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9.1 Introduction
DCFROR is used more widely as an after-tax investment economic
decision
method than all other economic decision methods. Npv is
the second most
used economic decision method and ratios ar.e the third
most used evalua- .
\'ou Lrr)alvze a project in escaiated dollars you must compare it with results of
orher projects analyzed in escalated dollars, As discussed in chapter 11, if
\,(iu le\ei^age a proiect investmeni \.vith bDrroued money,
1,ou should com_
pare it to other projects analvzed x,ith simiiar borro-..ved mcne)r ler.ei:age.
Srirriarly, ri'hen considerins an investor's mininrum raie of return, it is
ir:rpt.rr".int to recognize that i{ the financial cost of capital approach is to be
uLiiizc'J. the cost of Cebt ard the risk free bond rate of retum lrsed in the capital
rs:r:t 111eigl rnust be e.rpressed on an aller-tax lrasis. This requires recognition
thill tile cost ot iinancing is generally deductible (except for construction loans
- :'ce Chapter 1i fbr more details). Further, interest received from an invest-
menr in bonds would be treated as ordinary income upon rvhich taxes must be
paio. These adjustments are easily achieved by multiplving each parameter
tinres the quantity (1{ax rate). The resulting product(s) represent the after-tax
cost ,.>f borrowed mone)' interest and the after-tax rate of return from a bond
inve-{tment. If an invesLor is utilizing a true opportunity cost of capital base-d
percgived returns to be realized rr: the f uture, such r;reasures of econoniic
u1,rr.ii)
rcirirn should be based on after-tax performance using afie.r{ax cash flow in
thr: methodology presented in Chapters 7 r.nd g of this text.
Broad acceptance and utilization of discou:rted cash flcw analysis
occurred in most industries around rhe world in the 1960's and 1970,s. prior
to that time, techniques of analizsis such as payback period, which is
described in the next section, and several different average and/or account-
ing rate o1'retttrn calculations which are d*fined and illustrated in Section
9.1() oi this
chapter were utilized by investors to evaluare the economic
Irotentiai of investments. ft will be shown that the older techniques do not
properly account for the timing and tax effects related to project costs ancl
revenues. Therefore, the older techniques are inconsistent in their usefulness
tor evaluating economic differences in project investments. This is the pri-
rnarv reason investors have shifted in recent decades from using these older
analvsis techniques to using the discounted cash flow analysis criteria.
calculation
resuhs look very good. similarly, a company in a tight financial *
situation and r
needing money to meet current obligations such as for operating expenses $
and
debt repayment may elect to invest in projects with short payback-periods
to help
meet short-term cash flow needs, even though these projects have
much poorer
economic potential than other potential investments with longer payback
periods.
Another application of payback relates to the writing of
3oint venture
contracts. Working interests, carried interests and related reveriionary $
inter- 1:
ests often change after payback. Because different joint venture partners
often arg in different financial and tax situations, before-tax payback is
almost ahvays the basis for payback used in legal contracts. Tix holidays
for state or provincial mineral severence or excise taxes often involve a
before-tax payback calculation.
The following two exampres ilustrate the mechanics of carculating pay-
back in four different ways and show how the project with the shortesl
pay-
back rnay not be the best economic choice.
Year
ATCF -'100 -200 150 200 250
Solution:
This project has a DCFROR of 32.85% and an NPV @ 12.0oi" ot
$142.24, both of which indicate a.cceptable economics. For Payback,
assume the time zero cdsh flow is a discreie sum at thai poirrt and
thai tne subsequent cash flows in periods 1 through 4 flow continu-
ousiy during each corresponding year.
Year -.: 0 1 2 3 4
ATCF -1 00 200 250
DATCF -100 142 159
CUM DATCF -100 142
-17
Where: -200(P/Fp%.i = -179
150(PlFpy",2) = 120, etc...
3 Years + (17 I 159) = 3.1 Years
Cumulative NPV
200
150
i
100
o OrscountedPayDa"k,3., years
50
s
o 0
B
-50
E
t_
o
-1 50
-200
-250
-300
Years
Soiution:
Assurning revenue is realized uniformly over year 4:
Project "A", Undiscounted payback 3 + (100/2g5.6)
= = 3.35 years
lf the project "A" revenue is assumed to be a lump sum revenue
such as from the sale of real estate or common stock, then
the pro-
ject "A", Undiscounted payback is 4 years.
Project "B", Undiscounted payback 2 + (1 oa-g2.4)/46.2
= = 2.16 years
undiscounied Payback indicates select project ,,8,, with the
smaller
pa;,'back.
PVRB=40.3/100=+0.403
Since both ratios relate to the same investment dollars, select "A",
whether the alternatives are mutually exclusive or non-mutually
exclusive.
ing prices. The effective income tax rate is 40"/" and the minimum
DCFROR is 12/". Use DCFROR and Np.v anqlysis.!g delgryine if it
is economical to buy the n.* rorfressor. Assume other income
exists against which to use deductions in any year.
otd F($3.00/|\4CF)
0 1.... ......10
t tew C= $.oo/McF)
0
The DCFBOFI of 39.2"/o, which is more than three times the mini-
mum DCFROR of 127", indicates very satisfactory economics for the
nev'/ compressor, consistent with positive NPV of $510,000 that is
greater than tne cosi of $420,000 that generated the NPV. Whenever
NPV is pasitive and similar in magnitude to the cost that generated it,
project economics are very good and typically relate to a proiect with
a DCFROR three or four times the minimum DCFROR.
Research or
Research or Exploration
Exploration Cost = 100 Annual Sales = 250 250
Cost = 150 Eq.Cost = 200
L=0
--1
V,aar
-1 0145
Deveiop Cash Flow -90(Sunk) -252 112 104
Abandorr Cash Flow -90(Sunk) 0 0 0
Develop - Abandon 0 -252 112 104
PWEq@Yr0:
A = -252 +'112(P/A;,+) + t04(P/F;,5)
Year -101-45
Develop Cash Flow -90(Sunk) -252 112 104
Sell Cash Florr -90(Sunk) +120 0 0
Develop - Sell 0 -372 112 104
PWEq@Yr0:
Case D) Year -1 Cost is Sunk but Tax Effects are not Sunk.
The time zero sale cash flow is the $200 sale value minus the tax
on the sale taxable income of $200 - $150 land book value which
yields tax of $SO(0.4) = $20. This gives after-tax sale cash flow of
$200 - $20 tax = $180. Although the land cost of $150 is sunk, the
remaining sale.value and tax effects are not sunk and give sale
value cash flow of $180 instead of the 9120 cash flow in the,,C',
analysis when the year -1 cost and all tax effects were sunk.
lf the project is developed instead of being sold, the land book
value of $150 will be written off at the end of year five against other
income, saving $150(0.4 tax rate) = $60 in tax at year five. This
makes the year 5 develop cash flow 9104 plus $60, or $t O+.
Year -1 1-4
Develop Cash Flow -150 (sunk) -ZS2 +112 +164
Sell Cash Flow -'150 (sunk) +180 O 0
Develop - Sell 0 492 +112 +164
PW Eq @ Time Zero:
Solution:
A) Before-Tax, Escalated Doltar Break-even Anatysis
0.33438
Net Revenue Per Year = $1S0,000(A/p20,5) = g5O, j 57
0.4264
Net Revenue per year = $1s0,000(A/pg2,5) g60,960
=
Alternate Solution to Case ,.B,,
convert all escalated dollar break-even revenues, "X," to equiva-
lent constant dollar results by discounting "X" at the 10% inflation
rate to express all revenue in terms of year 0 purchasing power.
Then handle the time value of money by discounting again at the
constant dollar minimum ROR of 20%.
Ciiapier- 9: After-Tax lnvestntent Decision Methods
and Applications 453
Note the four break-even results are all different. lt is very important
to explicitly understand the assumptions related to all economic analy-
sis calculations to property interpret and appty the results for invest-
ment decision making. Break-even calculations are no exception..
Whether results relate to beforelax or after-tax calculations, done in
escalated or constant dollars, with or without risk adjustment, and on a
cash investment or leveraged basis are key assumptions that have a
significant effect on any proper economic analysis. Ther:e is no substi-
tute for understanding the calculation mechanics and the meaning of
relevant discounted cash flow analysis assumptions in order to be able
to apply evaluation results properly for economic decision making.
Solution:
lf the investor forgoes selling the equipment for $7,000 to keep
and retrofit it for use, the $7,000 must be accounted for as opportu-
nity cost reduced by 40% tax to be paid ($2,AOO1 on the $7,000 sale
Cnaoler 9: After-Tax lnvestment Deciston Methods and Appiications 455
ACRS Depreciation
ltJodif ied
Using Table 7-3 Rates tor a7 Year Life Asset:
Year 0 (0.1429X$1 0,000) = $1 ,429
Year 1 (0.2449X$10,000) = $2,449
Year 2 (0.1749)($10,000) = $1,749
Year 3 (0.1249X$10,000) = $1,249
Cumulative Depreciatiop = $6,876
Year 3 Book Value = $10,000 - 6,876 = $3,124
Year
fi.e.tenue XX X+2,000
-Oper. Costs -3,000 -6,000 -7,000 -4,000*
-D+preciation -1,429 -2,449 -1,749 -4,373
Taxable lncome -4,429 X-8,449 X-8,749 X-6,373
-rar_9192! +1,771 -.4X+3,380 -.4X+3,500 -.4X+2,52'9
Net lncome -2.657 .6X-5.069 .6X-5,250 .6X-3.824
+ Depreciation 1 ,429 2,449 1.749 4,373
-Capital Costs -14,240
Cash Flow -15,428 .6X-2,620 .6X-3,50'1 .6X+ 549
" Final book value write-off and year 3 depreciation are combined.
Find break-ev€)n revenue "X" per year to make NPV = 0 for i* = 2oo/o
0.8333 0.6944
0 = -15,428 + (.6X-2,62O)(PIF2}"k 1) + (.6X - 3,501)(PIF2g"y",2)
0.5787
+ (. 6X+549) (P I F 2g./",g)
0 = 1.2638X- 19,724.63
Break-even Annual Revenue, X = $15,608
456 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
1+i=(1+f)(1+i')
constant dollar break-even calculations and escalated dollar
break-
even calculations are equivalent if the appropriate rates are
used.
Salvage = 50,000
To work in escalated dollars, which are the dollars shown on the
ciragram, we must calculate the escalated doliar minimum DCFRCR
for years 1 and 2 that are equivalent to lhe 12"/" constant doliar
DCFFIOR for the inflation rates of 6% in year 1 and 10% in yeat Z.
i +i*=(1 +f)(1 +i-')
Year 1 : f = 0.06, i"' = .0.12, so i* = 0,1 87 or 1t..7ok
Year 2: f = C.10, in' = 0.12, so i. =.A.ZB2 or 28.2/"
Year 0 1(Fqiture) 1(Success) 2(Success)
Revenue 50,000 6,250x 7,197X
-Oper Costs -46,000 -50,600
-Depreciation -20,000 -20,000 -32.000
-Write-off -80,000 -48,000
Taxable -50,000 6,250x-66,000 7,187X-130,600
*Tax @ 40o/" 20,000 -2,5AOX+26,400 -2,875X+52,240
Net lncome -30,000 3,750x-39,600 4,312X-79,360
+Depreciation 20,000 20,000 32,000
+Write-off 80,000 49,000
-tQqpital Costs -1 00,000
Cash Flow -100,000 70,000 3,7S0X-19,600 4,312X+1,640
Expected PW Eq:
ri o.8425 0.842s
i. 0 = -1 00,000 + 70,000(P/F16.7,1)(.3) + (3,750X - 1 9,60OXPiF rc.2
l ,l\(.7)
\l
{|
$
t
0.8117 0.8425
+ (4,31 2X + 1,640)(PlF2g.2,lf lF1B.7,i(7)
0.8696
PW Eq: 0 = -0.36X + (189.9+0.00858XXp lF1g,1)
0.7561 0.6575
+ (1 18.6+0.01 470X)(P lF 15,2) + (71.0+0.03673XXp/F1
5,3)
X = 950.273 or 9950,273 therefore,
lnvestor break-even tangible + iniangible cost= 0.50(9950,273)
= 9475,136
Net Present vatue (NPV) represents the additional afier-tax cost that can
be incurred at the point in time NPV is calculated ancl still give the investor
the minimum after-tax rate of return on invested. dollars. The woids ,addi-
tional after-tax costs" nxeans "additional negative after-tax cash
flow.,'
Acquisition, or other additional costs being considered, are before-tax expen-
ditures. Investors must account for the tax deductibility of all costs to deter-
mine the tat savings from those expenditures and the impact on cashflow and
a.fter-tax NPV Netting the present worth of these tax savings against the
acquisition cost gives the "after-t*r acquisition cost," which equals the after-
tar project NPV. Re-phrasing the last sentence, what an investor is looking
for with this calculation is the additional before-tax cost that will make his or
her after-tax NPV equal zero. ln general, if an acquisition or other additional
cost is tax deductible, an investor can pay more than the after-tax Npv for the
project and still get the desired minimum after-tax rate of return on the total
investment. whether acquisition or other costs are for assets that are deprecia-
ble, amortizable, depletable or non-depreciable until sold (such as land) is
very impo(ant, necessary input information for valid break-even cost analy-
ses. The following example illustrates these concepts.
Year 1-4
Revenue 20,000 20,000
-Oper Costs -5,000 -5,000
-Development -i 0,000
-Depreciation -1,500 -3,000 -1,500
Taxable lnc. -11 ,500 12,000 13,500
-Tax @ 40"/" 4,600 -4,800 -5,400
Net lncome -6,900 7,200 8,100
+Depreciation 1,500 3,000 1,500
-Equip. Costs -'15,000
Cash Flow -20,400 10,200 9,600
NPV = 10,200(P/A20,4) + 9,600(P/F20,S)- 20,400 - +$9,860
464 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
lf you pay $9.86 million to acquire the property and the acquisition
cost is iax,.deductible as a patent cost,.as in,gsj" 1,.Npv- wilistill be
positive. You can afford to'pay *or. ihrn the NpV of
$9.86 ,ifii",
and still get a 20"/" DCFROR on invested dollars. This ]s.illustrated
now for an assumed $10 million acquisition cost considered amortiz-
able over five years.
Year 0 14
Revenue 20,000 20,000
-Oper Costs -5,000 *5,000
-Development -10,000
-Depreciation -1,500 -3,000 -1,500
-Amortization -2,000 -2,000
Taxable -11 ,500 10,000 11,500
-Tax @ 40"/" 4,600 -4,000 -4,600
Net lncome -6,900 6,000 6,900
+Deprec./Amort. 1,500 5,000 3,500
-Equip. Cost -15,000
-Amort. Cost -10,000
Cash Flow -30,400 11,000 10,400
Although the NpV of the initial project was $9.g6 rnillion, spending
$10 million to acquire the patent rig-nts has still left the project with
positive NPV because of the patent tax deduction eifects. The
amount that can be paid for the patent to make project NpV zero is
calculated by expressing cash flow in terms of the before-tax acquisi-
tion cost, X. This is achieved by charging the project with a before-
tax capital cost, X, at year 0 that is assumed to be amortizable
straight-line over five years (1 through 5) in this specific analysis.
This gives taxable income, income tax, net income, and after-tax
cash flows that are functions of the break-even acquisition cost, X.
Chapter g: After-Tax lnvestment Decision Methods and Applications 465
Year 1-4
Revenue 20,000 20,000
-Oper Cost -5,000 -5,000
-Development -10,000
*Depreciation
-1,500 -3,000 -1,500
--A.mortization
-0.2x -4.2x
Taxable -11,500 12,000-0.2x 13,500-0.2X
-Tax 40%
@ 4,600 -4,800+0.09X -5,400+0.09X
Net lncome -6,900 7,ZOO-OjZX 9,100-0.12X
+Deprec./Amort. 1,500 9,000 +0.2X 1,S00+0.2X
-Capital Equipment -15,000
-Capital Acquisition _X
Cash Flow -20,400-X 10,200+0.08X 9,600+0.08X
NPV = 0 = -20,400 -X + (10,200+0.08X)(p/A2g,a)
+ (9,600+0.08XXPiF2g,5)
0 = 9,860 -X + 0.09X(p/A2g,5)
we want the value of the acquisition cost, X, that will make the net
present value equal zero since that is the value of X that gives the
investor the minimum rate of return (zo% in this case) on invested
dollars, therefore:
X = 9,860 + 0.09X(p/A2g,5)
From the initial analysis we know 99,g60 is the project NpV without
any additional acquisition cost. From our own cash flow analysis we
can see that 0.08x is the annual tax savings from the annual amorti-
zation 'ieductions of 0.2X used to reduce taxable income that would
be taxed al a 4a/" tax rate. Therefore, in this analysis and in general
acquisition cost bi'eak-even analyses, it always works out that:
Break-even Acq. cost X = NPV + pw rax savings Generated g-1
from Tax Deductions on X
Remember, the break-even acquisition cost is a before-tax value,
NPV is after-tax net present value, and the tax savings on X are a
function of the allowable deductions generated from the acquisition
cost itself. Equation 9-1 is a general equation that always works to
Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
= 0.2373X
X -0.2373X = After-Tax Acquisition Cost = NpV = $23.30
X = $30.55 is the acquisition cost that, 60% depreciable, 40"/o amor-
tizable makes NPV = 0 for a minimum DCFROR of 2O/".
This example was designed to illustrate the importance that the
type of asset being acquired has on acquisition cost analysis results.
whether assets being acquired are depreciable, amortizable,
depletable, expensable or not deductible except as a write-off
against terminal value (land and inventory asset costs), all such ben-
efits must be taken into account in a proper valuation analysis.
the tax fficts for buyer and seller are offsetting. since sale value is always
taxable igc-ogle in the-.yprq;,-qf ttLe*ial-e" fhe.aequisition cost wogld have.tp,.bg
fully expensed in the year incurred for break-even acquisition cost ano ,ute
value to be equal. Since,acquisition,'cost is almost always capitalized.and
deducted over a period of time greater than one year, break-even acquisition
cost and break-even sale value are seldom equal. In general, this isi major
reasor that serious negotiations are often needed for buyers and sellers to
agree on a property sale value. Example g-ga illustrates break-even sale
value analysis.
'ia
ii
u
i
i
i
i:
t:.
'&
470 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
well as net income possibly will occur in the next decade. In the early 1990,s
much more attention is being given by investors to cash flow earnings versus
financial net income earnings than was the case ten years ago.
current u.S. tax'law and Financial Accounting'standards Board proce-
dures specify that for shareholder earnings calculation purposes
foi-non-
mineral companies, straight line depreciation is to be used based on lives
of five years to thirty five years for personal property whire asset ACRS tax
depreciation lives range from 3 years to 20 years. Mineral companies use
units of production depreciation over the estimated producing lives of prop-
erties for financial shareholder reporting. similarly, general development
costs, mineral development costs and petroleum intangible drilling- costs
that are expensed for tax deduction purposes are deducted by units or pro-
duction depreciation over the estimated production life of a property for
shareholder earnings calculation purposes.
Note that although cash flow is identically the same from both tax
and shareholder report calculations, the net income results are very
different. lnvestors looking at net income earnings as a measure of
economic success are likely to be more impressed with the g101
,000
shareholder report net income than the g7,000 tax report net
income. As long as brokers and common stock sharehorders con-
tinue to look at net income instead of cash flow as the basis for earn-
ings per share of common stock calculations, it will be important to
public company managements to maximize net income reported
to
shareholders by using different financial reporting procedures than
tax reporting procedures.
tn
Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
operatingCashFlow=FinancialNetlncome+Depreciation+
Depletion + Amortization t Changes in
Working CaPital + Deferred Taxes
in
operating cash flow is the first of several cash flow numbers contained
shift
the shareholder report Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows' When
a
This is the basic project cash flow definition that we have dealt with
throughout the text to this Point.
truly discretionary funds that could be pocketed without harming the busi-
::l
l:
nessi,Companies -with free cash flow can use il to boost dividends, to buy
I
back shares, pay down debt, acquire other businesses. or develop new pro-
.iects. Free cash flow is considered to be very desirable by both common
stock shareholders and potential company purchasers.
The accelerated tax deductions give smaller taxable income than straight line
deductions and this yields a smaller tax obligation and bigger cash flow. Cash
flow represents the net inflow or outflow of money each year so cash flow is
what management wants to maximize. which is why accelerated deductions are
takcn lbr tax purposes. Hou,ever, when brokers and common stock shareholders
around the world talk about eamings per share of common stock they usually
refer to net income earnings per share of common stock rather than cash flow
ealnings. \!'hen you look at net income earnings to evaluate a company you are
treating deductions for depreciation, depletion and amortization as out of pocket
costs in the amount deducted each year. This makes the method chosen to
deduct vzrious costs critically important to the net income eamings results that
will be obtained. Taking the straight line deductions shown in the second
478 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
column of the previous cash flow calculation table and using them for share-
holder report eamings calculation purposes with full-cost accounting of drilling
costs gives bigger net income eamings than with successful efforts accounting.
The sirigle difference between full cost and succeSsful'efforts net income'calcu-
lation is in the handling of dry hole drilling cost. Dry hole drilling costs must be
expensed for shareholder reporting under successfitl efforts accounting while
such costs are capitaliTed and deducted by units of production depreciation
under full cost accounting. Comparing the full-cost accounting net income
earnings of $286,000 with the successful-efforts accounting net income earn-
ings of $232,000 illustrates the difference for this example Note that the net
cash flow is identically $25,000 for both approaches and this is the same net
cash flow obtained with accelerated deductions for tax purposes. Most compa-
nies now evaluate projects (or other companies for acquisition purposes) using
annual cash flow projections over the life of projects. Unless general investors
adopt this cash flow analysis approach instead of looking at point value net
income eamings, it will continue to be necessary to deal vrith shareholder
reporting calculation procedures that are different from normal tax deduction
procedures. However, remember that it is what is done for tax purposes that
really determines when comoanies or individuals realize tax savings or incur tax
costs, so proper project analysis must be based on tax deduction considerations
and not shareholder eamings report deduction considerations.
alternatives. Over the years, Some have advocated using the third
year ROCE value as representing an overall average, but this is
rather arbitrary at best.' ' :i ' ' '
Another application of RocE is to calculate allowed return on reg'
utated investmenfs. Around the world, regulated utility investment
return is based on this type of calculation as discussed in Section
9.11 of this chapter. For regulated return analysis, allowed regulatory
deductions instead of tax deductions are the basis for analysis of
revenue and costs that may be received and incurred.
AverageRoR=ffi
This technique was probably developed because investors recog-
nized the futility of trying to utilize ROCE calculations in economic
decision-making. The application of this definition follows using
straight-line deductionsl
AverageROR= =i|,'4/o
Since the calculation is based on the initial investment, lhe 11.4"/.
Average ROR is analogous to a flat interest rate of return. Note fur-
ther that this result is significantly different from the 20.76%
DCFROR calculated in part A to this example.
As a sensitivity analysis to the various criteria presented, consider
what the impact would be if the $'10,000 initial investment were spread
out over a four-year period of time beginning in time 0. Revenues,
operating costs and depreciation would begin four years from the start
of project development when the assets are placed into service.
The resulting after-tax cash flows are incorporated into the follow-
ing present worth equation:
PW Eq: O - -2.5 - 2.5(Pl Ai,3) + a.3(PiF1,4) + 4.2(PlFi,5)
+ 3.1(P/F;,6)+ 2.2(PlFi,) + 1.8(P/F;,9)
DCFROR, i = 11.7"/o
Chapter g: After-Tax lnvestment Decision Methods and Applications 483
definition of net income may vary among consultants. Some prefer one
accounting methodology vs another, capitalizing certain costs'versus
expensing, etc. Such issues are neglected in this Ciscussion. The annual cost
of capital may be calculated by taking.the cost of business assets times the
opportunity cost of capital. For most investors, after the first year, the
annual cost of capital is based on the remaining non-depreciated asset value,
similar to the denominator of ROCE. Again, the magnitude of the capital
asset basis will vary among consultants. The concept of "total annual cost
of capital" is really just an opportunity cost incurred when investors keep a
project, business venture or company and pass up selling the assets and
investing the after-tax cash flow at i*. This topic has long been addressed in
this textbook many years before the evolution of Value Added concepts in
the 1990's.
If VA is positive, it generally is stated that the project or business unit is
creating value or wealth for the company shareholders. Note that a business
unit with a positive VA is always directly analogous to a project with ROCE
greater than the financial cost of capital.
To illustrate how closely related ROCE and VA are, consider the following:
Net Income
ROCE = , if > i*, ROCE is satisfactory
Asset Book Value
'Asset book value" refers to the book value of all assets at the beginning
of a period (for either tax or financial shareholder reporting purposes) for a
corporation, but again; this definition can vary slightly for each consultant.
Rearranging the above inequality by multiplying each side times the
"asset book value" gives:
This is the basic detrnition of value added provided earlier in this section.
Note the direct reiationship of this approach to the RocE calculation intro-
riuced eariier. Further, you can see that successtul investors must generate
net income in quantities
-srearer than the product of the asset book value
rirnes rire opportunity cosr oi'capital il value is to be aticed to rhe portibliu.
while many compiinies may base these calculations on tinancial treat-
nlent o1'L-xpenditures - in his book, "The Quesr for \hlue," G. Bennett
slew'ait recomurend:i several modiiications to the tlnancial reporting proce-
tlures iir order to make value added results more meaningfui in relationship
to casir liu,w. Some of the adjustments rvould include the ad.option of LIFo
inventory procedures, adjusting for deferred taxes. capitalizing of all R&D
and utiiizing full cost accounting so all R&D, development and exploration
e ,rirr-qes arc reflected in the capital base
- not just successful expenditures.
Such ari.lustmenrs are intended to allow operating costs to reflect actual
L'\pendirures for goods soid during the year. As was illustrated in chapter g,
ir: inflirtionary rimes, the LtFo methodology vzill lower taxable income and
tax, rvhich increa.ses cash flow and value when compared to the FIFO
approach. stewart argues that by making his recommended adjustments, the
asset book value lvill more clearly represent actual value of expenrlitures
incurred and hence. the true investnrent required to generate the revenues
realizc'd for the year. Such adjustments rvould be u'elcome, but may still not
prot'ide a halance sheet or net income statemeni that rellects the true market
raiue. wlirch is u'hat true opportunitl co,t is based on.
If \A or RocE are to be used for economic decision-making, three con-
sidcrations should be addressed in attempting to capture the true measure of
value being added. (1) tax deductions, rather than shareholder report hnan-
cial deductions, must be the basis of the analysis so that net income is based
on actual tax paid, not an accrual based on straight line, project life depreci-
ation. This can also be accomplished by adjusting the financial net income
for deferred tax considerations. (2) rhe opportunity cost of capital, rather
than the financial cost of capital must be utilized. opportunity cost of capi-
tal repre.sents the rate of rerurn potentiai for those other opportunities that
exist for investment of funds. Investors don't want to accept investments
that simply achieve the financial cost of capital, so why should the value
added opportunity cost calculation be any different? As discussed in chap-
ter 3, section 3.J, use of financial cost of capital as a minimum rate of
return will show investors the projects that will make money for them, but it
is necessary to use opportunity cost of capital to determine the investments
that generate maximum value possible from available investment capital
486 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
that are under their control and to what extent those assets are being
utilized. However, thii is the basic axiom of opportunity cost as advo-
cated by these authors for years. So while certainly not new in con-
cept, VA may provide a different approach to understanding this
important evaluation consideration. There is a cost to holding idle
plant facilities, working capital or other non-performing assets.
2) VA or ROCE analysis gives investors a post analysis procedure for
checking whether a given project or business unit is meeting its eco-
nomic objectives at any current point in time. Looking at a one-year
picture of performance using VA or ROCE is much easier than look-
ing at discounted cash flow analysis for the life of a project. However,
VA and ROCE can only be usetl as short-term indicators.
3) VA and ROCE provide a short term indicator of the economic perfor-
mance of business units involving many combined projects that would
involve much effort to analyze for the life of a project with discounted
cash flow. However, if VA or ROCE results indicate change is needed,
aa7
Ct:"nIer9:After-TaxlnvestmentDecisionMethodsandApplications
to
discounted cash flow analysis should be done for the business unit
flow generation due to
evaluate_ the economic impact on future cash
p.oposed crrrrent changes and how those results compare with selling
or ihutting down. This analysis should be based on market value
0oportunitv costs and an opportunity cost of capital discount rate, not
linarrcial reporting book values and financial cost of capital.
4) Companies sometimes like to use \A or ROCE analysis techniques as
abasistoevaluatemanagerialperformance.Discountedcashflow
analysis isn,t very useful for this purpose since it typically Co\'ers
a
,-----
488 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
Year
Revenue 9:40 8.40 ' 7.40 6.40.' 5.40
- Oper. Costs -3.50 -3.50' -3.50 -3.50 -3.50
- Depreciation -'1.00 -2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -3.00
Taxable lncome 4.90 2.90 1 .90 0.90 -1 .10
- lncome Tax 40,/" -1 .96 -1 .16 -0.76 -0.36 0.44
Net lncome 2.94 1.74 1.14 0.54 -0.66
The book value necessary for calculating the annual cost of capi-
tal, or annual opportunity cost, is based on the book value of the
assets at the "beginning" of each year which is summarized below
per the use of straight-line depreciation:
Year
Beg Book Value 10.00 9.00 7.00 5.00 3.00
(Book Value)(i-=12%)
For all the extra effcrt, the resuiting present value of the value
added each year is the same measure of perfcrrnance that is utillzed
by most corporations and individual investors alike, l",lPV! But a
downside of this concept is the focus on a net income based criteria
which may force the early closure of this project at the end of year 3
or 4 depending on whether the focus is value added oriented or cash
flow oriented. This project continues to generate positive cash flow,
which is adding value and generating the NPV of 1.889, yet VA or
FIOCE would demand suspension of the project before its full value
may be obtained!
Year
Revenue 9.40 8.40 7.40 6.40 5.40
- Oper. Costs -3.50 -3.50 -3.50 -3.50 -3.50
- Depreciation -2.00 -3.20 -1 .92 -1 .15 -1.73
Taxable lncome 3.90 1.70 1.98 1.75 0.17
- lnc Tax @ 40% -1.56 -0.68 -0.79 -0.70 -0.47
Net lncome 2.34 1.02 1.19 1.05 0.10
Beg Bk Value 10.00 8.00 4.80 2.88 1.73
Cost of Cap @ 12"/" -1.20 -0.96 -0.58 -0.35 -0.21
Net Income 2.34 1.02 1.19 1.05 0.10
- Cost of Capital -1.20 -0.96 -0.58 -0.35 4.21
Value Added 1 .14 0.06 0.61 0.70 -0.11
490 Economic Evaluation and lnveslment Decision Methods
-_
T!. 'Allowed Regulated Return on Equity Rate Base,' is equivalent to
Net Income calculated using regulated depreciation as the following
illus-
trates for a restatement ol Equation 9-2:
tq
492 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
:ffil"i"li" #:Ji:r$"
Computer / Electronic Equipment 5 yr 10 yr
Producing Equipment / Gathering Lines 7 yr Units of Prod.
Transmission Pipeiines / Storage Fac. 15 yr 29 yr
For economic analysis purposes, expenditures that can be expensed for
tax deduction purposes (whether considered to be capital costs or operating
costs) generally are treated as operating expenses for regulatory analysis
purposes and added to revenue requirements in the year incurred.
While the "revenue requirement" (cost of service) calculation generally is
considered the most important economic measure of regulated investments,
many other economic and non-economic factors also receive consideration
by the regulatory commissions. Value of service to the customer, quality of
service, comparative rates for similar service, competitive service from
alternate sources and general economic conditions including price inflation
are factors that can affect a regulatory commission judgement concerning
reasonableness of a regulated investment rate and the associated revenue
requirement calculations
After determining the regulated revenue requirements for each year in the
ettaluation life of a regulated project, discounted cash flow analysis with
either ROR, NPV or PVR analysis is done by converting the actual project
costs and regulated revenue requirements to afterlax cash flow using tax
depreciation deductions (not regulated) and actual income tax (not regu-
lated). These calculations are the same as for any unregulated evaluation
once the regulated required revenues are determined.
Chapter'9: After-Tax lnvestment Decision Methods and Apolications 493
PROBLEMS
9-i ..\t the present time a company is purchasing a raw material required
for its production operation for $0.259 per pound. Projected annual
ri-rasg ;or the next 3 years is 525.(100 pr:unds, 470,000 pounds and
160.000 pounds respectively at years 1,2 and 3. The company is con-
s,,rering the economic desirability oi installing equipment now, at year
0. for a cost of $39.000 that will enabre thcm to use a cheaper raw
niateriai costing $0.143 per pound. However, using the cheaper raw
n:aterial will increase operating costs by an estimated $0.04 per pound.
Development costs to change over to the new process are estimated to
be $8,000 during the frst year (to be expensed for tax purposes at the
end of year 1). Equipment wili be placed into service at year 1 and
depreciated straight line over 5 years with a half-year deduction start-
irrg in year 1. The effective f'ederal plus state tax rare is 40Vo and the
escalated dollar after-tax minimuin rate of rerurn is lZVo.
9-4 A real estate broker, who makes his living by buying and selling prop-
erties, is evaluating the purchase of 10 acres of land for $60,000 cash
now to be sold in the future for a profit. What escalated dollar sale
value must the land have in 2 years to give a constant dollar invest-
ment DCFROR of 20Vo per year if annual inflation is projected to be
l07o? Assume that the capital gain from the land sale will be taxed as
ordinary income at an effective tax rate of 30Vo.
Chapter 9: After-Tax lnvestment Decision Methods and Applications 495
9-9 The investmenr of $500,000 at time zero for depreciable machinery and
equipment u'ill generate sales revenues for 5 years that increase by a
constant arithmetic gradient of $10,000 each year to exactly offset
escalation of operating costs each year which start at $50,000 per year
in year 1 and increase $10,000 per year. The initial invesrment will be
depreciared over 7 years using Modified ACRS depreciation, starting in
year 0 with the half-year convention. Assume a zero salvage value. The
effective income tax rate is 40va. what break-even sales revenue is
needed each year to yield a2570 DCFROR on invesrment dollars?
Chapter 9: After-Tax lnvestment Decision Methods and Applicalions
9-10 Project costs, sales and terminar value for a 6 year life.project are
shown on the time diagram in thousands of dollars. Assume all costs
and rer.'enues are in escalated doilars and assume a wash-out of escala-
tion of operating costs and sales revenue in each of revenue-prod*cing
)'ear:i 2 through 6.
Cyork 6ur=$200
Cporlo=$5t)0 Sales/year=$900 ....$900 W.C.Return
CR"r=$100 CD.u.loo=$300 O.C./year=$200 . . . . $200 & Salvage
o r 2 _.:.,. _6 =$4oo
The salvage value is for u,orking capital return and depreciable asset
salvage. Expense research and expenmental development iosts at years
0
I and 1. Assume other income exists against which to use negative taxable
{
income in any year. Depreciate capital equipment straighl line over
5
-r'ears
sr,arting in year 1 with a hait'-year deduction. The effective income
tax rate is 40va. use an escalated dollar minimum DCFROR of 15% ancl:
A) Determine rvhether project economics are favoreble using Npv
analysis.
B) Determine the before-tax additional research cost in year 0 that
would cause the project to have a l5%a after_tax DCFROR.
c) Determine if it is economicaily desirable to accept an offer of
$900,000 at year I to sell the parent rights from the year 0
research compared to keeping the rights and developing them.
Assume sale gain would be taxed as ordinary income ind that
none of the year I costs have been incurred. Also, assume the time
0 research cost and tax effect are sunk.
D) what patent selling price at year 1 makes selling a break-even
with development before having incurred any year I costs?
E) For the Case 'A" development scenario that generated an Npv of
$663, what additional time 0 cost could be incurred to allow the
investor to achieve a minimum rate of return of l5c/o? Assume this
cost would be depreciated beginning in year I using straight line,
5 year life depreciation with the half-year convention. Assume no
additional salvage income would be realized, so salvage income
and dismantlement costs offset each other.
498 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
9-11 Using the net incorne generated in Problem 9-10, Case A, calculate the
. ., annual,:lvalue..addedil in"years2.through 6 and,then determine the
overall present value of the value added. Use the same after-tax oppor-
tunity cost of capital of 15% and neglect deferred taxes-assuming the
investor has used the slower straight-line deductions for tax as well as
financial reporting so there is no difference.
9-13 Work problem 9-10A for the situation where sales per year are
unknown instead of $900,000 per year and determine the selling price
per unit for sales of 10,000 units per year to give a l57o ptoject
DCFROR. Assume that escalation of the selling price per unit after
year 2 will be sufficient for sales revenue increases to washout any
operating cost increases, that is, you will be calculating the yeat 2
break-even selling price per unit and it will escalate in following years
to cover cost increases.
9-14 ltis proposed to invest $200,000 now at yeat zeto in a facility depre-
ciable by 7 year life Modified ACRS depreciation starting in year
zero with the half-year convention. An additional $100,000 will be
spent on research and developfilent at year zero (expensed for tax
purposes at year zero) to produce a new product. It is estimated that
this facility and research work have a 60Vo ptobability of success:
fully producing 1000 product units per year in each ofyears 1, 2 and
3. At year 3 thefacility is projected to become outdated and to be
sold for an escalated $50,000 salvage value. The product units would
seil for $280 per unit today and selling price is projected to escalate
127c in year l,l\Vc in year 2 andSVa in year 3. Operating costs are
to be incurred in years I , 2 and 3 and are estimated to be $40 per
unit today in year 0 and to escalate l}Va per year. If the project fails,
Chapter 9: After-Tax lnvestment Decision Methods and Applications 499
9-15 A natural gas pipeline to transport gas from a new gas well would cost
our company $220,000 with operating costs of $5,000 per year pro_
jected over rhe 6 year project life. The XyZ pipeline company has a
gathering line nearby and has offered to transport our gas for $0.10 per
)\{CF (thousand cubic feet of gas) by spending $50,000 to build a
gathering line to connect our well to their existing line. To determine
whether $0.10 per MCF is a reasonable transport charge, calculate the
break-even price per MCF transported that would give our company a
12c;?' DCFRoR or.r the $220,000 pipeline investment for the following
production schedule and modified ACRS depreciation for a 7 year
lir'e staning in year.l with the harf-year convention on the pipeline
cost. use mid-year average production and time value of money fac-
tors. Assume a 40vo income tax rate. Neglect any opportunity cost
from the forgone sale cash flow in this break-even development cost
analysis.
Year 0 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.s 5.5
Annual Prod.
hI},{CF 1,900 1,440 1,030 730 440 150
9-17 Your integrated oil and gas company owns a l00Vo working interest in
a lease. To develop the lease, two alternatives are considered:
Case A. Develop the lease for your current 87.5Vo net revenue
interest.
Case B. "Farm-out" the property and take an carried interest until the
project pays out. Under the farm-out, you rvould receive a
5.07o carried interest (5.A7o of revenues, carved out of the
working interest) until payout occurs. Payout is based on
undiscounted 'net revenues less operating costs', to recover
before-tax capital costs of $350,000. Because of the carried
interest, the producer has an 82.57o net revenue interest to
payout. Upon payout, your company would back in for a
25.}Vo working interest and a 21.8757o net revenue interest
(25Vo of the 87 .5Va net revenue interest).
Year zero intangible drilling costs are estimated at $250,000 while tan-
gible completion costs in the same period are estimated to be
$100,000. Start amortizing 30Vo of the IDC in year 0 with a 6 month
Chapter 9: After-Tax lnvestment Decision Meihods
ancj Applicatiorrs
Production
0
Year 01234
The esialated doilar minimum rate of return
is r2.0vo. The effective
tax rate is 38.0% and other income erists against
rvhich to use alr
ded,ctions in the year thel'are realized. use net present
value, present
value ratio, and rate of return anary^sis to
determine which of these two
mutually exclusive arternatives is the eccnomic
choice.
t)-18 An integrafecl
oir and gas producer has an existi,g gas well with
curnuiarive production to dare o1,2.0 Bcf (bilrion
crt,iJfeetl rvith an
ttltitnette reco\rery of approximately 2.6
Bcf. An in-fill well is being
co,sidered that will both accererate production and increase
reseryes. The totar cost of the new in-fill
weil is estimated to be
$168,000 ar year o.75vc of the welr cost will be treated
as an intan-
gible drilling cost (IDC) with the remaining
25vc considered to be
tangible completion costs, depreciated uy uacns
over seven years,
with the harf-year conr.enrion beginning in year
0. Take 6 months
amortization in year 0 0n the appricable portion
of trre IDC. The pro-
drrcer has a ra}Tc u'orking inrerest in the fiercr
rnd an g7.5vo net rev-
enue interest. The mineral rights cost basis
has already been recov-
ered so no cosf depretion is allorved on the
incrementar production.
Production is in Mcf (thousands of cubic feet
of gas.), ope.ating costs
are in actual dolrars and production and
operatift .ort, in the first 6
months are treated as year 0 varues. If the in-fiil
weil is driled, pro-
duction will come from both the "modified
existing,, and the ..new
in-Iill" weils as shown belou,.
502 Economic Evaluation and lnvestment Decision Methods
The after-tax escalated dollar minimum rate of return is rz.Tvo and the
net of salvage and abandonment cost is estimated to be zero. The
effective state and federal tax rate is 31.0vo. Assume other income
exists against which to use all deductions in the year they are incurred.
- Determine whether the "in-fill" well should be drilled using ROR,
NPV and PVR analyses.
9-19 Two years ago, a chemical company acquired patent rights to a new
product manufacturing process for a cost of $2.5 milion dollars. The
total cost is still on the books but will be amortized uniformly over a 5
year life beginning in year I if the project is developed. Today, (time
zero) the company is trying to determine whether to keep the patent
rights and develop the process or to sell it to another firm for a cash
offer they have received of $4.5 million. If the company should elect to
develop the process, experimental deveropment costs of $12 million (to
be expensed for tax purposes) and equipment costs of $15 million will
be required today, time zero. The year 0 equipment cost will be depre-
ciated by MACRS over a 7 year recovery period with the half year con-
vention beginning in year 1. write-off the remaining book values at the
end of year four when the project is terminated due to declining market
demand for the product. The capital expenditures are expected to have
an 80.07o probability of generating revenues of $25.0 million and oper-
ating costs of $ 10.0 million in each of the next four years. Escalation of
revenues and operating costs is assumed to be a washout so assume the
same profit margin is maintained each year. If the project tails (proba-
bility = 20.0vo), the equipment can be sold net of abandonment costs
Chapier 9: After-Tax lnvestmenr Decisioir Methods and Appiications 503
lor $ l0 million in year 1 and the patent and equipment costs written off
at that time. Assume other income exists against which to use all
deductions in the year incurred. The effective tax rate is 38.OVo.'
flevelop:
C ' >>l of Dev. = 512.0 Rev. =525.0 Rev. = $25.0
Patcnt = S2.5 Equip. = $15.0 P = 0.80 OC = $10.0 OC = $10.0
1..... .....4
P = 0.20
Yr. 1 Net Salvage = $10.0
Sell:
lost of
Patent = $2.5 Sell = $4.5
-2 0 1 ....4
A) For an escalated dollar minimunr rate of return of l5Vo, determine
whether the process should be dcveioped or sold.
B) For a constant dollar minimum rate of return of l5Vo and 8'i7o
inflation per year, determiue whetber the project sliould be devel-
oped or sold.
9-20 A gas pipeline manager has determined that he will need a compressor
to satisfy gas compression requirements over the next five years or 60
months. The unit can be acquired for a year zero investment of
$1,000,000. The compressor would be depreciated over 7 years, using
MACRS rates and the half-year convention, beginning in year 0. The
cost of installation at time zero is $75,000 and a major repair cost of
$225.000 is estimated at the end of year 3. Both the installation cost
and the repair cost r',,ill be expensed in the evaluation year they are
incurred. The compressor would be sold at the end of year five for
$300,000 so write otT the remaining book value at that time. The alter-
native to purchasing is to lease the machine for a year 0 payment of
$7-5,000 to cover installation costs and beginning of month lease pay-
ments of $24,000 per month for 60 months. Lease payments include
all major repair and maintenance charges over the term of the lease. A
balloon payment to purchase the compressor after the fifth year is not
being considered since the compressor is not expected to be needed
Economic Evaluation and Investment Decision Methods
after the specified service life. This is an operating lease so expense all
lease costs like operating costs. The.after.tax, escalated dollar,,nomi-
nal (or annual) discount rate is l2%o compounded monthly. Other
income exists against which to use all deductions in the year incurred.
The combined state and federal effective tax rate is 4A.0Vo. Use incre-
mental rate of return, net present value, and present value ratio analy-
sis techniques to determine whether leasing or purchasing is the eco-
nomic choice.
9-21 A new $10,000, 10 year life U.S. Treasury Bond pays annual divi-
dends of $800 based on the before-tax 8.07o annual yield to maturity.
For an investor with a 38.0Vo effective state and federal tax rate, com-
pute the after-tax rate of return 6n the bond investment. Then consider
the following: (A) After purchasing the bond, if market interest rates
instantly increased to 10.0Vo, or decrbased to 6.080, how would the
bond value be affected? (B) If the bond has a 30 year life instead of a
10 year life, how do market interest rate changes to 10.07o or 6.0Vo
affect the value? (C) If the 30 year 8.0Vo bond is a new $10,000 face
value (year 30 maturity value) zero coupon bond instead of a conven-
tional bond, how is value affected by the interest rate changes?