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Relating Axle Load Spectra to Truck Gross Vehicle

Weights and Volumes


Syed Waqar Haider1 and Ronald S. Harichandran2

Abstract: Axle load spectra have been used to develop the mechanistic-empirical pavement design guide 共M-E PDG兲. Use of these load
spectra provides a more direct and rational approach for the analysis and design of pavement structures to estimate the effects of actual
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traffic on pavement response and distress. However, the demand for specific truck- and axle load-related data makes the collection of axle
load spectra a very complicated, costly, and labor-intensive operation. Due to limited resources available in state and local highway
agencies for traffic data collection, the M-E PDG allows for various levels of traffic data collection and analysis. These levels vary from
site-specific 共Level 1兲 to regional average 共Level 3兲 traffic load and volume data. This paper explores the possibility of extracting axle
loads from truck weight and volume data and presents a practical method of modeling axle load spectra. Axle load-related data used in the
analyses cover diversified geographical locations in the United States. The results show that truck weights and proportions on a highway
can be used to estimate individual axle load spectra for various axle configurations. The practical implication of these results is that truck
weights, which can be measured easily or estimated from existing data, can be related to the axle loads if accurate and rational models are
developed for a region based on the local truck traffic characteristics and weights. Such estimates will be superior to assuming a Level 3
input for axle load spectra in the new M-E PDG.
DOI: 10.1061/共ASCE兲0733-947X共2007兲133:12共696兲
CE Database subject headings: Traffic management; Load distribution; Trucks; Weight.

Introduction Project 1-37A. In this approach, the anticipated truck traffic is


classified by axle type 共single, tandem, tridem, and quad兲, and
Truck traffic data is one of the key data elements required for within each type, the distribution of axle weights is calculated.
design and analysis of pavement structures. In the 1993 AASHTO This is a more precise characterization of truck loads, and it al-
Guide for Design of Pavement Structures, a mixed traffic stream lows for more detailed and advanced damage investigations.
of different axle loads and axle configurations is converted into a Using axle load spectra one can compute the pavement structural
design traffic number by converting each expected axle load into responses due to each axle load, translate them into damage using
an equivalent number of 18-kip single-axle loads, known as a power law transformation, and then calculate the accumulated
equivalent single-axle loads 共ESALs兲. Load equivalency factors damage from all axle groups. The mechanistic-based distress pre-
are used to determine the number of ESALs for each axle load diction models used in the M-E PDG require specific data for
and axle configuration. These factors are based on the present each axle type and axle-load group. This method of calculating
serviceability index concept and depend on the pavement type pavement damage is logical and more compatible with the mecha-
and structure. Studies have shown that these factors also are in- nistic approach.
fluenced by pavement condition, distress type, failure mode, and As mentioned earlier, axle load spectra consist of axle load and
other parameters. A more direct and rational approach to the axle repetition information for various axle configurations 共single,
analysis and design of pavement structures involves procedures tandem, tridem and quad兲, and is used to create an axle load
that use mechanistic-empirical principles to estimate the effects of distribution that can represent axle loads and associated varia-
actual traffic on pavement response and distress. This approach tions. The axle loads and frequencies for a particular axle con-
played an important role in the development of the mechanistic- figuration depend on the truck types traveling on a particular
empirical pavement design guide 共M-E PDG兲 as part of NCHRP highway section. The Federal Highway Administrations 共FHwA兲
共FHWA 2001; VTRIS 2005兲 defines Class 5 through Class 13 for
1
Research Associate, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, various truck configurations as shown in Table 1. These truck
Michigan State Univ., East Lansing, MI 48824. E-mail: syedwaqa@ classes contain different axle configurations, i.e., different truck
egr.msu.edu types may have single, tandem, and tridem, combinations. Also,
2
Professor and Chairperson, Dept. of Civil and Environmental within the same truck class the axle configurations may vary. It is
Engineering, Michigan State Univ., East Lansing, MI 48824. E-mail: important to note that axle load spectra 共single, tandem, and tri-
harichan@egr.msu.edu dem兲 emerge from various truck classes as shown in Table 1.
Note. Discussion open until May 1, 2008. Separate discussions must Therefore, it is essential to collect load as well as the frequency of
be submitted for individual papers. To extend the closing date by one
each axle group within each truck class to calculate these axle
month, a written request must be filed with the ASCE Managing Editor.
The manuscript for this paper was submitted for review and possible load spectra. Also, gross vehicle weights 共GVWs兲 collected in
publication on February 20, 2007; approved on June 18, 2007. This paper order to enforce legal weight limits can be used to distribute loads
is part of the Journal of Transportation Engineering, Vol. 133, No. 12, on various axle groups within a truck class. This load distribution
December 1, 2007. ©ASCE, ISSN 0733-947X/2007/12-696–705/$25.00. will vary for different truck classes based on truck dimensions

696 / JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING © ASCE / DECEMBER 2007

J. Transp. Eng. 2007.133:696-705.


Table 1. FHwA Vehicle Classes in the United States For site-specific data collection, the state should accurately
weigh trucks on the road which is to be designed. The axle-weight
data-collection site must be located so that the traffic measured by
the weigh-in-motion 共WIM兲 scale is the same as the traffic that
operates in the design lane of the roadway segment being de-
signed. In addition, Level 1 data collection assumes that the high-
way agency will obtain reliable WIM data and use it to calculate
the axle-load distribution tables directly.
TWRG axle-load distributions represent axle loads found on
roads with similar truck weight characteristics. As TWRGs have
similar axle-load distributions rather than similar volume patterns,
TWRGs will generally differ from the seasonal and day-of-week
factor groups. FHwA’s Traffic Monitoring Guide 共TMG兲 共FHwA
2001兲 recommends TWRGs as a way for highway agencies to
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collect, summarize, and report summary statistics for groups of


roads. Further, the TMG anticipates TWRGs to be state specific,
although multiple states can work together to create regional load
Note: In reported information on trucks the following criteria should be
distribution tables if the states involved in the regional effort have
used: • Truck tractor units traveling without a trailer will be considered similar truck weight laws. The objective is to group roads by their
single-unit trucks. • A truck tractor unit pulling other units in a “saddle trucking characteristics so that the load spectra on all the roads in
mount” configuration will be considered one single-unit truck and will be a group are similar.
defined only by the axles on the pulling unit. • Vehicles are defined by the The statewide axle-load distribution can be used only to pro-
number of axles in contact with the road. Therefore, “floating” axles are vide load estimates when the state highway agency has little
counted only when the down position. • The term “trailer” includes both knowledge of the loads trucks will carry on the roadway being
semi- and full trailers. designed. This means that the agency has little confidence in its
ability to predict the TWRG for the pavement section. Statewide
load distributions are obtained 共for each vehicle class兲 by com-
and axle configurations. The demand for specific truck- and axle bining the data collected from all WIM sites in a state. These
load-related data makes axle load spectra collection a very com- distributions then serve to represent average conditions that can
plicated, costly, and labor-intensive operation. Due to constraints be used when something better is not available. However, because
on resources available in state and local highway agencies for these distributions represent average load conditions, they will be
traffic data collection, the M-E PDG allows for various levels of poor representations for pavements that experience very heavy or
traffic data collection and analysis. very light loading conditions.
Because the new traffic data inputs differ from those currently Hajek et al. 共2000, 2005兲 developed the LTPP Pavement Load-
used in pavement design and analysis, and because of resource ing Guide 共PLG兲 to improve the reliability of traffic load esti-
constraints within highway agencies, simplified methods to ac- mates for the Long-Term Pavement Performance 共LTPP兲 sections
quire axle load spectra can be very valuable. There exists a pos- that do not have measured axle load data. The PLG contains
sibility to extract axle loads from truck weights and volume if extensive traffic data obtained from the LTPP database that is the
reasonable axle load and GVW data exist. The objectives of this best available source of traffic data at the national level, has a
paper are: 共1兲 to explore the viability of characterizing axle load user-friendly graphical interface, and guidelines intended to help
spectra from GVW and truck volume data; and 共2兲 to develop the user with the development of axle load spectra. Because of
models to predict axle load distribution parameters by using these features, the PLG also facilitates traffic projections for gen-
GVW distribution attributes and truck volumes. eral pavement design and management purposes. The PLG esti-
From a practical point of view the proposed method has the mates are based on replacement axle load spectra obtained at
advantages of: 共1兲 being based on GVW and truck volume data similar sites in the same jurisdiction. Whereas reasonable traffic
that can be collected conveniently and accurately; 共2兲 allowing load estimates can be obtained by judiciously selecting replace-
truck weight data collection to be less expensive; and 共3兲 enabling ment traffic data, surrogate data can never replace site-specific
a region to be grouped into various clusters based on truck load- data.
ing characteristics. A significant effort is required to characterize axle load spectra
using the above-described methods. This paper explores the po-
tential to develop axle load spectra models based on truck load-
Background and volume-related data at various sites.

There is evidence based on truck weight data that loading char-


acteristics on a particular route remain more or less uniform Traffic Data
whereas truck volumes fluctuate with season and time 共M-EPDG
2004; Tam and Quintus 2003兲. However, this observation is only Traffic data sets for two specific pavement experimental studies,
true if the legal weight restrictions also are uniform within sea- designed to investigate effects of structural and site factors on
sons and over time. In order to capture loading characteristics, pavement performance, were used in this paper. These data sets
according to NCHRP Project 1-39 共NCHRP-Project-1-39 2005兲, include both flexible 共SPS-1兲 and rigid 共SPS-2兲 pavements which
three levels of axle-load distribution 共or load spectra兲 data are are part of the LTPP program. Traffic data collection for these
required: 共1兲 site specific; 共2兲 truck weight road group 共TWRG兲; sites corresponds to Level 1 input in the M-E PDG. The traffic
and 共3兲 statewide averages. data from both data sets meet all the tolerances set forth in the

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J. Transp. Eng. 2007.133:696-705.


Table 2. Details of Sites and Traffic Data Year Used in the Analyses axles, only these two configurations are considered in this study.
SPS-1 experiment SPS-2 experiment Also, traffic volumes by VC were analyzed for all sites and it was
found that a combination of Classes 5 and 9 dominate the truck
Site Site volume for both datasets, contributing between 64 and 91% for all
number State 共code兲 Year number State 共code兲 Year sites with an average contribution of about 77% 关see Figs. 2共a and
1 Arizona, AZ-4 1998 1 Arizona, AZ-4 1994 b兲兴 whereas Class 9 contributes more than Class 5. These traffic
2 Arkansas, AR-5 2000 2 Arkansas, AR-5 2001 data also include an estimate of axle types by VC, which can be
3 Florida, FL-12 2001 3 Colorado, CO-8 2000 used to determine the share of axle types by various truck types.
4 Iowa, IA-19 2003 4 Iowa, IA-19 2003 Figs. 2共c and d兲 show single axle contributions by each VC and
5 Kansas, KS-20 2001 5 Kansas, KS-20 1993 show that a combination of Classes 5, 8, 9, and 11 are the main
6 Michigan, MI-26 2003 6 Michigan, MI-26 1998 contributors to single axle repetitions at all sites, contributing be-
7 Montana, MT-30 2001 7 Nevada, NV-32 2000
tween 71 and 96% with an average contribution of about 86%.
These data also revealed that Classes 6, 8, 9 and 10 are the con-
8 Nebraska, NE-31 1997 8 North Carolina, 2003
tributors to tandem axle repetitions with Class 9 having the most
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NC-37
dominant contribution 关see Figs. 2共e and f兲兴. Classes 6 and 9 have
9 Nevada, NV-32 1998 9 Ohio, OH-39 2003
a combined contribution to tandem axle counts of between 70 and
10 New Mexico, 1998 10 Washington, WA-53 2002
97% with an average share of about 90%. It should be noted that
NM-35
Class 13 contributes a noticeable share to both single and tandem
11 Ohio, OH-39 2000 11 Wisconsin, WI-55 2001
axle types, but this occurs only at sites in Michigan 共26兲, Montana
12 Texas, TX-48 2001
共30兲, and Nevada 共32兲 within the SPS-1 experiment and at sites in
13 Virginia, VA-51 1997
Nevada 共32兲 and Washington 共53兲 within the SPS-2 experiment.
14 Wisconsin, WI-55 2001 Similar results were reported by Hajek et al. 共Al-Yagout et al.
2005; Hajek et al. 2005兲.
LTPP guidelines 共FHwA 2002; TechBrief 1998兲. Table 2 shows
the site details and year for the data used in this study. Traffic data Axle Load Data
were available for 14 SPS-1 and 11 SPS-2 experiments sites. In
total, there are 25 sites that are well distributed across the entire Axle load data were extracted from LTPP DataPave for all the
United States. Two types of traffic data were extracted from Re- sites in both data sets for the same year as the traffic volume data
lease 19.0 of the LTPP DataPave: 共1兲 load-related data containing 共see Table 2兲. Fig. 3 shows the single and tandem axle load spec-
axle load spectra for various axle configurations 共single, tandem, tra for all the sites considered in this analysis. As mentioned ear-
tridem, and quad兲 by each vehicle class 共VC兲; and 共2兲 traffic lier, the sites in both data sets are located across the United States
volume-related data containing the average annual daily traffic for and therefore have diverse loading conditions. It is important to
each VC in the design lane. In addition, these data include an note the different shapes of the axle spectra for both single and
estimate of the average annual axle configurations by each VC. tandem axle types, with most of them having a bimodal shape
typically due to loaded and unloaded axles.

Truck Volumes and Axle Count Data


Truck count data were extracted for all sites for a particular year Modeling Mixture Distributions
based on randomness and quality of the axle load data. Fig. 1
summarizes the proportions of each axle type for all sites in both Many researchers have modeled axle load spectra 共Fekpe and
experiments. It shows that single and tandem axle types combined Clayton 1995; Fwa et al. 1993; Hong and Prozzi 2005; Huang
together represent more than 95% of the total axle counts for all et al. 2002; Kim et al. 1998; Mohammadi and Shah 1992; Timm
sites in both data sets. Similar results were reported by Kim et al. et al. 2005; Wu 1996兲. To capture bimodal distributions observed
共1998兲. Based on the dominant presence of single and tandem for axle load spectra, Timm et al. 共2005兲 combined normal and

Fig. 1. Axle type proportions for all sites

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Fig. 2. Proportions of vehicle class and axle types for all sites

lognormal distributions, whereas early work by Mohammadi and theoretical distributions can be added with appropriate weights to
Shah 共1992兲 concluded that the beta and lognormal distributions obtain the PDF of a mixture distribution
were most appropriate Kim et al. 共1998兲 and Huang et al. 共2002兲
n
used piece-wise regression to divide the cumulative distribution
function 共CDF兲 into several segments to accurately characterize f* = 兺i pi f i 共1兲
the entire axle load distribution. Fwa et al. 共1993兲 used Weibull
distributions to model vehicle weights by vehicle class. Several where f *= PDF of mixture distribution; pi= proportions 共weights兲
issues related to the CDF approach were identified by Timm et al. for each theoretical PDF; and f i= PDFs for each theoretical
共2005兲, who concluded that it would be more useful to develop a distribution.
model having sound statistical interpretations from both practical In case of a bimodal mixture distribution containing two
and theoretical standpoints. PDFs, the two weights are complimentary 共i.e., p2 = 1 − p1兲.
A mixture of theoretical distributions, to characterize the pre- As the combination of truck payload and truck weight contrib-
dominantly bimodal axle load spectra, was considered in this ute to gross vehicle and axles loads and also these weights are the
study. Two or more probability density functions 共PDFs兲 from sum of weights of several smaller components, the central limit

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J. Transp. Eng. 2007.133:696-705.


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Fig. 3. Axle load spectra by axle type

theorem will apply, and the load distributions for loaded and un- Gross Vehicle Weight Distributions
loaded truck weights should each be nearly normal. In this study
it was determined that the bimodal shape of axle spectra could In the LTPP DataPave, only axle load distributions are provided
be effectively captured by using a mixture of two normal for four different configurations 共single, tandem, tridem, and
distributions quad兲. However, the GVW distributions for different truck classes
were required in this study. One way to estimate GVW distribu-


f *共x;␮1,␴1,␮2,␴2,p1兲 = p1
1
␴1冑2␲
e−共x − ␮1兲
2/2␴2
1
tions is to use Monte Carlo simulations by using the information
for axle load distributions. For example, for Class 9, the axle
distribution was simulated using the discrete CDF for single and

+ 共1 − p1兲
1
␴2冑2␲
e−共x − ␮2兲
2/2␴2
2
冊 共2兲
tandem axles for the same truck class, and one single and two
tandem axle loads were combined to simulate the GVW. The
simulation procedure was preferred over an analytical solution
This model has five parameters which need to be estimated from because: 共1兲 it is easy and efficient; and 共2兲 it will capture the
the data.
variability in the GVW for each class as it is impossible to obtain
In the statistical literature 关e.g., 共Haldar and Mahadevan
the same combinations of axle groups from the distributions of
2002兲兴 the two methods generally employed to estimate “unbi-
ased” parameters from a sample include the 共1兲 maximum likeli- individual axles.
hood; and 共2兲 least-squares, parameter estimation methods. The For simulating GVWs in this study, the inverse CDF transfor-
latter method was used in this study due to its computational mation technique 共Ayyub and Richard 2003; Haldar and Mahade-
efficiency. In this method the distribution parameters are esti- van 2002兲 was used. The CDF, FX共x兲, was calculated for each
mated by minimizing the sum of squared errors between theoret- axle type by taking the summation of the individual probability
ical and observed axle load spectra. mass functions 共PMFs兲
It should be noted that numerical least-squares algorithms are
very sensitive to the constraints imposed on the parameters which
can significantly affect the uniqueness and stability of the solu-
tion. An adequate number of constraints were utilized in this
FX共x兲 = P共X 艋 x兲 = 兺 px共xi兲
xiⱕx
共3兲

study to obtain unique parameter estimates. The mixture-


distribution modeling technique was used for two purposes: 共1兲 to
model GVW distributions for various truck types; and 共2兲 to A random number, ui, between 0 and 1 was generated from a
model axle load distributions of single and tandem configurations. uniform distribution and FX共x兲 was used to transform ui to obtain
It should be noted that in this study a mixture model with two
a discrete random axle load, x j, by satisfying the condition
distributions is used to effectively capture the primary loading
characteristics. If the upper tails of the axle load spectra are of
interest for assessing the effects of heavy loads on fatigue, then a FX共x j−1兲 ⬍ ui 艋 FX共x j兲 共4兲
third distribution may need to be added to the mixture model.

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Fig. 4. Example of GVW distributions for Class 9 at Washington


共53兲 site 共Note: observed GVW distributions were obtained from
simulations.兲

The GVW distributions were simulated for all truck classes


shown in Table 1. In order to ascertain the range of GVW, the
simulated GVW distributions were compared with GVW distribu-
tions from other published sources 共Al-Yagout et al. 2005; Larsen
and McDonnell 1999兲 and good agreement was found between
bimodal peaks average and associated variability of the two for
various truck classes. The GVW distributions simulated for all
truck classes within all sites were characterized by bimodal mix-
ture distributions and the parameters of these were estimated
using the above-presented methodology. The resulting mixture-
distribution parameters are given in Haider and Harichandran
Haider and Harichandran 共2006兲. Fig. 4 shows a comparison of Fig. 5. Fitted and observed axle load spectra—single axle
observed and predicted distributions for Class 9 trucks at a site.
The results show a good fit between the fitted models and simu-
lated “observed” GVW distributions. Axle and vehicle-weight distribution parameters were related
using multiple regression analyses. The form of the regression
Axle Load Spectra Distributions model was
n
The axle load spectra for single and tandem axles for each site
were analyzed to estimate parameters of the bimodal mixture dis- ALP = ␤0 兿i 共VWP兲␤i ␧model
i 共5兲
tributions as with the GVW modeling. The bimodal mixture-
distribution parameters for both single and tandem axles are This is a multiplicative form of regression model, which can cap-
described elsewhere 共Haider and Harichandran 2006兲. Fig. 5 ture the nonlinear effects of the variables to some extent. It can be
shows an example of fitted and observed single axle load spectra converted to the log-linear 共additive兲 regression form
at a site. Note that a mixture of two distributions can be combined
n
to model a distribution with only one peak or one with two peaks
关see Figs. 5共a and b兲兴. These figures also show the effect of the ln 共ALP兲 = ln ␤0 + 兺i ␤i ln 共VWP兲i + ␧model 共6兲
weighting or proportion factors on the individual distributions.
The fitted distributions provide a good match with the observed where ALP⫽axle load parameter; VWPi= vehicle weight param-
distributions. eter for class i; ␤i= regression coefficients for variable i; and
␧model= model error.
The reason for choosing this regression model were: 共1兲 com-
Relating Gross Vehicle Weights and Truck Traffic putational accuracy and ease because it can be transformed to
to Axle Load Spectra linear form by taking natural logs of variables; 共2兲 ability to in-
clude nonlinear effects; and 共3兲 ease of interpretation of results
A database was prepared containing estimated parameters for 共the exponents of each independent variable represent the change
GVWs and axle load mixture-distribution parameters for all sites in response relative to that variable 兲. In addition, multiple regres-
and truck classes. Also, for each site, the proportions of truck sion analysis with variable selection offers the advantages of: 共1兲
volume by truck class were stored in this database. This entire providing relationships with explicit terms; and 共2兲 allowing the
database was used to relate estimated parameters for axle load effects of variables to be assessed.
and GVW distributions. In addition, truck volume proportions Several data reduction strategies were used to remedy overfit-
were also considered as explanatory variables. The objective of ting 共Harrell 2001兲. These included: 共1兲 use of the literature to
this analysis was to seek correlations between parameters of dis- eliminate unimportant variables; 共2兲 elimination or combination
tribution 共axle-load and GVW兲 and truck volumes. of highly correlated independent variables; 共3兲 elimination of

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Table 3. Models Relating Axle Load Parameters to GVW Parameters and Truck Proportions
Model Eq. No.
Single axle
m1,s = 0.00326共m1,5兲2.047共s1,5兲0.074共s1,9兲0.217共s2,8兲0.37共s2,10兲−0.39共p1,13兲0.101共ln Pr13兲0.031 共7兲
ln m1,s = −5.727+ 2.047共ln m1,5兲 + 0.074共ln s1,5兲 + 0.217共ln s1,9兲 + 0.37共ln s2,8兲 − 0.39共ln s2,10兲 + 0.101共ln p1,13兲 + 0.031共Pr13兲
2
R2 = 0.985, Radj = 0.97, SE= 0.077
m2,s = 0.492共m2,9兲0.578共m2,11兲0.223共ln Pr5兲−0.003 共8兲
ln m2,s = −0.71+ 0.578共ln m2,9兲 + 0.223共ln m2,11兲 − 0.003共Pr5兲
2
R2 = 0.84, Radj = 0.80, SE= 0.028
s1,s = e−9.333共m1,s兲0.959共m2,s兲2.22共m1,6兲−0.404共s1,9兲−0.633共s2,5兲0.905共s2,8兲0.446共p1,9兲0.226共ln Pr6兲−0.042 共9兲
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ln s1,s = −9.33+ 0.959共ln m1,s兲 + 2.22共ln m2,s兲 − 0.404共ln m1,6兲 − 0.633共ln s1,9兲 + 0.905共ln s2,5兲 + 0.446共ln s2,8兲 + 0.226共ln p1,9兲 − 0.042共Pr6兲
2
R2 = 0.98, Radj = 0.96, SE= 0.12
s2,s = e10.957共m1,9兲−1.454共ln Pr6兲0.051共ln Pr9兲−0.022共ln Pr13兲−0.039 共10兲
ln s2,s = 10.957− 1.454共ln m1,9兲 + 0.051共Pr6兲 − 0.022共Pr9兲 − 0.039共Pr13兲
2
R2 = 0.86, Radj = 0.82, SE= 0.22
p1,s = e−11.077共m1,s兲0.68共m2,11兲1.443共ln Pr10兲−0.068 共11兲
ln p1,s = −11.077+ 0.68共ln m1,s兲 + 1.443共ln m2,11兲 − 0.068共Pr10兲
2
R2 = 0.75, Radj = 0.70, SE= 0.29

Tandem axle
m1,t = 0.00541共m1,9兲1.476共s1,9兲0.205共s2,6兲0.212共p1,9兲−0.335共p1,8兲0.055 共12兲
ln m1,t = −5.22+ 1.476共ln m1,9兲 + 0.205共ln s1,9兲 + 0.212共ln s2,6兲 − 0.335共ln p1,9兲 + 0.055共ln p1,8兲
2
R2 = 0.85, Radj = 0.80, SE= 0.091
m2,t = 0.2066共m1,t兲0.392共m2,9兲0.819共m1,6兲−0.093共s2,9兲0.13 共13兲
ln m2,t = −1.577+ 0.392共ln m1,t兲 + 0.819共ln m2,9兲 − 0.093共ln m1,6兲 + 0.13共ln s2,9兲
2
R2 = 0.89, Radj = 0.87, SE= 0.031
s1,t = 10.591共m1,t兲0.792共s2,9兲−0.728共p1,9兲−0.228 共14兲
ln s1,t = 2.36+ 0.792共ln m1,t兲 − 0.728共ln s2,9兲 − 0.228共ln p1,9兲
2
R2 = 0.77, Radj = 0.73, SE= 0.17
s2,t = 341.04共s1,t兲−1.039共s2,9兲0.252共p1,13兲−0.052共ln Pr6兲0.024共ln Pr9兲−0.011共ln Pr13兲−0.027 共15兲
ln s2,t = 5.832− 1.039共ln s1,t兲 + 0.252共ln s2,9兲 − 0.052共ln p1,13兲 + 0.024共Pr6兲 − 0.011共Pr9兲 − 0.027共Pr13兲
2
R2 = 0.97, Radj = 0.96, SE= 0.102
p1,t = e−13.192共m1,9兲1.998共m2,8兲0.388共p1,6兲−0.331共p1,8兲0.038 共16兲
ln p1,t = −13.192+ 1.998共ln m1,9兲 + 0.388共ln m2,8兲 − 0.331共ln p1,6兲 + 0.038共ln p1,8兲
2
R2 = 0.903, Radj = 0.87, SE= 0.09
Note: Units of mean and standard deviations are kN and proportions in percent 共70% = 70兲.

variables having very narrow distributions; 共4兲 elimination of can- proportion of truck volume for the ith truck class expressed in
didate predictors having a large number of missing values; and 共5兲 percentage.
use of statistical data reduction methods such as principal com- For the bimodal distribution considered in this study, it is hy-
ponent or cluster analyses. pothesized that the first peak corresponds to the average axle
Several regression models were analyzed to characterize single weight of empty or partially loaded trucks, whereas the second
and tandem axle distributions by using GVW distribution param- peak corresponds to the average axle weight of fully loaded
eters and truck volume percentages. Table 3 shows the final mod- trucks. The standard deviations associated with both peaks ex-
els that were obtained. Both forms, multiplicative and additive plain the variations of weights for empty or partially and fully
关Eqs. 共5兲 and 共6兲兴, are given. The parameters m, s, and p represent loaded trucks. Further, the weight factors for each distribution
the means, standard deviations, and weights of the distributions. type control the frequency of these trucks in each category.
The first subscript on these parameters is a 1 or 2 and indicates The model parameters predicted by using Eq. 共5兲 are com-
the first or second distribution in the mixture model. The second pared to the “observed” parameters estimated by fitting Eq. 共2兲 to
subscript represents the axle or class type 共s for single axle, t for actual data are shown in Figs. 6共a and b兲 for single axle type and
tandem, and number n for class n兲. The variable Pri denotes the in Figs. 6共c and d兲 for tandem axle configuration. Due to space

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J. Transp. Eng. 2007.133:696-705.


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Fig. 6. Model fit—observed versus predicted values of various response variables

restrictions these plots are presented only for two out of the five 1.5% increase in m1,t, if all other variables are held constant. Also,
parameters. Similar trends were observed for the other the variables s1,9 and s2,6 have a similar effect on m1,t, but their
parameters. relative effect is lower than m1,9. Again, the average of loaded
The results show several encouraging relationships between tandem axles 共m2,t兲 is mainly affected by loaded Class 9 trucks
axle load and GVW distributions. As expected, axle load weight mainly due to the high presence of this truck class 关see Eq. 13 in
distributions are significantly affected by parameters related to Table 3兴. The uncertainty of partially loaded 共s1,t兲 and fully loaded
truck gross weights. For example, the average GVW of partially 共s2,t兲 tandem axles is related to the variability of fully loaded Class
loaded Class 5 truck 共m1,5兲 has the most significant effect on the 9 trucks 共s2,9兲, but its effect varies in magnitude and trend 关see
average load of partially loaded single axle trucks 共m1,s兲, and Eqs. 14 and 15 in Table 3兴. The weight factor for partially loaded
the average GVW of partially loaded Class 9 truck 共m1,9兲 has the tandem axles 共p1,t兲 depends on the variables m1,9 and m2,8, which
most important effect on the average load of partially loaded represent average partial and full loads for Classes 9 and 8,
tandem axle trucks 共m1,t兲. respectively 关see Eq. 16 in Table 3兴.
For single axle trucks the exponent of 2.047 关see Eq. 7 in Fig. 7 shows examples of axle load distributions predicted
Table 3兴 means that a 1% increase in m1,5 will have about a 2% from the models developed in this study. The distribution
increase in m1,s, if all other variables are held the same. predictions for both single 关Fig. 7共a兲兴 and tandem 关Fig. 7共b兲兴 axle
Also, the variable s1,9 has a similar effect on m1,s. The mean of configurations show a reasonable match between the observed and
loaded single axles 共m2,s兲 is mainly affected by loaded Class 9 predicted axle distributions.
trucks 关see Eq. 8 in Table 3兴, an effect that can be attributed It should be noted that the models developed in this study are
mainly to the high presence of this truck class on most of the
based on limited data and may not be robust enough for general
interstate highways. Eqs. 9 and 10 in Table 3 indicate that the
use. However, the results of the study indicate that axle load
variability of partially loaded single axles 共s1,s兲 is related to both
distributions can be effectively related to GVWs and truck
peaks in axle spectra whereas the variability of fully loaded single
proportions.
axles 共s2,s兲 is mainly explained by the average weight of partially
loaded Class 9 trucks 共m1,9兲. The weight factor for partially loaded
single axles 共p1,s兲 depends on the variables m1,s and m2,11; these
two variables represent average loads for partially loaded single Conclusions and Recommendations
axle and Class 11 trucks, respectively 关see Eq. 11 in Table 3兴.
For tandem axle trucks the exponent of 1.476 关see Eq. 12 in This paper outlines a methodology for using truck weights and
Table 3兴 indicates that a 1% increase in m1,9 will have about a proportions on a highway to estimate individual axle load spectra

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J. Transp. Eng. 2007.133:696-705.


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