= qi ,
E [u (wt+T )]
or
qi u (wt+T,i )
φi = = .
pi E [u (wt+T )]
φ = φ(xm ),
Now rewrite the forward price, F , as Ft,t+T . Also, note that the time-
t + T spot price, x, can be expressed as Ft+T,t+T . This is because the
forward price at t + T for immediate delivery is simply the spot price
at t + T . Hence
et = ct + pt ξ
or by rearrangement
ct = et − pt ξ.
U (ct+1 )
pt = Et β xt+1 . (2.7)
U (ct )
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch02 page 12
Equation (2.7), which is the central asset pricing formula, states the
price pt of the risky asset given the payoff xt+1 and the optimal
consumption levels ct and ct+1 .
2
The stochastic discount factor is also known as the marginal rate of substitu-
tion, because it gives us the rate at which the investor is willing to substitute
consumption at time t + 1 for consumption at time t. It is the same as the pricing
kernel or state-price density in the previous section.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch02 page 13
risk premium) for an asset that does well in bad states of the world,
because it would yield the extra payoff exactly when it is needed
most, i.e. in bad states when wages, endowments, etc. are low and
marginal utility is high (i.e. positive correlation between m and x).
To sum up, according to asset pricing theory, the riskiness of an asset
does not depend on its variance, but on its co-variance with marginal
utility (of consumption or wealth).
In particular, we get
ct+1 −γ ct+1
ln = −γ ln = −γΔ ln ct+1
ct ct
∼ N −γE (Δ ln ct+1 ) , γ 2 σt2 (Δ ln ct+1 ) .
−γ
ct+1 2 /2
)σt2 (Δ ln ct+1 )
Et = e−γEt (Δ ln ct+1 )+(γ (2.12)
ct
x = proj(x | m) + ε,
E(mx)
= E(m2 )
E(m2 )
= E(mx) = p(x).
Therefore, the price of the idiosyncratic component of the payoff
is zero, i.e. p(ε) = p(x) − p[proj(x | m)] = 0.
Chapter 3
Risk Measures
This chapter and Chapter 11 later are based on Merton (1990, Chap-
ter 2) which is supposed to be an introductory chapter. However,
there are many very important concepts of risk, risk measures and
mutual fund theorems that are key to finance theories that deserve
careful and detailed coverage to facilitate the development of new
finance theories. Hence, it is now separated into two chapters. This
chapter covers the concept of risk and riskiness following Rothschild
and Stiglitz (1970, 1971) and those by Merton (1990). The Merton’s
risk measure is for an individual utility function but has proper-
ties closely resemblance the CAPM beta in the general equilibrium
setting. This whole area of work tends to focus only on the first
two moments of risky returns distribution which is rather restric-
tive in the modern context. Rothschild and Stiglitz’s risk concept
is very loosely defined using utility and is always valid disregard-
ing the shape of the risky returns distribution. Though not discussed
here, Rothschild and Stiglitz’s risk concept has now been extended to
include higher order of risk preference such as prudence, cautiousness
and downside risk aversion. In this chapter and Chapter 11, invest-
ment and asset pricing are evaluated in a static one-period framework
without consumption.
19
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch03 page 20
Let wi∗ ≡ (w1∗ , w2∗ , . . . , wn∗ ) be the solution set satisfying f.o.c., and
hence the return on the optimal portfolio, Z ∗ , can be written as
n
Z∗ ≡ wj∗ Zj .
j=1
E[U (Z ∗ ) · Zi ] = λ for i = 1, . . . , n.
Risk Measures 21
n
Here, j=1 wj = 1 is not binding. Instead we have wn+1 +
n
w
j=1 j = 1 assuming that there is no limit on borrowing and lend-
ing, and wn+1 is the amount borrowed or lent. Here, the prob-
lem reduces to solving for the portfolio of risky assets, i.e. solve
for wj for j = 1, . . . , n, and wn+1 is treated as a residual value with
wn+1 = 1 − nj=1 wj . This is done by optimizing the objective func-
tion and the f.o.c. implies
∂L
= E[U (Z ∗ )(Zi − R)] = 0, (3.2)
∂wi
where
n
Z∗ = wj∗ (Zj − R) + R,
j=1
A(y) A(y)
W1
W2
y y
a b a b
Figure 3.1: The left graph denotes second-order stochastic dominance, whereas,
the right graph denotes first-order stochastic dominance. A(y) denotes the cumu-
lative density function of wealth (i.e. F (x) and G(x)).
1
A feasible portfolio has a set of portfolio weights that satisfy and, at the same
time, are constrained by the market supplies of securities.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch03 page 23
Risk Measures 23
Corollary 2.1 (Risky vs. risk free). Return on the efficient port-
folio must be higher than the risk-free rate unless the efficient port-
folio is risk-free
Z e > R = R.
The iff (if and only if) statement is proved in two parts; in the
first part we show that if Z j = R, then the return of the optimal
portfolio must be R. In the second part, we show that if R is optimal
then all Z j = R. First from f.o.c.,
Risk Measures 25
is a solution to the required condition. This proves the first “if” part.
To prove the “only if” part, note that if Z ∗ = R is an optimal
solution, then
E(Zj − R) = 0,
E(Zj ) = Z j = R.
2
In the risk and uncertainty literature, such a zero mean noise, s , is called pure
noise.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch03 page 26
in Zp instead of Zs . Then
Ze = Z + δ(Zs − Zp ) (3.5)
= Z + δs .
From the definition in (3.4),
Z e = Z.
For δ = 0, Ze is riskier than Z in the Rothschild–Stiglitz sense. This
contradicts the definition of an efficient portfolio Ze . Hence, δ = 0 in
every efficient portfolio.
Corollary 2.3 in Merton’s book extends Theorem 2.3 to n
securities. Theorem 2.3 and Corollary 2.3 together demonstrate that
all risk averse investors would want all “unnecessary” uncertainties
to be eliminated. In particular, by this theorem, lottery is a noise
(negative mean) that is not in any efficient set. Thus, the existence
and popularity of lottery seem to contradict the strick risk aversion
(in Rothschild–Stiglitz sense) on the part of lottery buyers. One
possible explanation for lottery is offered by Friedman and Savage
(1948) who argue that part of the utility function is concave (for the
normal portion below current income) while another part is convex
(that matches lottery payoff). There are also other explanations that
are based on prospect theory and behavioural economics which is
beyond the scope of this book.
3
That is, different investor with different utility functions may choose the same
portfolio ZeK . Moreover, as in all Merton’s work, this uniqueness here is defined
in the context of mean–variance world with a non-singular covariance matrix.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch03 page 27
Risk Measures 27
that the investor has chosen ZeK as his optimal portfolio, it must
mean that
E[VK (ZeK )(Zj − R)] = 0 for all j = 1, . . . , n. (3.6)
Next define
VK − E[VK ]
YK ≡ . (3.7)
Cov(VK , ZeK )
Equation (3.7) is a key step in the derivation; the use of covari-
ance term immediately rules out all relationships that involve higher
moments.
For concave utility function, VK > 0 and VK < 0 which
means that (i) VK = 0, (ii) σ(Ze ) > 0 (strictly positive), and
(iii) ρ(VK , Ze ) < 0. The covariance (correlation) term is negative
suggesting that higher portfolio return distribution Ze is associated
with lower levels of marginal utility. As shown below, VK is down-
ward sloping convex function of Ze (similar to the pricing kernel
relationship with total wealth).
V ′K
Ze
Risk Measures 29
Then given
E(XY ) = E(X)E(Y ) + Cov(XY )
If E(XY ) = 0
Cov(XY ) = −E(X)E(Y ).
Since Cov(VK , Zp ) < 0, we get
Cov(VK , Zp ) = (R − Z p )E[VK (ZeK )]
K
Cov(VK , ZeK ) = (R − Z e )E[VK (ZeK )]
K
VK (Ze ) − E[VK (ZeK )]
Cov(YK , Zp ) = Cov , Zp
Cov(VK (ZeK ), ZeK )
1
= Cov(VK (ZeK ), Zp )
Cov(VK (ZeK ), ZeK )
R − Zp
= K
,
R − Ze
which leads immediately to (3.8).
if Z p = R, bL
p must be zero for the RHS to go to zero. This leads to
the conclusion that if bK L K
p = 0 then bp = 0 for efficient portfolios Ze
and ZeL .
Property 1 (Chain rule)
Chain rule applies to bK
p with respect to different efficient portfolios
bK K L
p = bL · bp
L
Ze − R Zp − R Zp − R
bK
L = K
, bK
p = K
, bL
p = L
Ze −R Ze −R Ze − R
Risk Measures 31
Zp = R iff bK
p =0
If bK
p = 0 is zero then RHS and LHS will have to be zero and Z p = R.
This is the if part. If Z p = R, the LHS is zero, hence the RHS is also
K
zero. Given Z e > R, bK p must be zero. This is the only if part. This
completes the proof. Moreover, beta of the risk-free asset is zero with
reference to any other efficient portfolio; since bK L
p = 0 leads to bp = 0
for all efficient portfolios L from Properties 1 and 2 above.
Property 4 (Unique ordering)
Let p and q be two feasible portfolios and K and L are two efficient
portfolios.
bK K
p bq iff bL L
p bq .
bL L
p = bq = 0
bK K
p = bq = 0.
(ii) For bL
p = 0
bL
q bL K
k bq bK
q
L
= L
= .
bp K
bk bp bK
p
(Zp − R) = bK K
p (Ze − R) + εp , and E(εp ) = 0.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch03 page 32
Then
holding $1 in p +R + bK K
p (Ze − R) + εp
long $bK
p in risk free
K
+bp R
short $bK
p in efficient portfolio K −bK K
p Ze .
Then return of q is
Zq = R + εp
Z q = R.
bK
q = 0 and bL
q = 0,
bL
q = 0 ⇒ Cov(Zq , VL ) = 0,
Cov(Zq , VL ) = 0,
Cov(R + εp , VL ) = 0,
Cov(εp , VL ) = 0,
E(εp VL ) − E(εp )E(VL ) = 0,
0
E(εp VL ) = 0 for all L.
then
n
bK
p = wj bK
j
j=1
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch03 page 33
Risk Measures 33
from the linear property of the covariance operator. Hence, the sys-
tematic risk of a portfolio is the weighted sum of the systematic risk
of its components.
Proof.
V − E(V ) dV (Ze )
Y (Ze ) = , and V =
Cov(V , Ze ) dZe
bp = Cov(Y (Ze ), Zp )
bp − bq = Cov(Y (Ze ), Zp − Zq )
= Cov[Y (Ze ), Gp (Ze ) − Gq (Ze )] given Ze .
If
dGp (Ze ) dGq (Ze )
− = a, (3.9)
dZe dZe
then
bp − bq = a
Z p = Z q + a(Z e − R).
Risk Measures 35
Proof. If q = e, Zp = Ze ,
dGq (Ze ) dGe (Ze )
= = 1.
dZe dZe
If Zq = R,
dGq (Ze ) dGR (Ze )
= = 0.
dZe dZe
3.3.3 Discussion
K
From Theorem 2.4, if we have (Z e − R) as the risk premium, then
the excess return (Z p −R) is proportion to Merton’s risk measure bK p ;
the larger the bK
p , the larger the expected return Z p . Merton gives
three reasons why bK p is a better risk measure as follows:
∗
(b) If Z j −R > b∗j (Z −R), the investor will increase his holding
in j, and vice versa.
(c) As risk b∗j increases, Z j − R must increase accordingly if
portfolio holding is to remain unchanged.
As Merton notes, Eq. (3.10) is like the security market line
representing the excess demand function and personal portfolio
equilibrium.
(iii) Ordering of j by their “systematic risk” relative to a given effi-
cient portfolio is identical to the ordering relative to any other
efficient portfolio. That is “security j is riskier than security i”
is unambiguous. (This is proved in Property 4.)
Risk Measures 37
Chapter 4
39
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 40
the theory on the assumption that their existence is solely for the
function they serve. Similarly, the capital markets exist to provide
households with risk pooling and risk sharing opportunities and to
facilitate the efficient allocation of resources. In the analyses in the
subsequent sections, the following assumptions are made:
(i) Frictionless markets, i.e. no transaction costs or taxes, all secu-
rities are perfectly divisible.
(ii) All individuals are price takers.
(iii) There is no arbitrage opportunity. Market is at equilibrium.
Returns (per dollar) of all riskless assets is R = ln(1 + r).
(iv) There are no institutional restrictions; short-sales are possible,
borrowing rate equals lending rate.
First, we start with discrete time and the budget equation below
m m
Xi,t
Wt = wi,t0 (Wt0 − Ct0 h) s.t. wi,t0 ≡ 1,
1
Xi,t0 1
1
As one would appreciate later, the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) assump-
tion is very crucial to deriving the results in the following sections. This is in fact
a key assumption made throughout Merton’s (1990) book.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 41
dX = rXdt.
2
Neumann–Morgenstern utility is the foundation of all expected utility theories.
Examples of non-expected utility theories include Allais paradox, framing and
behavioural finance.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 42
t
−ρs
I [Wt0 , t0 ] = max Et0 e U [Cs ] ds + I [Wt , t] . (4.4)
C(s),w(s) t0
∂It0 ∂It0
I [Wt0 , t0 ] = max Et0 e−ρτ U [Cτ ] h + It0 + h+ [Wt − Wt0 ]
C,w ∂t ∂W
1 ∂ 2 It0 2
+ [W t − W t0 ] + o (h) . (4.5)
2 ∂W 2
t
The cumulative consumption utility t0 e−ρs U [Cs ]ds is approximated,
by the mean value theorem for integral,3 as e−ρτ U [Cτ ]h under expec-
tation with τ ∈ [t0 , t]. In continuous time method, h ≡ dt. As h → 0,
we can write τ as t.
Next, take expectation Et0 of each term in the RHS of (4.5) and
note that
3
R b if G is a
The simplest form of the mean variance theorem for integral states that
continuous function, then there exists a number x ∈ (a, b) such that a G(t)dt =
G(x)(b − a).
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 43
Et0 [Wt − Wt0 ] and Et0 [Wt − Wt0 ]2 are the drift and the variance
rates of (4.1). As h → 0, o(h) is dropped, we get4
∂It ∂It
0 = max e−ρt U [Ct ] + + [(wt (α − r) + r) Wt − Ct ]
C,w ∂t ∂W
1 ∂2I 2 2 2
+ w σ Wt , (4.6)
2 ∂W 2 t
where It is short for I[Wt , t]. The subscript t0 is replaced by t because
(4.6) holds for any t. This is an important step in the solution as we
have just reduced the dynamic control problem in (4.4) into a single-
state partial differential equation (PDE) problem.
The optimal solution is obtained when
⎧ ⎫
⎪
⎪ φ = 0, ⎪
⎪
⎨ ⎬
φC = 0,
.
⎪
⎪ φw = 0, ⎪
⎪
⎩ ⎭
I [WT , T ] = B [WT , T ]
If we define the differential operator
∂It ∂It
φ ≡ e−ρt U [Ct ] + + [(wt (α − r) + r) Wt − Ct ]
∂t ∂W
1 ∂ 2 It 2 2 2
+ w σ Wt , (4.7)
2 ∂W 2
then (4.6) can be written as
max φ (w, C; W ; t) = 0
C,w
ν ≡ s − t, s = ν + t,
ds = dv,
s → [t, ∞] v → [0, ∞] .
First, let
∞
−ρν
= max E0 e U [C] dν
C,w 0
= J[Wt ],
and the partial derivatives are
∂I ∂J ∂2I 2
−ρt ∂ J
= e−ρt , = e , (4.10)
∂W ∂W ∂W 2 ∂W 2
∂I
= −ρe−ρt J,
∂t
with ∂J
∂t = 0. Since the terminal wealth WT is now not relevant, we
will write Wt as W from now on without the risk of confusion.
Substitute the partial derivatives of I in (4.10) into (4.6). With
all the e−ρt term cancelled out and drop the time subscript t (for
presentation only) to give5
0 = max U [C] − ρJ + J [(w (α − r) + r) W − C]
C,w
1 2 2 2
+ J σ w W . (4.11)
2
It is now obvious that the PDE in (4.6) is reduced to an ordinary
differential equation (ODE) in (4.11) above; there is no differential
variable with respect to t. So Eq. (4.11) is no longer a function of
time.
Finally, substitute (4.10) into (4.8) and (4.9) to give
U [Ct∗ ] = J , (4.12)
(α − r) J
wt∗ = − . (4.13)
σ 2 Wt J
5 ∂2I
From here onwards, we will write I(W ) as I, ∂I
∂W
as I , ∂W 2
as I , J(W ) as J,
2
∂J
∂W
as J , and ∂ J
∂W 2
as J .
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 46
1 γ
U (C) = C (4.14)
γ
1
U (C) = γC γ−1 = C γ−1 , (4.15)
γ
U (C) = (γ − 1) C γ−2
U − (γ − 1) C γ−2
RRA = − C = C
U C γ−1
= − (γ − 1) = 1 − γ = δ
1
C ∗ = J γ−1 , (4.16)
1 γ−1
γ 1
U (C ∗ ) − J C ∗ = J − J J γ−1
γ
1 γ 1 − γ γ−1
γ
= − 1 J γ−1 = J .
γ γ
6
Note that in Merton (1990), U (C) = γ1 (C γ − 1). This specification of the utility
function will not lead to the required result. This is corrected in the subsequent
reprint of the book.
7
From here onwards, we will write U (C) as U , U (C) as U , and U (C) as U .
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 47
Substitute this result and the solution for w∗ in (4.13) into (4.11)
and evaluate it at the optimum (C ∗ , w∗ ), we have
2
1 − γ γ−1
γ (α − r) J
0= J − ρJ + J − 2 W + rW
γ σ W J
1 2 (α − r)2 J 2 2
+ J σ 2 2 2 W ,
2 σ σ W J
1−γ γ (α − r)2 [J ]2
0= J γ−1 − ρJ − + rW J . (4.17)
γ 2σ 2 J
On the other hand, the first and second terms of (4.17) suggest that
J and J also have the same order in W . Hence, we have, by equating
the power of W ,
γ
(B − 1) = B,
γ−1
B = γ.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 48
So (4.18) becomes
1−γ γ (α − r)2 AγW γ
0= (Aγ) γ−1 W γ − ρAW γ − + rAγW γ .
γ 2σ 2 (γ − 1)
Dropping W γ from all terms and simplifying the last three terms, we
have
2
1−γ γ (α − r) γ
0= (Aγ) γ−1 − A ρ + − rγ
γ 2σ 2 (γ − 1)
1−γ γ
= (Aγ) γ−1 − Aμ,
γ
2
where μ = ρ + (α−r) γ
2σ2 (γ−1)
− rγ. Solving for A, we have
1−γ γ
(Aγ) γ−1 = Aμ,
γ
γ γ γ
A γ−1 −1 γ γ−1 = μ,
1−γ
1 γ
+1 1
A γ−1 = γ 1−γ μ,
1−γ
1 γ−1 γ−1
γ 1−γ 1 μ b
A= μ = = ,
1−γ γ 1−γ γ
μ γ−1
for b = ( 1−γ ) . Hence the solution for J is
b γ
J= W ,
γ
b
J = γW γ−1 = bW γ−1 ,
γ
J = b (γ − 1) W γ−2 .
Substitute J, J , J , back into (4.17), we get
1−γ γ b
0= bW γ−1 γ−1 − ρ W γ
γ γ
(α − r)2 b2 W 2γ−2
− + rW bW γ−1
2σ 2 b (γ − 1) W γ−2
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 49
1 − γ γ−1
γ b (α − r)2 bW γ
= b Wγ − ρ Wγ − + rbW γ
γ γ 2σ 2 γ − 1
1 − γ γ−1
1 ρ (α − r)2 1
= b − − +r
γ γ 2σ 2 γ − 1
and with rearrangement,
1 − γ γ−1
1 ρ (α − r)2 1
b = − − r,
γ γ 2σ 2 1 − γ
1 ρ γ (α − r)2 rγ
b γ−1 = − − . (4.19)
1 − γ 2σ 2 (1 − γ)2 1 − γ
∗
1 1
C∞ = bW γ−1 γ−1 = b γ−1 W, (4.20)
(ρ − γv) W
W = , (4.22)
1−γ
(α−r) 2
where v = r + 2(1−γ)σ 2 . The solution suggests that the investor
8
In the multi-assets case, we have
» „ «–
∗ ρ (α − r) w−1 (α − r) r
C∞,t = −γ + W,
1−γ 2 (1 − γ)2 1−γ
∗ (α − r) w−1 (α − r)
w∞,t = .
(1 − γ)
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 51
J J (α − r)2 (J )2
0=− − ρJ + rJ W + ln J − . (4.25)
η η 2σ 2 J
ABeBW ABeBW
0=− − ρAeBW + rABeBW W + ln ABeBW
η η
(α − r)2 A2 B 2 e2BW
−
2σ 2 AB 2 eBW
AB AB 2 AB (α − r)2
=− − ρA + W rAB + + (ln AB) − A
η η η 2σ 2
B B2 B (α − r)2
= − − ρ + W rB + + (ln AB) − . (4.26)
η η η 2σ 2
One important observation to note is that Eq. (4.26) holds for all
and any W . This suggests that the sum of the coefficients of W is
zero. Hence
B2
rB + = 0,
η
B = −ηr = −q and
B
= −r.
η
B
Substitute η = −r back into (4.26)
(α − r)2
r − ρ − r ln AB − = 0,
2σ 2
1 (α − r)2
ln AB = r−ρ− ,
r 2σ 2
⎡ ⎤
(α−r)2
r − ρ − 2σ2
AB = exp ⎣ ⎦ = p,
r
p p
A= =− .
B q
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 53
U (C ∗ ) = J ,
1
βC ∗ J γ−1
+η = ,
1−γ β
1
1−γ∗ J γ−1
C = −η ,
β β
γ
1−γ
∗ J γ−1
U (C ) = . (4.29)
γ β
γ
1−γ J γ−1 (α − r)2 (J )2
= − (1 − γ) − ρJ −
γ β 2σ 2 J
1−γ
+ J rW + η
β
γ
(1 − γ)2 J γ−1 (α − r)2 (J )2 1−γ
= − ρJ − + J rW + η
γ β 2σ 2 J β
(4.30)
! = rW + 1−γ
rW η,
β
! = W + 1 − γ η.
W
rβ
with
! B−1 ,
J = AB W
! B−2 ,
J = AB (B − 1) W
J !
W
= .
J (B − 1)
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 57
Following the same argument that the first and second terms, involv-
! , we have
ing J and J, are in the same order in W
(B − 1) γ
= B,
γ−1
Bγ − γ = Bγ − B,
B = γ.
Then
γ
(1 − γ)2 Aγ γ−1 ! γ !γ
0= W − ρAW
γ β
(α − r)2 Aγ ! γ !γ
− W + rAγ W
2σ 2 (γ − 1)
γ
(1 − γ)2 Aγ γ−1
= − Aμ,
γ β
(α−r)2 γ
where μ = ρ + 2σ2 (γ−1)
− rγ, which means that
−γ
1
γ−1
γ γ−1 γ
A = μ,
β (1 − γ)2
1−γ
β γ (1 − γ)2
A= .
γ μ
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 58
Hence
1−γ 1−γ
βγ (1 − γ)2 ! γ−1 γ (1 − γ)2 ! γ−1 ,
J = γW =β W
γ μ μ
!
J W
= .
J (γ − 1)
α−r W !
∗
w∞ =−
σ 2 W (γ − 1)
α−r 1 1−γ
=− W+ η
σ 2 W (γ − 1) rβ
α−r η (α − r)
= 2
+ .
(1 − γ) σ βrσ 2 W
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 59
η 1
Writing β as η∗ we get
∗ 1 (α − r)2
C∞ = rW − ∗ r−ρ− ,
η r 2σ 2
γ
W η −r(T −t)
× + {1 − e } ,
1 − γ βr
(α−r) 2
where v ≡ r + 2(1−γ)σ 2 . This solution is harder to verify as it involves
η (α − r)
wt∗ = {1 − e−r(T −t) }.
βrσ 2 Wt
The investment solution above is identical to the infinite horizon case
except for the {} term. For the old person, as (T −t) → 0 and {} → 0,
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch04 page 62
Chapter 5
Optimum Demand
and Mutual Fund Theorem
65
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch05 page 66
1
Note that under the assumption of geometric Brownian motion, αi (P, t) = αi
and σi (P, t) = σi are both constant and prices will be lognormally distributed.
This is not the case if αi and σi are functions of price and time, in which case
the price is only locally or conditionally lognormal.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch05 page 67
death as follows:
T
max E0 U [Ct , t] + B [WT , T ] .
0
where LC,w 2
W,P is the Dynkin operator over the variables P and W for
a given set of w and C.
The price of individual asset Pi now affects the solution via αi
and σi as they are both functions of Pt and t. So unlike the previous
chapter, J and φ are now functions of W , P , and t. Given (5.1) and
(5.2), LC,w
W,P now contains all the (cross-product) terms in the Taylor
series expansion:
n n
∂ ∂ ∂
L≡ + wi αi W − C + αi Pi
∂t ∂W ∂Pi
1 1
n n n n
1 ∂2 1 ∂2
+ σij wi wj W 2 + Pi Pj σij
2 1 1
∂W 2 2 1 1
∂Pi ∂Pj
n
n
∂2
+ Pi W wj σij .
∂Pi ∂W
1 1
2
Define the differential generator
» –
G (Pt+h , t + h) − G (Pt , t)
G̊ (P, t) = lim Et
h→0 h
conditional on knowing Pt . A heuristic method for finding the differential gen-
erator is to take the conditional expectation of dG (found by Ito’s lemma)
and “divide” by dt. The result of this operation will be LP (G), i.e. formally
Et (dG)/dt = G̊ = LP (G). The same applies to the two variables case to get
LW,P .
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch05 page 68
0 = max φ (C, w; W, P, t)
C,w
with Lagrangian
n
L=φ+λ 1− wi
1
0 = LC (C ∗ , w∗ ) = UC (C ∗ , t) − J
0 = Lwk (C ∗ , w∗ ) for k = 1, . . . , n
n
n
= −λ + J αk W + J σkj wj∗ W 2 + JjW σkj Pj W (5.3)
j=1 j=1
n
0 = Lλ (C ∗ , w∗ ) = 1 − wi∗ . (5.4)
i=1
J ≡ ∂J/ ∂W,
J ≡ ∂ 2 J ∂W 2 ,
Ji ≡ ∂J/ ∂Pi ,
JjW ≡ ∂ 2 J ∂Pj ∂W
J (W, P, T ) = B (W, T ) .
0 = −λ1 + J W α + J W 2 w w ∗ + W w d, (5.5)
is an n × 1 vector.
If the portfolio does not include risk-free component and V ≡
[νij ] ≡ Ω−1 exists, then from (5.5),
λ 1
w∗ = Ω−1 1 + mΩ−1 α − d
J W 2 J W
λ 1
= 2 V 1 + mV α − d, (5.6)
J W J W
J
m = −
J W
and m can be interpreted as the inverse of the RRA.
∗
Multiply both sides of (5.6) by 1 . Since wk = 1 and
n
n
−1
Γ≡1Ω 1=1V1= νij ,
1 1
V1
Now multiply both sides of (5.7) by Γ to give
λ V1 m 1 1
V1 = − V 1 1 V α + V 1 1 d .
J W 2 Γ Γ J W Γ
n×1 n×1 1×1 n×1 1×1
1
1 f = −
Γ1 d−1 V 11 d = 0. (5.10)
ΓJ W
For the individual asset weight, wk∗ , with k = 1, . . . , n
⎛ ⎞
n ⎜ n n n n ⎟
1 m⎜ ⎟
wk∗ = νkj + ⎜
⎜Γ νkl αl − νkl νij αj ⎟
⎟
Γ Γ⎝ ⎠
j=1 l l=1 i=1 j=1
1×1 1×1 1×1
⎛ ⎞
⎜ n n
⎟
1 1⎜
⎜
⎟
− ⎜ ΓJkW Pk − νkj JjW Pj ⎟
⎟
J WΓ⎝ ⎠
j j
1×1 1×1
= hk (P, t) + m (P, W, t) gk (P, t) + fk (P, W, t) , (5.11)
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch05 page 71
where
n
νkj
hk (P, t) ≡ ,
Γ
j=1
⎛ ⎞
n n n
1
gk (P, t) ≡ νkl ⎝Γαl − νij αj ⎠ , (5.12)
Γ
l=1 i=1 j=1
⎛ ⎞
n n
fk (P, W, t) ≡ −⎝ΓJkW Pk − JiW Pi νkj ⎠ ΓW J
i=1 j=1
n
JkW Pk JiW Pi
=− + hk (P, t) . (5.13)
J W J W
i=1
Now, we can solve (5.14) via matrix form and linear algebra
where gk (P, t) and fk (P, W, t), shown below, are now much simpler
than their predecessors in (5.12) and (5.13)
m
gk (P, t) = νkj (αj − r) , (5.16)
j=1
JkW Pk
fk (P, W, t) ≡ − . (5.17)
W J
If Pk is a GBM with constant mean and variance rate, then J
will be a function of W and t only and not P . Recall that Jt = eρt It
is the life-long objective function at time t. If J is independent of P ,
∂J
then Jk = ∂P k
= 0 and (5.15) becomes
n
J
wk∗ = m (W, t) · gk = − νkj (αj − r) (5.18)
J W
j=1
and when there is only one risky asset, we get as in the previous
chapter
1 (α − r) J
wk∗ = − .
W σ2 J
market price of risk
for k. In the presence of a risk-free interest rate, the need for the
weights to sum to 1 disappears together with the term hk (P, t).
In the case when there is a risk-free asset, gk = nj=1 νkj (αj − r).
When there is only one risky asset g = (α−r) σ2
. Clearly, g in (5.12)
is the multi-asset equivalent of the sharpe ratio. It is the ratio of
excess returns of all assets scaled by the respective covariance risk
contribution due to k. The higher the excess return to risk ratio,
g, the bigger is the investment weight for k. When there is no risk-
free asset, the calculation is a bit more tedious; it involves calculating
νij αj for all i and all j to get a mean, and then calculating nj=1 νkj αj
net of this mean scaled by the covariance contribution of k.
The multiplier of g, m = − J JW is the equivalence of the inverse of
the RRA. When multiplying g by m, the (excess) returns are scaled
by J (or U ), and the covariances are scaled by J (or U ).
In the presence of risk-free interest rate, fk (P, W, t) ≡
− W1J JkW Pk . If asset price k is driven by some state variables
that are not related to W , then JkW = 0, and fk (P, W, t) = 0.
When the price process is GBM with constant mean and variance,
fk (P, W, t) = 0 also. In the case of stochastic interest rate where
interest rate changes investment opportunity set and hence W , the
impact of the changes in interest rate is then captured by fk . In this
case, the measure for fk also has to be de-mean in the same manner
as g above.
w∗ = h + mg. (5.19)
1−η
δk = hk + gk , (5.20)
ν
η
λk = hk − gk (5.21)
ν
where ν, η are arbitrary constant with ν = 0. The separation is
complete because the actual funds investment decisions, δk and λk ,
are functions of hk and gk (both distributional parameters) and
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch05 page 75
Uniqueness
The pair of mutual funds in Sec. 5.4.1 is unique. Recall that “unique”
here means non-singular, and non arbitrary. The proof below shows
how the mutual funds’ investment rules (5.20) and (5.21) are derived.
First, we want to establish that h and g in (5.19) are orthogonal. The
Gram–Schmidt process states that if g is orthogonal to h, then the
projection of g on h must be zero:
h g h g
g⊥h= h = h = 0, (5.24)
h h h
V = QΛQ−1 ,
(V 1) = QΛQ−1 1 = 1 QΛQ−1 = 1 V
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch05 page 77
Since V = 0 and α = 0,
11 V
I− = 0.
1 V 1
h g = 0
From (5.26),
! " ! " ! "
δ ∗ δ a
w = δλ
λ λ 1−a
! "! "
δδ δλ a
=
λ δ λ λ 1 − a
! ∗" ! "! "
δw δ 0 a
=
λ w ∗ 0 λ 1−a
! " ! "−1 ! ∗ "
a δ 0 δw
=
1−a 0 λ λ w ∗
# $! "
δ w∗
1
δ 0
=
0 λ1
λ w ∗
⎡ δ w∗ ⎤
δ
=⎣ ⎦.
λ w ∗
λ
δh δ g
a= + m = νm + η
δ δ
where
δg δ h
ν≡ and η≡ . (5.27)
δ δ
Substitute this value of a back into (5.22),
wk∗ = (νm + η) δk + (1 − νm − η) λk
= (νδk − νλk ) m + (1 − η) λk + ηδk . (5.28)
n
1−η
=1− gk
1
ν
n
# n $
1−η
=1− νkj (αj − r)
ν
1 1
and similarly
n
λn+1 = 1 − λk
1
n
# n $
η
=1− νkj (αj − r) .
ν
1 1
n n
Given h = 0, from (5.27) η = 0 and ν = 1 1 νij (αj − r), we get
the two mutual funds λ and δ
η
λk = − gk = 0,
ν
n
λn+1 = 1 − λk = 1 i.e. only risk-free asset,
1
n
1 1 νkj (αj − r)
δk = gk = n n , (5.33)
ν 1 1 νij (αj − r)
n
δn+1 = 1 − δk = 1 − 1 = 0 i.e. no risk-free asset.
1
This means that mutual fund λ holds only the risk-free asset, while
mutual fund δ holds only the risky assets.
For the risky asset k, k = 1, . . . , n, it is possible to show that δk in
(5.33) is derived by finding the locus of points in the mean-standard
deviation space of composite returns which minimise variance for a
given mean, i.e. the risky efficient frontier, and then by finding the
point where a line drawn from the point (0, r) is tangential to the
locus.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch05 page 81
α*
Expected Return
Locus of
minimum
variance
for a
given mean
r
0 σ* σ
Standard Deviation of Return
Chapter 6
Mean–Variance Frontier
83
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch06 page 84
Rmv = Rf + a(Rm − Rf ),
m = a + bRmv
Rmv = d + em,
Mean–Variance Frontier 85
into (6.1)
−γ
σ ct+1
E(Rmv ) − Rf ct
= −γ .
σ(Rmv ) ct+1
E ct
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch06 page 86
Mean–Variance Frontier 87
Substitute w∗ from (6.3) into the second and the third equations, we
get
and
Cμ − B A − Bμ
λ= and δ= .
AC − B 2 AC − B 2
1
If x and b are n × 1 vectors and A is a n × n keep symmetric matrix then the
following are true:
∂(xT A) ∂(xT b) ∂(xb) ∂(xT Ax)
∂x
= A, ∂x
= b, ∂x
= bT and ∂x
= 2Ax.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch06 page 88
Mean–Variance Frontier 89
E(R)
Mean–variance frontier
Original assets
Rf
σ (R)
Proof. Since any excess return has zero price, i.e. it is orthogonal to
∗ Re∗ ) p(Re∗ )
the discount factor. So, E(R∗ Re∗ ) = E(x
E(x∗2 )
= E(x ∗2 ) = 0, because
p(Re∗ ) = 0.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch06 page 91
Mean–Variance Frontier 91
Given these properties, we get the mean and the variance for each
return Ri
E Ri = E (R∗ ) + wi E (Re∗ )
and
σ 2 Ri = σ 2 R∗ + wi Re∗ + σ 2 ni
We can see that for each level of expected return E(Ri ), variance
is minimised only if ni = 0. Intuitively, this is because the zero-mean
ni does not contribute to expected return but increases variance,
hence it is undesirable. Setting ni = 0 in (6.5), we verify that the
returns on the frontier are of the form (6.6). For each desired level
of expected return E(Ri ), there is a unique wi . Varying wi , we can
construct the entire frontier.
We can utilise this decomposition to see how we can construct the
frontier in the familiar mean–standard deviation space (see Fig. 6.2).
Note the second moment of return is
E R2 = E R∗2 + w2 E Re∗2 + E n2 .
E(R) Ri
R* + wiRe*
i
n
R*
σ(R)
Mean–Variance Frontier 93
Equivalently, we can span the frontier with any two distinct linear
combinations of R∗ and Re∗ . Let us see more formally this property.
Take any return Rα
Rα = R∗ + γRe∗ with γ = 0
Rα − R∗
Re∗ = .
γ
We can express the minimum variance frontier in terms of Rα
and R∗
Rmv = R∗ + wRe∗
Rα − R∗
= R∗ + w
γ
= R + y (R − R∗ )
∗ α
= (1 − y)R∗ + yRα .
2
Note that if the risk-free rate is given, then E(m) is known and the Hansen–
Jagannathan bound is essentially a bound on the volatility of the discount factor
σ(m).
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch07 page 95
Chapter 7
95
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch07 page 96
dΠ = dV − ΔdS
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V
= + σ 2 S 2 2 dt + dS − ΔdS.
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
∂V
The portfolio is fully hedged by setting Δ = ∂S , then
∂V 1 ∂2V
dΠ = + σ2 S 2 2 dt.
∂t 2 ∂S
Therefore, we obtain
dΠ = rΠdt,
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V
+ σ 2 S 2 2 = rV − r S,
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V
+ σ2 S 2 2 + r S − rV = 0. (7.3)
∂t 2 ∂S ∂S
where f (x) is the density function of x. Take the case of the normal
density as an example where
1 x2
f (x) = √ e− 2σ2 , (7.4)
σ 2π
the corresponding characteristic function is
∞
1 x2
φx (u) = eiux √ e− 2σ2 dx
−∞ σ 2π
∞
1 1 2 2
= √ e− 2σ2 (x −2σ iux) dx
−∞ σ 2π
∞
1 2 2 1 1 2 2
= e− 2 σ u √ e− 2σ2 [x−(σ iu)] dx
−∞ σ 2π
1 2 u2
= e− 2 σ . (7.5)
∂2φ ∂φ
= −iu = (−iu)2 φ = −u2 φ.
∂x2 ∂x
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch07 page 98
xt
dxt = σdZt .
∂W 1 ∂2W
= σ2
∂τ 2 ∂x2
which will carry through for the characteristic function
∂φ 1 ∂2φ 1
= σ 2 2 = − σ 2 u2 φ.
∂τ 2 ∂x 2
(iv) Let the guess solution be
φ = eAτ ,
∂φ
= AeAτ = Aφ,
∂τ
1
A = − σ 2 u2 ,
2
1 2 u2 τ
φ = e− 2 σ
1 x2
f (x) = √ e− 2σ2 τ
σ 2πτ
and x here is the log return over the τ period.
(vi) Option pricing; note with the transformation we have done so
far, at maturity date:
Hence
∞
W (x, τ ) = f (x)Payoff(ex )dx,
−∞
∞
−rτ −rτ
V (S, t) = e W (x, τ ) = e f (x)Payoff(S)d ln S
−∞
∞
e−rτ
1 σ 2 )τ ]2
[ln ST −ln St −(r− 2
dS
= √ e− 2σ 2 τ Payoff(S) .
σ 2πτ 0 S
(7.6)
St 1 2
ln + (r + σ )τ
= St erτ N K √ 2
σ τ
ln SKt + (r − 12 σ 2 )τ
− KN √ . (7.7)
σ τ
Substitute (7.7) into (7.6), we get the European call price for-
mula in (7.1).
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 101
Chapter 8
101
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 102
Let Fi denote a claim on the firm which is more senior than all
the other claims i > j. It has a terminal (par) value Bi , which mature
at t + τ , where
n
n
Vt = Fi (Vt , τ ) and Vt+τ = Fi (Vt+τ , 0) .
1 1
n
n
Fi,t Fi,t+τ n
Fi,t+τ
Vt wi = Vt = Fi,t+τ = Vt+τ .
1
Fi,t 1
Vt Fi,t 1
max Et {U [Vt+τ ]}
w
n
n
Fi,t+τ
= max Et U Vt wi s.t. wi = 1. (8.1)
w Fi,t
1 1
The firm’s value, and hence the wealth of the representative agent,
is not affected by capital structure wi . It is in this setting that, the
prices of the securities within the capital structure are derived.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 103
⎧
⎫
F
⎨ n
Fi,t+τ ∂ Vt n1 wi Fi,t+τ ⎬
U Vt
i,t
Et wi −λ=0
⎩ Fi,t ∂wi ⎭
1
n
Fi,t+τ Fi,t+τ
Et U Vt wi =λ
Fi,t Fi,t
1
where α is the mean expected rate of return on the asset per unit
time, and P (Z, τ ) is the probability distribution for the value of the
firm at the end of the period. In the special two-asset case where one
of the two assets is a risk-free investment with return R = erτ , the
1 Vt+τ
This means log return, ln Z = ln Vt
, is normally distributed with mean α and
standard deviation σ.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 104
objective function is to
∞
max U [(1 − w) R + wZ] dP.
w 0
U [· · · ]
φ = ∞ .
0 U [· · · ] dP
Then, we have
∞
φZdP = E P [φZ] = R, (8.2)
0
8.2.3 m assets
In general, for m assets:
m
∞
max U wj Z dP (Z1 , . . . , Zm )
w 0 1
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 106
P
Q
P
dQ dQ
φ= φ=
dP dP
U″ > 0 U″ < 0
1 1
Z Z
Figure 8.1: The shape of the asset specific pricing kernel and its relationship
with the ratio of risk-neutral to real probability measures for specific asset Z.
m m
∞
maxL = U wj Z dP + λ 1 − wj .
w 0 1 1
∂L
Then f.o.c. with ∂wk = 0 means
m
∞
Zk U wj Z dP − λ = 0,
0 1
m
∞
Zk U wj Z dP = λ,
0 1
∞
U [ m wj Z] λ
Zk ∞
1m dP = ∞ m = λ∗ .
0 0 U [ 1 wj Z] dP 0 U [ 1 wj Z] dP
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 107
So
Write
λ∗ = eητ ,
∞
Fi,t+τ
dQ = eητ ,
0 Fi,t
∞
−ητ
Fi,t = e Fi,t+τ dQ = e−ητ E Q [Fi,t+τ ] . (8.5)
0
F
Recall that [Vt n1 wi Fi,t+τ
i,t
] = Vt+τ , given that Q is related only to
the probability distribution of firm value Vt+τ and utility preference
function U , Q is not affected by capital structure wi .
then
∞ ∞
−ητ ητ
Vt = e Vt+τ dQ or Vt e = Vt+τ dQ,
0 0
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 108
and
∞
ητ
e = ZdQ (Z; τ )
0
dQ ≡ dQ (Z1 , . . . , Zm ) .
Vt+τ
With Z = Vt , the integrating condition for F1 is
Vt+τ ≤ B,
Vt+τ B
≤ ,
Vt Vt
B
Z≤ .
Vt
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 109
B/Vt ∞
F1 (V, τ ) = e−ητ Vt+τ dQ + BdQ
0 B/Vt
∞ B/Vt
−ητ
=e BdQ + (Vt+τ − B) dQ
0 0
B/Vt
−ητ −ητ
= e B −e (B − Vt+τ ) dQ. (8.6)
0
Risk free bond
put option
Risk-Free Bond rf
Risky Bond
Vt + τ
B/V
Short put
– ∫o
B/V
(B-Vt + τ) dQ
Figure 8.2: Risky bond as the combination of a risk-free bond and a short put.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 110
shown below
F1 (V, τ ) = Vt − F2 (V, τ )
∞ ∞
−ητ
=e Vt+τ dQ − (Vt+τ − B) dQ
0 B/Vt
∞
−ητ
= Vt − e (Vt+τ − B) dQ. (8.7)
B/Vt
long firm
short call option
The debtholder owns the firm but has given the shareholder the
right to buy the firm at the strike price level B. It is clear that the
shareholder will exercise this right if V > B at debt maturity. This
result is graphically presented in Fig. 8.3.
As the value of the firm, Vt , increases, the debt ratio VBt → 0,
F1 (V, τ ) → e−ητ B, the bond becomes risk free. In the limit, when
B
Vt → 0, the put option in (8.6) is deep-out-of-the-money and worth
zero, while the call option in (8.7) is deep-in-the-money and worth
Vt+τ −B. In the complete market setting, F1 (V, τ ) = e−ητ B = e−rτ B,
and η can be replaced by the risk-free interest rate r.
Risky Bond
B/V
Vt + τ
Short call
∞
– ∫ B/V (Vt + τ –B) dQ
Figure 8.3: Risky bond as the combination of the firm value and a short call.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 111
P (τ ) = e−rτ .
f (V, 0) = max (V − B, 0) .
F (V, τ ) = V − f (V, τ )
= V − V Φ (x1 ) + Be−rτ Φ (x2 )
= V [1 − Φ (x1 )] + Be−rτ Φ (x2 )
= V [Φ (−x1 )] + Be−rτ Φ (x2 ) .
where
ln VB + r + 12 σ 2 τ
h1 = − √
σ τ
1 2
B
2σ τ − √ ln V − rτ
=−
σ τ
1 2
σ τ − ln d
=−2 √
σ τ
and
ln VB + r + 12 σ 2 τ √
h2 = √ −σ τ
σ τ
1 2
2 σ τ√
+ ln d
=− .
σ τ
∞
N n+N
+ VT + nS − B − (VT − B) dQ
n+N γ/V N
N e−rτ ∞
n
= V − F1 (V, τ ) + nS − (VT − B) dQ
n + N γ/V N
∞
ne−rτ ! "
= V − F1 (V, τ ) + N S − (VT − B) dQ,
n + N γ/V
where γ = N S + B.2
2
To determine γ, let S be the price per share that the warrants are not exercised,
i.e. S ≤ S. Then V − B = N S or V = N S + B. Given that γ is defined as the
maximum value of V such that S ≤ S. Hence, γ = N S + B.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 116
N
F2 (V, 0) = max 0, min VT − B, VT .
n+N
Again, define γ as the maximum value of VT such that the bond will
not be converted. Then, γ = n+N
n B, and the equity value becomes
∞
γ/V
−rτ N
F2 (V, τ ) = e (VT − B) dQ + VT dQ
B/V n + N γ/V
∞
∞
−rτ N
=e (VT − B)dQ + VT
B/V n + N γ/V
n+N
− (VT − B)dQ
N
∞
∞
n
= e−rτ (VT − B) dQ − (VT − γ) dQ
B/V n + N γ/V
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 117
asset or nothing binary put strike at y. Next, we can write the equity
value as a residual of firm value minus debt
F2 (V, τ ) = V − F1 (V, τ )
∞ y/V
−rτ N
=e (VT − B) dQ + VT dQ .
y/V n+N 0
Flannery (2005) and Kashyap et al. (2008) propose the use of reverse
convertible bond as an alternative to capital regulations for banks
of which investors might be willing to buy, as an investment in a
“defaultable catastrophic bond” that will automatically provide capi-
tal to banks in low probability huge loss event. In return, the investors
will receive a premium or a higher coupon payment.
F2 (V, τ ) = V − F1 (V, τ ) .
increase the risk of failure when firm’s value is at or below the exercise
price.
F (V ) = A0 + A1 V λ + A2 V β ,
where λ < 0 < β. Substitute this solution into the ODE in (8.16)
gives
1 2 2
0= σ V λ (λ − 1) A1 V λ−2 + β (β − 1) A2 V β−2
2 # $ # $
+ rV λA1 V λ−1 + βA2 V β−1 − r A0 + A1 V λ + A2 V β + C
1 2 λ 1 2
= σ λ + r (λ − 1) A1 V + σ β + r (β − 1) A2 V β
2 2
+ (C − rA0 ). (8.17)
The solution needs to be valid for all V > VB , the default threshold.3
One possible solution is when the coefficients of V of each order in
(8.17) are all zero. This leads to λ = 1, β = −2r/σ 2 and A0 = C/r,
3
VB , the default threshold, in Leland (1994) is equivalent to the debt’s par or
principal value, B, in Merton (1990) book.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 121
hence
C
F (V ) = + A1 V + A2 V −x ,
r
where x = σ2r2 . In Leland’s (1994) time-independent setting, all claims
with financial payout C must have this functional form. The bound-
ary conditions when firm defaults will depend on the payout rule of
the securities.
where the first term represents the risk-free component and the
second term represents a (negative) default risk premium.
The debt value can also be reformulated as
C
D (V ) = (1 − PB ) + PB (1 − α) VB ,
r
where PB ≡ ( VVB )−x can be interpreted as the probability of
bankruptcy.
In Leland’s (1994) framework, firm’s asset value, V , is not affected
by capital structure but value of the levered firm is affected as follows:
v (V ) = V + T B (V ) − BC (V ) ,
BC (V ) = αVB PB ,
C
T B (V ) = τ (1 − PB ) ,
r
where τ is the corporate tax rate. Hence, the value of the levered
firm and equity are
C
v (V ) = V + τ (1 − PB ) − αVB PB , (8.18)
r
E (V ) = v (V ) − D (V )
C C
= V + τ (1 − PB ) − αVB PB − (1 − PB ) − PB (1 − α) VB
r r
C
= V − (1 − PB ) (1 − τ ) − PB VB . (8.19)
r
The equity value is the value of the unlevered firm minus the after-
tax debt value when there is no default, and minus the debt value at
bankruptcy.
Leland (1994),
1
∗
Cmax (V ) = V [(1 + x) h]− x ,
then
x
x (1 − τ )
(VB∗ )x =C x
= C x (1 + x) m
r (1 + x)
Cτ Cτ −x x
v (V ) = V + − V VB − αV −x VB1+x PB
r r
Cτ Cτ −x x
=V + − V C (1 + x) m
r r
C
x (1 − τ ) x
− αV −x r C (1 + x) m
1+x
Cτ τ V −x C 1+x
=V + − [1 + x + αx (1 − τ )/ τ ] m
r r
Cτ τ V −x C 1+x
=V + − h,
r r
∂v (V ) τ hτ V −x C x
= − (1 + x) = 0,
∂C r r
Vx
(C ∗ )x = , or C ∗ = V [(1 + x) h]−1/x .
(1 + x) h
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 125
observed. One can, nevertheless, view the equity value of the bank,
which is directly observable, as a call option on bank’s asset. By Ito’s
lemma, we get
σe F ≡ σV Fv ,
F
σ = σe Fv ,
V
where σe is the volatility of option, and Fv is the Black–Scholes delta
of equity as a call option on V . The equity to firms value ratio, VF ,
could be proxy by one minus leverage ratio calculated as the ratio of
total of long-term debt to total asset value.
In contrast, the value of the loan guarantee is directly a function
of credit spread and loan time to maturity in addition to volatility
and leverage. Let B exp[−R(T )T ] be the market value of the (risky)
debt when there is no guarantee, where R(T ) is the promised yield.
On the other hand, the market value of the debt with a guarantee is
B exp[−rT ] and
G(T ) + B exp[−R(T )T ] = B exp[−rT ],
G(T )
= 1 − exp[−(R(T ) − r)T ], (8.22)
B exp[−rT ]
where G(T ) is the cost of the loan guarantee as a fraction of the
amount of money raised.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch08 page 128
Chapter 9
General Equilibrium
Merton (1990, Chapter 11) shows how, on the demand side given
the asset price and interest rate dynamics, the individuals in their
separate pursuance of maximising utility from wealth and consump-
tion, interact with the supply side of securities and firms to reach
market equilibrium. In a simplified setting, the Capital Market Line,
the Security Market Line and the Capital Asset Pricing Model are
the natural outcomes when markets clear.
In this basic set-up, there are K individuals, n security where the
nth security is a risk-free asset, and m = n − 1 is the number of risky
assets. For the kth investor, his objective function is
k
T
k k k k k k
max E0 U [Ct , t]dt + B [W (T ), T ] ,
0
129
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch09 page 130
9.2 Individuals
For individual k, and omitting the wage income, her wealth process
is
m m
k k k
dW = wi (αi − r) + r W dt + wik W k σi dzi − C k dt.
1 1
φ = U k (C k , t) + Jtk + Jrk αr + JW
k
{[w k (α − r) + r]W k − C k }
1 k 2 1 k
+ Jrr σr + JW W (w k ww k )(W k )2 + JW k k k
r w σr W , (9.3)
2 2
∂J ∂ J 2 ∂ J 2
where JW = ∂W , JW W = ∂W 2 , JW r = ∂W ∂r , and underscore denotes
for i = 1, . . . , m.
JWk JWk
Ak = − k
, Hk = − k
r
.
JW W JW W
K
K
A≡ Ak and H≡ Hk.
1 1
where wi = D i
M denote stock i market weight in the market portfolio.
(Note: Take care not to mix up wi and wik , the latter represents
individual optimal investment weight in (9.5).)
From (9.8), substitute the price dynamics of m risky assets plus
the risk-free rate to give
m m
dPM
= wj (αj − r) + r dt + wj σj dzj , (9.9)
PM 1 j=1
m m
dPM dPM
2
σM dt = , = wi σi dzi , wj σj dzj
PM PM
i=1 j=1
m
m
= wi wj ρij σi σj dt
i=1 j=1
m
m
= wi wj σij dt.
i=1 j=1
dPr
where Pr is the price of risk free asset. But Pr = 1 and Pr = dr,
thus
dPM
σM r dt = , dr . (9.11)
PM
D H
(α − r) = w − σr .
A A
Dj
Then for individual security i = 1, . . . , m, use the definition wj = M
or Dj = M wj ,
m
M H
αi − r = wj σij − σir .
A 1 A
Recall from (9.3) that σir is the covariation between security return
and interest rate, then from (9.10)
M H
αi − r = σiM − σir . (9.13)
A A
Multiply both sides of (9.13) by wi and sum over m,
m
m
m m
M H
wi αi − wi r = wi σiM − wi σir .
A A
1 1 1 1
M 2 H
αM − r = σM − σM r .
A A
When interest rate is constant, σM r = σir = 0.
M M 2
αi − r = σiM , and αM − r = σ ,
A A M
αi − r αM − r
= 2 ,
σiM σM
σiM
αi = (αM − r) 2 + r = (αM − r)βiM + r. (9.14)
σM
The CAPM has been widely used since its inception; there are
many assumptions critical to its validity:
(i) The model develops by first having individuals optimising
consumption and investment based on utility and bequest func-
tions that are strictly concave.
(ii) Homogenous expectation, i.e. all investors have the same expec-
tation regarding the returns and risk of all assets as well as the
risk-free interest rate.
(iii) The interest rate in the CAPM is constant, this implies that in
the more general two-fund separation, the changes in rates are
not correlated with returns on other assets.
(iv) Market will reach equilibrium when all demands meet all sup-
plies.
optimisation problem J on r
wk∗ = m(P, W, t)gk (P, t) + fk (P, W, t) + G(r, W, t).
The solution will lead to the three-fund separation theorem.
(b) Explain in your own words the effect of the derived utility
J and its partial derivatives on the FOC φwi = 0 and the
optimal solution
k k k k k
JW (α − r) + JW W (ww )W + JW r σ ir = 0.
Chapter 10
It has been known for some time in the credit literature that many
empirical results cannot be explained by diffusion processes alone.
For an asset value that follows diffusion process, there is a mini-
mum time required for the asset value to drop below the default
threshold. Empirically observed credit spread and numerous finan-
cial crises show that default can take place at any time and instantly.
Separately, the implied volatility surface observed in the financial
markets also requires the possibility of a stock price jump in order to
explain the steep skewness of the implied volatilities of short matu-
rity options. In this chapter, we show how continuous time technique
can be expanded to analyse and model jump processes needed to
address many empirically observed phenomena.
141
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 142
It
A 1
0 time
τ1 τ2 τ3 τ4 τN
B time
τ1 τ2 τ3 τ4 τN
Nt
time
τ1 τ2 τ3 τ4 τN
–1
–2
–3
–4
–5
0 2 4 6 8 10
–1
–2
–3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
T
First, divide [0, T ] into n intervals such that Δt = n. Then,
Pr (Nt+Δt − Nt = 1) = λΔt,
Pr (Nt+Δt − Nt = 0) = 1 − λΔt.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 144
Pr (Nt+2Δt − Nt = 0) = (1 − λΔt)2
= Pr (N2Δt − N0 = 0) .
Pr (NnΔt − N0 = 0) = (1 − λΔt)n
T n
= 1−λ
n
lim Pr (NnΔt − N0 = 0) = e−λT
n→∞
(λT )m −λT
lim Pr (NnΔt − N0 = m) e .
n→∞ m!
For any selected time interval,
[λ (T − t)]m −λ(T −t)
Pr (NT − Nt = m) = e .
m!
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 145
E (N ) = e−λ · λeλ = λ.
Here, we show that given the probability of jump (or jump inten-
sity) λ, the expected number of jumps per unit time turns out to
also be λ. It is important to note that the actual number of jumps at
time t, Nt , cannot be easily estimated from observed data using max-
imum likelihood. Nt is known as an incidental or nuisance parameter
(or variable).
constant. First, consider the continuous part dS c and the jump part
dS d separately for the price process
dS c = μS c dt + σS c dW,
dS d = (J − 1) S d dq, (10.2)
0 with probability 1 − λdt
dq =
1 with probability λdt.
In the event of a jump, dq = 1
dS d = (J − 1) S d × 1,
S + − S − = (J − 1) S − ,
S+
J= .
S−
That is, (J − 1) is the percentage change in the stock price when the
Poisson event occurs.
Ito lemma on only the jump part for a derivative V (S, t) is
dV = V + − V − dq,
V + = V JS − , t = V S + , t ,
V − = V S−, t
and the total variation, including both the jump and the diffusion
parts, is
∂V 1 ∂2V ∂V ∂V
dV = μS + σ2S 2 2 + dt + σS dW + V + − V − dq
∂S 2 ∂S ∂t ∂S
∂
with ∂S = ∂S∂ c for the continuous part. In general, dS is written
without specifically separating the diffusion and the jump parts as
follows:
Π = V − ΔS − Δ1 V1 ,
dΠ = dV − ΔdS − Δ1 dV1
1 2 2 ∂2V ∂V 1 2 2 ∂ 2 V1 ∂V1
= σ S + dt − Δ1 σ S + dt
2 ∂S 2 ∂t 2 ∂S 2 ∂t
∂V ∂V1
+ − Δ − Δ1 (μSdt + σSdW )
∂S ∂S
+ V + − V − − Δ (J − 1) S − Δ1 V1+ − V1− dq. (10.4)
dΠ = rΠdt.
∂V ∂V1
− Δ − Δ1 =0
∂S ∂S
∂V ∂V1
Δ= − Δ1
∂S ∂S
and to eliminate the jump part
(J − 1) S ∂V
∂S − (V − V )
+ −
Δ1 = −
. (10.5)
(J − 1) S ∂V
∂S
1
− V 1
+
− V 1
1
Note that this is a case of solving two equations with two unknowns.
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 148
LV (J − 1) S ∂V −
∂S − (V − V )
+
= −
,
LV1 (J − 1) S ∂V
∂S − V1 − V1
1 +
LV LV1
= . (10.6)
∂V −
(J − 1) S ∂S − (V − V )
+ (J − 1) S ∂S − V1+ − V1−
∂V1
We can see that Ψ(t) is related to the hazard rate (or jump
intensity) of the Poisson process. If Ψ(t) = λ, then
+ −
∂V
LV + λ V − V − (J − 1) S = 0. (10.8)
∂S
Here, λ reflects the jump risk and the bracket [· · · ] measures the
market risk premium for jump risk.
λn e−λ
Recall that the probability of n jumps per unit time is n! . Then
over τ period,
∞ −λτ
e (λτ )n
F (S, τ ) = e−rτ EnQ [H (ST )]
n=0
n!
∞ −λτ
e (λτ )n
= En W S ∗ , τ, σ 2 , r, K , (10.9)
n!
n=0
Since
0 λτ 1 2 1 2
log St J e + r − σ τ = log St + r + λ − σ τ,
2 2
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 152
where
n 2
vn2 ≡ σ 2 + δ ,
τ
n
rn ≡ r − λκ + γ.
τ
Here, the jump is stochastic and has an impact on the drift and the
variance rates of the stock price process. First, it enters the drift
through the compensator −λκ. Next, depending on the number of
actual jumps, n, it increases the drift by nτ γ and increases the vari-
ance by nτ δ2 .
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 154
The actual call price F (S, τ ) is the sum of these option prices2
each weighted by the probability that a Poisson random variable will
take place on the value n
∞ −λτ
e (λτ )n
F (S, τ ) = fn (S, τ )
n!
n=0
2
In Merton, the following expression is given
X∞
exp (−λ τ ) (λ τ )
n
F (S, τ ) = fn (S, τ ) , (10.15)
n=0
n!
where λ ≡ λ(1 + κ) and fn (S, τ ) ≡ W (S, τ ; vn2 , rn , K), the Black–Scholes option
price. This is not correct; while exp(−λτ )(λτ )n×exp(−λκτ )(1+κ)n = exp(−λ(1+
κ)τ )(λ(1 + κ)τ )n , this applies to the St component only and not the second
component associated with the strike price in (10.14).
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 155
That is, jumps for all assets are assumed to arrive at the same time;
conditioned on there being a jump, the jump size is assumed to be
perfectly correlated across assets; the value of all assets jumps in the
same direction. For n = 0, we have risk-free asset
dS0 = rS0 dt.
In this model, the total covariance is
dSi dSj J
Et × = σij dt + σij dt,
Si Sj
= [σij ] ≡ [σi σj ρij ] ,
J
J
= σij ≡ f λ, μi , νi2 .
Matching of moments with the wrong assumption of no-jump
produces the mean and total covariance
i = αi + αJi ,
α
J
ij = σij + σij
σ .
As Merton (1990, Section 9.4, Chapter 9) commented, when total
variance and covariance are correctly estimated but jumps omitted,
the valuation of option price may not be very different. The most
sensitive region will be the deep OTM (ITM) option, where there is
relatively little probability that stock price will exceed or fall below
the exercise price prior to expiration if the underlying process is con-
tinuous. However, the possibility of a large jump in price significantly
changes this probability and hence makes the option more valuable.
These differences will be magnified as one goes to short maturity
options, and the percentage difference could be substantial for OTM
options (i.e. put at low strike and call at high strike). If jumps have
directions (i.e. positive jump and negative jump), then the negative
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 156
jumps will have a direct impact on OTM put whereas the positive
jumps will have a direct impact on OTM calls.
WT1−γ
U (WT ) =
1−γ
the objective is to maximise the value function
WT1−γ
V (Wt , t) = maxE
{wn } 1−γ
Das and Uppal’s Proposition 2 shows that if the value function has
the form
Wt1−γ
V (Wt , t) = A (t) ,
1−γ
∂V W 1−γ ∂A (t)
= t ,
∂t 1 − γ ∂t
February 22, 2018 13:10 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch10 page 157
∂V 1
= A (t) γ ,
∂W Wt
∂2V
= −γA (t) Wt−γ−1 ,
∂W 2
then
λE V Wt + Wt w J t , t − V (Wt , t)
= λE V Wt 1 + w J t , t − V (Wt , t)
A (t) Wt1−γ
=λ E[(1 + w J t )1−γ − 1]
1−γ
= λV (Wt , t) E[(1 + w J t )1−γ − 1].
∂V ∂V ∂2V
Substituting this and functional forms of V , ∂t , ∂W , ∂W 2
into
(10.17) gives
V (Wt , t) ∂A (t)
0 = max + A (t) Wt1−γ w R + r
{w} A (t) ∂t
γA (t) Wt1−γ
− w w + λV (Wt , t) E[(1 + w J t )1−γ − 1] ,
2
1 ∂A (t) (1 − γ) γ
0 = max + (1 − γ) w R + r − w w
{w} A (t) ∂t 2
+ λE[(1 + w J t )1−γ
− 1] (10.18)
1 ∂A (t)
= −κ, (10.19)
A (t) ∂t
where
1
κ ≡ (1 − γ) w R + r − γ (1 − γ) w w + λE[(1 + w J t )1−γ − 1].
2
Integrating both sides of (10.19) gives
dA
= ln A + C1 = −κdt = −kt + C2 ,
A
A (T ) = ae−κT = 1, (10.20)
a = eκT .
Hence,
WT1−γ
V (Wt , t) = e−κ(T −t) .
1−γ
For the special case of γ = 0, the risk neutral investor ignore the
higher moments
κ ≡ w α + λE 1 + w J t − 1 .
N
+ δi E [V (Wt + Wt wi Ii,t , t) − V (Wt , t)] (10.21)
i=1
Diffusion Jump-Diffusion
σ = 26.46% σ = 20% S = 100
λ = 1.5 per year B = 100
m = −0.10 Threshold = BS =2
δ = +1.10 Conversion ratio 1 : 1
T = 1 year
r = 0%
(c) What are the relative risk aversion, relative prudence and
relative temperance of an investor who has a HARA utility?
(d) What are the relationships between these three measures of
preference function and asset return risk premium?
(e) How is jump impact on the first three moments of asset
returns? How would the risk premium of jumps change
extending from your answers to part (d)? (Kostakis et al.
2011).
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 163
Chapter 11
163
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 164
(i) Investors need not be risk averse so long as they prefer more to
less.
(ii) Investors agree on the factor loadings {aij } (see below).
(iii) Information on the joint distributions of (Z1 , . . . , Zn ) and that
for (X1 , . . . , Xm ) is not needed given the factor loadings infor-
mation in (ii) above.
opportunities, then
⎛ ⎞
n
b = ⎝1 − aj ⎠ R
j=1
n
Zp = aj (Zj − R) + R
j=1
δj† = −δp aj
then
n
n
†
Z = δj† Zj + δp Zp + 1 − δp − δj† R
1 1
n n
= (−δp aj )Zj + δp Zp + 1 − δp − (−δp aj ) R
1 1
n
n
= −δp aj Zj + δp Zp + 1 − δp + δp aj R.
1 1
Since
n
Zp = aj Zj + b
j=1
⎛ ⎞
n
n
n
†
Z = −δp aj Zj + δp ⎝ aj Zj + b⎠ + 1 − δp + δp aj R
1 j=1 1
n
= δp b + R − Rδp + Rδp aj
1
⎡ ⎛ ⎞⎤
n
= δp ⎣b − R ⎝1 − aj ⎠⎦ + R.
j=1
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 166
m
m
= δij Xi + 1− δij R
1 1
m
=R+ δij (Xi − R).
1
Sufficient condition:
Proof. Let
Z = δ (Ze − R) + R, δ > 0.
Define
U (W ) ≡ V (aW + b),
U (Z) = aV (Ze ).
Hence,
Since
m
Zj = Z j + aij (Xi − X i ) + i .
i=1
Substitute it to Zp , we have
m
m
Zp = δZj − δ aij Xi + 1−δ+δ aij R
i=1 1
m
= δ Zj + aij (Xi − X i ) + i
i=1
m
m
−δ aij Xi + 1−δ+δ aij R
i=1 1
m
= R + δ Zj − R − aij (X i − R) + δj .
i=1
Since bK
p = 0, Z p = R and
m
δ Zj − R − aij (X i − R) = 0.
i=1
But δ can be chosen arbitrarily. Therefore, Z j = R + m i=1 aij (X i −
R). Hence, if the return on a security can be written in this lin-
ear form of the portfolios (X1 , . . . , XM ), its expected return is com-
pletely determined by the expected returns on these portfolios and
the weights {aij }.
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 170
because
E{j |X1 , . . . , Xm } = 0.
Hence, for K = 0, ZeK is riskier than Z in the Rothschild–Stiglitz
sense, which contradicts that ZeK is an efficient portfolio. Thus,
K ≡ 0 for every efficient portfolio K, and all efficient portfolios can
be generated by a portfolio combination of (X1 , . . . , XM , R).
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 171
where
m
E j δiK Xi = 0,
i=1
n
δiK = wjK aij
j=1
Zj = R + aj (X − R) + j ,
E {j |X } = 0.
Proof. The “if” part follows directly from Theorem 2.12. Let wjK
denote the fraction of efficient portfolio allocated to security j, j =
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 172
1, . . . , n. We have
ZeK = R + δK (X − R) + K
where δK = n1 wjK aj and K = n1 wjK j with
n
E{K |X} = wjK E{j |X} = 0.
1
m
Proof. We want to prove apq = k=1 Vpk Cov(Xk , Zq ).
m
Vpk Cov(Xk , Zq )
k=1
m
m
= Vpk Cov Xk , R + aiq (Xi − R) + q
k=1 i=1
m
m
= Vpk Cov Xk , aiq Xi
k=1 i=1
Proof. Let Ze1 and Ze2 denote the returns on two distinct efficient
portfolios and
Z ≡ λZe1 + (1 − λ)Ze2 , 0 ≤ λ ≤ 1,
Ze1 = δ1 (X − R) + R,
Ze2 = δ2 (X − R) + R
δ2 1
= (Z − R) + R.
δ1 e
Hence,
δ2 1
Z= λZe1 + (1 − λ) (Z − R) + R
δ1 e
δ2 1
= λ(Ze1 − R) + (1 − λ) (Z − R) + R
δ1 e
1
In Euclidean space, an object is convex if for every pair of points within the
object, every point on the straight line segment that joins them is also within the
object. For example, a solid cube is convex, but anything that is hollow or has a
dent in it, for example, a crescent shape, is not convex.
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 176
δ2
= λ + (1 − λ) (Ze1 − R) + R
δ1
= δ(Ze1 − R) + R.
Since Ze1 and Ze2 are efficient portfolio, δ1 has the same sign as δ2 and
so δ > 0. Therefore, by Proposition 2.2, Z is an efficient portfolio.
By induction, for any integer k,
k
k
k
λi = 1, Z = λi Zei
i=1 i=1
W0k
λk = , k = 1, . . . , K,
W0
where 0 ≤ λk ≤ 1 and K k=1 λk = 1. Therefore, the market portfolio
can also be expressed as
K
δjM = wjk λk . (11.1)
k=1
Now, we are ready to prove the theorem; multiply both sides of (11.1)
by (Zj − R) and sum over j,
n
n
K
δjM (Zj − R) = wjk λk (Zj − R)
j=1 j=1 k=1
⎛ ⎞ ⎛ ⎞
n K
n
⎝ δjM Zj ⎠ − R = λk ⎝ wjk Zj − R⎠
j=1 k=1 j=1
K
ZM = λk Z k ,
k=1
2
A convex combination is a linear combination of points (which can be vectors,
scalars, or more generally points in an affine space) where all coefficients are
non-negative and sum up to 1.
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 178
Cov(εj , Zm ) = 0.
Cov(Zj − Z j − βj (Zm − Z m ), Zm ) = 0,
Cov(Zj − βj Zm , Zm ) = 0,
Cov(Zj , Zm ) − βj Var(Zm ) = 0.
Hence
Cov(Zj , Zm )
βj = .
Var(Zm )
Theorem 2.16 (Min variance set). (a) Let σij denote the ijth
element of w, w is non-singular. Hence, let υij denote the ijth element
of w−1 . All portfolios in ψmin with expected return μ must have
portfolio weights that are solutions to the problem
n
n
min δi δj σij ,
i=1 j=1
condition are
n
0= δjμ σij − λμ (Z i − R), i = 1, . . . , n,
j=1
Hence,
Var(Z(μ))
λμ = .
μ−R
Likewise,
n
δjμ σij − λμ Z i − R = 0, i = 1, . . . , n
j=1
n
n
δjμ σij υij − λμ υij Z i − R = 0,
j=1 j=1
n
n n
n
δjμ σij υij − λμ υij Z i − R = 0,
i=1 j=1 i=1 j=1
n
n n
δjμ − λμ υij Z i − R = 0.
j=1 i=1 j=1
Hence,
n
δjμ = λμ υij Z i − R .
j=1
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 181
Zj = R + aj (X − R) + εj ,
Z j − R = aj (X − R),
CAPM and the security market line in Theorem 2.15 were first
derived by Sharpe (1964) as necessary conditions for equilibrium in
the mean–variance model of Markowitz and Tobin when investors
have homogenous beliefs.
Whenever, there exists a spanning set for ψ e with m = 1, the
mean, variance and covariances of (Z1 , . . . , Zn ) are sufficient statis-
tics to determine all efficient portfolios. Such a strong set of covari-
ances suggests that the class of joint probability distributions for
(Z1 , . . . , Zn ) which admit a two-fund separation theorem will be
highly specialised. Indeed Merton Theorem 2.18 gives the example of
a joint normal distribution whereas Theorem 2.19 is based on sym-
metric density functions.
Theorem 2.17 (Minimum variance set and efficient portfo-
lio). Let Ze = R + ae (X − R) be the return on efficient portfolio. Let
Zp be the return on any portfolio in ψ f such that Z e = Z p . Thus,
Zp = R + ap (X − R) + εp ,
where E[εp ] = E[εp |X] = 0. Therefore, ap = ae if Z e = Z p .
VaR(Zp ) = VaR (R + ap (X − R) + εp )
= VaR (ap X + εp )
= a2p VaR (X) + VaR (εp )
≥ a2p VaR (X) = VaR (Ze ) .
Hence, Ze is contained in ψmin .
Theorem 2.18 (X-span efficient portfolio). Pick a portfolio in
ψmin and call its return as X.
n
X =R+ aj Z j − R .
j=1
Proof. Let
m
Zp = Z p + aip Yi + p ,
i=1
n
Zp = R + δj (Z j − R),
j=1
where
n
aip ≡ δj aij , and
j=1
n
p ≡ δj ij , with
j=1
μi
δj ≡ ,
n
and μi is unbounded. For sufficiently large n m, it is possible to
construct a set of well diversified portfolio {Xk } such that aik = 0
for i = k and akk = 0
n
1
Xk = X k + akk Yk + μ j j , k = 1, . . . , m.
n
j=1
Vj
Zj ≡ , Vj = Zj Vj0 ,
Vj0
n
Zj = R + aij (Xi − R) + εj ,
i=1
n
Vj = Zj Vj0 = Vj0 R + aij (Xi − R) + εj ,
i=1
n
V j = Vj0 R + aij (Xi − R) , (11.7)
i=1
where
n
Vj0 aij = Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) ,
i=1
n
i=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj )
aij = .
Vj0
Put this result back in (11.7) to give
n n
i=1 i=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) (Xi − R)
V j = Vj0 R + ,
Vj0
V j − ni=1 ni=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) (Xi − R)
Vj0 = , j = 1, . . . , n.
R
Corollary 2.20a (End of period value of security).
V j − ni=1 nk=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) X i − R
Vj0 = ,
R
n
V j=1 λj Vj
Z= = n ,
V0 j=1 λj Vj0
λj V j − λj ni=1 nk=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) X i − R
λj Vj0 = ,
R
n n
λj V j − λj ni=1 nk=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) X i − R
λj Vj0 = .
R
j=1 j=1
Therefore,
n n
Vj − i=1 k=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) Xi − R
Vj0 = ,
R
n n
μ qV j + μ − q i=1 k=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) Xi − R
qVj0 + = ,
R R
n n
E [qVj + μ] − q i=1 k=1 Vik Cov (Xk , Vj ) Xi − R
V0 =
R
μ
= qVj0 + .
R
q
fk0 = Vj0 ,
k=1
Vj = Vj0 Zj ,
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 188
where
m
Zj = R + aij (Xi − R) + εj ,
i=1
m
aij = vil Cov (Xl , Zj ) .
l=1
Rearranging gives
m
m
1
Vj0 = Vj − vil Cov (Xl , Vj ) X i − R . (11.8)
R
i=1 l=1
3
Note that Stiglitz (1969, 1974) shows that linearity of the sharing rules is not a
necessary condition for Theorem 2.21 to hold. But the establishment of conditions
under which the hypothesis of Theorem 2.21 is valid under nonlinear payoff is a
lot more complex.
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 190
11.7 HARA
Theorem 2.22 (HARA). For HARA utility function
U (W ) = (a + bW )−c .
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 191
Suppose that there are K investors and the kth investor invests
(1 − αk ) of his initial wealth in the risk-free security and αk in a
portfolio of risky securities. Denote wjk as the unique solutions to
the following f.o.c.
⎡⎛ ⎞−c ⎤
n
0 = E ⎣⎝ak + bk (1 − αk ) R + bk αk wjk Zj ⎠ (Zj − R)⎦ ,
j=0
k = 1, . . . , K.
Since αk is arbitrary, set
ak
αk = + 1.
bk + R
Then the f.o.c. becomes
⎡⎛ ⎞−c ⎤
n
0 = E ⎣⎝bk αk wjk Zj ⎠ (Zj − R)⎦ ,
j=0
⎡⎛ ⎞−c ⎤
n
0 = (αk bk )−c E ⎣⎝ wjk Zj ⎠ (Zj − R)⎦ ,
j=0
∗ are independent of α and b and dependent only on c. Thus
wjk k k
all investors hold the same wj∗ , since c is the same for all investors.
Since all investors hold the same portfolio of risky securities, this
portfolio must be market portfolio, which concludes that there exists
a portfolio with return X such that (X, R) span ψ u .
February 22, 2018 13:11 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-ch11 page 192
2. If risky returns have nonzero skewness (i.e. 3rd moment), what are
the implications on: [You may choose to answer any one below.]
(a) The necessary and sufficient condition for non-trivial spanning
(b) Risk and return of an efficient portfolio
(c) Market portfolio and CAPM
(d) APT
(e) MM
(f) HARA solution
February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-bib page 193
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February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-note page 195
Calculus Notes
Differentiation
Constant
d
k = 0.
dx
Power
d
kxn = knxn−1 .
dx
Sum/difference
d d d
[f (x) ± g (x)] = f (x) ± g (x) .
dx dx dx
Product
d d d
[f (x) · g (x)] = f (x) g (x) + g (x) f (x) .
dx dx dx
Quotient
d f (x) 1 d d
= 2 g (x) f (x) − f (x) g (x) .
dx g (x) g (x) dx dx
Chain rule
195
February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-note page 196
Inverse
dy dx
=1 .
dx dy
Increments
y dy
y≡ x, dy ≡ dx.
x dx
Total differential, for z = f (x, y)
∂f ∂f
dz = dx + dy.
∂x ∂y
Exponential and log
d x
e = ex ,
dx
d f (x) d
e = ef (x) f (x) ,
dx dx
d 1
ln x = ,
dx x
d 1 d
ln f (x) = f (x) ,
dx f (x) dx
d x
a = ax ln a.
dx
Trigonometric function
d
sin x = cos x,
dx
d
cos x = − sin x,
dx
d
tan x = sec2 x,
dx
d 1
arcsin x = √ ,
dx 1 − x2
d 1
arccos x = − √ ,
dx 1 − x2
d 1
arctan x = ,
dx 1 + x2
1
cos2 x = (1 + cos 2x) ,
2
February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-note page 197
1
sin2 x = (1 − cos 2x) ,
2
sin x
tan x = .
cos x
If t = tan θ2 , then
2t 2t 1 − t2
tan θ = , sin θ = , cos θ = .
1 − t2 1 + t2 1 + t2
Integration
Power rule
1
xn dx = xn+1 + c,
n+1
1dx = x0 dx = x + c.
Note that 1dx is often written as dx.
Exponential
ex dx = ex + c,
f (x) ef (x) dx = ef (x) + c,
d
f (x) =f (x) ,
dx
1 x
ax dx = a + c.
ln a
Logarithmic
1
dx = ln |x| + c,
x
1 1
dx = ln |ax + b| + c,
ax + b a
f (x)
dx = ln f (x) + c, for f (x) > 0.
f (x)
February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-note page 198
Sum
[f (x) + g (x)] dx = f (x) dx + g (x) dx.
Multiple
K f (x) dx = K f (x) dx.
Substitution
du
f (x) dx = f (u) du.
dx
By parts
vdu = uv − udv,
f (x) g (x) dx = f (x) g (x) − f (x) g (x) dx.
Definite integral
b
f (x) dx = F (x)]ba = F (b) − F (a) ,
a
b a
f (x) dx = − f (x) dx,
a b
c c b
f (x) dx = f (x) , dx + f (x) dx.
a b a
Trigonometric function
cos xdx = sin x + c,
sin xdx = − cos x + c,
1
cos (ax + b) dx = sin (ax + b) + c,
a
tan xdx = − ln (cos x) + c.
February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-note page 199
Ito lemma
Lemma C.1 (Ito’s lemma). If a stochastic variable Xt satisfies
the SDE
Example C.2.
∂G ∂G 1 ∂ 2 G 2 ∂G
dG (x, t) = a+ + 2
b dt + bdz,
∂x ∂t 2 ∂x ∂x
given
dx = a dt + b dz,
G = ln x,
∂G 1 ∂G ∂2G 1
= , = 0, 2
= − 2,
∂x x ∂t ∂x x
dx = μxdt + σxdz,
1 1 2 2 1
d ln x = μx + 0 − 2 σ x dt + σxdz
x 2x x
1 2
= μ − σ dt + σdz.
2
∂f ∂f ∂f 1 ∂2f 2 1 ∂2f 2
dy = dx1 + dx2 + dt + σ 1 dt + σ dt
∂x1 ∂x2 ∂t 2 (∂x1 )2 2 (∂x2 )2 2
∂2f
+ σ1 σ2 ρ1,2 dt.
∂x1 ∂x2
February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-note page 201
dXt
= μx (Xt , Yt , t) dt + σx (Xt , Yt , t) dWt
Xt
dYt
= μy (Xt , Yt , t) dt + σy (Xt , Yt , t) dWt
Yt
or more rigorously,
n−1
Index
203
February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-index page 204
204 Index
F M
feasible portfolio, 22 marginal utility-weighted physical
finite horizon, 59 probability, 105
first-order stochastic dominance, 21 marked point process, 141
forward market portfolio, 176, 178
price, 5 market risk premium for jump risk,
Fourier transform, 112 150
Fourier transform method, 95 martingale, 98
fundamental partial differential martingale property, 10
equation (FPDE), 111 mean value theorem, 42
mean–variance frontier, 83–84
G minimum variance portfolio, 81
geometric Brownian motion, 40, Modigliani–Miller hypothesis, 184
more risk averse, 4
95
mutual fund separation theorem, 73
globally minimum variance (GMV)
portfolio, 88
N
Gram–Schmidt process, 76
necessary conditions for spanning, 164
H negative exponential utility, 2
Neumann–Morgenstern utility, 41
Hansen–Jagannathan bounds, 93
non arbitrary, 76
HARA utility function, 190
non-monotonic asset-specific pricing
hazard rate, 150
kernel, 105
homogenous expectation, 135
non-satiation, 8
hyperbolic absolute risk aversion, 54
non-singular, 76
non-trivial spanning, 164, 189–190
I
idiosyncratic jump, 159 O
idiosyncratic risk, 16, 31
optimal coupon level, 123
immediate ruin, 151
optimal debt capacity, 123
impatient factor, 41
optimal leverage, 126
increasing risk, 21
optimal portfolio, 23, 174
indicator process, 141
inefficiency, 25 P
infinite time horizon, 44
inverse Fourier transform, 97 physical probability measure, 104
investment opportunity set, 135 P -measure, 104
point process, 141
J Poisson process, 142
power utility, 1
jump intensity, 145, 150 premium, 17, 170
price of risk, 17
L pricing kernel, 9, 103–104
life time objective function, 41 definition, 6
log utility, 2 forward, 6
log-normality, 76 importance, 7
February 22, 2018 13:18 Advanced Finance Theories 9in x 6in b3091-index page 205
Index 205