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JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO.

-, 2018
ª 2018 BY THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF CARDIOLOGY FOUNDATION

PUBLISHED BY ELSEVIER

Incidence, Predictors, and Outcome


Associations of Dyskalemia in Heart
Failure With Preserved, Mid-Range,
and Reduced Ejection Fraction
Gianluigi Savarese, MD, PHD,a,* Hong Xu, MD,b,* Marco Trevisan, MSC,b Ulf Dahlström, MD, PHD,c
Patrick Rossignol, MD, PHD,d Bertram Pitt, MD, PHD,e Lars H. Lund, MD, PHD,a,y Juan J. Carrero, PHARMD, PHDb,y

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES This study investigated 1-year incidence and predictors of dyskalemia (dysK) and its outcome associations
in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), HF with mid-range EF (HFmrEF), and HF with reduced EF
(HFrEF).

BACKGROUND DysK in real-world HF is insufficiently characterized. Fear of dyskalemia may lead to underuse or
underdosing of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors.

METHODS Patients enrolled in the Swedish HF registry from 2006 to 2011 in Stockholm, Sweden were included in the
analyses. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified independent predictors of dysK within 1 year. Time-dependent
Cox models assessed outcomes associated with incident dysK (all-cause death, HF, and other cardiovascular disease
[CVD] hospitalizations) within 1 year from baseline.

RESULTS Of 5,848 patients, 24.4% experienced hyperkalemia (hyperK [K >5.0 mmol/l]) at least once, and 10.2% had
moderate or severe hyperK (K >5.5 mmol/l). Adjusted risk of moderate or severe hyperK was highest in HFpEF and
HFmrEF. Similarly, 20.3% of patients had at least one episode of hypokalemia (hypoK [<3.5 mmol/l]), and 3.7% had
severe hypoK (<3.0 mmol/l). Adjusted risk of any hypoK was highest in HFpEF. Independent predictors of both hyper-
and hypoK were sex, baseline potassium and estimated glomerular filtration rate, low hemoglobin, chronic obstructive
pulmonary disease (COPD), inpatient status, and higher New York Heart Association functional class. Incident dysK was
associated with increased risk of mortality. Furthermore, hypoK was associated with increased CVD hospitalizations
(HF-related excluded). There was no association between dysK and HF hospitalization risk, regardless of EF.

CONCLUSIONS DysK is common in HF and is associated with increased mortality. Risk of moderate or severe hyperK was
highest in HFpEF and HFmrEF, whereas risk of hypoK was highest in HFpEF. HF severity, low hemoglobin, COPD,
baseline high and low potassium, and low eGFR were relevant predictors of dysK occurrence. (J Am Coll Cardiol HF 2018;-:-–-)
© 2018 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

From the aDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; bDepartment of Medical
Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; cDepartments of Cardiology Medical and Health Sci-
ences, Linkoping University, Linkoping, Sweden; dUniversité de Lorraine, INSERM CIC-P 1433, Centre Hospitalier Régional Uni-
versitaire de Nancy, and INSERM U1116, FCRIN INI-Cardiovascular and Renal Clinical Trialists, Nancy, France; and the
e
Department of Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan. Supported by institutional grants from Vifor Fresenius
Medical Care Renal Pharma and Relypsa to Karolinska Institutet, Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation, Swedish Research Council,
Stockholm County Council (including ALF projects), AstraZeneca, and Martin Rind’s and Westman’s Foundations. Dr. Lund is
supported by Swedish Research Council grants 2013-23897-104604-23 and 523-2014-2336, and Swedish Heart Lung Foundation
grants 20120321 and 20150557; has received grants from Relypsa, Vifor Pharma, AstraZeneca, and Novartis through his institution;
and consults for Relypsa, Vifor Pharma, AstraZeneca, Novartis, and Sanofi. Dr. Rossignol is supported by French National Research
Agency public grant ANR-15-RHU-0004 as part of the second Investissements d’Avenir program FIGHT-HF and by French PIA
project Lorraine Université d’Excellence grant ANR-15-IDEX-04-LUE; consults for Novartis, Relypsa, AstraZeneca, Grünenthal,
Stealth Peptides, Fresenius, Idorsia, Vifor Fresenius Medical Care Renal Pharma, Vifor, and CTMA; has received lecture fees from
Bayer and CVRx; and is a cofounder of CardioRenal. Dr. Savarese has received research grants from Merck and Co. and Boehringer

ISSN 2213-1779/$36.00 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jchf.2018.10.003


2 Savarese et al. JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018
Dyskalemia in HF - 2018:-–-

H
ABBREVIATIONS eart failure (HF) is associated with dispensed drug registry, and the SCREAM (Stockholm
AND ACRONYMS comorbidities (e.g., older age, CREAtinine Measurements) project has been previ-
chronic kidney disease [CKD], dia- ously described (11). More details are reported in
ACE inhibitors = angiotensin-
converting enzyme inhibitors
betes) and is treated with pharmacological Online Methods.
regimens (e.g., angiotensin-converting The present study enrolled HF patients who were
ARB = angiotensin receptor
blockers enzyme [ACE] inhibitors, angiotensin recep- registered for the first time in SwedeHF and resided
ARNI = angiotensin-receptor tor blockers [ARB], mineralocorticoid recep- in the region of Stockholm between January 1, 2006,
neprilysin inhibitors tor antagonists [MRA], angiotensin-receptor and December 31, 2010. These participants underwent
COPD = chronic obstructive neprilysin [ARN] inhibitors, and diuretics), plasma potassium tests (recorded in SCREAM) on the
pulmonary disease which may interfere with potassium homeo- day of entry in the SwedeHF trial (index date). From a
CVD = cardiovascular disease stasis, leading to dyskalemia (dysK) (both total of 8,896 HF patients registered in Stockholm
EF = ejection fraction hyperkalemia [hyperK] and hypokalemia during that period, we excluded those who did not
eGFR = estimated glomerular [hypoK]) (1–4). have measurements of serum creatinine and plasma
filtration rate Patients with HF with preserved ejection potassium (n ¼ 1,638), or who showed abnormal
HF = heart failure fraction (HFpEF), HF with mid-range EF plasma potassium concentrations (i.e., K <3.5
HFrEF = heart failure with (HFmrEF), or HF with reduced EF (HFrEF) [n ¼ 412] and >5.0 mmol/l [n ¼ 141]) at registration, or
reduced ejection fraction
have different demographics, exhibit had not had EF assessed (n ¼ 849), or were under-
MRA = mineralocorticoid different clinical characteristics, and are going chronic dialysis (n ¼ 8). This resulted in 5,848
receptor antagonists
treated differently, possibly leading to patients included in the analysis (see patient selec-
NYHA = New York Heart
different rates of dysK (5). However, current tion flow chart in Online Figure 1).
Association
evidence for the incidence of dysK comes EXPOSURE AND BASELINE COVARIATES. Demo-
PAD = peripheral artery
disease mainly from selective, randomized clinical graphic and clinical variables are reported in Table 1
PAF = population-attributable
trials in HFrEF, and no detailed dysK quan- (see definitions in Online Table 1). Ongoing medica-
fraction tification exists to date in HFpEF and tions were defined by the presence of a pharmacy
RAAS = renin-angiotensin- HFmrEF (6,7). Furthermore, data from ran- dispensation within 120 days from the index date (see
aldosterone system domized clinical trials may not represent definitions in Online Table 2). We defined HFpEF as
real-world clinical practice (8). Thus, a EF $50%, HFmrEF as EF 40% to 49%, and HFrEF as
deeper understanding of risk of dysK in these EF <40% (12). Plasma potassium concentration was
settings is needed, given that fear of dysK may lead to measured by using potentiometric titration. We
underuse or underdosing of renin-angiotensin- categorized baseline potassium levels as 3.5 to 3.9,
aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors (9,10) and that 4.0 to 4.4, and 4.5 to 5.0 mmol/l, with the stratum 4.0
the incidence of dysK is relevant in the design of to 4.4 mmol/l chosen as reference. Plasma creatinine
future trials in different HF phenotypes. concentration was measured by using either the
This study assessed potential differences and enzymatic or corrected Jaffe method (alkaline picrate
similarities in the incidence of dysK, its predictors, reaction) and was used to estimate glomerular filtra-
and outcome associations in a large and unselected tion rate (eGFR). Creatinine values <25 and >1,500
populations of real-world HF patients with different mmol/l were considered implausible and discarded.
EF. eGFR was calculated by using the CKD-Epidemiology
METHODS Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation, and eGFR strata
were categorized as $90, 60 to 89, 45 to 59, 30 to 44,
DATA SOURCES AND STUDY POPULATION. The and <30 ml/min per 1.73 m 2. eGFR $ 90 ml/min per
Swedish HF Registry (SwedeHF) and its linkage 1.73 m2 was considered the reference.
through the unique personal identification of Swed- STUDY OUTCOME. The first study outcome was the
ish citizens with general government registries, the 1-year incidence of hyperK and hypoK, separately;

Ingelheim; and has received honoraria from Vifor and AstraZeneca. Dr. Carrero has received research support from AstraZeneca.
Dr. Pitt has received fees from Bayer, Sanofi, Astrazeneca, kdp pharmaceuticals, relypsa/vifor, cpharmaceuticals, Tricida, Stealth
Peptides, Sarfez Pharmaceuticals, and G3 Pharmaceuticals; and is a patent pending holder for eplerenone delivery. Dr. Dahlström
has received research support from AstraZeneca through his institution; and has received honoraria from and consults for
AstraZeneca and Novartis. All other authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to
disclose. *Drs. Savarese and Xu contributed equally to this work and are joint first authors. yDrs. Lund and Carrero contributed
equally to this work and are joint senior authors.

Manuscript received September 6, 2018; accepted October 4, 2018.


JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018 Savarese et al. 3
- 2018:-–- Dyskalemia in HF

T A B L E 1 Baseline Characteristics Overall and by Ejection Fraction Categories

Overall HFpEF HFmrEF HFrEF


(N ¼ 5,848) (n ¼ 1,397, 24%) (n ¼ 1,304, 22%) (n ¼ 3,147, 54%) p Value

Demographics
Mean age, yrs 73.0  13.0 76.7  12.2 73.9  12.3 71.1  13.3 <0.001
Women 2,146 (36.7) 758 (54.3) 497 (38.1) 891 (28.3) <0.001
Current smokers 683 (11.7) 104 (7.4) 154 (11.8) 425 (13.5) <0.001
Education (n ¼ 5,646) <0.001
Primary school 2,186 (37.4) 565 (40.4) 480 (36.8) 1,141 (36.3)
Secondary school 2,259 (38.6) 501 (35.9) 482 (37.0) 1,276 (40.5)
University 1,201 (20.5) 266 (19.0) 293 (22.5) 642 (20.4)
Laboratory tests at registration
Potassium, mmol/l 4.1  0.4 4.1  0.3 4.1  0.4 4.1  0.4 <0.001
Potassium strata <0.001
3.5 to <4.0 mmol/l 2,137 (36.5) 572 (40.9) 507 (38.9) 1,058 (33.6)
4.0 to <4.5 mmol/l 2,744 (46.9) 654 (46.8) 577 (44.2) 1,513 (48.1)
4.5 to 5.0 mmol/l 967 (16.5) 171 (12.2) 220 (16.9) 576 (18.3)
eGFR, ml/min per 1.73m2 61.3  24.3 58.0  22.9 61.4  24.3 62.8  24.9 <0.001
eGFR strata <0.001
90þ ml/min per 1.73 m2 728 (12.4) 137 (9.8) 157 (12.0) 434 (13.8)
60–89 ml/min per 1.73 m2 2,243 (38.4) 477 (34.1) 523 (40.1) 1,243 (39.5)
45–59 ml/min per 1.73 m2 1,255 (21.5) 344 (24.6) 270 (20.7) 641 (20.4)
30–44 ml/min per 1.73 m2 1,063 (18.2) 290 (20.8) 225 (17.3) 548 (17.4)
<30 ml/min per 1.73 m2 559 (9.6) 149 (10.7) 129 (9.9) 281 (8.9)
Hemoglobin, g/l 131.9  17.8 127.2  17.2 131.2  18.2 134.3  17.5 <0.001
Hemoglobin, <120 g/l 1,508 (25.8) 496 (35.5) 353 (27.1) 659 (20.9) <0.001
Comorbidities
Hypertension 1,746 (29.9) 408 (29.2) 402 (30.8) 936 (29.7) 0.64
Diabetes mellitus 1,108 (18.9) 227 (16.2) 242 (18.6) 639 (20.3) 0.005
Myocardial infarction 1,455 (24.9) 214 (15.3) 300 (23.0) 941 (29.9) <0.001
PCI or CABG 924 (15.8) 117 (8.4) 192 (14.7) 615 (19.5) <0.001
Stroke or TIA 408 (7.0) 81 (5.8) 73 (5.6) 254 (8.1) 0.002
PAD 240 (4.1) 44 (3.1) 49 (3.8) 147 (4.7) 0.045
Aortic stenosis 325 (5.6) 89 (6.4) 67 (5.1) 169 (5.4) 0.30
Atrial fibrillation 2,166 (37.0) 504 (36.1) 498 (38.2) 1,164 (37.0) 0.52
COPD 952 (16.3) 233 (16.7) 222 (17.0) 497 (15.8) 0.54
Liver disease 51 (0.9) 8 (0.6) 9 (0.7) 34 (1.1) 0.17
Alcoholism 106 (1.8) 13 (0.9) 16 (1.2) 77 (2.4) <0.001
Cancer (3 yrs) 235 (4.0) 56 (4.0) 44 (3.4) 135 (4.3) 0.37
Characterization of HF index
Caregiver (inpatient vs. outpatient) 4,273 (73.1) 1,138 (81.5) 889 (68.2) 2,246 (71.4) <0.001
NYHA functional class (n ¼ 4,793) <0.001
I 742 (12.7) 264 (18.9) 224 (17.2) 254 (8.1)
II 2,293 (39.2) 547 (39.2) 578 (44.3) 1,168 (37.1)
III 1,598 (27.3) 259 (18.5) 251 (19.2) 1,088 (34.6)
IV 160 (2.7) 26 (1.9) 24 (1.8) 110 (3.5)
Continued on the next page

the second outcome was the 1-year risk of all-cause recorded in health care within 1 year from the index
death, HF hospitalization, or cardiovascular disease registration. We defined incident hyperK and hypoK
(CVD) hospitalization other than HF after an inci- as the first measurements of potassium, >5.0
dence of hyperK or hypoK. Outcome analysis was and <3.5 mmol/l, respectively. However, because
also separately performed in the different EF cate- patients with K <3.0 and >5.5 mmol/l are at the
gories, as risk of these outcomes in HFpEF versus highest risk of mortality (13), we also considered the
HFmrEF versus HFmrEF has not been previously categories of moderate or severe hyperkalemia
investigated. (>5.5 mmol/l) and severe hypokalemia (<3.0 mmol/l).
The 1-year incidence of hyperK and hypoK was In order to exclude incident dysK that might have
calculated from all plasma potassium measurements been the consequence of abnormal potassium
4 Savarese et al. JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018
Dyskalemia in HF - 2018:-–-

T A B L E 1 Continued

Overall HFpEF HFmrEF HFrEF


(N ¼ 5,848) (n ¼ 1,397, 24%) (n ¼ 1,304, 22%) (n ¼ 3,147, 54%) p Value

EF strata
EF >50% 1,397 (23.9) 1,397 (100.0)
EF 40%–49% 1,304 (22.3) 1,304 (100.0)
EF <40% 3,147 (53.8) 3,147 (100.0)
Medication
ACE inhibitor or ARB 4,760 (81.4) 1,011 (72.4) 1,028 (78.8) 2,721 (86.5) <0.001
Beta-blocker 4,856 (83.0) 1,068 (76.4) 1,070 (82.1) 2,718 (86.4) <0.001
MRAs 2,130 (36.4) 425 (30.4) 399 (30.6) 1,306 (41.5) <0.001
Digoxin 1,168 (20.0) 257 (18.4) 235 (18.0) 676 (21.5) 0.008
Long-acting nitrates 929 (15.9) 254 (18.2) 221 (16.9) 454 (14.4) 0.003
Calcium channel blockers 821 (14.0) 336 (24.1) 217 (16.6) 268 (8.5) <0.001
Antiarrhythmics 197 (3.4) 28 (2.0) 32 (2.5) 137 (4.4) <0.001
Statins 2,434 (41.6) 510 (36.5) 584 (44.8) 1,340 (42.6) <0.001
Aspirin/anti-platelets 2,605 (44.5) 581 (41.6) 623 (47.8) 1,401 (44.5) 0.005
Any oral anticoagulant 2,129 (36.4) 484 (34.6) 464 (35.6) 1,181 (37.5) 0.14
Antidiabetes 1,140 (19.5) 270 (19.3) 284 (21.8) 586 (18.6) 0.053
Diuretics 4,402 (75.3) 1,115 (79.8) 903 (69.2) 2,384 (75.8) <0.001

Values are mean  SD or n (%).


ACE ¼ angiotensin-converting enzyme; ARB ¼ angiotensin receptor blocker; CABG ¼ coronary artery bypass graft; COPD ¼ chronic obstructive pulmonary disease;
EF ¼ ejection fraction; eGFR ¼ estimate glomerular filtration rate; HFmrEF ¼ mid-range ejection fraction; HFpEF ¼ preserved ejection fraction; HFrEF ¼ reduced ejection
fraction; MRAs ¼ mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists; NYHA ¼ New York Heart Association; PAD ¼ peripheral artery disease; PCI ¼ percutaneous coronary intervention.

baseline values, we disregarded events occurring population-attributable fraction (PAF) adjusted for
within the first 2 weeks from the index date. potential confounders by Cox proportional hazards
Number of deaths were obtained by linkage with model (14).
the patient register, as well as HF hospitalizations or Multivariate time-dependent Cox regression
CVD hospitalization other than HF, which were models were performed to investigate the association
identified by relevant International Classification of between incident dysKs and study outcomes within
Diseases 10th revision at discharge (Online Table 1). the 1-year follow-up (from baseline) in the overall HF
population and separately in patients with HFpEF,
STATISTICS. Continuous variables were reported as
HFmrEF, and HFrEF. All covariates were defined at
mean  SD, and categorical variables as counts and
baseline, except for dysK status, which was considered
proportions (%). Baseline characteristics were
time-dependent. Patients experiencing dysK, thus,
compared across the different EF categories (HFpEF
contributed to the reference group during their
vs. HFmrEF vs. HFrEF) using Pearson chi-square for
person-time free from dysK and to the dysK risk group
proportions and analysis of variance (ANOVA) for
during the remaining person-time. A p value of <0.05
continuous variables.
was considered statistically significant for all analyses.
The crude 1-year incidence rates of hyperK and
All analyses were performed using STATA version 14.0
hypoK were assessed by using the Kaplan-Meier
software (Stata Corp., College Station, Texas).
method. Multivariate Cox regression models with
dysK as dependent variable were performed in the RESULTS
overall population and in the different EF categories
to identify the baseline factors associated with dysK BASELINE CHARACTERISTICS. Baseline characteris-
occurrence, reporting hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% tics are reported in Table 1. Of 5,848 HF patients, 37%
confidence intervals (CI). We also tested multiplica- were women, 24% had HFpEF, 22% had HFmrEF, and
tive interactions between the a priori-selected eGFR 54% had HFrEF. Mean age was 73  13 years, mean
strata (eGFR $ vs. <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2); comor- plasma potassium at inclusion was 4.1  0.4 mmol/l,
bidities including hypertension, diabetes, myocardial and mean eGFR 61  24 ml/min per 1.73 m 2. Older age,
infarction, atrial fibrillation, and chronic obstructive female sex, worse kidney function, lower hemoglobin
pulmonary disease (COPD); and EF categories. levels, and higher user of diuretics were more com-
Finally, the weighted contribution of selected risk mon with higher EF. In contrast, the proportions of
factors to dysK incidence was quantified using the diabetes, history of myocardial infarction, coronary
JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018 Savarese et al. 5
- 2018:-–- Dyskalemia in HF

F I G U R E 1 DysK Event Rates During 1-Year Follow-Up, Overall and Stratified by Ejection Fraction

DysK ¼ dyskalemia; HFmrEF ¼ heart failure with mid-range ejection fraction; HFpEF ¼ heart failure with preserved ejection fraction;
HFrEF ¼ heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; K ¼ potassium.

revascularization, peripheral artery disease, worse of severe hypoK were similar across the EF spectrum
New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class, (Online Table 3, Online Figure 2).
and the use of HF treatments renin-angiotensin- Most dysK events, regardless of severity, occurred
system inhibitors, MRA, and beta-blockers increased within the first 3 months of observation (Figure 3,
with lower EF. Online Figure 3).
INCIDENCE OF HyperK AND HypoK. Overall, 24.4% RISK MARKERS FOR HyperK AND HypoK. Table 2
of patients experienced at least 1 hyperK occurrence shows the baseline risk factors associated with the
within 1 year, and 10.2% reported moderate or severe risk of dysK. Variables independently associated
hyperK (Figure 1, note that events are nonexclusive). with increased hyperK risk were male sex,
Crude and adjusted analyses showed no statistically baseline potassium 4.5 to 5.0 mmol/l, lower eGFR,
significant differences in risk of any hyperK across the hemoglobin <120 g/dl, history of diabetes, COPD,
EF spectrum (Figure 2, Table 2). Crude 1-year risk of alcoholism, cancer, inpatient status, NYHA functional
moderate or severe hyperK was comparable across class $II, use of MRA, and nonuse of beta-blockers.
the EF strata but, after adjustments, it was higher in Conversely, baseline potassium 3.5 to 3.9 mmol/l
HFpEF and HFmrEF than in HFrEF (Online Table 3, was associated with reduced hyperK risk. Neither ACE
Online Figure 2). inhibitors/ARBs nor diuretics were associated with
Overall, 20.3% of patients experienced at least 1 incident hyperK. PAF was calculated to estimate the
occurrence of hypoK within 1 year, and 3.7% experi- relative importance of selected risk predictors.
enced severe hypoK (Figure 1, nonexclusive events). We observed that 37% of events were attributable to
Crude and adjusted risks of any hypoK were highest use of MRA, 33% of events to hemoglobin
in HFpEF (Figure 2, Table 2). Crude and adjusted risks concentration <120 g/l, 26% to eGFR <60 ml/min per
6 Savarese et al. JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018
Dyskalemia in HF - 2018:-–-

F I G U R E 2 Kaplan-Meier Curves

Kaplan-Meier curves show the incidence of (A) hyperK and (B) hypoK, according to ejection fraction strata. LVEF ¼ left ventricular ejection fraction. hyperK ¼
hyperkalemia; hypoK ¼ hypokalemia.

1.73 m 2, 25% to diabetes, and 16% to COPD and care- hyperK was not associated with the risk of hospitali-
givers (inpatient vs. outpatient) (Online Table 4). zation (Figure 4, Table 3).
Table 2 also reports baseline risk factors for hypoK. Similarly, 1.43 deaths per 1,000 patient-years
Female sex, potassium 3.5 to 3.9 mmol/l, occurred after hypoK compared to 0.36 deaths dur-
eGFR <30 ml/min per 1.73 m 2, hemoglobin <120 g/dl, ing periods without or preceding hypoK (Figure 4).
history of myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, After adjustments, incident hypoK was significantly
COPD, alcoholism, being an inpatient, NYHA func- associated with the risk of death (HR: 3.28; 95% CI:
tional class $III, use of diuretics, nonuse of ACE 2.79 to 3.86) (Figure 4), with a similar magnitude
inhibitors/ARBs and beta-blockers independently across the different EF strata (Table 3). Incident
predicted hypoK. PAF analyses showed 25% of hypoK was also associated with the risk of CVD hos-
hypoK events were attributable to COPD, 20% to pitalization other than HF (HR: 1.83; 95% CI: 1.24 to
hemoglobin <120 g/dl, 18% to female sex, 14% to 2.71) but not with the risk of a new HF hospitalization
history of myocardial infarction, 13% to caregiver (Figure 4, Table 3).
(inpatient vs. outpatient), and 11% to the nonuse of
ACE/ARBs (Online Table 4). DISCUSSION
Sensitivity analyses showed overall similar pre-
dictors for moderate or severe dysK (Online Tables 5 This study found that the incidence of dysK (both
to 7). No multiplicative interactions were observed hyperK and hypoK) was common and associated with
between EF strata (HFpEF, HFmrEF, and HFrEF), similar predictors, regardless of EF category, in a
eGFR strata, and presence versus absence of comor- large cohort of real-world HF patients. Incident dysK
bidities (hypertension, diabetes, myocardial infarc- was a strong predictor of mortality regardless of EF
tion, atrial fibrillation, and COPD) in predicting study category. Incident dysK was not associated with the
outcomes (p > 0.10 for all). risk of a subsequent HF hospitalization, whereas
incident hypoK (but not hyperK) was associated with
DysK AND SUBSEQUENT RISK OF MORTALITY AND
the risk of CVD hospitalization other than HF.
HOSPITALIZATION. During the 1-year follow-up
from baseline, 1.45 deaths per 1,000 patient-years INCIDENCE OF HYPER- AND HYPOKALEMIA IN
occurred after hyperK compared to 0.33 deaths that REAL-WORD HF. Current evidence of the incidence
occurred in periods without or preceding hyperK. of hyperK and hypoK in HF patients came mainly
After adjustments, incident hyperK was associated from randomized clinical trials. Whereas most infor-
with increased risk of death (HR: 4.03; 95% CI: 3.42 to mation comes from trials including HFrEF patients
4.75) (Figure 4). Similar results were observed across (15–18), 1 trial provided estimates in HFpEF (19), and
the EF spectrum (Table 3). In contrast, incident the CHARM (Candesartan in Heart Failure: Assessment
JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018 Savarese et al. 7
- 2018:-–- Dyskalemia in HF

of Reduction in Mortality and Morbidity) program


T A B L E 2 Baseline Characteristics Associated With 1-Year Risk of Hypokalemia and
analyzed hyperK risk throughout the EF spectrum (20). Hyperkalemia
In the present study, 24.4% of patients experi-
Any Hyperkalemia Any Hypokalemia
enced at least once incidence of hyperK, and 10.2% (Kþ >5.0 mmol/l) (Kþ <3.5 mmol/l)
experienced moderate or severe hyperK within 1 year HR 95% CI HR 95% CI
of follow-up, most of which occurred during the first 3 Age, per 5 yrs 1.01 0.98–1.04 1.02 0.99–1.06
months of follow-up. This is certainly a larger inci- Women 0.86* 0.77–0.97 1.33‡ 1.18–1.51
dence than that reported in trials with longer follow- Smoker 1.11 0.93–1.33 0.93 0.76–1.14
up (e.g., in the CHARM program, clinically relevant Baseline potassium strata

hyperK occurred in 3.5% of the population over a 3.5–<4.0 mmol/l 0.79‡ 0.70–0.89 1.52‡ 1.34–1.72
4.0–<4.5 mmol/l Ref. Ref.
median follow-up of 3.2 years) (20). Whereas we
4.5–5.0 mmol/l 1.49‡ 1.30–1.72 0.85 0.71–1.03
showed that in HFrEF 9.6% and 18.0% of patients
Baseline eGFR strata
were observed to have a potassium level of >5.5
90þ ml/min per 1.73 m2 Ref. Ref.
or <3.5 mmol/l, respectively, the corresponding pro- 60–89 ml/min per 1.73 m2 1.46† 1.13–1.87 1.11 0.87–1.42
portions in RALES (Randomized Aldactone Evalua- 45–59 ml/min per 1.73 m2 2.01‡ 1.53–2.65 0.96 0.74–1.26
tion Study) were 12.2% (patients with potassium ¼ 5.5 30–44 ml/min per 1.73 m2 2.68‡ 2.02–3.56 1.13 0.85–1.50
mmol/l were included) and 11.4% (mean follow-up at <30 ml/min per 1.73 m2 4.10‡ 3.04–5.53 1.64† 1.22–2.21

24 months), respectively (21), 13.4% and 10.7%, Hemoglobin, <120 g/l 1.43‡ 1.27–1.61 1.23† 1.08–1.40
Hypertension 1.00 0.89–1.13 0.97 0.85–1.11
respectively, in EPHESUS (Eplerenone Post-Acute
Diabetes mellitus 1.33‡ 1.16–1.51 0.96 0.82–1.11
Myocardial Infarction Heart Failure Efficacy and
Myocardial infarction 0.99 0.87–1.12 1.19* 1.03–1.37
Survival Study) (mean follow-up 16 months) (22), and Stroke or TIA 1.05 0.87–1.26 1.01 0.82–1.25
8.9% and 9.3%, respectively, in EMPHASIS-HF PAD 1.20 0.95–1.51 1.12 0.86–1.44
(Eplerenone in Mild Patients Hospitalization and Atrial fibrillation 1.04 0.93–1.16 1.13* 1.00–1.28
Survival Study in Heart Failure) (mean follow-up COPD 1.22† 1.06–1.40 1.34‡ 1.16–1.55

of 21 months) (23). Additionally, in PARADIGM-HF Liver disease 1.26 0.82–1.94 1.24 0.72–2.14
Alcoholism 1.46* 1.05–2.04 1.67† 1.16–2.42
(Prospective Comparison of ARNI with ACEI to
Cancer (3 yrs) 1.30* 1.03–1.64 1.22 0.94–1.58
Determine Impact on Global Mortality and Morbidity
Hospitalization at diagnosis 2.01‡ 1.72–2.36 2.04‡ 1.69–2.45
in Heart Failure Trial), the risk of hyperK was 16.7%
NYHA functional class
(median follow-up of 27 months) (18). In patients with I Ref. Ref.
HFpEF, potassium levels of >5.5 and <3.5 mmol/l II 1.33* 1.06–1.66 1.23 0.98–1.55
were observed in 11.4% and 25.6%, respectively, of III 1.72‡ 1.36–2.17 1.66‡ 1.31–2.10
patients within 1 year, whereas in TOPCAT (Treat- IV 2.05‡ 1.45–2.88 1.99‡ 1.38–2.88

ment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure EF strata


>50% 1.06 0.92–1.22 1.17* 1.00–1.36
with an Aldosterone Antagonist), the corresponding
40%–49% 0.99 0.86–1.14 1.10 0.94–1.28
proportions were 13.9% (patients with potassium ¼
<40% Ref. Ref.
5.5 mmol/l were included) and 17.5%, respectively, ACE/ARB 1.07 0.93–1.23 0.63‡ 0.54–0.72
over a mean follow-up of 3.3 years (19,24). Addition- Beta-blockers 0.81† 0.70–0.94 0.83* 0.71–0.96
ally, a higher hypoK incidence was found in the pre- MRAs 1.85‡ 1.66–2.07 1.08 0.95–1.22
sent study than in trials, which has received less Diuretics 1.10 0.94–1.29 1.38‡ 1.16–1.64
attention in this patient population but may be
*p < 0.05. †p < 0.01. ‡p < 0.001.
equally or more harmful. CI ¼ confidence interval; HR ¼ hazard ratio; other abbreviations are as in Table 1.
A novel finding in the present study is that the risk
of dysK across the different EF categories was able to
versus 12.2%, respectively, whereas risk of hypoK
be estimated and compared. HF phenotypes reported
(K <3.5 mmol/l) was 17.5% versus 11.4%, respectively,
differences in clinical characteristics and treatment
suggesting higher risk of dysK in HFpEF than in
patterns. After extensive adjustments, patients with
HFrEF (19,21,24), also in trial populations.
HFpEF and HFmrEF were found to have higher risk of
moderate or severe hyperK, whereas those with INDEPENDENT PREDICTORS OF HyperK AND
HFpEF had the highest risk of any hypoK. The present HypoK. Previous post-hoc analyses from trials iden-
study, thus, confirms and expands to real-world tified predictors of hyperK in HFrEF (21–23). Despite
setting the trends observed comparing rates from different definitions of hyperK in those trials, com-
individual trials. For example, in TOPCAT (HFpEF) mon predictors across the different studies were
versus RALES (HFrEF), the crude incidence of mod- baseline potassium, kidney function, and use of MRA
erate or severe hyperK (K >5.5 mmol/l) was 13.9% (21–23). Generally, predictors of hypoK have received
8 Savarese et al. JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018
Dyskalemia in HF - 2018:-–-

F I G U R E 3 Number and Time Distribution of Dyskalemic Events Registered During 12 Months of Follow-Up

less attention and have only been assessed in RALES of dysK (25). In line with the importance of kidney
(21) where low baseline potassium, no use of MRA and function in clearing circulating potassium, it was
ACE-I/ARB use, higher diastolic blood pressure, fe- observed in the present study that there was a
male sex and black race were independently associ- monotonic gradual association between hyperK risk
ated with the risk of hypokalemia. and lower eGFR strata. However, an unexpected
Findings from the present unselected real-world finding was that individuals with advanced or severe
population of Swedish HF patients collectively CKD were at higher risk of both hyperK and hypoK.
agree with the trial evidence but also provide accu- This may perhaps reflect the more fragile fluid and
rate information for dysK predictors in the less- electrolyte balance and the more frequent medica-
characterized categories of patients with HFpEF tion changes, such as increases or variations of
and HFmrEF. These specific clinical characteristics diuretic doses, variable diuretic resistance and
and medications associated with the occurrence of gastrointestinal and renal congestion over time, and/
dysK across the EF spectrum may foster the identi- or reductions of doses or discontinuation of RAAS
fication of high-risk populations more likely to inhibitor agents in these patients. The observation
benefit from dysK monitoring and prevention stra- that women are at lower risk of hyperK is consistent
tegies, including uptitration of HF therapies. Perhaps with that in previous studies, but it was also
not unexpectedly, it was also observed that higher observed in the present study that women were at
baseline potassium levels (4.5 to 5.0 mmol/l) were higher risk of hypoK. This may reflect differences in
associated with increased risk of hyperK, whereas body composition, resulting in lower total
lower potassium levels (3.5 to 3.9 mmol/l) at baseline exchangeable body potassium in women than in
were associated with increased risk of hypoK but men, or sex differences in comorbidities and treat-
reduced risk of hyperK. Furthermore, worse NYHA ments that were not captured in the present analysis
functional class, COPD, low hemoglobin concentra- (unmeasured confounders). Finally, as previously
tion, and being an inpatient were associated with reported (26), diabetes was associated with the risk
both hyperK and hypoK. Unmeasured confounders, of hyperK, which may be explained by its role in
such as treatments for comorbidities not considered decreasing aldosterone production or accelerating
in the current analysis, may explain COPD and low kidney function decline.
hemoglobin as independent predictors of both po- Understanding the impact of medication in real-
tassium disturbances. However, low hemoglobin world data is difficult, as these variables are
concentration is also a surrogate for increased affected by both confounding by indication and
congestion (along with low serum protein, albumin, reverse causation. For instance, ACE inhibitors/ARBs
and hematocrit, all of which have been proposed as did not associate with the risk of hyperkalemia in the
surrogate markers of (de)congestion and have been present study, perhaps because their very high use
found to be associated with cardiovascular end- (80%) did not offer discrimination, but also perhaps
points), which is 1 of the main predictors of adverse because the rich covariate adjustment covered the
outcomes and may trigger changes in kidney func- indications for which ACE inhibitors/ARBs were pre-
tion and in HF medications, with an associated risk scribed. On the other hand, use of MRA was
JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018 Savarese et al. 9
- 2018:-–- Dyskalemia in HF

F I G U R E 4 Outcomes Associated With Incident Dyskalemic Events

Models were adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, baseline potassium strata, baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate, hemoglobin,
history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, myocardial infarction, stroke or transient ischemic attack, peripheral artery disease, atrial fibril-
lation, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, liver disease, alcoholism, cancer, caregiver (inpatient vs. outpatient), left ventricular ejection
fraction strata, New York Heart Association functional class, and medication (renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, b-blocker mineralocorti-
coid receptor antagonists, diuretics). CVD ¼ cardiovascular disease; HF ¼ heart failure; HR ¼ hazard ratio.

associated with higher risk of hyperK, and use of di- registry-based study (13). Furthermore, we observed a
uretics predicted hypoK, in agreement with general similar risk of death across the EF spectrum, which
understanding and use of those medications. Beta- agrees with a subgroup analysis of a post-hoc study of
blockers were associated with lower risk of hypoK, the DIG (Digitalis Investigation Group) trial, where
which is coherent with their role in promoting po- EF, categorized as # versus >45%, had no significant
tassium shift out of cells by inhibiting sodium- interaction with hypoK (K <4 mEq/l) for prediction of
potassium ATPase. However, beta-blockers were mortality (27). In addition, TOPCAT trial data showed
also associated with reduced risk of hyperK, which increased CVD mortality risk in HFpEF patients
may be explained by reverse causation. reporting incident hyperK (K >5.5 mmol/l) or hypoK
(K <3.5 mmol/l) (24). Associations between dysK and
CLINICAL CONSEQUENCES OF DYSKALEMIA. Inci- subsequent hospitalizations have received even less
dent hypoK or hyperK was strongly associated with investigation. In DIG trial, hypoK (K <4 mEq/l) was
subsequent risk of death in the present study. Similar not associated with increased risk of all-cause hospi-
findings were recently shown in an HF Danish talization (27). Conversely, this present study showed
10 Savarese et al. JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018
Dyskalemia in HF - 2018:-–-

T A B L E 3 Clinical Outcomes Associated With Incident Hyperkalemia and Hypokalemia in the Different Ejection Fraction Strata Within 1 Year of Follow-Up

HFpEF HFmrEF HFrEF

Events/Person ER per HR Events/Person ER per HR Events/Person ER per HR


Time 1,000-pys (95% CI)† Time 1,000-pys (95% CI)† Time 1,000-pys (95% CI)†

Incident hyperkalemia*
Death 128/396,533 0.32 Ref. 114/379,001 0.30 Ref. 313/882,810 0.35 Ref.
103/64,457 1.60 4.97§ (3.51–7.06) 86/54,751 1.57 4.79§ (3.36–6.82) 203/151,641 1.34 3.62§(2.89–4.55)
HF hospitalization 18/393,611 0.05 Ref. 21/374,768 0.06 – 262/832,622 0.31 Ref.
5/63,125 0.08 1.52 (0.56–4.10) 1/53,568 0.02 – 32/134,204 0.24 0.98 (0.65–1.47)
Other CVD hospitalization 18/393,611 0.05 Ref. 24/375,320 0.06 – 133/860,206 0.15 Ref.
5/63,125 0.08 1.52 (0.56–4.10) 3/53,849 0.05 – 25/143,799 0.17 1.18 (0.73–1.91)
Incident hypokalemia*
Death 145/390,204 0.37 Ref. 129/383,220 0.34 Ref. 345/926,293 0.37 Ref.
86/70,786 1.21 3.00§ (2.19–4.11) 71/50,532 1.41 3.62§ (2.57–3.10) 171/108,158 1.58 3.29§(2.62–4.13)
HF hospitalization 15/387,759 0.04 – 20/379,649 0.05 – 272/871,338 0.31 Ref.
1/69,156 0.01 – 2/48,687 0.04 – 22/95,488 0.23 0.96 (0.62–1.50)
Other CVD hospitalization 17/387,918 0.04 Ref. 23/379,821 0.06 – 134/903,472 0.15 Ref.
6/68,818 0.09 1.68 (0.48–5.85) 4/49,348 0.08 – 24/100,533 0.24 1.99‡ (1.26–3.18)

Negative HR could not be calculated because of the limited number of events. *Models were adjusted as in Figure 4. †p < 0.05. ‡p < 0.01. §p < 0.001.
CVD ¼ cardiovascular disease; ER ¼ event rate; HF ¼ heart failure; HR ¼ hazard ratio; pys ¼ patient-years.

increased risk of CVD (excluding HF) but not HF homeostasis over time cannot be ruled out. How-
hospitalizations in hypoK patients (K <3.5 mmol/l), ever, these changes might have had the same
particularly in patients with HFrEF. This finding may chance to occur across the different HF phenotypes
be explained by higher mortality associated with and not had a major impact on comparative results.
hyperK than with hypoK, and thus, death more likely Finally, analysis was limited to years 2006 to
to circumvent hospitalization after hyperK than 2011, which prevented inclusion of data for
hypoK. ARN inhibitors, which have been shown to be
STUDY LIMITATIONS. The unselected inclusion and associated with a lower risk of hyperK than ACE
rich patient characterization of the present study is inhibitors/ARB.
a strength. Additionally, plasma (and not serum)
potassium levels were measured, because plasma CONCLUSIONS
levels are not affected by leukocytosis and throm-
bocytosis and therefore the likelihood of false The present study offers estimates on the incidence,
hyperK is low. However, all observational data are predictors, and outcomes associated with dysK in
subject to selection bias, and the influence of un- real-world HF patients with different EF. These real-
measured confounders cannot be ruled out. Detec- world data may be helpful to tailor RAAS inhibitor
tion bias can also exist in outcome ascertainment, as therapy, fostering identification of patients in need
patients at higher risk of events may be more likely of stricter potassium monitoring while they are
to use health care and have potassium levels receiving therapies that affect potassium homeosta-
measured. Patients were included in SwedeHF on sis and those who are more likely to develop dysK
the basis of clinician-judged HF, thus it is possible following changes in therapies and doses. Finally,
that some patients, particularly those with HFpEF, present analyses may support the design of trials of,
might not have had HF. HF phenotype was defined for example, RAAS inhibitors and K-binder agents in
according to the EF reported in the SwedeHF regis- HF by providing important insights regarding po-
tration recorded on the same day that potassium tential populations to be enrolled.
plasma levels were assessed. The limited amount of
longitudinal data available in the overall SwedeHF ADDRESS FOR CORRESPONDENCE: Dr. Lars H. Lund,
population prevented performing separate analyses Department of Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, and
in patients with transitioning EF. Furthermore, Heart and Vascular Theme, Karolinska University
use of therapies was recorded at the time that Hospital, FoU Tema Hjärta Kärl, Norrbacka, S1:02,
plasma potassium levels were measured; thus, 171 76 Stockholm, Sweden. E-mail: Lars.Lund@
changes in treatments and doses affecting potassium alumni.duke.edu.
JACC: HEART FAILURE VOL. -, NO. -, 2018 Savarese et al. 11
- 2018:-–- Dyskalemia in HF

PERSPECTIVES

COMPETENCY IN MEDICAL KNOWLEDGE: Patients TRANSLATIONAL OUTLOOK: This study provides


with HFpEF, HFmrEF, and HFrEF exhibit different de- data for incidence, predictors, and outcomes associated
mographics and clinical characteristics and are treated with dysK in real-world HFpEF, HFmrEF, and HFrEF
differently, possibly leading to different rates of dysK. patients that may be helpful to tailor RAAS inhibitor
Fear of dysK in these patients may lead to underuse or therapy, fostering identification of those who are more in
underdosing of RAAS inhibitors. The present authors need of stricter potassium monitoring while receiving
reported that dysKs are common in HF and are associ- therapies that affect potassium homeostasis and those
ated with increased mortality. Risk of moderate or se- who are more likely to develop dysK following change in
vere hyperK was highest in HFpEF and HFmrEF, whereas therapies and doses. These data may also support the
risk of hypoK was highest in HFpEF. HF severity, low design of trials of, for example, RAAS inhibitors and K-
hemoglobin, COPD, high and low potassium levels at binder agents in HF.
baseline, and low eGFR were predictors of dysK
occurrence.

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