Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
SUPPLEMENT
by Paul H. Johnson, Jr., PhD.
Last Modified: January 2014
Contents
PREFACE iv
AUTHOR BACKGROUND vi
3 INSURANCE BENEFITS I 36
3.1 Key Concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
3.2 Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
3.3 Past Exam Questions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
5 ANNUITIES I 81
5.1 Key Concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81
5.2 Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93
5.3 Past Exam Questions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103
9 RESERVES I 158
9.1 Key Concepts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158
9.2 Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170
9.3 Past Exam Questions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179
17 REFERENCES 320
18 APPENDIX 321
18.1 APPENDIX A: EXAM SYLLABI, EXAM TABLES,
AND PAST EXAM QUESTIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321
18.2 APPENDIX B: MULTI-STATE MODEL EXAMPLES
(Exam MLC Only) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321
iv
PREFACE
Once the exercises in this study supplement have been mastered, the can-
didate can refer to the listing of past Exam MLC and Exam 3L questions
at the end of each section for a more advanced test of the candidate’s un-
derstanding of the material. Web links to past Exam MLC and Exam 3L
questions can be found in Appendix A of this study supplement. Also, some
Exam MLC exercises in this study supplement will utilize “Multi-State Model
Examples”from Dickson et al; these figures are provided in Appendix B of
this study supplement.
v
Regards:
AUTHOR BACKGROUND
• Fx (t) = t qx = P r(Tx ≤ t)
This is the cumulative distribution function of Tx , “the probability that
(x) dies within t years.” The q-notation will be used most of the time.
F0 (t) can also be written more simply as F (t).
• From above: t qx + t px = 1.
“(x) will either survive or die within t years.”
• S0 (x + t) = S0 (x)t px
“The probability that (0) survives x + t years is equivalent to (0) first
surviving x years to age x, and then surviving t additional years to age
x + t.”
Force of Mortality:
Rt
• t qx = 0 s px µx+s ds
R∞
• t px = t s px µx+s ds
R u+t
• u|t qx = u s px µx+s ds
• k+1 qx = 0| qx + 1| qx + ... + k| qx
“The probability that (x) dies within k + 1 years is the sum of the
probabilities that (x) dies in the first year, the second year, ..., the (k +
1)st year.”
This is the complete expectation of life for (x), the average time-until-
death for (x). That is, (x) is expected to die at age x + e̊x .
R∞
• V ar(Tx ) = E(Tx2 ) - [E(Tx )]2 = 2 0 tt px dt - [e̊x ]2
Rn
• e̊x:n = E[min(Tx , n)] = 0 t px dt
This is the n-year temporary complete life expectancy for (x), the aver-
age number of years out of the next n years that (x) survives.
“The average number of future years that (x) survives is the average
number of years out of the first n years that (x) survives plus the average
number of years (x) survives after the first n years (accounting for the
probability that (x) survives the first n years).”
Similarly: e̊x:m+n = e̊x:m + m px e̊x+m:n .
πα q x = α for 0 ≤ α ≤ 1.
Special case: α = 0.50; π.50 is called the median future lifetime for (x).
P∞ P∞
• ex = E(Kx ) = k=0 k(k| qx ) = k=1 k px
This is the curtate expectation of life for (x), the average curtate future
lifetime for (x).
1
• e̊x ≈ ex + 2
P∞
• V ar(Kx ) = E(Kx2 ) - [E(Kx )]2 = k=1 (2k − 1)k px - [ex ]2
Pn
• ex:n = E[min(Kx , n)] = k=1 k px
1
• µx = ω−x (Note: x 6= ω)
ω−x
• S0 (x) = ω
x
• F0 (x) = ω
ω−x−t
• t px = ω−x
t
• t qx = ω−x
t
• u|t qx = ω−x
1
• fx (t) = t px µx+t = ω−x (Note: x 6= ω)
ω−x
• e̊x = 2
n
• e̊x:n = nn px + 2 n qx
“(x) can either survive n years with probability n px , or die within n years
with probability n qx . Surviving n years contributes n to the expectation.
Dying within n years contributes n2 to the expectation as future lifetime
has a uniform distribution - (x), on average, would die halfway through
the n-year period.”
(ω−x)2
• V ar(Tx ) = 12
ω−x−1
• ex = 2
(ω−x)2 1
• V ar(Kx ) = 12 - 12
α
• µx = ω−x (Note: x 6= ω)
¡ ω−x ¢α
• S0 (x) = ω
¡ ¢α
• F0 (x) = 1 - ω−x ω
¡ ω−x−t ¢α
• t px = ω−x
¡ ¢α
• t qx = 1 - ω−x−t
ω−x
¡ t ¢α
Note: t qx 6= ω−x .
ω−x
• e̊x = α+1
α(ω−x)2
• V ar(Tx ) = (α+1)2 (α+2)
• µx = µ
• S0 (x) = e−µx
• F0 (x) = 1 - e−µx
• t px = e−µt = (px )t
• t qx = 1 - e−µt
1
• e̊x = µ
1−e−µn
• e̊x:n = µ
1
• V ar(Tx ) = µ2
px
• ex = qx
px
• V ar(Kx ) = (qx )2
Note1: A constant force of mortality implies that “age does not matter.”
This can easily be seen from t px = e−µt ; x does not appear on the right-
hand side.
Gompertz’s Law:
Makeham’s Law:
Life Tables:
• lω = 0.
The Illustrative Life Table is the life table that is provided to the candidate
taking Exam MLC or Exam LC. Some questions from either exam will involve
Illustrative Life Table calculations. A web link to this table (and ALL exam
tables) is provided for each exam in Appendix A of this study supplement.
Life Tables are usually defined for integer ages x and integer times t. For
a quantity that involves fractional ages and/or fractional times, one has to
make an assumption about the survival distribution between integer ages;
that is, one has to interpolate the value of the quantity within each year of
age. Two common interpolation assumptions follow.
Uniform Distribution of Deaths (UDD):
One linearly interpolates within each year of age. For integer age x and 0
≤ s ≤ s + t ≤ 1:
• s qx = sqx
• s px = 1 - sqx
qx
• µx+s = 1−sqx (does not hold at s = 1)
1
• e̊x = ex + 2
1
• V ar(Tx ) = V ar(Kx ) + 12
• s px = psx
• s qx = 1 - psx
• s qx+t = 1 - psx
1.2 Exercises
1.1. Suppose: F0 (t) = 1 - (1 + 0.00026t2 )−1 for t ≥ 0.
Calculate the probability that (30) dies between ages 35 and 40.
(A) 0.056 (B) 0.058 (C) 0.060 (D) 0.062 (E) 0.064
10,000−x2
1.2. You are given: s(x) = 10,000 for 0 ≤ x ≤ 100.
Calculate: q49 .
(A) 0.009 (B) 0.011 (C) 0.013 (D) 0.015 (E) 0.017
1.3. Consider a population of newborns (lives aged 0). Each newborn has
mortality such that:
x2 2x
S0 (x) = ω2 - ω + 1 for 0 ≤ x ≤ ω.
It is assumed that ω varies among newborns, and is a random variable
with a uniform distribution between ages 95 and 105.
Calculate the probability that a random newborn survives to age 18.
(A) 0.66 (B) 0.67 (C) 0.68 (D) 0.69 (E) 0.70
2
t
1.4. Suppose: S0 (t) = exp[− 2500 ] for t ≥ 0.
Calculate the force of mortality at age 45.
(A) 0.036 (B) 0.039 (C) 0.042 (D) 0.045 (E) 0.048
1.5. The probability density function of the future lifetime of a brand new
3
machine is: f (x) = 4x
27c for 0 ≤ x ≤ c.
Calculate: µ(1.1).
(A) 0.06 (B) 0.07 (C) 0.08 (D) 0.09 (E) 0.10
(i) The probability that (30) will die within 30 years is 0.10.
(ii) The probability that (40) will survive to at least age 45 and that another
(45) will die by age 60 is 0.077638.
(iii) The probability that two lives age 30 will both die within 10 years is
0.000096.
(iv) All lives are independent and have the same expected mortality.
(A) 0.90 (B) 0.91 (C) 0.92 (D) 0.93 (E) 0.94
Calculate: q50 .
(A) 0.028 (B) 0.030 (C) 0.032 (D) 0.034 (E) 0.036
(A) 0.0012 (B) 0.0016 (C) 0.0020 (D) 0.0024 (E) 0.0028
(i) Non-smokers have a force of mortality that is equal to one-half the force
of mortality for smokers at each age.
(ii) For non-smokers, mortality follows a uniform distribution with ω = 90.
Calculate the difference between the probability that a 55 year old smoker
dies within 10 years and the probability that a 55 year old non-smoker dies
within 10 years.
(A) 0.20 (B) 0.22 (C) 0.24 (D) 0.26 (E) 0.28
(i) The standard probability that (40) will die prior to age 41 is 0.01.
(ii) (40) is now subject to an extra risk during the year between ages 40
and 41.
(iii) To account for the extra risk, a revised force of mortality is defined
for the year between ages 40 and 41.
(iv) The revised force of mortality is equal to the standard force of mortality
plus a term that decreases linearly from 0.05 at age 40 to 0 at age 41.
Calculate the revised probability that (40) will die prior to age 41.
(A) 0.030 (B) 0.032 (C) 0.034 (D) 0.036 (E) 0.038
1.11. An actuary assumes that Jed, aged 40, has the force of mortality:
x2
µx = c3 −x3 for 0 ≤ x < c.
Using µx , the actuary calculates the probability that Jed dies within 20
years as 0.06844. However, µx is only appropriate for a life with standard
mortality. Jed is actually a substandard life with force of mortality:
3x2
µ∗x = 3µx = c3 −x3 for 0 ≤ x < c.
Using µ∗x , calculate the correct value of the probability that Jed dies within
20 years.
(A) 0.16 (B) 0.17 (C) 0.18 (D) 0.19 (E) 0.20
Calculate: e̊40:10 .
(A) 7.5 (B) 8.0 (C) 8.5 (D) 9.0 (E) 9.5
(A) 4.0 (B) 4.3 (C) 4.6 (D) 4.9 (E) 5.2
½
0.04 for 0 ≤ x < 40
µx =
0.05 for 40 ≤ x
Calculate: e̊25 .
(A) 0.275 (B) 0.325 (C) 0.375 (D) 0.425 (E) 0.475
ω−x
(i) s(x) = ω for 0 ≤ x ≤ ω
For the proposed model of Zingbot, with the same ω as the current model:
(A) 5.9 (B) 6.1 (C) 6.3 (D) 6.5 (E) 6.7
(A) 15.2 (B) 15.4 (C) 15.6 (D) 15.8 (E) 16.0
0.020 for 20 ≤ x < 30
µx = 0.025 for 30 ≤ x < 42
0.030 for 42 ≤ x < 60
(A) 0.015 (B) 0.017 (C) 0.019 (D) 0.021 (E) 0.023
The actuary’s supervisor notes that the above survival model is incorrect.
The correct survival model for a widget, denoted by B, is such that:
(10−x)2
100 for 0 ≤ x < 5
S0B (x) =
e−0.2 ln(4)x for x ≥ 5
Calculate: e̊B A
2 - e̊2 .
(A) 0.70 (B) 0.72 (C) 0.74 (D) 0.76 (E) 0.78
1.20. For a group of lives aged 40, consisting of 30% smokers and 70%
non-smokers, you are given:
(A) 240 (B) 250 (C) 260 (D) 270 (E) 280
1.22. Originally, mortality for Daniel, currently aged 30, is such that:
Now, it is believed that in the year of age between ages 45 and 46, Daniel
will be subject to an additional risk such that the constant 0.15 will be added
to the force of mortality µ45 (t) for 0 ≤ t < 1.
Calculate the revised value of e30 for Daniel, accounting for the additional
risk in the year of age between ages 45 and 46.
(A) 1.1 (B) 1.2 (C) 1.3 (D) 1.4 (E) 1.5
Calculate: B.
(A) 0.001 (B) 0.002 (C) 0.003 (D) 0.004 (E) 0.005
(A) 0.016 (B) 0.018 (C) 0.020 (D) 0.022 (E) 0.024
1.26. Consider the following life table, where missing entries are denoted
by “—”:
x qx lx dx
48 — 90,522 —
49 0.007453 89,900.9286 —
(A) 1280 (B) 1290 (C) 1300 (D) 1310 (E) 1320
1.27. You are given the following life table, where missing entries are
denoted by “—”:
x lx qx ex
65 79,354 0.0172 —
66 — 0.0186 —
67 — — —
68 74,993 — 14.89
69 — — 14.22
(A) 2970 (B) 3020 (C) 3070 (D) 3120 (E) 3170
Calculate: e̊40:20 .
(A) 17.1 (B) 17.6 (C) 18.1 (D) 18.6 (E) 19.1
1.29. You are given the following life table, where missing values are indi-
cated by “—”:
x lx dx px
0 1000.0 — 0.875
1 — 125.0 —
2 — — —
3 — — 0.680
4 — 182.5 —
5 200.0 — —
Calculate: 2| q0 .
(A) 0.16 (B) 0.17 (C) 0.18 (D) 0.19 (E) 0.20
(A) 3.950 (B) 3.955 (C) 3.960 (D) 3.965 (E) 3.970
1.31. Suppose mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and deaths are
uniformly distributed within each year of age.
Calculate: 4.5 q40.3 .
(A) 0.0141 (B) 0.0142 (C) 0.0143 (D) 0.0144 (E) 0.0145
1.32. Suppose mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, where deaths
are assumed to be uniformly distributed between integer ages.
Calculate the median future lifetime for (32).
(A) 44.7 (B) 45.0 (C) 45.3 (D) 45.6 (E) 45.9
1.33. Suppose mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table with the as-
sumption that deaths are uniformly distributed between integer ages.
Calculate: 0.9 q60.6 .
(A) 0.0130 (B) 0.0131 (C) 0.0132 (D) 0.0133 (E) 0.0134
(A) 1.377 (B) 1.379 (C) 1.381 (D) 1.383 (E) 1.385
(A) 0.20 (B) 0.21 (C) 0.23 (D) 0.24 (E) 0.25
Furthermore:
For Model B, calculate the probability that (45) dies between ages 65 and
75.
(A) 0.16 (B) 0.17 (C) 0.18 (D) 0.19 (E) 0.20
1.37. Consider a population that consists of 600 lives aged 50 and 520 lives
aged 60.
Each life has mortality that follows the Illustrative Life Table, and all lives
have independent future lifetime random variables.
Calculate the standard deviation of the total number of survivors to age
80.
(A) 14.7 (B) 15.2 (C) 15.7 (D) 16.2 (E) 16.7
Calculate the probability that (70.6) will die within the next 0.5 years
under UDD minus the probability that (70.6) will die within the next 0.5
years under CF.
(A) 0.00008 (B) 0.00010 (C) 0.00012 (D) 0.00014 (E) 0.00016
Calculate: qx .
(A) 0.24 (B) 0.26 (C) 0.28 (D) 0.30 (E) 0.32
1.40. (Exam MLC Only:) A life insurer issues Roderick, aged 40, a pol-
icy that will pay 10,000 upon survival of a number of years equal to Roderick’s
median future lifetime. You are given:
(i) d = 0.04
(ii) For Roderick: q40+k = 0.05(1 + k) for k = 0, 1, ..., 19. (Roderick is a
very unfortunate individual with respect to his future lifetime distribution.)
(iii) The force of mortality is constant between integer ages.
Calculate the expected present value of the 10,000 payment; that is, cal-
culate the present value of 10,000 times the probability that the 10,000 will
be paid to Roderick.
(A) 4100 (B) 4130 (C) 4160 (D) 4190 (E) 4220
Answers to Exercises
1.1. E 1.26. B
1.2. C 1.27. E
1.3. B 1.28. A
1.4. A 1.29. D
1.5. B 1.30. C
1.6. C 1.31. E
1.7. B 1.32. C
1.8. B 1.33. A
1.9. A 1.34. C
1.10. C 1.35. C
1.11. D 1.36. D
1.12. D 1.37. E
1.13. B 1.38. A
1.14. A 1.39. D
1.15. C 1.40. C
1.16. E
1.17. D
1.18. C
1.19. D
1.20. A
1.21. C
1.22. B
1.23. B
1.24. A
1.25. B
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #13, 21, 22, 28, 32, 59, 65, 98, 106, 116,
120, 131, 145, 155, 161, 171, 188, 189, 200, 201, 207, 219, 223, 267 (MLC
Only), 276
• Say the select period is d years. For t < d, one accounts for the initial
selection of the above individual at age x; the individual’s current age
would be written as [x] + t (the select brackets [ ] denote the initial age
of selection). For t ≥ d, one no longer accounts for the initial selection of
the individual at age x, and the individual’s age would be written simply
as x + t (with no select brackets [ ]).
• An individual has select mortality for ages/times within the select period
that differs from the mortality of the general population. An individual
has ultimate mortality for ages/times beyond the select period where
their mortality is assumed to be the same as a life from the general
population.
• A life table that accounts for both select and ultimate mortality is called
a select-and-ultimate life table.
• A life table that ignores selection completely is called an aggregate life table.
• The previous formulas for the quantities considered so far, such as sur-
vival probabilities, are still valid in the event of selection. One simply
has to use information from the select part of the select-and-ultimate life
table for ages/times within the select period.
• For example, with a select period of 3 years, 2 p[x] = (p[x] )(p[x]+1 ) and 5 p[x]
= (p[x] )(p[x]+1) (p[x]+2 )(px+3 )(px+4 ). The p’s with select brackets would
come from the select part of the select-and-ultimate life table, and the
p’s without select brackets would come from the ultimate part.
2.2 Exercises
2.1. Mortality follows the select-and-ultimate life table:
(A) 0.025 (B) 0.027 (C) 0.029 (D) 0.031 (E) 0.033
(A) 0.1855 (B) 0.1856 (C) 0.1857 (D) 0.1858 (E) 0.1859
You are given that l68 = 10,000, q66 = 0.026, and q67 = 0.028.
Calculate: l[65]+1 .
(A) 10,414 (B) 10,451 (C) 10,479 (D) 10,493 (E) 11,069
(A) 4.928 (B) 4.932 (C) 4.936 (D) 4.940 (E) 4.944
2.7. Quinn is currently age 60. He was selected by the PlzDntDie Life
Insurance Company one year ago. Quinn has mortality that follows a select-
and-ultimate life table with a 2-year select period:
(A) 0.938 (B) 0.944 (C) 0.950 (D) 0.956 (E) 0.962
Calculate: e̊[75]+1:1.3 .
(A) 1.277 (B) 1.280 (C) 1.283 (D) 1.287 (E) 1.290
2.9. For a select and ultimate life table with a 1-year select period:
Calculate: e56 .
(A) 17.60 (B) 17.65 (C) 17.70 (D) 17.75 (E) 17.80
2.10. Consider a population of lives each age 55 and selected at that age,
where 70% are non-smokers and 30% are smokers.
The force of mortality is:
Calculate the probability that a randomly chosen life from the above pop-
ulation will die before age 75.
(A) 0.51 (B) 0.52 (C) 0.53 (D) 0.54 (E) 0.55
Answers to Exercises
2.1. C
2.2. B
2.3. C
2.4. D
2.5. E
2.6. C
2.7. B
2.8. C
2.9. B
2.10. D
3 INSURANCE BENEFITS I
• The present value of the benefit, Z, is the benefit discounted for interest
between policy issue and the benefit payment date. This is a random
variable, as the benefit payment date is a function of the future lifetime
of the policyholder.
• The expected present value of the benefit, E(Z), is the benefit discounted
for both interest and mortality between policy issue and all potential
benefit payment dates. E(Z) is with respect to the distribution of the
policyholder’s future lifetime.
E(Z) will be written differently for each type of life insurance consid-
ered. In addition, E(Z) can also be called the actuarial present value
of the insurance, the single premium, the net single premium,
or the single benefit premium.
1
• The discount factor: v = 1+i .
i
• The discount rate, d, is such that: d = 1+i = iv = 1 - v.
1
Also: eδ = 1 + i = 1−d =⇒ e−δ = v = 1 - d.
This section provides key formulas for different life insurances. Note:
• Most life insurances have continuous and discrete versions. In the con-
tinuous case, the death benefit is payable at the moment of death of
the policyholder (Tx years after policy issue). The discrete case can be:
(i) annual, where the death benefit is payable at the end of the year of
death of the policyholder (Kx + 1 years after policy issue) and (ii) m-thly
(Exam MLC only).
• The general formula for the present value of a continuous life insurance
on (x) that pays bt at time t (> 0) is:
The general formula for the expected present value of a continuous life
insurance on (x) that pays bt at time t (> 0) is:
R∞ R∞
E(Z) = 0 bt v t t px µx+t dt = 0 bt e−δt t px µx+t dt. Furthermore:
“Say the moment of death is at time t. Then the present value of this ben-
efit is bt v t , and the expected present value of this benefit is bt v t t px µx+t dt
((x) has to survive t years and then immediately die for bt to be paid at
time t). Integrating over all possible times of death provides the overall
expected present value.”
R∞
E(Z j ) = 0 (bt v t )j t px µx+t dt for j = 1, 2, ...
• The general formula for the present value of an annual life insurance on
(x) that pays bk+1 at time k + 1 (k = 0, 1, 2, ...) is:
Z = bKx +1 v Kx +1 .
The general formula for the expected present value of an annual life
insurance on (x) that pays bk+1 at time k + 1 (k = 0, 1, 2, ...) is:
P∞ k+1
E(Z) = k=0 bk+1 v k| qx . Furthermore:
“Say death occurs in year (k + 1). Then the present value of this
benefit is bk+1 v k+1 , and the expected present value of this benefit is
bk+1 v k+1 k| qx . Summing over all possible values of k provides the over-
all expected present value.”
P∞
E(Z j ) = k=0 (bk+1 v
k+1 j
) k| qx for j = 1, 2, ...
– i changes to i2 + 2i
– (1 + i) changes to (1 + i)2
– v changes to v 2
– d changes to 2d - d2
– px = e−µ = p
– qx = 1 - e−µ = 1 - p = q
• Z = v Tx
R∞
• E(Z) = Āx = 0 v t t px µx+t dt
1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): Āx = ω−x āω−x at force
of interest δ
µ
– With a constant force of mortality: Āx = µ+δ
R∞
• E(Z 2 ) = 2 Āx = 0 v 2t t px µx+t dt
1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): 2 Āx = ω−x āω−x at force
of interest 2δ
µ
– With a constant force of mortality: 2 Āx = µ+2δ
ln(z)
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): FZ (z) = 1 + δ(ω−x) for
v ω−x ≤ z ≤ 1. If the death benefit is S, replace z with Sz .
µ
– With a constant force of mortality: FZ (z) = z δ for 0 ≤ z ≤ 1. If the
death benefit is S, replace z with Sz .
• Z = v Kx +1
P∞ k+1
• E(Z) = Ax = k=0 v k| qx
1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): Ax = ω−x aω−x at force
of interest δ
q
– With a constant force of mortality: Ax = q+i
P∞
• E(Z 2 ) = 2 Ax = k=0 v
2(k+1)
k| qx
1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): 2 Ax = ω−x aω−x at force
of interest 2δ
q
– With a constant force of mortality: 2 Ax = q+i2 +2i
• V ar(Z) = 2 Ax - [Ax ]2
• ½
v Tx for Tx ≤ n
Z=
0 for Tx > n
1
Rn
• E(Z) = Āx:n = 0 v t t px µx+t dt
1 1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): Āx:n = ω−x ān at force
of interest δ
1 µ
– With a constant force of mortality: Āx:n = µ+δ [1 − exp[−(µ + δ)n]]
Rn
• E(Z 2 ) = 2 Āx:n
1
= 0 v 2t t px µx+t dt
1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): 2 Āx:n
1
= ω−x ān at force
of interest 2δ
µ
– With a constant force of mortality: 2 Āx:n
1
= µ+2δ [1 − exp[−(µ + 2δ)n]]
• V ar(Z) = 2 Āx:n
1 1
- [Āx:n ]2
• ½
v Kx +1 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Z=
0 for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
1
Pn−1
• E(Z) = Ax:n = k=0 v k+1 k| qx
1 1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): Ax:n = ω−x an at force
of interest δ
1 q
– With a constant force of mortality: Ax:n = q+i [1 − (vp)n ]
Pn−1
• E(Z 2 ) = 2 Ax:n
1
= k=0 v 2(k+1) k| qx
1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): 2 Ax:n
1
= ω−x an at force
of interest 2δ
q
– With a constant force of mortality: 2 Ax:n
1
= q+i2 +2i [1 − (v 2 p)n ]
• V ar(Z) = 2 Ax:n
1 1
- [Ax:n ]2
1 1
• Recursion: Ax:n = vqx + vpx Ax+1:n−1
• ½
0 for Tx ≤ n
Z=
vn for Tx > n
• E(Z) = Ax:n1 = n Ex = v n n px
Note: There are two notations for the expected present value of a pure
endowment: the A-notation and the E-notation.
• E(Z 2 ) = 2 Ax:n1 = v 2n n px
• ½
v Tx for Tx ≤ n
Z=
vn for Tx > n
1
• E(Z) = Āx:n = Āx:n + Ax:n1
• ½
v Kx +1 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Z=
vn for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
1
• E(Z) = Ax:n = Ax:n + Ax:n1
• ½
0 for Tx ≤ u
Z=
v Tx for Tx > u
R∞
• E(Z) = u| Āx = u v t t px µx+t dt = Āx - Āx:u
1
= u Ex Āx+u
R∞
• E(Z 2 ) = 2u| Āx = u v 2t t px µx+t dt = 2 Āx - 2 Āx:u
1
= (2 Ax:u1 )(2 Āx+u )
• ½
0 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., u - 1
Z=
v Kx +1 for Kx = u, u + 1, ...
P∞ k+1 1
• E(Z) = u| Ax = k=u v k| qx = Ax - Ax:u = u Ex Ax+u
P∞
• E(Z 2 ) = 2u| Ax = k=u v
2(k+1)
k| qx = 2 Ax - 2 Ax:u
1
= (2 Ax:u1 )(2 Ax+u )
• ½
v Tx for u < Tx ≤ u + n
Z=
0 otherwise
1
R u+n
• E(Z) = u|n Āx = u| Āx:n = u v t t px µx+t dt = Āx:u+n
1 1
- Āx:u 1
= u Ex Āx+u:n
R u+n
• E(Z 2 ) = 2u|n Āx = u v 2t t px µx+t dt = 2 Āx:u+n
1
- 2 Āx:u
1
= (2 Ax:u1 )(2 Āx+u:n
1
)
2
• V ar(Z) = u|n Āx - [u|n Āx ]2
• ½
v Kx +1 for Kx = u, u + 1, ..., u + n - 1
Z=
0 otherwise
1
Pu+n−1
• E(Z) = u|n Ax = u| Ax:n = k=u v k+1 k| qx = Ax:u+n
1 1
- Ax:u 1
= u Ex Ax+u:n
Pu+n−1
• E(Z 2 ) = 2u|n Ax = k=u v 2(k+1) k| qx = 2 Ax:u+n
1
- 2 Ax:u
1
= (2 Ax:u1 )(2 Ax+u:n
1
)
2
• V ar(Z) = u|n Ax - [u|n Ax ]2
• Z = (bTx c + 1)v Tx
R∞
• E(Z) = (I Ā)x = 0 (btc + 1)v t t px µx+t dt
1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): (I Ā)x = ω−x (Iā)ω−x at
force of interest δ
• Z = Tx v Tx
R∞
• E(Z) = (I¯Ā)x = 0 tv t t px µx+t dt
• Z = (Kx + 1)v Kx +1
P∞
• E(Z) = (IA)x = k=0 (k + 1)v k+1 k| qx
1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): (IA)x = ω−x (Ia)ω−x at
force of interest δ
• ½
(bTx c + 1)v Tx for Tx ≤ n
Z=
0 for Tx > n
1
Rn
• E(Z) = (I Ā)x:n = 0 (btc + 1)v t t px µx+t dt
1 1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): (I Ā)x:n = ω−x (Iā)n at
force of interest δ
• ½
Tx v Tx for Tx ≤ n
Z=
0 for Tx > n
Rn
• E(Z) = (I¯Ā)x:n
1
= 0 tv t t px µx+t dt
• ½
(Kx + 1)v Kx +1 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Z=
0 for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
1
Pn−1
• E(Z) = (IA)x:n = k=0 (k + 1)v k+1 k| qx
1 1
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): (IA)x:n = ω−x (Ia)n at
force of interest δ
1 1 1
• Recursion: (IA)x:n = Ax:n + vpx (IA)x+1:n−1
• ½
(n − bTx c)v Tx for Tx ≤ n
Z=
0 for Tx > n
1
Rn
• E(Z) = (DĀ)x:n = 0 (n − btc)v t t px µx+t dt
1 1 1
Also: (I Ā)x:n + (DĀ)x:n = (n + 1)Āx:n .
• ½
(n − Tx )v Tx for Tx ≤ n
Z=
0 for Tx > n
1
Rn
• E(Z) = (D̄Ā)x:n = 0 (n − t)v t t px µx+t dt
Also: (I¯Ā)1 + (D̄Ā)x:n
x:n
1 1
= nĀx:n .
• ½
(n − Kx )v Kx +1 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Z=
0 for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
1
Pn−1
• E(Z) = (DA)x:n = k=0 (n − k)v k+1 k| qx
1 1 1
Also: (IA)x:n + (DA)x:n = (n + 1)Ax:n .
1 1
• Recursion: (DA)x:n = nvqx + vpx (DA)x+1:n−1
3.2 Exercises
3.1. Suppose:
(A) 110 (B) 120 (C) 130 (D) 140 (E) 150
Calculate: V ar(Z).
(A) 0.10 (B) 0.11 (C) 0.12 (D) 0.13 (E) 0.14
3.3. Consider a life insurance on (40) that pays 3000 at the end of the
year of death if death occurs between ages 45 and 55, and pays 5000 at the
end of the year of death if death occurs after age 55. Mortality follows the
Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06.
(A) 670 (B) 675 (C) 680 (D) 685 (E) 690
(A) 62,330 (B) 63,245 (C) 64,660 (D) 65,500 (E) 66,135
(A) 0.21 (B) 0.22 (C) 0.46 (D) 0.78 (E) 0.79
½
0.060 for 0 ≤ t < 5
δt =
0.065 for t ≥ 5
½
0.020 for 0 ≤ t < 5
µx (t) =
0.025 for t ≥ 5
(A) 0.19 (B) 0.21 (C) 0.23 (D) 0.25 (E) 0.27
3.7. For a special 3-year term insurance on (x) payable at the end of the
year of death:
(A) 3340 (B) 3350 (C) 3360 (D) 3370 (E) 3380
(A) 10,283 (B) 10,421 (C) 10,527 (D) 10,877 (E) 10,911
Calculate: (IA)36 .
(A) 3.77 (B) 3.78 (C) 3.79 (D) 3.80 (E) 3.81
(i) 1000 is payable at the moment of death if death occurs between ages
45 and 65.
(ii) 500 is payable at the moment of death if death occurs between ages 65
and 75.
(iii) Mortality follows: lx = 500(95 - x) for 0 ≤ x ≤ 95, and δ = 0.06.
(A) 240 (B) 245 (C) 250 (D) 255 (E) 260
3.11. Let Z be the present value random variable for a whole life insurance
on (x) with a benefit of 10,000 payable at the moment of death.
Assume µx (t) = 0.03 and δt = 0.06 for t ≥ 0.
(A) 3502 (B) 3760 (C) 4030 (D) 4225 (E) 4550
(A) 672 (B) 976 (C) 994 (D) 1025 (E) 6356
Using the normal approximation, calculate h such that the probability the
insurer has sufficient funds to pay all claims is 0.99.
(A) 32,000 (B) 32,300 (C) 32,600 (D) 32,900 (E) 33,200
3.14. Let Z be the present value random variable for a special continuous
whole life insurance on (x), where for t ≥ 0:
(i) bt = 1000e0.05t
(ii) µx (t) = 0.01 and δt = 0.06
(A) 420 (B) 440 (C) 460 (D) 480 (E) 500
Using the normal approximation, calculate h such that the probability the
insurer has sufficient funds to pay all claims is 0.95.
(A) 105 (B) 112 (C) 116 (D) 121 (E) 128
3.16. A special term insurance policy on (40) pays 1000 at the end of the
year of death for the first ten years and 2000 at the end of the year of death
for the next 10 years. Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, i = 0.06.
Calculate: 20| Ax .
(A) 0.08 (B) 0.10 (C) 0.12 (D) 0.14 (E) 0.16
Calculate the expected present value of a 10-year deferred whole life insur-
ance of 1000 on (35) payable at the end of the year of death.
(A) 150 (B) 165 (C) 170 (D) 175 (E) 180
3.19. For a group of individuals all age 26, you are given:
(iii) Mortality rates for smokers (qxS ) are double the mortality rates for
non-smokers.
(iv) i = 0.03
Calculate the single benefit premium for a 3-year term insurance of 5000
payable at the end of the year of death on a 26 year old chosen at random
from this group of smokers and non-smokers.
(A) 21.00 (B) 21.50 (C) 22.00 (D) 22.50 (E) 23.00
3.20. A group of 100 lives each age 45 set up a fund to pay 10,000 at the
end of the year of death of each member. They each pay into the fund, at
inception, an amount equal to the single benefit premium for a whole life
insurance of 10,000 on (45) payable at the end of the year of death assuming
mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table and i = 0.06.
The actual experience of the fund is one death in the first year and two
deaths in the fourth year; the interest rate is 0.06 in the first and second
years, 0.065 in the third and fourth years, and 0.07 in the fifth year.
Calculate the difference between the expected size of the fund and the
actual size of the fund at the end of the first five years.
(A) 3160 (B) 3200 (C) 3240 (D) 3280 (E) 3320
(A) 5700 (B) 5750 (C) 5800 (D) 5850 (E) 5900
(A) 0.26 (B) 0.27 (C) 0.28 (D) 0.29 (E) 0.30
(iii) A certain life has the same mortality as a standard life except that the
probability of death within the first year after policy issue for the certain life
is 50% higher than the probability of death within the first year after policy
issue for a standard life of the same age at policy issue.
(A) 0.800 (B) 0.815 (C) 0.830 (D) 0.845 (E) 0.860
Calculate the probability that (x) survives at least 15 years but no more
than 20 years.
(A) 0.080 (B) 0.085 (C) 0.090 (D) 0.095 (E) 0.100
3.25. For a 10-year deferred 10-year term insurance of 1000 on (x) with
benefits payable at the moment of death:
(i) ½
0.06 for t ≤ 6
δt =
0.07 for t > 6
(ii) ½
0.025 for t ≤ 6
µx (t) =
0.035 for t > 6
(A) 82.50 (B) 83.50 (C) 84.50 (D) 85.50 (E) 86.50
(A) 0.040 (B) 0.046 (C) 0.052 (D) 0.058 (E) 0.064
3.27. Consider a whole life insurance of 1000 on (x) payable at the end of
the year of death:
(i) v = 0.965
(ii) 10 px = 0.920
(iii) Ax+11 = 0.425
Furthermore:
(i) δ = 0.05
(ii) px+k = 0.98 for k = 0, 1, 2, ...
(iii) Let t denote the probability that the coin lands on tails at the end of
the year between times k and k + 1, assuming that the policy is in force at
time k, where k = 0, 1, 2, ... The probability that the coin lands on heads
at the end of the year between times k and k + 1 is 0.5t.
(iv) The results of the coin flip for each year are independent of the mor-
tality of (x).
(A) 2700 (B) 2760 (C) 2820 (D) 2880 (E) 2940
(i) K is the curtate future lifetime random variable for a life aged 50.
(ii) The following present value random variable for an insurance on a life
aged 50:
½
1000v K+1 for K < 5
Z=
1000v 5 for K ≥ 5
(A) 0.010 (B) 0.012 (C) 0.016 (D) 0.019 (E) 0.027
3.30. A computer store sells a specific brand new laptop with a purchase
price of 1000. This laptop comes with a 5-year warranty such that if the
laptop breaks down in year k + 1, (80 - 20k)% of the purchase price will be
refunded at the end of that year; for k = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4.
Also:
(i) d = 0.03
(ii) The probability that the laptop breaks down in each of the first three
years is 0.05, and the probability that the laptop breaks down in each of the
fourth and fifth years is 0.10.
Answers to Exercises
3.1. D 3.26. B
3.2. C 3.27. C
3.3. C 3.28. B
3.4. A 3.29. D
3.5. A 3.30. C
3.6. E
3.7. A
3.8. B
3.9. E
3.10. D
3.11. D
3.12. C
3.13. B
3.14. E
3.15. B
3.16. B
3.17. E
3.18. D
3.19. D
3.20. A
3.21. C
3.22. C
3.23. B
3.24. D
3.25. D
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #2, 3, 4, 17, 56, 64, 69, 72, 107, 109,
121, 141, 148, 158, 175, 176, 197, 215, 226, 286, 308
i(m) m d(p) −p
• eδ = 1 + i = (1 + m ) = (1 − d)−1 = (1 − p )
• The m-thly life insurance is such that the death benefit is payable at the
(m)
end of the m-th of a year of death of the policyholder (Kx + m1 years
after policy issue).
(m)
• Kx , measured in years, is the beginning of the m-th of a year after
(m)
policy issue in which the policyholder dies. Kx = 0, m1 , m2 , ...
• The general exact formula for the expected present value of an m-thly
life insurance that pays b k+1 at time k+1
m years (k = 0, 1, 2, ...) is:
m
P∞ k+1
E(Z) = k=0 b k+1 v
m k 1 qx . Furthermore:
m m|m
“Say death occurs in the (k + 1)st m-th of a year. Then the present
k+1
value of this benefit is b k+1 v m , and the expected present value of this
m
k+1
benefit is b k+1 v qx . Summing over all possible values of k provides
m k 1
m m|m
the overall expected present value.”
P∞ k+1
E(Z j ) = k=0 (b k+1 v
m )j k | 1 qx for j = 1, 2, ...
m m m
(m) P∞ k+1
• E(Z) = Ax = k=0 v
m k 1 qx
m|m
(m) 1 (m)
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): Ax = ω−x aω−x at force
of interest δ
(m) P∞ 2 k+1
• E(Z 2 ) = 2 Ax = k=0 v
m k 1 qx
m|m
2 (m) 1 (m)
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): Ax = ω−x aω−x at
force of interest 2δ
(m) (m)
• V ar(Z) = 2 Ax - [Ax ]2
(m) 1 1 (m)
• Recursion: Ax = v m m1 qx + v m m1 px Ax+ 1
m
i
• UDD: A(m) x = A
i(m) x
and Āx = δi Ax
m−1 1
• Claims acceleration: A(m) x = (1 + i) 2m Ax and Āx = (1 + i) 2 Ax
• ( (m) 1 (m)
v Kx +m
for Kx = 0, m1 , ..., n - m1
Z= (m)
0 for Kx = n, n + m1 , ...
Pmn−1 k+1
• E(Z) = A(m)1x:n = v m k 1 qx
k=0 m|m
1 (m)
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): A(m)1x:n = ω−x an at
force of interest δ
Pmn−1 k+1
• E(Z 2 ) = 2 A(m)1x:n = v2 m k 1 qx
k=0 m|m
1 (m)
– For de Moivre’s Law (Uniform Distribution): 2 A(m)1x:n = ω−x an at
force of interest 2δ
1 1
• Recursion: A(m)1x:n = v m m1 qx + v m m1 px A(m) 1
1 1
x+ m :n− m
i
• UDD: A(m)1x:n = A1
i(m) x:n
1
and Āx:n = δi Ax:n
1
m−1 1
• Claims acceleration: A(m)1x:n = (1 + i) 2m 1
Ax:n 1
and Āx:n 1
= (1 + i) 2 Ax:n
• ( (m) 1 (m)
v Kx +m
for Kx = 0, m1 , ..., n - m1
Z= (m)
vn for Kx = n, n + m1 , ...
(m)
• E(Z) = Ax:n = A(m)1x:n + Ax:n1
(m)
• E(Z 2 ) = 2 Ax:n = 2 A(m)1x:n + 2 Ax:n1
(m) (m)
• V ar(Z) = 2 Ax:n - [Ax:n ]2
(m) 1 1 (m)
• Recursion: Ax:n = v m m1 qx + v m m1 px A 1 1
x+ m :n− m
(m) i
• UDD: Ax:n = A1
i(m) x:n
+ Ax:n1 and Āx:n = δi Ax:n
1
+ Ax:n1
• Claims acceleration:
(m) m−1
1 1
Ax:n = (1 + i) 2m Ax:n 1
+ Ax:n1 and Āx:n = (1 + i) 2 Ax:n + Ax:n1
• (
(m)
0 for Kx = 0, m1 , ..., u - m1
Z= (m) 1 (m)
v Kx + m for Kx = u, u + m1 , ...
(m) (m)
• V ar(Z) = 2u| Ax - [u| Ax ]2
(m) 1 (m)
• u| Ax = 0 + v m m1 px (u− m1 | Ax+ 1 )
m
(m) i i
• UDD: u| Ax = A
i(m) u| x
and u| Āx = δ u| Ax
(m) m−1 1
• Claims acceleration: u| Ax = (1 + i) 2m
u| Ax and u| Āx = (1 + i) 2 u| Ax
• ( (m) 1 (m) 1 1
v Kx +m
for Kx = u, u + m, ..., u + n -
Z= m
0 otherwise
2 (m) (m)
• V ar(Z) = u|n Ax - [u|n Ax ]2
(m) 1 (m)
• u|n Ax = 0 + v m m1 px (u− m1 |n Ax+ 1 )
m
(m) i i
• UDD: u|n Ax = A
i(m) u|n x
and u|n Āx = δ u|n Ax
(m) m−1 1
• Claims acceleration: u|n Ax = (1 + i) 2m u|n Ax and u|n Āx = (1 + i) 2 u|n Ax
½
(1 + j)Kx v Kx +1 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Z= ..
0 for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
1 1
is 1+j Ax:n at ib .
4.2 Exercises
4.1. For a whole life insurance of 1000 on (30):
(A) 215 (B) 216 (C) 217 (D) 218 (E) 219
4.2. A fund is set up to provide benefits to 500 independent lives age 35:
(i) On January 1, 2012, each life is issued a single premium 15-year deferred
whole life insurance of 1000, payable at the end of the quarter of a year of
death.
(ii) Each life has mortality that follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i =
0.06
(iv) The claims acceleration approach is used to calculate quarterly insur-
ance expected present values.
Calculate the amount needed in the fund on January 1, 2012, so that the
probability, as determined by the normal approximation, is 0.95 that the fund
will be sufficient to provide these benefits.
(A) 52,000 (B) 52,500 (C) 53,000 (D) 53,500 (E) 54,000
(A) 4420 (B) 4430 (C) 4440 (D) 4450 (E) 4460
4.4. Using the Illustrative Life Table, the claims acceleration approach, and
i = 0.06, calculate the actuarial present value of a 30-year deferred whole life
insurance of 10,000 on (35) payable at the end of the quarter of a year of
death.
(A) 615 (B) 620 (C) 625 (D) 630 (E) 635
4.5. Using the Illustrative Life Table, the uniform distribution of deaths
assumption over each year of age, and i = 0.06, calculate: 1000Ā50:15 .
(A) 449 (B) 451 (C) 454 (D) 457 (E) 459
4.6. A 20-year term insurance on a select life aged 25 payable at the end
of the year of death has a basic sum insured of 100,000. The insurer assumes
compound reversionary bonuses at the rate of 2% will vest at the end of each
policy year.
You are given:
(A) 437 (B) 445 (C) 455 (D) 467 (E) 475
4.7. Suppose mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model, and i
= 0.05.
Calculate the single benefit premium for a 1-year deferred, 2-year term
insurance of 10,000 on [60] that is payable at the end of the year of death.
4.8. Consider a special 5-year deferred whole life insurance on (35) payable
at the end of the year of death. You are given:
(i) ½
0 for k = 0, 1, ..., 4
bk+1 =
5000(1.02)k for k = 5, 6, ...
(A) 1905 (B) 1915 (C) 1925 (D) 1935 (E) 1945
4.9. Consider a life insurance on (40). 20,000 is payable at the end of the
quarter of a year of death if death occurs before age 55; 10,000 is payable at
end of the quarter of a year of death if death occurs between ages 55 and 65;
0 is payable if death occurs after age 65.
Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06. Deaths are
assumed to be uniformly distributed within each year of age.
Calculate the expected present value.
(A) 1220 (B) 1230 (C) 1240 (D) 1250 (E) 1260
(A) 350 (B) 360 (C) 370 (D) 380 (E) 390
Answers to Exercises
4.1. C
4.2. D
4.3. B
4.4. C
4.5. A
4.6. D
4.7. B
4.8. B
4.9. C
4.10. D
5 ANNUITIES I
• Whole Life Annuity: Provides payments each period while the annu-
itant survives.
• The general formula for the present value of a continuous life annuity on
(x) with payment rate πt at time t (> 0) is:
R Tx R Tx
Y = 0 πt v t dt = 0 πt e−δt dt.
The general formula for the expected present value of a continuous life
annuity on (x) with payment rate πt at time t (> 0) is:
R∞ R∞ R∞
E(Y ) = 0 πt v t t px dt = 0 πt e−δt t px dt = 0 πt (t Ex )dt. Furthermore:
“Say the payment rate is πt at time t. Then the present value of this
benefit at time t is πt v t dt, and the expected present value of this benefit
is πt v t t px dt ((x) has to survive to time t in order for πt dt to be made
at that time). Integrating over all possible payment times provides the
overall expected present value. This is the current payment approach.”
• The general formula for the present value of an annual life annuity-due
that pays πk at time k (k = 0, 1, 2, ...) is:
P Kx k
Y = k=0 πk v .
The general formula for the expected present value of an annual life
annuity-due that pays πk at time k (k = 0, 1, 2, ...) is:
P∞ k
P∞
E(Y ) = k=0 πk v k px = k=0 πk (k Ex ). Furthermore:
“Say the payment is πk at time k. Then the present value of this benefit is
πk v k , and the expected present value of this benefit is πk v k k px . Summing
over all possible payment times provides the overall expected present
value. This is the current payment approach.”
Note: The general formulas for the present value and expected present
value of an annual life annuity-immediate on (x) are similar, expect there
would be no payment at k = 0.
• For each annuity, a (total) payment rate of 1 per year is assumed. If the
payment rate is R, notation and formulas are adjusted. For example, the
expected present value ofRa continuous whole life annuity of R per year
∞
on (x) is E(Y ) = Rāx = 0 R(t Ex ).
Level Annuities
1
– With a constant force of mortality: āx = µ+δ
R∞
• It is also true that: āx = 0 (āt )t px µx+t dt
“Say the moment of death of (x) occurs at time t. Then the present value
of the payments is āt , and the expected present value of the payments
is (āt )t px µx+t dt ((x) has to survive t years and then immediately die for
the present value to be āt ). Integrating over all times of death provides
the overall expected present value.”
2
Āx −[Āx ]2
• V ar(Y ) = δ2
1+i
– With a constant force of mortality: äx = q+i
P∞
• It is also true that: äx = k=0 (äk+1 )k| qx
2
Ax −[Ax ]2
• V ar(Yd ) = d2
So: Yi = 1−(1+i)Z
i , where Z is the present value random variable for an
annual whole life insurance of 1 on (x).
P∞
• E(Yi ) = ax = k=1 k Ex = äx - 1
1−(1+i)Ax
• E(Yi ) = ax = i
2
Ax −[Ax ]2
• V ar(Yi ) = d2 (same as an annual whole life annuity-due)
• ½
āTx for Tx ≤ n
Y =
ān for Tx > n
1−Z
= δ ,
where Z is the present value random variable for a continuous n-year
endowment insurance of 1 on (x).
Rn 1−Āx:n
• E(Y ) = āx:n = 0 t Ex dt = δ
1
– With a constant force of mortality: āx:n = µ+δ [1 − exp[−(µ + δ)n]]
2
Āx:n −[Āx:n ]2
• V ar(Y ) = δ2
• ½
äKx +1 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Yd =
än for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
1−Z
= d ,
where Z is the present value random variable for an annual n-year en-
dowment insurance of 1 on (x).
Pn−1 1−Ax:n
• E(Yd ) = äx:n = k=0 k Ex = d
2
Ax:n −[Ax:n ]2
• V ar(Yd ) = d2
• ½
aKx for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Yi =
an for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
Pn
• E(Yi ) = ax:n = k=1 k Ex = äx:n - 1 + n Ex
• ½
0 for Tx ≤ u
Y =
v u āTx −u for Tx > u
R∞
• E(Y ) = u| āx = u t Ex = āx - āx:u = u Ex āx+u
• ½
0 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., u - 1
Yd =
v u äKx +1−u for Kx = u, u + 1, ...
P∞
• E(Yd ) = u| äx = k=u k Ex = äx - äx:u = u Ex äx+u
• ½
0 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., u - 1
Yi =
v u aKx −u for Kx = u, u + 1, ...
P∞
• E(Yi ) = u| ax = k=u+1 k Ex = ax - ax:u = u Ex ax+u
• Note: u| äx = u| ax + u Ex
•
0 for Tx ≤ u
Y = v u āTx −u for u < Tx ≤ u + n
u
v ān for Tx > u + n
R u+n
• E(Y ) = u|n āx = u| āx:n = u t Ex dt = āx:u+n - āx:u = u Ex āx+u:n
•
0 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., u - 1
Yd = v u äKx +1−u for Kx = u, u + 1, ..., u + n - 1
u
v än for Kx = u + n, u + n + 1, ...
Pu+n−1
• E(Yd ) = u|n äx = u| äx:n = k=u k Ex = äx:u+n - äx:u = u Ex äx+u:n
•
0 for Kx = 0, 1, ..., u - 1
Yi = v u aKx −u for Kx = u, u + 1, ..., u + n - 1
u
v an for Kx = u + n, u + n + 1, ...
Pu+n
• E(Yi ) = u|n ax = u| ax:n = k=u+1 k Ex = ax:u+n - ax:u = u Ex ax+u:n
• ½
ān for Tx ≤ n
Y =
āTx for Tx > n
• ½
än for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Yd =
äKx +1 for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
• ½
an for Kx = 0, 1, ..., n - 1
Yi =
aKx for Kx = n, n + 1, ...
• E(Yi ) = ax:n = an + n| ax
5.2 Exercises
5.1. Assume: µx (t) = 0.02 for t > 0 and δ = 0.05.
Calculate: āx:15 .
(A) 8.70 (B) 8.90 (C) 9.10 (D) 9.30 (E) 9.50
(A) 4.40 (B) 4.60 (C) 4.80 (D) 5.00 (E) 5.20
(A) 350 (B) 360 (C) 370 (D) 380 (E) 390
(i) δ = 0.05
(ii) ½
0.05 for 0 ≤ x < 50
µx =
0.08 for x ≥ 50
(A) 9.10 (B) 9.30 (C) 9.50 (D) 9.70 (E) 9.90
½
0.05 for 0 ≤ t < 10
δt =
0.07 for t ≥ 10
½
0.02 for 0 ≤ t < 10
µx (t) =
0.03 for t ≥ 10
(A) 11.60 (B) 11.90 (C) 12.20 (D) 12.50 (E) 12.80
(A) 0.42 (B) 0.55 (C) 0.63 (D) 0.84 (E) 0.91
Calculate: E(Y ).
(A) 3550 (B) 3600 (C) 3650 (D) 3700 (E) 3750
(i) Mortality for a standard life aged 40, denoted as S, is such that:
qxS = 0.032 for x = 40, 41, 42, ...
(ii) Mortality for a certain life aged 40, denoted as C, is such that:
C
q40 = 0.048 and qxC = 0.032 for x = 41, 42, 43, ...
(iii) d = 0.05
(A) 0.16 (B) 0.17 (C) 0.18 (D) 0.19 (E) 0.20
(i) µx (t) is the force of mortality associated with the Illustrative Life Table.
(ii) i = 0.05
Calculate the single benefit premium for a 3-year temporary life annuity-
immediate of 1000 per year on (30) payable annually, assuming that the force
of mortality used is equal to µ30 (t) + 0.20 for 0 ≤ t ≤ 3.
(A) 1860 (B) 1900 (C) 1940 (D) 1980 (E) 2020
(A) 98,000 (B) 98,500 (C) 99,000 (D) 99,500 (E) 100,000
Calculate V ar[āT (x) ] for an individual chosen at random from this group.
5.13. Suppose Z is the present value random variable for a 2-year pure
endowment of 1 on (x). You are given:
Calculate: V ar(Z).
(A) 0.045 (B) 0.050 (C) 0.055 (D) 0.060 (E) 0.065
5.14. Cody, age 25, and Ted, age 30, have each won the actuarial lottery:
(i) Cody has decided to collect his winnings via a 20-year temporary life
annuity-due, which pays 400,000 each year.
(ii) Ted has decided to collect his winnings via a 20-year certain and life
annuity-due, which pays K each year.
(iii) Mortality for both Cody and Ted follows the Illustrative Life Table,
and i = 0.06.
The expected present values of Cody’s annuity and Ted’s annuity are both
equal. Calculate: K.
(A) 281,000 (B) 286,000 (C) 291,000 (D) 295,000 (E) 299,000
5.15. Consider a special whole life annuity on (x) which pays R at the
beginning of the first year, 2R at the beginning of the second year, and 3R
at the beginning of each year thereafter. You are also given:
Calculate: R.
5.16. You are given the following portfolio of mutually independent lives:
(A) 16.9 (B) 17.2 (C) 17.5 (D) 17.8 (E) 18.1
Calculate: ä30 .
(A) 29.0 (B) 29.5 (C) 30.0 (D) 30.5 (E) 31.0
5.18. Paul, aged 35, has just taken out a home mortgage loan where he
will pay 12,000 at the end of each year for 25 years.
Paul was also required to purchase a life insurance policy that will pay any
remaining payments should he die within the 25-year period.
Paul has mortality that follows the Illustrative Life Table. The effective
annual interest rate is 6%.
Calculate the expected present value of the life insurance policy.
(A) 5150 (B) 5250 (C) 5350 (D) 5450 (E) 5550
x 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
qx 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80
(ii) d = 0.03
Calculate the probability that the present value of a 5-year temporary life
annuity-due of 500 per year on (30) exceeds its actuarial present value.
(A) 0.45 (B) 0.50 (C) 0.55 (D) 0.60 (E) 0.65
(i) δ = 0.04
(ii) µx = 0.0003(1.05)x for x ≥ 0
(A) 167 (B) 169 (C) 171 (D) 173 (E) 175
(i) ½
0.06 for t ≤ 6
δt =
0.07 for t > 6
(ii) ½
0.025 for t ≤ 6
µx (t) =
0.035 for t > 6
(A) 2320 (B) 2360 (C) 2400 (D) 2440 (E) 2480
Furthermore:
(iii) i = 0.06
(iv) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
Calculate the standard deviation of the present value random variable for
this policy.
(A) 515 (B) 530 (C) 545 (D) 560 (E) 575
x 70 71 72 73 74 75
lx 50 45 40 35 30 25
(ii) i = 0.05
Calculate the actuarial accumulated value at the end of the fifth year of a
5-year temporary life annuity-immediate of 100 per year payable annually on
(70).
(A) 310 (B) 425 (C) 540 (D) 665 (E) 785
(i) v = 0.965
(ii) 10 px = 0.920
(iii) äx+11 = 11.36
(A) - 0.71 (B) - 0.41 (C) - 0.26 (D) 0.26 (E) 0.58
(ii) i = 0.045
(iii) 20 px = 0.945
(iv) ax = 18.23
(v) ax+20 = 13.94
Answers to Exercises
5.1. D
5.2. B
5.3. B
5.4. C
5.5. D
5.6. E
5.7. C
5.8. B
5.9. D
5.10. A
5.11. C
5.12. A
5.13. A
5.14. E
5.15. C
5.16. B
5.17. D
5.18. C
5.19. B
5.20. D
5.21. D
5.22. E
5.23. E
5.24. A
5.25. B
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #11, 25, 35, 45, 55, 63, 67, 79, 86, 88,
113, 114, 126, 130, 140, 146, 166, 186, 192, 196, 209, 210, 229, 285
• The general exact formula for the expected present value of an m-thly
life annuity-due on (x) that pays π k at time mk years (k = 0, 1, 2, ...) is:
m
P∞ k P∞
E(Yd ) = k=0 π m
k v m k px = k=0 π m
k ( k Ex ). Furthermore:
m m
k
“Say the payment is π k at time m. Then the present value of this benefit
m
k k
is π k v , and the expected present value of this benefit is π k v m k px ((x)
m
m m m
k
has to survive to time m in order for π k to be made at that time).
m
Summing over all possible payment times provides the overall expected
present value.”
You are provided a table of α(m) and β(m) for various values of m
at i = 0.06 during Exam MLC. Please refer to the web link to Exam
MLC tables provided in Appendix A of this study supplement.
(m) 1
(m) 1−v Kx + m
• Yd = ä (m) 1
= d(m)
Kx +m
So: Yd = 1−Z
d(m)
, where Z is the present value random variable for an m-thly
whole life insurance of 1 on (x).
(m) P∞ 1 1−Ax
(m)
• E(Yd ) = äx = k Ex
k=0 m m = d(m)
2 (m) (m)
Ax −[Ax ]2
• V ar(Yd ) = [d(m) ]2
(m) 1 1 (m)
• Recursion: äx = m + v m m1 px äx+ 1
m
(m)
• UDD: äx = α(m)äx - β(m); āx = α(∞)äx - β(∞)
(m) m−1 m2 −1
• Woolhouse’s Formula with 3 terms: äx = äx - 2m - 12m2 (δ + µx );
1 1
āx = äx - 2 - 12 (δ + µx )
where Z is the present value random variable for an m-thly n-year en-
dowment insurance of 1 on (x).
(m) Pmn−1 1
(m)
1−Ax:n
• E(Yd ) = äx:n = k=0 m m Ex
k = d(m)
2 (m) (m)
Ax:n −[Ax:n ]2
• V ar(Yd ) = [d(m) ]2
(m) 1 1 (m)
• Recursion: äx:n = m + v m m1 px ä 1 1
x+ m :n− m
(m)
• UDD: äx:n = α(m)äx:n - β(m)(1 − n Ex );
āx:n = α(∞)äx:n - β(∞)(1 − n Ex )
(m) 1 (m)
• Recursion: u| äx = 0 + v m m1 px (u− m1 | äx+ 1 )
m
(m)
• UDD: u| äx = α(m)u| äx - β(m)u Ex ; u| āx = α(∞)u| äx - β(∞)u Ex
(m) m−1 m2 −1
• Woolhouse’s Formula with 3 terms: u| äx = u| äx - 2m u Ex - 12m2 u Ex (δ +
µx+u );
1 1
u| āx = u| äx - 2 u Ex - 12 u Ex (δ + µx+u )
I would not memorize these UDD and Woolhouse’s formulas. Just know
(m) (m)
the m-thly whole life results and use: n| äx = n Ex äx+n .
(m) 1 (m)
• Recursion: u|n äx = 0 + v m m1 px (u− m1 |n äx+ 1 )
m
VARYING ANNUITIES
¯ x=
– With a constant force of mortality: (Iā) 1
(µ+δ)2 .
(1+i)2
– With a constant force of mortality: (Iä)x = (q+i)2
• Provides 1 at the end of the first year, 2 at the end of the second year, 3
at the end of the third year, etc.
P
• E(Yi ) = (Ia)x = ∞ k=1 k k Ex
• Provides 1 at the end of the first year, 2 at the end of the second year,
..., n at the end of year n.
P
• E(Yi ) = (Ia)x:n = nk=1 k k Ex
• Provides n at the end of the first year, n - 1 at the end of the second
year, ..., 1 at the end of year n.
P
• E(Yi ) = (Da)x:n = nk=1 (n − k + 1)k Ex
Also: (Ia)x:n + (Da)x:n = (n + 1)ax:n .
The expected present value of the above annual whole life annuity-due is
äx at iπ .
The expected present value of the above annual n-year temporary life
annuity-due is äx:n at iπ .
6.2 Exercises
6.1. You are given:
(A) 11.0 (B) 11.2 (C) 11.5 (D) 11.8 (E) 12.0
(A) 18.0 (B) 18.1 (C) 18.2 (D) 18.3 (E) 18.4
(i) The payment for the beginning of year (k + 1) is: πk = (1.04)k for k =
0, 1, 2, ..., 19.
(ii) i = 0.06
(iii) lx = 100 - x for 0 ≤ x ≤ 100
(A) 14.6 (B) 14.7 (C) 14.8 (D) 14.9 (E) 15.0
Calculate: ä63 .
(A) 13.2 (B) 13.4 (C) 13.6 (D) 13.8 (E) 14.0
(i) On January 1, 2012, each life is issued a single premium whole life
annuity. The total payment for each year is 12,000, which is payable in equal
monthly installments in advance.
(ii) Each life has mortality that follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iii) i = 0.06
(iv) Deaths are uniformly distributed within each year of age.
(A) 90.0 (B) 90.5 (C) 91.0 (D) 91.5 (E) 92.0
(i) There is a deferral period of 10 years. If Jenn dies during the deferral
period, 80% of the net single premium is refunded without interest at the
end of the year of death.
(ii) During the 15-year period starting at the end of the deferral period,
1000 is payable at the beginning of each month while Jenn is alive. If Jenn is
still alive 25 years after issue, 3000 is payable at the beginning of each month
for life.
(iii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iv) Deaths are uniformly distributed over each year of age.
(v) i = 0.06
(A) 135,500 (B) 136,100 (C) 136,700 (D) 137,300 (E) 137,900
6.7. Consider a 15-year certain and life annuity-due of 24,000 per year on
(65) payable monthly (actual payments are 2000 per month):
(A) 267,900 (B) 268,400 (C) 268,900 (D) 269,400 (E) 269,900
(i) Y1 is the present value random variable for a 10-year temporary life
annuity-due of 1 per year on a select life aged 40 payable quarterly.
(ii) Y2 is the present value random variable for a 10-year certain and life
annuity-due of 1 per year on a select life aged 40 payable quarterly.
(iii) i = 0.05
(iv) Mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model.
(v) Woolhouse’s formula with three terms is used to approximate quarterly
expected present values.
(A) 3.8 (B) 3.9 (C) 4.0 (D) 4.1 (E) 4.2
(i) The payment for the first year is 1000, the payment for the second year
is 3000, and the payment for the third year is 7000.
(ii) k px = (0.97)k for k = 0, 1, 2.
(iii) i = 0.04
(iv) Y is the present value random variable for this annuity.
(A) 1904 (B) 1920 (C) 1936 (D) 1952 (E) 1968
6.10. You are given a life annuity-due on (55) payable monthly. 100 is
payable each month during the first 10 years; 300 is payable each month
after the first 10 years.
Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06. Woolhouse’s
formula with two terms is used to approximate monthly expected present
values.
Calculate the expected present value of this annuity.
(A) 23,710 (B) 24,210 (C) 24,710 (D) 25,210 (E) 25,710
Answers to Exercises
6.1. C
6.2. A
6.3. B
6.4. E
6.5. C
6.6. D
6.7. C
6.8. B
6.9. A
6.10. D
7 PREMIUM CALCULATION I
Terminology:
Net Loss-at-Issue:
• The first step to determining the premiums that the policyholder should
pay to fund the benefits of a particular policy is to determine the appro-
priate net loss-at-issue random variable, ignoring policy expenses:
L0 = 0 L = L =
Present value of future benefits at issue - Present value of future premiums
at issue
= P V F B@0 - P V F P @0
• There will be a loss on a policy if the amount the insurer pays out in
benefits is higher than the amount the insurer collects in premiums; L0
> 0 if P V F B@0 > P V F P @0. There will be a profit on a policy if the
amount the insurer pays out in benefits is smaller than the amount the
insurer collects in premiums; L0 < 0 if P V F B@0 < P V F P @0.
Premium Principles
EQUIVALENCE PRINCIPLE
Benefit Premiums
Fully Continuous Insurance of 1 on (x):
PVFP@0
Continuous PVFB@0 BenefitPremium Benefit
Insurance Premium
Whole
Āx
Life v Tx āTx P̄ (Āx ) = āx
Tx
n-year v , Tx ≤ n āTx , Tx ≤ n
1
Āx:
1 n
Term 0, Tx > n ān , Tx > n P̄ (Āx:n ) = āx:n
n-year 0, Tx ≤ n āTx , Tx ≤ n
Ax:n1
Pure Endowment v n , Tx > n ān , Tx > n P̄ (Ax:n1 ) = āx:n
n-year v Tx , Tx ≤ n āTx , Tx ≤ n
Āx:n
Endowment v n , Tx > n ān , Tx > n P̄ (Āx:n ) = āx:n
h-Payment āTx , Tx ≤ h
Tx Āx
Whole Life v āh , Tx > h h P̄ (Āx ) = ā
x:h
h-Payment
n-year v Tx , Tx ≤ n āTx , Tx ≤ h
Āx:n
Endowment v n , Tx > n āh , Tx > h h P̄ (Āx:n ) = ā
x:h
• In the “Benefit Premium” column, the left hand side of the equals sign
gives the actuarial notation for the benefit premium. Those taking Exam
MLC do not have to know this notation, and can denote the benefit
premium in each row as P .
• For each fully continuous insurance, the benefit premium was determined
E(P V F P @0)
by E(Ln0 ) = E(P V F B@0) - (Benefit Premium) Benefit Premium = 0.
Āx δ Āx 1
• P̄ (Āx ) = āx = 1−Āx
= āx - δ.
Āx:n δ Āx:n 1
• P̄ (Āx:n ) = āx:n = 1−Āx:n
= āx:n - δ.
1
• With a constant force of mortality: P̄ (Āx ) = P̄ (Āx:n ) = µ.
• For a couple of the insurances in the table, there are analytic formulas
for the variance of the net loss-at-issue.
– These formulas for V ar(Ln0 ) are true for any type of premium, not
just a benefit premium, except for the constant force of mortality
formula.
• The equivalence principle can also determine benefit premiums for con-
tinuous annuities. For example:
n| āx
P̄ (n| āx ) = āx:n .
PVFP@0
Annual PVFB@0 BenefitPremium Benefit
Insurance Premium
Whole
Ax
Life v Kx +1 äKx +1 Px = äx
n-year v Kx +1 , Kx < n äKx +1 , Kx < n
1
Ax:
1 n
Term 0, Kx ≥ n än , Kx ≥ n P x:n = äx:n
n-year 0, Kx < n äKx +1 , Kx < n
A 1
Pure Endowment v n , Kx ≥ n än , Kx ≥ n P x:n1 = ä x:n
x:n
n-year v Kx +1 , Kx < n äKx +1 , Kx < n
A
Endowment v n , Kx ≥ n än , Kx ≥ n Px:n = ä x:n
x:n
h-Payment äKx +1 , Kx < h
Ax
Whole Life v Kx +1 äh , Kx ≥ h h Px = ä
x:h
h-Payment
n-year v Kx +1 , Kx < n äKx +1 , Kx < h
Ax:n
Endowment v n , Kx ≥ n äh , Kx ≥ h h Px:n = ä
x:h
• In the “Benefit Premium” column, the left hand side of each equation
gives the actuarial notation for the benefit premium. Those taking Exam
MLC only have to know the notation for the whole life, n-year term, n-
year pure endowment, and n-year endowment rows; and can denote other
benefit premiums as P .
• For each fully discrete insurance, the benefit premium was determined
E(P V F P @0)
by E(Ln0 ) = E(P V F B@0) - (Benefit Premium) Benefit Premium = 0.
Ax dAx 1
• Px = äx = 1−Ax = äx - d.
Ax:n dAx:n 1
• Px:n = äx:n = 1−Ax:n = äx:n - d.
1
• With a constant force of mortality: Px = P x:n = vq.
1
– n Px - P x:n = Ax+n P x:n1
– Px:n - n Px = [1 - Ax+n ]P x:n1
1
– P x:n + P x:n1 = Px:n
• For a couple of the insurances in the table, there are analytic formulas
for the variance of the net loss-at-issue.
– These formulas for V ar(Ln0 ) are true for any type of premium, not
just a benefit premium, except for the constant force of mortality
formula.
– For any other type of fully discrete insurance, use: V ar(Ln0 ) = E[(Ln0 )2 ]
- (E[Ln0 ])2 . If the equivalence principle is used to determine premiums,
then: V ar(Ln0 ) = E[(Ln0 )2 ].
• The equivalence principle can also determine benefit premiums for dis-
crete annuities. For example:
n| äx
P (n| äx ) = äx:n .
• You can obtain this table by taking the table for Fully Continuous
Insurance of 1 on (x) and replacing the continuous premium annuity
with an annual annuity-due.
PVFP@0
Insurance PVFB@0 BenefitPremium Benefit Premium
Tx
Semi-Continuous v , Tx ≤ n äKx +1 , Kx < n
1
Āx:
1 n
n-year Term 0, Tx > n än , Kx ≥ n P (Āx:n )= äx:n
• Those taking Exam MLC do NOT have to know the actuarial notation
for semi-continuous benefit premiums; P is sufficient.
– P (Āx ) = δi Px
1
– P (Āx:n ) = δi P x:n
1
– P (Āx:n ) = δi P x:n
1
+ P x:n1
7.2 Exercises
7.1. On January 1, 2010, Pat purchases a 5-year deferred whole life insurance
of 100,000 payable at the end of the year of death. Premiums of 4000 are
payable at the beginning of each year for the first 5 years, and i = 0.05.
Calculate the loss-at-issue if Pat dies on September 30, 2016.
(A) 48,370 (B) 52,884 (C) 53,756 (D) 57,209 (E) 62,187
(A) 764,059 (B) 809,410 (C) 819,138 (D) 831,810 (E) 879,429
7.4. Paul, age 31, purchases a fully discrete 20-year endowment insurance
of 1000. Assume mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06.
Calculate: 1000P31:20 .
(A) 100 (B) 125 (C) 150 (D) 175 (E) 200
7.7. A fully continuous whole life insurance of 10,000 on (x) is issued with
premiums determined by the equivalence principle.
You are also given:
(A) 0.30 (B) 0.33 (C) 0.36 (D) 0.39 (E) 0.42
7.8. An insurer has just issued each of 100 independent lives aged 35 a
fully discrete 20-year endowment insurance of 1000 with level annual benefit
premiums. Each life has mortality that follows the Illustrative Life Table.
The effective annual interest rate is 0.06.
Using the normal approximation, determine the fund amount at issue, h,
that is necessary so that the insurer is 99% sure that the sum of the 100 loss-
at-issue random variables associated with the endowment insurances will not
exceed h.
(A) 2100 (B) 2200 (C) 2300 (D) 2400 (E) 2500
(i) The death benefit is equal to 2000 plus the return of all benefit premiums
paid in the past without interest.
(ii) ä35 = 19.93
(iii) (IA)35 = 5.58
(iv) i = 0.045
(i) The level annual benefit premium for a fully discrete 20-year term in-
surance of 5000 on (x) is 75.
(ii) The level annual benefit premium for a fully discrete 20-year endow-
ment insurance of 5000 on (x) is 200.
(iii) The level annual benefit premium for a fully discrete 20-payment whole
life insurance of 5000 on (x) is 150.
Calculate the actuarial present value of a fully discrete whole life insurance
of 5000 on (x + 20).
(A) 2000 (B) 2500 (C) 3000 (D) 3500 (E) 4000
(i) 1000 is payable at the end of the year of death if death occurs in the
first ten years; 2000 is payable at the end of the year of death if death occurs
in the next ten years; otherwise, the death benefit is 0.
(ii) Level annual benefit premiums are payable at the beginning of each
year for the first 20 years.
(iii) d = 0.10
(iv) qx = 0.03 for all integer ages x.
Use the equivalence principle to calculate the level annual premium for this
insurance.
Calculate the level annual benefit premium for a fully discrete 5-payment
1
15-year term insurance of 1 on (30): 5 P 30:15 .
(A) 0.06 (B) 0.07 (C) 0.08 (D) 0.09 (E) 0.10
7.14. A fully discrete 5-year endowment insurance of 1000 was just issued
to Math Mage, aged 30. In determining the level annual benefit premium, it
was assumed that i = 0.06 and that Math Mage had mortality that follows
the Illustrative Life Table.
Shortly after issuing the 5-year endowment insurance, it was discovered
that Math Mage had been cursed by Hattendorf. In calculating the level
annual benefit premium, it should have been assumed that i = 0.06 and that
Math Mage had mortality such that the actual force of mortality was µ30 (t)
+ 0.10 for 0 < t < 5, where µ30 (t) is the force of mortality associated with
the Illustrative Life Table.
Calculate the difference between the benefit premium that Math Mage
should be paying calculated using the correct mortality (based on µ30 (t) +
0.10) and the benefit premium actually payable by Math Mage calculated
using the incorrect mortality (Illustrative Life Table).
(i) Benefit premiums are payable at the beginning of each year during the
first five years. The benefit premium payable in each of years one and two is
half of the benefit premium payable in each of years three, four, and five.
(ii) d = 0.04306
(iii) q60 = 0.006155 and q61 = 0.006765
(iv) 5 E60 = 0.77282
(v) ä65 = 13.4662 and ä62:3 = 2.8513
Calculate the benefit premium payable in each of years one and two.
(A) 14,300 (B) 14,600 (C) 14,900 (D) 15,200 (E) 15,500
(i) If the level annual premium is π1 , the standard deviation of the loss-at-
issue random variable is 55,621.49.
(ii) If the level annual premium is π2 , the standard deviation of the loss-
at-issue random variable is 49,441.32.
(iii) π1 is 1.5 times π2 .
(iv) δ = 0.04
(v) Z is the present value random variable for the continuous whole life
insurance of 100,000 on (30).
(A) 37,100 (B) 38,200 (C) 39,300 (D) 40,400 (E) 41,500
7.17. Bruce and Lucius, both aged x, have each just purchased a fully
discrete 3-year term insurance of 1000:
(i) Bruce pays a benefit premium of 175.72 each year. If Bruce dies in the
second year after policy issue, the loss-at-issue is 559.27.
(ii) Lucius pays non-level annual benefit premiums. The first benefit pre-
mium is 100, the second benefit premium is 175, and the third benefit pre-
mium is P .
(iii) Each life has mortality such that: k| qx = (0.3)k+1 for k = 0, 1, 2.
(iv) The effective annual interest rate is i.
Calculate: P .
(A) 285 (B) 315 (C) 345 (D) 375 (E) 405
(i) Level annual benefit premiums are payable at the beginning of the year
during the first 20 years after policy issue.
(ii) There is a death benefit during the premium-paying period, payable
at the end of the year of death, that is equal to the return of all benefit
premiums previously paid with interest at 6%.
(iii) i = 0.06
(iv) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(A) 1180 (B) 1210 (C) 1240 (D) 1270 (E) 1300
(i) A fully discrete 2-year deferred, 3-year term insurance of 1000 is issued
to a life aged x.
(ii) Level annual premiums are only payable during the first two years.
(iii) The level annual premium is determined such that the average loss-
at-issue is zero.
(iv) v = 0.90
(v) k| qx = 0.05(1 + k) for k = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4; 5| qx = 0.25
(A) 193 (B) 226 (C) 258 (D) 295 (E) 331
7.20. Paul is attempting to determine the level annual benefit premium for
a fully discrete 20-year endowment insurance of 10,000 on (55). Paul assumes
the following:
(i) i = 0.06
(ii) Paul is not sure of the future lifetime distribution of (55). He believes
there is an 80% probability that the mortality of (55) follows the Illustrative
Life Table, and that there is a 20% probability that the mortality of (55) is
such that k| q55 = 0.05 for k = 0, 1, 2, ..., 19.
(A) 384 (B) 414 (C) 444 (D) 474 (E) 504
Answers to Exercises
7.1. B
7.2. D
7.3. C
7.4. D
7.5. E
7.6. B
7.7. D
7.8. E
7.9. A
7.10. C
7.11. B
7.12. D
7.13. B
7.14. A
7.15. B
7.16. A
7.17. B
7.18. D
7.19. C
7.20. B
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #6, 14, 29, 40, 47, 51, 76, 84, 92, 96, 97,
99, 111, 119, 127, 142, 154, 157, 172, 174, 184, 204, 221, 228, 309
• You can obtain this table by taking the table for Fully Continuous
Insurance of 1 on (x) in Premium Calculation I and replacing the
continuous premium annuity with an m-thly annuity-due.
PVFP@0
Insurance PVFB@0 BenefitPremium Benefit Premium
(m)
Continuous v Tx , Tx ≤ n ä (m) 1 , Kx < n
Kx +m
1
Āx:
(m)
n-year Term 0, Tx > n än , Kx ≥n P (m) (Āx:n
1
)= (m)
n
äx:n
with m-thly premiums
• You do NOT have to know the actuarial notation for m-thly benefit
premiums; P is sufficient.
(m) (m) 1 2 1
• Kx < n means that Kx = 0, m, m, ..., n - m.
Gross Loss-at-Issue:
• The first step to determining the premiums that the policyholder should
pay to fund both the benefits and expenses associated with a particular
policy is to determine the appropriate
gross loss-at-issue random variable:
• There will be a loss on a policy if the amount the insurer pays out in
benefits and expenses is higher than the amount the insurer collects in
premiums; L0 > 0 if P V F B@0 + P V F E@0 > P V F P @0. There will be
a profit on a policy if the amount the insurer pays out in benefits and
expenses is smaller than the amount the insurer collects in premiums; L0
< 0 if P V F B@0 + P V F E@0 < P V F P @0.
• Premiums calculated using the gross loss-at-issue are called gross premiums.
Gross premiums are denoted as G.
• The gross premium pays for both the benefits and expenses of a policy.
It makes sense that a gross premium (G) can be decomposed into the
sum of two premiums: a benefit premium that pays for just the benefits
(P ) plus an expense premium or expense loading that pays for just the
expenses (e):
G = P + e.
Expense Terminology
• Initial Year: The first policy year. Expenses incurred at the start of
the first year may be called initial expenses.
• Renewal Year: Any policy year after the first. Expenses incurred at
the start of a renewal year may be called renewal expenses.
The best way to calculate percentile premiums for a life insurance on (x)
is to use the following approach:
• Let L0,i denote the loss-at-issue for policy number i in the portfolio, where
i = 1, 2, ..., N .
PN
• Let S = i=1 L0,i .
• The Portfolio Percentile Premium Principle solves for the premium for
each policy via the following, where Φ(.) denotes the c.d.f. of a standard
normal distribution:
=⇒ Φ(− √E(S) ) = 1 - α
V (S)
p
• Note: Both E(S) and V (S) will be functions of the premium.
Set - √E(S) = z1−α , the 100(1 - α)-th percentile of the standard normal
V (S)
distribution, and solve for the premium.
8.2 Exercises
8.1. For a special fully discrete 2-year term insurance on a select life aged 30
payable at the end of the year of death:
(A) 0.20 (B) 0.23 (C) 0.26 (D) 0.29 (E) 0.32
8.2. Calculate the level annual net premium for a 20-year endowment
insurance of 50,000 on (40) where the death benefit is payable at the moment
of death and premiums are payable at the beginning of each month. Assume
that mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, i = 0.06, and deaths are
uniformly distributed over each year of age.
(A) 1430 (B) 1450 (C) 1470 (D) 1490 (E) 1510
(A) 0.02 (B) 0.03 (C) 0.04 (D) 0.05 (E) 0.06
8.4. You are given a special fully discrete 20-year pure endowment insur-
ance of 20,000 on (30):
(i) Level gross premiums are payable at the beginning of each month during
the first ten years.
(ii) The monthly gross premium is 115% of the monthly benefit premium
payable at the beginning of each month during the first ten years.
(iii) Deaths are uniformly distributed within each year of age.
(iv) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06.
(A) 455 (B) 465 (C) 475 (D) 485 (E) 495
8.7. An insurer issues whole life insurance policies to lives aged 30. The
sum insured of 100,000 is paid at the end of the year of death, and level
annual premiums are payable at the beginning of each year.
Initial expenses are 1500 plus 20% of the first premium. Renewal expenses
are 4% of the second and subsequent premiums.
Assume mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06.
Using the normal approximation, calculate the annual premium via the
portfolio percentile premium principle, such that the probability that the
loss-at-issue on the portfolio is negative is 0.90. Assume a portfolio of 1000
identical, independent policies.
(A) 800 (B) 810 (C) 820 (D) 830 (E) 840
(A) 14,400 (B) 14,700 (C) 15,000 (D) 15,300 (E) 15,600
8.9. On January 1, 2012, Pat purchases a 5-year deferred whole life in-
surance of 100,000 payable at the end of the year of death. You are given:
(i) Level gross premiums of 5000 are payable at the beginning of each year
for the first 5 years.
(ii) There is an acquisition expense of 100 that is payable on the policy
issue date.
(iii) There is an annual maintenance expense of 20 payable at the beginning
of each year, including the first year.
(iv) There is a first year total percent of premium expense of 15% of the
gross premium, and a renewal year total percent of premium expense of 5%
of the gross premium; all percent of premium expenses are payable at the
beginning of the year.
(v) There is a claims settlement expense of 120, payable at the time the
death benefit is paid.
(vi) i = 0.05.
(A) -12,925 (B) -9,221 (C) 26,409 (D) 43,857 (E) 73,562
(A) 2410 (B) 2440 (C) 2470 (D) 2500 (E) 2530
Year 1 Years 2+
% Premium Per Policy % Premium Per Policy
Taxes 5% — 5% —
Sales Commission 20% — 5% —
Policy Maintenance — 20 — 10
(iv) There is also a claims settlement expense of 50, payable at the time
the sum insured is paid.
Calculate the level annual gross premium using the equivalence principle.
(A) 160 (B) 165 (C) 170 (D) 175 (E) 180
(A) 0.974 (B) 0.977 (C) 0.980 (D) 0.983 (E) 0.986
Calculate: K.
Using the equivalence principle, calculate the annual level expense pre-
mium.
(A) 110 (B) 120 (C) 130 (D) 140 (E) 150
8.15. The level annual gross premium for a fully discrete 20-year endow-
ment insurance of 10,000 on (45) is determined using the following assump-
tions:
(vi) The level annual gross premium is calculated using the equivalence
principle.
Calculate the difference between the gross premium and the loading for
expenses in the gross premium.
(A) 300 (B) 320 (C) 340 (D) 360 (E) 380
(i) The term insurance has a basic sum insured of 100,000; compound
reversionary bonuses at the rate of 3.5% will vest at the end of each year.
(ii) Level gross premiums are payable at the beginning of the month during
the 15 years.
(iii) The insurer has initial expenses of 2000 plus 4% of the first monthly
gross premium, and renewal expenses of 1% of the second and subsequent
monthly gross premiums.
(iv) Mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model, and i = 0.05.
(v) A[40] and A55 , each at an effective annual interest rate of (1.05/1.035 -
1), are equal to 0.516777 and 0.634596, respectively.
(vi) Woolhouse’s formula with three terms is used to calculate monthly
annuity-due expected present values.
8.17. Consider a special fully discrete whole life insurance on a select life
aged 50:
(i) The death benefit is 120,000 during the first 15 years, and is 72,000
thereafter.
(ii) Gross premiums are G during the first 15 years, and are 0.6G thereafter.
(iii) There is a claims settlement expense of 100, payable at the same time
as the death benefit.
(iv) Expenses are 20% of the first gross premium, and 2% of each renewal
gross premium. Expenses are paid at the beginning of the year.
(v) Mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model, and i = 0.05.
(A) 900 (B) 950 (C) 1000 (D) 1050 (E) 1100
(A) 3100 (B) 3200 (C) 3300 (D) 3400 (E) 3500
8.19. For the insurance described in Exercise 8.18, calculate the probability
that the gross loss-at-issue is positive.
(A) 0.027 (B) 0.031 (C) 0.035 (D) 0.039 (E) 0.043
(i) The contract premium is the level annual gross premium determined
using the equivalence principle.
(ii) The level annual net premium is 13.
(iii) There is a level annual expense that is payable at the beginning of
each year.
(iv) i = 0.03
(v) Ax = 0.20 and 2 Ax = 0.09
(A) 323 (B) 333 (C) 343 (D) 353 (E) 363
Answers to Exercises
8.1. A
8.2. C
8.3. B
8.4. A
8.5. E
8.6. C
8.7. C
8.8. E
8.9. A
8.10. C
8.11. D
8.12. D
8.13. B
8.14. D
8.15. A
8.16. B
8.17. D
8.18. C
8.19. D
8.20. A
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #24, 37, 60, 129, 139, 147, 170, 190,
198, 239, 240, 245, 246, 247, 248
9 RESERVES I
• Note: the benefit reserve at time 0, 0 V = E(L0 ), must equal zero by the
equivalence principle.
• The prospective benefit reserve formula is very useful for a policy where
no premiums are payable after time t, as t V = E(P V F B@t).
1 1
n-year Āx+t:n−t - P̄ (Āx:n )āx+t:n−t , t < n
1
Term t V̄ (Āx:n ) 0, t = n
1
n-year Ax+t:n−t - P̄ (Ax:n1 )āx+t:n−t , t < n
Pure Endowment t V̄ (Ax:n1 ) 1, t = n
• In the “Prospective Benefit Reserve Formula” column, the left hand side
of the equals sign gives the notation for the benefit reserve. For example,
1
t V̄ (Āx:n ) denotes the benefit reserve at time t for a fully continuous n-year
term insurance of 1 that was issued to a life aged x.
• For each fully continuous insurance, the prospective benefit reserve was
determined by E(Lnt ) = E(P V F B@t) - E(P V F P @t).
1
• With a constant force of mortality: t V̄ (Āx ) = t V̄ (Āx:n ) = 0.
• For a couple of the insurances in the table, there are analytic formulas
for the variance of the net future loss at time t.
– These formulas for V ar(Lnt ) are true for any type of premium, not
just a benefit premium, except for the constant force of mortality
formula. Just use the appropriate premium in the formula.
1 1
n-year Ax+k:n−k - P x:n äx+k:n−k , k < n
1
Term k V x:n 0, k = n
1
n-year Ax+k:n−k - P x:n1 äx+k:n−k , k < n
1
Pure Endowment k V x:n 1, k = n
• In the “Prospective Benefit Reserve Formula” column, the left hand side
of the equals sign gives the actuarial notation for the benefit reserve. For
1
example, k V x:n denotes the benefit reserve at time k for a fully discrete
n-year term insurance of 1 that was issued to a life aged x. Those taking
Exam MLC do not have to know this notation, and can denote the benefit
reserve in each row as k V or k V n .
• For each fully discrete insurance, the prospective benefit reserve was de-
termined by E(Lnk ) = E(P V F B@k) - E(P V F P @k).
A −Ax:n ä
x+k:n−k x+k:n−k
• k Vx:n = Ax+k:n−k - Px:n äx+k:n−k = 1−Ax:n =1- äx:n
= (Px+k:n−k - Px:n )äx+k:n−k for k < n.
1
• With a constant force of mortality: k Vx = k V x:n = 0.
• For a couple of the insurances in the table, there are analytic formulas
for the variance of the net future loss at time k.
– These formulas for V ar(Lnk ) are true for any type of premium, not
just a benefit premium, except for the constant force of mortality
formula. Just use the appropriate premium in the formula.
– For any other type of fully discrete insurance, use: V ar(Lnk ) = E[(Lnk )2 ]
- (E[Lnk ])2 .
• You can obtain this table by taking the table for Fully Continuous
Insurance of 1 on (x) and replacing the continuous premium annuity
with an annual annuity-due.
1 1
n-year Āx+k:n−k - P (Āx:n )äx+k:n−k , k < n
1
Term kV (Āx:n ) 0, k = n
• Those taking Exam MLC do NOT have to know the actuarial notation
for semi-continuous benefit reserves; k V or k V n is sufficient.
Retrospective Approach
• This formula emphasizes that the benefit reserve is the accumulated fund
that the insurer needs to have by time t that along with future premiums,
on average, will fund the future benefits of a policy. The accumulated
fund is the accumulated premiums from issue up to time t ( E[PVFPt Eon
x
[0, t]]
)
less the accumulated value of any benefits paid from issue up to time t
( E[PVFBt Eon
x
[0, t]]
).
• The retrospective benefit reserve formula is very useful for a policy where
no benefits are payable before time t, as t V = E[PVFPt Eon
x
[0, t]]
.
• The prospective benefit reserve will equal the retrospective benefit reserve
for a particular policy at a specific time as long as the same assumptions
and basis (interest and mortality) are used.
P̄ (Āx )āx:t Ā 1
x:t
Whole Life t V̄ (Āx ) t Ex
- t Ex
1 )ā
P̄ (Āx: Ā 1
n x:t x:t
n-year t Ex
- t Ex
,t<n
1
Term t V̄ (Āx:n ) 0, t = n
P̄ (Ax:n1 )āx:t
n-year t Ex
,t<n
Pure Endowment t V̄ (Ax:n1 ) 1, t = n
P̄ (Āx:n )āx:t Ā 1
x:t
n-year t Ex
- t Ex
,t<n
Endowment t V̄ (Āx:n ) 1, t = n
h P̄ (Āx )āx:t Ā 1
x:t
h-Payment t Ex
- t Ex
,t≤h
h P̄ (Āx )ā Ā 1
h x:h x:t
Whole Life t V̄ (Āx ) t Ex
- t Ex
,t>h
h P̄ (Āx:n )āx:t Ā 1
x:t
h-Payment t Ex
- t Ex
,t≤h<n
h P̄ (Āx:n )ā Ā 1
h x:h x:t
n -year Endowment t V̄ (Āx:n ) t Ex
- t Ex
,h<t<n
1, t = n
Px ä A1
x:k x:k
Whole Life k Vx k Ex
- k Ex
1 ä
P x: A1
n x:k x:k
n-year k Ex
- k Ex
,k<n
1
Term k V x:n 0, k = n
P x:n1 ä
x:k
n-year ,k<n
k Ex
1
Pure Endowment kV x:n 1, k = n
Px:n ä A1
x:k x:k
n-year k Ex
- k Ex
,k<n
Endowment k Vx:n 1, k = n
h Px ä A1
x:k x:k
h-Payment k Ex
- k Ex
,k<h
h Px ä A1
h x:h x:k
Whole Life k Vx k Ex
- k Ex
,k≥h
h Px:n ä A1
x:k x:k
h-Payment k Ex
- k Ex
,k<h<n
h Px:n ä A1
h x:h x:k
n - year Endowment k Vx:n k Ex
- k Ex
,h≤k<n
1, k = n
9.2 Exercises
9.1. For a fully continuous 5-year endowment insurance of 1000 on (x):
Calculate the future loss at time 2 assuming (x) dies exactly 6.2 years after
issue.
(A) 355 (B) 400 (C) 445 (D) 490 (E) 535
(i) i = 0.08
(ii) Mortality follows: lx = 50(100 - x) for 0 ≤ x ≤ 100.
(iii) Premiums are determined by the equivalence principle.
Calculate the future loss at time 1, given (30) dies in the second year after
policy issue.
(A) 900 (B) 910 (C) 920 (D) 930 (E) 940
(A) 0.42 (B) 0.46 (C) 0.50 (D) 0.54 (E) 0.58
9.4. Which of the following is not equal to the benefit reserve for a fully
discrete whole life insurance of 1 on (35) at the end of policy year 6?
(A) 0.013 (B) 0.016 (C) 0.019 (D) 0.022 (E) 0.025
9.6. Consider two groups of lives: Group 1 and Group 2. Each group
consists of 1000 lives aged 25.
(i) Each life in Group 1 is issued a fully discrete 15-year term insurance
policy with face amount 10,000 assuming mortality follows the Illustrative
Life Table.
(ii) Each life in Group 2 is issued a fully discrete 15-year term insurance
policy with face amount 10,000 assuming qx = 0.015 for all integer ages x.
(iii) i = 0.06
Calculate the absolute value of the difference between the expected aggre-
gate reserves for Group 1 and Group 2, each at time 10.
(A) 24,900 (B) 25,000 (C) 25,100 (D) 25,200 (E) 25,300
9.8. For a 10-year deferred whole life annuity-due of 1 per year on (35):
(i) Level benefit premiums are payable at the beginning of the year during
the first ten years.
(ii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iii) i = 0.06
(A) 5.6 (B) 5.8 (C) 6.0 (D) 6.2 (E) 6.4
9.9. For a 10-year deferred whole life insurance of 1 on (35) with benefit
payable at the moment of death:
(A) 0.12 (B) 0.16 (C) 0.20 (D) 0.24 (E) 0.28
(i) The death benefit is 1000 if death occurs within 10 years, 2000 if death
occurs after 10 years and before 20 years, and 3000 if death occurs after 20
years.
(ii) The benefit premium is P (1 + k) for year k + 1 where k = 0, 1, ...,9.
The benefit premium is zero after the tenth year.
(iii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iv) i = 0.06
(A) 660 (B) 670 (C) 680 (D) 690 (E) 700
(i) The death benefit is 1000(k + 1) for year k + 1 where k = 0, 1, ..., 19.
The death benefit is 20,000 for year k + 1 where k = 20, 21, ...
(ii) There are level annual benefit premiums.
(iii) 20 px = 0.9566
(iv) (IA)x = 5.79
(v) (IA)x+20 = 7.43
(vi) Ax = 0.1531
(vii) Ax+20 = 0.3219
(viii) Ax:201 = 0.3966
(A) 4160 (B) 4200 (C) 4240 (D) 4280 (E) 4320
(i) ½
0.05 for 0 ≤ t < 10
µx (t) =
0.08 for t ≥ 10
(ii) δ = 0.05
Calculate the expected value of the future loss random variable at time 10.
(A) 320 (B) 340 (C) 360 (D) 380 (E) 400
(i) ½
0.05 for 0 ≤ t < 15
µx (t) =
0.07 for 15 ≤ t < 20
(ii) ½
0.07 for 0 ≤ t < 15
δt =
0.08 for 15 ≤ t < 20
Calculate the benefit reserve at the end of the 14th policy year.
(A) 225 (B) 245 (C) 265 (D) 285 (E) 305
9.14. Suppose mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06.
For a 30-year deferred whole life annuity-due of 1 per year on (35), with
level benefit premiums payable at the beginning of the year for each of the
first 30 years, calculate the benefit reserve at time 20.
(A) 3.8 (B) 3.9 (C) 4.0 (D) 4.1 (E) 4.2
(i) 10 L is the prospective loss, at time 10, for a fully discrete whole life
insurance of 1 on (50).
(ii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iii) i = 0.06
(iv) Annual premiums are calculated using the equivalence principle.
(A) 0.058 (B) 0.063 (C) 0.068 (D) 0.073 (E) 0.078
Calculate: V ar[L8 ].
(A) 840,000 (B) 850,000 (C) 860,000 (D) 870,000 (E) 880,000
9.17. You are given a fully discrete whole life insurance of 5000 on (40):
(i) The level annual benefit premium for a fully discrete whole life insurance
of 1 on (40) is 0.03.
(ii) The expected present value of a whole life annuity-due of 1 per year
on (40) is 10.
(iii) The benefit reserve at the end of year 10 for a fully discrete whole life
insurance of 1 on (30) is 0.10.
(iv) The benefit reserve at the end of year 20 for a fully discrete whole life
insurance of 1 on (30) is 0.25.
Calculate the level annual benefit premium for a fully discrete whole life
insurance of 1 on (50).
(A) 0.04 (B) 0.05 (C) 0.06 (D) 0.07 (E) 0.08
(i) A fully discrete 2-year deferred, 3-year term insurance of 1000 is issued
to a life aged x.
(ii) The level annual benefit premium is 209.27, and is only payable during
the first two years.
(iii) v = 0.90
(iv) k| qx = 0.05(1 + k) for k = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4; 5| qx = 0.25
Calculate the second least likely value of the prospective loss at time 1.
(A) 450 (B) 520 (C) 600 (D) 690 (E) 740
9.20. Each of 100 independent lives age 30 are issued a fully discrete 30-
year endowment insurance of 1000 with level annual benefit premiums:
Using the normal approximation, calculate the fund required at the end
of the first ten years so that there is a 95% probability of covering the total
prospective loss for the remaining policies at the end of ten years.
(A) 17,560 (B) 18,060 (C) 18,560 (D) 19,060 (E) 19,560
Answers to Exercises
9.1. A
9.2. B
9.3. D
9.4. E
9.5. A
9.6. A
9.7. D
9.8. C
9.9. B
9.10. D
9.11. A
9.12. E
9.13. C
9.14. D
9.15. D
9.16. D
9.17. D
9.18. B
9.19. C
9.20. A
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #10, 27, 68, 77, 78, 115, 132, 169, 203,
208, 222, 227, 287
• You can obtain this table by taking the table for Fully Continuous
Insurance of 1 on (x) in RESERVES I: KEY CONCEPTS and
replacing the continuous premium annuity with an m-thly annuity-due.
1 (m)
n-year Āx+k:n−k - P (m) (Āx:n
1
)äx+k:n−k , k < n
(m) 1
Term kV (Āx:n ) 0, k = n
• You do NOT have to know the actuarial notation for m-thly benefit
reserves; k V or k V n is sufficient.
1 2 1
• k < n means that k = 0, m, m, ..., n - m.
(
1 (m)
(m)1 Ax+k:n−k − P (m)1x:n äx+k:n−k for k < n
kV x:n =
0 for k = n
The policy value at time t is called the gross premium reserve at time
t. The gross premium reserve represents the accumulated fund that the
insurer needs to have at some future time that in addition to future
gross premiums should, on average, fund the future benefits and expenses
associated with the policy.
This formula emphasizes that the gross premium reserve is the accumu-
lated fund that the insurer needs to have by time t that along with future
premiums, on average, will fund the future benefits and expenses of a pol-
icy. The accumulated fund is the accumulated premiums from issue up
to time t ( E[PVFPt Eon
x
[0, t]]
) less the accumulated value of any benefits and
expenses paid from issue up to time t ( E[PVFB on [0, t]]+E[PVFE
t Ex
on [0, t]]
).
• The prospective gross premium reserve will equal the retrospective gross
premium reserve as long as the equivalence principle and the same basis
(interest, mortality, expenses) are used.
• The gross premium reserve helps fund both the future benefits and ex-
penses of a policy. With the equivalence principle used to calculate pre-
miums, it makes sense that (t V g ) can be decomposed into the sum of two
reserves: a benefit reserve that helps fund just the benefits (t V n ) plus an
expense reserve that helps fund just the expenses (t V e ):
g
tV = tV n + tV e.
Reserve Recursions:
• k+s V is the interim benefit reserve, the policy value at some time between
policy anniversaries.
• The exact “recursion” formula for the interim benefit reserve is:
k+s V = v 1−s (bk+1 )1−s qx+k+s + v 1−s (k+1 V )1−s px+k+s .
k+s V = v 1−s (bk+1 + Ek+1 )1−s qx+k+s + v 1−s (k+1 V )1−s px+k+s .
• Similar formulas for policies with m-thly benefits and/or premiums can
be similarly reasoned out when necessary: handle these on a case-by-case
basis.
• The full preliminary term method modifies benefit reserves so that they
can approximate gross premium reserves. Gross premium reserves tend
to be lower than benefit reserves because the expense reserve is often
negative.
The method is such that: a life insurance on (x) with a term of n years
is decomposed into two separate insurances: (i) a 1-year term insurance
on (x) that provides coverage for the first policy year plus (ii) the same
type of life insurance as the original except on (x + 1) with a term of n
- 1 years.
• Theoretically, a lower benefit premium could be charged for the first year
with higher level benefit premiums charged in the second and subsequent
years. In reality, we only care about the full preliminary term reserves
denoted as k V F P T : modified benefit reserves that lower the reserve value
to approximate gross premium reserves.
• For example, consider the full preliminary term method on a fully discrete
whole life insurance of S on (x).
Policy Alterations:
• After a policy has been in force for some time, a policyholder may want
to alter the policy terms. For example, the policyholder may want to:
– Immediately cancel the policy. This will result in a lump sum payment
to the policyholder called the surrender value or cash value.
– Keep the policy but pay no more premiums; the policyholder wants a
paid-up policy. Typically, the face amount of the paid-up policy will
be smaller than the face amount of the original policy.
– Convert the policy into a different type; for example, a whole life
policy may be converted into an endowment insurance.
– Change the amount of benefits and/or premiums.
– Determine the surrender value for the original policy, Ct . This will
typically be a percentage of the reserve or asset share at time t.
– If the policy is canceled at time t, then Ct is paid to the policyholder
and we are done. If the policy is otherwise altered at time t, treat Ct
as an extra-preliminary premium that will help fund the purchase of
the altered policy.
– Let * denoted the altered policy. Use the equivalence principle at
time t to relate the benefits, expenses, and premiums (including the
extra-preliminary premium) for the altered policy:
Ct + E ∗ [P V F P @t] = E ∗ [P V F B@t] + E ∗ [P V F E@t].
You can use this equivalence relation to solve for the required param-
eter of the altered policy. Handle these problems on a case-by-case
basis.
Gain by Source:
Problem 300) For a fully discrete 20-year term life insurance on (40):
• Values in year 4:
Anticipated Actual
Gross annual premium 90 90
Expenses as a percent of premium 0.030 0.025
q43 0.003 0.002
Annual effective rate of interest 0.05 0.04
• Expected value of the present value of future losses random variable based
on assumed values in years 3 and later.
A company issued the 20-year term life insurance to 1000 lives age 40
with independent future lifetimes. At the end of the 3rd year 990 insurances
remain in force.
Calculate the total gain from mortality, interest and expenses in year 4
from the 990 insurances.
• For policy year k + 1, the profit per inforce policy at the start of the year
can be calculated as:
P rk+1 = (k V + Gk − ek )(1 + ik ) - (qx+k )(bk+1 + Ek+1 ) - (px+k )(k+1 V ).
• The total gain from mortality, interest, and expenses in year k + 1 per
inforce policy is:
Actual Anticipated
P rk+1 - P rk+1 .
• So, we can calculate the total gain in year 4 per inforce policy as follows:
• P r4Anticipated
= [100 + 90 − (0.030)(90)](1.05) - (0.003)(10, 000) - (1 − 0.003)(125)
= 42.04.
• P r4Actual
= [100 + 90 − (0.025)(90)](1.04) - (0.002)(10, 000) - (1 − 0.002)(125)
= 50.51.
(990)(8.47) = 8385.30.
Note that as interest has already been considered, you should use the
actual interest rate in this part of the calculation.
The total gain in year 4 per inforce policy is: 9.875 - 1.873 + 0.468 = 8.47,
and the total gain in year 4 is: 9776.25 - 1854.27 + 463.32 = 8385.30, which
both agree with the previously obtained values.
10.2 Exercises
10.1. For a whole life insurance of 1000 on (35) payable at the moment of
death:
(i) Benefit premiums are payable at the beginning of each quarter of a year.
(ii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06.
(iii) Deaths are uniformly distributed over each year of age.
(A) 110 (B) 120 (C) 130 (D) 140 (E) 150
(i) i = 0.10
(ii) qx+1 = 0.25
(iii) The level annual net premium is 929.13.
Calculate: qx .
(A) 0.16 (B) 0.17 (C) 0.18 (D) 0.19 (E) 0.20
(i) The death benefit is 100,000 if death occurs before age 65, otherwise
the death benefit is 200,000.
(ii) Gross premiums are determined using the equivalence principle.
(iii) Expenses are 20% of the first year’s gross premium, and 5% of the
second and subsequent year’s gross premium. These expenses are payable at
the beginning of the year.
(iv) ä40 = 19.20, ä41 = 19.00, ä65 = 13.40, 25| ä40 = 4.02
(v) p40 = 0.99
Calculate the gross premium reserve at the end of the 25th year.
(A) 72,400 (B) 74,600 (C) 76,800 (D) 78,200 (E) 80,400
10.5. For a fully discrete whole life insurance of 100,000 on a select life
aged 60:
Calculate the gross premium reserve at the end of the tenth year.
(A) 16,600 (B) 17,100 (C) 17,600 (D) 18,100 (E) 18,600
(i) The level annual gross premium is calculated using the equivalence
principle.
(ii) qx+k = 0.10 + 0.01k for k = 0, 1, 2.
(iii) There is a per policy expense of 15.00 at the beginning of the first
year, and 7.50 at the beginning of each renewal year. There is a percent of
premium expense of 25% of the gross premium at the beginning of the first
year, and 5% of the gross premium at the beginning of each renewal year.
(iv) i = 0.05
Calculate the difference between the gross premium reserve and the benefit
reserve at the end of policy year 1.
10.7. Consider the setup provided in Exercise 10.6. Further assume deaths
are uniformly distributed over each year of age. Calculate the gross premium
reserve at time 0.75.
(i) Level gross premiums are determined using the equivalence principle.
(ii) i = 0.05
(iii) A 20% of gross premium expense is payable at the beginning of the
first year. A 5% of gross premium expense is payable at the beginning of
each renewal year. A settlement expense of 20 is payable at the same time
as the death benefit.
(iv) qx+2 = 0.051 and qx+3 = 0.054.
(v) Let k V denote the gross premium reserve at time k. Then: 2 V = 8.20
and 3 V = 15.58.
Calculate: 4 V .
(A) 3030 (B) 3040 (C) 3050 (D) 3060 (E) 3070
(i) The death benefit is 2500 plus the net premium reserve at the end of
the year of death.
(ii) There are level annual net premiums.
(iii) i = 0.04
(iv) qx+k = 0.01 + 0.005k for k = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4.
Calculate the net premium reserve at the end of the first year.
(i) The death benefit is 5000 plus the benefit reserve at the end of the year
of death. The pure endowment benefit is 5000.
(ii) There are level annual benefit premiums.
(iii) p65+h = 0.97 for h = 0, 1, 2
(iv) i = 0.06
(A) 1550 (B) 1570 (C) 1590 (D) 1610 (E) 1630
(i) The death benefit is 10,000 plus the benefit reserve at the end of the
year of death.
(ii) Mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model, i = 0.05.
(i) i = 0.06
(ii) The level annual gross premium is 5.04.
(iii) The following expenses, paid at the beginning of the year:
Calculate the gross future loss at time 1, given (40) dies in the third year
after policy issue.
(A) 850 (B) 860 (C) 870 (D) 880 (E) 890
(A) 160 (B) 170 (C) 180 (D) 190 (E) 200
(i) The death benefit is payable at the end of the month of death.
(ii) Level gross premiums of 460 are payable at the beginning of each
quarter of a year for at most five years.
(iii) There is a 10% of gross premium expense payable at the beginning of
each quarter of a year.
(iv) Mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model, i = 0.05
(v) Deaths are uniformly distributed within each year of age.
(vi) The benefit reserve at time 2.75 is 3091.
(A) 3320 (B) 3380 (C) 3340 (D) 3400 (E) 3460
Using Euler’s method with step 0.10 to numerically solve Thiele’s Differ-
ential Equation, approximate 4.80 V .
(A) 2.2 (B) 2.3 (C) 2.4 (D) 2.5 (E) 2.6
Using Euler’s method with step 0.2 to numerically solve Thiele’s Differen-
tial Equation, approximate 19.8 V .
(A) 9900 (B) 9920 (C) 9940 (D) 9960 (E) 9980
(i) Mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model, and i = 0.05.
(ii) The annual rate of gross premium is 150.
(iii) The annual rate of per policy expense is 50.
Estimate the gross premium reserve at time 9.8 using Euler’s method with
step size 0.1 to numerically solve Thiele’s Differential Equation.
(A) 950 (B) 960 (C) 970 (D) 980 (E) 990
(i) A level net premium of 1465.62 is payable continuously each year during
the first 10 years.
(ii) Mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model, and i = 0.05.
(iii) Deaths are uniformly distributed within each year of age.
10.20. Consider the setup provided in Exercise 10.19. Estimate the benefit
reserve at time 9.8 using Euler’s method with step size 0.2 to numerically
solve Thiele’s Differential Equation.
(A) 18,000 (B) 18,500 (C) 19,000 (D) 19,500 (E) 20,000
Calculate the full preliminary term reserve at the end of year 10 for a fully
discrete 30-year endowment insurance of 1000 on (70).
(A) 250 (B) 260 (C) 270 (D) 280 (E) 290
(A) 3.68 (B) 3.74 (C) 3.80 (D) 3.86 (E) 3.94
Calculate the full preliminary term reserve for this insurance at the end of
year 9.
(A) 3180 (B) 3220 (C) 3260 (D) 3300 (E) 3340
10.24. You are given a fully discrete whole life insurance of 5000 on (25).
Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06.
Calculate the difference between the net premium reserve at time 5 and
the full preliminary term reserve at time 5.
(i) The full preliminary term reserve at the end of year 2 is 40.98.
(ii) ä45 = 18.54 and ä47 = 18.00
(iii) q45 = 0.015
Calculate the first year benefit premium using the full preliminary term
method.
(A) 8240 (B) 8930 (C) 9620 (D) 10,310 (E) 11,000
10.27. For a whole life insurance of 50,000 on (30) payable at the end of
the month of death:
After 10 years, the policyholder wants to immediately convert the whole life
insurance into a 10-year term insurance of S payable at the end of the month
of death. Furthermore, the policyholder wants to pay no more premiums;
that is, the policyholder wants a paid-up 10-year term insurance.
The insurer now anticipates a per-policy expense of 20 will be payable at
the beginning of each month while the 10-year term insurance is in force.
Using the equivalence principle at time 10, calculate: S.
(A) 49,000 (B) 49,700 (C) 50,400 (D) 51,100 (E) 51,800
10.28. For a fully discrete 20-year endowment insurance on (35) that has
been in force for 10 years:
(i) The death benefit is 5000, and the pure endowment benefit is 7500.
(ii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iii) i = 0.06
(iv) The surrender value is equal to 95% of the benefit reserve.
Using the equivalence principle at time 10, calculate the reduced pure
endowment benefit.
(A) 4400 (B) 4800 (C) 5200 (D) 5600 (E) 6000
(i) Mortality follows the Standard Select Survival Model, and i = 0.05.
(ii) The level annual gross premium, determined using the equivalence
principle at issue, is 83.16.
(iii) Expenses are 40% of gross premium plus 50.00 in the first year, and
10% of gross premium plus 12.50 in renewal years. All expenses are paid at
the beginning of the year.
(iv) The surrender value is equal to the gross premium reserve.
After 12 years, the policyholder wants the face amount of the policy dou-
bled. As a result, the level annual gross premium will be increased, including
the gross premium payable at the beginning of the thirteenth year.
Using the equivalence principle (at time 12), calculate the increased level
annual gross premium.
(A) 170 (B) 190 (C) 210 (D) 230 (E) 250
(A) 3380 (B) 3400 (C) 3420 (D) 3440 (E) 3460
(A) 7370 (B) 7480 (C) 7540 (D) 7940 (E) 8120
10.32. For a special fully discrete 10-year deferred whole life insurance of
100,000 on (x):
(i) The level annual gross premium is 3600, and is payable at the beginning
of the year during the deferral period.
(ii) It is expected that: (a) i = 0.05, (b) qx+k = 0.005 + 0.001k for k = 0,
1, 2, ...,19, and (c) there is an expense of 0.80 per 1000 of insurance at the
beginning of the first year, an expense of 0.20 per 1000 of insurance at the
beginning of each renewal year, and a settlement expense of 0.25 per 1000 of
insurance payable at the same time as the death benefit.
(iii) Based on expected interest and expected mortality: Ax+9 = 0.27.
(iv) During the eleventh year, actual experience is: (a) i = 0.07, (b) qx+10
= 0.015, and (c) there is an expense of 0.25 per 1000 of insurance at the
beginning of the year and a settlement expense of 0.20 per 1000 of insurance
payable at the same time as the death benefit.
(v) Annual profits are based on prospective gross premium reserves calcu-
lated using the above expected values for mortality, interest, and expenses.
For this policy, calculate the gain from interest during the eleventh year,
assuming that gains by source are calculated in the order of interest, expenses,
and mortality.
(A) 520 (B) 550 (C) 580 (D) 610 (E) 640
(i) Level gross premiums of 700 are payable at the beginning of the year
during the first ten years.
(ii) It is expected that mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iii) It is expected that i = 0.06.
(iv) It is expected that there will be a 5% of gross premium expense,
payable upon receipt of premium.
(v) Annual profits are based on prospective gross premium reserves calcu-
lated using the above expected values for mortality, interest, and expenses.
(a) There are 480 annuities inforce at the beginning of the year.
(b) There are six deaths.
(c) Interest earned is 0.07.
(d) Expenses equal 6% of gross premium.
Calculate the total gain due to interest, mortality, and expenses for year
11.
(A) 1910 (B) 1930 (C) 1950 (D) 1970 (E) 1990
(A) -42,000 (B) -40,800 (C) -35,560 (D) - 33,240 (E) -31,010
Answers to Exercises
10.1. D 10.26. D
10.2. B 10.27. B
10.3. C 10.28. A
10.4. B 10.29. C
10.5. E 10.30. C
10.6. B 10.31. D
10.7. D 10.32. B
10.8. C 10.33. A
10.9. B 10.34. B
10.10. D
10.11. B
10.12. A
10.13. D
10.14. D
10.15. E
10.16. D
10.17. A
10.18. C
10.19. C
10.20. B
10.21. E
10.22. B
10.23. A
10.24. E
10.25. C
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #16, 23, 30, 41, 50, 61, 62, 85, 93, 102,
108, 110, 118, 156, 162, 177, 185, 199, 214, 230, 243, 274, 275, 277, 288,
299, 300, 302, 303, 304, 305, 306, 307
Multiple decrement and multiple life models are special types of multiple
state models encountered in actuarial science.
Let: i, j = 0, 1, 2, ..., n:
ij
• µij
x (t) = µx+t denotes the force of transition from State i to State j at
age x + t. It is always true that µiix (t) = 0.
• t pij
x denotes the transition probability that someone in State i at age x
will be in State j at age x + t.
• If t pij
x does not depend on x, the model is homogeneous. Otherwise, the
model is non-homogeneous.
• t pi0 i1 in
x + t px + · · · t px = 1
“If (x) is in State i (which is one of States 0, 1, ..., n), then (x) must be
in one of the (n + 1) States t years from now.
• t piix denotes the probability that someone in State i at age x will continuously
be in State i up to age x + t.
R t Pn ij
• t piix = exp[− 0 j=0,j6=i µx+s ds]
• Note: t piix is not necessarily equal to t piix . t piix is the probability that (x)
in State i will be in State i at age x + t; it is possible that (x) could
leave State i and then re-enter it by age x + t which is not allowed in
the probability t piix . Thus:
ii
t px = t piix + o(t) =⇒ t piix ≤ t piix .
• Furthermore:
P
1 - h piix = h nj=0,j6=i µij
x + o(h).
Both sides of the above equation are equivalent to the probability that
the process does leave State i at some time between ages x and x + h,
possibly returning to State i prior to age x + h.
01
=⇒ t+h px = t p01 11 00 01
x h px+t + t px hµx+t + o(h)
01
Ru
=⇒ u px = 0 t p00 01 11
x (µx+t )u−t px+t dt.
“The left hand side is the change in the probability, or the rate, that (x)
in State i will be in State j at age x + t. The right hand side is the
kj
net rate of entry of (x) in State i into State j by age x + t. (1) t pikx µx+t
is the rate at which (x) in State i is in State k at age x + t and then
immediately transitions into State j; this is the entry rate of (x) in State
jk
i into State j at age x + t. (2) t pij
x µx+t is the rate at which (x) in State i
is in State j at age x + t and then immediately transitions into State k;
this is the exit rate of (x) in State i out of State j at age x + t. Then,
summing (1) - (2) over all feasible States k 6= j provides the net rate of
entry of (x) in State i into State j at age x + t (i.e., the rate of being in
State j at age x + t.
By picking small time intervals for h (an m-th of a year), we can approx-
imate other transition probabilities given one transition probability.
• The expected present value formulas can easily be adjusted for a finite
n-year term. For example:
R n −δt ij
Rāij
x:n = R 0 e t px dt.
• The benefit reserve at time t for a life in State i at that time can be
calculated using:
(i)
tV = E[P V F B@0|i] - E[P V F P @0|i].
E[P V F B@0|i] and E[P V F P @0|i] will consider the future states in the
model, and each will be calculated using the appropriate expected value
formulas. Note that we can have a different reserve at time t depending
on the assumed state of the life at that time.
By picking small time intervals for h (an m-th of a year), we can approx-
imate other reserve values given one reserve value.
11.2 Exercises
11.1. The number of dollars Sam wins in successive games follows a 3-state
model:
i pi0
x+k pi1
x+k pi2
x+k
0 0.2 0.5 0.3
1 0.1 0.6 0.3
2 0.1 0.5 0.4
Calculate the probability that Sam will win at least three dollars in the
next two games today.
(A) 0.36 (B) 0.38 (C) 0.40 (D) 0.42 (E) 0.44
i pi0
x+k pi1
x+k
0 0.95 0.04
1 0.15 0.80
2 0.00 0.25
(A) 0.06 (B) 0.07 (C) 0.08 (D) 0.09 (E) 0.10
µ01 02 10 12
x = 0.010x, µx = 0.002x, µx = 0.006x, µx = 0.004x
11
Calculate: 10 p25 .
(A) 0.050 (B) 0.055 (C) 0.060 (D) 0.065 (E) 0.070
(i) p11 12 13
x+k = 0.60, px+k = 0.15, px+k = 0.15
(ii) p21 22 23
x+k = 0.50, px+k = 0.20, px+k = 0.20
(iii) p33 34 44
x+k = 0.90, px+k = 0.10, px+k = 1
(A) 0.30 (B) 0.32 (C) 0.34 (D) 0.36 (E) 0.38
Calculate the probability that a healthy life will die within 10 years, where
the healthy life will first become sick and then remain sick until death.
(A) 0.052 (B) 0.056 (C) 0.060 (D) 0.064 (E) 0.068
11.6. Consider the following 3-state model for the career progression of an
actuary: Analyst (0), Associate (1), Fellow (2). Furthermore:
Calculate the probability that an Analyst will not be a Fellow at the end
of 5 years.
(A) 0.10 (B) 0.12 (C) 0.14 (D) 0.16 (E) 0.18
11.7. For a 3-state model: Healthy (0), Disabled (1), and Dead (2):
(i) p00
x+k = 0.7 for k = 0, 1, ...
(ii) p01
x+k = 0.2 for k = 0, 1, ...
(iii) p10
x+k = 0.1 for k = 0, 1, ...
(iv) p11
x+k = 0.6 for k = 0, 1, ...
(v) There are 1000 Healthy independent lives at time 0.
Calculate the expected number of lives who will survive the first two years.
(A) 710 (B) 730 (C) 750 (D) 770 (E) 790
i pi0
x pi1
x pi2
x pi3
x
0 0.82 0.08 0.06 0.04
1 0.17 0.63 0.14 0.06
2 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.21
3 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
i pi0
x+1 pi1
x+1 pi2
x+1 pi3
x+1
0 0.80 0.10 0.05 0.05
1 0.11 0.65 0.16 0.08
2 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.23
3 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
i pi0
x+2 pi1
x+2 pi2
x+2 pi3
x+2
0 0.79 0.11 0.05 0.05
1 0.08 0.66 0.17 0.09
2 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.25
3 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00
(ii) Transitions between states can only occur at the end of the year.
Consider a group of 80 active employees each aged x. Their future states are
independent. Calculate the variance of the number of the 80 active employees
that will be temporarily disabled at the end of three years.
µ01 2 02 3 12
x = 0.0001x , µx = 0.00005x , µx = 0.005(1.08)
x
Estimate the probability that a healthy life aged 10 is disabled at age 10.2.
(A) 0.001 (B) 0.002 (C) 0.003 (D) 0.004 (E) 0.005
µ01
x = 0.000003e
0.1382x
, µ02
x = 0.000076e
0.0875x
, µ10 01 12 02
x = 0.1µx , µx = µx
(A) 0.0001 (B) 0.0002 (C) 0.0003 (D) 0.0004 (E) 0.0005
(i) The only possible transitions are from State 0 to State 1 and State 0 to
State 2.
(ii) µ01
x = 0.002x + 0.00001x
2
(iii) µ02
x = 0.05
(A) - 0.07 (B) -0.03 (C) - 0.01 (D) 0.05 (E) 0.08
Paul joins the university as a non-tenured professor at age 30. You are
given:
(i) ½
0.10 for t ≤ 6
µ01
30+t =
0.00 for t > 6
(ii) ½
0.05 for t ≤ 6
µ02
30+t =
0.20 for t > 6
(iii) µ12
30+t = 0.001 for t > 0
(iv) Tenured professors can never return to the non-tenured professor state.
(v) Professors dismissed from the university can never get rehired.
(vi) Paul has mortality such that: µ30+t = 0.006(1.02)30+t for t > 0, re-
gardless of state.
Calculate the probability that Paul will be a tenured professor at the uni-
versity at age 40.
(A) 0.35 (B) 0.39 (C) 0.43 (D) 0.47 (E) 0.50
11.13. Consider the following 3-state model for the career progression of
an actuary: Analyst (0), Associate (1), Fellow (2). Furthermore:
(A) 0.26 (B) 0.28 (C) 0.30 (D) 0.32 (E) 0.34
(i) The multiple state model underlying this insurance is the Permanent
Disability Model in Examples of Multiple State Models, with transition in-
tensities:
µ01 = 0.03, µ02 = 0.01, and µ12 = 0.05.
(ii) The insurance is only issued to healthy individuals.
(iii) The insurance pays 5000 at the moment of death.
(iv) δ = 0.06
(A) 260 (B) 280 (C) 300 (D) 320 (E) 340
(A) 250 (B) 300 (C) 350 (D) 400 (E) 450
An annuity issued on a healthy life aged x pays a benefit of 30,000 per year
continuously each year while the life is in the disabled state. Net premiums
are payable continuously each year while the life is in the healthy state.
(A) 16,000 (B) 16,400 (C) 16,700 (D) 17,000 (E) 17,500
p00 01 10 11
x+k = 0.7, px+k = 0.2, px+k = 0.5, px+k = 0.3
(i) The multiple state model underlying this policy is the Disability Income
Insurance Model in Examples of Multiple State Models, with:
p00 01 10 11
x = 0.70, px = 0.20, px = 0.50, px = 0.30
p00 01 10 11
x+1 = 0.65, px+1 = 0.25, px+1 = 0.45, px+1 = 0.35
p00 01 10 11
x+2 = 0.60, px+2 = 0.30, px+2 = 0.40, px+2 = 0.40
(A) 5100 (B) 5400 (C) 5700 (D) 6000 (E) 6300
A special 15-year policy is issued on (x). This policy pays a benefit of 20,000
per year continuously each year while (x) is disabled, and pays 100,000 at the
moment of death of (x). A premium of 8000 per year is payable continuously
each year while (x) is healthy.
Calculate the reserve in the disabled state at time 14.6 using Euler’s
Method, with backward recursion and a step size of 0.2, to numerically solve
Thiele’s Differential Equation.
(A) 5000 (B) 6225 (C) 7450 (D) 8675 (E) 9900
11.20. Consider the setup provided in Exercise 11.19. Calculate the reserve
in the healthy state at time 14.6 using Euler’s Method, with backward recur-
sion and a step size of 0.2, to numerically solve Thiele’s Differential Equation.
(A) -2600 (B) -2300 (C) -2000 (D) -1600 (E) -1200
Answers to Exercises
11.1. D
11.2. E
11.3. A
11.4. B
11.5. B
11.6. C
11.7. D
11.8. E
11.9. B
11.10. D
11.11. A
11.12. A
11.13. B
11.14. A
11.15. C
11.16. C
11.17. B
11.18. E
11.19. E
11.20. B
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #38, 54, 89, 151, 152, 180, 181, 217,
218, 250
12 MULTIPLE DECREMENTS I
Probability Functions:
• The probability that (x) stays in State 0 for at least t years (survives all
decrements for at least t years):
(τ ) R t (τ )
p
t x = exp[− 0 µx+s ds].
Note: In order to survive all decrements between ages x and x + t, one
(τ )
needs to overcome the total force of transition/decrement: µx+s .
• The probability that (x) transitions out of State 0 within t years (decre-
ments within t years):
(τ ) (τ )
t qx = 1 - t px
(j)
Note: t qx is a dependent probability. “In order for (x) to decrement due
to cause j within t years, there has to be some time s within t years where
(x) survives all decrements for s years to age x + s and then immediately
decrements due to cause j at age x + s.”
(τ ) Pn (j)
– t qx = j=1 t qx
(τ ) Rt (τ ) (τ )
– t qx = 0 s px µx+s ds
Life Tables:
(τ ) (τ ) (τ )
• lx+t = lx t px
“The expected number of survivors of all decrements at age x + t is
the expected number of survivors of all decrements at age x times the
probability that each life survives all decrements for t years.”
For l0 s, the τ is sometimes omitted.
(τ ) (τ ) (τ ) (τ ) (τ )
• t dx = lx t qx = lx - lx+t
“The expected number of lives who transition out of State 0 between ages
x and x + t is (i) the expected number of survivors of all decrements at
age x times the probability that each life transitions out of State 0 within
t years and (ii) the expected number of survivors of all decrements at age
x less the expected number of survivors of all decrements at age x + t.”
(j) (τ ) (j)
• t dx = l x t q x
“The expected number of lives who transition out of State 0 to State
j between ages x and x + t is the expected number of survivors of all
decrements at age x times the probability that each life transitions out
of State 0 to State j within t years.”
(τ ) P (j)
Note: t dx = nj=1 t dx .
(j) (τ ) (j)
• t dx+u = lx u|t qx
(τ ) (τ ) (τ )
• t dx+u = lx u|t qx
12.2 Exercises
12.1. For a double decrement model on (40):
(1) 1
(i) µ40 (t) = 60+t for t ≥ 0
(2) 2
(ii) µ40 (t) = 60+t for t ≥ 0
Calculate the probability that (40) decrements within 10 years due to cause
2.
(A) 0.21 (B) 0.23 (C) 0.25 (D) 0.27 (E) 0.29
(A) 0.08 (B) 0.09 (C) 0.10 (D) 0.11 (E) 0.12
(A) 0.31 (B) 0.33 (C) 0.35 (D) 0.37 (E) 0.39
12.4. Paul, age 33, is an actuarial science professor. His career is subject
to two decrements:
(1) t
(i) Decrement 1 is mortality: µ33 (t) = 50 for t ≥ 0.
(2) t
(ii) Decrement 2 is leaving academic employment: µ33 (t) = 40 for t ≥ 0.
(A) 0.41 (B) 0.43 (C) 0.45 (D) 0.47 (E) 0.49
Calculate: c.
(A) 0.75 (B) 1.00 (C) 1.25 (D) 1.50 (E) 1.75
12.6. (Exam MLC Only) Using the Illustrative Service Table, calculate:
(τ )
10 p52 .
(A) 0.60 (B) 0.61 (C) 0.62 (D) 0.63 (E) 0.64
12.7. (Exam MLC Only) Using the Illustrative Service Table, calculate:
(w)
8 q41 .
(A) 0.09 (B) 0.10 (C) 0.11 (D) 0.12 (E) 0.13
12.8. (Exam MLC Only) Using the Illustrative Service Table, calculate:
(i)
7|4 q46 .
(A) 0.010 (B) 0.013 (C) 0.016 (D) 0.019 (E) 0.022
12.9. Consider the following triple decrement table, where “—” denotes a
missing value::
(1) (2) (3) (τ ) (τ ) (1) (2) (3)
x qx qx qx qx lx dx dx dx
30 0.005 — — 0.075 2000 — 120 —
31 0.010 0.070 0.015 — 1850 — — —
32 0.015 0.075 0.025 0.115 — 25.11 125.57 41.86
(τ )
Calculate: l32 .
(A) 1658 (B) 1662 (C) 1666 (D) 1670 (E) 1674
(ii) The probability that a student at the start of their second academic
year will withdraw for all other reasons during the year is twice the probability
that a student at the start of their second academic year will academically
fail during the year.
If there are 2000 entering students, calculate the expected number that
will academically fail within four years.
(A) 520 (B) 530 (C) 540 (D) 550 (E) 560
Out of 1000 lives each aged x, calculate the expected number of lives who
will decrement due to cause 2 prior to age (x + 1).
(A) 130 (B) 140 (C) 150 (D) 160 (E) 170
Calculate the probability that a covered peril will destroy the Justice
League’s home after the issue of the homeowners’ policy.
(A) 0.23 (B) 0.24 (C) 0.25 (D) 0.26 (E) 0.27
Calculate the expected time until decrement for (x) given that the cause
of decrement is (2).
(A) 8.1 (B) 8.6 (C) 9.1 (D) 9.6 (E) 10.1
12.14. Consider the following triple decrement table, with missing entries
denoted as “—”:
(A) 0.075 (B) 0.077 (C) 0.079 (D) 0.081 (E) 0.083
(A) 26,120 (B) 26,720 (C) 27,320 (D) 27,920 (E) 28,520
Calculate the probability that (30) will not decrement due to cause 2 before
age 65.
(A) 0.54 (B) 0.57 (C) 0.60 (D) 0.63 (E) 0.66
Calculate the expected number of years that (x) will avoid decrement.
(τ ) (d) (w)
x lx dx dx
30 1000 20 5
31 — 23 —
32 946 — 8
33 — 29 9
34 875 — —
(A) 0.055 (B) 0.061 (C) 0.067 (D) 0.073 (E) 0.079
(A) 0.11 (B) 0.12 (C) 0.13 (D) 0.14 (E) 0.15
(A) 0.11 (B) 0.12 (C) 0.13 (D) 0.14 (E) 0.15
Answers to Exercises
12.1. C
12.2. A
12.3. B
12.4. B
12.5. D
12.6. D
12.7. C
12.8. D
12.9. E
12.10. B
12.11. C
12.12. A
12.13. C
12.14. E
12.15. B
12.16. D
12.17. C
12.18. C
12.19. A
12.20. E
(j)
• µx0j = µx
Pn
• µ0•
x =
0j
j=1 µx
Rt (τ )
• t p00 00
x = t px = exp[− 0 µ0•
x+s ds] = t px
(τ )
• t p0• 00
x = 1 - t px = t q x
Rt 00 0j (j)
• t p0j
x = 0 s px µx+s ds = t qx
• The probability that (x) remains in State 0 for at least t years (survives
decrement j for at least t years), where j is the only cause of decrement:
0(j) Rt (j)
t px = exp[− 0 µx (s)ds]
(τ ) 0(j) 0(1) 0(2) 0(n)
Note: t px = Πnj=1 t px = t px t px · · · t px .
• The probability that (x) transitions from State 0 to State j within t years
(decrements due to cause j within t years) , where j is the only cause of
decrement:
0(j) 0(j)
t qx = 1 - t px
0(j) Rt 0(j) (j)
Note: t qx = 0 s px µx (s)ds.
(τ ) 0(j)
• It is useful to note that: t px ≤ t px .
This makes sense: the probability of surviving just one decrement is
higher than the probability of surviving all decrements.
(j) 0(j)
• It is useful to note that: t qx ≤ t qx .
This makes sense: the probability of decrement j “striking” the individual
will be higher when there are no other decrements competing to “strike”
the individual.
• Assume that the cause of decrement j and the total decrement τ are
uniformly distributed within each year of age in a multiple decrement
table (the latter is satisfied automatically if all causes of decrement are
uniformly distributed within each year of age in a multiple decrement
table). Then, for 0 ≤ s ≤ 1:
(j) (j)
– s qx = sqx
(τ ) (τ )
– s qx = sqx
0(j) (τ ) (j) (τ )
– s px = [1 − sqx ]qx /qx
.
0(j) 0(j)
• s qx = sqx
0(j) (j) 0(j)
• s px µx+s = qx
“These make sense because decrement 3 can only occur at the end of
the year, meaning that during the year, we effectively have a double
decrement model with only decrements 1 and 2 in effect. Therefore, the
double decrement equations in UDD in All of the Associated Single
Decrement Models with s = 1 apply.”
“This makes sense because the only decrements in effect during the year
are decrements 1 and 2. Therefore, to decrement due to 3 during the
year, (x) has to survive both decrements 1 and 2 in order to make it to
the end of the year, and then decrement due to 3.”
“These make sense because decrement 3 can only occur at the beginning
of the year, meaning that during the year, we effectively have a double
decrement model with only decrements 1 and 2 in effect. Therefore, the
double decrement equations in UDD in All of the Associated Single
Decrement Models with s = 1 apply, after first surviving decrement 3
at the beginning of the year.”
(3) 0(3)
Also: qx = qx .
• Consider a whole life insurance on (x) which pays a benefit at the moment
of transition from State 0 to a decrement state. Upon transition to State
(1)
1 at time t the benefit is bt , upon transition to State 2 at time t the
(2) (n)
benefit is bt , ..., upon transition to State n at time t the benefit is bt .
Let Z denote the present value random variable for this insurance.
Pn R ∞ (j) (τ ) (j)
– E[Z k ] = j=1 0 [v t bt ]k t px µx (t)dt for k = 1, 2, ...
– The expected present value of the whole life insurance would be E[Z].
• Consider a whole life insurance on (x) which pays a benefit at the end
of the year of transition from State 0 to a decrement state. Let i = 0,
(1)
1, ... Upon transition to State 1 in year i + 1 the benefit is bi+1 , upon
(2)
transition to State 2 in year i + 1 the benefit is bi+1 , ..., upon transition
(n)
to State n in year i + 1 the benefit is bi+1 . Let Z denote the present
value random variable for this insurance.
P P i+1 (j) k (τ ) (j)
– E[Z k ] = nj=1 ∞ i=0 [v bi+1 ] i px qx+i for k = 1, 2, ...
– The expected present value of the whole life insurance would be E[Z].
• If all forces of decrement are constant, then for a whole life insurance
that pays 1 at the moment of transition from State 0 to State j:
(j) µ(j)
– Āx = µ(τ ) +δ
• If all forces of decrement are constant, then for a whole life insurance that
pays 1 at the moment of transition out of State 0 to any other State:
(τ ) µ(τ )
– Āx = µ(τ ) +δ
• The above can easily be modified for an insurance with a finite term. As
an example, if all forces of decrement are constant, then for an n-year
term life insurance that pays 1 at the moment of transition from State 0
to State j:
µ(j)
– Ā(j)1x:n = µ(τ ) +δ
(1 − exp[−(µ(τ ) + δ)n])
Asset Shares:
– Assume there are two causes of decrement for (x): death (d) and
withdrawal (w). The respective probabilities of death and withdrawal
(d) (w)
between ages x + k and x + k + 1 are qx+k and qx+k .
(d) (w)
=⇒ (ASk + G - Gck - ek )(1 + ik+1 ) = qx+k bk+1 + qx+k CVk+1 +
(τ )
px+k ASk+1
• This second asset share recursion has a similar interpretation as the re-
serve recursions, as it should. An asset share is essentially a reserve
calculated using actual experienced interest rates, mortality rates, ex-
penses, etc. We are also allowing for a benefit payable upon withdrawal
(w)
of CVk+1 payable between ages x + k and x + k + 1 at rate qx+k .
13.2 Exercises
13.1. Consider a double decrement model on (40):
(A) 1.1 (B) 1.4 (C) 1.7 (D) 2.0 (E) 2.3
(i) µ01
x (t) = 0.01t for t > 0
(ii) µ02
x (t) = 0.02t for t > 0
(iii) µ1i 2i
x (t) = µx (t) = 0 for i = 0, 1, 2
Calculate: 5 p01
x .
(A) 0.096 (B) 0.100 (C) 0.104 (D) 0.108 (E) 0.112
(A) 0.08 (B) 0.09 (C) 0.10 (D) 0.11 (E) 0.12
(A) 0.017 (B) 0.021 (C) 0.025 (D) 0.029 (E) 0.033
13.5. Consider the following triple decrement table, with missing entries
denoted as “—”:
(τ ) (1) (2) (3)
x lx dx dx dx
40 1000 30 56 13
41 — 35 58 —
42 789 — — 22
(A) 0.015 (B) 0.018 (C) 0.020 (D) 0.022 (E) 0.25
(A) 0.15 (B) 0.16 (C) 0.17 (D) 0.18 (E) 0.19
13.7. Lex owns a plane that is x years old. You are given:
(i) The plane faces three decrements: breakdown (1), sale (2), and collision
(3).
(ii) All decrements are uniformly distributed within each year of age in the
associated single decrement tables.
0(1) 0(2) 0(3)
(iii) qx = 0.10, qx = 0.25, qx = 0.05
(A) 0.012 (B) 0.016 (C) 0.019 (D) 0.022 (E) 0.026
(i) There are 3 decrements: mortality (d), disability (i), withdrawal (w).
0(d) 0(i) 0(w)
(ii) q40 = 0.02, q40 = 0.03, and q40 = 0.05
(iii) All decrements are uniformly distributed over each year of age in the
associated single decrement tables.
Upon further review, the actuary has determined that assumption (iii)
is incorrect. The correct assumption (iii) is the following: mortality and
disability are uniformly distributed over each year of age in the associated
single decrement tables, and withdrawal can only occur at time t = 0.80 each
year.
(w)
Calculate the percent change in the value of q40 when the correct assump-
tion (iii) is used relative to when the incorrect assumption (iii) is used.
(i) Decrement 1 is uniformly distributed over each year of age in the as-
sociated single decrement table; decrement 2 occurs only at the end of the
year; decrement 3 occurs only at the beginning of the year.
(ii)
(τ ) 0(1) 0(2) 0(3)
x lx qx qx qx
60 100,000 y 0.010 0.030
61 91,705 1.2y 0.011 —
62 80,622 — — —
Consider a group of 900 lives each aged 61. Calculate the expected number
from this group that will succumb to decrement 3 prior to age 62.
(τ ) (1) (2)
x lx dx dx
55 20,000 2000 600
56 17,400 2265 910
57 14,225 2545 1175
(1)
Two actuaries are trying to calculate 0.3 q56 . Actuary A assumes that each
decrement is uniformly distributed within each year of age in the double
decrement table. Actuary B assumes that each decrement has a constant
(j) (j)
force of decrement within each year of age; that is, µx+s = µx for j = 1, 2
and 0 ≤ s < 1.
(1)
Calculate the ratio of Actuary A’s value of 0.3 q56 to Actuary B’s value of
(1)
0.3 q56 .
(A) 0.86 (B) 0.93 (C) 1.00 (D) 1.08 (E) 1.16
(A) 333 (B) 375 (C) 486 (D) 500 (E) 675
(i) 20,000 is payable at the end of the year of decrement due to (1).
(ii) 10,000 is payable at the end of the year of decrement due to (2).
(iii) Level benefit premiums are payable at the beginning of the year.
(iv)
(1) (2)
k qx+k qx+k
0 0.010 0.100
1 0.015 0.110
(v) i = 0.05
(A) 1210 (B) 1230 (C) 1250 (D) 1270 (E) 1290
13.13. Consider a special fully continuous whole life insurance on (x) with
a double indemnity provision:
(A) 5400 (B) 5700 (C) 6000 (D) 6300 (E) 6600
(i) δ = 0.05
(ii) There are two decrements: (1) = accidental death and (2) = non-
accidental death.
(iii) The benefit for accidental death is 30,000.
(iv) The benefit for non-accidental death is 10,000.
(v) Premiums are payable for at most the first 10 years.
(τ )
(vi) µx (t) = 0.010 for t > 0
(1)
(vii) µx (t) = 0.003 for t > 0
(A) 1090 (B) 1105 (C) 1120 (D) 1135 (E) 1150
(i) There are two decrements: (1) = accidental death and (2) = all other
causes of death
(1)
(ii) qx = 0.002 +0.003(x − 55) for x = 55, 56, 57.
(2)
(iii) qx = 0.020 + 0.020(x − 55) for x = 55, 56, 57.
(iv) i = 0.06
(v) The death benefit is 2000 for accidental death and 1000 for death from
all other causes.
Calculate the net premium reserve at the end of the first year.
(A) 159,310 (B) 160,420 (C) 161,530 (D) 162,640 (E) 163,750
13.17. Consider a special fully discrete 3-year term insurance on (30) with
level annual benefit premiums:
(i) (i) There are two decrements: (1) = accidental death and (2) = all
other causes of death
(1) (τ )
(ii) qx = 0.005 and qx = 0.025 + 0.010(x - 30) for x = 30, 31, 32.
(iii) The death benefit for non-accidental death is 50,000; the death benefit
for accidental death is 100,000.
(iv) i = 0.05
(A) 400 (B) 450 (C) 500 (D) 550 (E) 600
(i) δ = 0.05
(ii) Benefits are payable at the moment of death.
(iii) There are two decrements: (1) = accidental death and (2) = non-
accidental death.
(iv) The benefit for accidental death is 100,000.
(v) There are two possible benefits for non-accidental death: (a) the return
of half of the single premium without interest if non-accidental death occurs
in the first 20 years and (b) 50,000 if non-accidental death after the first 20
years.
(τ )
(vi) µx (t) = 0.008 for t > 0
(1)
(vii) µx (t) = 0.001 for t > 0
(A) 3700 (B) 3800 (C) 3900 (D) 4000 (E) 4100
(A) 270 (B) 290 (C) 310 (D) 330 (E) 350
Calculate: G.
(A) 200 (B) 220 (C) 240 (D) 260 (E) 280
Answers to Exercises
13.1. A
13.2. C
13.3. B
13.4. D
13.5. D
13.6. E
13.7. A
13.8. A
13.9. D
13.10. B
13.11. B
13.12. B
13.13. A
13.14. D
13.15. B
13.16. D
13.17. C
13.18. B
13.19. E
13.20. A
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #5, 20, 36, 42, 43, 58, 70, 82, 83, 95,
100, 117, 133, 135, 138, 159, 160, 178, 179, 187, 202, 206, 216, 224, 232,
234, 235, 236, 242, 244, 283
14 MULTIPLE LIVES I
• In almost all problems, it is assumed that (x) and (y) are independent,
which means that Tx and Ty are independent (an exception is the Com-
mon Shock Model, Exam MLC Only).
∂ ∂
• Also: ∂t ∂s FTx ,Ty (s, t) = fTx ,Ty (s, t)
• Txy = T (xy) = time until the first death of (x) and (y).
“The probability that both (x) and (y) survive for at least t years.”
“The probability that both (x) and (y) survive u + t years is equal to the
probability that both (x) and (y) first survive u years to ages x + u and
y + u, then survive another t years to ages x + u + t and y + u + t.”
• t qxy = 1 - t pxy
“The probability that the first death of (x) and (y) occurs within t years.”
• u|t qxy = u+t qxy - u qxy = u pxy - u+t pxy = (u pxy )(t qx+u:y+u )
“The probability that the first death of (x) and (y) occurs after u years
but before u + t years.”
• Txy = T (xy) = time until the second death of (x) and (y).
• t pxy = 1 - t qxy
“The probability that at least one of (x) and (y) will survive at least t
years.”
If (x) and (y) are independent =⇒
t pxy = 1 - (t qx )(t qy ) = t px + t py - (t px )(t py )
“This is the probability that the second death of (x) and (y) occurs after
u years but before u + t years.”
“The right hand side is incorrect as it implies that both (x) and (y)
survive the first u years (t px+u:y+u : we start with two lives here); that
does NOT have to be the case. That is, u pxy is the probability that at
least one of (x) and (y) survives u years - it is possible that both (x) and
(y) will not survive the u-year period.”
“The right hand side is incorrect for the same reason as indicated in
Note1; the implication is that both (x) and (y) survive the first u years
(qx+u:y+u : we start with two lives here) which is not guaranteed in u pxy .”
Law of Addition:
Moments:
Consider two lives each aged x with mortality that follows de Moivre’s
Law/uniform distribution with limiting age ω:
ω−x
– e̊xx = 3
2(ω−x)
– e̊xx = 3
• exy + exy = ex + ey
– Āx is the expected present value of a whole life insurance which pays
1 at the moment of death of (x).”
– Āxy is the expected present value of a joint life insurance which pays
1 at the moment of the first death of (x) and (y).”
– Āxy is the expected present value of a last survivor insurance which
pays 1 at the moment of the second death of (x) and (y).”
R∞
• ās = E(āTs ) = 0 v t t ps dt
“This is the expected present value of a life annuity which pays 1 per
year continuously each year up until time Ts years after issue.”
– āx is the expected present value of a whole life annuity which pays 1
per year continuously each year while (x) survives.”
– āxy is the expected present value of a joint life annuity which pays 1
per year continuously each year while both (x) and (y) survive.”
– āxy is the expected present value of a last survivor annuity which pays
1 per year continuously each year while at least one of (x) and (y)
survive.”
1−Ās
• ās = δ
Ās
• P̄ (Ās ) = ās
“This is the level annual benefit premium for a fully continuous whole
life insurance of 1 on (s).”
1 1
– āxy = µxy +δ , with independence, = µx +µy +δ
• We can also consider insurances and annuities with terms. For example:
Rn
ās:n = 0 v t t ps dt
• If (x) and (y) are independent =⇒ cov[v Txy , v Txy ] = (Āx − Āxy )(Āy − Āxy )
The same relationships above hold if the circles are removed from the
e’s and the bars on the A’s and a’s are removed or replaced with double
dots.
• Consider a continuous life annuity on (x) and (y) that provides the fol-
lowing payments:
There are two approaches for formulating the expected present value of
this annuity:
– Recognize this as the sum of a joint life annuity and two reversionary
annuities. Then, the expected present value is:
300āxy + 400āy|x + 200āx|y
= 300āxy + 400[āx - āxy ] + 200[āy - āxy ]
= 400āx + 200āy - 300āxy .
– Recognize this as the sum of two single life annuities; when consider-
ing just (x), 400 is payable each year and when considering just (y),
200 is payable each year. When both (x) and (y) are alive, the total
payment is 600 per year; 300 more per year than we want paid while
both are alive. Adjusting for the excess joint life payment each year
of 300, the expected present value can immediately be reasoned as:
400āx + 200āy - 300āxy .
• The formulas in this section can also be easily adjusted for a discrete
insurance or annuity. For example:
P
– As = ∞ k=0 v
k+1
k| qs
14.2 Exercises
14.1. Consider two independent lives (35) and (45). Each life has mortality
that follows the Illustrative Life Table.
Calculate the probability that (35) will survive ten years and (45) will not
survive ten years.
(A) 0.040 (B) 0.045 (C) 0.050 (D) 0.055 (E) 0.060
(A) 0.062 (B) 0.064 (C) 0.066 (D) 0.068 (E) 0.070
14.3. The time-until-death random variables T (x) and T (y) are indepen-
dent and identically distributed, each with p.d.f:
Calculate the probability that the first death of (x) and (y) will occur
during the second year from today.
(A) 0.010 (B) 0.011 (C) 0.012 (D) 0.013 (E) 0.014
14.4. Consider two independent lives (60) and (65). You are given:
x 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71
lx 1000 982 963 943 922 900 877 853 828 802 775 747
Calculate the probability that the second death of (60) and (65) occurs
during the third year.
(A) 0.001 (B) 0.002 (C) 0.003 (D) 0.004 (E) 0.005
Calculate the probability that the first death of (40) and (50) occurs in the
tenth year.
(A) 0.024 (B) 0.026 (C) 0.028 (D) 0.030 (E) 0.032
14.6. For two independent lives ages 30 and 34, you are given:
x 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
qx 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80
Calculate the increase in the value of 2 q30:34 if q31 is increased from 0.20 to
0.25.
(A) 0.031 (B) 0.036 (C) 0.041 (D) 0.046 (E) 0.051
14.7. Suppose both (40) and (60) have independent future lifetimes and
mortality where lx = 500(100 - x) for 0 ≤ x ≤ 100.
Calculate: e̊40:60 .
14.8. Consider (x) and (y), with independent future lifetimes and constant
forces of mortality equal to 0.03 and 0.05, respectively.
Calculate the expected time until the first death of (x) and (y).
14.9. For independent lives (50) and (60) with identical expected mortality:
10| q50:60 = 0.011, 10 p50 = 0.78, 10 p60 = 0.73, and q70 = 0.03.
Find the probability that exactly one of (50) and (60) survives 11 years.
(A) 0.35 (B) 0.37 (C) 0.39 (D) 0.41 (E) 0.43
14.10. For a certain population, some lives are infected with disease A:
(i) For a life not infected with disease A: lx = 500(95 - x) for 0 ≤ x ≤ 95.
(ii) For a life infected with disease A: lx = 500(95 - x)α for 0 ≤ x ≤ 95 and
α > 0.
(iii) At age 40, the complete expectation of life for a life not infected with
disease A is 15% higher than the complete expectation of life for a life infected
with disease A.
(iv) The complete expectation of life for a joint life status involving a 45
year old not infected with disease A and a 40 year old infected with disease
A is 15.94.
Calculate the complete expectation of life for a last survivor status involv-
ing a 45 year old not infected with disease A and a 40 year old infected with
disease A.
(A) 0.46 (B) 0.47 (C) 0.48 (D) 0.49 (E) 0.50
Calculate the probability that both lives will survive a number of years
equal to the expected time until the first death.
(A) 0.43 (B) 0.45 (C) 0.47 (D) 0.49 (E) 0.51
(A) 124 (B) 127 (C) 130 (D) 133 (E) 136
14.14. (i) There are two independent lives, each age 90.
(ii) Each life has mortality such that: l90+t = (10 − t)2 for 0 ≤ t ≤ 10.
Consider two independent lives each age 40, one a smoker and the other
a non-smoker. Calculate the probability that the first death occurs after 6
years, but before 12 years.
(A) 0.21 (B) 0.22 (C) 0.23 (D) 0.24 (E) 0.25
14.16. Consider two independent lives ages 45 and 55, each with identical
expected mortality:
Calculate: 5 p65 .
(A) 0.8600 (B) 0.8650 (C) 0.8700 (D) 0.8750 (E) 0.8800
(i) (x) and (y) have independent future lifetime random variables.
(ii) µx (t) = − ln(0.90) for t ≥ 0
(iii) µy (t) = − ln(0.85) for t ≥ 0
Calculate the probability that (x) and (y) both die in the same year.
(A) 0.060 (B) 0.064 (C) 0.068 (D) 0.072 (E) 0.076
(i) The insurance pays 1000 at the moment of the first death and 2000 at
the moment of the second death.
(ii) Annual premiums of π are payable continuously while both (x) and (y)
are alive. After the moment of the first death, annual premiums of 0.6π are
payable continuously until the moment of the second death.
(iii) δt = 0.06, µx (t) = 0.02, µy (t) = 0.04 for t ≥ 0.
14.19. A fully discrete life insurance on two independent lives, ages 25 and
35, pays 1000 at the end of the year of the first death and 2000 at the end of
the year of the second death. Furthermore:
(i) Level benefit premiums are payable at the beginning of the year while
both are alive.
(ii) Mortality for each life follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06
(i) The death benefit is payable at the moment of the second death.
(ii) The level annual benefit premium is π while both (x) and (y) are alive
and 0.75π while exactly one of (x) and (y) is alive.
(iii) δ = 0.04, µx (t) = 0.02, µy (t) = 0.03 for t > 0
Calculate: π.
14.21. Consider a special life insurance on John and Daniel, each aged 30:
14.22. You are given a fully discrete 2-year term insurance on independent
lives (30) and (40):
(i) The death benefit is 10,000, payable at the end of the year of the last
death of (30) and (40).
(ii) The level annual premium is 50, and is payable at the beginning of the
year while at least one of (30) and (40) is alive.
(iii) Each life has mortality that follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iv) i = 0.06
(A) 6110 (B) 6230 (C) 6375 (D) 6470 (E) 6540
14.24. John and Dwayne are independent lives, ages 30 and 40, respec-
tively. They want to purchase a special life annuity-due that will pay 1000
per year while either of them is alive and over age 60. Assuming that mor-
tality for each life follows the Illustrative Life Table and i = 0.06, calculate
the expected present value of this annuity.
(A) 3500 (B) 3600 (C) 3700 (D) 3800 (E) 3900
14.25. A husband, age 65, is retiring. He has the choice of one of two
pension plans (Plan I and Plan II, respectively) that will provide annual
retirement benefits to him and his wife, age 55, starting today:
(i) Plan I: Payments of: 20,000 at the beginning of each year for as long
as both the husband and wife are alive; 15,000 at the beginning of each year
if the wife is alive and the husband is dead; 7500 at the beginning of each
year if the husband is alive and the wife is dead.
(ii) Plan II: Payments of: R at the beginning of each year for as long
as the wife is alive; 0.60R at the beginning of each year for as long as the
husband is alive.
(iii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table, and i = 0.06. The husband
and wife have independent future lifetimes.
Find R so that the actuarial present values of Plan I and Plan II are equal.
(A) 13,000 (B) 13,500 (C) 14,000 (D) 14,500 (E) 15,000
(i) Mortality for each life follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(ii) i = 0.06
Calculate the expected present value of an insurance on (35) and (45) that
pays 5000 at the end of the year of the first death if the first death occurs
after the first 10 years.
(A) 900 (B) 910 (C) 920 (D) 930 (E) 940
(A) 260 (B) 280 (C) 300 (D) 320 (E) 340
14.28. You are pricing a special continuous life annuity on two independent
lives, (x) and (y):
(i) The annuity pays 30,000 each year while both lives survive, and 20,000
each year while only one life survives.
(ii) (x) and (y) have constant forces of mortality equal to 0.03 and 0.05,
respectively.
(iii) δ = 0.06.
(A) 331,600 (B) 332,100 (C) 332,600 (D) 333,100 (E) 333,600
14.29. You are given a special annuity on two independent people each
aged x:
(i) The annuity pays 40,000 at the beginning of the year while both people
are alive and is 25,000 at the beginning of the year when only one person is
alive.
(ii) There is also a benefit of 20,000 payable at the end of the year of the
first death.
(iii) Both people have mortality: k px = (0.97)k for k = 0, 1, 2, ....
(iv) d = 0.04
(A) 633,100 (B) 633,600 (C) 634,100 (D) 634,600 (E) 635,100
(i) The annual rate of payment is 30,000, only payable while exactly one
of (40) and (50) is alive and is older than age 65.
(ii) (40) is subject to a constant force of mortality of 0.02.
(iii) (50) is subject to a constant force of mortality of 0.03.
(iv) δ = 0.05
(A) 137,700 (B) 138,170 (C) 139,900 (D) 140,300 (E) 141,100
Answers to Exercises
14.1. D 14.26. B
14.2. B 14.27. D
14.3. E 14.28. C
14.4. C 14.29. E
14.5. D 14.30. B
14.6. B
14.7. C
14.8. A
14.9. C
14.10. C
14.11. A
14.12. B
14.13. E
14.14. C
14.15. B
14.16. C
14.17. B
14.18. D
14.19. B
14.20. A
14.21. D
14.22. A
14.23. D
14.24. E
14.25. A
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #1, 31, 57, 80, 91, 94, 123, 128, 150,
163, 191, 193, 195, 220, 269, 270, 272, 273, 278, 280
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #26, 46, 49, 104, 112, 173, 233, 281, 282
– µ13
x+t
– µ23
y+t
– µ02 13
x+t:y+t , with independence (x) and (y), = µx+t = µx (t)
– µ01 23
x+t:y+t , with independence of (x) and (y), = µy+t = µy (t)
• Probabilities:
– t p00
xy = t pxy
– t p01 02 03
xy + t pxy + t pxy = t qxy
– t p00 01 02
xy + t pxy + t pxy = t pxy
– t p03
xy = t qxy
– µ01 02
x+t:y+t + µx+t:y+t = µxy (t)
Contingent Functions:
1
Rt 00 02
• t q xy = 0 s pxy µx+s:y+s ds
“The probability that (x) dies both before (y) and within t years.”
1
Rt
If (x) and (y) are independent =⇒ t q xy = 0 (s py )s px µx (s)ds
Rt
• t q xy2 = 02 23
0 s pxy µy+s ds
“The probability that (y) dies both after (x) and within t years.” This
1 1
is different than t q xy ; for t q xy the event of interest is (y) dying after (x),
but that does not necessarily have to occur within t years.
Rt
If (x) and (y) are independent =⇒ t q xy2 = 0 (s qx )s py µy (s)ds
• Furthermore:
1
– t qx = t q xy + t q yx2
1 1
– t qxy = t q xy + t q yx
– t qxy = t q yx2 + t q xy2
1
– t q xy = t q xy2 + t p02
xy
1 2
– ∞ q xy = ∞ q xy
– For independent lives (x) and (y) each with de Moivre’s Law/uniform
distribution with limiting age ω:
1
∗ t q xy = (t qx )(t/2 py ) and t q yx2 = 21 (t qx )(t qy )
– For independent lives (x) and (y) with constant forces of mortality
µx and µy , respectively:
1 µx 1 µx
∗ t q xy = µx +µy (t qxy ) and ∞ q xy = µx +µy
1
R∞
• Āxy = 0 v s s p00 02
xy µx+s:y+s ds
“This is the expected present value of a life insurance that pays 1 at the
moment of death of (x) if (x) is the first to die.”
1
R∞
If (x) and (y) are independent =⇒ Āxy = 0 v s (s py )s px µx (s)ds
R∞
• Āxy2 = 0 v s s p02 23
xy µy+s ds
“This is the expected present value of a life insurance that pays 1 at the
moment of death of (y) if (y) is the second to die.”
R∞
If (x) and (y) are independent =⇒ Āxy2 = 0 v s (s qx )s py µy (s)ds
• Furthermore:
1
– Āx = Āxy + Āyx2
1 1
– Āxy = Āxy + Āyx
– For independent lives (x) and (y) with constant forces of mortality
µx and µy , respectively:
1 µx
∗ Āxy = µx +µy +δ
µy µx
∗ Āxy2 = µy +δ µx +µy +δ
• It is assumed that there is an event called the common shock that could
kill both (x) and (y) at the same time, such as a car accident or a natural
disaster.
Rt
• t p11
x+s = exp[− 0 µ13
x+s+u du]
Rt
• t p22
y+s = exp[− 0 µ23
y+s+v dv]
Rt
• t p00
xy = exp[−
01
0 (µx+s:y+s + µ02 03
x+s:y+s + µx+s:y+s )ds] = t pxy
“This is the probability that both (x) and (y) survive t years.”
Rt
• t p01
xy =
00 01 11
0 s pxy (µx+s:y+s )t−s px+s ds
Rt
• t p02
xy =
00 02 22
0 s pxy (µx+s:y+s )t−s py+s ds
• t p03 00 01 02
xy = 1 - t pxy - t pxy - t pxy = t qxy
“This is the probability that (x) and (y) do not survive t years.”
(ii) µ02 03 13
x+s:y+s + µx+s:y+s = µx+s = µx , a constant
(iii) µ01 03 23
x+s:y+s + µx+s:y+s = µy+s = µy , a constant
Then:
– t px = exp[−µx t]
– t py = exp[−µy t]
– t pxy = exp[−(µx + µy − λ)t]
– t pxy = t px + t py - t pxy
• The probability that (x) and (y) are killed simultaneously by the common
shock is:
R ∞ 00 03
0 s pxy µx+s:y+s ds.
“In order for both (x) and (y) to die at the same time, both have to
survive for s years and then immediately die. Integration considers all
possible times s.”
– Consider the typical special case of the common shock model previ-
ously described; the probability that (x) and (y) die simultaneously
is:
λ
µx +µy −λ .
15.2 Exercises
15.1. Consider the Multiple Life Model in Examples of Multiple State Models,
with a husband aged x and a wife aged y.
You are given the following transition intensities for t > 0:
(i) µ01
x+t:y+t = 0.03
(ii) µ02
x+t:y+t = 0.04
(iii) µ13
x+t = 0.07
(iv) µ23
y+t = 0.06
(A) 0.26 (B) 0.27 (C) 0.28 (D) 0.29 (E) 0.30
15.2. Consider the setup provided in Exercise 15.1. Calculate the proba-
bility that the husband dies both before the wife dies and within 10 years.
(A) 0.26 (B) 0.27 (C) 0.28 (D) 0.29 (E) 0.30
15.3. Consider the setup provided in Exercise 15.1. Given δ = 0.03, cal-
culate the expected present value of a life annuity that pays 1000 per year
continuously each year while the husband is alive.
(A) 13,000 (B) 13,500 (C) 14,000 (D) 14,500 (E) 15,000
15.4. Consider independent lives (25) and (50). Each life has mortality
such that: lx = 100(100 - x) for x ≤ 100.
Calculate the probability that (25) dies after (50) and within 8 years.
(A) 0.007 (B) 0.009 (C) 0.011 (D) 0.013 (E) 0.015
15.5. Consider independent lives (25) and (50), each with force of mortality
1
µx = 100−x for 0 ≤ x < 100.
Calculate the probability that (50) dies before (25) and within 25 years.
(A) 0.08 (B) 0.17 (C) 0.25 (D) 0.33 (E) 0.42
15.6. Consider (40) and (50) with independent future lifetime random
variables:
Calculate the probability that (40) dies after (50) and within 10 years.
(A) 0.03 (B) 0.04 (C) 0.05 (D) 0.06 (E) 0.07
(i) Shane, aged 50, has mortality such that: t q50 = 0.030t and t q51 = 0.031t
for 0 ≤ t ≤ 1.
(ii) Britney, aged 40, has mortality that follows the Illustrative Life Table
with the assumption of a uniform distribution of deaths within each year of
age.
Calculate the probability that Britney dies both within 2 years and before
Shane.
(A) 0.003 (B) 0.004 (C) 0.005 (D) 0.006 (E) 0.007
(i) Each life has mortality such that: lx = 100(100 - x) for 0 ≤ x ≤ 100.
(ii) δ = 0.05
Calculate the actuarial present value of a life insurance that pays 1 at the
moment of death of (25) if (25) is the second to die.
(A) 0.07 (B) 0.08 (C) 0.09 (D) 0.10 (E) 0.11
15.9. Consider the setup provided in Exercise 15.8. Calculate the actuarial
present value of a life insurance that pays 1 at the moment of death of (25)
if (25) is the first to die.
(A) 0.16 (B) 0.17 (C) 0.18 (D) 0.19 (E) 0.20
(A) 0.34 (B) 0.40 (C) 0.46 (D) 0.54 (E) 0.60
15.11. Two lives (x) and (y) have mortality such that:
(iii) µ02 03 13
x+t:y+t + µx+t:y+t = µx+t = 0.015 for t > 0
(iv) µ01 03 23
x+t:y+t + µx+t:y+t = µy+t = 0.015 for t > 0
Calculate the probability that both (x) and (y) are dead within 10 years.
(A) 0.05 (B) 0.06 (C) 0.07 (D) 0.08 (E) 0.09
15.12. Two lives (x) and (y) have mortality such that:
(iii) µ02
x+t:y+t = 0.06 for t > 0
(iv) µ03
x+t:y+t is a constant for t > 0
(v) µ02 03 13
x+t:y+t + µx+t:y+t = µx+t for t > 0
(vi) µ01 03 23
x+t:y+t + µx+t:y+t = µy+t for t > 0
(A) 0.12 (B) 0.14 (C) 0.16 (D) 0.18 (E) 0.20
(A) 0.004 (B) 0.006 (C) 0.008 (D) 0.010 (E) 0.012
(i) The death benefit is payable at the moment of the second death.
(ii) Level annual benefit premiums of π are payable continuously each year
only while exactly one of (x) and (y) is alive.
(iii) The Common Shock Model applies.
(v) δ = 0.06
Calculate: π.
(A) 8400 (B) 8500 (C) 8600 (D) 8700 (E) 8800
(ii) δ = 0.08
(iii) µ01 02
x+t:y+t = µx+t:y+t = 0.04 for t > 0
(iv) µ13 23
x+t = µy+t = 0.06 for t > 0
(v) µ03
x+t:y+t = 0
(A) 0.21 (B) 0.23 (C) 0.25 (D) 0.27 (E) 0.29
Answers to Exercises
15.1. D
15.2. D
15.3. A
15.4. B
15.5. E
15.6. B
15.7. D
15.8. C
15.9. B
15.10. A
15.11. B
15.12. D
15.13. C
15.14. C
15.15. A
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #53, 122, 194, 225, 249, 261, 262, 263,
265, 266, 268, 271, 279
• The replacement ratio determines the benefit for a defined benefit pension
plan and the target benefit for a defined contribution pension plan:
Pension Income in the Year After Retirement
R= Salary in the Year Before Retirement
• Expected present value formulas for life insurances and annuities with
interest rates that vary over time (yt ) are analogous to the expected
present value formulas with constant interest rates (i). For example:
R∞
– Ā(x) = 0 v(t)t px µx+t dt
P
– ä(x : n ) = n−1
k=0 v(k)k px
– E[Xi ] = E[E[Xi |Y ]]
– V ar[Xi ] = E[V ar[Xi |Y ]] + V ar[E[Xi |Y ]]
• P r0 = - E0 .
• Π = (Π0 , Π1 , Π2 , Π3 , ..., Πn )0
= (P r0 , P r1 , px (P r2 ), 2 px (P r3 )..., n−1 px (P rn ))0 = profit signature
“Πk+1 denotes the profit emerging at the end of year k + 1 per issued
policy. That is, it is only assumed that the policy was issued to a life
aged x, and does NOT assume survival of (x) to the start of year k + 1
for k = 0, 1, ..., n - 1; this is the expected profit per issued policy.”
• Let r denote the risk discount rate (or hurdle interest rate). The risk
discount rate is the rate used to discount profits.
– The net present value (NPV) is the expected present value of the fu-
ture profits such that:
P
N P V = nk=0 Πk vrk .
The policy will be profitable if the NPV is positive.
– The internal rate of return (IRR) is the interest rate j such that:
N P V @j = 0.
The policy will be adequately profitable if the IRR is greater than
the risk discount rate.
N P V @r
– The profit margin is such that: Profit Margin = Gäx:n @r
“First, accumulate the net cash flow at the start of the year with
interest to the end of the year and subtract the expected benefit
payable at the end of the year. However, for the net cash flow at
the start of the year: you need to consider premiums, reserves, and
expenses associated with being in State i at the start of the year. For
the expected benefits and reserves required at the end of the year,
consider all of the States j (which may equal i) that the policyholder
could be in at the end of the year.”
This interpretation assumes there are no benefits payable at the be-
ginning of the year. The net cash flow at the start of the year can
easily be adjusted to incorporate such benefits.
P (i)
• Πk+1 = i k p0ix P rk+1 .
“The profit per policy issued is a weighted average of all of the possible
(i)
P rk+1 s. When summing over i, only consider non-terminal states.
– AVk denotes the account value at the start of the year from k to k +
1. Unless you are told otherwise, the account value is the reserve
for a universal life insurance.
– Gk denotes the premium at the start of the year from k to k + 1.
– Ek denotes the expenses at the start of the year from k to k + 1.
– ic denotes the credited interest rate, used to calculate account values.
– CoIk denotes the cost of insurance at the start of the year from k to
k + 1, this is the expected present value of the net amount at risk for
year k + 1 (at time k).
iq denotes the interest rate used to calculate CoIk , vq = (1 + iq )−1 .
– qx+k denotes the mortality rate between ages x + k and x + k + 1
used in the calculation of CoIk .
The recursion for projecting the fixed death benefit account value at the
end of year k + 1:
Profit Testing:
Consider a universal life insurance on (x). Let k = 0, 1, ...:
• AVk denotes the account value at the start of the year from k to k + 1.
• Ek+1 denotes the expenses at the start of the year from k to k + 1. All
expenses are under the profit test basis and will likely be less conservative
(lower) than the expenses used to determine account values.
• i denotes the annual effective interest rate used for profit testing. This
rate is under the profit test basis and will likely be less conservative
(higher) than the rates used to determine account values and the cost
of insurance (ic , iq ).
• bk+1 denotes the death benefit plus any claims settlement expenses payable
at the end of year k + 1, if death occurs between times k to k + 1.
• Ck+1 denotes the cash value/surrender value (account value less any sur-
render charge) plus processing costs payable at the end of year k + 1, if
withdrawal occurs between times k to k + 1.
(d)
• qx+k denotes the mortality rate between ages x + k and x + k + 1.
This rate is under the profit test basis and will likely be less conservative
(lower) than the rate used to determine account values and the cost of
insurance.
(w)
• qx+k denotes the surrender rate between ages x + k and x + k + 1.
(τ ) (d) (w)
• px+k = 1 - qx+k - qx+k , the persistency rate.
Then, the profit emerging at the end of year k + 1 per policy in force at
the start of the year from k to k + 1 is:
(d) (w) (τ )
P rk+1 = (Gk + AVk − Ek+1 )(1 + i) - bk+1 qx+k - Ck+1 qx+k - AVk+1 px+k .
“The profit emerging at the end of year k + 1 per policy in force at the
start of the year from k to k + 1 can be calculated as follows. Take the net
cash flow received at the start of the year (Gk + AVk − Ek+1 ) and accumulate
it for interest at i to the end of the year. Then, subtract the expected benefit
(d) (w) (τ )
payable at the end of the year (bk+1 qx+k + Ck+1 qx+k + AVk+1 px+k ).”
• The typical assumptions for the decrements will be that death can occur
throughout the year and surrender can only occur at the end of the year.
Then:
(d) 0(d)
qx+k = qx+k
16.2 Exercises
16.1. A worker exact age 38 on January 1, 2012, earned 80,000 in 2011:
(A) 200,000 (B) 220,000 (C) 240,000 (D) 260,000 (E) 280,000
16.2. A plan member exact age 45 on the valuation date earned salary at
a rate of 100,000 per year at the valuation date. The salary scale function
is: sx = (1.03)x . Assume salaries are increased continuously. Calculate the
projected salary rate at age 55.
(A) 126,000 (B) 128,000 (C) 130,000 (D) 132,000 (E) 134,000
Calculate the expected present value of the plan payments at exact age 65.
(A) 490,000 (B) 491,000 (C) 492,000 (D) 493,000 (E) 494,000
(i) The participant’s current salary (between ages 45 and 46) is 25,000.
(ii) The salary scale is sx = (1.05)x . sx is a step function that is constant
over each year of age.
(iii) Retirement is mandatory at exact age 65.
(iv) Contributions equal to 4% of salary are made in the middle of each
year.
(v) i = 0.05
(vi) Ignore mortality and other decrements.
(A) 48,000 (B) 49,000 (C) 50,000 (D) 51,000 (E) 52,000
16.5. A defined contribution plan has one participant currently aged 40.
(i) Contributions are equal to 2.5% of salary and are made at the middle
of the year.
(ii) The retirement age is 65.
(iii) The participant’s current salary is 29,200.
(iv) The salary scale is given by sx = 10,000(1.035)x . Salary does not
increase during each year of age.
(v) i = 0.08
(vi) Ignore mortality and other decrements.
(A) 76,000 (B) 77,000 (C) 78,000 (D) 79,000 (E) 80,000
(i) The employee’s annual salary for 2012 is 125,300. The salary scale
function is: sx = (1.04)x . Salary increases occur each year on December 31.
(ii) The Illustrative Service Table models employee exit from employment
due to four decrements: death while employed (d), withdrawal (w), retire-
ment due to disability (i), and retirement due to age (r).
(iii) The employee is issued a special 3-year insurance on January 1, 2012.
The insurance provides two types of benefits.
(iv) If the employee dies in employment prior to age 65, a lump sum death
benefit equal to twice the employee’s salary at death is paid at the moment
of death. Deaths are assumed to occur in the middle of the year.
(v) If the employee retires due to age prior to age 65, a lump sum retirement
benefit equal to a percentage of the employee’s salary is paid at the end of the
year of retirement. The percentage of the employee’s salary for the retirement
benefit is 20% if retirement occurs between ages 62 and 63, 40% if retirement
occurs between ages 63 and 64, and 60% if retirement occurs between ages
64 and 65.
(vi) The effective annual interest rate for all cash flows is 0.06.
(A) 23,000 (B) 24,000 (C) 25,000 (D) 26,000 (E) 27,000
√
t
16.7. You are given the yield curve: yt = 0.03 + 200 .
Calculate the forward rate for a 5-year zero coupon bond to be purchased
at the end of five years.
(A) 0.0500 (B) 0.0505 (C) 0.0510 (D) 0.0515 (E) 0.0520
Calculate the level annual benefit premium for a fully discrete 3-year term
insurance of 10,000 on (35) issued at time t = 0.
(i) XN denotes the number of deaths between ages 45 and 50 for N inde-
pendent lives each aged 40.
(ii) Each of the N lives has mortality that follows the Illustrative Life
Table.
√ √
V ar(X30 ) V ar(XN )
Calculate: 30 - lim N →∞ N .
(A) 0.021 (B) 0.023 (C) 0.025 (D) 0.027 (E) 0.029
5% with probability 0.25
i= 6% with probability 0.50
7% with probability 0.25
0.315488 if i = 5%
A40 = 0.269357 if i = 6%
0.233986 if i = 7%
and
0.062603 if i = 5%
K40 +1
Var(v )= 0.062166 if i = 6%
0.060238 if i = 7%
(A) 33,000 (B) 33,500 (C) 34,000 (D) 34,500 (E) 35,000
Calculate the standard deviation of the present value of the death benefit
random variable of the insurance.
(A) 2100 (B) 2200 (C) 2300 (D) 2400 (E) 2500
(A) 61,950 (B) 62,050 (C) 63,150 (D) 64,250 (E) 65,350
(A) 6000 (B) 7000 (C) 8000 (D) 9000 (E) 10,000
(i) There are initial expenses of 10% of the gross premium plus 100.
(ii) There are renewal expenses of 5% of the gross premium plus 20.
(iii) All expenses are paid at the beginning of the year.
(iv) Mortality is the only decrement, and follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(v) Cash flows are accumulated at an effective annual interest rate of 6%.
For the reserve basis: the reserve is set equal to the benefit reserve calcu-
lated using mortality rates (qx ) that are 110% of the Illustrative Life Table’s
mortality rates and an effective annual interest rate of 5%.
Calculate the expected profit per issued policy for the fifth year.
(A) 206 (B) 209 (C) 212 (D) 215 (E) 218
16.16. A special fully discrete 5-year endowment insurance on (50) has the
profit signature:
(A) 0.20 (B) 0.21 (C) 0.22 (D) 0.23 (E) 0.24
16.17. Consider a special 2-year term insurance on a select life aged 50:
(i) The level gross premium is 100 and is payable at the beginning of each
year.
(ii) There are two decrements: mortality (d) and lapse (w).
(iii) The death benefit is 10,000 and is payable at the end of the year of
death.
(iv) The lapse benefit is 14 of all gross premiums previously paid without
interest, and is payable at the end of the year of lapse.
(v) There is an acquisition expense of 100 that was incurred prior to issue;
this expense is paid at issue.
(vi) There are expenses of 8% of the gross premium that are paid immedi-
ately after the receipt of the premium.
(d) (d)
(vii) q[50] = 0.0010 and q[50]+1 = 0.0013
(w) (w)
(viii) q[50] = q[50]+1 = 0.04
(ix) i = 0.05
(x) The reserve at the end of year 1 is equal to 60.
(xi) Cash flows accumulate at an effective annual interest rate of 0.05.
(xii) Profits are discounted at an effective annual interest rate of 0.10.
Calculate the expected profit at the end of the ninth year assuming Heath
is healthy at the start of the ninth year.
(i) A fixed death benefit of 150,000 is payable at the end of the year of
death.
(ii) The credited interest rate is 5% for each year.
(iii) Mortality rates (qx ) for calculating the cost of insurance follow 120%
of the mortality rates in the Illustrative Life Table.
(iv) The interest rate used to calculate the cost of insurance is 5% for each
year.
(v) Expenses are paid at the beginning of the year, and are 10% of the
premium in the first year and 6% of the premium in each renewal year.
(vi) The policyholder pays a premium of 3600 at the start of the fifth year.
(vii) The account value at the beginning of the fifth year is 19,220.
(viii) The surrender charge for the fifth year is 3000, payable at the end of
the year.
(A) 20,000 (B) 20,500 (C) 21,000 (D) 21,500 (E) 22,000
(i) Expenses are paid at the beginning of the year; and are 8% of the
premium in the first year and 5% of the premium in each renewal year.
(ii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.
(iii) An effective annual interest rate of 5.5% is used to accumulate cash
flows.
(iv) The surrender rate is 8% for the first year and 4% in renewal years. It
is assumed that surrender can only occur at the end of the year.
(v) There is a claims settlement expense of 300 associated with payment
of the death benefit.
(vi) There is an additional expense of 100 associated with payment of the
cash value.
Calculate the expected profit for the fifth year per policy issued.
(A) 270 (B) 290 (C) 315 (D) 340 (E) 360
(i) There is a fixed death benefit of 100,000 payable at the end of the month
of death.
(ii) The account value at the end of the 96th month is 68,500.
(iii) A premium of 800 is paid at the beginning of the 97th month.
(iv) A per policy expense of 40 is paid at the beginning of the 97th month.
(v) The credited interest rate is 0.5% for the 97th month.
(vi) The interest rate used to calculate the cost of insurance is 0.4% for
the 97th month.
(vii) Mortality rates (qx ) for calculating the cost of insurance follow 110%
of the mortality rates in the Standard Select Survival Model. It is assumed
that deaths are uniformly distributed over each year of age.
(viii) During the 97th month, there is a corridor factor of 1.46. That is, the
death benefit will actually be the greater of 100,000 and the account value
at the end of the 97th month times the corridor factor. If the corridor factor
provision would increase the death benefit, the cost of insurance calculation
should utilize the increased death benefit.
(A) 5.00 (B) 5.50 (C) 6.00 (D) 6.50 (E) 7.00
Answers to Exercises
16.1. B
16.2. E
16.3. D
16.4. E
16.5. A
16.6. C
16.7. B
16.8. C
16.9. E
16.10. D
16.11. C
16.12. A
16.13. C
16.14. B
16.15. D
16.16. B
16.17. B
16.18. D
16.19. A
16.20. B
16.21. D
• Exam MLC, Spring 2012: #10, 11, 18, 20, 23, 24, 27
• Exam MLC, Sample Questions: #289, 290, 291, 292, 293, 294, 295, 296,
297, 298, 301,
17 REFERENCES
• Batten, R.W. 2005. “Life Contingencies: A Logical Approach to Actu-
arial Mathematics.” Winsted, CT: ACTEX Publications, Inc.
• Bowers, N.L., Gerber, H.U., Hickman, J.C., Jones, D.A., and Nesbitt,
C.J. 1997. “Actuarial Mathematics, Second Edition.” Schaumburg, IL:
Society of Actuaries.
• Cunningham, R.J., Herzog, T.N., and London, R.L. 2011. “Models for
Quantifying Risk, 4th Edition.” Winsted, CT: ACTEX Publications,
Inc.
• Dickson, D.C.M, Hardy, M.R. and Waters, H.R. 2013. “Actuarial Math-
ematics for Life Contingent Risks, Second Edition.” Cambridge, UK:
Cambridge University Press.
• Weishaus, A. 2012. “ASM Study Manual for Exam MLC, 11th Edition.”
Westbury, NY: Actuarial Study Materials.
18 APPENDIX
Dead (2)
The Disability Income Insurance Model
Dead (2)
The Multiple Decrement Model
Decrement 1 (1)
Decrement 2 (2)
Alive (0)
…………
Decrement n (n)
The Multiple Life Model
(x) Alive & (y) Alive (x) Alive & (y) Dead
[0] [1]
(x) Dead & (y) Alive (x) Dead & (y) Dead
[2] [3]