Académique Documents
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ACCOUNTING DEPARTMENT
GROUP ASSIGNMENT
FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS
TRAPHACO JOINT STOCK COMPANY
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Contents
CHAPTER 1: INDUSTRY ANALYSIS .........................................................................1
I. General information ..................................................................................................1
1. Main business operations ...................................................................................1
2. Competitive strategy ..........................................................................................1
II. Porter’s “five forces” .............................................................................................2
1. Rivalry among existing terms: high ...................................................................2
2. Threat of new entrants: high ..............................................................................3
3. Threat of substitute products: low......................................................................3
4. Bargaining power of buyers: low .......................................................................3
5. Bargaining power of suppliers: High .................................................................4
CHAPTER 2: FINANCIAL STRUCTURE ANALYSIS ...............................................5
I. Asset structure analysis .............................................................................................5
1. Proportion of current assets ...............................................................................5
2. Proportion of non-current assets ........................................................................5
II. Resource structure analysis ...................................................................................6
III. Financial balance analysis .....................................................................................7
1. Long-term financial balance ..............................................................................7
2. Short-term financial balance ..............................................................................7
CHAPTER 3: THE OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS ................................8
I. Overall financial performance analysis ....................................................................8
1. Overall analysis of revenue and profit ...............................................................8
2. Cost-saving efficiency analysis..........................................................................9
3. Net operating profit analysis ..............................................................................9
4. Factors influenced to net operating profit ........................................................10
5. Expenses...........................................................................................................10
II. Asset use efficiency analysis ...............................................................................11
1. Analysis of assets use efficiency of company .................................................11
2. The disaggregating of working capital efficiency over the years: ...................11
3. Working capital turnover .................................................................................12
III. Profitability analysis ............................................................................................13
1. Analysis of operating profitability ...................................................................13
2. Disaggregating ROA ........................................................................................13
3. Indicator from cash flow ..................................................................................14
CHAPTER 4: THE RISK ANALYSIS .........................................................................14
I. Business risk analysis .............................................................................................14
1. Quantitative analysis ........................................................................................14
2. Qualitative analysis ..........................................................................................15
3. The degree of operating leverage-DOL ...........................................................15
II. Financial risk analysis .........................................................................................15
III. Insolvency risk ....................................................................................................16
1. Short-term liquidity risk ...................................................................................16
2. Long-term solvency risk ..................................................................................18
3. Bankruptcy prediction model ...........................................................................18
CHAPTER 5: BUSINESS VALUATION ....................................................................18
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION ..............................................................................19
TRAPHACO JOINT STOCK COMPANY
I. General information
Transaction name: TRAPHACO JOINT STOCK COMPANY
Short name: Traphaco
Charter capital: 345.455.160.000 VND
Shares are listed: 41,453,673 shares
Outstanding shares: 41,450,540 shares
Stock code: TRA
Headquarter address: No. 75 Yen Ninh, Street, Ba Dinh District, Ha Noi
Telephone: 84-(4) 3683 0751 Fax: 84-(4) 3681 5097
Email: info@traphaco.com.vn
Website: http://traphaco.com.vn
Logo:
From a small pharmaceutical factory was formed in 1972 with the task of producing
medicines for railway workers - Traphaco Joint Stock Company is constantly growing
in both quantity and quality, deserving to be one of the units producing leading the
pharmaceutical industry of Vietnam.
1. Main business operations
• Purchasing, cultivating and processing medicinal herbs
• Producing and trading pharmaceuticals, chemicals and medical equipment
• Prepare prescription drugs
• Consulting on production of pharmaceuticals, cosmetics
• Trading import and export of raw materials for medicine and medicines
• Manufacturing and trading cosmetics
• Producing and trading food
• Consultancy on scientific and technical services, technology transfer in the field of
medicine and pharmacy
• Producing, trading beer, wine, soft drinks (not including bar business)
2. Competitive strategy
Traphaco is a company with a long history of manufacturing and manufacturing in
the pharmaceutical sector. The company has a wide range of product categories as well
as forms that meet the needs of consumers. Apart from paying attention to the quality
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of products to ensure safety, the company also develops models and packages. Traphaco
focuses on the production of traditional medicines, the company promotes all of its
advantages to create effective traditional medicines. Efforts are made to differentiate the
product.
Focus on price stability to the maximum suitable for all users. Traphaco uses
differentiated pricing strategies based on the company's superiority and prestige. The
company is constantly promoting and branding with the orientation of the brand of the
public. The company has a distribution network throughout 64 provinces. The company
wants to meet all the needs of users
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2. Threat of new entrants: high
Traphaco is a company specializing in producing traditional medicines. However,
the pharmaceutical market accounts for only a small proportion of total pharmaceuticals
industry value, about 10% of the total manufacturing value. The habit of using
traditional medicines of Vietnamese has been accumulated for a long time will be the
premise for the development of traditional medicines industry. With the concept of
safety, fewer side effects, as the habit of consuming over-the-counter medicines
increasing, the rate of consumption of traditional medicines is predicted to continue to
grow well in the coming years. The opportunities that this potential market brings are
always attractive to new entrants into the industry, increasing the competitive pressure
of the domestic market.
In addition, WTO integration brings a large of challenges of competition in the
pharmaceutical industry in Vietnam. Tax reduction schedule will certainly attract more
foreign pharmaceutical companies to enter the market with strong financial and
technological potential. In addition, Traphaco will face to strong competition from
Chinese pharmaceutical companies after integrating with the world economy has
expanded and competition comes from the production of pharmaceutical products is the
same drug of Traphaco. In spite of unknown quality, its price is cheaper. Recurrent
cerebral hemorrhage is the most imitated product. This fact requires Traphaco to further
improve the quality of its medicines, improve its technology and diversify products to
survive and compete in the domestic market.
3. Threat of substitute products: low
Replacing products: In the market today there are many products which are nearly
the same use and function, so the risk of replacement products used is quite high.
Paracetamol, for example, treats headache, muscle aches, analgesia, and so on. But there
is another drug called panadol, which also contains the paracetamol ingredient. As such,
consumers have more options for their use.
Replacing need: Each kind of drug has its own need and purpose, so it is very
difficult to replace the drug. In addition, when the patients want to cure disease can only
use drugs to cure and must buy under the guidance of the new doctor cured. So there is
no need to replace the product in the industry.
The pharmaceutical market is a favorable market in Vietnam and most of the
companies have not much different products, so the pressure created for businesses is
making them better and take as much advantage as possible. Traphaco is with "green"
strategy, green value chain development from raw materials, industry, products or
distribution services. The company has become a provider of social services that are rich
in traditional values and services that go beyond the mere interests of a business to fulfill
its corporate responsibilities.
4. Bargaining power of buyers: low
Customers of the pharmaceutical industry are divided into two main groups:
indirect customers and direct customers.
Groups of indirect customer (end-users in the country and abroad): The bargaining
power of this customer groups is very weak, no pressure on the industry. Pharmaceutical
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is one of the essential items, which is related to the life and health of users, no substitute
products and no bargain. Besides, almost the buyer is affected by the doctor, they have
no other choice so the impact on the customer is very easy and they hardly exert
downward pressure on prices for companies in the industry.
Group of direct customers: divided into two groups:
+ Group 1: includes hospitals and treatment facilities at all levels
+ Group 2: includes branches, agents, distributors, pharmacies (such as pharmaceutical
import-export companies, trading companies, retailers)
The bargaining power of this consumer group is greater than that one. These
customers are likely to exert downward pressure on prices for companies in the industry
because of the following reasons:
- They purchase a large number of products, accounting for high sales in total sales of
the pharmaceutical industry. The pharmaceutical industry is difficult to distribute drugs
and pharmaceuticals directly to users (patients). Products wanted to reach consumers
must through their distribution channels.
- They have many choices about the suppliers and the cost of switching suppliers is low
- They have full information about the needs, prices, characteristic of consumers.
However Traphaco Joint Stock Company is a famous pharmaceutical brand which
is trusted by a lot of customers. The company also has its own distribution network and
cooperates with many long-term sustainable organizations. The distribution system of
the company includes: 1 distribution subsidiary; 28 representative branches; 27,000
retailers; 40 agents spread over 64 provinces across the country. Therefore, this
customer group does not exert pressure too much on the company.
5. Bargaining power of suppliers: High
At present, the strength of raw materials and materials suppliers for drug processing
is high. Most of the materials used for the production of drugs are primarily imported
from countries on the world such as Austria, Italy, Netherlands, India, China.
According to the Ministry of Industry and Trade, the basic chemical industry and
pharmaceutical industry in our country has not developed, materials depend on imports
up to more than 90%. Dependence on imported raw materials makes the pharmaceutical
industry vulnerable from external factors such as exchange rate fluctuations, material
price fluctuations, material quality risks, trade risks, risk of political instability, risk of
credit payment,… About 5-6% of the drug materials (including pharmaceuticals and
excipients) can be produced by themselves, and most of them are single items, most of
them are excipients such as inorganic compounds, some pharmacological origin of
medicinal herbs.
Up to now, some pharmaceutical companies have found and built their own raw
materials so they have been able to hold the initiative in source raw materials for
production. However, this rate is very low and among them the typical company is the
joint stock company Traphaco.
Because Traphaco's main products are oriental herbs, most of its raw materials used
to produce pharmaceuticals are domestically produced (accounting for 65%, among
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which the company supplies 35%). The rest (35%) is used to produce medicine
(Germany, France, Switzerland ...) and medicinal herbs, also called traditional medicine
(20% of total pharmaceutical demand in China). Traphaco signed a 3-5 year contract
with pharmaceutical suppliers, contracted by the year for importing materials to ensure
stability, reduce raw material price fluctuations. Materials suppliers are less likely to
exert pressure on prices for Traphaco Company.
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and equipment, means of transport… => the proportion of fixed assets accounts for a
high proportion. Therefore, enterprise subjected to high risk.
+ Long-term receivable accounted for an extremely low proportion in total assets, only
around 1%, even equal with 0% in 2017. It means that capital occupancy rate was very
low.
+ In the long term, Traphaco company didn’t trend in invest outsides. Especially, in
2017, it occupied only 0.03%, approximately equal 0. It showed that the company hardly
has any long-term financial investment outside.
The company implemented safety policy, not risk with long-term investments
outside the core business.
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Besides, the debt/owner's equity ratio changes insignificantly over three years. This
shows the stability of the components in the company's resources. The owner's
equity/long-term resources ratio is very high, over 99% in three years (99.96% in 2015,
99.22% in 2016 and 99.11% in 2017). The company has small long-term liabilities, so
it’s not subject to a lot of pressure to pay interest.
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Net working capital = Current assets – Current liabilities
Based on the above formulas, getting out table 4 and chart 4– Appendix 2
Net working capital requirements is decrease through the years, especially sharply fall
from 2016 to 2017, this is because:
+ Short-term receivables decreased sharply from 291,660 million in 2016 to 200,062
million in 2017.
+ The inventory is decrease from 2015 to 2016, but the increase in 2017, increase about
25 million VND. But the other assets rapidly increase from 8,693 million in 2015 to
29,419 million and then 43,459 million in 2017.
+ The short-term liabilities significantly increase through 3 years, particularly rise about
32,924 million from 2015 to 2016.
+ The value of Net fund is higher than zero and decrease through years, so the net
working capital meets the capital needs in the short-term. The excess can be used to
invest in the high liquid securities in order to increase the efficiency of employed capital.
Because of the stable NWC and the decrease NWC requirements, funds values will
always be positive for short-term balances and surpluses from other investments to
increase profits for businesses.
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can say that Traphaco managed administrative expense well. Therefore, the company’s
administrative expense affected very large to business efficiency.
Overall, cost is always an important factor that directly affects the profitability of
enterprises. According to table 3.5, rates between net operating profit and total expense
were only from 15% to 20%. Each year, it increased 2% to 4%. This figure is very low.
One dong cost of business only gives less 0.2 dong net operating profit. It was probably
the cause of little efficient costing saving policies of Traphaco corporate. It leads to
business efficiency low.
Total sales and revenues = Net sales + Financial revenues + other revenues
Comments: According to table 10 and chart 5 - Appendix 3
- Average assets of Traphaco corporate increased steadily over three years, from
1,214,286 million VND in 2015 to 1,443,577 million VND in 2017.
- Average historical cost of fixed assets increased dramatically in the period 2015-
2017, from 428,439.5 million VND to 712,445 million VND, indicating that the
company has invested more material facilities in production and business. Therefore,
Traphaco might have good production capacity.
- Average working capital has continuous fluctuations over the years. In 2015, this
index was 876,365 million and then increasing to 903,703 million in 2016, following
to falling to 793,703 million in 2017.
- Assets use efficiency ratio means that each 1 dong of total assets generates how much
of net sales and revenue. In 2015, assets use efficiency ratio of Traphaco was 1.64,
but it declined to 1.51 in 2016 and 1.30 in 2017. This shows that in 2017 assets
moved more slowly, the reason is that the business tended to increase inventory.
Therefore, the efficiency of using asset of enterprises more and more decreases.
- Fixed assets use efficiency ratio was relatively high in 2015 and 2016. It was over 4,
however in 2017, this index reduced dramatically to only 2.63. This shows that the
company uses fixed assets with quiet high efficiency. Company invested 1 dong in
fixed assets they earn nearly 3 to 4 dong of net sales.
- Working capital turnover ratio was slowly fluctuated over three years (all over 2
throughout three years from 2015 to 2017, a range of 2.21-2.36). It means that one
dong of working capital earn more than two dong of Net sales. This indicates that
the company had quite efficient working capital turnover, it only took less than a half
year to working capital make a round, which is a sign of efficient use of working
capital.
2. The disaggregating of working capital efficiency over the years:
∆ HWC = HWC OF THEN-YEAR – HWC OF BASE-YEAR
∆HWC = ∆Net Sales + ∆WC
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡−𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑎𝑠𝑒−𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
∆ Net sales = −
𝑊𝐶 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑎𝑠𝑒−𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑊𝐶 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑎𝑠𝑒−𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
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𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡−𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡−𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
∆ Net sales = −
𝑊𝐶 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡−𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 𝑊𝐶 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑎𝑠𝑒−𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
Analyzing to Traphaco corporate:
∆ HWC2017/2016 = HWC2017 – HWC2016 = 0.15
∆ HWC2017/2016 = ∆ Net Sales + ∆WC = (-0.142) + 0.287 = 0.15
∆ HWC2016/2015 = HWC2016 – HWC2015 = -0.04
∆ HWC2016/2015 = ∆ Net Sales + ∆WC = 0.028 + (-0.069) = -0.04
From the above calculations, we see that a difference of working capital turnover ratio
in 2017 compared to 2016 is 0.15 which shows that year 2015 was more efficient.
In contrast, the difference of working capital turnover ratio in 2016 compared to 2015
is (-0.04). It expressed that in 2016, company used wastage of working capital. The
fluctuation of working capital was 0.069 and a small fluctuation of net sales was 0.028.
3. Working capital turnover
𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑜𝑓 𝑔𝑜𝑜𝑑𝑠 𝑠𝑜𝑙𝑑
Inventory turnover =
𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑠
360
Inventories turnover =
𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟
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III. Profitability analysis
1. Analysis of operating profitability
According to the table 12 and chart 7, 8 – Appendix 3, ROA has increased over the
past three years from 20.97% in 2015 to 22.35% in 2017. Compared with ROA of the
pharmaceutical industry (8.15%), the company has very high ROA. The ability to use
assets of the company is good. Profit before tax has increased over three years. This is
a reason for the ROA increase over 3 years.
ROE has increased over the past three years from 22.17% in 2015 to 24.41% in
2017. Compared with ROE of the pharmaceutical industry (25.82%), the company has
smaller ROE. The ability to use assets of the company is relatively good. Profit after tax
has increased over three years. This is a reason for the ROE increase over 3 years.
Besides, ICR of the company is high. The company is easy to payment interest
expense. ROCE has increased over three years, from 26% in 2015 to 30% in 2017.
Earning per share has decreased over three years, from 8.3 (thousand) in 2015 to
6.9 (thousand) in 2017. However, price/earnings ratio has increased over three years
from 13.39 (thousand) in 2015 to 21.87 (thousand) in 2017.
General, the operating profitability of the company is relatively good.
2. Disaggregating ROA
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑏𝑒𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒 𝑡𝑎𝑥 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑟𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒𝑠
ROA = *
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑟𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒𝑠 𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
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Therefore, it can be said that level of potential risk of Traphaco Company is
valuated in quite high level.
2. Qualitative analysis
Analysis through variance, standard deviation and coefficient of variation
2
Variance = Var (ROE) =𝛿 2= ∑𝑛𝑖=1(𝑘ᵢ − 𝑘̂ ) ∗ 𝑝ᵢ
2
Standard deviation = 𝛿 = √∑𝑛𝑖=1(𝑘ᵢ − 𝑘̂ ) ∗ 𝑝ᵢ
𝛿
Coefficient of variance = ; k̂= ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑝ᵢ𝑘ᵢ
𝑘̂
According the table 14 and 15 – Appendix 4, it can be showed that:
Variance: The variance of the ROE of the Traphaco enterprise was low, only
under 2. It reflected that ROE of company through three years was relatively stable.
Comparing with other companies, Traphaco is higher than PPP, but it is much lower
than VBT and PMC. The variance of PMC has nearly 2 times comparing with
Traphaco firm, and especially, that figure is fifth as high as with DBT.
However, the size of each company isn’t the same, so if we only comment the
level of risk through variance, it will not be accurate. In order to remove the affection
of different size between these companies, we look at the value of the coefficient
variability. From the index of above table, it can be showed that Traphaco and PMC
firms are equal and have the lowest level, and then it is PPP and DBT in turns.
In short, through the coefficient variability, we can say that Traphaco has the low
level of risk
3. The degree of operating leverage-DOL
% change in operating profit Contribute margin
DOL = =
% change in sales Profit
According to the table 16 – Appendix 4, we see that in general, the degree of
operating leverage of Traphaco through three years is extremely slow. Even this figure
2016-2017 is negative, only (-2.32). It showed that 1 % change in sales makes change
from -2.32% to 1.32% in EBIT.
In addition, the degree of operating leverage is low leading to the low business. It
also can be seen that Traphaco has a large proportion of variable cost, meaning that
company earned a smaller profit on each sale, but does not have to increase sales as
much to cover its lower fixed costs.
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Quick ratio
Quick ratio measures the level of the most liquid current assets available to cover
current liabilities. In 2015 Quick ratio was high, reached 1.91; however, this ratio
dropped to 1.4 in 2016 and fell to 0.97 in the year 2017. Although this ratio trend in
decreasing over 3 years, they are more than or approximately 1, means that a company
is sufficiently able to meet its short-term obligations.
Cash ratio
This index shows the level of the firm’s cash and near-cash investments relative to
their current liabilities. In 2015, cash ratio of the company is 1.05 and then this ratio
decrease alternately with 0.58 in 2016 and 0.42 in 2017. This does not mean that this is
a bad sign. Because it is not realistic for a company to maintain excessive levels of cash
and cash in equivalent assets to cover with current liabilities. It is often seen as poor
asset utilization for a company to hold large amounts of cash on its balance sheet, as this
money could be returned to shareholders or used elsewhere to generate higher returns.
Cash flow ratio
The operating cash flow ratio is a measure of how well current liabilities are
covered by the cash flows generated from a company's operations. Cash ratio of the
company tended to decrease throughout 3 years. In 2015, this highest ratio is 0.58, and
then this ratio declined slightly, in turn 0.51 in 2016 and 0.49 in 2017. Those ratios from
2015 to 2017 were less than one indicates that the firm has not generated enough cash
to cover its current liabilities. To investors and analysts, a low ratio could mean that the
firm needs more capital. The cause of this condition is the growth of current liabilities,
from 329,257 to 380,753 million VND and the decline of net cash flow from operations,
from 191,764 to 185,135 million VND. The company needs to control net cash flow
from its operations and current liabilities.
Overall, ability to meet company’s short-term financial obligations is quite good
and there is not the sign that the company will have difficulty meeting its short-term
financial obligations, and consequently in running its day-to-day operations.
- Working capital turnover:
Cost of goods sold
+ Inventory turnover =
Average inventory
360
+ Inventory turnover period =
Inventory turnover
Sales + VAT out put
+ Accounts receivable turnover =
Average accounts receivable
360
+ Accounts receivable turnover period =
Accounts receivable turnover
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The receivables turnover is an accounting measure used to quantify a firm's
effectiveness in extending credit and in collecting debts on that credit. Between 2015
and 2017, accounts receivable turnover ranges from 10.57-19.70 which are high
receivables turnover ratios and increased continuously over three years. This indicated
that the company’s collection of accounts receivable is efficient, and that the company
has a high proportion of quality customers that pay off their debts quickly.
2. Long-term solvency risk
Table 20 – Appendix 4
Liabilities to assets ratio changes not significant over three years. It is approximate
26% in three years. This indicator is relatively stable that can see the debt management
company is relatively good. So the risk is low. Besides, liabilities to shareholder’s equity
ratio change over three years. It isn’t very high.
Long-term debt to long-term capital ratio and Long-term debt to shareholder’s
equity ratio are very low. In Long-term capital ratio, debt accounted for a small
proportion. So the company does not have to bear the burden of long-term debt. The risk
of the company is low.
Interest coverage ratio changes over three years. However, it is always higher 125.
Specially, it is 316.7 in 2016. It showed that EBIT’s company is available for payment
for Interest expense.
The company has low long term solvency risk.
3. Bankruptcy prediction model
Z= 1.2T1 + 1.4T2 + 3.3T3 + 0.6T4 + 1.0T5
T1= Net working capital/Total assets (measure of liquidity)
T2= Retained earnings/Total assets (measure of cumulative profitability)
T3= EBIT/Total assets (measure of return on assets)
T4= Market value of equity/book value of total liabilities (measure of markrt leverage)
T5= Sales/Total assets (measure of sales generating potential of assets)
Z= 1.2T1 + 1.4T2 + 3.3T3 + 0.6T4 + 1.0T5
According table 21 – Appendix 4, Z in all three years are over 2.99. Specifically, Z is
6.76 in 2015, 9.07 in 2016 and 9.80 in 2017. With the analysis of Alman Z-score, the
company is in a safe area, “non-bankrupt sector”.
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