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Abstract: Axle load spectra have been used to develop the mechanistic-empirical pavement design guide 共M-E PDG兲. Use of these load
spectra provides a more direct and rational approach for the analysis and design of pavement structures to estimate the effects of actual
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traffic on pavement response and distress. However, the demand for specific truck- and axle load-related data makes the collection of axle
load spectra a very complicated, costly, and labor-intensive operation. Due to limited resources available in state and local highway
agencies for traffic data collection, the M-E PDG allows for various levels of traffic data collection and analysis. These levels vary from
site-specific 共Level 1兲 to regional average 共Level 3兲 traffic load and volume data. This paper explores the possibility of extracting axle
loads from truck weight and volume data and presents a practical method of modeling axle load spectra. Axle load-related data used in the
analyses cover diversified geographical locations in the United States. The results show that truck weights and proportions on a highway
can be used to estimate individual axle load spectra for various axle configurations. The practical implication of these results is that truck
weights, which can be measured easily or estimated from existing data, can be related to the axle loads if accurate and rational models are
developed for a region based on the local truck traffic characteristics and weights. Such estimates will be superior to assuming a Level 3
input for axle load spectra in the new M-E PDG.
DOI: 10.1061/共ASCE兲0733-947X共2007兲133:12共696兲
CE Database subject headings: Traffic management; Load distribution; Trucks; Weight.
NC-37
dominant contribution 关see Figs. 2共e and f兲兴. Classes 6 and 9 have
9 Nevada, NV-32 1998 9 Ohio, OH-39 2003
a combined contribution to tandem axle counts of between 70 and
10 New Mexico, 1998 10 Washington, WA-53 2002
97% with an average share of about 90%. It should be noted that
NM-35
Class 13 contributes a noticeable share to both single and tandem
11 Ohio, OH-39 2000 11 Wisconsin, WI-55 2001
axle types, but this occurs only at sites in Michigan 共26兲, Montana
12 Texas, TX-48 2001
共30兲, and Nevada 共32兲 within the SPS-1 experiment and at sites in
13 Virginia, VA-51 1997
Nevada 共32兲 and Washington 共53兲 within the SPS-2 experiment.
14 Wisconsin, WI-55 2001 Similar results were reported by Hajek et al. 共Al-Yagout et al.
2005; Hajek et al. 2005兲.
LTPP guidelines 共FHwA 2002; TechBrief 1998兲. Table 2 shows
the site details and year for the data used in this study. Traffic data Axle Load Data
were available for 14 SPS-1 and 11 SPS-2 experiments sites. In
total, there are 25 sites that are well distributed across the entire Axle load data were extracted from LTPP DataPave for all the
United States. Two types of traffic data were extracted from Re- sites in both data sets for the same year as the traffic volume data
lease 19.0 of the LTPP DataPave: 共1兲 load-related data containing 共see Table 2兲. Fig. 3 shows the single and tandem axle load spec-
axle load spectra for various axle configurations 共single, tandem, tra for all the sites considered in this analysis. As mentioned ear-
tridem, and quad兲 by each vehicle class 共VC兲; and 共2兲 traffic lier, the sites in both data sets are located across the United States
volume-related data containing the average annual daily traffic for and therefore have diverse loading conditions. It is important to
each VC in the design lane. In addition, these data include an note the different shapes of the axle spectra for both single and
estimate of the average annual axle configurations by each VC. tandem axle types, with most of them having a bimodal shape
typically due to loaded and unloaded axles.
Fig. 2. Proportions of vehicle class and axle types for all sites
lognormal distributions, whereas early work by Mohammadi and theoretical distributions can be added with appropriate weights to
Shah 共1992兲 concluded that the beta and lognormal distributions obtain the PDF of a mixture distribution
were most appropriate Kim et al. 共1998兲 and Huang et al. 共2002兲
n
used piece-wise regression to divide the cumulative distribution
function 共CDF兲 into several segments to accurately characterize f* = 兺i pi f i 共1兲
the entire axle load distribution. Fwa et al. 共1993兲 used Weibull
distributions to model vehicle weights by vehicle class. Several where f *= PDF of mixture distribution; pi= proportions 共weights兲
issues related to the CDF approach were identified by Timm et al. for each theoretical PDF; and f i= PDFs for each theoretical
共2005兲, who concluded that it would be more useful to develop a distribution.
model having sound statistical interpretations from both practical In case of a bimodal mixture distribution containing two
and theoretical standpoints. PDFs, the two weights are complimentary 共i.e., p2 = 1 − p1兲.
A mixture of theoretical distributions, to characterize the pre- As the combination of truck payload and truck weight contrib-
dominantly bimodal axle load spectra, was considered in this ute to gross vehicle and axles loads and also these weights are the
study. Two or more probability density functions 共PDFs兲 from sum of weights of several smaller components, the central limit
theorem will apply, and the load distributions for loaded and un- Gross Vehicle Weight Distributions
loaded truck weights should each be nearly normal. In this study
it was determined that the bimodal shape of axle spectra could In the LTPP DataPave, only axle load distributions are provided
be effectively captured by using a mixture of two normal for four different configurations 共single, tandem, tridem, and
distributions quad兲. However, the GVW distributions for different truck classes
were required in this study. One way to estimate GVW distribu-
冉
f *共x;1,1,2,2,p1兲 = p1
1
1冑2
e−共x − 1兲
2/22
1
tions is to use Monte Carlo simulations by using the information
for axle load distributions. For example, for Class 9, the axle
distribution was simulated using the discrete CDF for single and
+ 共1 − p1兲
1
2冑2
e−共x − 2兲
2/22
2
冊 共2兲
tandem axles for the same truck class, and one single and two
tandem axle loads were combined to simulate the GVW. The
simulation procedure was preferred over an analytical solution
This model has five parameters which need to be estimated from because: 共1兲 it is easy and efficient; and 共2兲 it will capture the
the data.
variability in the GVW for each class as it is impossible to obtain
In the statistical literature 关e.g., 共Haldar and Mahadevan
the same combinations of axle groups from the distributions of
2002兲兴 the two methods generally employed to estimate “unbi-
ased” parameters from a sample include the 共1兲 maximum likeli- individual axles.
hood; and 共2兲 least-squares, parameter estimation methods. The For simulating GVWs in this study, the inverse CDF transfor-
latter method was used in this study due to its computational mation technique 共Ayyub and Richard 2003; Haldar and Mahade-
efficiency. In this method the distribution parameters are esti- van 2002兲 was used. The CDF, FX共x兲, was calculated for each
mated by minimizing the sum of squared errors between theoret- axle type by taking the summation of the individual probability
ical and observed axle load spectra. mass functions 共PMFs兲
It should be noted that numerical least-squares algorithms are
very sensitive to the constraints imposed on the parameters which
can significantly affect the uniqueness and stability of the solu-
tion. An adequate number of constraints were utilized in this
FX共x兲 = P共X 艋 x兲 = 兺 px共xi兲
xiⱕx
共3兲
ln s1,s = −9.33+ 0.959共ln m1,s兲 + 2.22共ln m2,s兲 − 0.404共ln m1,6兲 − 0.633共ln s1,9兲 + 0.905共ln s2,5兲 + 0.446共ln s2,8兲 + 0.226共ln p1,9兲 − 0.042共Pr6兲
2
R2 = 0.98, Radj = 0.96, SE= 0.12
s2,s = e10.957共m1,9兲−1.454共ln Pr6兲0.051共ln Pr9兲−0.022共ln Pr13兲−0.039 共10兲
ln s2,s = 10.957− 1.454共ln m1,9兲 + 0.051共Pr6兲 − 0.022共Pr9兲 − 0.039共Pr13兲
2
R2 = 0.86, Radj = 0.82, SE= 0.22
p1,s = e−11.077共m1,s兲0.68共m2,11兲1.443共ln Pr10兲−0.068 共11兲
ln p1,s = −11.077+ 0.68共ln m1,s兲 + 1.443共ln m2,11兲 − 0.068共Pr10兲
2
R2 = 0.75, Radj = 0.70, SE= 0.29
Tandem axle
m1,t = 0.00541共m1,9兲1.476共s1,9兲0.205共s2,6兲0.212共p1,9兲−0.335共p1,8兲0.055 共12兲
ln m1,t = −5.22+ 1.476共ln m1,9兲 + 0.205共ln s1,9兲 + 0.212共ln s2,6兲 − 0.335共ln p1,9兲 + 0.055共ln p1,8兲
2
R2 = 0.85, Radj = 0.80, SE= 0.091
m2,t = 0.2066共m1,t兲0.392共m2,9兲0.819共m1,6兲−0.093共s2,9兲0.13 共13兲
ln m2,t = −1.577+ 0.392共ln m1,t兲 + 0.819共ln m2,9兲 − 0.093共ln m1,6兲 + 0.13共ln s2,9兲
2
R2 = 0.89, Radj = 0.87, SE= 0.031
s1,t = 10.591共m1,t兲0.792共s2,9兲−0.728共p1,9兲−0.228 共14兲
ln s1,t = 2.36+ 0.792共ln m1,t兲 − 0.728共ln s2,9兲 − 0.228共ln p1,9兲
2
R2 = 0.77, Radj = 0.73, SE= 0.17
s2,t = 341.04共s1,t兲−1.039共s2,9兲0.252共p1,13兲−0.052共ln Pr6兲0.024共ln Pr9兲−0.011共ln Pr13兲−0.027 共15兲
ln s2,t = 5.832− 1.039共ln s1,t兲 + 0.252共ln s2,9兲 − 0.052共ln p1,13兲 + 0.024共Pr6兲 − 0.011共Pr9兲 − 0.027共Pr13兲
2
R2 = 0.97, Radj = 0.96, SE= 0.102
p1,t = e−13.192共m1,9兲1.998共m2,8兲0.388共p1,6兲−0.331共p1,8兲0.038 共16兲
ln p1,t = −13.192+ 1.998共ln m1,9兲 + 0.388共ln m2,8兲 − 0.331共ln p1,6兲 + 0.038共ln p1,8兲
2
R2 = 0.903, Radj = 0.87, SE= 0.09
Note: Units of mean and standard deviations are kN and proportions in percent 共70% = 70兲.
variables having very narrow distributions; 共4兲 elimination of can- proportion of truck volume for the ith truck class expressed in
didate predictors having a large number of missing values; and 共5兲 percentage.
use of statistical data reduction methods such as principal com- For the bimodal distribution considered in this study, it is hy-
ponent or cluster analyses. pothesized that the first peak corresponds to the average axle
Several regression models were analyzed to characterize single weight of empty or partially loaded trucks, whereas the second
and tandem axle distributions by using GVW distribution param- peak corresponds to the average axle weight of fully loaded
eters and truck volume percentages. Table 3 shows the final mod- trucks. The standard deviations associated with both peaks ex-
els that were obtained. Both forms, multiplicative and additive plain the variations of weights for empty or partially and fully
关Eqs. 共5兲 and 共6兲兴, are given. The parameters m, s, and p represent loaded trucks. Further, the weight factors for each distribution
the means, standard deviations, and weights of the distributions. type control the frequency of these trucks in each category.
The first subscript on these parameters is a 1 or 2 and indicates The model parameters predicted by using Eq. 共5兲 are com-
the first or second distribution in the mixture model. The second pared to the “observed” parameters estimated by fitting Eq. 共2兲 to
subscript represents the axle or class type 共s for single axle, t for actual data are shown in Figs. 6共a and b兲 for single axle type and
tandem, and number n for class n兲. The variable Pri denotes the in Figs. 6共c and d兲 for tandem axle configuration. Due to space
restrictions these plots are presented only for two out of the five 1.5% increase in m1,t, if all other variables are held constant. Also,
parameters. Similar trends were observed for the other the variables s1,9 and s2,6 have a similar effect on m1,t, but their
parameters. relative effect is lower than m1,9. Again, the average of loaded
The results show several encouraging relationships between tandem axles 共m2,t兲 is mainly affected by loaded Class 9 trucks
axle load and GVW distributions. As expected, axle load weight mainly due to the high presence of this truck class 关see Eq. 13 in
distributions are significantly affected by parameters related to Table 3兴. The uncertainty of partially loaded 共s1,t兲 and fully loaded
truck gross weights. For example, the average GVW of partially 共s2,t兲 tandem axles is related to the variability of fully loaded Class
loaded Class 5 truck 共m1,5兲 has the most significant effect on the 9 trucks 共s2,9兲, but its effect varies in magnitude and trend 关see
average load of partially loaded single axle trucks 共m1,s兲, and Eqs. 14 and 15 in Table 3兴. The weight factor for partially loaded
the average GVW of partially loaded Class 9 truck 共m1,9兲 has the tandem axles 共p1,t兲 depends on the variables m1,9 and m2,8, which
most important effect on the average load of partially loaded represent average partial and full loads for Classes 9 and 8,
tandem axle trucks 共m1,t兲. respectively 关see Eq. 16 in Table 3兴.
For single axle trucks the exponent of 2.047 关see Eq. 7 in Fig. 7 shows examples of axle load distributions predicted
Table 3兴 means that a 1% increase in m1,5 will have about a 2% from the models developed in this study. The distribution
increase in m1,s, if all other variables are held the same. predictions for both single 关Fig. 7共a兲兴 and tandem 关Fig. 7共b兲兴 axle
Also, the variable s1,9 has a similar effect on m1,s. The mean of configurations show a reasonable match between the observed and
loaded single axles 共m2,s兲 is mainly affected by loaded Class 9 predicted axle distributions.
trucks 关see Eq. 8 in Table 3兴, an effect that can be attributed It should be noted that the models developed in this study are
mainly to the high presence of this truck class on most of the
based on limited data and may not be robust enough for general
interstate highways. Eqs. 9 and 10 in Table 3 indicate that the
use. However, the results of the study indicate that axle load
variability of partially loaded single axles 共s1,s兲 is related to both
distributions can be effectively related to GVWs and truck
peaks in axle spectra whereas the variability of fully loaded single
proportions.
axles 共s2,s兲 is mainly explained by the average weight of partially
loaded Class 9 trucks 共m1,9兲. The weight factor for partially loaded
single axles 共p1,s兲 depends on the variables m1,s and m2,11; these
two variables represent average loads for partially loaded single Conclusions and Recommendations
axle and Class 11 trucks, respectively 关see Eq. 11 in Table 3兴.
For tandem axle trucks the exponent of 1.476 关see Eq. 12 in This paper outlines a methodology for using truck weights and
Table 3兴 indicates that a 1% increase in m1,9 will have about a proportions on a highway to estimate individual axle load spectra