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10000.

1000.0

100.0

10.0

1.0
1.0 10.0 100.0
NASH
3000.0

2500.0

2000.0

f(x) = - 333.1037593089x + 313.4688359702


1500.0

1000.0

500.0

0.0
-5.0000 -4.0000 -3.0000 -2.0000 -1.0000 0.0000 1.0000 2.0000
En la siguiente tabla se presentan los gastos máximos anuales registrados

en la estación hidrométrica La Cuña, en el Río Verde, Estado de Jalisco.

Año Mes Día Gasto (m3/s)


1973 Ago 16 2440.0
1991 Ago 17 1636.3
1967 Sep 7 1474.9
1976 Jul 14 1374.0
1992 Ago 10 1168.0
2004 Sep 29 824.5
1947 Sep 12 784.0
1970 Sep 29 763.8
1965 Ago 5 743.6
1948 Jul 20 736.8
1963 Jul 29 732.6
1986 Jun 14 698.2
1955 Ago 18 690.0
1958 Jul 24 690.0
1975 Ago 13 622.1
2003 Sep 8 621.1
1988 Jul 23 595.2
1971 Ago 15 578.0
1990 Ago 17 523.9
1949 Jul 16 510.0
1984 Jul 17 501.2
1966 Ago 30 463.9
1950 Jul 6 461.0
1983 Jul 4 455.5
1977 Jul 12 439.7
1951 Jun 27 411.0
1985 Jul 28 385.0
1995 Sep 2 367.4
1961 Jul 7 350.0
1953 Sep 1 349.8
1959 Jul 27 340.6
1952 Sep 17 326.0
1968 Sep 7 323.0
2002 Ago 19 319.6
1962 Sep 13 317.0
2001 Sep 3 313.8
1993 Oct 15 295.0
1980 Ago 19 287.3
1981 Jun 22 280.7
1978 Sep 15 280.2
1979 Sep 14 267.7
1956 Jul 17 266.0
1964 Sep 22 265.1
1998 Sep 15 261.9
1960 Ago 21 249.6
1974 Jul 12 238.4
1994 Sep 3 212.8
1957 Sep 21 199.0
1999 Sep 10 196.3
1972 Sep 23 191.8
1987 Jul 27 184.7
1969 Jul 15 160.4
1982 Jul 21 156.5
1996 Oct 10 144.6
1954 Jun 29 130.4
1989 Ago 7 110.2
1997 Jun 27 78.4
2000 Jun 15 46.8

Media 497.161
Desviación 421.010
Asimetria 2.478135917
anuales registrados

Estado de Jalisco.
Weibull

m Tr = (n+1)/m F(X)= Tr - 1/ Tr F.D.P. E.1.P F.D.P. E.2.P z F.D.P. N.


1 59.0 0.9831 2027 1793 2.121 1390
2 29.5 0.9661 1683 1501 1.826 1266
3 19.7 0.9492 1481 1330 1.637 1186
4 14.8 0.9322 1338 1209 1.492 1125
5 11.8 0.9153 1227 1115 1.374 1076
6 9.8 0.8983 1136 1038 1.272 1033
7 8.4 0.8814 1060 974 1.182 995
8 7.4 0.8644 993 917 1.1 960
9 6.6 0.8475 935 868 1.026 929
10 5.9 0.8305 882 823 0.956 900
11 5.4 0.8136 835 783 0.891 872
12 4.9 0.7966 792 747 0.83 846
13 4.5 0.7797 752 713 0.771 822
14 4.2 0.7627 715 682 0.715 798
15 3.9 0.7458 681 653 0.661 776
16 3.7 0.7288 649 626 0.609 754
17 3.5 0.7119 619 600 0.559 732
18 3.3 0.6949 590 576 0.51 712
19 3.1 0.6780 563 553 0.462 692
20 3.0 0.6610 538 532 0.415 672
21 2.8 0.6441 514 511 0.369 653
22 2.7 0.6271 490 491 0.324 634
23 2.6 0.6102 468 473 0.28 615
24 2.5 0.5932 447 455 0.236 596
25 2.4 0.5763 427 438 0.192 578
26 2.3 0.5593 407 421 0.149 560
27 2.2 0.5424 389 405 0.106 542
28 2.1 0.5254 371 390 0.064 524
29 2.0 0.5085 353 375 0.021 506
30 2.0 0.4915 336 361 -0.02 488
31 1.9 0.4746 320 347 -0.06 470
32 1.8 0.4576 304 334 -0.11 452
33 1.8 0.4407 289 321 -0.15 434
34 1.7 0.4237 274 308 -0.19 416
35 1.7 0.4068 260 296 -0.24 398
36 1.6 0.3898 246 284 -0.28 379
37 1.6 0.3729 232 273 -0.32 361
38 1.6 0.3559 219 261 -0.37 342
39 1.5 0.3390 206 250 -0.42 322
40 1.5 0.3220 193 240 -0.46 303
41 1.4 0.3051 181 229 -0.51 283
42 1.4 0.2881 169 219 -0.56 262
43 1.4 0.2712 157 209 -0.61 241
44 1.3 0.2542 146 200 -0.66 219
45 1.3 0.2373 135 190 -0.72 196
46 1.3 0.2203 124 181 -0.77 173
47 1.3 0.2034 113 172 -0.83 148
48 1.2 0.1864 103 163 -0.89 122
49 1.2 0.1695 92 154 -0.96 95
50 1.2 0.1525 82 146 -1.03 65
51 1.2 0.1356 72 137 -1.1 34
52 1.1 0.1186 63 129 -1.18 0
53 1.1 0.1017 53 121 -1.27
54 1.1 0.0847 44 113 -1.37
55 1.1 0.0678 35 106 -1.49
56 1.1 0.0508 26 98 -1.64
57 1.0 0.0339 17 91 -1.83
58 1.0 0.0169 8 83 -2.12

alfa 76.151 MEDIA LN


beta 421.010 DESV LN
ASIMETRIA LN
Ln-gastos F.D.P. Log N. y F.D.P. Gamma 2.P. y F.D.P. Gamma 3.P. y
7.80 1827 5.0994 1818 2.850815666 1645 812.8901394
7.40 1469 4.3388 1547 2.24991294 1331 804.4050849
7.30 1276 3.8886 1386 1.906645407 1152 798.9795015
7.23 1147 3.5662 1271 1.667788664 1027 794.8682855
7.06 1051 3.3140 1182 1.485725961 932 791.5005219
6.71 974 3.1065 1108 1.339379773 856 788.614073
6.66 911 2.9298 1045 1.21756494 793 786.0656544
6.64 858 2.7757 990 1.113635116 738 783.7679338
6.61 812 2.6390 941 1.023320725 691 781.6635206
6.60 771 2.5158 897 0.943717441 650 779.7125498
6.60 735 2.4038 857 0.872760973 613 777.8861203
6.55 702 2.3009 820 0.808932176 579 776.162551
6.54 672 2.2057 786 0.751081063 549 774.5251146
6.54 645 2.1170 755 0.698316485 522 772.9605972
6.43 620 2.0339 725 0.649934132 496 771.4583464
6.43 597 1.9557 697 0.605367917 473 770.00962
6.39 575 1.8819 671 0.564156201 452 768.607129
6.36 554 1.8118 646 0.525917723 432 767.2447071
6.26 535 1.7451 622 0.490334091 413 765.9170675
6.23 517 1.6815 599 0.457136787 396 764.6196199
6.22 500 1.6205 578 0.426097359 380 763.3483307
6.14 483 1.5621 557 0.397019919 364 762.0996135
6.13 467 1.5058 537 0.369735313 350 760.8702426
6.12 453 1.4516 518 0.344096541 337 759.6572835
6.09 438 1.3993 499 0.319975124 324 758.4580357
6.02 424 1.3487 481 0.297258179 312 757.2699848
5.95 411 1.2996 463 0.275846059 301 756.090762
5.91 398 1.2520 446 0.255650423 291 754.9181089
5.86 386 1.2057 430 0.236592646 281 753.7498454
5.86 374 1.1606 414 0.218602501 271 752.5838412
5.83 363 1.1166 398 0.201617063 263 751.4179879
5.79 351 1.0737 383 0.185579784 254 750.2501727
5.78 340 1.0318 368 0.170439718 246 749.078251
5.77 330 0.9907 353 0.156150855 239 747.9000183
5.76 319 0.9505 339 0.142671562 232 746.7131803
5.75 309 0.9110 325 0.129964096 225 745.5153187
5.69 299 0.8722 311 0.117994195 219 744.3038539
5.66 289 0.8340 297 0.106730713 213 743.0759996
5.64 279 0.7964 284 0.096145313 208 741.8287112
5.64 270 0.7593 271 0.086212196 202 740.5586206
5.59 261 0.7227 258 0.076907867 198 739.2619575
5.58 251 0.6865 245 0.068210928 193 737.9344498
5.58 242 0.6507 232 0.060101899 189 736.5711956
5.57 233 0.6151 219 0.05256306 185 735.1664975
5.52 224 0.5798 207 0.045578312 181 733.7136415
5.47 215 0.5446 194 0.039133057 178 732.2045983
5.36 206 0.5096 182 0.033214087 175 730.6296097
5.29 196 0.4746 169 0.027809495 172 728.9766009
5.28 187 0.4395 157 0.022908589 169 727.2303224
5.26 178 0.4042 144 0.018501822 167 725.3710538
5.22 168 0.3686 131 0.014580727 165 723.372567
5.08 158 0.3326 119 0.011137864 163 721.1987688
5.05 148 0.2959 105 0.00816677 162 718.7978261
4.97 137 0.2582 92 0.005661923 160 716.0910754
4.87 126 0.2192 78 0.003618704 159 712.9498472
4.70 113 0.1781 63 0.002033372 158 709.1395919
4.36 98 0.1335 48 0.000903041 158 704.1518331
3.85 79 0.0824 29 0.000225658 157 696.4428279

5.94 alfa 356.5235530525 alfa 1 521.6602026145 alfa 1


0.7402349946 beta 1.3944684939 beta 1 0.6513429952 beta 1
-0.072851429 n 3.000000 delta 1 157.3811432116 delta 1
n 1 n
beta alfa
-333.1 313.47

F.D.P. LOG-
PEARSON III F.D.P.GUMBEL LnLn(Tr / Tr -1) NASH
1876 1761 -4.0690 1669
1492 1509 -3.3672 1435
1289 1360 -2.9529 1297
1154 1253 -2.6563 1198
1054 1170 -2.4241 1121
975 1101 -2.2326 1057
910 1042 -2.0691 1003
855 991 -1.9261 955
808 945 -1.7987 913
767 904 -1.6835 874
730 866 -1.5782 839
697 831 -1.4811 807
667 799 -1.3907 777
639 768 -1.3061 749
614 740 -1.2264 722
590 713 -1.1509 697
568 687 -1.0792 673
548 662 -1.0107 650
529 639 -0.9451 628
510 616 -0.8819 607
493 594 -0.8211 587
477 573 -0.7622 567
461 552 -0.7052 548
447 532 -0.6497 530
432 513 -0.5957 512
419 494 -0.5430 494
406 476 -0.4913 477
393 457 -0.4408 460
381 440 -0.3911 444
369 422 -0.3422 427
358 405 -0.2939 411
347 388 -0.2463 396
336 371 -0.1991 380
325 354 -0.1524 364
315 337 -0.1059 349
305 321 -0.0597 333
295 304 -0.0136 318
286 287 0.0325 303
276 271 0.0786 287
267 254 0.1250 272
258 237 0.1716 256
249 221 0.2186 241
240 203 0.2662 225
231 186 0.3144 209
222 169 0.3636 192
213 150 0.4138 176
204 132 0.4654 158
195 113 0.5186 141
186 93 0.5738 122
177 72 0.6314 103
168 50 0.6922 83
158 27 0.7569 61
148 2 0.8267 38
138 0.9034 13
127 0.9900
114 1.0916
100 1.2192
81 1.4055

0.0269635887 Mu y 0.5514
753.674528376 Sigma y 1.1721
-14.381530727 alfa 0.0027840183
1507 beta 299.1018196335

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