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Agenda
1. Poisson Distribution Examples
2. Hypergeometric Distribution
E(CA ) = E(160 + 40 ∗ X 2 )
= 160 + 40 ∗ E(X 2 )
= 160 + 40 ∗ (V (X) + [E(X)]2 )
= 160 + 40 ∗ (0.96 + 0.962 )
= 235.264
E(CB ) = E(128 + 40 ∗ Y 2 )
= 128 + 40 ∗ E(Y 2 )
= 128 + 40 ∗ (V (Y ) + [E(Y )]2 )
= 128 + 40 ∗ (1.12 + 1.122 )
= 222.976
1
Example 2
The number of calls coming per minute into a hotels reservation
center is Poisson random variable with mean 3.
(a) Find the probability that no calls come in a given 1 minute period.
(b) Assume that the number of calls arriving in two different minutes
are independent. Find the probability that atleast two calls
will arrive in a given two minute period.
Solution. (a) Let X denote the number of calls coming in that given 1
minute period.
X ∼ P oisson(3)
e−3 30
P (X = 0) = = e−3
0!
(b) Let X1 and X2 be the number of calls coming in the first and second
minutes rspectively.
We want P (X1 + X2 ≥ 2).
Hypergeometric Distribution
Example 3
Suppose 30% of the UF students are graduates. If I take a random
sample of 10 students find the probability that the number of graduates
is atmost 4.
X ∼ Bin(10, 0.3)
2
Using our usual formulas,
P (X ≤ 4) = 0.8497
Example 4
Suppose I have 50 UF students in my class and 30% of them are graduates.
If I take a random sample of 10 students from them find the probability
that the number of graduates is atmost 4.
3
For Example 4 we have, N = 50, k = 15 and n = 10. So now
Since we have established the pmf we will head for mean and variance.
They can be calculated the hard way i.e. doing it algebrically. But we won’t
do that. Let’s learn a few things before doing those calculations.
P (A ∩ B) = P (A) × P (B)
For the past few lectures we have been using the concept of independence of
random variables without really defining it.
E(f1 (X1 )×f2 (X2 )×. . .×fk (Xk )) = E(f1 (X1 ))×E(f2 (X2 ))×. . .×E(fk (Xk ))