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HIGH BROW MARKET RESEARCH INVESTMENT ADVISOR PVT. LTD.

Market Wrap-Up

MCX Market Wrap-Up


% Change in
Previous % Change in % Change
Commodity Contract Open High Low Close Open Inter-
Close Price in Volume
est
Aluminium 29-Mar-19 134.40 134.75 150.65 132.60 149.40 11.16% 6.25% -45.10%

Copper 30-Apr-19 462.35 462.40 468.65 458.80 462.65 0.06% -11.78% -5.96%

Crude Oil 19-Mar-19 4,085 4,073 4,117 3,916 3,973 -2.74% 27.36% -1.14%

Gold 05-Apr-19 33517 33511 33617 32600 32640 -2.62% 31.09% -7.12%

Lead 29-Mar-19 145.9 146.55 154.10 146.10 152.1 4.25% 41.92% -30.69%

Natural Gas 26-Mar-19 192.30 193.80 204.30 193.80 202.90 5.51% 40.84% -29.60%

Nickel 29-Mar-19 917.80 922.30 949.40 909.20 935.20 1.90% 20.75% -29.80%

Silver 05-Mar-19 40268 40270 40412 38216 38301 -4.88% 25.77% 4.27%

Zinc 29-Mar-19 194.50 194.45 201.05 190.85 199.60 2.62% 2.31% 1.21%

NCDEX Market Wrap-Up


Previous % Change % Change in % Change
Commodity Contract Open High Low Close
Close in Price Open Interest in Volume

Castor Seed 19-Mar-19 5252.00 5254.00 5306.00 5220.00 5248.00 -0.08% 63.86% 0.91%

Chana 19-Mar-19 4156.00 4154.00 4168.00 4052.00 4116.00 -0.96% -13.06% 0.29%

Dhaniya 16-Apr-19 6235.00 6220.00 6365.00 6150.00 6201.00 -0.55% 71.38% -2.88%

COCUDAKL 19-Mar-19 1983.50 1979.00 1988.00 1905.00 1937.00 -2.34% 28.04% 0.63%

Guargum5 19-Mar-19 8369.00 8365.00 8420.00 8162.00 8375.00 0.07% -24.62% 3.41%

Guarseed10 19-Mar-19 4214.50 4207.00 4240.00 4112.50 4175.00 -0.94% 62.23% 1.74%

Jeera 19-Mar-19 15410.00 15415.00 15600.00 15140.00 15565.00 1.01% -18.85% 14.62%

RMseed 16-Apr-19 3881.00 3876.00 3887.00 3818.00 3842.00 -1.00% 28.62% 9.25%

Ref Soya Oil 19-Mar-19 766.95 768.00 769.85 751.20 762.70 -0.55% 8.87% 6.97%

Soyabean 19-Mar-19 3730.00 3743.00 3743.00 3607.00 3649.00 -2.17% 92.77% -4.66%

Turmeric 16-Apr-19 6200.00 6186.00 6356.00 6114.00 6314.00 1.84% 112.09% -0.45%

Mentha Oil 29-Mar-19 1617.00 1615.00 1720.00 1594.00 1611.50 -0.34% -52.64% -26.90%
Currency Market Wrap-Up
Previous Change in
Currency Pair Contract Open High Low Close
Close Price (in%)
USDINR 27-Mar-19 71.1600 71.1400 71.7500 70.9000 71.1300 -0.04%

GBPINR 27-Mar-19 92.6900 92.9400 95.4000 92.7500 94.3000 1.74%

JPYINR 27-Mar-19 64.2200 64.1500 65.0800 63.5500 63.7200 -0.78%

EURINR 27-Mar-19 80.7800 80.6200 81.8200 80.5500 81.0800 0.37%


Continued…….
2 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019
Market Wrap-Up

International Market Wrap-up


Previous
Commodity Exchange Open High Low Close % Change in Price
Close
Aluminium LME 1897.50 1889.25 1912.00 1880.99 1909.75 0.65%
Copper COMEX 2.951 2.951 2.978 2.925 2.926 -0.85%

Crude Oil NYMEX 57.26 57.17 57.88 55.02 55.77 -2.60%

Gold COMEX 1332.80 1331.90 1334.90 1291.30 1294.45 -2.88%


Lead LME 2062.75 2067.00 2178.75 2067.00 2137.50 3.62%

Natural Gas NYMEX 2.717 2.757 2.908 2.732 2.849 4.86%

Nickel LME 12987.50 13045.00 13382.50 12847.50 13172.50 1.42%

Silver COMEX 15.914 15.885 15.960 15.080 15.155 -4.77%

Zinc LME 2712.500 2720.75 2799.50 2694.50 2777.750 2.41%

3 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019


Inventory Updates

LME Inventory
Closing (As on 1st Mar 19) Closing (As on 22nd Feb 19)
Commodity % Change in Price
In tones in tones

Aluminium 1219700 1244050 -1.96%

Copper 128475 137700 -6.70%

Lead 77050 77050 0.00%

Nickel 106932 200184 -46.58%

Zinc 65100 88250 -26.23%

Continued…….
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Inventory Updates

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Market Next Week
Upcoming Economic Events Calender
Time Currency Event Forecast Previous

Monday, March 4, 2019

15:00 GBP Construction PMI (Feb) 50.3 50.6

Tuesday, March 5, 2019

20:15 USD Markit Composite PMI (Feb) 55.8 55.8

20:30 USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Feb) 57.8

Wednesday, March 6, 2019

0:30 USD Federal Budget Balance (Jan) -11.0B -14.0B

18:45 USD ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Feb) 190K 213K

19:00 USD Trade Balance (Dec) -57.30B -49.30B

21:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories 2.842M -8.647M

Thursday, March 7, 2019

14:00 GBP Halifax House Price Index (MoM) (Feb) 0.10% -2.90%

19:00 USD Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) (Q4) 1.60% 1.20%

Friday, March 8, 2019

19:00 USD Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Feb) 0.30% 0.10%

19:00 USD Building Permits (MoM) (Jan)

19:00 USD Housing Starts (MoM) (Jan) -11.20%

19:00 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb) 180K 304K

19:00 USD Participation Rate (Feb) 63.20%

19:00 USD Private Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb) 170K 296K

19:00 USD Unemployment Rate (Feb) 3.90% 4.00%

21:10 CNY Trade Balance (USD) (Feb) 25.55B 39.16B

22:30 USD WASDE Report

23:30 USD U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

23:30 USD U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count


Currency Weekly Pivots
Currency Pair Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3
USDINR 27-Mar-19 75.2000 72.9000 71.5500 70.6067 69.2000 68.3000 66.0000
GBPINR 27-Mar-19 93.9000 91.6500 90.3000 89.3150 87.9500 87.0000 84.7000
JPYINR 27-Mar-19 65.5000 64.3000 63.7500 63.0375 62.4500 61.8000 60.5500
EURINR 27-Mar-19 84.4000 82.4500 81.3500 80.5217 79.3500 78.5500 76.6500
Continued…….
6 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019
Market Next Week

MCX Weekly Pivots


Commodity Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3

Aluminium 29-Mar-19 180.30 162.25 155.80 144.20 137.75 126.15 108.10

Copper 30-Apr-19 483.05 473.20 467.90 463.35 458.05 453.50 443.65

Crude Oil 19-Mar-19 4404 4203 4088 4002 3887 3801 3600

Gold 05-Apr-19 34986 33969 33305 32952 32288 31935 30918

Lead 29-Mar-19 166.75 158.75 155.40 150.75 147.40 142.75 134.75

Natural Gas 26-Mar-19 221.35 210.85 206.90 200.35 196.40 189.85 179.35

Nickel 29-Mar-19 1011.65 971.45 953.30 931.25 913.10 891.05 850.85

Silver 05-Mar-19 43368 41172 39737 38976 37541 36780 34584

Zinc 29-Mar-19 217.55 207.35 203.45 197.15 193.25 186.95 176.75

NCDEX Weekly Pivots


Commodity Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3

Castor Seed 16-Apr-19 5494 5414 5368 5334 5288 5254 5174

Chana 16-Apr-19 4417 4277 4211 4137 4071 3997 3857

Dhaniya 16-Apr-19 6669 6454 6327 6239 6112 6024 5809

COCUDAKL 16-Apr-19 2131.00 2051.00 2009.00 1971.00 1929.00 1891.00 1811.00

Guargum5 16-Apr-19 8937 8681 8580 8425 8324 8169 7913

Guarseed10 16-Apr-19 4471.85 4347.35 4286.20 4222.85 4161.70 4098.35 3973.85

Jeera 16-Apr-19 16063 15628 15422 15193 14987 14758 14323

RMseed 16-Apr-19 3987 3918 3880 3849 3811 3780 3711

Ref Soya Oil 16-Apr-19 781.55 765.05 757.60 748.55 741.10 732.05 715.55

Soyabean 16-Apr-19 3983 3848 3775 3713 3640 3578 3443

Turmeric 16-Apr-19 6745 6503 6409 6261 6167 6019 5777

Mentha Oil 29-Mar-19 1959.0 1805.0 1707.9 1651.0 1553.9 1497.0 1343.0

7 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019


MCX Fundamentals

BULLION

Gold prices continued to fall on Monday dropping through the 1,290 level. The dol-
lar continued to gain ground early despite the comment from President Trump that
he does not want to see a stronger greenback. Late in the trading session the dollar
moved lower following soft than expected US economic data. The drop in the dollar
failed to buoy gold prices which closed near the lows of the trading session.

BASE METALS

In China base metals prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were for the most
part weaker while prices reacted to the generally softer tone across the LME metals
on Monday and to continued poor economic data. The exception was nickel which
bucked the weaker trend on the LME on Monday and which was the only base
metal on the SHFE to show any gains this morning.

ENERGY

Oil prices rose today and extended its gains due to high hopes about a US China
trade deal which in turn boosts global demand for crude as well as increased
compliance by OPEC producers to cut production. The Energy Information Ad-
ministration reported a drop of 237 billion cubic feet last week while analysts ex-
pected a drop of 249 billion.

8 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019


NCDEX Fundamentals

SPICES
The area under Jeera increased by 19% in Rajasthan to 506,000 hectares from
425,000 hectares last year with improved yield at 494 kg per hectare up from
489 kg last year.For Gujarat the Jeera area saw a marginal dip of 5% at 315,000
hectares as compared to 332,000 hectares last year. Now Turmeric is getting
support at 6678 and below same could see a test of 6612 level, And resistance
is now likely to be seen at 6842, a move above could see prices testing 6940.

OILSEEDS
Mentha oil prices slipped in the domestic futures market on Friday on lower
demand at the spot market amid adequate arrival from producing regions.
Around 12:10 pm, MCX Mentha oil was at Rs 1,599.90 per kg down by Rs
7.10, or 0.44 per cent. Speculators trimmed positions in Mentha oil futures
triggered by muted demand from consuming industries NSE 1.91 % at the
spot market and adequate stocks on higher supplies from the major produc-
ing regions.

GUAR COMPLEX
Guar seed prices went down steeply by Rs 13 to Rs 9,033 per quintal in futures
trade Monday amid off-loading of exposure by investors in sync with a weak
trend at the physical markets. At the National Commodity and Derivatives Ex-
change Guar seed for delivery in December moved down by Rs 103 or 1.13 per
cent to Rs 9,033 per quintal, persisting an open interest of 83,080 lots.

OTHERS

Soybean futures tilted higher in American trade to December 12 highs as the


dollar index fell off June 2017 highs for the eleventh session out of 17.That
follows earlier data from the US the world's largest soybean producer and
exporter while investors look for the results of the ongoing US China trade
talks in Beijing.

9 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019


Calls of the Week (MCX)
GOLD

From last couple of trading days Gold is trading with negative sentiment and recently Gold touched the level of 34000
and getting selling pressure on higher level. Last week Gold made a low of 32600 and closed at 32640 with overall mar-
ginal loss of 2.60% on weekly basis. On its daily chart Gold recently broken its double top formation and sustaining be-
low it indicating negative trend for short term to mid term basis. For this week if it break the level of 32164 then it can
test the level of 32002. One can make selling position with the sl of 32241.

WEEKLY STRATEGY

PARTICULAR DETAILS

Action Sell

Entry Range Below 32165

Target 32002

SL 32241

CRUDEOIL

Crude Oil prices continuously trading near the level of 4000 and forming reversal formation on higher level. From last
couple of trading days Crude Oil prices trading in range between the level of 4140 – 3950. On its 4 hourly chart RSI
trading below the level of 50 indicating negative trend in it. For this week if it is break the level of 3950 then it can test
the level of 3852. One can make selling position in it with the SL of 4021.

WEEKLY STRATEGY

PARTICULAR DETAILS

Action Sell

Entry Range Below 3950

Target 3852

SL 4021

10 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019


Calls of the Week (NCDEX)
RMSEED
The primary trend of RMSEED is negative on chart and from couple of trading weeks RMSEED is trading with the nega-
tive sentiment. Last week RMSEED made a low of 3818 and closed at 3842 with overall marginal gain of 0.3% on
weekly basis. On its daily chart RMSEED recently broken its important support level of 3850 and sustaining below it
indicating negative trend for short term to mid term basis. For this week if it break the level of 3800 then it can test the
level of 3705. One can make selling position with the sl of 3866.

WEEKLY STRATEGY

PARTICULAR DETAILS

Action Sell

Entry Range Below 3800

Target 3705

SL 3866

GUARSEED

GUARSEED10 prices continuously trading in range between the level of 4300 to 4150 and forming bottom formation in
its daily chart. Last week GUARSEED10 made a high of 4243 and closed at 4225 with overall marginal gain of 0.2% on
weekly basis. On its daily chart GUARSEED10 trading near its resistance trend line we can expect if prices break the
level of 4245 on upper side then it can test the level of 4375 in coming weeks . One can make buy position in it with
the sl of 4169.

WEEKLY STRATEGY

PARTICULAR DETAILS

Action Buy

Entry Range Above 4245

Target 4375

SL 4169

11 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019


Calls of the Week (FOREX)
EURINR
From last couple of trading days EURINR is trading with negative sentiment and recently EURINR broken its important
support level of 81.0000 and getting selling pressure on higher level. On its daily chart EURINR forming Head & Shoul-
der pattern on its daily chart and we can expect that market can move down below the level of 80.0000, RSI is negative
on chart and printing below the level of 50. For this week if it break the level of 80.5000 then it can test the level of
80.0200. One can make selling position in it with the sl of 80.9125.

WEEKLY STRATEGY

PARTICULAR DETAILS

Action Sell

Entry Range Below 80.5000

Target 80.0200

SL 80.9125

USDINR
USDINR prices continuously resist by the level of 71.0000 and forming descending triangle formation on its daily chart
indicating negative in it for short term to mid term basis. Also USDINR broken its support trend line and sustaining be-
low it with the negative RSI. For this week if it break the level of 70.8800 then it can test the level of 80.4100. One can
make selling position in it with the sl of 71.2225.

WEEKLY STRATEGY

PARTICULAR DETAILS

Action Sell

Entry Range Below 70.8800

Target 70.4125

SL 71.2225

12 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 06/03/2019


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सभझने की बी सराह दी जाती है | कंऩनी के ननगभन के फाद ननमाभक ननकाम द्वायाकंऩनी के खखराप कोई भुकदभा (माधचका) दामय नहीं ककमा गमा है।

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रयऩोटा ववश्रेषकों द्वाया तैमाय की गमी है जो द्वाया हाई ब्रो भाकेट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटे ड द्वाया ननमुवत हैं | इस रयऩोटा भें व्मवत सबी ववचाय कंऩनी के फाये भें व्मक्वतगत ववचायों को
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DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF CONFLICT OF INTEREST (टहतों के संघषा के भाभरे भें प्रकटीकयण ):


(a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;
(अ) हाई ब्रो भाकेट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटे ड मा उसके सहमोगी मा उनके ककसी बी तत्कार रयश्तेदाय की ववषम कंऩनी भें कोई ववत्तीम रुधच नहीं है औय न ही इस तयह की ववत्तीम टहत की
प्रकृनत है|
(b) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more in the securities of the subject company,
(ब) हाई ब्रो भाकेट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटे ड मा उसके सहमोगी मा उनके ककसी बी तत्कार रयश्तेदाय की ववषम कंऩनी की प्रनतबूनतमों भें एक प्रनतशत मा उससे अधधक के वास्तववक / पामदे भंद
स्वालभत्व नहीं हैं |
(c) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associate has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;
(स) हाई ब्रो भाकेट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटे ड मा उसके सहमोधगमों को अनुसंधान रयऩोटा के प्रकाशन के सभम मा सावाजननक रूऩ से उऩक्स्थत होने के सभम कोई अन्म बौनतक संघषा नहीं है |

DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF COMPENSATION ( ऺनतऩनू ता के संदबा भें प्रकटीकयण):


High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst's area of
coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
हाई ब्रो भाकेट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटे ड की ऩॉलरसी अऩने ववश्रेषकों, ऩेशेवयों को ववश्रेषक के ऺेत्र भें ककसी बी कंऩनी की प्रनतबूनतमों के स्वाभी से ववश्रेषकों को रयऩोटा कयने से योकती है।
ववश्रेषक ऺनतऩूनता : ववश्रेषक हाई ब्रो भाकेट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटे ड के वेतन आधारयत स्थामी कभाचायी है |

DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF PUBLIC APPEARANCE (सावाजननक प्रकटन के भाभरे भें प्रकटीकयण ) :


(a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(अ) हाई ब्रो भाकेट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटे ड मा उसके सहमोगीमों ने वऩिरे 12 भहीनों भें ववषम कंऩनी से कोई भुआवजा प्राप्त नहीं ककमा है |
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report.
(ब) अनुसंधान रयऩोटा के ववतयण की नतधथ से ऩूवा फायह भहीनों के दौयान ववषम कंऩनी अफ मा कबी बी ग्राहक नहीं यही है।
(c ) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(स) हाई ब्रो भाकेट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटे ड मा उसके सहमोगीमों ने ववषम कंऩनी के अधधकायी, ननदे शक मा कभाचायी के रूऩ भें कबी बी काभ

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