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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX | ABX is in the S&P ADR Index

Barrick Gold Corp


S&P Capital IQ
Recommendation
BUY ★★★★★ Price 12-Mo. Target Price
$18.11 (as of Sep 23, 2016 4:00 PM ET) $25.00
Report Currency
USD
S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst M. Miller, CFA

GICS Sector Materials Summary ABX is the one of the world's largest gold companies in terms of both production
Sub-Industry Gold and reserves.

Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)

52-Wk Range $23.47– 6.04 S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 0.75 Market Capitalization(B) $21.104 Beta 0.01
Trailing 12-Month EPS $-2.43 S&P Oper. EPS 2017E 1.00 Yield (%) 0.44 S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 45
Trailing 12-Month P/E NM P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 24.1 Dividend Rate/Share $0.08 S&P Quality Ranking B-
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $4,202 Common Shares Outstg. (M) 1,165.3 Institutional Ownership (%) 60

Price Performance Analyst's Risk Assessment


30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS
LOW MEDIUM HIGH
12-Mo. Target Price Relative Strength Up Down No Change Below Avg.
Our risk assessment reflects ABX's exposure to
80 markets for gold and copper, both cyclical
commodities, along with the challenge of
40
replacing reserves, partly offset by our view of its
Share Price

20 improving balance sheet and its pipeline of


growth projects.
10

Revenue/Earnings Data
Revenue (Million $)
Volume(Mil.)

120
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year
80 2016 1,930 2,012 -- -- --
40 2015 2,245 2,231 2,315 2,238 9,029
0
5 5 2014 2,632 2,432 2,598 2,577 10,239
5 4 4
3 2013 3,437 3,201 2,985 2,926 12,511
1 2012 3,644 3,278 3,436 4,189 14,547
OND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SON 2011 3,090 3,426 4,007 3,789 14,312
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Per Share ($)
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.
2016 -0.07 0.12 E0.25 E0.25 E0.75
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst M. Miller, CFA on Jul 28, 2016 10:14 PM, when the stock traded at $21.27. 2015 0.05 -0.01 -0.23 -2.25 -2.44
Highlights Investment Rationale/Risk 2014 0.08 -0.23 0.11 -2.47 -2.50
2013 0.85 -8.04 0.18 -2.61 -9.65
➤ Sales are expected to decline around 8% in ➤ We have a favorable view on ABX's decision to 2012 1.03 0.75 0.62 -3.06 -0.66
2016, after declines of 18% in 2014 and 12% in prioritize cash flow and profitable production. 2011 1.00 1.16 1.36 0.96 4.48
2015. Our forecast reflects our expectation for We think its efforts to reduce costs will have a Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: Late
respective declines in gold and copper produc- positive effect on earnings. ABX is focused on October. EPS Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating
Earnings; historical GAAP earnings are as reported in Company
tion volumes, due to divestitures. These divesti- improving its balance sheet, and has committed reports.
tures helped ABX achieve a $3.1 billion reduc- to reducing total debt by $2 billion in 2016, fol-
tion in debt during 2015. Aggressive debt reduc- lowing the more than $3 billion decrease in Dividend Data
tion has been a priority with management, and 2015. ABX has few major debt maturities
Amount Date Ex-Div. Stk. of Payment
we expect another $2 billion debt reduction in through 2021, which we see as a positive at a ($) Decl. Date Record Date
2016 from cash flow and asset sales. time of gold price uncertainty. Management 0.020 Oct 28 Nov 25 Nov 30 Dec 15 '15
➤ EBITDA totaled $3.25 billion in 2015, $3.89 billion has positioned the company to be cash flow 0.020 Feb 17 Feb 25 Feb 29 Mar 15 '16
in 2014 and $5.60 billion in 2013, with corre- positive at gold prices as low as $1,000 per 0.020 Apr 26 May 26 May 31 Jun 15 '16
sponding EBITDA margins of 36%, 38% and ounce, a break-even price that should fall each 0.020 Jul 27 Aug 29 Aug 31 Sep 15 '16
45%. We forecast 2016 EBITDA margins to ex- year as AISC falls. Dividends have been paid since 1987. Source: Company reports.
pand by over 1,000 basis points to 47%, driven ➤ Risks to our recommendation and target price Past performance is not an indication of future performance and
by ABX's focus on cost control efforts to help include weaker gold prices, failure to achieve should not be relied upon as such.
offset the effects of lower production. All-in expected gold and copper production and an
sustaining costs (AISC) are forecast to progres- inability to monetize assets to improve its lever-
sively decline each year until they are under age ratios.
$700 per ounce by 2019. ➤ Our 12-month target price of $25 represents an
➤ Our 2016 EPS estimate is $0.75 and $1.00 in enterprise value to our 2017 EBITDA estimate of
2017. In the event of a lower gold price environ- 8.0X, a 13% discount to peers trading at 9.2X
ment, ABX should remain competitive due to forward earnings. We think ABX should trade at
lower-cost gold mines. ABX posted positive FCF a small discount to peers given higher financial
in 2015 (the first year since 2011), and we ex- leverage, partially offset by its low-cost mining
pect strong FCF growth going forward. assets.

Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.
This document is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek
independent financial advice regarding the suitability and/or appropriateness of making an investment or implementing the investment strategies discussed in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.
Investors should note that income from such investments, if any, may fluctuate and that the value of such investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than they originally invested. Investors should seek advice concerning any
impact this investment may have on their personal tax position from their own tax advisor. Please note the publication date of this document. It may contain specific information that is no longer current and should not be used to make an investment decision.
Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp


Business Summary July 28, 2016 Corporate Information

CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Barrick Gold is one of the world's largest gold companies. The Company has op- Investor Contact
erating mines or projects in Canada, the United States, the Dominican Republic, Peru, Chile, Argentina, A. Parr (416-307-7426)
Tanzania, Zambia, Australia, Papua New Guinea and Saudi Arabia.

The Company's principal products and sources of earnings are gold and copper. As of December 31, 2015, Office
ABX's proven and probable reserves totaled 92 million oz. (assumption of $1,000 per oz. short-term and Brookfield Place, Toronto, ON, Canada M5J 2S1.
$1,200 from 2021 onward) with an average reserve grade of 1.32 grams per metric ton, versus 93 million oz.
($1,100/oz gold price assumption) at the end of 2014 and versus 104.1 million oz. ($1,100/oz) at the end of Telephone
2013. Approximately 3.1 million oz. were divested and 6.8 million oz. were depleted through production and 416-861-9911.
processing during 2015. ABX added about 5.1 million oz. to reserves through drilling and cost improve-
Fax
ments and another 3.7 million oz. were added as a result of using a long-term gold price assumption of
416-861-2492.
$1,200 per oz., compared to a single reserve price of $1,100 applied in 2014. Copper proven and probable
reserves at year-end 2015 totaled 11.7 billion lbs. versus 14.9 billion lbs. at year-end 2014, a decrease Email
driven primarily by the sale of 50% of Zaldivar. investor@barrick.com
During 2015, ABX produced 6.117 million oz. (6.249 in 2014) at an average cash cost of $596 per oz. ($598)
Website
and 511 million pounds of copper (436) at a cash cost of $1.73 per pound ($1.92). ABX's goal is to bring
www.barrick.com
down all-in sustaining costs to below $700 per ounce by the end of 2019 (from $831 in 2015 and $864 in
2014).
Officers
CORPORATE STRATEGY. Barrick's main strategy is to increase its reserve base through the development
or acquisition of low-cost, long-life mines. ABX says it is committed to assessing all capital allocation op-
Chrmn EVP & CFO
tions, which include exploration and project investment and acquisitions or divestitures, on the basis of
J.L. Thornton C. Raw
maximizing risk-adjusted returns. It emphasizes free cash flow, hoping to position ABX to return more cap-
ital to shareholders, repay debt, and make additional attractive return investments in the future. ABX seeks CEO CTO
to optimize its overall returns and existing assets that do not generate target returns or long-term free K.P. Dushnisky B. Maree
cash flow will be deferred, suspended or divested.

MARKET PROFILE. Gold mining is a highly capital-intensive business, requiring large sums of money to ex- COO
R.J. Williams
plore for deposits and construct mines once deposits have been discovered. Since the early part of this
century, mining costs have increased dramatically due to rapidly rising costs for energy and building mate-
rials.
Board Members
Global gold production is dominated by a relatively small number of large producers such as Anglogold G. A. Cisneros G. G. Clow
Ashanti Ltd., Gold Fields Limited, Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold, Harmony Gold, Newmont Mining, Rio G. A. Doer K. P. Dushnisky
Tinto, and Barrick. The industry is also comprised of a small number of exploration companies and small to J. M. Evans B. L. Greenspun
mid-size gold producers. Absent the discovery of a large deposit, we think few of the exploration and small J. B. Harvey N. H. Lockhart
to mid-size companies will become major producers. D. F. Moyo A. Munk
J. R. Prichard S. J. Shapiro
FINANCIAL TRENDS. As part of ABX's debt reduction strategy, ABX completed several divestitures in J. L. Thornton E. L. Thrasher
2015. Debt repayments made in 2015 totaled $3.1 billion, which exceeded the company's target. On January
11, 2016, ABX completed the sale of its Bald Mountain mine and its 50% interest in the Round Mountain
mine to Kinross Gold Corporation for cash consideration of $610 million. On December 17, 2015, ABX com- Domicile
pleted the sale its Ruby Hill mine and its 70% interest in the Spring Valley project to Waterton Precious Ontario
Metals Fund II Cayman, LP for cash consideration of $110 million. On December 1, 2015, ABX completed
the sale of 50% of its Zaldivar copper mine in Chile to Antofagasta Plc for total consideration of $1.005 bil- Founded
lion. On August 31, 2015, ABX completed the sale of 50% of its interest in the Porgera mine in Papua New 1984
Guinea to Zijin Mining Group Company for cash consideration of $298 million. On July 23, 2015, ABX com-
pleted the sale of its Cowal mine in Australia for cash consideration of $550 million. On September 29, 2015, Employees
ABX closed a gold and silver streaming transaction with Royal Gold, Inc. for production linked to Barrick's 21,135
60% interest in the Pueblo Viejo mine. Royal Gold made an upfront cash payment of $610 million and will
continue to make cash payments for gold and silver delivered under the agreement. Stockholders
16,768
Total revenue peaked in 2012 at $14.5 billion, then declined at a three-year compound annual growth rate
(CAGR) of 15% to $9.0 billion in 2015. During the same three-year period, EPS declined by a 57% CAGR.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp


Quantitative Evaluations Expanded Ratio Analysis

S&P Capital IQ 2 1 2 3 4 5 2015 2014 2013 2012


Fair Value LOWEST HIGHEST Price/Sales 0.95 1.22 1.44 2.41
Rank Based on S&P Capital IQ's proprietary quantitative model, stocks Price/EBITDA 2.55 3.12 3.22 4.44
are ranked from most overvalued (1) to most undervalued (5). Price/Pretax Income NM NM NM NM
P/E Ratio NM NM NM NM
Fair Value $16.00 Analysis of the stock's current worth, based on S&P Capital IQ's Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M) 1,165.0 1,165.0 1,022.0 1,001.0
proprietary quantitative model suggests that ABX is slightly
Calculation overvalued by $2.11 or 11.7%. Figures based on calendar year-end price

Investability 26 Key Growth Rates and Averages


Quotient LOWEST = 1 HIGHEST = 100
Percentile ABX scored lower than 74% of all companies for which an S&P Past Growth Rate (%) 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 9 Years
Capital IQ Report is available.
Sales -11.82 -15.05 -5.85 7.48
Net Income NM NM NM NM
Volatility LOW AVERAGE HIGH
Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.)
Technical NA Net Margin (%) NM NM NM NM
Evaluation % LT Debt to Capitalization 81.82 64.85 51.21 38.35
Return on Equity (%) NM NM NM NM
Insider Activity NA UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL FAVORABLE

For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide

Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Dec. 31

Per Share Data ($) 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Tangible Book Value 4.75 4.73 6.33 12.54 13.16 13.66 9.96 11.37 10.74 9.57
Cash Flow -1.15 -1.13 -8.18 1.06 5.91 4.36 -3.65 2.05 2.41 2.27
Earnings -2.44 -2.50 -9.65 -0.66 4.48 3.16 -4.84 0.89 1.27 1.42
Dividends 0.14 0.20 0.50 0.75 0.51 0.44 0.40 0.40 0.30 0.22
Payout Ratio NM NM NM NM 11% 14% NM 45% 24% 15%
Prices:High 13.70 21.45 36.08 50.39 55.95 55.72 48.02 54.74 47.72 36.03
Prices:Low 5.91 10.04 13.43 31.00 42.50 33.65 25.54 17.27 26.94 25.10
P/E Ratio:High NM NM NM NM 12 18 NM 62 38 25
P/E Ratio:Low NM NM NM NM 9 11 NM 19 21 18

Income Statement Analysis (Million $)


Revenue 9,029 10,239 12,511 14,547 14,312 10,924 8,136 7,913 6,332 5,636
Operating Income 3,377 4,018 5,600 7,885 8,903 6,236 3,932 3,424 2,460 2,388
Depreciation 1,771 1,648 1,732 1,722 1,419 1,196 1,073 1,033 1,004 735
Interest Expense 739 721 499 128 144 121 57.0 21.0 237 126
Pretax Income -3,144 -2,653 -9,467 -913 6,824 4,546 -3,717 1,451 1,437 1,556
Effective Tax Rate 0.99% NM NM NM 33.5% 30.1% NM 40.7% 23.7% 22.4%
Net Income -3,113 -2,959 -10,097 -665 4,484 3,153 -4,371 785 1,110 1,209

Balance Sheet & Other Financial Data (Million $)


Cash 2,455 2,699 2,404 2,093 2,745 3,968 2,564 1,437 2,338 3,043
Current Assets 5,468 6,150 6,212 5,863 6,545 7,113 4,938 4,112 4,288 4,796
Total Assets 26,308 33,879 37,448 47,282 48,884 33,322 27,075 24,161 21,951 21,373
Current Liabilities 1,847 2,560 2,884 4,415 2,911 2,489 1,773 1,844 1,296 1,852
Long Term Debt 9,765 12,748 12,699 12,095 13,173 6,678 6,281 4,350 3,322 3,244
Common Equity 7,178 10,247 13,533 21,845 23,363 19,065 15,063 15,277 15,256 14,199
Total Capital 11,935 28,558 18,648 39,205 42,958 28,526 23,012 20,563 19,332 18,242
Capital Expenditures 1,713 2,432 5,501 6,369 4,973 3,323 2,351 1,776 1,046 1,087
Cash Flow -1,342 -1,311 -8,365 1,057 5,903 4,349 -3,298 1,818 2,114 1,944
Current Ratio 3.0 2.4 2.2 1.3 2.3 2.9 2.8 2.2 3.3 2.6
% Long Term Debt of Capitalization Nil 44.6 Nil 30.9 30.7 23.4 27.3 21.1 17.1 18.6
% Net Income of Revenue NM NM NM NM 31.3 28.9 NM 9.9 17.5 21.5
% Return on Assets NM NM NM NM 10.7 10.4 NM 3.4 5.1 8.5
% Return on Equity NM NM NM NM 20.9 18.5 NM 5.1 7.5 13.3

Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp


Sub-Industry Outlook Industry Performance
Our fundamental outlook for the gold sub-industry and we expect a substantial increase in consumer GICS Sector: Materials
for the next 12 months is neutral. We believe that demand in both India and China. Gold became a Sub-Industry: Gold
gold has priced in a number of significant universally disliked asset class in 2014, as
headwinds, including continued strength in the U.S. evidenced by the massive outflows from gold ETFs. Based on S&P 1500 Indexes
dollar, lower oil prices, and the FED raising rates. We believe that gold has once again gained some Five-Year market price performance through
We see significant physical demand growth, driven appeal as a safe-haven investment driven by greater Sep 24, 2016
by China and India, providing a floor for the precious market volatility and enhanced geopolitical risk.
metal. Recent developments, including Brexit and S&P 1500 Sector Sub-Industry
worries about the future of the European Union, As of June 30 2016, the S&P Gold Index appreciated 90%
have enhanced risks associated with geopolitical 113.5%, vs. a 3.1% increase in the S&P 1500
events, further supporting prices. Also, as of late Composite Index. In 2015, the S&P Gold Index 70%
June 2016, there was an estimated $12 Trillion worth declined 15.8%, vs. a 1.0% decline for the the S&P
of bonds with negative yields, which increases the 1500 Composite Index and an 11.9% decline for the 50%
appeal of gold as an investment. In 2014, the S&P 1500 Materials Index. The five-year compound
average gold spot prices posted a consecutive annual growth rate (CAGR) for the S&P Gold index is

% Change
annual decline for the first time since 1998, as the 5.5%, versus 9.6% CAGR for the S&P 1500, and a 30%

average price of gold fell 10.2% in 2014 to $1,266 per 4.0% CAGR in the S&P 1500 Materials Index.
once, following a 16% decline in 2013. The decline 10%

continued in 2015 with an average price of $1,159 --Matthew Miller, CFA


per once, an 8.4% decline. As of June 30 2016, the -10%
average spot price for gold was $1,221 per ounce,
5.3% higher than the 2015 average. -30%

We see consumer demand increasing significantly


-50%
and, more importantly, investor demand increasing
due to higher market volatility and increasing
geopolitical risk. However, we believe there are a -70%

number of offsetting headwinds for gold, most


notably a strong U.S. dollar and limited inflationary -90%

fears. The relative strength of the U.S. economy and 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

the U.S. dollar will limit any gold price appreciation


NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the
from geopolitical uncertainty, in our view. Also, with Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
the Fed expected to eventually resume raising
interest rates later in 2016 or early 2017, gold Past performance is not an indication of future performance
becomes less attractive relative to interest-bearing and should not be relied upon as such.
securities. We believe that the headwinds for gold
are fully reflected in the current price and gold has
found support at recent levels.

We note that India has relaxed its import restrictions

Sub-Industry : Gold Peer Group*: Gold - Major Producers


Stk.Mkt. Recent 52 Fair S&P Return on LTD to
Stock Cap. Stock Week Yield P/E Value Quality IQ Revenue Cap
Peer Group Symbol (Mil. $) Price($) High/Low($) Beta (%) Ratio Calc.($) Ranking %ile (%) (%)
Barrick Gold ABX 21,104 18.11 23.47/6.04 0.01 0.4 NM 16.00 B- 26 NA NA
Kinross Gold KGC 5,352 4.30 5.82/1.31 0.28 Nil NM NA B- 19 NA 29.1
Newmont Mining NEM 20,934 39.56 46.07/15.56 -0.19 0.3 NM 38.00 B- 61 2.5 29.6

NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp


S&P Capital IQ Analyst Research Notes and other Company News

September 2, 2016 June 21, 2016


Barrick Gold Corporation announced the appointment of George Bee as Senior 12:39 pm ET ... S&P GLOBAL REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF BARRICK
Vice President for Lama and Frontera District Development, effective September GOLD (ABX 19.39****): We raise our 12-month target by $3 to $22, an enterprise
12. Reporting to Chief Operating Officer Richard Williams, Mr. Bee's immediate value of 8.2X our '17 EBITDA estimate, a 10% discount to gold peers at 9.1X
focus will be on advancing a starter project option at Lama, on the Argentinean forward EV/EBITDA, warranted by relatively higher financial leverage, partially
side of the Pascua-Lama project. Recent evaluation by the project team indicates offset by ABX's top-tier operating cost profile. We raise our '16 and '17 EPS
that a modest, scalable starter project at Lama using underground mining estimates by $0.05 and $0.10 to $0.60 and $0.75, respectively. We think that ABX's
methods may represent the best option to begin a phased development plan for market-leading cost profile will continue to benefit ABX in most gold-price
Pascua-Lama. If successful, cash flow from Lama could be used to fund scenarios. We see large free cash flow growth and we look for further non-core
additional development on both sides of the border over time. Mr. Bee will drive asset sales continuing to improve the balance sheet. /M. Miller, CFA
forward initial conceptual work completed by the project team to date, working
closely with Argentina Executive Director, Juan Ordonez, as well as the
April 27, 2016
Pascua-Lama team in Chile, led by Sergio Fuentes, Executive Project Director,
09:18 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ MAINTAINS BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF
Pascua-Lama, and Rene Muga, Executive Director for Chile. The team in Chile will
BARRICK GOLD (ABX 16.48****): We raise our 12-month target by $1 to $19, an
continue to focus on optimizing the Chilean components of the Pascua-Lama
enterprise value of 7.9X our '17 EBITDA estimate, a discount to gold peers at an
project, while working to address outstanding legal, regulatory, and permitting
8.6X average EV/EBITDA, warranted by higher financial leverage. We raise our
matters. Mr. Bee has more than 30-years of experience operating and developing
'16 and '17 EPS estimates by $0.05 and $0.10 to $0.55 and $0.65, respectively. ABX
world-class mines and projects, including an eight-year tour with Barrick in Latin
posts Q1 EPS of $0.11 vs. $0.05, $0.01 above the Capital IQ consensus, despite
America during his 16-year service with the company.
below-consensus revenues on lower volumes. EPS was helped by a $220 per
ounce year-over-year decrease in all-in sustaining cash costs. Year-to-date, ABX
August 31, 2016 reduced debt by $842 million; we see over $2 billion by year end. /M. Miller, CFA
Barrick Gold Corporation announced the appointment of Mark Hill as Chief
Investment Officer, effective September 12. In this newly-created position, Mr.
April 27, 2016
Hill will chair Barrick's Investment Committee, and will ensure a high degree of
Barrick Gold Corp. appointed Graham G. Clow and Gary A. Doer to the Board of
consistency and rigor is applied to all capital allocation decisions at the
Directors.
company#whether at existing operations, development projects, exploration (both
near-mine and greenfields), or potential acquisitions and divestments. Mr. Hill
brings added technical experience to the investment review process at Barrick, April 12, 2016
complementing the economic and financial expertise of Chief Financial Officer 11:39 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ KEEPS BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF BARRICK
Catherine Raw. He will join the company's Executive Committee, as well as its GOLD (ABX 16.21****): We increase our 12-month target by $4 to $18, an
Growth Group, and will oversee an Evaluations team, who will independently estimated enterprise value of 8.0X our '16 EBITDA estimate, a 19% discount to
scrutinize proposed expenditures before they go to the Investment Committee. gold peers trading at an average EV/EBITDA of 9.9X, warranted by higher
Mr. Hill has more than 25 years of experience in the mining industry. He re-joins financial leverage. We increase our '16 EPS estimate by $0.10 to $0.50 and initiate
Barrick after four years at Waterton Global Resource Management, where he is '17's at $0.55. We think ABX has the ability to significantly de-leverage its balance
currently a partner and Head of Mining. In this role, Mr. Hill leads Waterton's sheet even in a flat gold-price environment, with further upside possible from an
Evaluations group, and works with a multi-disciplinary team to conduct asset increase in gold prices. We like ABX's top-tier cost profile, with all-in sustaining
evaluations and due-diligence reviews. costs expected to drop to $700 per ounce by 2019. /M. Miller, CFA

July 29, 2016


08:50 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL KEEPS BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF BARRICK
GOLD (ABX 21.27****): We raise our 12-month target by $3 to $25, an enterprise
value to our '17 EBITDA estimate of 8.0X, a 13% discount to peers' 9.2X
EV/EBITDA average, warranted by higher debt. We raise our '16 and '17 EPS
estimates by $0.15 and $0.25 to $0.75 and $1.00. ABX posts Q2 EPS of $0.14 vs.
$0.05, $0.01 below the Capital IQ consensus, on lower gold sales. We are
encouraged by improved guidance, with all-in sustaining cost lowered to
$750-$790 per ounce (from $760-$810) and the capex guidance midpoint down 9%
to $1.325B. We see debt reductions from growing free cash flow and asset sales.
/M. Miller, CFA

July 6, 2016
Barrick Gold Corporation announced the appointment of Daniel Oh as Senior Vice
President, Investor Engagement and Governance, effective July 18. Reporting to
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Catherine Raw, Mr. Oh will
lead Barrick's Investor Relations team, and will serve as a central point of
contact for investor engagement on governance. He will be responsible for
building enduring partnerships with both new and existing shareholders, with a
focus on heightened engagement and transparency, and will also advise
management and the Board of Directors on matters of corporate governance. Mr.
Oh has more than 16 years of experience in a diverse range of roles, covering
corporate governance, capital markets, accounting, investment valuation,
portfolio management, and business strategy. He joins Barrick from BlackRock
Inc., where he was Vice President, BlackRock Investment Stewardship. In this
role, Mr. Oh was responsible for advising BlackRock investment managers on the
corporate governance and sustainability practices of more than 1,300 companies
in the United States and Canada. Angela Parr, Vice President, Investor Relations,
will report to Mr. Oh. Michael Leonard, currently Director of Forecasting and
Performance Measurement at Barrick, will join the Investor Relations team as
Director, Investor Relations. Susan Muir, Vice President, Investor
Communications, is leaving the company to pursue other opportunities.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp


Analysts' Recommendations Wall Street Consensus Opinion

Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion ABX Trend HOLD
B BH H WH S

Wall Street Average Companies Offering Coverage


B
Accountability Research Corporation
BH
Argus Research Company
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BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
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Barclays
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Berenberg
Number of Analysts Following Stock BofA Merrill Lynch
CIBC World Markets Inc.
60 Canaccord Genuity
Citigroup Inc
40
Clarkson Capital Markets
20 Cormark Securities Inc.
Credit Suisse
Deutsche Bank
Stock Price ($ 000)
Dundee Capital Markets Inc.
1000
GMP Securities L.P.
Goldman Sachs
1000
Haywood Securities Inc.
JP Morgan
1000
Jefferies LLC
Mackie Research Capital Corporation
1000
O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S
Macquarie Research
Morgan Stanley
2014 2015 2016
Morningstar Inc.
RBC Capital Markets
Of the total 29 companies following ABX, 29 analysts currently publish recommendations.
Raymond James Ltd.
Scotiabank Global Banking and Market
No. of % of Total 1 Mo. Prior 3 Mos. Prior TD Securities Equity Research
Recommendations UBS Investment Bank
Buy 7 24 7 6 Veritas Investment Research Corp
Buy/Hold 5 17 5 5
Hold 12 41 13 13
Weak Hold 2 7 1 2
Sell 3 10 2 2
No Opinion 0 0 0 0
Total 29 100 28 28
Wall Street Consensus Estimates Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance

For fiscal year 2016, analysts estimate that ABX


Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2015 Actual $-2.44 will earn US$ 0.55. For the 2nd quarter of fiscal
8 year 2016, ABX announced earnings per share of
US$ 0.12, representing 22% of the total annual
4 estimate. For fiscal year 2017, analysts estimate
that ABX's earnings per share will grow by 40% to
0 US$ 0.77.

-4 M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S

2015 2016

Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2017 0.77 1.19 0.44 28 23.5
2016 0.55 0.81 0.42 24 32.9
2017 vs. 2016 40% 47% 5% 17% -29%

Q3'17 0.21 0.29 0.14 8 86.2


Q3'16 0.17 0.26 0.13 19 NM
Q3'17 vs. Q3'16 24% 12% 8% -58% NA

A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Capital IQ organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have
changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensus estimates is not intended to predict actual results and should
not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp

Glossary EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes


EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
EPS - Earnings Per Share
S&P Capital IQ STARS EV - Enterprise Value
Since January 1, 1987, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked a universe of U.S. FCF - Free Cash Flow
common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), and ADSs (American FFO - Funds From Operations
Depositary Shares) based on a given equity's potential for future performance. FY - Fiscal Year
Similarly, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked Asian and European equities P/E - Price/Earnings
since June 30, 2002. Under proprietary STARS (STock Appreciation Ranking System), P/NAV - Price to Net Asset Value
S&P Capital IQ equity analysts rank equities according to their individual forecast of an PEG Ratio - P/E-to-Growth Ratio
equity's future total return potential versus the expected total return of a relevant PV - Present Value
benchmark (e.g., a regional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350® Index or R&D - Research & Development
S&P 500® Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet ROCE - Return on Capital Employed
the needs of investors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data ROE - Return on Equity
used to assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analyst's ROI - Return on Investment
own models as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs. ROIC - Return on Invested Capital
ROA - Return on Assets
S&P Capital IQ Quality Ranking SG&A - Selling, General & Administrative Expenses
(also known as S&P Capital IQ Earnings & Dividend Rankings) - Growth and SOTP - Sum-of-The-Parts
stability of earnings and dividends are deemed key elements in establishing S&P WACC - Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Capital IQ's earnings and dividend rankings for common stocks, which are designed to
capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. It should be noted, however, that Dividends on American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and American
the process also takes into consideration certain adjustments and modifications Depository Shares (ADSs) are net of taxes (paid in the country of
deemed desirable in establishing such rankings. The final score for each stock is origin).
measured against a scoring matrix determined by analysis of the scores of a large and
representative sample of stocks. The range of scores in the array of this sample has
been aligned with the following ladder of rankings: S&P Capital IQ Qualitative Risk Assessment
Reflects an S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's view of a given company's operational risk,
A+ Highest B Below Average
or the risk of a firm's ability to continue as an ongoing concern. The S&P Capital IQ
A High B- Lower
Qualitative Risk Assessment is a relative ranking to the S&P U.S. STARS universe,
A- Above Average C Lowest
and should be reflective of risk factors related to a company's operations, as opposed
B+ Average D In Reorganization
to risk and volatility measures associated with share prices. For an ETF this reflects on
NR Not Ranked
a capitalization-weighted basis, the average qualitative risk assessment assigned to
holdings of the fund.
S&P Capital IQ EPS Estimates
S&P Capital IQ earnings per share (EPS) estimates reflect analyst projections of future
EPS from continuing operations, and generally exclude various items that are viewed
STARS Ranking system and definition:
as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, S&P Capital IQ EPS estimates reflect
★★★★★ 5-STARS (Strong Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark, by a
either forecasts of S&P Capital IQ equity analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS
wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute
estimate, which are independently compiled by Capital IQ, a data provider to S&P
basis.
Capital IQ Equity Research. Among the items typically excluded from EPS estimates
are asset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or merger-related charges; legal and
★★★★★ 4-STARS (Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the
insurance settlements; in process research and development expenses; gains or
coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis.
losses on the extinguishment of debt; the cumulative effect of accounting changes;
and earnings related to operations that have been classified by the company as
★★★★★ 3-STARS (Hold):
Total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevant
discontinued. The inclusion of some items, such as stock option expense and
benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an
recurring types of other charges, may vary, and depend on such factors as industry
absolute basis.
practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to which some types of data is disclosed by
companies.
★★★★★ 2-STARS (Sell):
Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over
the coming 12 months, and the share price not anticipated to show a gain.
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings ★★★★★1-STAR (Strong Sell):
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings is a uniform methodology for adjusting operating Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark by a
earnings by focusing on a company's after-tax earnings generated from its principal wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares falling in price on an absolute
businesses. Included in the S&P Capital IQ definition are employee stock option grant basis.
expenses, pension costs, restructuring charges from ongoing operations, write-downs
of depreciable or amortizable operating assets, purchased research and development,
M&A related expenses and unrealized gains/losses from hedging activities. Excluded
Relevant benchmarks:
In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in
from the definition are pension gains, impairment of goodwill charges, gains or losses
Asia, the relevant benchmarks are the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50
from asset sales, reversal of prior-year charges and provision from litigation or
Index, respectively.
insurance settlements.

S&P Capital IQ 12-Month Target Price


The S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's projection of the market price a given security will
command 12 months hence, based on a combination of intrinsic, relative, and private
market valuation metrics, including S&P Capital IQ Fair Value.

S&P Capital IQ Equity Research


S&P Capital IQ Equity Research U.S. includes Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory
Services LLC; Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services Europe includes
McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited trading as S&P Capital IQ; Standard
& Poor's Equity Research Services Asia includes: McGraw-Hill Financial Singapore
Pte. Limited, Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited, Standard
& Poor's Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and Standard & Poor's Information Services (Australia)
Pty Ltd.

Abbreviations Used in S&P Capital IQ Equity Research Reports


CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
CAPEX - Capital Expenditures
CY - Calendar Year
DCF - Discounted Cash Flow
DDM - Dividend Discount Model
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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp

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Buy 24.6% 17.8% 30.0% 23.7%
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Hold 48.0% 57.8% 45.0% 49.6%
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Sell 27.4% 24.4% 25.0% 26.7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

Barrick Gold Corp

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: ABX

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