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Experimental Data
Common Types of error
Uncertainty and Precision
Uncertainty
Theory Based on the Population
Theory Based on the Sample
Introduction
• Actual data
• Error
– The difference between the measured value
and the true physical value
Error in Measuring
• Error : the difference between the
measured value and the true value
Error = ε ≡ xm − xtrue
x m − u ≤ xtrue ≤ xm + u (n : 1)
Common Types of Error
• Bias errors : systematic errors
– The same way each time a measurement is
made
– Example: the scale on an instrument
• Precision errors : random errors
– Different for each successive measurement
but have an average value of zero
– Example: mechanical friction or vibration
Bias and Precision errors
• Bias errors > Precision errors
Frequency of occurrence
Bias error
Total error
Precision error
Total error
xtrue xm
Measured value, xm
Classification of Errors
1) Bias or systematic error
a. Calibration errors
b. Certain consistently recurring human errors
c. Certain errors caused by defective equipment
d. Loading errors
e. Limitations of system resolution
2) Precision or random error
a. Certain human errors
b. Errors caused by disturbances to th equipment
c. Errors caused by fluctuating experimental
conditions
d. Errors derived from insufficient measuring-system
sensitivity
Classification of Errors
3) Illegitimate error
a. Blunders and mistakes during an experiment
b. Computational errors after an experiment
4) Errors that are sometimes bias error and
sometimes precision error
a. From instrument backlash, friction, and hysteresis
b. From calibration drift and variation in test or
environmental conditions
c. Resulting from variations procedure or definition
among experimental
Elements of instrument error
• Hysteresis error
Elements of instrument error
• Linearity error
Elements of instrument error
• Sensitivity error
Elements of instrument error
• Zero shift(null) error
Elements of instrument error
• Repeatability error
Calibration errors
• Ideal response : xmeasured=xtrue
• Actual response : xmeasured=βxtrue +xoffset
Output, xmeasured
Actual response
β≠1
1 Ideal response
1
1
xoffset
Input, xtrue
hysteresis error
• Backlash and mechanical friction
Actual response
Input, xtrue
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Accuracy
– The difference between the measured and
true values
– Maximum error as the accuracy
– The extent to which a reading might be wrong,
and is often quoted as a percentage of the
full-scale reading of an instrument
• For example: ±1% of full-scale reading
• Accuracy:
true value − indicated value
A = 1 − ×100
true value
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Precision
– The difference between the instrument’s
reported values during repeated
measurements of the same quantity
– Determined by statistical analysis
– A term which describes an instrument’s
degree of freedom from random errors
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Precision
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Accuracy & Precision
Output
reading
Gradient=
Sensitivity of Measurement
Measured quantity
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Sensitivity to disturbance Zero
drift
Scale Characteristic
reading with zero drift
Nominal characteristic
Measured quantity
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Sensitivity to disturbance Sensitivity
drift
Scale Characteristic
reading with sensitivity drift
Nominal characteristic
Measured quantity
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Sensitivity to disturbance Zero drift plus
Sensitivity drift
Characteristic with
Scale zero and sensitivity drift
reading
Nominal characteristic
Measured quantity
Precision error and accuracy
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Hysteresis
– The non-coincidence between these loading
and unloading curves
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Dead space
– As the rang of different input values over
which there is no change in output value
+ Output
reading
- + Measured
variable
Dead space
-
In Rating Instrument
Performance
• Range or span
– An instrument defines the minimum and
maximum values of a quantity that the
instrument is designed to measure
• Input span: Rinput=xmax-xmin
• Total uncertainty, Ux
2 2
U x = ( Bx + Px )
Uncertainty example
A brass rod axial strain, yielding an average strain of ε=520
µ-strain(520 ppm). A precision uncertainty Pε=21 µ-strain
with 95% confidence. The bias uncertainty is estimated to
be Bε=29 µ-strain with odds of 19:1 (95% confidence). What
is the total uncertainty of the strain ?
Solution.
The total uncertainty for 95% coverage is
Uε=(Bε2+Pε2 ) 1/2 =36 µ-strain (95%)
In other word, with odds of 19:1 , the true strain lies
in the interval 520 ± 36 µ-strain:
484 µ-strain ≤ ε ≥ 556 µ-strain.
Sample versus Population
• Sample
• population
Sample versus Population
群體(population)
(所製造的所有品目)
x1 x2 xn
樣本(sample)由母體取出之樣本
Probability Distributions
• Probability is an expression of the likelihood of
a particular event taking place, measured eith
reference to all possible events.
Probability Distributions
• The Gaussian, or normal, probability distribution
– Z-distribution
• Student’s t-distribution
– Only a small sample of data is available
• The x2-distribution
– in predicting the width of a population’s distribution, in
comparing the uniformity of samples, and in checking
the goodness of fit for assumed distributions
Theory Based on the population
• Normal distribution curve
Theory Based on the population
• probability density function, (PDF)
x2
Probability (x1 → x2 ) = ∫ f ( x)dx
x1
• the deviation d = x - µ
µ : The most probable single value for the quantity
=
n −1
y(x1 + u1 , x2 + u2 , ..., xn + un )
∂y ∂y ∂y
≈ y(x1 , x2 , ..., xn ) + u1 + u2 + ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ + un
∂x1 ∂x2 ∂xn
Propagation of Uncertainty
Under this approximation, y is linear
function of the independent variable.
Solution.
∂y ∂y
= A ; =B
∂ x1 ∂x2
Using above Eq.,
uy = ( Au 1 ) 2 + ( Bu 2 ) 2 (n : 1).
Uncertainty example
例:兩個電阻值為100Ω之電阻,每個電阻值之公差(不
確定度)為 5% 。試求將兩電阻串聯後之總電阻值及其
電阻不確定度為何?
Solution.
一般串聯總電阻為 R = R 1 + R 2 = 200 Ω
每個電阻之不確定度為 100 × 5% = 5 Ω
2 2
∂R ∂R
總共不確定度為 u y = u1 + u 2
∂R 1 ∂R 2
= (1 × 5 )2 + (1 × 5 )2 = 7 .07 Ω
串聯總電阻為 200 Ω ± 7 .07 Ω
Uncertainty example
A cylindrical body of circular section has a normal length
of 5000 ± 0.5mm, an outside diameter of 200 ± 0.05mm.
Determine the uncertainty in calculated volume.
Solution.
π π
V = d 2l ; v = 200 2 × 5000 = 1 . 57 × 10 8 mm 3
4 4
ul 0.5 u 0.05
= = 0 . 0 1% ; d = = 0.0025%
l 5000 d 200
Using above Eq.,
uv u u
= ( 2 d ) 2 + ( l ) 2 = ( 2 × 0 . 0025 %) 2 + ( 0 . 01 %) 2 = 1 . 12 × 10 − 2 %
v d l
or u v = 1 . 57 × 10 8 × 1 . 12 × 10 − 2 % ≈ 1 . 76 × 10 4
The uncertaint y of the volume is u v = 1 . 76 × 10 4 mm 3 , or about ± 1.12 × 10 − 2 %
Graphical Presentation of Data
• When used to present facts, interpretations of
facts, or theoretical relationships, a graph
usually serves to communicate knowledge from
the author to his readers, and to help them
visualize the features that he considers
important.
• A graph should be used when it will convey
information and portray significant features more
efficiently than words or tabulations.
According to the American Standards Association
Graphical Presentation of Data
• For example: atmospheric pressure
– The data are tabled
Time of Day Pressure (mbar)
As y versus x
Producing Straight Lines
• For example: plot of y=1.0 + (2.5/x)
As y versus (1/x)
Straight-line Transformations
• y=f(x) ⇒ Y=A+BX
F(x) Y X A B
y=a+b/x y 1/x a b
y=1/(a+bx) 1/y x a b
y=x/(a+bx) X/y x a b
y=abx log y x log a log b
y=acbx log y x log a b log c
y=axb log y log x log a b
y=a+bxn y xn a b
Line Fitting
• The simplest approach is just to draw
appears to be a good straight line through
the data
• When this approach is used, the probable
tendency is to draw a line that minimizes
the total deviation of all points from the line
Bias and precision error in line
fitting
Least Square for Line Fits
• y=a + bx
∑ yi ∑ xi − ∑ xi ∑ xi yi
2
n∑ xi yi − ∑ xi ∑ yi
a= b=
n∑ xi − (∑ xi ) n∑ xi − (∑ xi ) 2
2 2 2
• Correlation coefficient, r
(
∑ i m
y ( x ) − y )2 the squared deviations
r2 = 2
S + ∑ ( y ( xi ) − ym )
2 n 2
S 2 = ∑ [ yi − y ( xi )]
i =1
Least Square for Line Fits
Example
A cantilever beam deflects downword when a mass is attached
to its free end. T deflection, δ(m), is a function of the beam
stiffness, k(N/m), the applied mass, M(kg), and the
gravitational body force, g=9.807m/s : k δ=Mg
To determine the stiffness of a small cantilevered steel beam, a
student place various masses on the end of the beam and
measures the corresponding deflections. The deflections are
measured using a scale (a ruler) marked in 1mm increments.
Each mass is measured in a balance. His results are as follow:
Mass(g) 0 050. 099. 150. 200. 250. 299. 350. 401.
15 90 05 05 20 95 05 00
Deflection(mm) 0 0.6 1.8 3.0 3.6 4.8 6.0 6.2 7.5
Least Square for Line Fits
Solution :
Example
Setting y=δ and x=M
(
∑ i m
y ( x ) − y )2
r2 = 2 ; r = 1.00
S + ∑ ( y ( xi ) − ym )
2
15
y 10
0 1 2 3 4
x