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ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
We are grateful to Development and Change’s referees for their insightful comments on earlier
drafts of this and the other articles that compose the special issue. Additionally, Jeffrey Henderson
wishes to thank the Leverhulme Trust for funding some of the research on which the introductory
article draws.
Earlier versions of all the articles in this special issue were presented at a conference jointly
organized by the Universities of Bristol, Hong Kong and California at Santa Barbara and held
in Bristol, 5–6 December 2011. We wish to thank our Hong Kong colleague, Ian Holliday, for
working with us on the conference. Generous financial support for the conference was provided
by the Chiang Ching-Kuo Foundation (Grant: CS009-U-10) and the Bristol Vice Chancellor’s
East Asia Fund. Additional funds came from the British Inter-Universities China Centre and the
Colston Research Society. We are grateful to all these agencies for their support.
political power was having major implications for other parts of the world.
By then, these implications were already significant in terms of their breadth
and depth and ranged from questions of economic growth and development
to those of geopolitics and military security. The vast majority of research on
the consequences of China’s rise has had particular national and/or world-
regional foci. Among these, the implications for the USA (and to a lesser
extent, ‘the West’1 more generally) and for sub-Saharan Africa have been
paramount. Contributions on other parts of the world (‘developing’ and
‘developed’), however, are growing in number and theoretical import as
China’s engagements continue to spread and deepen, spatially and institu-
tionally (see, for instance, Fernández Jilberto and Hogenboom, 2012; Fornés
and Philip, 2012; Gallagher and Porzecanski, 2010, on Latin America; and
Wilson, 2013 on Australia).
In contrast to this explosion of research at particular territorial levels,
there remains surprisingly little that seeks to analyse the consequences of
China’s rise for the wider global totality. While the work of Frank (1998) and
Arrighi (2007) stand as beacons here, and have been complemented by other
important contributions such as those by Breslin (2007) and Hung (2009),
work on the implications of China’s rise for the nature of globalization is still
thin on the ground (though see Henderson, 2008 and Nederveen Pieterse,
2008, 2011). This article, and the special issue of which it is a part, are
attempts to help correct this imbalance: attempts, in other words, to explore
the nature and consequences of ‘globalization with Chinese characteristics’.
The articles that follow this introduction deal with China’s involvements
in particular national or world-regional spaces and with globally significant
issues. Though in this sense they partly follow the pattern set by previous re-
search, they do so by working on issues that are relatively under-researched
and/or on territories where China’s economic and political involvement has
just begun to emerge. Additionally, some of them bring new theoretical in-
sights to bear on problems that, empirically, are reasonably well understood.
In the context of their collective contribution to the special issue, this intro-
ductory article focuses explicitly on the global level of analysis, which is at
least immanent in all of the other articles. It does so in two ways: it discusses
how China’s rise may be reconstituting the nature of globalization; and it
argues that this may have significant implications for the conceptualization
and policy-practice of ‘development’. In the latter context it argues for a dis-
course of ‘transformation’ and a re-orientation of analytic attention around
‘conjunctures of critical transformation’.
We begin by outlining our contention that globalization, in part, needs
to be seen as an ‘externalization’ of given national capitalisms and aspects
of their attendant social formations. Referring to the debates on ‘varieties
1. ‘The West’, ‘Western’ etc. are used here in inverted commas to denote their ideological,
Cold War roots.
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1223
2. Among a considerable literature that points to this conclusion and has emerged in recent
years from international development agencies see, for instance, Santos-Paulino and Wan
(2010); UNDP (2013); Winters and Yusuf (2007). Our focus on the BICs rather than the
BRICs (which includes Russia) arises from our belief that Russia’s economic trajectory —
increasingly and overwhelmingly energy based (70 per cent of goods exports in 2011 or
nearly 90 per cent when other minerals and chemicals are included; EDRB, 2012) — is
dramatically at odds with the other three economies and raises important questions about
whether or not it belongs in this ‘group of four’ (see, for example, Flikke, 2012).
1224 J. Henderson, R.P. Appelbaum and S.Y. Ho
Globalization as Externalization
This perspective implies that since the late 1940s it has been possible to
identify the economic, social, political and cultural dynamics of the US form
of capitalism as the principal source for the characteristics of contemporary
globalization. Among these dynamics, the following now seem to have been
particularly important.
Transnationalization of private corporate power. Subsequent to the var-
ious East India companies associated with classical European colonialism
(seventeenth to nineteenth centuries), US companies became the spearhead
of economic globalization. From the 1880s, US capitalists had pioneered the
large, multidivisional firm and it was from among their number that modern
transnational corporations were forged (Chandler, 1977). Not only did they
invent and drive Fordist systems of production and consumption, and go on
to create and dominate what by the 1980s had become known as the ‘new
international division of labour’ (Frobel et al., 1980), but it was often those
same US companies (in garments, electronics and automobiles, for instance)
that reduced costs while maintaining control over the highest value-adding
functions (research and development, innovation, brand names and so on)
via multiple layers of subcontracting associated with global production net-
works (Henderson et al., 2002). Even in the contemporary period, with the
challenge of first Japanese, German and other European corporations and,
more recently, Korean, Chinese and Indian ones, the USA has continued to
be home to over 26 per cent (in 2012) of the world’s largest corporations
(132 of the leading 500, by revenue, according to Fortune6 ).
Cyber networks and space–time compression. It was US companies, some-
times in close association with the US government (particularly the Pen-
tagon), that pioneered and subsequently drove ICT innovation first in hard-
ware and subsequently in software (from Fairchild Semiconductor and the
origins of Silicon Valley in the 1950s through to Apple, Microsoft, Google
and beyond today). In so doing they have been predominantly responsible
for creating the globally networked, ‘real time’ decision making that has
become a sine qua non for the transformation of global commerce, politics,
social life and military security (Castells, 2000).
5. Which Gary Runciman has reminded us may be no more than ‘a mode of production in
which formally free labour is recruited for regular employment by ongoing enterprises
competing in the market for profit’ (Runciman, 1995: 33).
6. See http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/global500/2012/countries/US.html?iid=smlrr
(accessed 10 May 2013). China, however, is now home to nearly 15 per cent of the world’s
largest companies.
1226 J. Henderson, R.P. Appelbaum and S.Y. Ho
spectacular than it has been.7 In these senses, US capitalism and the form of
globalization that it forged can be seen as the midwives of Chinese capital-
ism. Notwithstanding this fact, if we are witnessing the gradual emergence
of a new form of globalization, consistent with the rise of China and per-
haps, eventually, other Asian powers, then it is likely that this form will
be fashioned initially from the Chinese version of capitalism and related
features of the social formation from which it has emerged. In that case, the
coming globalization is likely to be driven by an emergent ‘great power’
that in many ways is quite distinct from those that have driven earlier forms
of globalization.
At issue here is not China’s year on year double-digit growth rates or
the rapidity with which its industrialization project has been put into opera-
tion and achieved considerable success. Those have been matched by other
East Asian economies in earlier periods (see Henderson, 2011: 3, Table 1.1;
Winters and Yusuf, 2007: 9, Figure 1.1) and probably by the Soviet Union
between the early 1930s and the late 1960s (cf. Krugman, 1994). Even the
fact that in 2010 China overtook Japan as the world’s second largest economy
and on current projections is destined to overtake the USA as the world’s
largest economy within the next twenty years (McCurry and Kollewe, 2011)
is important largely for its symbolic rather than substantive significance —
especially given China’s low per capita gross national income (GNI: US$
2,940 in 2008) and very high income inequality (a gini coefficient of 0.47 in
2012).8 More significant than the numeric size of China’s economy per se,
is the extraordinary scale at which labour is being combined with capital to
transform raw materials into commodities and, as part of that process, the
considerable potential for innovation that is embedded within China’s polit-
ical economy and society. While this is yet to be strongly reflected in, say,
7. For more on this see some of the essays collected in Hamilton et al. (2012), particularly
Appelbaum (2012).
8. China’s low GNI per capita can be compared that same year (2008) with, for in-
stance, US$ 6,970 in Malaysia, US$ 7,350 in Brazil, US$ 21,530 in South Korea, US$
38,210 in Japan, US$ 42,440 in Germany and US$ 47,580 in the USA (Henderson,
2011: 3, Table 1.1). In 2004, according to Chen’s (2007) gini coefficient calculations,
income inequality in China was 0.45, about 50 per cent higher than official calcula-
tions at that time. In 2012 official Chinese government calculations placed the gini
score at 0.47 (http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/01/18/us-china-economy-income-gap-
idUSBRE90H06L20130118, accessed 10 May 2013), though other Chinese calcula-
tions placed the score for 2010 at a shocking 0.61 (http://english.caixin.com/2012-12-
10/100470648.html, accessed 10 May 2013). If accurate, this latter calculation would
locate China as one of the most unequal countries in the world. In comparison the lat-
est available gini scores for other major economies are: USA (2007), 0.45; South Korea
(2011), 0.42; Britain (2009), 0.40; Japan (2008), 0.38; France (2008), 0.33; and Germany
(2006), 0.27. The gini scores for the two other principal territories of ‘greater China’ —
Hong Kong and Taiwan — were respectively (in 2011) 0.54 and 0.34. The gini for the
European Union in 2011 was 0.31 (https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
factbook/rankorder/2172rank.html, accessed 10 May 2013).
1228 J. Henderson, R.P. Appelbaum and S.Y. Ho
9. In an age when production is organized and governed through global networks, interpreting
export data in terms of its meaning for innovation needs care. For an example of the problems
that can arise from misinterpretation — in this case of the supposed presence of innovation
in Malaysia’s electronics industries — see Phillips and Henderson (2008).
10. Especially so in the developing and industrializing countries where pre-capitalist social
and social-structural elements combine with capitalist ones to produce ‘over exploitation’,
as with new and revived forms of forced labour (see Phillips, 2013) and significant value
transfers from the informal to the formal economies.
11. The best known of the latter is the ‘white goods’ manufacturer, Haier, which is owned by
the city of Qingdao.
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1229
per project, it was US$ 10 million in Nigeria and only US$ 167,000 in Ghana
(ibid.: 15). The former is typified by investment in infrastructure and energy
production, and thus SOE involvement, while the latter is dominated —
to the tune of 60 per cent — by service sector investments, and thus private
sector involvement. These data are limited to just one world-region, but
their implication — at least as far as the developing world is concerned —
is that Chinese SOE involvement in globalization is now both decisive and
historically unprecedented.
Besides SOE involvement per se in globalization, another concern has
been that the SOEs might be elements in a wider Chinese political and se-
curity strategy. This matter has particularly exercised US neo-conservative
think tanks and the US Government (see, e.g., Scissors, 2009) and led to
the blocking of the China National Offshore Oil Corporation’s (CNOOC)
attempted takeover of Unocal in 2005 and of purchases of telecommuni-
cations equipment from Huawei and ZTE in 2012 (although private firms,
they were suspected of close ties to the Chinese Government). The idea
that Chinese SOEs (or, indeed, some private companies) are pawns in a
strategic plan to dominate Africa and other world-regions stems in part from
an ideologically-driven misreading of the nature of the Chinese state and
political economy and from the further assumption that all Chinese SOEs
are owned and governed in the same way and, consequently, have the same
objectives.
In spite of the fact that China is a federal state, the assumption of many
‘Western’ commentators is that it is a monolithic, top-down, highly co-
ordinated structure in which provincial and city governments and the com-
panies within their domains operate in accordance with central government
directives. While this may have been the case in the past, since the constitu-
tional reform of 1982 (which transferred certain responsibilities from central
to provincial and municipal levels), and given that some provincial govern-
ments have particular leverage within the Standing Committee (Politburo)
of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), provinces and some municipalities
have developed considerable relative autonomy, including with regard to
economic planning (Chen and Jian, 2011).15 In addition to SOEs linked di-
rectly to central government ministries (e.g. oil companies such as Sinopec
and CNOOC, China Telecom etc.), the provinces have long had their own
SOEs and some have become increasingly active in terms of overseas in-
vestments. Chen and Jian (ibid.: 11, Table 4) report that in 2007, 21.5 per
cent of China’s accumulated FDI globally came from provincial and mu-
nicipal sources, principally from their SOEs. Investment projects in Africa
driven by provincial or city-owned enterprises include the economic zone
in Ogun state, Nigeria, developed by Guangdong Xinguang International
15. For instance, Guangdong, Sichuan, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and, of the municipalities, Shanghai,
Beijing, Tianjin and Chongqing, which have provincial government status.
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1231
16. Only in crises, such as periods of severe conflict when their investments might be threatened,
would unification around central government objectives be anticipated.
17. Wade’s logic was that in conditions of ‘underdevelopment’, competent, non-predatory, au-
thoritarian states had a better chance of developing and embedding the institutions necessary
for ‘governing the market’ (including an economic bureaucracy engaged in strategic plan-
ning) than democratic ones that would inevitably be mired in tensions and conflicts over
resource distribution etc. This is an assessment that is implicitly echoed in Ha-Joon Chang’s
(2002) work on the myths of ‘Western’ industrialization.
1232 J. Henderson, R.P. Appelbaum and S.Y. Ho
do not distinguish between democratic and authoritarian states, but given the
timeframe of their empirical work (1970–90), and the fact that their analysis
points to the superiority, in terms of poverty reduction, of some of the states
in the East Asian region, there is a clear implication that effective poverty
reduction in developing and industrializing countries seems mainly to have
been associated with states characterized by ‘authoritarian Weberianism’.
If we gauge China in relation to its closest comparator, India — the world’s
largest democracy — on this and other matters essential to the material basis
of a decent life, stark contrasts are evident. Even going back to the foundation
of the two modern states in the late 1940s it can be argued that for most of
the period since then China has done a far better job than India of housing,
rendering literate and keeping its population healthy. While China’s record
on feeding its population is massively scarred by the famine associated with
the ‘great leap forward’ (1959–62: estimates vary but possibly 30 million
dead), and while a democratic state in China would probably have avoided
or checked the policies that led to such destructive insanity, it remains the
case that India and China today are still widely divergent on a number of
quality of life indices. For instance, life expectancy at birth in China is 74
years; in India it is 64. The infant mortality rate in China is 17 per 1,000; in
India it is 50 per 1,000. In 2011, the adult literacy rate in China was 94 per
cent, against only 74 per cent in India (Sen, 2011).18
The future, indeed the survival potential, of China’s neo-Leninist state,
is a matter for debate. A number of scholars (e.g. Hutton, 2007; Pei, 2006)
have argued that unless it is thoroughly democratized — placed firmly on
a path to political transition — the growth potential of Chinese capitalism
and the social benefits that are likely to accrue from it will be constrained if
not choked off. This, however, is by no means certain. As Desai argues in
his debate with Hutton (Hutton and Desai, 2007), the history of successful
capitalism shows that many types of state system have been associated with
it, including some that have been profoundly undemocratic. Extrapolating
from these arguments it is possible to suggest that while China is clearly
in transformation (economically, politically, socially), it is not clear that
it will be, or needs to be, in transition, if the goal is continuing dynamic
capitalism and deepening innovation-driven industrialization. The inherent
danger here, however, is that the tensions and social conflicts associated with
corruption and inequality (and their likely exacerbation by China’s growing
overaccumulation crisis; Hung, 2008), could lead to direct challenges to the
party-state which result not in democratic transition, but in the transition of
‘socialism with Chinese characteristics’ to national socialism (with Chinese
characteristics).
18. For an analysis of the institutional sources of the differences in China and India’s economic
performance, see Saith (2008).
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1233
19. Brutally so in the case of Japan’s occupation of Manchuria and its subsequent invasion of
other parts of the country between 1931 and 1945.
20. A perceived history of humiliation, as a constitutive element of nationalism, is not unusual.
This was evident in Nazi Germany and, today, in countries such as Poland, Hungary and
Serbia. With the exception of the German example, however, it is unusual in the nationalism
of a putative great power.
21. It is perhaps notable that in one of his first public presentations after assuming the presidency
in 2012 (in a speech given, significantly, at the National Museum’s ‘Road to Rejuvenation’
exhibition), Xi Jinping proclaimed that ‘After the 170 or more years of constant struggle
since the Opium Wars, the great revival of the Chinese nation enjoys glorious prospects . . . .
Now everyone is discussing the Chinese dream, and I believe that realizing the great revival
of the Chinese nation is the greatest dream of the Chinese nation in modern times’ (quoted
in Wong, 2012).
22. While Japan emerged as second only to the USA in terms of its economic power, the fact
that it chose not to realize its potential as a political and geopolitical power meant that it
remained an adjunct to the US as a driver of globalization.
1234 J. Henderson, R.P. Appelbaum and S.Y. Ho
millennia.23 Diamond (1998: Ch. 16) reports that there is evidence going
back 3,000 years that attests to Chinese perceptions of superiority vis-à-
vis non-Chinese, and Dikötter (1992) has interrogated at length the cultural
sources of contemporary Chinese racism. The issue here is not merely the
presence and persistence of racist perceptions — though these clearly exist
as much in China as in the US, Europe and Japan (see Jacques, 2009:
Ch. 8, for Chinese examples) — but rather the extent to which they influence
China’s relations with other developing countries, Japan, the US and other
parts of ‘the West’ and become interpolated in the latters’ perceptions of
China with other negatively loaded connotations (such as ‘Communist’).
Alternative modernization. Consistent with the nature of Han identity,
China arguably represents an alternative to the European–American influ-
enced modernization project which has ‘guided’ development (for increasing
parts of the globe and for better or for worse) for over five centuries. As
Jacques (2009: Ch. 5) has persuasively argued, China, and East Asian coun-
tries more generally, project a very different sense of the future from that
evident in ‘Western’ societies. It is a version of modernity where, because
of the rapid transition from rural, agrarian societies to urban industrial ones,
the past and tradition imbricates the present and frames the future to a far
greater extent than in Europe or the US. Partly as a result of this, kin-based
relations and networks are far more significant to individual identity than
is true of most ‘Western’ societies. Complementing the primacy of kinship,
the persistence — indeed the reproduction — of Confucian values and ethics
in China ensures the continued primacy of group over individual identity.
The former, reinforced by the absence of a multi-ethnic cosmopolitanism, is
readily reconstituted as a national identity that has long been synonymous
with the state. Furthermore, the reproduction of Confucian values within
the family and via the education system has ensured a continued emphasis
on social conformity and the respect for authority. All of this represents a
divergence from and contestation of ‘Western’ notions of modernity. The
question is whether, as China externalizes, its sense of modernity will as-
sume a sense of cultural superiority as is evident in ‘Western’ notions. While
that currently remains unclear, what is clear is that the rise of China both
contests and threatens ‘the West’s’ perceptions of its own superiority.
Militarization. While a significant feature of the US political economy
and society — and those of its European counterparts, particularly during
colonialism24 — has been the militarization of foreign relations, this has
not been true historically of China. With the exception of the invasion and
23. The Han Chinese constitute about 90 per cent of China’s population and have been the
dominant cultural influence for millennia. Even where the ruling dynasties emerged from
other ethnic groups — such as the Manchu Qing dynasty (1644–1912) — they typically
assimilated to Han culture.
24. Note, for instance, recent revelations about British atrocities during the Mau Mau anti-
colonial struggle in Kenya in the 1950s (The Guardian 6 June 2013).
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1235
subjugation of Tibet in the early 1950s, China’s relations with other coun-
tries had for centuries been associated with the creation of ‘harmony’. The
institutional vehicle for this was the tributary system whereby countries on
its borders recognized the economic and cultural dominance of China and rit-
ualistically re-affirmed its position at the centre of a collective civilizational
cosmos (see Zhang and Buzan, 2012).
The Chinese government’s concern to ensure harmonious relations with
foreign powers stems as much from this experience and the perceptions
associated with it as it does from a realistic assessment of its chances of
surviving a military confrontation with the United States. While the Chinese
government is committing considerable sums to developing its military ca-
pacities — including its navy, given the vital role it may need to play to
protect its oil supplies transiting the Indian Ocean (Henderson, 2009) — as
a proportion of GDP these sums are dwarfed by US military expenditure.
The World Bank reports that in 2011, 2 per cent of China’s GDP equivalent
was spent on the military compared with the US’s 4.7 per cent, or about US$
146.4 billion compared with US$ 704.6 billion.25
The Chinese government will continue to engage in military skirmishes to
protect what it considers its sovereign territory (for instance with Japan over
the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands or The Philippines over the Paracels). Addition-
ally, it may well commit to foreign military escapades in the future, partic-
ularly where nationalist and other uprisings threaten its investments or oil
supplies. For the moment, however, its foreign relations history and modal-
ities and its current desire principally to project its soft power (Kurlantzick,
2007), suggest that militarization is not yet one of the significant features of
its social formation that is about to be externalized.
DEVELOPMENT OR TRANSFORMATION?
26. ‘Subaltern’ discourses such as dependency or world systems theory have obviously taken
the unity of global change seriously in the analysis of uneven development, but they have
rarely been allowed to penetrate mainstream discourses.
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1237
on the categories we use to think and guide development and, in the process,
open up different conceptions of possible futures.
With the beginnings of a shift in the axis of globalization, we suggest it
is now time to build on earlier critiques and re-think the appropriateness
of ‘development’ discourses and the policy-practices they have encouraged
and legitimated. If we are to be intellectually adequate for this task, we need
to alter the constructs we use to imagine and analyse historical change, its
rhythms and trajectories. Although in the first instance a macro level enter-
prise, it is one that is vital if we are to build the middle range concepts that
are necessary for guiding development (and globalization) ‘on the ground’
and thus the policies and interventions that will hopefully enable us to do
better in the future than we have in the past. While this is not the place to
elaborate these matters in any detail, we can sketch a few elements of the
broad architecture.
If the notion of development and its attendant discourses are inadequate
(or inappropriate) to the task of grasping the consequences of China’s rise for
globalization and the developing world, what might be an alternative? We
suggest that the most appropriate lens is one associated with ‘transformation’.
The key to the notion of transformation, and thus to the likely superiority of its
attendant discourses for the analysis of economic, political and social change,
is that while a known starting point for the change process is obviously
assumed, unlike transition discourses for instance (see Henderson, 2011:
Ch. 1), it does not presuppose that we know the end point. In transformation
discourses, the end point of the change process is recognized to be unknown.
As a consequence, transformation discourses have the capacity to avoid
the a priori reasoning associated with much of the orthodox social science
that is brought to bear on the study of development. In helping to avoid
analyses that implicitly (and unconsciously) incorporate a pre-defined end
point for whatever change process is being studied (from the evolution of
the Chinese party-state, say, to the deepening commercialization of African
agriculture), transformation discourses allow for the possibility of serious
but, crucially, open-ended reflection on the dynamics and consequences of
change.
Adopting a discourse of transformation for an analysis of the evolution
of the Chinese political economy and for the changing nature of global-
ization and its consequences for the developing world, seems particularly
appropriate in current circumstances. This is because unlike development
(and transition-type) discourses — such as those informed by neoclassical
economic theory, modernization theory, related versions of neoliberal the-
orizing, as well as by some forms of radical political economy — those
focused on transformation should be better equipped to avoid premature
theoretical closure and thus many of the pitfalls of earlier and current pol-
icy engagements with economic and social development (the IMF/World
Bank ‘structural adjustment’ agenda being a case in point). Secondly and
relatedly, transformation discourses will help encourage analysts to
1238 J. Henderson, R.P. Appelbaum and S.Y. Ho
Critical Transformations
Transformations are inevitably uneven over space and time. Their dynamics
arise in particular locations from the dialectical relation of what Castells
(2000) calls the ‘space of places’ (indigenous economic, social, political,
institutional, cultural and environmental assets and practices) to the ‘space
of flows’ (externally derived assets and practices associated with capital
investment, transnational corporations, migrant labour, power in its various
forms, knowledge, cultural imagery etc.). The dialectic of places and flows
impacts particular cities and other sub-national spaces and, where external-
ized, other parts of given world-regions at different times and in different
sequences. In some historical periods (indeed throughout most of recorded
history through to the first wave of capitalist industrialization in the eigh-
teenth century) change is relatively slow and evolutionary, though in others
it becomes compacted. Contradictions that have their origin in, for example,
environmental or social disruptions (e.g. increasing desertification leading
to rising rural unemployment), become superimposed on one another and
the velocity of the change process increases. Such periods can be conceptu-
alized as ‘conjunctures of critical transformation’ (CCTs).27 If we take just
one world-region — for instance, Southeast Asia — then it is possible to
identify a number of impending CCTs, such as those associated with defor-
estation in Indonesia or increasing Chinese economic and political influence
in Laos and Cambodia. Arguably CCTs may be emerging in Malaysia and
Thailand, in part as a result of stalling industrialization inflicted by Chi-
nese competition for FDI and in third markets and the shifting architectures
of global production networks (Phillips and Henderson, 2009; Yusuf and
Nabeshima, 2009). In the case of Malaysia, the electoral threat to the ruling
Barisan Nasional coalition government from the opposition Pakatan Rakyat
coalition (expressed in the federal elections of 2013 by the former’s worst
performance since decolonization in 1957), may well have had some of its
structural origins in these dynamics.
Depending on their composition and the consequences of unanticipated
contingencies (e.g. political assassinations or environmental catastrophes
27. The notion of ‘critical transformation’ is informed by Scheffer’s (2009) work on envi-
ronmental change and the emergence of what he calls (correctly from our point of view)
‘critical transitions’. We are grateful to Glenn Smith of the Centre Asie du Sud-Est, Paris,
for introducing us to Scheffer’s and related work.
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1239
While the contributions that compose this special issue do not adopt the
terminology used here, nor adhere to its theoretical project, it is possible
to draw on their arguments to help us understand how the processes of
China’s global externalization are carried along by a series of transmission
belts or ‘vectors’. These vectors are constituted, variously, by a series of
cross-border flows — finance (including portfolio investment and currency
dynamics), direct capital investment, trade, migration, aid, ideas, imagery,
knowledge and power — and by institutional issues associated with global
and regional governance (trade and intellectual property regulations ema-
nating from the WTO, for instance). Diffused amongst them are elements of
Chinese culture and values and visions of modernity. These vectors typically
operate in complex combinations with one another. For instance, in the way
that globalization works ‘on the ground’ in Africa, Latin America, Southeast
Asia etc., investment, trade, migration and corporate power (and often state
power), are typically packaged together and, with regard to the vectors orig-
inating in China, aid flows are often key elements in the mix. Consequently
1240 J. Henderson, R.P. Appelbaum and S.Y. Ho
It follows from this that the ‘architecture’ of GPNs, the nature of the lead
firms, the institutional power that can be mobilized in those locations incor-
porated into the GPNs, have enormous implications for value creation and
capture, for employment, wages, labour standards, human rights, technology
and knowledge transfers, innovation, etc. They have, in other words, enor-
mous implications for the possibilities of industrial upgrading to the benefit
of the host economy and society.
Prominent and privately owned Chinese companies such as Lenovo and
Huawei are beginning to forge significant production networks outside of
China, including in India and Mexico.28 Additionally, as the contributions
by Raphael Kaplinsky and by Shamel Azmeh and Khalid Nadvi (in this
issue) respectively show, small and medium sized privately owned Chi-
nese companies are increasingly becoming a feature of manufacturing and
service industries in parts of sub-Saharan Africa (see also Shen, 2013) and
of manufacturing in the Arabian Peninsula. While the private companies
are emerging as an important element in China’s global externalization and
will undoubtedly become a significant (and perhaps predominant) actor in
the future, it remains the case for now that of the globally active Chinese
companies — certainly in terms of investment and their consequences for
economic, social and geopolitical transformation — it is the predominantly
state owned ones in energy, mining and construction that are decisive. Cur-
rently they have a particular presence in sub-Saharan Africa and include
Sinopec in Angola, CREC29 in DR Congo and NFC Africa Mining (NFCA)
in Zambia.
In the first two cases, the companies involved in oil extraction (Angola)
and copper and cobalt mining (DR Congo) are constituted as joint-ventures
between the Chinese companies and their African state owned counterparts:
Sonangol in Angola and Gecamines in DR Congo (Vines et al., 2009; see
also Afdevinfo30 ). NFCA’s copper mine in Zambia, however, is entirely
Chinese owned (Fessehaie, 2012; Haglund, 2009). Where sub-contracting
and supplier arrangements have developed with locally-owned companies
or subsidiaries of other foreign-owned companies, as in the case of NFCA’s
operation in Zambia, Fessehaie’s (2012) research suggests that incorporation
into its production network has resulted in fewer upgrading opportunities for
the upstream suppliers involved, compared with those for suppliers incorpo-
rated into the production networks of the Canadian, Swiss and South African
mining companies in the Zambian copper belt. The implication of her work
is that when it comes to the contribution of foreign mining companies to
positive economic transformation, developing countries may be better off
with ‘Western’ rather than Chinese investors.31
As regards the benefits of Chinese investment for local employment and
improved working conditions, current research is equivocal. For instance,
with the exception of mining, much of the research reports a reluctance
to employ African workers, preferring to use imported (and, effectively
‘indentured’, i.e. contractually tied) workers from China (Ferreira, 2008;
Haglund, 2009; Vines et al., 2009). Additionally, the Chinese managers and
workers often live in separate compounds and have almost no relationship
with the local communities, in some cases not even at a petty commercial
level, such as buying food and other supplies. As a consequence, and with
the primary exception of the DR Congo case, it seems unlikely that knowl-
edge and skill transmissions are part of the transformational contribution
Chinese-led GPNs are making. Additionally, as Lee (2009) has shown, the
Chinese companies that do employ African workers (she studied NFCA in
29. A joint-venture between the China Railway Engineering Corporation and Sinohydro.
30. http://www.afdevinfo.com/htmlreports/org/org_68389.html (accessed 6 October 2011)
31. Fessehaie (2012) also studied the Zambian operations of an Indian company and came to
similar conclusions about its contributions to industrial upgrading as those of NFCA.
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1243
Finance
32. Generated by unsustainable speculative investments in Britain’s South Sea Company which
operated a trading empire in South America.
Globalization with Chinese Characteristics 1245
this issue by Ho-fung Hung and Paul Bowles and Baotai Wang highlight
another crucial dimension: the extent to which the rise of China and its global
externalization might threaten the US dollar as the world’s principal reserve
currency. This is an issue most immediately ‘Northern’ in its implications
(i.e. with regard to the US, the EU, Japan and the OECD more generally), but
clearly, in terms of its resolution, one that would have dramatic consequences
for the global South.
In his article, Hung is concerned to unpack the currency conflict in which
China and the US are currently engaged. He argues that the idea that the
reserve status of the US dollar is threatened by the Chinese government —
because of its US$ 1.2 trillion holding of US Treasury bonds — is a fantasy.
It is so because the Chinese and US governments have, in effect, struck a
faustian bargain. With its holding of Treasury bonds, China not only as-
sists the US in the management of its enormous deficits, but helps maintain
the relatively high exchange rate of the dollar to the renminbi. This rela-
tive suppression of the renminbi’s exchange rate, while crucial for China’s
export-dependent development model, damages the US’s own export per-
formance and contributes further to the Federal government’s deficit and
thus the inherent instabilities of the global currency/financial system. Partly
as a result of the China–US currency arrangements, there is a certain lock-
in of export dependence in China’s development model, even though this
model is ultimately unsustainable (among other things because of a growing
over-accumulation crisis; Hung, 2008). Hung reminds us that should the
effectivity of China’s export-oriented development model decline before
a substantial switch to domestic-led growth has been achieved, the result
would be growing unemployment and the rising social conflict of which the
Chinese government is deeply fearful.
In their article Bowles and Wang assess the possibilities of the Chinese
renminbi emerging as an internationally significant trading currency that
might ultimately threaten the US dollar’s global dominance. Assessing and
rejecting the utility of the standard analyses of currency internationaliza-
tion, they argue that the very limited renminbi internationalization that has
occurred already should not be regarded as indicative of some grand strat-
egy designed to help secure Chinese financial hegemony. On the contrary,
they suggest, its limited internationalization has been largely a pragmatic
response to the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s and the subsequent,
and current, global crisis. Their firm conviction is that the renminbi will con-
tinue to be internationalized, but only in a manner consistent with China’s
significance as a major economic power.
The contributions by Hung and by Bowles and Wang point to the fact that
the Chinese currency is not yet a significant element of the transformational
dynamics that is the finance vector as a whole. By implication their analyses
pose a cautionary note: that it is important at this stage in China’s global
externalization not to overestimate the current extent of the transformations
taking place.
1246 J. Henderson, R.P. Appelbaum and S.Y. Ho
Migration
Imagery
CONCLUSION
the essays in this special issue may help reduce that uncertainty and thus the
anxieties associated with it.
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