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2.1 INTRODUCTION
In our previous unit an attempt was made to provide you with a conceptual
framework in terms of understanding the definition, nature and components of
working capital. Further, a sketch was provided of the characteristics of working
capital. Tools for planning working capital and the impact of inflation on working
capital were also discussed. This discussion in the previous unit is expected to
provide you a preliminary understanding about the basic concepts.
Now in the present unit we will be dealing with the operating environment of the
working capital as analysed in the context of monetary, credit and financial
policies.
a) Money Supply
b) Bank Rate
c) CRR & SLR
d) Interest Rates
e) Selective Credit Controls
f) Flow of Credit
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Concepts and Determination 2.2.1 Money Supply
of Working Capital
As a part of the policy exercise, monetary growth is targetted every year. Policy
measures are pronounced, so as to take care of this targeting exercise. This is
expected to maintain real growth and contain inflation. In this context, the Central
Bank specifies the order of expansion in broad money (known popularly as M3
and comprises of currency with the public demand and time deposits with
commercial banks, and other deposits with RBI) that would be used as an
intermediate target to realise the ultimate objective of the policy. In the case of
India, both output expansion and price stability are important objectives; but
depending on the specific circumstances of the year, emphasis is placed on either
of the two. Increasingly, it is being recognised that central banks would have to
target price stability since real growth itself would be in jeopardy, if inflation rates
go beyond the margin of tolerance. On a historical basis, the average inflation
rate’ in India (“which had declined from 9.0 percent in 1970s to 8.0 percent in
1980s) went up markedly to a double-digit level of 10.7 per cent during the first
half of 1990s. The focus of monetary policy in recent years has, therefore, been
to bring down the inflation rate to a modest level. Monetary growth is being
moderated in such a way that the credit requirements for productive activities are
adequately met.
For instance, the monetary growth target, for 1996-97 was set at around the
same level as in the previous year (15.5 percent). The monetary policy for 1996-
97 sought to consolidate the gains on the inflation front. It underscored the
imperative need to sustain the lower and stable level of inflation, while ensuring
the availability of adequate bank credit to support the growth of real sector of
the economy. Broad money growth was projected at 15.5 percent to 16 percent,
assuming a 6 percent growth in real GDP. The credit policy for the year has
also been tailored to achieve the above objective. Basing on the past, the
monetary and credit policy for 1997-98 sought to target broad money growth in
the range of 15.0 - 15.5 percent, on the basis of a projected real GDP growth
rate of about 6 percent and an assumed inflation rate of the same order.
To compare the actual achievements, the broad money growth of 17.0 percent
during 1997-98 was higher than that in the previous financial year (16.0 percent).
The lower order of increase in the monetary base in 1996-97 must be viewed in
the context of the significant cut in Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) from 14 to 10
per cent of the net demand and Time liabilities. The resulting increases in the
lendable resources of the banks (to the tune of Rs.17, 850 crore) meant decrease
in the ratio of reserves to deposits. This was reflected in the increase in broad
money multiplier from 3.1 to 3.5 as on March 31, 1997.
For the year 2002-03, the mid-term Review of Monetary and Credit Policy
released on October 29, 2002 had projected the GDP growth in the range of 5.0
to 5.5 percent taking into account available data on the performance of the
South-West monsoon. The advance estimates for 2002-03 released by the CSO in
January 2003 has placed GDP growth at 4.4 percent, which reflects an
estimated decline in the output from agriculture and allied activities by as much
as 3.1 percent. The earlier projection in the Reserve Bank's mid-term Review of
October 2002 was based on a much lower decline of 1.5 percent in agricultural
output. The overall growth performance of the industrial sector, as per CSO
advance estimates, at 5.8 percent is, however, much higher than that of 3.2
percent in the previous year. The services sector is estimated to grow by 7.1
percent as against 6.5 percent in the earlier year, mainly on account of higher
growth in construction, domestic trade and transport sectors. The CSO has also
placed the growth of financing, real estate and business services sector at 6.5
percent for 2002-03 as compared with 4.5 percent in 2001-02.
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The annual rate of inflation in 2002-03 as measured by the increase inWPI, on Theories and Approaches
an average basis, for the year as a whole was, howeever, lower than that in the
previous year 3.3 percent as against 3.8 percent a year ago.
Monetary and credit aggregates for the year 2002-03 reflected the impact of
mergers that took place in the banking industry. During 2002-03, the growth in
money supply, was 15.0 percent as against 14.2 percent which was well within
the projected trajectory. Among the components, growth in aggregate deposits of
scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) at 12.2 percent net of mergers (16.1
percent with mergers), was lower than that of 14.6 percent in the previous year.
The expansion in currency with the public was lower at 12.5 percent as againt
15.2 percent in the previous year.
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Concepts and Determination 2.2.3 CRR and SLR
of Working Capital
Variations in the reserve requirements is yet another credit control technique used
by a Central Bank. The Central Bank by this technique can change the amount
of cash reserves of banks and affect their credit creating capacity. It may be
applied on the aggregate outstanding deposits or on the increments after a base
date or even on certain specific categories of deposits. This has a sure and
identifiable impact as compared to Bank Rate changes or open market
operations. The two instruments under this category are:
i) Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR)
ii) Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR)
Under section 42(1) of the RBI Act, scheduled commercial banks were
required to maintain with the RBI at the close of business on any day, a
minimum cash reserve on their demand and time liabilities. Similarly, banks were
required under section 24(2A) to maintain a minimum amount of liquid assets
equal to but not less than certain percentage of demand and time liabilities.
Though the RBI did not use CRR and SLR as significant instruments of credit
control during the whole of the sixties, it started varying the ratios since then
actively. The implication of these variations is that when the ratio is brought
down it would release the funds that would have otherwise been locked up for
investment by the commercial banks. Of late, the RBI has removed the reserve
requirements on inter bank liabilities w.e.f. April 26, 1997. This single measure
released Rs.950 crore for investment in trade and industry. Similarly, as a part
of monetary and credit policy for the second half of 1997-98, RBI reduced CRR
by two percentage points from 10.0 percent in eight phases of 0.25 each. The
total addition to liquidity from this was estimated at about Rs. 9,600 crore.
Even though the obligation of banks is to maintain their liquid assets at a
minimum of 25 percent, in the light of the need to restrain the pace of expansion
of bank credit, the RBI has imposed a much higher percentage of minimum liquid
assets and in some cases to the extent of even 35 percent. These measures
have started impounding vast amount of resources of the banks and encouraging
governments [Central and State] to have an easy access to bank credit. It also
led to the shrinkage of resources available for genuine credit purposes. In view
of the strong opposition from the banks and basing on the recommendations of
the committee on “Financial Sector Reforms”, RBI reduced the ceiling to its
original level of 25 percent of the net demand and time liabilities (NDTL). The
banking system already holds government securities of about 39 percent of its net
demand and time liabilities (NDTL) as against the statutory minimum requirement
of 25 percent.
The cash reserve ratio (CRR) remains an important instrument for modulating
liquidity conditions. The medium-term objective is, however, to reduce CRR to the
statutory minimum level of 3.0 percent. Accordingly, on a review of developments
in the international and domestic financial markets, a 75 basis point reduction in
the CRR during June to November, 2002 was followed by a further 25 basis
points cut from June 14, 2003 taking the level of the CRR down to 4.5 percent.
The minimum daily maintenance of CRR was raised to 80 percent of the
average daily requirement for all the days of the reporting fornight with effect
from the fortnight begining November 16, 2002. This was subsequently lowered
to 70 percent with effect from the fortnight begining December 28, 2002. The
payment of interest on eligible CRR balances maintained by banks was changed
from quarterly basis to monthly basis from April 2003. The CRR has been almost
halved since April 2000 resulting in cumulative release of first round resources of
over Rs.33,500 crore (Table 2.1)
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Table 2.1 : Cash Reserve Rato Theories and Approaches
(Amount in Rupees Crore)
2003-04 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01
CRR Amount* CRR Amount* CRR Amount* CRR Amount*
(%) (%) (%) (%)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
April 4.75 0 5.5 0 8.0 0 8.0 7,200
May 4.75 0 5.5 0 7.5 4,500 8.0 0
June 4.5 3,500 5.0 6,500 7.5 0 8.0 0
July 5.0 0 7.5 0 8.25 -1,900
August 5.0 0 7.5 0 8.5 -1,900
September 5.0 0 7.5 0 8.5 0
October 5.0 0 7.5 0 8.5 0
November 4.75 3,500 5.75 6,000 8.5 0
December 4.75 0 5.5 2,000 8.5 0
January 4.75 0 5.5 0 8.5 0
February 4.75 0 5.5 0 8.25 2,050
March 4.75 0 5.5 0 8.0 2,050
* Amount stands for first round release (+)/impounding (-) of resources through changes in
the cash reserve ratio.
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Concepts and Determination In addition to RBI, certain other agencies also have the authority to fix rates of
of Working Capital interest for different types of financial activities. For instance, the controller of
capital issues (now abolished) used to fix the ceiling on coupon rates on industrial
debentures and preference shares. The Indian Banks Association (IBA) had been
fixing the ceiling on call rates since 1973, until 1988, when call rates were freed
from the ceiling. The Government of India fixes the rate on treasury bills and
long-term government securities. The Government has significant influence in the
fixation of interest rates on long-term loans of Development Finance Institutions
[DFIs]. This is how the rates of interest are administered in India, leading to a
large variety of multiple and complex interest rates.
However, the situation has changed recently. After the implementation of new
economic policy in 1991, there has been a phasing out of the selective credit
controls. By the end of 1996, almost all the controls were virtually eliminated.
The only exception being the advances against buffer stock of sugar and
unreleased stock of sugar-to-sugar mills. However, in order to counter temporary
deterioration in price-supply situation, selective credit controls were reimposed
only for a period of three months (from April to July 7, 1997) on bank advances
against stocks of wheat. Further, effective from October 22, 1997,
differential minimum margins of 10 percent and 15 percent were stipulated
for advances against levy and free sale sugar respectively; leaving advances
against buffer stock free from margin.
Keeping in view of the need to support the efforts to revive the capital market,
banks were allowed to extend loans to corporates against shares held by them to
enable such corporates to meet the promoters’ contribution. The margin and the
period of repayment of such loans would be determined by banks. Banks were
also permitted to sanction bridge loans to companies against expected equity
flows for a period not exceeding one year, subject to the guidelines approved
by their respective boards. Taking into account the changing scenario, banks
were asked to review the existing arrangements for financing trade and services.
The RBI directed banks to evolve a suitable method of assessing loan
requirements of borrowers in the service sector and report the arrangements
made in this regard.
It is clear from the foregoing discussion that the changes in the monetary and
credit policies influence working capital decisions in terms of the availability of
credit and cost of credit directly and through the ‘balancing of the economy’
indirectly. For the benefit of students, the salient features of the monetary and
credit policy measures announced by RBI for the year 2003-04 are given in
Appendix-I.
Activity 2.1
Highlight the salient features of the latest monetary and credit policy announced
by RBI.
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In the recent past (since 1991) government has embarked upon effecting major
changes in the areas of industrial trade and exchange rate policies. These
changes are designed to correct the macro-economic imbalances and effect
structural adjustments with the objective of bringing about a more competitive
system and promoting efficiency in the real sectors of the economy. Economic
reforms in the real sectors of the economy will not produce desired results,
unless the former are supplimented by suitable and effective financial sector
reforms. With this end in view, the Government of India has appointed a
committee on the working of financial system of the country in August 1991
under the chairmanship of M.Narasimham.
The committee was asked, inter alia, to examine the existing structure of the
financial system and its various components and to make recommendations for
improving the efficiency and effectiveness of the system with particular reference
to the economy of operations, accountability and profitability of the commercial
banks and financial institutions. The committee has submitted its report in
November 1991. Since the submission of the report, the Government has taken
several steps on different aspects of the recommendations. The significant steps
that were taken are:
i) A strict criteria was evolved for companies that access securities markets.
The issuers of securities are required to meet certain standards like the
payment of dividend, minimum share-holding requirement, etc.
ii) The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) took several steps for
widening and deepening different segments of the market for promoting
investor protection and market development;
iii) The safety and integrity of the securities market were strengthened through
the institution of risk management measures, which included a
comprehensive system of margins, intra-day trading and exposure limits,
capital adequacy norms for brokers and setting up of trade/settlement
guarantee funds.
iv) Reforms in the secondary market focused on improving market transperancy,
integrity and infrastructure.
v) FIIs were permitted to invest upto 10 per cent in equity of any company, to
invest in unlisted companies and to invest in debt securities without any
requirement for investment in equity. They were also permitted to invest in
dated government securities within the framework of guidelines on FII
investment in debt instruments.
vi) Government has also initiated measures to deepen and broaden the
government securities market and increase its liquidity.
vii) The earlier restriction that debt instruments of a corporate could be listed only
after its equity had been listed on any exchange was removed.
viii) Investment guidelines regarding the utilisation of funds of LIC were revised.
ix) The Mutual Fund Regulations issued by SEBI in 1993 were further revised
on the basis of a special study commissioned by itself. 31
Concepts and Determination
of Working Capital 2.4 ECONOMIC LIBERALISATION AND INDUSTRY
The economic liberalisation programme initiated by the Government in the early
ninties has changed the face of industry, more particularly the dynamics of
financial environment. There has been a sea change in the organisational
structure and operations of the players in money and capital markets. The
distinction between long term financing and short term financing is slowly on the
wane. Devlopment Banks are now converting themselves into ordinary
commercial banks. Deregulation of interest rates, emergence of a liberalised
capital market and increasing participation of bank in terms of financing have
significantly influenced the operations of devlopment banks.With their fray into the
realm of working capital loans; the traditional divide into the operational domain
of development banks and commercial banks is getting blurred. One of the
implications of this development is that the hitherto privileged access to assured
sources of low cost funds will disappear. There has already been an attempt to
align all the forces to market make the latter decide the equilibrium between
supply of and demand for funds.
The monetary policy framework has undergone changes over the recent period in
response to reforms in the financial sector and the growing external orientation of
the economy. The endeavour of the policy has been to enhance the allocative
efficiency of the financial sector, preserve financial stability and improve the
transmission mechanism of monetary policy by moving from direct to indirect
instruments. The stance of the monetary policy has been to ensure provision of
adequate liquidity to meet credit growth and suggest investment demand in the
economy, while continuing a vigil on the movements in the price level and to
continue with the present policy of interest rate structure in the medium term.
On the fiscal front, the government expenditure has been cut in real terms. The
burnt has been borne by cuts in investments and expenditure on social sector.
There were large slippages in the fiscal correction. The rising deficits on the
revenue account are often cited as the main cause for the observed phenomenon.
Behind these lie the erosion of excise tax base, mounting interest burden on
public debt, growing subsidies and the rising cost of wages and salaries.
On the external front, following the liberalisation, India devalued its currency
leaving an impact on the exports and imports. With an unsuccessful interlude with
exim scrips and dual exchange rate system; India went in for a unified market
determined exchange rate system. Correcting the exchange rate valuation of the
past was a major event on the reform process. The lower exchange rate
enhances the profitability of existing exports, more importantly, it broadens the
range of eligible exports. It makes imports more costly and provides scope for
import substitution, thus narrowing the range of potential imports. The rupee is
now convertible on current account, subject to exchange rate risk. Some of the
important components of capital account are considerably liberalised.
Another dimension of the liberalisation on the external front is that the gates for
foreign investment were wide open. foreign trade and foreign investment appear
to be mutually influential. Portfolio investments have become very significant in
several developing countries, including India. According to a study conducted by
Business Line (dated 28-03-04) foreign investors control 30 percent of India’s top
companies. In terms of wealth, foreigners now control a third of the market
capitalisation of the Nifty Companies ( 50 in number). A further analysis of the
share-holding patterns suggests that there is an increase in the holding in such
sectors as oil, gas, petro-chemical, power and automobiles. One might wonder, if
East India Company Syndrome – a sort of creeping acquisition of effective
control and wealth – is under way.
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These developments produce some direct and some indirect effects on the Theories and Approaches
growth and development of Indian industry in the years to come. More
specifically, developments in the financial sector pose serious concerns for the
effective use of working capital by the industry.
2.5 SUMMARY
It is important that every business unit understands its environment. The nature of
environment is such that the business units, will have no control on the
elements constituting the environment. Change in the environment may necessitate
the unit to tailor its own business policies so as to suit to the environment.
The customers, the government, the society will exert their influence on the
decision making process of the business. Changes in the value system,
sometimes, may even force firms to pursue distant goals like ‘social
responsibility’.
This unit considers changes in monetary and credit policies, inflation and financial
markets as pertinent for their influence on working capital decisions. Monetary
and credit policies consisting of variables like money supply, bank rate, CRR,
SLR, Interest rates, selective credit controls are decided by the central bank of
the country, having significant influence on business decisions. More specifically,
these are expected to influence the availability and cost of business credit.
Financial markets are the agencies that provide necessary funds for all productive
purposes. The stage of development of these markets has profound influence on
the supply and demand for funds. For, the Government has taken up a reform
exercise meant for improving the efficiency and effectiveness of the system.
The sweep of the reforms is wide enough to cover every constituent of the
organised financial system such as the money market, credit market, equity and
debt market, government securities market, insurance market and the foreign
exchange market.
Cash Reserve Ratio: Minimum reserve maintained by commercial banks with RBI.
Selective Credit Controls: Tools available with the Central Bank to regulate
the flow of credit. 33
Concepts and Determination Statutory liquidity Ratio: Minimum Reserve to be maintained by commercial
of Working Capital banks with themselves, as a percentage of demand and time liabilities.
Financial Market: An agency that helps in the mobilisation of funds for industry
and trade.
.
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Appendix Theories and Approaches
The statement on monetary and credit policy for the year 2003-04 was declared
by Dr. Bimal Jalan, Governor, RBI on 29th April 2003. The statement consists of
three parts:
1) Review of macroeconomic and monetary development during 2002-03
2) Stance of monetary policy for 2003-04
3) Financial sector reforms and monetary policy measures.
I) Macroeconomics and Monetary Developments: The following are the
major aspects under this section.
1) The growth rate of real GDP in 2001-02 was at 5.6 percent. This was due
to the contribution of individual sectors such as services (6.5), industry (3.2)
and agriculture (5.7). For the year 2002-03 the GDP growth rate was
established to be 4.4 percent.
4) There has been a sustained increase in credit flow to the commercial sector.
During 2002-03, non-food credit of scheduled commercial banks registered a
high growth of 26.2 percent.
5) The Fiscal deficit of the Central Govt. for 2002-03 was Rs. 1,45,466 crores.
The average cost of Govt. borrowings through primary issuances of dated
securites at 7.3 percent during 2002-03, compared to 9.44 percent during the
previous year.
6) The banking system held about 39 percent of its net demand and time
liabilities (NDTL), as against the statutory minimum requirement of 25
percent.
7) Banks have reduced their prime lending rates (PL Rs) from a range of
10-12.5 percent in March 2002 to 9-12.25 percent by March 2003.
8) There has been a persistent downward trend on the interest rate structure,
reflecting moderation of inflationary expectations and comfortable liquidity
situation.
II) Stances of Monetary Policy: The overall stance of the monetary policy is
as follows:
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Concepts and Determination 2) In line with the above, to continue the present rate of interests, including
of Working Capital preference for soft interest rates.
3) To impart greater flexibility to the interest rate structure in the medium term.
III) Monetary Policy Measures: The following are the important policy
measures announced as a part of the present credit policy.
1) The main focus of the policy is on the structural and regulatory measures to
strengthen the financial systems.
2) To reduce bank rate by 0.25 percentage points from 6.25 to 6.0 percent.
3) To reduce cash reserve ratio from 4.75 to 4. 50 percent.
4) To continue extending refinance facility to eligible export credit remaining
outstanding under post-shipment rupee credit beyond 90 days and upto 180
days.
5) To rationalise the multiplicity of rates at which liquidity is absorbed, in order
to increase the efficacy of liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) operations.
6) Commercial banks to decide the lending rates to different borrowers, subject
to announcement of PLR, as approved by their Boards.
7) To provide uniformity in the maturity structure for all types of repatriable
deposits.
8) Liberalisation of credit for drip irrigation / sprinkler irrigation system.
9) Banks will be free to extend direct finance to the housing sector upto Rs 10
lakhs in rural and semi urban areas as part of priority sector lending.
10) To initiate a survey for assessing the impact of Kisan Credit Cards Scheme.
11) Recognition of micro credit institutions and self-help groups as important
vehicles for generation of income and delivery of credit to self-employed
persons.
12. Review of compliance with the reporting requirement to Negotiated Dealing
Systems (NDS).
13) Scheduled commercial banks, financial institutions and primary dealers would
be allowed to buy and sell options. Corporates may also sell options without
being the net receivers of premium.
14) Banks are allowed to invest in commercial papers guaranteed by non bank
entities.
15) To accord general permission to mutual funds for their overseas investments
within limits.
16) Indian corporates and resident individuals will be permitted to invest in rated
bonds/fixed income securities of listed eligible companies abroad, subject to
certain conditions.
17) To exempt both gold loans and small loans up to Rs. 1 lakh from the 90 days
norm for recognition of loan impairment.
18) As a part of customer service, banks have been advised to open certain
currency chest branches on Sundays for providing note exchange facilities
and distribution of coins. Banks are also advised to install note counting / note
sorting machines at currency chests/major bank branches.
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