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Maximo V. Solivon
http://www.philippinestudies.net
Fri June 30 13:30:20 2008
The Elections 1961
MAXIM0 V. SOLIVEN
T
HE Year of Our Lord 1961 has been a rather bad year
for sooth-sayers, poll experts and political swamis in
general. There are, no doubt, a number of slightly used .
and badly clouded crystal balls for sale this season.
One prognosticator who did not miss the boat, however,
was one Dr. Gemiliano C. Lopez, Sr., who, in the tradition
of his father - the late ~ o n o r i oLopez - saw the victory of
the United Opposition written in the stars. For years, the
"Dimasalang Kalendaryong Tagalog ni Honorio Lopez'? (lite-
rally: "The Never-Mistaken Tagalog Calendar") has been
the fearless forecaster of events to come for the bakya crowd.
Was it not, its faithful adherents argue, this same Almanac
which foretold the violent death of the late President Ramon
Magsaysay? It was therefore hardly surprising that when the
Calendar's 1961 edition went on the newsstands for 25 cen-
tavos in January last year, it was so enthusiastically seized
upon by the masses that copies subsequently went on the
"blackmarket" a t one peso each.
This year, the stars did not disappoint the seer. Star-
gazer Lopez warmed to his subject by venturing the com-
paratively safe predictions that "Graft and corruption will
not disappear"; "We will again experience cheating in
procurement and stealing in the government"; and "There
will be treachery in Parties and both Parties will go over-
board in abuses during election time, therefore the flow of
blood cannot be avoided". Then Lopez declared that "the
4 PHILIPPINE STUDIES
Sign of Saturn under the Ram and the setting down of
the Sun under the Sign of Aries both indicate the death of
our leading citizen ('pangunahin nating mamamayan7)"-
which his devotees now note referred to the passing away
last October of the late President Sergio Osmeiia Sr. The
final triumphant prediction was that "the government will
pit itself against a strong Opposition and the November
elections will see a big change in the Administration."
The "big change" has come, and the followers of the
Tagalog horoscope have (at least in their own minds) been
vindicated. Less fortunate practitioners of the art of gazing
into the future, however, were those "experts" of the National
Resettlement and Rehabilitation Administration (NARRA) ,
the National Intelligence Coordinating Agency (NICA) , the
Presidential Assistance for Community Development (PACD) ,
and the Nacionalista Party who discovered to their sorrow
on November 14 that wishful thinking seldom makes wishes
come true.
Using more scientific methods than either Dr. Lopez
or the government, two poll samplings came closer to the
specific truth than both. One was the Princeton survey of
August and September which was subjected to loud verbal
abuse by outraged Nacionalistas but was vindicated in the
end. The Princeton report indicated that 54 per cent of
the Filipino voters polled expressed a preference for Diosda-
do Macapagal, 46 per cent were for Carlos P. Garcia, and
some 20 per cent were still a t that time "undecided". A
local survey group associated with America's famed Gallup
Poll, Robot Statistics, also demonstrated the efficacy of
modern public-opinion-sampling techniques by reporting in
September that Macapagal would win by 600,000 votes.
Robot took over 3,500 samples to plot voting trends among
the nation's 7,800,000 registered voters and proved that
scientific technique, while slower to reach conclusions, was
decidedly more accurate than astrology.
The most consistent and probably the most accurate
forecaster of all was Macapagal himself who predicted his
own victory as early as 1958 and never wavered from this
SOLIVEN: ELECTIONS 5
conviction. In the months. before election day last year, he
went even further. He publicly announced that he expected
to win by 1,000,000 votes, while privately admitting that he
would clear an approximate margin of 700,000. When the Con-
gress of the Philippines proclaimed him President-elect on
December 13, he had received 3,554,840 ballots as against
President Garcia's tally of 2,902,966.. By official count, he
had won by 651,874 votes.
In a more poetic than superstitious sense, Macapagal
has always held that his destiny was written in the stars.
Four years ago, he candidly pointed out to this writer that
it had taken Garcia 30 years in politics to become Vice-
President, while it had taken him only eight. On that day,
he cheerfully noted that he had formed a "Shadow Cabinet"
in his vice-presidential office in Malacaiiang. "My 'Fiscaliza-
tion Cabinet' meets in the-East Wing, where the sun rises,"
he optimistically declared. "President Garcia's Nacionalista
Cabinet meets in the West Wing, where the sun sets."
Macapagal and his fellow Liberals, however, left matters
neither to destiny nor to chance in the drive to make sure
that the sun would set on the Garcia Administration.
Macapagal hirmdlf threw all his energies into the task of
unseating Garcia. But it seemed, as he plotted and made
his moves, that some Providence guided his actions and
retrieved his mistakes.
The rise of Macapagal parallels the tortuous road that
the Liberal Party had to travel in its painful return from
almost total defeat and disgrace in 1953 a t the hands of
the late Ramon Magsaysay and a resurgent Nacionalista
Party. The reasons for that debacle of 1953 belong t o
another story. But then, as in 1961, the crying need for
a change and the smoldering indignation of the people
against the political terrorism, rank dishonesty and ill-
concealed graft of the Quirino-Avelino era built an explosive
situation in search of a spark. The NPs found their
"spark" in the person of Magsaysay, whom they "imported"
from the Liberal Party t o lead the crusade. With Magsay-
say came the young idealists and amateur politicians of the
6 PHILIPPINE STUDIES
Citizens Party who had been waiting since 1949 for such
an opportunity for action: Raul S. Manglapus, Francisco
"Soc" Rodrigo, Manuel Manahan, etc.
Because many of the outward phenomena of 1953 and
of 1961 are so similar, there is a danger that the significant
difference between the two campaigns will be overlooked. In
the 1953 campaign, as the crusaders marched forward to
storm the bastions of the LP administration to the stirring
music of the "Magsaysay March" and the "Mambo Mag-
saysay", there was a holiday spirit, almost a festive air
to the conflict. From the outset, there was little doubt
that victory would be won and the landslide of more than
a million votes confirmed this optimism. In 1961, despite
the euphemistic and tinny strains of "Happy Days are
Here Again", the United Opposition was compelled to fight
a deliberate, nerve-wracking battle. Even as the ballots
began to be counted, registering as early Liberal lead, the
nagging doubts and fears persisted that by some last-minute
manipulation a deluge of Nacionalista votes from the south
would wipe away the LP advantage. Only Macapagal, it
seems, remained unperturbed and confident in the suspense-
ful hours that preceded the certainty of triumph.
This is why anyone who seeks to evaluate the diverse
factors which led to the final turning of the tide last No-
vember must trace the role of Macapagal in the political
drama. For paradoxically, in the very hour that RM was
swept into Malacaiiang on the shoulders of a cheering po-
pulace, the "poor boy" from Lubao had just begun his
climb to the leadership of a discredited Liberal Party. Few
realized a t this critical juncture that the young Congress-
man from Pampanga, who had won a second term amid
an almost universal rout, would eight years later be the
standard-bearer of the LP.
This was demonstrated during a meeting held by rank-
ing Liberals in that bleak December of Defeat, when even
the dark clouds offered no hint of a silver lining. The
caucus, called amidst an atmosphere of gloom to assess the
disastrous events which had practically obliterated the LP
SOLZVEN: ELECTIONS 7
as a political force, took place a t the Peiiafrancia (Paco)
residence of former Speaker Jose Yulo. Present a t the
doleful session were defeated President Elpidio Quirino, the
late Speaker ("Manong") Eugenio Perez, Yulo himself, and
sundry other members of the LP Old Guard who had stag-
gered from the polls in much the same condition as Na-
poleon's last wave a t Waterloo.
Looking around a t the tired, aging faces which sur-
rounded him, former Manila Congressman Hermenegildo
Atienza remarked in some surprise:
"Where are Macapagal, Marcos and Villareal?"
He felt that the Pampangueiio reelectionist and his two
reelected colleagues in the Lower House, Ferdinand Marcos
and Cornelio Villareal, should have been included in the
meeting.
"Never mind them," one of the older LP stalwarts,
now a Nacionalista ex-senator, asserted. "They are young
fellows and their opinions don't count."
This statement was accepted and the session went on
to half-heartedly recall that the Republican Party in the
United States had returned to power only the previous year
(1952) after a long wait of 20 years. This, it was hopefully
suggested, might be duplicated by the Liberals if they only
got to work immediately.
It was the "young fellows" whose opinions didn't count
who accomplished the task in eight years.
How was this done?
There have by now appeared a multitude of post mor-
terns on the subject, some of them calling to mind that
Spanish moralism of Compoamor that "in this treacherous
world, nothing is true or f a l s e i t all depends, on the color
of the glasses through which one is looking." Without
subscribing to the gentle cynicism of the epigram, let us
attempt to unravel this long and confusing puzzle by divid-
ing the problem into four main compartments, the details
8 PHILIPPINE STUDIES
of which may o v e h p but nonethelm appear t o fall into
place in the end.
These are:
(1) Graft and Corruption -The Evolution of an Issue;
(2) Disunity Among the Nacionalistas;
(3) The Birth of a United Opposition; and
(4) The Campaign: A Coming of Age for the Filipino.
GRAFT & CORRUPTION: THE EVOLUTION OF AN ISSUE
One of the perennial issues in election campaigns is that
of "graft and coi~uption". It has become part and parcel
of our campaign oratory. The Tambobong-Buenavista deal,
the surplus property scandals, the import control anomalies,
and numerous other instances of venality became the names
of shame that highlighted the graft and corruption of the
old LP administration. Magsaysay had other, more drama-
tic symbols for his reform campaign--such as the portrait
of him holding the lifeless body of Moises Padiila in his
arms, a symbol of bleeding democracy impaled on the cross
of LP political terrorism. And yet the basic issue remained
"Graft and corruption".
Mags,aysay sought to root out the cancer after he
assumed office in 1954. For months it seemed as though
he were succeeding, but in time it became apparent, even
to a harassed and overworked Magsaysay himself, that the
"cancer" had merely gone underground. As long as The
Guy remained in Malacafiang, sensitive to the moral cor-
rosion, impetuously ready (as happened on many an occasion)
to react to reports of venality with immediate, if sometimes
impulsive, action, the rot could be partially contained. On
March 17, 1957, the presidential plane crashed into a moun-
tain in Cebu-and RM died.
The tragedy catapulted into power an almost unknown
"cipher"-his vice-president, Carlos P. Garcia, who had to
fly back from Canberra, Australia, to take over the reins of
office. So overwhelming had been Magsaysay's personality that
Garcia had moved almost unnoticed in his shadow. Now the
nation was compelled to take notice of him. Filipinos found
SOLIVEN: ELECTIONS 9
him a rather nondescript chess-playing poet and lawyer from
Talibon, a quiet fishing community on the northern coast of
Bohol. Garcia's main claim to fame a t that time was that
he had been undefeated in the 30 years since he had first
run for representative in the third district of Bohol. He
had been governor of Bohol (nine years) and two-term
senator when he was tapped as Magsaysay's running mate
on a ticket that could not lose.
Thus, the legend of Mr. Garcia's "luck" began. Eight
months after he moved into Malacaiiang, the man from
Talibon showed that, apart from luck, he possessed a shrewd
instinct for backroom maneuvering which enabled him to
parlay his caretaker status into reelection. Although he
cornered only 42 percent of the vote, he ran in a field of
four candidates: former Speaker Yulo stood for the Libe-
rals, former Customs Commissioner and Magsaysay "Graft
Buster" Manahan represented a hastily assembled Progres-
sive Party of the Philippines, and the late Senator Claro
M. Recto, who placed fourth, run as standard-bearer of the
minuscule Nationalist-Citizens Party.
An early press conference, conducted shortly after his
reelection, seemed to set the tone for what was to come.
Questioned as to the propriety of the Central Bank having
allocated a large dollar quota to a firm owned by one of
his Cabinet members, Garcia blandly replied with a ques-
tion which has become classic. Is it wrong, he wanted to
know, for a man to provide for his future? In the past
election campaign, the Opposition successfully drummed into
the minds of the electorate that during the four years and
eight months of the Garcia regime, many Nacionalistas had
indeed "provided for their future".
They had some help from Nacionalistas themselves. I n
late 1958, "Mr. Nacionalista" himself, Senate (and NP)
President Eulogio Rodriguez Sr. started brandishing his now
farnous White Paper, which he followed up with two additional
White Papers on an almost annual basis. The "Amang"
charged Garcia with permitting influence peddling and graft
and demanded "reforms". The charges were never officially
10 PHILIPPINE STUDIES
bared, but enough details were allowed to leak out to the
public to create a climate of malicious speculation. More
serious-minded fellow NPs twisted the knife in the wound.
Manila Congressman Joaquin Roces, the conscientious chair-
man of the House Good Government committee, relzased a
damaging omnibus report that between 1957 and 1960 some
82 billion had been lost through graft in government corpora-
tions and in the Central Bank. The wastage in public funds
during the period, owing to inefficiency and wanton spending,
the committee report stated, amounted to F458 million, much
of it in the bureau of customs and the bureau of internal
revenue. The crowning blow was struck by Manila's acid-
tongued Mayor Arsenio H. Lacson, himself a member of the
NP directorate, when he defected to the Opposition last June.
Although he did not affiliate himself with the Liberals, Lac-
son accepted the position of -presidential campaign manager
for Macapagal. In typical Lacsonian rhetoric, Manila's poli-
tical maverick asserted that "President Garcia's self-seeking,
erratic, and predatory leadership, aggravated by his mis-
management of the national purpose, has exposed the nation
t o dire peril." "We cannot have another term of President
Garcia and his satellites and cronies," Lacson cried, "without
running the risk of graft and corruption becoming our way
of life."
While these sentiments actually appear polite and re%
trained when set beside the more colorful of His Honor the
Mayor's verbal salvos, they underlined the issue to which the
Liberals and the United Opposition were to cling with such
tenacity throughout the campaign. They hammered a t it from
all angles. When Nacionalistas tried to counter by pointing
out the evils of the past Liberal administration, the LPs re-
torted that oorruption had become an "organized science"
under the Garcia regime. "And where are the L P crooks of
the Quirino administration?" the Opposition queried. "They
are now in the Nacionalista Party!"
An administration in power is naturally on the defensive.
The NPs were forced to cite unconvincing statistics. They
SOLIVEN: ELECTIONS 11