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These latter examples suggest that to use the modern word “nobil-
ity” for this group gives much too restricted an impression of their
number. In the entourage sent to the Vandal wedding, they formed
one fifth of its military manpower, the rest being armed servants. If
these proportions were sustained throughout Theoderic’s following,
which, as we have seen, probably numbered at least 20,000 fighting
men by the time he reached Italy, then upwards of 4,000 individu-
als fell into this category. I have argued elsewhere that this group
might be equated in legal terms with the freemen class mentioned
in some contemporary law codes (as we shall see, for ideological rea-
sons Theoderic never issued a law code), and the subordinate class
of fighting servants, again found in other contemporary Germanic
groups, perhaps with freedmen. Other evidence from the fifth and
sixth centuries suggests that this kind of social structure may have
been reasonably general in Germanic society of the period. Note,
for example, Codex Theodosianus, where foederati recruited into the
Roman army are expected to have fighting servants;43 this probably
refers to Gothic survivors of Radagaisus’ attack on Italy in 405/6,
who were recruited into the Roman army by Stilicho. Procopius like-
wise describes a sixth-century Lombard military contingent as con-
sisting of 2,500 “good” fighting men and “3,000” fighting servants.44
More generally, studies framed from a variety of perspectives have
begun to suggest that, while there were certainly richer and poorer,
greater and lesser landowners among the Germanic elites of the early
middle ages, nonetheless political power and participation was much
more widely spread than it was to be in and from the Carolingian
period, when the effects of manorialisation transformed social struc-
tures, producing a smaller, more tightly defined and much more
dominant socio-political elite.45 This suggests a compromise between
nineteenth-century romantic and nationalistic visions of Germanic
groups of the Migration Period, composed entirely of free and equal
freemen, and the much more restrictive social models constructed in
43
Codex Theodosianus 7,13,16, ed. T. Mommsen and P.M. Meyer (3rd edn., Berlin
1962).
44
Procopius, Wars 8,26,12.
45
See e.g. G. Halsall, Settlement and Social Organization. The Merovingian Region of
Metz (Cambridge 1995) (Franks); R. Faith, The English Peasantry and the Growth of
Lordship (Leicester 1997) (Anglo-Saxons); more generally, C. Wickham, “Problems
of comparing rural societies in early medieval western Europe”, Transactions of the
Royal Historical Society 6th series 2 (1992) pp. 221–46.
99
46
Examples of such men are known from the Balkans (Anstat, Invila, and Soas:
Jordanes, Getica 56,285; Malchus, Fragmenta 20) as well as in Italy (the well-known
Pitzas and Tuluin), where Theoderic never again led his armies personally on cam-
paign after the defeat of Odovacar.
47
Procopius, Wars 7,7,26–37.
48
Ibid. 8,23,29 ff.; 24,3.
100
49
See, in more detail, Heather, Goths and Romans, pt. 3.
50
Attila was able to do the same thing largely from beyond the frontier by
extracting Roman wealth in the form of tribute payments to sustain his Empire.
101
peared and Zeno’s guides led the Amal straight into a confrontation
with Strabo somewhere in the Haemus Mountains, not south of them
in the environs of Hadrianople. One can only agree with the Amal’s
subsequent complaints to Zeno. He had clearly been deliberately
misled into a trap, to try to force him to fight Strabo on his own.
Zeno’s Gothic policy was duplicitous in the extreme. Rather than
favouring the Amal over his Thracian namesake, what the emperor
really wanted was for the two Gothic groups to fight each other and
inflict mutually significant casualties. The East Romans would then
have been in position to exert their military strength to solve the
Gothic problem once and for all.51 As well as the positive factor that
was Roman wealth, therefore, we must also take into account the
negative factor represented by Roman military power. The two Gothic
groups were playing a dangerous game in the Balkans in the 470s
and 480s. They were using their own military capacities to convince
the Constantinopolitan authorities to pay one of them rather than
the other. The Romans, of course, were always likely to get fed up
with these demands for money with menaces and to take appropri-
ate counteraction, as Zeno was attempting to do in 478.
In these circumstances, it made extremely good sense, if it could
be arranged, for the two Gothic groups to cease to compete with
one another, and to work as one unit. The great obstacle to such
an outcome, of course, was the fact that each group had its own
leadership. While the rank and file could (and did) swap sides,
the same was not true of the Pannonians’ and Thracians’ ruling
dynasties who would have found it difficult if not impossible to
occupy a subordinate position under a former rival, having once
been an independent king; nor, indeed, would their rival have tol-
erated them. They were committed to continuing rivalry, therefore,
but the danger posed by the Roman state made unification a much
more beneficial outcome for their followers. These factors, it seems
to me, dictated the means by which the situation was resolved. The
power of the Roman state meant it was better for the Goths to be
united, but also meant that a head-on confrontation between the
two leaderships was impossible; from 478 onwards, all were well
aware that only the Romans could gain from the casualties this would
51
Malchus, Fragmenta 18,1–3, with the commentary of Heather, Goths and Romans,
pp. 282–6.
102
52
In more detail, with full references, Heather, Goths and Romans, c. 9.
103
with which they were extremely familiar. In the summer of 488, this
had to be compared to the perils and uncertainties of a huge trek
to Italy, part of it through substantially hostile territory. On the jour-
ney, Theoderic’s followers confronted both Sarmatians and Gepids.
The final achievement of an advantageous outcome in Italy would
also depend upon waging successful warfare upon Odovacar and his
army, which had just proved itself so successful in campaigning
against the Rugi, whose refugees had just attached themselves to
Theoderic’s forces. Some Goths, indeed, but clearly only a minor-
ity, took this option, preferring to remain in the Balkans and the
Roman army rather than following the Amal to Italy.53 Given the
uncertainties of the Italian expedition, why was this such a minor-
ity option?
No doubt much freeman decision calculation took the form of
weighing up possible and probable material advantages in Italy and
the Balkans, and the Roman option had the immediate disadvan-
tage that the imperial throne was currently occupied by Zeno. The
emperor was in origin an Isaurian military commander who had
been lifted to prominence as a deliberate counterweight to Aspar
and his Gothic military supporters.54 The current climate in Constan-
tinople may well not have been very attractive, therefore, for large
numbers of the Thracians. Nonetheless, the fact remains that most
of the Goths chose the option which promised best to preserve their
political autonomy as a distinct, Gothic political unit, rather than
disappear back inside, as it were, the East Roman military estab-
lishment. It is quite possible, therefore, that this also played a major
part in the decision-making processes of Thracian and Pannonian
freemen in the summer of 488, especially as they contemplated the
hazards and highly uncertain outcome of the proposed trek to Italy.
Given the nature of the source material, this thought is not sus-
ceptible to proper proof, and, to that extent, should not be pressed.
It is very important, however, not to collapse the range of options
that one allows to remain in play. The sources do not allow us to
53
See above note 5. The story of the trek is well told in Wolfram, Goths, pp.
279–81.
54
The story is very fully told in E.R. Brooks, “The Emperor Zenon and the
Isaurians”, English Historical Review 8 (1893) pp. 209–38, but the anachronistic nation-
alistic assumption that all Goths and all Isaurians would side naturally with one
another sometimes distorts his analysis.
104
55
See above on the evidence for the Thracian Goths prior to the revolt of 470.
Amory, People and Identity, c. 8, has recently argued that East Roman military cul-
ture in the Balkans was such a composite that no genuine and operative sense of
Gothic identity could have survived. He is surely right to see the Balkans as a melt-
ing pot to a considerable extent, but his argument does nothing to counter the
specific evidence in Malchus, John of Antioch and Malalas that, prior to the arrival
of the Amal-led Goths in 473/4, there was already a large and distinct body of
Gothic foederati established in Thrace.
56
General account: Heather, The Goths, cc. 2–3. It sometimes goes unnoticed that
contemporary Graeco-Roman sources (not just Jordanes’ Getica) provide strong sup-
port for the operation of migratory processes of some kind from the Baltic to the
Black Seas in the third century.
57
For a recent survey of the Hunnic revolution, see Heather, The Goths, pt. 2.
105
58
For an introduction to myth in this sense, see e.g. A.D. Smith, The Ethnic
Origins of Nations (Oxford 1986) c. 1.
59
Jordanes in mid-sixth century would appear to have heard similar stories about
the deep Gothic past as those collected by the mysterious Ablabius, who was cer-
tainly working somewhere in the west (quite probably in Visigothic Gaul) in the
later fifth or very early sixth centuries: Getica 4,28–9, with Heather, Goths and Romans,
p. 328.
60
It is very striking that such a categorization of society later replaced Roman
social models among the successor states: see further P.J. Heather, “State, Lordship
and Community in the West (c. A.D. 400–600)”, Cambridge Ancient History 14 (2nd
edn., 2000) pp. 437–68, here pp. 461 ff.
106
61
Ammianus Marcellinus, Res Gestae 31,2,25.
107
62
Although the available figures suggest that Alaric’s newly united Visigoths may
have been similar in order of magnitude: Heather, Goths and Romans, pp. 213–4
(commenting on passages in Zosimus and Photius’ summary of Olympiodorus of
Thebes; these figures are highly problematic).
63
The fundamental problem which confronted Alaric as he sat in only tempo-
rary control of events outside the city of Rome in these years, and recognition of
which on both sides underpinned the eventual peace deal between the Romans and
Alaric’s successors Vallia and Theoderic I: Heather, Goths and Romans, c. 6.