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World Sulphur Outlook

The Sulphur Institute


Washington, DC, USA

Donald L. Messick
Vice President, Agricultural Programs
TSI’s Mission
Global advocate for sulphur

Represents all stakeholders producing, buying,


selling, handling, transporting, or adding value
to sulphur

Unified voice for sulphur producers,


consumers, and service providers
•Promotes safe handling, transportation
•Protects the environment
All forms Sulphur Production, by Type
Million tons sulphur equivalent

Most growth in non-voluntary sources: elemental and smelter acid


100
90 ELEMENTAL SOF PYRITES

80 73.1 78.3

70
60
50
51.8
40 48.8
30
20
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Year
Gas-Recovered Sulphur Production
(1000 tons)
2009 2010 2015
Canada 4,412 4,150 3,600
U.S.A 1,190 1,250 1,100
EECA 7,655 8,455 11,600
West Asia 6,894 8,230 13,290
Europe 1,365 1,290 865
China 80 1,070 4,000
Others 928 915 915
Total 22,524 24,860 35,370

Source: Fertecon, 2010


Source: Fertecon, 2010
Oil-Recovered Sulphur Production
(1000 tons)
2009 2010 2015
U.S.A 7,630 7,875 9,400
Europe 3,359 3,230 4,230
West Asia 1,955 1,975 2,905
Asia 7,903 7,600 9,020
-China 1,300 1,540 2,300
-India 1,450 1,600 2,000
Others 2,837 3,110 4,070
Total 22,874 23,790 29,625

Source: Fertecon, 2010


Middle East production grows by
12.6 million tons, 2009-2019
Others Kuwait
• Iran Qatar
Saudi Arabia UAE
25

20
(million tonnes)

15

10

Source: IFA, 2011; BSC, April, 2010


West Asia States’ sulphur export availability
more than doubles, 2009-2019
Others Kuwait Iran Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE

20000

15000
thousand tons

10000

5000

Source: BSC, 2010


North America: +1.6 million tons
Canada USA
20
• Canadian production from
18
gas declines. All growth from
16
oil sands, which increases

million tonnes
14
from 1.6 Mt/y (2009) to 3.0
Mt/y by 2015. 12
10

•Sulphur recovery capacity at 8

US oil refineries increases by 6

~ 2.5 Mt/y by 2013. 4

2
0
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Source: BSC, 2010
US Gulf forming plant capacity now totals
>12,000 t/d.

Company Location Capacity (t/d)

Gulf Sulphur Service Donaldsonville LA 4,000

Gulf Sulphur Service Galveston TX 2,000

Martin Midstream Beaumont TX 4,000

Koch Sulfur Products Beaumont TX 345

Koch Sulfur Products Corpus Christi TX 2,000

And more plants are under study, some at inland locations

Source: ICIS, 2011


FSU: +6.4 million tons
Gas-Recovered Sulphur Production (1000 tons)

Russia Kazakhstan
16 Turkmenistan Uzbekistan
FSU sulphur from gas
14

12
(million tonnes)

10

0
2008

2009

2010
2011
2012

2013

2014

2015

2016
2017

2018

Source: IFA, 2011;BSC, April, 2010 2019


FSU Offshore Exports

Source: Oxbow, 2011


Elemental Sulphur Production
Million tons sulphur
• Strongest growth is in Middle East, FSU and Asia.
• All growth is from involuntary production.
70
North America Middle East FSU East Asia Rest of World
60 12.45
51.9 12.1
12.26
48.6 11.3
50 10.4
10.3 9.6
9.8 9.5 7.2 8.7
40 6 12.4
5.95 6.2 10.3 11.7
10
30 8.9 8.7 10
12.7 13.3 14.3 15.3
20 8.4 9.1 10.2

10 17.1 17 16.9
15.6 15.3 15.5 16.7
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year

Source 2008 and 2009: The Sulphur Institute


Source 2010-2014: British Sulphur Consultants April 2010
Source: Fertecon, 2010
Source: Fertecon, 2010
Sulphur Overview - Uses
Sulphuric Acid

93% of sulphur consumption is as sulphuric acid


7% is consumed as elemental sulphur
Total world acid production in 2010: 200 million
tons, up 9% from 2009
• From elemental: 122 million tons
• From smelters: 64 million tons
• From pyrites: 14 million tons
Nickel Projects Will Create New Demand

Location Sulphur Requirement


(tonnes/year)
Goro, New Caledonia 460,000

Ravensthorpe, Australia 500,000

Ramu River, Papua New Guinea 360,000

Ambatovy, Madagascar 600,000

Moa, Cuba 200,000

Source: ICIS, 2011


Sulphur Consumption
Million tons sulphur equivalent

After two years of decline, fertilizer demand recovers in 2010


Industrial demand impacted by declining global economy; slight recovery in 2010

100
90
Fertilizer Non-Fertilizer
80 70.8 76.4
70
Million Tons Sulphur

60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Year
Sulphur Overview - Uses
Phosphate Fertilizers

• Over 50% of world sulphur demand


• Demand in 2010 increased
• Maaden adding 1.5 Mt/y S demand
• Fertilizer demand growth to come mostly from E.
Asia, L. America and S. Asia
…for someone…
Internationally Traded Sulphur - 2009
Exports Imports
Kuwait
UAE Venz.
3% Oceania
1% Others Morocco
6% Canada 2%
Poland 7% 11%
20%
1% Africa
4%
Others
11%
U.S.
8%
Iran
4%
India
Russia Japan 5%
10% 5%
China Tunisia
5%
43%
Saudi ME
11% 5%
Kaz+FSU
Latin Am.
11%
Mexico W. Europe Europe 8%
U.S. 7% 2%
2% 8%
28.3 million tons

Source: FRC
China Sulphur Imports by Origin
Total
12
N.America
E.Asia
10 Mideast
Million Tons Per Year

Declining trend from N. America (22% of the


8 total in 2010) more than offset by increases
from Mideast (42% of the total); Asia and
FSU account for 20% and 16%, respectively
6

0
1995 1997 2000 2002 2005 2007 2009 2010
* Projection

Source: China Sulphuric Acid Industry Association


Sulphur: An Advantaged Element
• Essential for protein in
humans, animals and plants
• Valuable raw material for
making wide variety of
products in everyday life
• Natural element in air, water
and land
• Valuable: plant nutrient
• Valuable soil amendment
• Valuable component of select
construction materials
Sulphur Deficit and Requirement:
Global
Sulphur - fourth major plant Plant Nutrient Sulphur
nutrient Requirement and Deficit (Mt)
Required in similar amounts 30
as P, about 20.6 million tons 25 Crop Requirement

M illio n T o n s S u lp h u r
S in 2005. Fertilizer Applied
20
2015 Deficit = 12.5 Million Tons
15
About 10 million tons S 10
applied as a fertilizer 5
worldwide 0
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2010 2015
Total S fertilizer market Year

potential for 10.6 million tons


S today
12.5 million tons by 2015,
primarily in Asia and the
Americas.
Regional Plant Nutrient Sulphur Deficit
Worldwide
2005 2015
7 6.7

6
5.4
5
Asia has the largest regional
Million Tons Per Year

deficit around the world with


4 India and China in the lead
3 2.6
2.1
2 1.6
2 1.5 1.5
1.3 1.3
1 0.8
1 0.7 0.74 0.44
0.36
0
Asia China India Africa North Latin Western Eastern
America America Europe Europe
Sulphur Fertilizers: New Ground
for Fertilizer Industry
 Traditional S fertilizer
production will not meet the
increasing demand for sulphur
in agriculture.

 Sulphur fertilizers and their use


provides potential market of 9.6
million tons of sulphur
consumption annually,
benefiting the industry.

 Fertilizer producers need to


address this market potential
Sulphur World Symposium 2012
Mark your calendars now!

The Premier Sulphur Industry Event will be in


Antwerp, Belgium – April 23-25, 2012 for:

• Two days of networking with top industry players


• Insightful speakers on key topics
• A Sulphur Education Session for those new to
the industry

Visit www.sulphurinstitute.org for updates!


TSI Member Companies
BP Products North America, Inc. Mitsubishi Corporation
California Sulphur Company Mitsui & Co. (U.S.A.), Inc.
Chemical Initiatives Mosaic Fertilizer LLC
Chemtrade Aglobis Oxbow Carbon
Citis SA PotashCorp
ConocoPhillips Company Primary Resources Inc.
Con-Sul, Inc. PRISM Sulphur Corporation
CoreSulphur SaeKwang Chemical Ind. Co. Ltd.
Crescent Technology Inc. Sandvik Process Systems
Devco USA LLC Savage Services Corporation
Enersul Inc. Schiber Truck Company
Etihad Railway Shell Sulphur Solutions
ExxonMobil Oil Corporation Sino-Chem Fertilizer Company Ltd.
Franz Fischer Spedition GmbH solvadis GmbH
GATX Sultran Ltd.
H.J. Baker & Bro., Inc. Tasweeq – Qatar International Petroleum
Importadora Santa Alicia Ltda. (ISA) Marketing Company Ltd.
Interacid Trading S.A. Tessenderlo Kerley, Inc.
Inter-Chem Transammonia, Inc.
Jupiter Sulphur L.L.C. Union Tank Car Company
Koch Sulfur Products Company LLC Uralchem
Marsulex, Inc. Valero Marketing and Supply Company
Martin Operating Partnership, L.P. Zwaans van der Heuvel Tankvaart BV

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