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ABSTRACT
Policy protagonists are keen to claim that policy is successful while
opponents are more likely to frame policies as failures. The reality is that
policy outcomes are often somewhere in between these extremes. An
added difficulty is that policy has multiple dimensions, often succeeding
in some respects but not in others, according to facts and their
interpretation. This paper sets out a framework designed to capture the
bundles of outcomes that indicate how successful or unsuccessful a policy
has been. It reviews existing literature on policy evaluation and
improvement, public value, good practice, political strategy and policy
failure and success in order to identify what can be built on and gaps that
need to be filled. It conceives policy as having three realms: processes,
programs and politics. Policies may succeed and/or fail in each of these
and along a spectrum of success, resilient success, conflicted success,
precarious success and failure. It concludes by examining contradictions
between different forms of success, including what is known colloquially
as good politics but bad policy.
Key words: policy success, policy failure, policy evaluation
Conclusion
When analysts assess the success or otherwise of a particular policy,
they can invoke different criteria that lead to different conclusions.
Career policy analysts may be more concerned with program design
and program implementation issues. Political parties may be concerned
with such issues but are also likely to enter into political realms. The
world of policy analysis has lacked a framework that allows analysts to
capture the diversity of outcomes from success to failure, in each of
these three realms.
This paper has brought the three strands of policy analysis together.
First, in recognizing that success and failure are not mutually exclusive,
the article moves beyond the polarized portrayal of outcomes as success
or failure. Second, it recognizes that there may be differences in success
and failure in terms of processes, programs and policies. Third and
finally, the framework allows for meaningful cross-sectoral and cross-
policy comparison.
Acknowledgements
I am grateful to three anonymous referees and the editors for their
comments and guidance, and to Mark Bovens, Paul ’t Hart, Mike
Howlett and Dave Marsh for helping shape my thinking on this topic.
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ALLAN MCONNELL
Address for Correspondence
Professor Allan McConnell
Department of Government and International Relations
University of Sydney
Sydney, NSW , Australia
e-mail: allan.mcconnell@sydney.edu.au
also at