Crypto Market Analysis Report

March 19, 2018

Summary
This report comprises the possible reasons behind recent drop in market capital of
digital currency market, comparison between digital currency market drop with
Sufwan Tariq other stock & FX market crash, technical analysis and our own portfolio status.

Certified Commodity Broker

+923205506660

Sufwantariq11@gmail.com

3/19/2018
Mar 19, 2018 (Market Insight & Trade Analysis)
Sufwan Tariq
(Certified Commodity Broker, Portfolio Manager & Investment Adviser)

Please note and carefully read the important disclosure:

This document is for my subscribers only and is not intended as a recommendation or an offer or solicitation for
the purchase or sale of any currency/asset to non-subscribers. Information in this document has been prepared
with taking account of current portfolio situation of my subscribers. Therefore, investment products mentioned
in this document may not be suitable for non-subscribers. Any person considering an investment should seek in-
dependent advice on the suitability or otherwise of a particular investment. In any event, past performance is no
guarantee of future results, and future results may not meet our expectations due to a variety of economic, mar-
ket and other factors.
Topics will be covered under this report:
• Market Dip
• Market Correction
• Bear Market
• Market Crash & after recovery
• Reasons of recent Market Crash
• How long will the sell-off last?
• How can we prepare for crash?
• What happened with our portfolio in such crash and how the subscribers be saved?
• What should we do now? Conclusive comment
• Miscellaneous benefits to subscribers
• Our Upcoming Projects
MARKET DIP:
A dip is any brief downturn from a sustained longer-term uptrend. For example, the market may go up 5%, linger,
and come down 2% over a few days or weeks. Is current market situation falls under this category? Answer is
NO…
MARKET CORRECTION:
A correction is often defined as a 10% drop in the market from recent highs. This is what we were expecting in
the start. If we look at historical data we would come to know that all TECHNICAL and FUNDAMENTAL analysis
about market was looking fine in Dec-Jan which means there were NO SIGN of crash or bear phase. Is current
market situation a correction? Answer is NO… because market cap has dropped more than 50% and each & every
coin dropped with the same percentage %.

BEAR MARKET:
A bear market is a long, sustained decline in the financial market. Once losses surpass 20% from the market’s
most recent high, it’s considered to be a bear market. Now the question arises, why didn’t we close our trades
when the BEAR PHASE in market was started after more than 20% drop? Following two are the main points in an-
swer;

1- Crypto Market is highly volatile with low volume which cause sharp dips and quick upticks. Few big investors or
so called whales have already used the same trick earlier to trap retail/small investors. We took this into consid-
eration (having past experience insight) and tried our best for not being trapped.

2- We were not involved in Margin/leverage trading which means we had no issue for margin call so decision in
panic was not required at all.

Is the current market situation is BEAR MARKET? Answer is YES, it’s CRASH…I’ll discuss later how long it may last.
MARKET CRASH:
A crash is a sudden and very sharp drop in assets or coins prices, often on a single day or week. Sometimes a
market crash foretells a bubble burst. In 1929 stock market crash when the market lost 48% in less than two
months, kicking off the Great Depression. But that’s not always the case. In October 1987 stocks plunged 23% in a
single day, the worst decline ever, before roaring back over the next year. Crashes are rare, but they usually occur
after a long-term uptrend in the market.
NOT SAME IN 1987
Is Market Crash is predictable? Answer depends on nature of market. In stock market we look at economic data
release every week, month and year which indicates sign of crash. In FX and Commodity market we look at
political events which may cause sharp drops in prices e.g a recent BREXIT plunged GBP against USD and all other
counterparts. Likewise, political tensions in IRAQ-IRAN surged oil prices in past. Whereas, in crypto market
unfortunately we don’t have any indicator which predicts CRASH is ahead.

Crypto currency market is unestablished,unregulated and not well structured yet which is the main reason of its
sharp declines and immature gains. However, if we look at historical market crashes we will come to know that
every crash follows ultimate recovery to its mean point i.e. average rate.
REASONS OF RECENT MARKET CRASH:
At the most basic level, the market declines because investors are more motivated to sell than to buy. That’s sim-
ple supply and demand, but it doesn’t explain why investors are selling. The Crypto currency market moves for
many reasons, including because the confidence is actually weakening, or based on investors’ perceptions or
emotions, such as the fear of loss and also government bans and regulations. Investors are a forward-looking
bunch. They’re trying to determine whether their investments will appreciate in value. Investors watch for signs,
including news, rumors and anything in between, of how the market will move.

While the reasons for a one-day drop may vary, a recent longer-term decline is caused by one or several of the
following reasons:

• Regulation talks (Main reason in my view)

• Heavy profit taking.
• Fear of loss among retail traders.
• BTC dominance was on the edge which needs to be recovered above 50% level.

These reasons often work together. For example, as the rumor overheats, some investors see a slowdown in the
future and want to sell before a stampede of investors flees the market. So they sell, pushing prices lower and
dampening animal spirits. If the move down persists long enough, it may make investors fearful, sending prices
still lower. At times like this it can be great to have someone by your side to steady your nerves, and that’s one
thing that the best financial advisors do. I TRY THE SAME TO WORK IN THE BEST INTEREST OF YOU.
HOW LONG WILL THE SELL-OFF LAST:
That’s a billion-dollar question. If you knew that, you could time the market and become rich. Still, there are
some guideposts for how long crashes, corrections and bear markets last. (We’ll skip dips for now; there are just
way too many of them.)

• In last four corrections i.e. from $3000 to $1700, from $5500 to $2900, from $7500 to $5600 and from
$11000 to $7800 corrections were last for 1-2 week.
• Bear markets and crashes tend to be longer still. Last crash of 2013 was last for till 2016-17 i.e. 4 years.

Honestly, I am not expecting such longer time frame to recover this time. Market circumstances are not the same
as it was on 2013. Crypto currencies were not as famous as it has become till now and institutional investors are
on queue to be a part of it, waiting for governments to put a regulation tag on it. I personally do believe that the
market will recover before summer this year.

HOW CAN WE PREPARE FOR CRASH?

Diversification is the simplest way to boost your investment returns while reducing risk. It may sound like an im-
possible investing goal, like juggling flaming pitchforks, but it’s actually an easy — and critical — one for new and
passive investors to achieve. This is what we did in our portfolio i.e. diversified in short, medium and long term
trades. Current situation of our portfolio will be discussed in next topic.
CURRENT SITUATION OF OUR PORTFOLIO:
Subscription was started in November 18, 2017 and we diversified our portfolio in 3 equal parts i.e. short, medium and long term
trades. Let’s look at where we stand today:

OUR TRADES SHORT TERM MID-TERM LONG TERM

33% INVESTED 33% INVESTED 34% INVESTED
NOV-DEC 2017 +170 % OF 33% +30% OF 33% OPEN
(TOTAL 17 TRADES OF 10%) (TOTAL 1 TRADE OF 30%) (ALL TRADES ARE STILL OPEN)

JANUARY 2018 +100 % OF 33% +32% OF 33% OPEN

(TOTAL 10 TRADES OF 10%) (TOTAL 1 TRADE OF 32%) (ALL TRADES ARE STILL OPEN)

FEBRUARY -75 % OF 33% -75% OF 33% OPEN

(TOTAL 2 TRADES ARE OPEN
2018 XVG,VERTCOIN AND BOTH ARE
75% DOWN i.e. XVG from 1110 to
400 and VERTCOIN from 0.00048
to 0.00022)
(TOTAL 1 TRADE IS OPEN
ADA/USDT which is -75% down
i.e. from 0.60 USDT to 0.17 USDT)
(ALL TRADES ARE STILL OPEN
AND IN FLOATING PROFIT. CUR-
RENT FLOATING PROFIT HAS
BEEN DISCUSSED IN NEXT
COLUMN)

MARCH 2018 SAME SAME SAME

1-SIACOIN = -50%
2-ETH = +100%
3- XRP= +550 %
4- NEO= +100%
5- OMG= + 90%
TOTAL NET=170-75 = NET= 30+30- 6 -XVG= +80%

+95 % 75= -15% NET= 300 %

SUMMARY:
• Short term part of portfolio currently sitting at 95% profit which means 33 % of our portfolio still in 95%
profit despite the two short term trades i.e. XVG and VERTCOIN are in loss at the moment.
• Mid Term part of portfolio currently sitting at -15% losses which means 33% of our portfolio is in -15%
losses but the trade is still open and we will hold.
• Long term part of portfolio currently sitting at 300% profit which means 34% of our portfolio is in 300%
profit and all trades except Siacoin are in profit at the moment.
• If we combine short term and long term part of portfolio, it will show that 67% of our portfolio is still in
more than 100% profit/gain.
• Only 33% (Mid term Part) is in -15% loss at the moment.

NOTE: If anyone of you subscribed in December but not have the same portfolio result then it must be your own
mistake which indicates you didn’t follow my suggested pattern of investment.

Those who subscribed in February with 90% discounted price 0.01 btc should wait with patience. It is assured,
that they will get great results at the end of subscription period provided that they follow with discipline.
Conclusive Comments:

After Months of relatively smooth sailing, the crypto currency market finally hit rough water this month. While
the recent drops were the biggest in years, it’s important to put the recent losses in context. The crypto market
has gained ground at a record pace in recent months, which means the recent drops still have it above many of
the new highs it set in 2017.

That may be of little comfort as the value of your portfolio shrinks, but should the market plummet even more
dramatically at some point, this dip will serve as a trial run.
The good news is, the crypto market is resilient, so you’ll make it through this sell-off — and future ones — with a
little patience. Here are three ways to cope with such times.

1. Stay calm — this is normal.

2. Diversify your portfolio like we did.
3. Do not be panicked and avoid revenge/over trading.
Keep in mind, if you hold your coins tight, and keep them safe somewhere in secure wallet you are still in the
game and anytime soon recovery of market will get you back on track even in profits. But, if you lose hope, listen
every new you tuber, and focus on every FUD SPREADER instead of listening to your professional financial advi-
sor, you’ll be left with empty hands at the end.

You are RICH & KING until you have your coins and do not sell them in panic.

I personally have the same portfolio and trades with more than $400k invested in the market. I assure you it will
come back and my money will be doubled or even tripled and this is what I want for all of you as well.
Miscellaneous benefits to subscribers & Our Upcoming Projects:
• Subscribers have got crypto trading course which is highly helpful in learning chart patterns.
• Subscribers have got investment guide which helped and enabled them to diversify their portfolio and kept
them safe from such market crash.
• Subscribers shall have access to their own android app within 2-3 days.
• Subscribers will get the share from our upcoming project i.e. MUTUAL FUND.
• Mutual fund will also be ready to start expectedly on April 3rd, 2018 which will be a good passive income
source for everyone.

PRICE FORECAST OF SOME COINS BASED ON TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

COIN 30TH APRIL, 2018 30TH MAY, 2018 30TH JUNE,2018

BTC $10,000 $15,000 $25,000
ETH $1,000 $1,200 $1,500
XRP $1 $1.5 $2.5
ADA $0.60 $0.90 $1.2
XVG $0.06 $0.10 $0.14
SC $0.03 $0.08 $0.10
OMG $14 $17 $19