Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑘 ∩ 𝑋 ≥ 𝑠) 𝜆𝑘
𝑃(𝑌 = 𝑘) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑘|𝑋 ≥ 𝑠) = = ,
𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 𝑠) 𝜆𝑗
𝑘! ∑𝑙𝑗=𝑠 𝑗!
Donde 𝑠 ≤ 𝑘.
Doblemente truncada
𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑘 ∩ 𝑠 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 𝑙) 𝜆𝑘
𝑃(𝑌 = 𝑘) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑘|𝑠 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 𝑙) = =
𝑃(𝑠 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 𝑙) 𝜆𝑗
𝑘! ∑𝑙𝑗=𝑠 𝑗!
Donde 𝑠 ≤ 𝑘 ≤ 𝑙.
Aplicación.
4
𝜆 = 𝑛 ∗ 𝑝 = 105 ∗ = 2.1%
200
𝑒 −2,1 𝜆𝑘 𝑒 −2,1 2,12,1
𝑃(𝑌 = 𝑘 = 4) = = = 0,117972 = 11,797%
4! (1 − 𝑒 −2,1 ) 4! (1 − 𝑒 −2,1 )
Media
𝜆 2,1
𝐸(𝑌) = = = 0,549
(1 − 𝑒 ) (1 − 𝑒 −2,1 )
−𝜆
Varianza
𝜆 𝜆2 𝑒 −𝜆 2,1 2,12 𝑒 −2,1
𝑉(𝑌) = − = − = 52,19
(1 − 𝑒 −𝜆 ) (1 − 𝑒 −𝜆 )2 (1 − 𝑒 −2,1 ) (1 − 𝑒 −2,1 )2