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INTRODUCTORY
THE PROBLEM
The thesis of this study will be that it is the victim of the vengeance
of the jealous god, Evolution, in this case the evolution of scientific
theory. In the present chapter it is not proposed to present an account
either of what has evolved or of what it has evolved into; all that will
come later. It is necessary to preface this with a tentative statement of
the problem, and an outline of some general considerations relevant to
the way the present task is to be undertaken, and how the present
study should be judged.
There is, more often implicit than explicit, a deep-rooted view that
the progress of scientific knowledge consists essentially in the
cumulative piling up of "discoveries" of "fact." Knowledge is held to
be an entirely quantitative affair. The one important thing is to have
observed what had not been observed before. Theory, according to
this view, would consist only in generalisation from known facts, in
she sense of what general statements the known body of fact would
justify. Development of theory would consist entirely in the process
of modification of these general statements to take account of new
discoveries of fact. Above all, the process of discovery of fact is held
to be essentially independent of the existing body of "theory," to be
the result of some such impulse as "idle curiosity."
But, in the first place, it will be noted that the word "important "
used above was italicised. What does an important change in our
knowledge of fact mean in this context? Not that the new facts are
vaguely "interesting," that they satisfy "idle curiosity, " or that they
demonstrate the goodness of God. But the scientific importance of a
change in knowledge of fact consists precisely in j its having
consequences for a system of theory. A scientifically unimportant
discovery is one which, however true and however interesting for
other reasons, has no consequences for a system of theory with which
scientists in that field are concerned. Conversely, even the most trivial
observation from any other point of new - a very small deviation of
the observed from the calculated position of a star, for instance - may
be not only important but of revolutionary importance, if its logical
consequences for the structure of theory are far-reaching. It is
probably safe to say that all the changes of factual knowledge which
have led to the relativity theory, resulting in a very great theoretical
development, are completely trivial from any point of view except
their relevance to the structure of a theoretical system. They have not,
for instance, affected in any way the practice of engineering or
navigation.
This matter of the importance of facts is, however, only one part of
the picture. A theoretical system does not merely state facts which
have been observed and that logically deducible relations to other
facts which have also been observed. In so far as such a theory is
empirically correct it will also tell us what empirical facts it should be
possible to observe in a given set of circumstances. It is the most
elementary rule of scientific integrity that the formulator of a
theoretical proposition must take into account all the relevant known
facts accessible to him. This process of verification, fundamental to
science, does not consist merely in reconsideration of this
applicability to known facts by others than the original formulator of
the theory, and then simply waiting for new facts to turn up. It
consists in deliberately investigating phenomena with the
expectations derived from the theory in mind and seeing whether or
not the facts actually found agree with these expectations.
In so far as the expectations from the theory agree with the facts
found, making allowance for "errors of observation," etc., the theory
is "verified." But the significance of the process of verification is by
no means confined to this. If this does not happen, as is often so,
either the facts may be found to disagree with the theoretical
expectations, or other facts may be found which have no place in the
theoretical system. Either result necessitates critical reconsideration of
the system itself. There is, then, a reciprocal process: direction, by the
expectations derived from a system of theory, toward fields of factual
investigation, then reaction of the results of this investigation on the
theory.
Finally, verification in this sense is not the only important relation
of a theoretical system to the direction of empirical investigation. Not
only are specific theoretical propositions which have been directly
formulated with definite matters of fact in view subject to
verification. But further, a theoretical system built up upon
observations of fact will be found, as its implications are
progressively worked out, to have logical consequences for fields of
fact with which its original formulators were not directly concerned.
If certain things in one field are true, then other things in another,
related field must also be true. These implications also are subject to
verification, which in this case takes the form of finding out what are
the facts in this field. The results of this investigation may have the
same kind of reaction on the theoretical system itself.
From all this it follows what the general character of the problem of
the development of a body of scientific knowledge is, in so far as it
depends on elements internal to science itself. It is that of increasing
knowledge of empirical fact, intimately combined with changing
interpretations of this body of fact - hence changing general
statements about it - and, not least, a changing a structure of the
theoretical system. Special emphasis should be laid on this intimate
interrelation of general statements about empirical fact with the
logical elements and structure of theoretical systems.
RESIDUAL CATEGORIES
Two or three further preliminary questions should be taken up so as
not to leave the reader in doubt on some matters that are bound to
arise in his mind. In the first place, one further conclusion about the
character of scientific development follows from the position already
taken. It is possible to have scattered and unintegrated bits of
knowledge`, and to assent to the "truth" of further scattered bits as
they are called to one's attention. This type of knowledge does not,
however, constitute "science " in the sense in which this study is
interested in it.
If, as is almost always the case, not all the actually observable facts
of the field, or those which have been observed, fit into the sharply,
positively defined categories, they tend to be given one or more
blanket names which refer to categories negatively defined, that is, of
facts known to exist, which are even more or less adequately
described, but are defined theoretically by their failure to fit into the
positively defined categories of the system. The only theoretically
significant statements that can be made about these facts are negative
statements - they are not so and so. But it is not to be inferred that
because these statements are negative they are therefore unimportant.
Further Reading:
Biography | Vilfredo Pareto | Max Weber | Levi-Strauss | Louis
Althusser | Jakobson