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Abstract
This monograph presents major elements of advanced microeconomic models for systematic
thinking about the working of modern markets. Problems of consumers and producers are
analysed concisely in partial, general equilibrium and game theoretic frameworks relating them
to the micro level decision making processes with due consideration on the structure of markets
and pulic policies. Exercises and assignments in workbook anticipate reading of relevant journal
articles.
JEL Classi…cation: D
Keywords: microeconomic models
H U 6 7 R X , H u ll, U K . e m a il: K .R .B h a tta ra i@ hu ll.a c .u k
1
Contents
1 L1: Axioms and optimisation 8
1.1 Microeconomic Theory: Milestones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
1.2 Axioms and Consumption Set . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
1.3 Optimisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
1.3.1 Consumer optimisation: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
1.3.2 Producer optimisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
1.4 A simple computable general equilibrium model with labour leisure choice . . . . . . 12
1.5 Methods for constructing Proofs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
1.5.1 Direct method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
1.5.2 Converse and contrapositive . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
1.5.3 Equivalence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
1.5.4 Mathematical induction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
2
2.5.3 Emprical analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
3
4.9.3 General equilibrium with production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122
7 L7: Game theory: Principal Agent and Mechanism Games and Auctions 200
7.1 Original Ideas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200
7.1.1 Full information scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201
7.1.2 Incomplete information scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201
7.1.3 Impacts of Assymetric (incomplete) Information on Markets . . . . . . . . . . 205
7.1.4 Adverse Selection (hidden information) Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 206
7.1.5 Signalling and Incentives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 207
7.1.6 Education Level- A Signal of Productive Worker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209
4
7.2 Spence model of education . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 210
7.3 Popular Principal Agent Games . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 212
7.4 Exercise 15: Principal Agent Problem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217
7.5 Mechanism Design for Price Discrimination: Low Cost Airlines Example . . . . . . . 217
7.5.1 Mechanism for e¢ cient contract for a CEO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221
7.5.2 E¢ cient contracts of Land . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 222
7.5.3 Mechanism for Poverty Alleviation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 224
7.6 Repeated Game . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 226
7.7 Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 228
7.8 Auction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231
7.9 Exercise 16 :Optimal production of a multiproduct …rm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233
7.9.1 A Microeconomic Model of FDI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 236
10 L10: Impact of Taxes and Public Goods in E¢ ciency, Growth and Redistribu-
tion: A General Equilibrium Analysis 263
10.1 First best principles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263
10.1.1 E¢ ciency in consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263
10.1.2 E¢ ciency in production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264
10.1.3 E¢ ciency of Trade (Exchange) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264
10.1.4 A simple numerical example of optimal tax or optimal public spending . . . . 265
10.1.5 E¢ ciency in public goods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265
10.1.6 Theory of second best . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265
10.1.7 Externality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265
10.1.8 Samuelson and Nash on Sharing Public Good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268
10.1.9 Sameulson’s Theorem on Public Good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269
10.1.10 Negative externality in production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 270
10.2 Negative externality and Pigouvian tax . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 271
10.3 Carbon Emmission in the UK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 272
10.3.1 A model of growth, …scal policy and welfare . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 278
10.4 Fiscal Policy, Growth and Income Distribution in the UK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280
10.4.1 Middle income hypothesis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 286
10.4.2 Current Fiscal Policy Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287
10.5 Features of Dynamic Tax Model of UK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291
10.5.1 Preferences . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291
5
10.5.2 Production Technology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292
10.5.3 Trade arrangements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292
10.5.4 Government sector . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293
10.5.5 General Equilibrium in a Growing Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293
10.5.6 Procedure for Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 294
10.5.7 Data for the Benchmark Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 294
10.5.8 Results on Redistribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295
10.5.9 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298
6
14 Real Analysis 368
14.1 Methods for constructing Proofs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 369
14.1.1 Convergence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 370
14.1.2 Boundedness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 370
14.1.3 Convex Hull . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371
14.1.4 Correspondence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371
14.1.5 Fixed Point Theorems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 372
14.2 SETS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 372
14.2.1 Relations and functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 373
14.3 Limits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 373
16 Schedule 386
16.1 Sample class test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 388
16.2 Sample …nal exam . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 391
7
1 L1: Axioms and optimisation
Rational economic agents use available resources to achieve their objectives in the best possible
way. Microeconomics is about choices of these rational individuals who make decisions regarding
the allocation of resources, particularly on how much to consume or invest, how to produce and how
to interact in the markets remaining within the limits of resources they possess. It is also concerned
about the consumption and saving or current or future consumption at the individual level and
about the e¢ ciency welfare consequences of public policies that a¤ect them. Game theories have
been applied increasingly in recent yeats to study strategic economic behavior of consumers and
producers. Main elements of microeconomic theory thus consists of:
1. Consumer choice and demand for products and supply of labour and capital: demand func-
tions.
2. Producer’s choice of products and demand for inputs: production, cost, pro…t and supply
functions.
3. Analysis of prices in perfect and imperfect markets with complete and incomplete information.
4. General equilibrium analysis - determination of price system and optimal allocations.
8. Analysis of e¢ ciency and public policies; social welfare function, market failure, negative and
positive externalities
Good undestanding of microeconomic theories will lead to better policies and regulations for
the e¢ cient functioning of the market economy. These policies particularly focus on competition,
adoption of better technology, governance and information, correcting externality and good environ-
ment, social insurance, more equal distribution of income and identi…cation of cases for govermen
intervention. For recent policies see relevant web page of the government such as in the Department
for Business Innovation & Skills https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/competition-and-
markets-authority.
Analysis of all above are based on axioms or generally accepted truth about the behavior of
economic agents that include axioms of completeness, transitivity, continuity, monotonicity and
convexity.
8
Shelten ( 1965), Aumann (1966) Scarf (1967), Shapley and Shubik (1969), Harsanyi (1967), Spence
(1974),Kahneman and Tversky (1979), Kreps (1990), Fundenberg and Tirole (1991) and Binmore
(1992), Varian (1992), Osborne and Robinstein (1994), MasColell, Whinston and Green (1995),
Starr (1997) Gravelle and Rees (2004), Rasmusen (2006), Snyder and Nicholson (2011). Studies by
Cobb and Douglas (1928), Arrow (1963), Jorgenson (1963), Diamond and Mirrlees (1971), Alchian
and Demsetz (1972), Ross (1973), Dixit and Stiglitz (1977), Deaton, and Muellbauer (1980), Krug-
man (1980), Shiller (1981), Grossman and Stiglitz (1980), listed in the best 20 articles published in
AER in last 100 years, relate to microeconomic issues.
http://www.eea-esem.com/eea-esem/2014/prog/list_sessions.asp
http://editorialexpress.com/conference/MMF2014/program/MMF2014.html
https://www.aeaweb.org/aea/2015conference/program/preliminary.php
http://www.webmeets.com/RES/2013/prog/list_sessions.asp
http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/; http://www.economicsnetwork.ac.uk/
http://cepa.newschool.edu/het/schools/game.htm;
http://www.hull.ac.uk/php/ecskrb/Confer/research.html;
http://homepage.newschool.edu/het/alphabet.htm
http://editorialexpress.com/conference/GAMES2012/program/GAMES2012.html
http://www.eea-esem.com/EEA-ESEM/2012/prog/list_sessions.asp
It is becoming sophisticated with the recent development of mathematical techniques and com-
putational abilities. This monograph gradually develops these concepts so that all parts of the mod-
ern economies could be integrated into a dynamic general equilibrium model of modern economies
towards end of this workbook. Axioms and a general summary is in this section. Then behavior
of consumers and produced are analysed in the …rst two chapters followed by partial equilibrium
analysis under perfectly and imperfectly competitive markets in section 4. Basic principles of gen-
eral equilibrium models explained in section 5 followed by a short discussion of strategic models in
chapters 6 and 7 and uncertainty and asymmetric information in section 8. Impacts of taxes on
public goods and externalities are presented in section 10 followed by details of the dynamic general
equilibrium model in section 11. Each section have takes problem solving approach to learning and
contains exercises at the end. The last part contains details on the software used for empirical
testing of various microeconomic theories with some listing of seminal articles and popular text
books.
1. 0 6= X Rn
2. X is closed
3. X is convex
4. 0 X
9
Axiom 1: Completeness
Axiom 2: Transitivity
Axiom 3: Continuity
Axiom 4: Monotonicity
For x0 Rn and for all " > 0 there exist some x 2 B" (x0 ) \ Rn such that x > x0 . More is
prefered for less.
Axiom 5: Convexity
1.3 Optimisation
Linear and non-linear programming are applied in order to …nd the optimal solution subject to
constraints. Objectives like the utility or pro…t or social welfare can be function of one or several
variables. Constraints can be one or multiple. Linear programming is applied where the objective
functions and constraints are of the linear form and non-linear optimisation techniques is applied
when objectives or the constraints are non-linear. By duality theorem every maximisation problem
has a corresponding minimisation problem, such as utility maximisation corresponds to expen-
diture minimisation to achieve a certain level of utility, pro…t maximisation corresponds of cost
minimisation given the type technology of production.
p:x y (2)
Constrained optimisation (Lagrangian function) with as a Lagrange multiplier (or shadow
price):
10
First order conditions wrt each xi :
@L (x; ) @u(x)
= p1 = 0 (4)
@x1 @x1
:: (5)
@L (x; ) @u(x)
= pn = 0 (6)
@xn @xn
y p:x = 0 (7)
@u(x)
@u(x) @xi
@xi > 0 and pi > 0 =) = pi > 0. Here there are n + 1 …rst order conditions to solve
for demand for x1; x2; :::::xn goods and . The maximum utility is obtained when all these optimal
values are substituted in the utility function u (x ) :
Thus the marginal rate of substitution between xj and xi should equal their price ratios in
equilibrium:
@L(x; )
@xj pj M Uj M Ui
M RSj;i = @L(x; )
= ; = (8)
pi pj pi
@xi
Marginal utility of xi represents gain from consumption xi and pi represents pain to the con-
sumer. Equilibrium psychologically is thus a point where the gain equals pain.
f (x) y (10)
Constrained optimisation (Lagrangian) function:
@L (x; )
= w1 f 0 (x1 ) = 0 (12)
@x1
:: (13)
@L (x; )
= wn f 0 (xn ) = 0 (14)
@xn
11
@f (x;)
@xj wj
y f (x) = 0; @f (x;)
= (15)
wi
@xi
A complete view of microeconomic process requires thinking about the general equilibrium in
p
the market. The relative price system pji for i = 1; ::; N and j = 1; ::; N determines the optimal
allocation of resources in the economy. Consider the following example for this purpose.
subject to:
_ _ _
I1 = px x1 + py y1 + pL L1 LS1 ; I1 = pL L1 + pk K 1 (17)
_
x1 0; y1 0; L1 LS1 0:
_ g2
max U2 = xa2 2 y2b2 L2 LS2 ; a2 > 0; b2 > 0; g2 > 0: (18)
subject to:
_ _ _
I2 = px x2 + py y2 + pL L2 LS2 ; I2 = pL L2 + pk K 2 (19)
_
x2 0; y2 0; L2 LS2 0:
Firm’s problem:
12
Equilibrium conditions:
x = x1 + x2 (24)
y = y1 + y2 (25)
kx + ky = k1 + k 2 (26)
_
L1 + LS1x + LS1y = L1 ; LS1 = LS1x + LS1y (27)
_
L2 + LS2x + LS2y = L2 :::LS2 = LS2x + LS2y (28)
Price normalisation:
px + py + pL + pk = 1 (29)
Questions
1) Derive demand for x and y and leisure (or labour supply) by households 1 and 2 i. e.
determine x1 ; x2 ; y1 ; y2 ; LS1; LS2.
2) Determine the demand for labour and capital by …rms supplying x and y, i,e, evaluate
kx ; ky ; LS1x ; LS1y ; LS2x ; LS2y :
3) Compute the equilibrium relative price system for this economy that are consistent to opti-
misation problems of households and …rms.
4) What are the optimal allocations of resources in this economy?
5) Evaluate the demand for x and y and leisure by both households and …nd the optimal levels
of their welfare. Is this Pareto optimal allocation?
6) Suggest tax and transfer scheme in this economy in order to improve the distribution system.
7) Explain notions of Hicksian equivalent and compensating variations in order to evaluate the
welfare consequences of tax and welfare reforms proposed above.
8) Write GAMS code to solve the model and few simulation scenarios for comparative static
analysis.
9) Propose reforms in the labour and capital markets for improving the e¢ ciency of allocations
in this economy.
Now solve this CGE (computable general equilibrium) model using GAMS. First assign values
for behavioural parameters.
Secondly, download gams at www.gams.com and install in your PC or laptop.
Thirdly write model equations for numerical optimisation routine in GAMS (see GAMS pro-
gramme …le ge2by2.gms and its result …le ge2by2.lst)
13
Table 1: Parameters for the 2 by 2 model with _leisure
_
a1 a2 b1 b2 g1 g2 x y 1x 1y L1 L1 k1 k2
0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 24 24 40 10
Fourth study
_
the
_
solution of the model systematically: _ _
I1 = pL L1 + pk K 1 (=0.064*24+0.047*40)=3.42; I2 = pL L2 + pk K 2 (= 0:064 24 + 0:047 10) =
2:01:
Fifth check the equilibrium conditions; check that all equilibrium conditions are satis…ed:
14
1.5.2 Converse and contrapositive
A implies B A =) B if it converse B =) A is true then A () B here A and B are equivalent.
If A person lives in Hull (A) then that person lives in Yorkshire (B). A =) B but converse
is not true in this case
B ; A and A < B
Contrapositive implies not A implies not B A =) B
1.5.3 Equivalence
A () B
Example Pythagorus theorem: h2 = p2 + b2
h2 p2 b2 2
h2 = h2 + h2 () sin + cos2 = 1
Revealed preference theory is equivalent to utility maximisation theory in deriving income and
substitution e¤ects.
15
e¤ects of changes in prices and the elasticities of demand. Basics of revealed preference theory is
reviewed at the end. Microeconomic theories are often tested econometrically to ascertain their
validities (Houthakker (1950), Richter (1966), Afriat (1967), Kahneman and Tversky (1979),Varian
(1982), McGuinness (1980), Bandyopadhyay (1988), Hey and Orme (1994), Lee and Singh (1994),
Carey (2000), Deolalikar and Evenson (1989) Van Soest and Kooreman (1987), Blundell, and Pre-
ston (2008), Echinique (2011), Varian (2012), Vermeulen (2012), Schmeidler, D. (1989), Blundell
(2014).).
Where preference relations are complete, transitive, continuous, monotonous and convex then
there exists a real valued utility function u : Rn+ =) R and this utility function has following
properties:
1. Continuous
2. Homegenous of degree zero in (p; y)
3. Strictly increasing in y
4. Decreasing in p
5. Quasiconvex in p and y.
6. Roy’s identity
@v (p0 ;y 0 )
0 0 @pi
xi p ; y = @v(p0 ;y 0 )
::::i = 1::m (35)
@y
Numerical Example: Derive demands for (x1 , x2 ) from ratios of marginal utilities (partial
derivative of utility functions) given the prices [(p1 , p2 ) = (2; 4)] and income (a).
@L (x1 ; x2 )
= x2 2 =0 (38)
@x1
@L (x1 ; x2 )
= x1 4 =0 (39)
@x2
16
@L (x1 ; x2 )
= a 2x1 4x2 = 0 (40)
@
From the …rst two FOCs xx21 = 2: Then put this into the last FOC to get: x1 = a
4; x2 = a
8 ;,
2
a
= 16 =) u = x1 x2 = a4 a8 = a32 :
By an envelop theorem evaluating the indirect utility function
@L(x1 ;x2 )
and Lagrange multiplier at the optimal solution: @u a
@a = 16 = @a = : QED. If consumer
income a = 200 then x1 = a4 = 200 a 200
4 = 50; x2 = 8 = 8 = 25: Then u = x1 x2 = 50 25 = 1250:
17
2.1.2 Consumer optimisation model: a numerical example
M ax U = X10:4 X20:6 (50)
Subject to
p1 :X1 + p2 :X2 = 150 (51)
Lagrangian optimisation:
Equivalent Variation What is the Hicksian Equivalent and compensating variations of price
change? What are the income and substitution e¤ects of this price change?
First …nd out how much money is required at new prices to guarantee the original utility by
solving
0:4 0:6
0:4 (m0 ) 0:6 (m0 )
U0 = = 32:53 (55)
2 2
0:4 0:6
0:4 (m0 ) 0:6 (m0 ) 2 (32:53)
U0 = ; m0 = = 127:49 (56)
2 2 0:40:4 0:60:6
Equivalent variation (money to be taken away when prices fall)
Compensating Variation
For compensating variation …rst compute the demand in new prices and utility
0:4 (150) 60 0:6 (150) 90
X1 = = = 30; X2 = = = 45 (58)
p1 2 p2 2
0:4 0:6
U1 = X10:4 X20:6 = (30) (45) = 38:26 (59)
0 00
10:4
0:4 m 0:6 (m00 )
0:6
U1 = @ A = 38:26 (60)
3 2
18
0 (38:26) 30:4 20:6
m0= = 176:39 (61)
0:40:4 0:60:6
Substitution E¤ect : 2.5 =10-7.6; Income e¤ect:7.6=22.5/3 and total e¤ect: 10.
@Yi X
in a double log linear regression model, ln (Yi ) = 1 + 2 ln (Xi ) + ei is e = @Xi Y = 2 XYi X Y =
2 * @Xi Yi =
@Yi 1 1
2 Xi . Elasticity in a regression model linear in reciprocal of an explanatory
variable, Yi = 1 + 2 X1i + ei is given by e = @X @Yi X
i Y
= 2 X1i Y1i * @X
@Yi
i
= 1
2 X 2 : In a a quadratic
i
@Yi X
regression model, Yi = 1 + 2 Xi + 3 Xi2 + ei the elasticity is e = @X i Y
= ( 2 + 2 3 Xi ) X
Y
* @X
@Yi
i
= 2 + 2 3 Xi
2
: How to decide which one these two choose? First, should depend on the
optimisation functions discussed in this chapter. Secondly choice between linear and log-linear
models should be econometric tests such as MacKinnon, White and Davidson test.
where Yi is the demand for beer, X1;i is the price of beer, X2;i is the price of other liquor products,
X3;i is the price of food and other services, X4;i is consumer income. Coe¢ cients 0 , 1 , 2 , 3 ,and
4 are the set of unknown elasticity coe¢ cients you would like to estimate. Again assume that
errors "i are independently normally distributed, "i N (0; 2 ). Given non-sample information on
the relation between the price and income coe¢ cients as following:
19
1. (a) i. sum of the elasticities equals zero: 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 = 0:
ii. two cross elasticities are equal: 3 = 4 = 0 or 3 - 4 = 0
iii. income elasticity is equal to unity: 5 = 1
Thus empirical test of consumer behaviour whether purchase of x1 and x2 are proportionate
to the changes in the level of income or prices are measures by income and price elasticities of
demand. These are empirically estimated using the cross section and time series data on quantities
and prices. These data can be obtained from various organisations1
Utility e¤ect of price changes will be higher for the commodity that is heavily weighted in the
consumer’s consumption basket. In real life households vary by their income and have good varieties
in consumption bundles as:
Rich households with more income can consumer more goods and services and enjoy more utility
than poor households. Governments apply commodity taxes (VAT of 20%) and income taxes in
order transfer some income from the richer to poorer households. Such transfer may reduce the
gap between the income of rich and poor but it is very di¢ cult to imagine a society with perfect
equality.
1 Such as Food and Agriculture Organisation: http://faostat.fao.org/ or from the Department for Environment,
20
Table 5: Benchmark production tax and prices by sectors
Deciles Leisure Consumption Income share Consshare Income tax rate
H1 2577 38163 0.0281 0.0627 0.0
H2 7451 52401 0.0433 0.0552 0.32
H3 14230 66740 0.0551 0.0624 0.32
H4 21877 80983 0.0669 0.0850 0.32
H5 28269 95550 0.0789 0.0966 0.32
H6 35535 109917 0.0908 0.1067 0.32
H7 41156 130916 0.1081 0.1078 0.32
H8 46294 154484 0.1276 0.1323 0.32
H9 54041 178551 0.1521 0.1409 0.40
H10 73363 292582 0.2493 0.1945 0.50
Note: Constructed from the ONS data.
More detailed estimates of price, income and cross elasticities of demand can be estimated from
the survey data such as food and expenditure survey, travel and tourism survey, multiple household
survey including the understanding society dataset that can be obtained from the data archive or
could be constructed from the ONS.
McFadden Daniel and Paul A. Ruud (1994) Estimation by Simulation, Review of Economics
and Statistics, 76, 4 , 591-608
Stone R (1954) “Linear Expenditure System and Demand Analysis: An Application to the
Pattern of British Demand”, Economic Journal 64:511-527.
1
max u = (x1 + x2 ) (66)
x1; x2;
Derive Marshallian demand functions x1 and x2 for and indirect utility function u x1; x2; .
Prove that the v(p; y) is homegenous of degree zero in p and y.
prove that it is increasing in y and decreasing in p.
21
Q2. Show above properties in the following CES utility maximisation problem:
1
max u = (x1 + x2 ) (68)
x1 ;x2
Subject to
M = p1 x1 + p2 x2 (69)
Value function:
20 1 0 1 31
1 1
1 1
6B M p1 C B M p2 C 7
v (x1 ; x2 ) = 4@ h iA + @h iA 5 (80)
1 1 1 1
p1 + p2 p1 + p2
22
If M and p1 and p2 increase by t it does not change the value function: v (x1 (tM; tp1 ; tp2 ) ; x2 (tM; tp1 ; tp2 )) =
v (x1 ; x2 ) :
@v(x1 ;x2 ) @v(x1 ;x2 ) @v(x1 ;x2 )
@M > 0 and @p1 < 0 and @p2 < 0.
Roy’s Identity:
@v (p0 ;M 0 )
@Pi
xi p0 ; M 0 = @v(p0 ;y 0 )
::::i = 1::m (81)
@M
(Marshallian demand for xi equal negative of the ratio derivative of IUF wrt price and income).
Note that the derivative of value function wrt price equals derivative of Lagranging function wrt
price and this equals negative of lagrange multiplier times the demand for the product as:
@V @L
= = x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m): (82)
@pi @pi
Subject to
1
u = (x1 + x2 ) (84)
h 1
i
L (x1 ; x2 ; ) = p1 x1 + p2 x2 + u (x1 + x2 ) (85)
@L 1 1
1 1
= p1 (x1 + x2 ) x1 =0 (86)
@x1
@L 1 1
1 1
= p2 (x1 + x2 ) x2 =0 (87)
@x2
Expenditure Functions with the CES utility functions
@L 1
=u (x1 + x2 ) = 0 (88)
@
23
1
p1 x1
= (89)
p2 x2
1
p1 1 1
1
1
1
x1 = x2 = x2 p1 p2 (90)
p2
" #1 " #1
1 p1 1
p1 1
u = (x1 + x2 ) = x2 + x2 = x2 +1 (91)
p2 p2
" # 1
p1 1 h i 1
1 1 ( 1 )( 1
)
x2 = u +1 = u p1 + p2 p2
p2
Expenditure Functions with the CES utility functions
1
h i 1
1
u p2 1
1 1 1
x2 = u p 1 + p2 p2 =h i1 (92)
1 1
p1 + p2
Putting x2 in x1
1 1 h i 1
1 1 1
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
x1 = x2 p 1 p2 = u p1 + p2 p2 p1 p2 (93)
1
h i 1
1
u p1 1
1 1 1
x1 = u p 1 + p2 p1 =h i1 (94)
1 1
p1 + p2
@L 1 21 1 12
= p1 x x2 = 0 (96)
@x1 2 1
@L 1 21 12 1
= p2 x x =0 (97)
@x2 2 1 2
@L 1 1
= u x12 x22 = 0 (98)
@
p1 x2 p2
= ==> x1 = x2 (99)
p2 x1 p1
1 1
1 1 p2 2 1 p2 2
u = x1 x2 = 2 2
x2 x2 =2
x2 (100)
p1 p1
1
p1 2 1 1
x2 = u = up12 p2 2
(101)
p2
24
Then
1
p2 p1 2
p2 1 1
x1 = x2 = u = up1 2 p22 (102)
p1 p2 p1
Now the expenditure fucntion
1 1 1 1 1 1
E = p1 x1 + p2 x2 = p1 up1 2 p22 + p2 up12 p2 2
= 2up12 p22 (103)
E
u= 1 1 (104)
2p12 p22
Slutskey Equation:
Total e¤ect of price change = (substituion e¤ect + income e¤ect)
Compensated demand
!
1 1 @x1 1 3 1 1 E 3 1 1
x1 = up1 p2 =)
2 2
= up1 2 p22 = p1 2 p22 = Ep 2 (106)
@p1 cmp 2 2 1
2p1 p2
2
1
2 4 1
1 1 @E 1 1
E = 2up12 p22 =) = up1 2 p22 = x1 (107)
@p1
E
Given the Marshalian demand x1 = 2p1
@x1 1
= (108)
@E 2p1
Slutskey decomposition:
First part is substitution e¤ect and the second part is income e¤ect.
If E = 800; p1 = 4
E 800 800 E 800
substitution e¢ ect is - 4p 2 = 2 42 = 4 4 4 = 12:5 and the income e¤ect is also - 4p 2 = 2 42 =
1 1
800
4 4 4= 12:5 .
Both reinforce each other and total e¤ect is -25.
Blundell R (2014) Income Dynamics and Life-cycle Inequality: Mechanisms and Controversies,
Economic Journal, 124, 576, 289–318
25
Jehle G A and P.J. Reny (2005) Advanced Microeconomic Theory, Pearson Education.
M. Hoy, J Livernois, C McKenna, R Rees and T. Stengos (2001) Mathematics for Economics,
2nd ed., MIT Press.
M ax U (X; Y ) (110)
X;Y
Subject to
I = px X + py Y (111)
Form a constrained optimisation problem and characterise the demand function X(px ; py ; I)
and Y (px ; py ; I).
L = U (X; Y ) + [I px X py Y ] (112)
@L
= I px X py Y = 0 (113)
@
@L
= Ux px = 0 (114)
@X
@L
= UY py = 0 (115)
@Y
Following Henderson and Quandt (1980) take the total di¤erentiation of these FOCS. (Consumer
takes prices of commodities as given, x and y are constant values of X and Y):
26
Similarly comparative static when only prices of X change dpx 6= 0 taking everything else is
constant dpy = 0 and d = 0
2 32 3 2 3
0 px py d =dpx x
4 px Uxx Uxy 5 4 dX=dpx 5 = 4 5 (121)
py Uyx Uyy dY =dpx 0
Similarly comparative static when only prices of Y change dpy 6= 0 taking everything else is
constant dpx = 0 and d = 0
2 32 3 2 3
0 px py d =dpy y
4 px Uxx Uxy 5 4 dX=dpy 5 = 4 0 5 (122)
py Uyx Uyy dY =dpy
Each of these could be solved using the Cramer’s rule. For instance
2 3 2 3 1 2 3
d =dI 0 px py 1
4 dX=dI 5 = 4 px Uxx Uxy 5 4 0 5 (123)
dY =dI py Uyx Uyy 0
Apply Cramer’s rule to …nd how much the shadow price and demand change in response to
change in income; solve for d =dI; dX=dI; dY =dI
1 px py 2
Uxx Uyy + Ux;y
1
d =dI = 0 Uxx Uxy = (124)
0 px py 2px py Uxy p2y Uxx p2x Uyy
0 Uyx Uyy
px Uxx Uxy
py Uyx Uyy
0 1 py
1 py Ux;y px Ux;y
dX=dI = px 0 Uxy = (125)
0 px py 2px py Uxy p2y Uxx p2x Uyy
py 0 Uyy
px Uxx Uxy
py Uyx Uyy
0 px 1
1 px Ux;y py Ux;x
dY =dI = px Uxx 0 = (126)
0 px py 2px py Uxy p2y Uxx p2x Uyy
py Uyx 0
px Uxx Uxy
py Uyx Uyy
27
x px py xUxx Uy;y 2
py Uy;x + px Uy;y: xUx;y
1
d =dpx = Uxx Uxy =
0 px py 2px py Uxy p2y Uxx p2x Uyy
0 Uyx Uyy
px Uxx Uxy
py Uyx Uyy
(128)
Marshalian Demand Function
0 x py
1
dX=dpx = px Uxy (129)
0 px py py 0 Uyy
px Uxx Uxy
py Uyx Uyy
xpy Ux;y p2y + xpx Uy;y:
= (130)
2px py Uxy p2y Uxx p2x Uyy
Analysis of signs: Give that px > 0, py > 0, Ux;x: < 0, Uy;y: < 0; dpx > 0, dpy > 0„ the
denomenator (determinant) is positive. Whether the numerator is positive depends on the sign of
the numerator terms which denotes income and substitution e¤ects of changes in prices of X. Here
dX=dpx < 0 because each term in numerator is negative and xpy Ux;y p2y + xpx Uy;y: < 0.
0 px x
1
dY =dpx = px Uxx (131)
0 px py py Uyx 0
px Uxx Uxy
py Uyx Uyy
py px xpx Uyx + xpy Ux;x:
= (132)
2px py Uxy p2y Uxx p2x Uyy
This is exactly what would be expected, the inverse relation between demand for X and its
own price. However the impact of a change in px on the demand for Y is not predictable o¤hand
because the …rst term in the numerator, py px xpx U + xpy Ux;x , is positive but the last two terms
are negative. Thus dpx would have positive impact only if py px > xpx U + xpy Ux;x .
xpy Ux;y p2 +xpx Uy;y:
Here 2px py Uxy p2yUxx p2 Uyy is the total e¤ect of change in prices. It can be decomposed into
y x
income and substitution e¤ect by deriving the compensated demand
Hicksian demand function
xUxx
(dX=dpx )compensated = <0 (133)
2px py Uxy p2y Uxx p2x Uyy
28
Henderson J. M. and R. E. Quandt (1980) Microeconomic Theory: A Mathematical Approach,
McGraw-Hill, London.
M ax u(x1 ; x2 ) (135)
x1 ;x2
Subject to
p1 x1 + p2 x2 = m (136)
Form a constrained optimisation problem and characterise the demand function x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m)
and x2 (p1 ; p2 ; m).
L = u(x1 ; x2 ) + [m p1 x1 p 2 x2 ] (137)
Determine the value function u(x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m); x2 (p1 ; p2 ; m)) = V (p1 ; p2 ; m)
@L
= ux1 (x1 ; x2 ) p1 = 0 (138)
@x1
@L
= ux2 (x1 ; x2 ) p2 = 0 (139)
@x2
@L
= m p1 x1 p2 x2 = 0 (140)
@
Ratio of marginal utilities equal to their prices
ux1 (x1 ; x2 ) p1
= (141)
ux2 (x1 ; x2 ) p2
Substituting these values into the budget constraint one gets demand for x1 and x2 :
x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m) x2 (p1 ; p2 ; m)
L = x1 x2 + [m p 1 x1 p2 x2 ] (143)
@L
= x1 1 x2 p1 = 0 (144)
@x1
@L
= x1 x2 1 p2 = 0 (145)
@x2
@L
= m p1 x1 p2 x2 = 0 (146)
@
m
This leads to x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m) = pm 1
and x2 (p1 ; p2 ; m) = p2 and to the indirect utility function
u(x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m); x2 (p1 ; p2 ; m)) = V (p1 ; p2 ; m)
29
2.4.1 Indirect utility and expenditure functions: Roy’s Identity
Indierct utility function
m m
V (x1 ; x2 ) = =m p1 p2 (147)
p1 p2
Expenditure function
m= p1 p2 u (148)
Theorem: derivative of value function wrt price equals derivative of Lagranging function wrt
price.
@V @L
= = x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m): (149)
@pi @pi
Roy’s Identity
@V 1 m
= m p1 p2 = p1 p2
@p1 p1
m
= = x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m); ) = p1 p1 (150)
p1
1
From above x1 x2 = p 1 :
x1 1 x2 1
= = x1 x2 p 1 1 =
p1
1
m m
p1 1 = p1 p1 (151)
p1 p2
M in E = p1 x1 + p2 x2 (152)
x1 ;x2
Subject to
U = u(x1 ; x2 ) (153)
Find the optimal values of x1 and x2 Hint: L = p1 x1 + p2 x2 + U u(x1 ; x2 )
30
2.4.3 Shephard’s Lemma
Compensated demand for a product xi can be obtained by partially di¤erentiating the expenditure
@E @L
function wrt its own price pi . @pi
= @pi
= xi (p1 ; p2 ; m)
Proof: Take a CobbDouglas utility function as u(x1 ; x2 ) = x1 x2 where + = 1: Then the
constrained maximisation problems is:
h i
L = p1 x1 + p2 x2 + u x1 x2 (155)
@L 1
= p1 x1 x2 = 0 (156)
@x1
@L 1
= p2 x1 x2 =0 (157)
@x2
@L
=u x1 x2 = 0 (158)
@
1
p1 x1 x2 x2
= 1
= (159)
p2 x1 x2 x1
p1 x1 = x2 p2 (160)
p2
x1 = x2 (161)
p1
p2
u = x1 x2 = x2 x2 = p1 p2 x2 (162)
p1
x2 = p1 p2 u (163)
p2
x1 = p1 p2 u = p1 p2 u (164)
p1
e = p1 x1 + p2 x2 = p1 p1 p2 u + p2 p1 p2 u (165)
1
e= p1 p12 u (170)
1
e= p1 p12 u= p1 p2 u (171)
31
Proof of Shephard’s Lemma
@E @L
= = xi (p1 ; p2 ; m) (172)
@pi @pi
@e 1 1
e= p1 p2 u =) = p1 p2 u = p1 p2 u (173)
@p1
h i
L = p1 x1 + p2 x2 + u x1 x2 (174)
@L
= x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m) = p1 p2 u (175)
@p1
QED.
Roy’s Identity
@V 1 m
= m p1 p2 = p1 p2
@p1 p1
m
= = x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m) (176)
p1
1
x1 x2 = p 1 ;
x1 1 x2 1
= = x1 x2 p 1 1 =
p1
1
m m
p1 1 = p1 p1 (177)
p1 p2
This is the proof of Roy’s identity.
Subject to
x + py y = m (179)
1
Note that the elasticity of substituion and are linked as: =1 ; px = 1:
Formulate a constrained optimisation problem .
1
L (x1 ; x2 ; ) = [ x + (1 ) y ] + [m x1 py y] (180)
@L 1 1
1 1
= [ x + (1 )y ] x =0 (181)
@x1
@L 1 1
1 1
= [ x + (1 )y ] (1 ) y py = 0 (182)
@x1
32
@L
=m x py y = 0 (183)
@
Determine the demand functions of x and y.
1
x 1
= (184)
1 y py
y 1 1 1
= (185)
x py
1
y 1 1 1
1 1
= = (186)
x py py
1 1
y=x (187)
py
" #
1 1 + p1y (1 )
m = x + py y = x + py x =x (188)
py
m
x= (189)
+ p1y (1 )
1 1 m 1 1 (1 ) m p1y
y=x = = (190)
py + p1y (1 ) py + (1 ) p1y
Calibrate the share parameter .
p Y m 1
Let share spent on y be = ym ; select the units so that py = 1 in the benchmark. y =
m + (1 ) 1
= = (191)
y (1 )
m 1
=1+ = (192)
y 1
1
1
= 1 (193)
1
1 1
1 1 1 1
= (1 ) 1 = (1 ) = (1 ) (1 ) (194)
h 1 1
i 1 1
1 + (1 ) = (1 ) (195)
1
(1 )
=h 1 1
i (196)
+ (1 )
33
1
u (px ; py ; m) = [ x + (1 )y ] (197)
" ! ! #1
m (1 ) m p1y
= + (1 ) (198)
+ (1 ) p1y + (1 ) p1y
1 1 1
Note that =1 = ; = 1
m h 1 1 i 1
u (px ; py ; m) = ( ) + (1 ) ((1 ) ) p1y (199)
+ (1 ) py1
m
u (px ; py ; m) = + (1 ) p1y 1
(200)
+ (1 ) p1y
m m
u (px ; py ; m) = 1
= 1 (201)
+ (1 ) p1y 1
+ (1 ) p1y 1
1
(1 )
=h 1 1
i (203)
+ (1 )
m
V (py ; m) = " ! ! #11 (204)
1 1
(1 ) (1 )
h 1 1 i + 1 h 1 1 i p1y
+(1 ) +(1 )
m
V (py ; m) = " ! #11 (205)
1 1 1
(1 ) +(1 ) (1 )
h 1 1 i + h 1 1 i p1y
+(1 ) +(1 )
m
V (py ; m) = " #11 (206)
(1 )
h 1 1 i + h 1 1 i p1y
+(1 ) +(1 )
m
V (py ; m) = 1 (207)
h 1
1
1 i
1
(1 ) + p1y 1
+(1 )
m
V (py ; m) = 1 (208)
k (1 ) + p1y 1
1
where k= h 1 1 i
1
:
+(1 )
34
Demand functions in calibrated share form
y pu
y= V (py ; m) (209)
m py
x pu
x= V (py ; m) (210)
m 1
1
where pu = k (1 ) + p1y 1
P iC i
i = (213)
M
M
V (py ; m) = (214)
pu
" #11
X pi
1
pu = i (215)
pi
Demand functions
V (py ; m) pu pi
ci = ci (216)
m pi
GAMS programe CES.gms
Rutherford T. F. (2007) www.mpsge.org.
I = Px X + Py Y (218)
35
2.4.6 Exercise 2: Indirect utility function, Shephard’s Lemma and Roy’s Identity
Problem 2: Indirect Utility Function, Shephard’s Lemma and Roy’s Identity
M ax u(x1 ; x2 ) (219)
x1 ;x2
Subject to
p1 x1 + p2 x2 = m (220)
(a) Form a constrained optimisation problem and characterise the demand function x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m)
and x2 (p1 ; p2 ; m).
(b) Determine the value function u(x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m); x2 (p1 ; p2 ; m)) = V (p1 ; p2 ; m)
@V
(c) What is the meaning of @m = ? Marginal utility of income?
@V @L
(d) Explain the meaning of Roy’s identity @pi = @pi = x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m).
(e) Derive Roy’s identify when preferences are Cobb-Douglas: u(x1 ; x2 ) = x1 x2 where +
= 1:
M in E = p1 x1 + p2 x2 (221)
x1 ;x2
Subject to
U = u(x1 ; x2 ) (222)
36
2.4.7 Duality in consumption and Slutskey decomposition
Expenditure Functions with the CES utility functions
min E = px x + py y (224)
x;y
Subject to
1
u = [ x + (1 )y ] (225)
h 1
i
L = px x + py y + U [ x + (1 )y ] (226)
@L 1 1
1 1
= px [ x + (1 )y ] x =0 (227)
@x
@L 1 1
1 1
= py [ x + (1 )y ] (1 )y =0 (228)
@y
@L 1
=U [ x + (1 )y ] = 0 (229)
@
1 1
1
px x (1 ) 1
px 1
= ==> x = y (230)
py (1 ) y py
" 1 1 ! #1
(1 ) 1
px 1
u = y + (1 )y
py
" #1
1 px 1
= y 1 (1 ) 1
+ (1 )
py
1 h 1
i1
1 1 1
= y py 1 (1 ) 1
px + (1 ) py (231)
u
y= h i1 (232)
1 1
1 1 1
py 1 (1 ) 1
px + (1 ) py
1 1 1 1
(1 ) 1
px 1
u (1 ) 1
px 1
x=y = h i1
py 1
1
1
1 1
py
py 1 (1 ) 1
px + (1 ) py
(233)
Now it is possible to apply the Slutskey equation
@x1 @x1 @E @x1
@p1 = @p1 @p1 @E
Cmp
37
2.4.8 Problem 4: CES Demand
1. Consider a consumer maximisation problem given below:
1
M ax u(x; y) = [ x + (1 )y ] (234)
x;y
Subject to
x + py y = m (235)
1
Note that the elasticity of substitution and are linked as: =1
(a) u(xi = 0) = 0
N
(b) It continuous in R++ R+
(c) unbounded above for all prices p 0
(d) Homogenous of degree 1 in xi
(e) Strictly increasing in income
(f) Decreasing in prices
(g) Quasiconvex in (p; m)
(h) Ful…lls Roy’s identity
Subject to
M = p1 x1 + p2 x2 (237)
38
(c) unbounded above in u for all prices p 0
(d) Homogenous of degree 1 in p
(e) Strictly increasing in income
(f) Concave in p
@E @L
(g) ful…ls Shephard’s lemma @pi = @pi = xi (p1 ; p2 ; m) for i = 1; 2
Subject to
1
u = (x1 + x2 ) (239)
u = x1 x2 (240)
here budget constraint is
I = p1 x1 + p2 x2 (241)
Answer
Consumer’s Optimisation
L = x1 x2 + [m p 1 x1 p2 x2 ] (242)
@L 1
= x1 x2 p1 = 0 (243)
@x1
@L 1
= x1 x2 p2 = 0 (244)
@x2
@L
=m p1 x1 p 2 x2 = 0 (245)
@
39
Marshallian demand functions
m m
x1 = ; x2 =
p1 p2
2.4.12 Duality
h 1 1
i
L = p1 x1 + p1 x2 + U x12 x22 (249)
@L 1 21 1 12
= p1 x x2 = 0 (250)
@x1 2 1
@L 1 21 12 1
= p2 x x =0 (251)
@x2 2 1 2
@L 1 1
= u x12 x22 = 0 (252)
@
p1 x2 p2
= ==> x1 = x2 (253)
p2 x1 p1
1 1
1 1 p2 2 1 p2 2
u = x12 x22 = x2 x22 = x2 (254)
p1 p1
1
p1 2 1 1
x2 = u = up12 p2 2
(255)
p2
Then
1
p2 p1 2
p2 1 1
x1 = x2 = u = up1 2 p22 (256)
p1 p2 p1
Now the expenditure fucntion
1 1 1 1 1 1
E = p1 x1 + p2 x2 = p1 up1 2 p22 + p2 up12 p2 2
= 2up12 p22 (257)
E
u= 1 1 (258)
2p12 p22
40
Slutskey Equation: Total e¤ect of price change = substituion e¤ect and income e¤ect
Compensated demand
!
1 1 @x1 1 3 1 1 E 3 1 1
x1 = up1 p2 =)
2 2
= up1 2 p22 = p1 2 p22 = Ep 2 (260)
@p1 cmp 2 2 1
2p1 p2
2
1
2 4 1
1 1 @E 1 1
E = 2up12 p22 =) = up1 2 p22 = x1 (261)
@p1
E
Given the Marshalian demand x1 = 2p1
@x1 1
= (262)
@E 2p1
Slutskey decomposition:
First part is substitution e¤ect and the second part is income e¤ect.
@L
@u =
@L 1
= p1 x1 x2 = 0 (265)
@x1
@L 1
= p2 x1 x2 =0 (266)
@x2
@L
=u x1 x2 = 0 (267)
@
1
p1 x1 x2 x2
= 1
= (268)
p2 x1 x2 x1
41
Shephard’s Lemma
p1 x1 = x2 p2 (269)
p2
x1 = x2 (270)
p1
p2
u = x1 x2 = x2 x2 = p1 p2 x2 (271)
p1
x2 = p1 p2 u (272)
p2
x1 = p1 p2 u = p1 p2 u (273)
p1
e = p1 x1 + p2 x2 = p1 p1 p2 u + p2 p1 p2 u (274)
1
e= p1 p12 u (279)
1
e= p1 p12 u= p1 p2 u (280)
Proof of Shephard’s Lemma
@E @L
= = xi (p1 ; p2 ; m) (281)
@pi @pi
@e 1 1
e= p1 p2 u =) = p1 p2 u = p1 p2 u (282)
@p1
h i
L = p1 x1 + p2 x2 + u x1 x2 (283)
@L
= x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m) = p1 p2 u (284)
@p1
QED
42
2.4.14 Roy’s Identity
@V 1 m
= m p1 p2 = p1 p2
@p1 p1
m
= = x1 (p1 ; p2 ; m) (285)
p1
1
x1 x2 = p 1 :
x1 1 x2 1
= = x1 x2 p 1 1 =
p1
1
m m
p1 1 = p1 p1 (286)
p1 p2
43
2.5 Revealed Preference Theory
Utility function based analysis on derivation of consumer demand is subjective and hence less
precise. Neither the utility function nor the preference parameters are observable. Revealed
prefernce theory focuses on observed income, price and choices to generalise axioms on consumer
behaviour. It makes a number of assumptions: 1) all income is spent (M0 = p0 x0 ) 2) buyers
always have a unique x bundlde for given M and p; that means there is a unique bundle for each
combination of p and M and preferences are consistent.
1 Weak axiom of revealed preference (WARP) : draw a diagram.
0 1 1
p1 x0 > p1 x1 () p0 x0 > p x1 p x1 < p x0
This will give the substitution and income e¤ect as in the indi¤erence curve analysis. But this
does not apply in all circumstances; p1 x0 = M2 = p1 x2 . This leads to p1 p0 x1 x0 < 0
X
and in general p1i p0i x1i x0i = p1j p0j x1j x0j < 0.
2. Strong axiom of revealed preference (SARP)
3. Congruent axiom
4. Generalised axiom
The WARP and GARP axioms were re…need and generalised by Houthakker (1950), Richter
(1966), Afriat (1967) Varian (1982), Bandyopadhyay (1988) and most recently by Echinique (2011).
The Economic Journal 2012 has a special section on the recent developments of the revealed pref-
erence theory (Varian (2012), Vermeulen (2012)).
p1 x1 p 1 x0
p1 x1 > p1 x0 () M I = 0 0
> 0 0 = LP
p x p x
44
Revealed preference to Paasche price index:
1 1 p 1 x1 p1 x1
p0 x0 > p0 x1 () 5 () M I = 5 = PP
p 0 x0 p0 x1 p 0 x0 p0 x1
Afriat (1967 and 2012) proves correspondence between the revealed preference and the utility
function.
Readings:
Afriat, S. N. (2012), Afriat’s Theorem and the Index Number Problem, Economic Journal,
122: 295–304.
Bandyopadhyay TD (1988) Revealed Preference Theory, Ordering and the Axiom of Sequen-
tial Path Independence, Review of Economic Studies, 343-351.
Varian, H. R. (2012), Revealed Preference and its Applications, Economic Journal, 122: 332–
338
Vermeulen F. (2012) Foundations ¤ Revealed Preference: Introduction, Economic Journal,
122 (May), 287–294
Blundell, Pistaferri, and Preston (2008), Blundell, and Preston (2008) Consumption and
income inequality and Partial Insurance
Balasko (1975) equilibrium manifold.
45
Carey K. (2000) Hospital Cost Containment and Length of Stay: An Econometric Analysis
Southern Economic Journal, 67, 2, 363-380
Deolalikar A. B. and R. E. Evenson (1989) Technology Production and Technology Purchase
in Indian Industry: An Econometric Analysis The Review of Economics and Statistics, 71, 4,
687-692
Hey J. D and J. A. Knoll (2011) Strategies in dynamic decision making: An experimental
investigation of the rationality of decision behaviour, Journal of Economic Psychology 32,399–
409
Hey J. D and C. Orme (1994) Investigating Generalizations of Expected Utility Theory Using
Experimental Data Econometrica, 62, 6, 1291-1326
Hey, J. D., Lotito, G., & Ma¢ oletti, A. (2010). The descriptive and predictive adequacy of
theories of decision making under uncertainty/ambiguity. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty,
41(2), 81–111. Experimental lab of John Hey at York http://www.york.ac.uk/economics/our-
people/sta¤-pro…les/john-hey/
Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk.
Econometrica,67, 263–291.
Lee R-S and N. Singh (1994) Patterns in Residential Gas and Electricity Consumption: An
Econometric Analysis Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 12, 2, 233-241
McGuinness T. (1980) Econometric Analysis of Total Demand For Alcoholic Beverages in the
U.K., 1956-75 The Journal of Industrial Economics, 29, 1, 85-109
Segal, U. (1987). The Ellsberg Paradox and risk aversion: an anticipated utility approach.
International Economic Review, 28, 175–202.
Schmeidler, D. (1989). Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity. Econo-
metrica, 57,571–587.
Van Soest A and P. Kooreman (1987) A Micro-Econometric Analysis of Vacation Behaviour
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2, 3 , 215-226.
46
Table 6: Food expenditure on income : Stacking Data for SURE)l
Coe¢ cient t-value t_Prob
Emp_income 0.511 69.4 0.000
Constant -252.126 -2.18 0.031
NW -28.2405 -0.178 0.859
YH -362.599 -2.29 0.023
EM 359.178 2.27 0.025
WM 2034.03 12.8 0.000
EA 1715.26 10.3 0.000
GL 753.455 4.77 0.000
SE -700.345 -4.36 0.000
SE_R -326.693 -2.02 0.045
SW 412.537 2.61 0.010
WL 710.626 4.49 0.000
SCT 580.688 3.65 0.000
NI 2374.79 4.66 0.000
R2 = 0.99; N =182; T = 14; Chi2 =4815. [0.000] **
47
Table 7: Determinants of houseprice in UK: SURE (3SLS) estimation
Coe¢ cient t-value t_Prob
Rincome 4.64 45.2 0.000
Pop 1.25 0.55 0.054
MRT_RT -11.51 -0.022 0.982
M/H_Ratio -237240 -19.9 0.000
CRNTDP 1.94 5.85 0.000
SVDEP 1.10 3.72 0.000
NE 22845.3 2.04 0.042
NW 8064.9 2.85 0.005
YH 14615.8 2.37 0.018
SW 9939.4 1.50 0.134
EN -148092 -1.66 0.097
EM 12868.1 1.61 0.108
WM 12404.2 2.20 0.029
EE 16599.7 2.84 0.005
GL 5454.8 2.00 0.046
Constant 101298.1 5.31 0.000
F(90, 373) = 7.09 (0.00); N =480; Chi2 (2)=59.2. [0.000] **
castings, structural metal products, metal boilers and radiators, metal forging, pressing, etc; cutlery,
tools etc, other metal products, mechanical power equipment, general purpose machinery, agricul-
tural machinery, machine tools, special purpose machinery, weapons and ammunition, domestic
appliances, o¢ ce machinery & computers, electric motors and generators etc, insulated wire and
cable, electrical equipment, electronic components, transmitters for TV, radio and phone receivers
for TV and radio, medical and precision instruments, motor vehicles, shipbuilding and repair, other
transport equipment, aircraft and spacecraft, furniture, jewelry and related products Sports goods
and toys, miscellaneous manufacturing & recycling that rely very much on fossil fuels.
The production and distribution of electricity and gas is vital in order to run all these industries.
Firms in construction sector contribute both to the supply of residential and non-residential proper-
ties but also to big infrastructure in the form of transport, communication and service networks and
logistics and supply chain management. The distribution sector consists of motor vehicle distribu-
tion and repair, automotive fuel retail, wholesale distribution, retail distribution, hotels, catering,
pubs etc.
The business service sector represents banking and …nance , insurance and pension funds , auxil-
iary …nancial services, owning and dealing in real estate, letting of dwellings, estate agent activities,
renting of machinery etc, computer services, research and development , legal activities, accoun-
tancy services, market research, management consultancy, architectural activities and technical
consultancy, advertising and other business services.
The other services sector includes public administration and defence, education, health and
veterinary services, social work activities, membership organisations, recreational services, other
service activities, private households with employed persons and sewage and sanitary services.
Datastream provides basic timeseries information on public companies regarding their production,
sales, revenue, costs, pro…ts, price of stocks and their leverages. Megazines such as Forbes regularly
48
Top 10 Firms in the World in May 2014 (Forb's List): http://www.forbes.com/global2000/list/
Rank Company Country Sales Profits Assets Market
Value
update top 100 companies by thier turn over. For instance Industrial & Commercial Bank of
China Ltd. had assets of 3.1 trillion dollars in 2014 with pro…ts over 148 billion dollars. It is also
possible to …lter prominent …rms in each of above sectors operating in the global economy using
such databases.
A production technology in each of above sector shows how inputs are transferred into outputs.
Usually labour, the human toils and trouble in process of production; capital, the man made means
of production, as re‡ected in building, structures including highways, communication networks
and education, health and environmental system; natural resources including clear air, water, and
mineral and energy products represent such inputs. In addition there are intermediate inputs as
presented in the input output table of an economy. There are linear and non-linear production
functions. Returns to scale vary and possibility of substitution vary among them . Intensity of
use of these factors in a speci…c industry or a …rm is re‡ected in these production function. These
are important in process of substitution of more expensive by less expensive inputs. The CES
categories of these functions being the most commonly used ones in the economic literature as they
capture the cross price elasticity more e¢ ciently than any other linear or Cobb-Douglas production
functions [see articles such as (Pigou (1934) , Meade (1934) Lancaster and Chesher (1983), Dolton
and Makepeace (1990), Harmatuck (1991), Basu and Fernald (1997), Barmby , Ercolani and Treble
(2002), Costinot, Vogel and Wang (2013)) discussion about production; Coase (1937) The Nature
of the Firm, Economica, 386-405].
Cobb-Douglas: y = x1 x12
1
CES: y = (x1 + x2 )
1
Nested: x4 = (x1 + x2 ) and then y = x4 x13
49
P
n P
n
p
generalised Leontief: Y = aij xi xj ; aij = aji
i=1j=1
P
n P
n P
n
Translog: ln Y = a0 + ai ln xi + aij ln xi ln xj ; aij = aji
i=1 i=1j=1
A tanslog production function adds squares and product terms to the regual production function
as:
n
X n X
X n
ln Y = a0 + ai ln xi + aij ln xi ln xj ; aij = aji
i=1 i=1 j=1
This function is popular as it allows a large number of substitution posibilities among inputs.
Pn P
n
Prove that this function becomes a constant return to scale when ai = 1 and aij = 0:
i=1 j=1
Generalised Leontief function:
n X
X n
p
Y = aij xi xj ; aij = aji
i=1 j=1
Nested production function shows how composite inputs are used with other inputs (very popular
in the CGE and macro modelling):
Let V be the CES composite of labour and capital
1
V = [ L + (1 )K ] (288)
then let E be energy input in production. Then Y is prouced using V and E as:
Y = V E1
This is one level nest. There can be many levels of nests in the production process.
Questions: What are the elasticities of output to input x1 in above production
functions?
where y is output and l is labour input. Product price is p and input price is w. What is
the cost function for this …rm? What is its pro…t function? What is its supply function? What is
the demand function for labour? What are the properties of the these production, pro…t and cost
functions?
Since this is a one input production funtion the cost function can derived direcly from the
production technology as:
y2
l= (290)
4
50
Producer pay wage to supply this commodity:
y2
c = wl = w (291)
4
The pro…t is the di¤erence between the revenue and cost of the …rm as given by the pro…t
function:
y2
= py c = py w (292)
4
The supply function for commodity y is derived using the …rst orcer condition of the pro…t
function as:
@ y 2p
=p w = 0 =) y = (293)
@y 2 w
Supply is positively related to prices and negatively to the input cost, in this case the wage rate.
Demand for labour:
2
1 2 1 2p
l= y = (294)
4 4 w
Hotelling’s lemma Derivative of pro…t function wrt price gives the supply function; derivative
pro…t function wrt input prices gives demand function for inputs:
@ (p;y) @ (p;w)
@p = y (p; w) @wi = xi (p; w)
Properties of output supply and input demand functions
51
3.1.2 Production function and its scale properties
A production function f : Rn+ =) R is continuous, strictly increasing, strictly quasiconcave function
in Rn+ f (0) = 0
Isoquant Q(y) = fx 0 = f (x) = yg is set of inputs giving a …xed output y.
Returns to scale
1. Constant return to scale f (tx) = tf (x) for all t > 0 and all x
2. Increasing returns to scale f (tx) > tf (x) for all t > 0 and all x
3. Decreasing returns to scale f (tx) < tf (x) for all t > 0 and all x
@y x1 1
1 (x) = = (1 + x1 x2 ) x1 x2 (297)
@x1 y
@y x2 1
2 (x) = = (1 + x1 x2 ) x1 x2 (298)
@x2 y
Elasticity of scale is obtained by adding above two:
1
(x) = ( + ) (1 + x1 x2 ) x1 x2 (299)
This varies with x.
Variable returns to scale
1 k
y = k(1 + x1 x2 ) ; =) x1 x2 = 1 (300)
y
y
1 (y) = (1 ) (301)
k
y
2 (y) = (1 ) (302)
k
Elasticity of scale
y
(y) = ( + ) (1
) (303)
k
Returns to each input declines with output here. Increasing return for 0 < y < k; constant
return 0 < y = k and decreasing return when y > k > 0 . k is the upper bound of output. (see
more in Jehle and Reny (2001).
52
3.1.4 Cost function
It is a minimum value function for for all input price w 0 and output levels y 2 Rn+
f (x) y (305)
Constrained optimisation
@L (x; )
= w1 f 0 (x1 ) = 0 (307)
@x1
:: (308)
@L (x; )
= wn f 0 (xn ) = 0 (309)
@xn
y f (x) = 0 (310)
Marginal Rate of Trasformation
@f (x;)
@xj wj
M RT Sj;i = @f (x;)
= (311)
wi
@xi
Basu S and J. G. Fernald (1997) Returns to Scale in U.S. Production: Estimates and Impli-
cations, Journal of Political Economy, 105, 2, 249-283
Benabou R. and Tirole, J. (2010), Individual and Corporate Social Responsibility. Economica,
77: 1–19.
Bloom N., R. Sadun and J. van Reenen (2012) The organization of …rms across countries,
Quarterly Journal of Economics 127 (4), 1663–1705.
Costinot, A. and J. S. Vogel and S. Wang (2013), An Elementary Theory of Global Supply
Chains, Review of Economic Studies 80, 109–144
Dolton P.J. and G. H. Makepeace (1990) The Earnings of Economics Graduates The Economic
Journal, 100, 399, 237-250
53
Harmatuck D.J. (1991) Economies of Scale and Scope in the Motor Carrier Industry: An
Analysis of the Cost Functions for Seventeen Large LTL Common Motor Carriers, Journal of
Transport Economics and Policy, 25, 2 , 135-151
Lancaster T and A. Chesher (1983) An Econometric Analysis of Reservation Wages Econo-
metrica, 51, 6,1661-1676
Meade (1934) The Elasticity of Substitution and the Elasticity of Demand for One Factor of
Production The Review of Economic Studies, 1, 2 ,152-153
Panagariya A (1981) Variable Returns to Scale in Production and Patterns of Specialization,
The American Economic Review, 71, 1, 221-230
Pigou A. C. (1934) The Elasticity of Substitution ,The Economic Journal, 44, 174 , 232-241
Tirole J. (1995) The Theory of Industrial Organisation, MIT Press.
Y = AK L1 (312)
CES Production Function
1
Y =A K + (1 )L (313)
Prove that the elasticity of substitution is 1 in Cobb-Douglas production function and = 1+1
in the CES production function. Also prove that the Cobb-Douglas is a special case of the CES
production function.
Proof that = 1 in the Cobb-Douglas production function
K K K K K K
d L = L d L = L d L = L
= w w = = K K
=1 (314)
d r = r d (1 )AK L
= (1 )AK L d L = L
AK 1 L1 AK 1 L1
1+
@Y 1 1
1 1 (1 ) A1+ Y
= A K + (1 )L ( ) (1 )L = (315)
@K A L
1+
@Y 1 1
1 1 A1+ Y
= A K + (1 )L ( ) K = (316)
@K A K
1+
dK YL (1 ) K
= = <0 (317)
dL YK L
1+
YL (1 ) K w
= = (318)
YK L r
54
1
K w 1+
= (319)
L 1 r
The marginal function
@ K 1
1+
1 h w i 1+1 1
L
w = (320)
@ r
1 1+ r
average function
h i 1+1
K w 1
h w i 1+1
1 r 1+ 1
L
w = w = (321)
r r
1 r
1
1
1+
1 w 1+ 1
K K
d L = L 1 1+ r 1
= w w = 1 = (322)
d r = r
1+
w
1
1+ 1 1+
1 r
The CES is not de…ned in case of = 0 Need to apply L’Hopital’s rule lim m(x) = lim
x !a n(n) x !a
m0 (x)
n0 (n) : When a function is not de…ned it is approximated by the marginal functions.
Y [ K + (1 )L ] m( )
ln = ln = (324)
A n( )
As !0
0 1 d ln K (1 ) ln L
m ( )= [ K +(1 )L ]d [ K + (1 )L ]= 1
Taking antilog
Y
= K L1 =) Y = AK L1 (325)
A
Thus Cobb-Douglas production funciton is a special case of the CES production function. QED.
Some papers with CES functions:
55
Fisher F.M, R. M. Solow, J, M. Kearl (1977) Aggregate Production Functions: Some CES
Experiments ,The Review of Economic Studies, 44, 2, 305-320
McFadden Daniel (1963) Constant Elasticity of Substitution Production Functions, Review
of Economic Studies, 30, 2, 73-83
Lagrange:
h 1
i
L = rK + wL + Y ( L + (1 )K ) (328)
1 1
w L 1 r 1 r 1
1
= ;K = (L) ;K = L (332)
r 1 K w 1 w 1
56
( " # )1
1
r 1
1
Y = L + (1 ) L (334)
w 1
8 2 2
39 1
< r 1
1 =
Y = L + (1 )4 L 5 (335)
: w 1 ;
8 2 2
39 1
< r 1
1 =
Y = + (1 )4 5 L (336)
: w 1 ;
r 1
1
1 < r 1
1 =
K= + (1 )4 5 Y (339)
w 1 : w 1 ;
Putting these optimal demands for labour and capital in the cost function:
C = rK + wL (340)
2 ( " #) 1 3
2
1
6 r r 1
1
+ (1 ) r 1
1
7
6 w 1 w 1 7
6 7
C=6 ( " #) 1 7Y (341)
6 2 7
4 r 1
1 5
+w + (1 ) w 1
C = C (r; w) Y (342)
Elasticity of substitution between capital and labour
As derived above
1 1 1
w L K r 1
= =) = (343)
r 1 K L w 1
K 1 1
@ L 1 r 1 1
r = (344)
@ w
1 w 1
57
Average function
K 1 1
r 1 1
L
r = (345)
w w 1
1
@( K
L)
1
1
1 r 1
@( w
r
) 1 w 1 1
= K = = (346)
L
r
1
1
1 1
w
r 1
w 1
1
= (347)
1
C = rK + wL
Technology:
Y =K L
L = rK + wL + Y K L
@L 1
=r K L =0
@K
@L 1
=w K L =0
@L
@L
=Y K L =0
@
From the …rst two conditions
r L w
= =) K = L
w K r
substitute this in the production function
w w +
Y =K L = L L = L
r r
w w +
Y =K L = L L = L
r r
1 r + 1
L=Y + =Y + r + w + + +
w
58
w w 1 r + 1 r +
K= L= Y + =Y +
r r w w
1
K=Y + r + w + + +
1 1
C = rK + wL = rY + r + w + + + +w Y + r + w + + +
1 1
C = Y + r + w + + + ( + ) = BY + r + w +
where B = + + ( + ):
Cost function is homogenous of degree 1 in input prices, increases in y, r and w and concave in
r and w.
Take a natural log of this function
ln C = ln B + ( + ) ln Y + ln r + ln w
+ +
Thus the cost is linear in output and input prices.
A translog cost function adds squares and product terms to above function to make costs ‡exible
to production as:
2 2
ln C = ln Y + a0 + a1 ln r + a2 ln w + a3 (ln r) + a4 (ln w) + a5 ln r ln w
This is homogenous of degree 1 when a1 + a2 = 1 and a3 = a4 = a5 = 0: Cobb-Douglas is a
special case of this translog function when a3 = a4 = a5 = 0:
Input shares in translog cost functions:
@ ln C
sw =
= a2 + 2a4 (ln w) + a5 ln r
@ ln w
@ ln C
sr = = a1 + 2a3 (ln r) + a5 ln w
@ ln r
input shares are constant when a4 = 0; a5 = 0:
subject to
1
(x1 + x2 ) y (349)
Show that solution is
h i 1
1 1
c (w; y) = y w1 + w2 (350)
59
h 1
i
L = w1 :x1 + w2 :x2 + y (x1 + x2 ) (351)
@L 1 1
1 1
= w1 (x1 + x2 ) x1 =0 (352)
@x1
@L 1 1
1 1
= w2 (x1 + x2 ) x2 =0 (353)
@x2
@L 1
=y (x1 + x2 ) = 0 (354)
@
1 1
1 1 1
w1 (x1 + x2 ) x1 x1
= 1 1
= (355)
w2 1
(x1 + x2 ) 1
x2 x2
1
w1 1
x1 = x2 (356)
w2
Substituting this into the production function
" #1
1 w1 1
y = (x1 + x2 ) = x2 + x2 (357)
w2
" #1
w1 1
y = x2 +1 (358)
w2
" # 1
w1 1 1 h i 1
1 1 1
x2 = y +1 = yw2 w1 + w2 (359)
w2
1 h i 1
1 1 1
x1 = yw1 w1 + w2 (360)
1 h i 1
1 h i 1
1 1 1 1 1 1
c = w1 :yw1 w1 + w2 + w2 :yw2 w1 + w2 (362)
h i 1
1 1 1 1
c = y w1 + w2 w1 + w2 (363)
h i 1
1 1
c (w; y) = y w1 + w2 (364)
60
3.3.2 Properties of a cost function
If f is continous and strictly increasing then c(w; y); cost function has following properties
1. zero when y = 0
2. continous on its domain
6. Concave in w
Shephard’s lemma in production Input demand functions can be obtained by the derivative
of the cost function (c) wrt inpurt prices (wi ):
@c w0 ; y 0
= xi w 0 ; y 0 i = 1; :::n (365)
@wi
Let
@c (w; y)
c(w; y) = Aw1 w2 y =) x1 (w; y) = = Aw1 w2 y (366)
@w1
h i
w Aw w y
Then prove that and represent input share. = 1Aw w1 y2 :
1 2
Duality:
f (x) y (369)
Constrained optimisation
@L (x; )
= w1 f 0 (x1 ) = 0 (371)
@x1
:: (372)
61
@L (x; )
= wn f 0 (xn ) = 0 (373)
@xn
@f (x;)
@xj wj
y f (x) = 0; @f (x;)
= (374)
wi
@xi
= pL K wL rK (375)
@ (p; w) h i1 1
= pL 1 K w = 0 =) L = pK (376)
@L w
The short run supply function is obtained by substituting L in Y function
h i1
Y = pK K (377)
w
@Y
Short run supply function slops upward wrt it product price as @p > 0; and diminishes when
the wage rate increase, @Y
@w < 0.
@ (p; w)
y (p; w) = (378)
@p
@ (p; w)
xi (w; p) = (379)
@w
62
Pro…t function
= py rK wL (380)
Constrained pro…t optimisation problem:
= (x; ) = py rK wL + K1 L y (381)
@= (x; )
=p =0 (382)
@y
@= (x; )
= K1 L 1
w=0 (383)
@L
@= (x; )
= (1 )K L r=0 (384)
@K
@= (x; )
= K1 L y=0 (385)
@
Solving these Jacobians one will …nd input demands as L(r; w; p) and K(r; w; p) and the level
of output y(r; w; p).
Insert these functions into the pro…t function to get the value function as:
@V @=
= = L(r; w; p) (388)
@w @w
@V @=
= = K(r; w; p) (389)
@r @r
Di¤erentiating the value function with respect to price gives the output supply function and
di¤erentiating wrt input prices gives input demand functions of the …rm. This is Hotelling’s Lemma.
Repeat the same process to technology y = K 0:4 L0:4 as:
63
3.3.6 Exercise 7: Minimising the cost with Cobb-Douglas and CES production func-
tion
1. Consider cost of production of a …rm:
C = wK + rL (391)
and its production technology constraint
y=K L (392)
2. Derive the short run pro…t function for a …rm under the perfect competion
= PY wL rK (393)
1. Here is pro…t, L labour supply, K capital, w wage rate, P price of good, Y ouput . For
simplicity assume capital is …xed at K. Technology operates under the constant returns to
scale + = 1:
C = rK + wL (395)
64
subject to technology constraint as:
1
Y = [ L + (1 )K ] (396)
C = rK + wL (397)
Answer
Comparative static: Derivation of the CES cost function.
Lagrange:
h 1
i
L = rK + wL + Y ( L + (1 )K ) (399)
1 1
w L 1 r 1 r 1
1
= ;K = (L) ;K = L (403)
r 1 K w 1 w 1
65
1
Y = ( L + (1 )K ) (404)
( " # )1
1
r 1
1
Y = L + (1 ) L (405)
w 1
8 2 2
39 1
< r 1
1 =
Y = L + (1 )4 L 5 (406)
: w 1 ;
8 2 2
39 1
< r 1
1 =
Y = + (1 )4 5 L (407)
: w 1 ;
r 1
1
1 < r 1
1 =
K= + (1 )4 5 Y (410)
w 1 : w 1 ;
Putting these optimal demands for labour and capital in the cost function:
C = rK + wL (411)
2 ( " #) 1 3
2
1
6 r r 1
1
+ (1 ) r 1
1
7
6 w 1 w 1 7
6 7
C=6 ( " #) 1 7Y (412)
6 2 7
4 r 1
1 5
+w + (1 ) w 1
C = C (r; w) Y (413)
Elasticity of substitution between capital and labour
As derived above
1 1 1
w L K r 1
= =) = (414)
r 1 K L w 1
66
K 1 1
@ L 1 r 1 1
r = (415)
@ w
1 w 1
Average function
K 1 1
r 1 1
L
r = (416)
w w 1
1
L)
@( K 1
1
1 r 1
@( w
r
) 1 w 1 1
= K = = (417)
L
r
1
1
1 1
w
r 1
w 1
1
= (418)
1
Problem of a Producer: Maximising the pro…t
Pro…t function
= py rK wL (419)
Constrained pro…t optimisation problem:
= (x; ) = py rK wL + K1 L y (420)
@= (x; )
=p =0 (421)
@y
@= (x; )
= K1 L 1
w=0 (422)
@L
@= (x; )
= (1 )K L r=0 (423)
@K
@= (x; )
= K1 L y=0 (424)
@
Solving these Jacobians one will …nd input demands as L(r; w; p) and K(r; w; p) and the level
of output y(r; w; p).
Insert these functions into the pro…t function to get the value function as:
67
@V @=
= = L(r; w; p) (427)
@w @w
@V @=
= = K(r; w; p) (428)
@r @r
Di¤erentiating the value function with respect to price gives the output supply function and
input demand function of the …rm.This is Hotelling’s Lemma.
= py rK wL (429)
Constrained pro…t optimisation problem:
= (x; ) = py rK wL + K1 L y (430)
@= (x; )
=p =0 (431)
@y
@= (x; )
= K1 L 1
w=0 (432)
@L
@= (x; )
= (1 )K L r=0 (433)
@K
@= (x; )
= K1 L y=0 (434)
@
Solving these Jacobians one will …nd input demands as L(r; w; p) and K(r; w; p) and the level
of output y(r; w; p).
Insert these functions into the pro…t function to get the value function as:
68
Di¤erentiating the value function with respect to price gives the output supply function and
di¤erentiating wrt input prices gives input demand functions of the …rm. This is Hotelling’s Lemma.
Repeat the same process to technology y = K 0:4 L0:4
0:6
p 0:4K L0:4 = r (442)
69
3.4 Consumer and producer surplus
P d = 25 Q2 (450)
P s = 1 + 2Q (451)
Demand supply balance
25 Q2 = 1 + 2Q (452)
Q2 + 2Q 24 = 0 (453)
Q2 + 6Q 4Q 24 = Q (Q + 6) 4 (Q + 6) = 0 (454)
Either Q = 6 or Q = 4
P = 25 Q2 = 25 42 = 9
Consumer surplus
Z 4 4
Q3
CS = 25 Q2 dQ PQ = 25Q PQ
0 3 0
64 128
= 100 36 = = 42:7 (455)
3 3
Producer surplus
Z 4
4
PS = PQ (1 + 2Q) dQ = P Q ((1 + 2Q) dQj0
0
4
2Q2 32
= PQ Q = 36 4 = 36 20 = 16 (456)
2 0 2
Marshall Alfred (1893) Consumer’s, Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social
Science, 3, 90-93
3.4.1 Pro…t
Estimating a revenue, cost and pro…t functions of a certain corporation:
Revenue:
R = aQ bQ2 (457)
Cost:
70
=R C = (a f) Q (b + e) Q2 dQ3 845 (459)
Now get the data on Q, R, C then parameters a; b; c; d; e; f can be estimated using econometric
techniques. Calculate them and put them in a diagram. This model can be applied then to estimate
or predict pro…ts.
Bloom N., R. Sadun and J. van Reenen (2012) The organization of …rms across countries,
Quarterly Journal of Economics 127 (4), 1663–1705.
71
Table 9: Simplex Table 2
R X1 X2 S1 S2 Constant Ratios
Row0 1 -0.75 0 1.25 0 125
Row1 0 0.25 1 0.25 0 25
Row2 0 7/4 0 -1/4 1 75
Subject to
10X1 + 4X2 20 (467)
5X1 + 5X2 1500 (468)
2X1 + 6X2 12 (469)
where X1 0 and X2 0
What are the optimal values of X1 and X2 ? Can you simplify this model?
Solve this model using routines in Excel.
Q3 Solve the following linear programming problem using a simplex method. What are the
optimal value of R; X1 and X2 ?
Subject to
25X1 + 10X2 1000 (471)
20X1 + 50X2 1500 (472)
where X1 0 and X2 0;
72
Table 11: Simplex Table 1
R X1 X2 S1 S2 Constant Ratios
Row0 1 -10 -5 0 0 0
Row1 0 25 10 1 0 1000 40
Row2 0 20 50 0 1 1500 75
Write the dual of the above problem. Show that optimal solution of dual is equivalent to optimal
solution of the primal problem.
Show that LP problem given above is a special case of non-linear problem.
Linear Programming: Simplex Algorithm for Maximisation
Basic feasible solution R X1 X2 S1 S2 = 0 0 0 1000 1500
Basic feasible solution R X1 X2 S1 S2 = 400 40 0 0 700
73
Fundamental Theorems of Duality in Linear Programming: Two fundamental theorems
of duality:
(1) Optimal values of the primal and the dual objective functions are always identical, provided
that optimal feasible solution does exist.
(2) If a certain choice variable in a linear programme is optimally nonzero then the corresponding
dummy variable should be equal to zero. Similarly if a certain choice variable in a linear programme
is optimally zero then the corresponding dummy variable in the linear programme should be non-
zero.
74
Williams A. C. (1965) On Stochastic Linear Programming, Journal of the Society for Industrial
and Applied Mathematics, 13, 4 927-940
Texts:
Chiang A.C. (1984) Fundamental Methods of Mathematical Economics, 3rd edition, McGraw
Hill.
Dorfman R., P.A. Samuelson and R. Solow (1958) Linear Programming and Economic Analy-
sis, Macmillan, 1958
Hoy M., J. Livernois, C McKenna, R. Rees and T Stengos (2001) Mathematics for Economics,
MIT Press
Lancaster Kevin (1968) Mathematical Economics, McGraw-Hill.
Sydsaeter Knut, P. Hammond, A. Seierstad and A. Strom (2008) Further mathematics for
economic analysis, Prentice Hall
IO F
(477)
VA T rasf ers
here IO stands for input output relations among sectors, V A is primary such as labour and
capital, F is …nal demand and transfer represent such as bene…ts, remittances or invisible other
incomes.
75
Table 14: Leontief Coe¢ cients
Intermediate demand Final Demand Total
X1 X2 F Y
X1 10 20 70 100
X2 30 20 150 200
Labour input 40 50 90
Capital intput 20 110 130
Total 100 200 220
(1 a11 ) a12 X1 F1
= (485)
a21 (1 a22 ) X2 F2
76
1
X1 (1 a11 ) a12 F1
= (486)
X2 a21 (1 a22 ) F2
1
X = (I A) F (487)
Solution of the input - output model by Cramer’s Rule
(1 a11 ) a12
jAj = = 1 a1;1 1 a2;2 a21 a12 (488)
a21 (1 a22 )
F1 a12
F2 (1 a22 ) F1 (1 a22 ) + a12 F2
X1 = = (489)
(1 a11 ) a12 1 a1;1 1 a2;2 a21 a12
a21 (1 a22 )
(1 a11 ) F1
a21 F2 F2 (1 a11 ) + a21 F1
X2 = = (490)
(1 a11 ) a12 1 a1;1 1 a2;2 a21 a12
a21 (1 a22 )
1
X1 (1 0:1) 0:1 70
= (491)
X2 0:3 (1 0:1) 150
70 0:1
150 0:9 63 + 15 78
X1 = = = = 100 (492)
0:9 0:1 0:81 0:03 0:78
0:3 0:9
0:9 70
0:3 150 135 + 21 156
X2 = = = = 200 (493)
0:9 0:1 0:81 0:03 0:78
0:3 0:9
Solutions reproduce the benchmark data. Model is calibrated.
Solving the Input-Output Model by Matrix Inverse
1
X = (I A) F (494)
1
1 0:9 0:1 1
(I A) = = adj (I A) (495)
0:3 0:9 jI Aj
adj (I A) = C 0 (496)
For C cofactor matrix. For this cross the row and column corresponding to an element and
multiply by ( 1)i+j
77
j1 a22 j ja21 j 0:9 0:3
C= = (497)
ja12 j j1 a11 j 0:1 0:9
0
1
(I A) =
1 1 a22 a12
=
1 a1;1 1 a2;2 a21 a12 a21 1 a11
1 0:9 0:1
=
0:81 0:03 0:3 0:9
1 0:9 0:1
0:9 0:1 0:78 0:78
= 0:3 0:9
0:78 0:3 0:9 0:78 0:78
1 1 0:9 0:1 70
X = (I A) F = (499)
0:78 0:3 0:9 150
Inverse of A
1 1 0:9 0:1 70
X = (I A) F =
0:78 0:3 0:9 150
1 63 + 15 1 78 100
= = = (500)
0:78 21 + 135 0:78 156 200
Model is calibrated.
78
A 15 pecent change in the …nal demand of sector will change gross output of both sector.
change in capital and labour demand could be found out by using the capital and labour
coe¢ cients.
Backward and forward linkages cause this to happen.
Real world input- output model can be easily computed using Matrix routines in Excel.
There is a signi…cant body of literature literature on the input output analysis including those
by Leontief (1949), Stone (1961), Pyatt and Round (1979), Piggott and Whalley (1985) , Deardor¤
and Stern (1995), Bhattarai and Whalley (2000), Thijs ten Raa (2005), Bhattarai (2007), Turner,
Gilmartin, McGregor, and Swales (2012), Economic System Research (Input-Output Association),
Minx, Wiedmann, Wood, Peters, Lenzen, Owen, Scott, Barrett, Hubacek, Baiocchi, Paul, Dawkins,
Briggs, Guan, Suh and Ackerman (2009), Dietzenbacher, Bart Losa, Stehrer,Timmera and De Vries
(2013). For instance see the input output table of the UK for 2009, Constructed from the O¢ ce
of National Statistics, UK.
P ro d 7256 289576 35007 66800 13040 6002 622 11790 71029 6674
C onstr 426 4722 57324 13139 1639 4300 9765 2075 6725 784
D ist 974 17089 3467 60804 4062 13401 696 9064 14481 1855
In fco m 227 6245 1444 18376 15795 13174 1261 9884 9890 3483
F in in s 863 14741 4369 11293 2729 20750 44549 5918 6781 1233
R le st 139 1558 1980 15065 1157 3938 1139 1723 5356 723
P rfsp p 790 25019 16794 43919 19727 26786 4538 76723 33101 12561
G h lth e d 32 2502 1511 5298 1107 2560 3370 9068 48167 782
Bhattarai K. (2007) Economic Models of Hull and Humber Region, Atlantic Economic Jour-
nal, 35:473-490 December.
Deardor¤ A.V. and R. M. Stern (1995) Input-output technologies and the e¤ects of tari¤
reductions Journal of Policy Modeling, 7, 2, 253-279
Dietzenbacher E, Bart Losa, R Stehrer, M. Timmera And G. De Vries (2013) The Construction
Ofworld Input–Output Tables In The Wiod Project, Economic Systems Research, 25,1, 71–98
Leontief, W. (1949) Structural Matrices of National Economy, Econometrica, 17: 273-282,
Suppl.
79
Table 17: Benchmark production tax rate, prices income and demand by sectors
Wages C a p ita l C ons Inv G ov Exp Im p P rtxsb C aptax L abtax
Piggott, J. and J.Whalley (1985) UK Tax Policy and Applied General Equilibrium Analysis,
Cambridge University Press.
Minx J.C., T. Wiedmann, R. Wood, G.P. Peters, M. Lenzen, A. Owen, K. Scott, J. Barrett,
K. Hubacek, G. Baiocchi, A. Paul, E. Dawkins, J. Briggs, D. Guan, S. Suh And F. Acker-
man (2009) Input–Output Analysis And Carbon Footprinting: An Overview Of Applications
Economic Systems Research, 21(3), 187–216
O¢ ce for National Statistics (ONS (2013)) Input Output: Tables for the United Kingdom,
HMSO, London; Supply and Use Tables.
O¢ ce for National Statistics (ONS (1995)) Input Output: Tables for the United Kingdom,
HMSO, London.
Stone Richard (1942-43) National Income in the United Kingdom and the United States of
America, American Economic Review, 10(1): 1-27.
80
X1 = X1;1 + X1;2 + ::::: + X1;n + C1 + I1 + G1 + N X1 (504)
::::::: (506)
L = L1 + L2 + ::::: + Ln (508)
K = K1 + K2 + ::::: + Kn (509)
T = T1 + T2 + ::::: + Tn (510)
The …nal demand can be written as Fi = Ci + Ii + Gi + N Xi
1. (a) Develop an input-output model to …nd impacts on output of changes in net exports N Xi
by percent.
(b) What is the impact on employment of an increase in public spending by percent?
(c) What is the impact on capital stock of an increase in consumption spending by percent?
(d) Comment how this model can be employed for manpower planning?
(e) What is the major shortcoming of this model.
2 GDP per capita in an economy is 11850 and population 243589. Employment and output
share were as given below.
1.Take the total employment and output and sectoral composition of these employments and
output from the existing data.
81
2. Split the total output in labour and capital income using employment and income per
capita information. Sectoral employment is obtained by multiplying the sectoral share by total
employment. Then sectoral labour income is obtained by multiplying the sectoral employment
by the gross value added per worker. Sectoral output is obtained by multiplying the sectoral
share of output by total output. Capital income is the di¤erence between total output and
the labour income.
Study the input-output coe¢ cients and the …nal demand components included in Excel
spreadsheet as following
The input-output coe¢ cients of this economy can be approximated by the national input-
output coe¢ cients as above. Decompose this …nal demand into consumption, investment,
government consumption and export components again based on approximations from the
national input-output table.
Derive tax or imports components as residuals in the supply side - gross output minus inter-
mediate, labour and capitals costs altogether.
Check consistency that demand should equal supply for each sector in constructed input
output table.
82
(c) GAMS programme: Humber.gms
Bhattarai K. (2007) Economic Models of Hull and Humber Region, Atlantic Economic Jour-
nal, 35:473-490 December.
Leontief, W. (1949) Structural Matrices of National Economy, Econometrica, 17: 273-282,
Suppl.
Piggott, J. and J.Whalley (1985) UK Tax Policy and Applied General Equilibrium Analysis,
Cambridge University Press.
O¢ ce for National Statistics (ONS (1995)) Input Output: Tables for the United Kingdom,
HMSO, London.
Thijs ten Raa. (2005)The economics of input-output analysis Cambridge : Cambridge Uni-
versity Press
OECD IO database: http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx
Partial equilibrium is given by the price of the this commodity that clears this market holding
everything else constant
q d (p ) = q s (p ) (513)
GAMS programme: demand_supply_2.gms
83
Exercise Consider market for two interrelated goods with following demand and supply functions
with price elasticity parameters aij and income elasticity parameter bi :
(a11 n1 ) a12 p1 m1 b1 y k1
= (520)
a21 (a22 n2 ) p2 m2 b2 y k2
1
p1 (a11 n1 ) a12 m1 b1 y k1
= (521)
p2 a21 (a22 n2 ) m2 b2 y k2
By Cramer’s rule the solution of this system is:
m1 b1 y k1 a12
m2 b2 y k2 (a22 n2 )
p1 =
(a11 n1 ) a12
a21 (a22 n2 )
(m1 b1 y k1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 (m2 b2 y k2 )
= (522)
(a11 n1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 a21
(a11 n1 ) m1 b1 y k1
a21 m2 b2 y k2
p2 =
( a11 + n1 ) a12
a21 (a22 n2 )
(m2 b2 y k2 ) (a11 n1 ) a21 (m1 b1 y k1 )
= (523)
(a11 n1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 a21
Here coe¢ cients a11 and a22 are larger than a12 and a21 therefore the numerator is positive.
Equilibrium quantities can easily be derived substitution equilibrium prices in the supply equa-
tions
84
(m1 b1 y k1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 (m2 b2 y k2 )
q1 = m1 + n1 p1 = m1 + n1 (524)
( a11 + n1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 a21
m1 a11 ln (1 + t1 ) b1 y k1 a12
m2 a21 ln (1 + t1 ) b2 y k2 (a22 n2 )
p1 =
( a11 + n1 ) a12
a21 (a22 n2 )
(m1 a11 ln (1 + t1 ) b1 y k1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 (m2 a21 ln (1 + t1 ) b2 y k2 )
= (530)
( a11 + n1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 a21
( a11 + n1 ) m1 a11 ln (1 + t1 ) b1 y k1
a21 m2 a21 ln (1 + t1 ) b2 y k2
p2 =
( a11 + n1 ) a12
a21 (a22 n2 )
(m2 a21 ln (1 + t1 ) b2 y k2 ) ( a11 + n1 ) a21 (m1 a11 ln (1 + t1 ) b1 y k1 )
= (531)
( a11 + n1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 a21
85
(m2 a21 ln (1 + t1 ) b2 y k2 ) ( a11 + n1 ) a21 (m1 a11 ln (1 + t1 ) b1 y k1 )
q2 = m2 +n2 p2 = m2 +n2 (1 + t1 )
( a11 + n1 ) (a22 n2 ) a12 a21
(533)
What values of b1 and b2 imply normal, inferior or superior goods; what signs of aij imply
substitute or complements?
If the producer of good 1 is taxed instead they receive P1 (1 t1 ). This system could be solved
accordingly.
Q1. Derive the short run pro…t function for a …rm under the perfect competition
= PY wL rK (534)
Here is pro…t, L labour supply, K capital, w wage rate, P price of good, Y output . For
simplicity assume capital is …xed at K. Technology operates under the constant returns to
scale + = 1:
D = 150 3P (536)
S = 30 + 2P (537)
Equilibrium D =S implies P=24 and Q = 78.
Now there is tax in commodity so that consumers pay more and suppliers get less.
PD = PS + t (538)
where t is tax imposed per unit. Let t = 2.
86
D = 150 3P D = 150 3 PS + 2 (539)
Burden of Taxes in Partial Equilibrium Analysis (it depends on elasticities)
S = 30 + 2P S (541)
D S
P = 24:8 P = 22:8 Q= 75.6
Deadweight loss of taxes =loss of consumer surplus+loss of producer surplus=
= 0.5(0.8 2:4) + 0:5 (1:2 2:4) = 0:96 + 1:44 = 2:4
Elasticity of demand = -3 24
78 = 0:92 Elasticity of supply = 2 24
78 = 0:61 . Thus more burden
is taken by producers.
General equilibrium impacts are much di¤erent than the partial equilibrium impacts. General
equilibrium tax model is discussed in the next section. Bigger models are solved in GAMS.
Bhattarai K. and J. Whalley (1999) "The role of labour demand elasticities in tax incidence
analysis with heterogenous labour", Empirical Economics, 24:4:.599-620.
Marshall Alfred (1893) Consumer’s,Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social
Science, 3, 90-93
Sonnenschein Hugo (1968) The Dual of Duopoly Is Complementary Monopoly: or, Two of
Cournot’s Theories Are One Journal of Political Economy,76, 2, 316-318
Sonnenschein H. (1982) Price Dynamics Based on the Adjustment of Firms, American Eco-
nomic Review, 72, 5, 1088-1096
Tirole J. (2006) The Theory of Corporate Finance, Oxford: Princeton University Press.
Tirole J. (1995) The Theory of Industrial Organization, MIT Press.
Ci = 6qi (543)
Pro…t:
i = P qi Ci (544)
87
Cournot set up Pro…t of …rm 1
q1 = q2 = 8 (549)
P = 30 8 8 = 14 (550)
1 = 2 = 64 (551)
@ 1
= 0 ) q1 = 12 (555)
@q1
q1
q2 = 12 =6 (556)
2
P = 30 q1 q2 = 30 12 6 = 12 (557)
88
1 = P q1 6q1 = 12 12 6 12 = 72 (558)
2 = P q2 6q2 = 12 6 6 6 = 36 (559)
Consumer surpluses from both …rms
1
CS1 = 18 12 = 108 (560)
2
1
CS2 = 18 6 = 54 (561)
2
Total welfare under price leadership
@
= 24 2Q = 0 =) Q = 12 (564)
@Q
P = 30 Q = 30 12 = 18 (565)
Industry pro…t
= PQ C = 18 12 6 12 = 144 (566)
If both …rm are equally strong they will share output and pro…ts in half. q1 = q2 = 6 and
1 = 2 = 72
Welfare under cartel
1
CS1 = 12 6 = 36 (567)
2
1
CS2 = 12 6 = 36 (568)
2
89
Table 19: Cournot, Stackleberg and Cartel: Comparison
Cournot Stakleberg Cartel Perfect Competition
P 14 12 18 6
q1 8 12 6 24
q2 8 6 6 24
1 64 72 72 0
2 64 36 72 0
CS1 64 36 72 288
CS2 64 108 36 288
C1 48 72 36 144
C2 46 36 36 144
TW 256 270 216 576
max u = u q0 ; qi (570)
1
1
qi = k:pi ; k>0 (573)
Demand elasticity:
@qi pi 1
= = (574)
qi @pi 1
Producer’s problem with c as marginal cost and f as …xed cost:
1 c
pi 1 = c; pi = (576)
Less substitutable the product (smaller ) higher the product price (pi ) .
90
c
All …rms produce the same quantity qi = q; c q=f
f
q= (577)
c1
Thus level of output is higher with lower marginal cost. If perfectly substitutable ( = 1) the
level of output is in…nite. If nosubstitutable at all ( 0) no variety is produced.
How many …rms exist in the market?
Put this solution in the consumers’optimality condition.
c X 1
1
1 1
1 u1 c 1
1
u1 = u2 qi qi = u2 (nq ) q ; n= (578)
u2
u1
Now n can be determined by marginal utility ratio u2 and c and . See more in Tirole (1995 ,
ch. 7).
91
AC = 20 2X + 0:1X 2 (580)
Total cost:
AR =AC implies
P2 = 35 q1 q2 ; C2 = q22 (590)
When …rm I raises price …rm II does not raise its price and gets more pro…t by supplying more
but charging the same price. When …rm I reduces price …rm II also reduces price and produces
same as before but gets less pro…t.
The base line Cournot duopoly equilibrium:
92
2 = P2 q 2 C2 = (35 q1 q2 ) q2 q22 = 35q2 q1 q2 2q22 (592)
Reaction functions
@ 1
= 0 ) 105 q2 14q1 = 0 =) 14q1 + q2 = 105 (593)
@q1
@ 2
= 0 ) 35 q1 4q2 = 0 =) q1 + 4q2 = 35 (594)
@q2
Solving two reaction functions
q1 + 4q2 = 35 (596)
385
55q1 = 385 =) q1 = = 7; q2 = 7 (597)
55
P2 = 35 q1 q2 = 35 7 7 = 21 (599)
C2 = q22 = 72 = 49 (601)
2 = P2 q2 C2 = 21 7 72 = 147 49 = 98 (603)
Now consider that …rm I raises its price by 2 but the …rm II does not react.
P1 = 84 + 2 = 86 but P2 = 21
First get the reaction function of …rm II that does not change its price, i.e. or
P2 = 35 q1 q2 = 21 =) q2 = 14 q1
Use this reaction function of II into the price function of I to get output of …rm I.
P1 = 105 2q1 q2 = 105 2q1 (14 q1 ) =) 86 = 91 q1 =) q1 = 5
Using II’s reaction function
q2 = 14 q1 = 14 5=9 (604)
93
C1 = 5q12 = 5 52 = 125 (607)
C2 = q22 = 92 = 81 (608)
If the duopolist I reduces price by 2 the …rm II will also follow the suit.
P1 = 84 2 = 82 but P2 = 21 2 = 19
Given above demand functions
Firm I reduces its price by 2 i.e.
P2 = 35 q1 q2 ; =) 19 = 35 9 q2 =) q2 = 7 C2 = q22 (610)
Note …rm II wants to maintain the old level of output by reducing its price
2 = P2 q2 C2 = 19 7 72 = 133 49 = 84 (612)
C2 = q22 = 72 = 49 (614)
Summary of the Monopolistic Competition Model
94
Hall, R. and Hitch, C. 1939. "Price Theory and Business Behaviour" Oxford Economic Papers
Vol. 2, pp. 12-45.
Maskin, E. and Tirole, J. 1988. "A Theory of Dynamic Oligopoly, II: Price Competition,
Kinked Demand Curves, and Edgeworth Cycles" Econometrica Vol. 56, pp. 571-599.
Osborne, D. 1974. "A Duopoly Price Game" Economica Vol. 41, pp. 157-175.
Peck, M. 1961. Competition in the Aluminium Industry: 1945-58. Harvard University Press,
Cambridge.
Reid, G. 1981. The Kinked Demand Curve Analysis of Oligopoly: Theory and Evidence.
Edinburgh University Press, Edinburgh.
Stigler, G. 1947. "The Kinky Oligopoly Demand and Rigid Prices" The Journal of Political
Economy Vol. 55, pp. 432-449.
Stigler, G. 1978. "The literature of economics: the case of the kinked oligopoly demand curve"
Economic Inquiry Vol. 16, pp. 185–204.
Sweezy, P. 1939. "Demand Under Conditions of Oligopoly" The Journal of Political Economy
Vol. 47, pp. 568-573.
AC = 50 0:125X (616)
Total cost
95
AC = 50 0:125X = 50 0:125 (28:57) = 46:43 (622)
Two part tari¤ in natural monopoly Let the natural monopolist set price equal to the average
cost but let them allow any loss to be made by second tari¤ to each consumer. P = AC
50
P = 100 X = 50 0:125X =) X = = 58:14 (627)
0:857
Berg, Sanford; John Tschirhart (1988). Natural Monopoly Regulation: Principles and Prac-
tices. Cambridge University Press.
Baumol, William J.; Panzar, J. C.; Willig, R. D. (1982). Contestable Markets and the Theory
of Industry Structure. New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich.
Filippini, Massimo (1998). "Are Municipal Electricity Distribution Utilities Natural Monop-
olies?". Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics 69 (2): 157.
Sharkey, W. (1982). The Theory of Natural Monopoly. Cambridge University Press
96
4.3.1 Bertrand Game of price competition
There are two …rms and the market price is
P =a qA qB (631)
and the cost of production is
Ci = cqi (632)
Prove that Cournot reaction functions are given by
a c qB
qA = (633)
2
a c qA
qB = (634)
2
a c
qB = (638)
4
97
Bertrand competition Demand for product of …rm A depends on price it charge and price
charged by the rival …rm B
qA = a PA + bPB (639)
qB = a PB + bPA (640)
yt = (C1 + C2 t) rt + y (647)
r1 a11 C2 t
xt = (C1 + C2 t) er1 t + r +x (648)
a12 a12
p
where r1; r2 = tr(A)
2
1
2 tr(A)2 4 jAj; tr(A) = (a11 + a22 ) ; jAj = (a11 a22 a12 a21 )
c) Complex roots
yt = Rt [C1 cos( t) + C2 sin( t)] + y (649)
98
p q
2
tr(A)
where R = jAj; cos( ) = ) = 4 jAj tr(A)
2R ; sin( 2R
Two rival …rms are competing for a market by engaging in a price war; for 0 < < 1 and
0< <1
Price set by the …rst …rm against price of the rival xt
yt+1 (1 ) yt
= (653)
xt+1 (1 ) xt
Homegeneous solution is requires roots this system as:
tr(A) 1p
r2 tr(A)r + jAj = 0 and r1; r2 = tr(A)2 4 jAj (654)
2 2
tr(A) = 2 and jAj = (1 ) (1 ) =1 + =1
de…ne c = +
tr(A) 1p
r1; r2 = tr(A)2 4 jAj
2 2
2 1p
= (2 )2 4 (1 )
2 2
2 1p
= (4 4c + c2 4 (1 c)
2 2
2 1p 2
= c
2 2
2 1
= ( + ) (655)
2 2
2 1 1
r1 = + ( + ) = (2 + + )=1 (656)
2 2 2
2 1 1
r2 = ( + ) = (2 ) = (1 ) (657)
2 2 2
This is distinct and real roots case, therefore the homegenous system is
99
1 (1 ) t (1 ) (1 ) t
xt = C1 (1) + C2 (1 ) (661)
t t
yt = C1 (1) + C2 (1 ) (662)
1 (1 ) t (1 ) (1 ) t
xt = C1 (1) + C2 (1 ) (663)
t
yt = C1 + C2 (1 ) (664)
t
xt = C1 C2 (1 ) (665)
Initial conditions
for t = 0 ; y0 x0
y0 = C1 + C2 =) C1 = y0 C2 (666)
x0 = C1 C2 =) C2 = (C1 x0 ) =)
y0 + x0
C1 = y0 C2 = y0 (y0 x0 ) = (668)
+ +
Time path of price levels of …rm 1 and 2
y0 + x0 t
yt = + (y0 x0 ) (1 ) (669)
+ +
y0 + x0 t
xt = (y0 x0 ) (1 ) (670)
+ +
Whether yt , xt converge depends on whether + is greater, equal or less than zero. If +
< 1 then the second term disappears in above equations
y0 + x0
yt = (671)
+
y0 + x0
xt = (672)
+
d) Entry adjustment model
p = qD qS (673)
p = (a + bp mN ) >0 (674)
N = (p c) >0 (675)
100
r1 a11 r2 a11
y2 (t) = C1 er1 t + C2 er2 t + y 2 (677)
a12 a12
Solution to this problem is:
!
p b m p a
= + (678)
N 0 N c
p=c (681)
p = 0 implies
m a
p= N (682)
b b
Transitional dynamics
p depends on roots
tr(A) 1
r1; r2 = 2 2 tr(A)2 4 jAj ; tr(A) = b and jAj = m
b 1p 2 b2
r1; r2 = 4 m (683)
2 2
2 2
Complex root if b 4 m < 0 then
b 1p
p(t) = eht (A1 cos vt + A2 sin vt) + c; h = ; v= 4 m 2 b2 (684)
2 2
@p
This system converges if b < 0. Consider @N = m:
101
Oliver P Heila O P and K Helsen (2001) Toward an understanding of price wars: Their nature
and how they erupt, International Journal of Research in Marketing,18, 1–2, 83–98
Zhang Y and D. K. Round (2011) Price wars and price collusion in China’s airline markets,
International Journal of Industrial Organization, 29, 4, 361–372
1
Q=S b P P (687)
N
show that the average cost rises to number of …rms in the industry when all …rms charge
same price .
AC = n:F
s +c
S
[hint: Q = N] More …rms in the industry less each will sell and hence higher the AC.
1. (a) Prove that price charged by a particular …rm declines with the number of …rms
1
P =c+ (688)
b n
(b) Determine the number of …rms and price in equilibrium. Explain entry exit behavior
prices when number of …rms are below or above this equilibrium point. [draw price and
average cost curve against number of …rms in the industry.]
(c) Collusive and strategic behaviors may limit above conclusions. Discuss.
(d) Apply above model to explain international trade and its impact on prices and number
of …rms in a particular industry.
(e) Use this model to explain interindustry and intra-industry trade.
(f) Use monopolistic competition model to analyse consequences of dumping practices in
international trade.
Eckel C and P Neary (2010) Multi-Product Firms and Flexible Manufacturing in the Global
EconomyReview of Economic Studies 77 (1): 188-217.
102
Epifani P and G. Gancia (2011) Trade, markup heterogeneity and misallocations, Journal of
International Economics 83, 1, 1–13
Krugman PR (1979) Increasing returns, monopolistic competition, and international trade,
Journal of international Economics, 9, 4, , 469–479
Zhelobodko E , S Kokovin, M Parenti, JF Thisse (2012) Monopolistic competition: Beyond
the constant elasticity of substitution Econometrica, 80: 2765–2784.
= PQ TC T (689)
P =a bQ (690)
total cost with marginal cost c and …xed cost f
T C = cQ + f (691)
Tax revenue
T = tQ (692)
Substituting price, cost and revenue in pro…t function
a (c + t) a+c+t
P =a bQ = a b = (697)
2b 2
Pro…t of the monopolist then:
2
a+c+t a (c + t) fa (c + t)g
= (P c t) Q f= c t f= f (698)
2 2b 4b
103
Impact of taxes on pro…t, output, prices:
@ fa (c + t)g
= <0 (699)
@t 2b
@Q t
= <0 (700)
@t 2b
@P 1
= >0 (701)
@t 2
Higher tax rate will raise the price, lower the output and pro…ts for the monopolist.
What is optimal rate of tax for the government that maximises revenue from the monopolist?
a (c + t) at ct + t2
T = tQ = t = (702)
2b 2b
@T a c 2t a c
= = 0; t= (703)
@t 2b 2
@2T 1
= <0 (704)
@te b
Now, extend this tax model to the oligopoly market.
There are i = 1,..., N …rms in the market
Market supply
n
X
Q= qi (705)
i=1
n
X
P =a bQ = a b qi (706)
i=1
T Ci = (c + t) qi (707)
Tax revenue
T = tQ (708)
Pro…t of a particular …rm
n
!
X
1 = P q1 (c + t) q1 = a b qi q1 (c + t) q1
i=1
n
!
X
= a b qi q1 bq12 (c + t) q1 (709)
i=2
Pro…t of …rm i depends on costs of production, tax rates and on its own level of output and the
output of all other …rms.
104
Optimal condition for pro…t maximisation is:
n
X
@ 1
=a b qi 2bq1 (c + t) = 0 (710)
@q1 i=2
@2 1
= 2b < 0 (712)
@q12
Complication: there are N …rms in the market; …nding solution to q1 requires solution to output
of all N-1 …rms. For demand functions are symmetric, therefore marginal costs are same across all
…rms. Then each …rm will produce the same level of output, q. Putting this in the …rst order
condition
n
X
a b qi 2bq1 (c + t) = 0 (713)
i=2
a b (N 1) q 2bq1 (c + t) = 0 (714)
a bq (N + 1) c t=0 (715)
a c t
q= (716)
b (N + 1)
Now supply of all N …rms
n
X N a c t
Q= qi = N q = (717)
i=1
(N + 1) b
Market price:
n
X N a N
P =a b qi = a (a c t) = + (c + t) (718)
i=1
(N + 1) (N + 1) (N + 1)
Impact of number of …rms on output of a particular …rm
@q a c t
= 2 <0 (719)
@N b (N + 1)
Larger the N lower the q.
Impact of number of …rms on market supply
105
!
@Q (N + 1) 1 N a c t 1 a c t
= 2 = 2 >0 (720)
@N (N + 1) b (N + 1) b
Bigger the N larger the Q. Market supply increases when there are more …rms in the market.
Impact of number of …rms on market price:
@P a 1 a c t
= 2 + 2 (c + t) = 2 <0 (721)
@N (N + 1) (N + 1) (N + 1)
Bigger the N smaller the P. Price decreases with larger number of …rms in the market.
Impact of number of …rms on tax revenue:
N a c t
T = tQ = t (722)
(N + 1) b
For revenue maximising tax rate
@T N a c 2t
= =0 (723)
@N (N + 1) b
a c
t= (724)
2
@2T N 2
2
= <0 (725)
@t (N + 1) b
Thus the revenue maximising tax rate is t = a 2 c in both monopoly and oligopoly. Therefore
the market structure does not matter for revenue maximising tax rate.
Exercise:
Inverse demand and cost functions for a monopolist are
p=a bq (726)
C = cq 2 (727)
Government imposes a tax t per unit of output. How does it a¤ect output (q) and prices. Prove
that tax reduces the level of output.
4.6 Tripoly
Market conditions where only three …rms supply to the market. Conjectural variation one …rm
against another matter for pricing and output decisions and have impact on pro…ts.
P =a bQ = a b (q1 + q2 + q3 ) (728)
C i = ci q i (729)
1 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q1 C1 (730)
106
2 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q2 C2 (731)
3 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q3 C3 (732)
@q2 @q3 @q1 @q3 @q1 @q2
Conjectural variations give how certain …rm react to output decision of other …rms: @q1 ; @q1 ; @q2 ; @q2 ; @q3 ; @q3
@ 1 @q2 @q3
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq1 1 + + c1 = 0 (733)
@q1 @q1 @q1
@ 2 @q1 @q3
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq2 +1+ c2 = 0 (734)
@q2 @q2 @q2
@ 3 @q1 @q2
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq3 + +1 c3 = 0 (735)
@q3 @q3 @q3
2 @q2 @q3
32 3 2 a c1 3
2+ @q1 + @q1 1 1 q1
6 74 b
5 q2 5 = 4 b 2 5
@q1 @q3 a c
4 1 @q2 +2+ @q2 1 (736)
@q1 a c3
1 1 @q3 + @q
@q3 + 2
2 q3 b
Optimal output for each …rm could be solved using matrix inverse or the Cramer’s rule:
Let R1 = 2 + @q @q3 @q1 @q3 @q1 @q2
@q1 + @q1 ; R2 = 2 + @q2 + @q2 ; R3 = 2 + @q3 + @q3
2
2 3 2 3 1 2 a c1
3
q1 R1 1 1 b
4 q2 5 = 4 1 R2 1 5 4 a c2 5 (737)
b
a c3
q3 1 1 R3 b
Determinant
jRj = R1 R2 R3 R1 R2 R3 + 2 (738)
Cofactor matrix
2 3
R2 1 1
1 1 R2
6 1 R3 1
R3 1 1 7 2 3
6 7 R2 R3 1 (R3 1) 1 R2
6 1 1 R1 1 R1 1 7
C=6
6
7 = 4 (R3 1)
7 R1 R3 1 (R1 1) 5
6 1 R3 1 R3 1 1 7
4 5 1 R2 (R1 1) R1 R2 1
1 1 R1 1 R1 1
R2 1 1 1 1 R2
(739)
0
This is
2 a symmetric matrix and C = C 3
R2 R3 1 (R3 1) 1 R2
C 0 = 4 (R3 1) R1 R3 1 (R1 1) 5
1 R2 (R1 1) R1 R2 1
2 3 2 32 a c1
3
q1 R2 R3 1 (R3 1) 1 R2
4 q2 5 = 1 4 (R3 1)
b
R1 R3 1 (R1 1) 5 4 a c2
b
5
R1 R2 R3 R1 R2 R3 + 2 a c3
q3 1 R2 (R1 1) R1 R2 1 b
(740)
107
(R2 R3 1) a bc1 (R3 1) a bc2 + (1 R2 ) a bc3
q1 = (741)
R1 R2 R3 R1 R2 R3 + 2
(R3 1) a bc1 + (R1 R3 1) a bc2 (R1 1) a bc3
q2 = (742)
R1 R2 R3 R1 R2 R3 + 2
R2 ) a bc1 (R1 1) a bc2 + (R1 R2 1) a bc3
(1
q3 = (743)
R1 R2 R3 R1 R2 R3 + 2
Equilibrium price now obtained by substituting these quantities in the demand function
P = a b (q1 + q2 + q3 ) (744)
2 3
(R2 R3 1) a bc1 (R3 1) a bc2 + (1 R2 ) a bc3
6 + (R3 1) a bc1 + (R1 R3 1) a bc2 (R1 1) a bc3 7
6 7
6 + (1 R2 ) a bc1 (R1 1) a bc2 + (R1 R2 1) a bc3 7
= a b66
7
7 (745)
6 R1 R2 R3 R1 R2 R3 + 2 7
4 5
Pro…t of …rm 1
2 3
(R2 R3 1) a bc1 (R3 1) a bc2 + (1 R2 ) a bc3
6 + (R3 1) a bc1 + (R1 R3 1) a bc2 (R1 1) a bc3 7
6 7
6 + (1 R2 ) a bc1 (R1 1) a bc2 + (R1 R2 1) a bc3 7
1 = a b6
6
7
7 (746)
6 R1 R2 R3 R1 R2 R3 + 2 7
4 5
P =a bQ = a b (q1 + q2 + q3 ) (748)
Ci = cqi (749)
a c
Now prove that each …rm produces q1 = 6b which is one third of the market size and market
price is P = a+c
2 .
@ 1 @q2 @q3
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq1 1 + + c=0 (750)
@q1 @q1 @q1
@ 2 @q1 @q3
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq2 +1+ c=0 (751)
@q2 @q2 @q2
108
@ 3 @q1 @q2
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq3 + +1 c=0 (752)
@q3 @q3 @q3
because of conjectural assumptions:
@ 1
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq1 (1 + 1 + 1) c=0 (753)
@q1
@ 2
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq2 (1 + 1 + 1) c=0 (754)
@q2
@ 3
= [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] bq3 (1 + 1 + 1) c=0 (755)
@q3
2 32 3 2 a c 3
4 1 1 q1 b
4 1 4 1 5 4 q2 5 = 4 a c 5 (756)
b
a c
1 1 4 q3 b
2 3 2 3 12 a c 3
q1 4 1 1 b
4 q2 5 = 4 1 4 1 5 4 ab c 5 (757)
a c
q3 1 1 4 b
By Cramer’s rule
a c
1 1
1 b
a c 1 a c a c a c
q1 = b 4 1 = 18 9 = (758)
54 a c 54 b b 6b
b 1 4
a c
4 1
1 b
a c 1 a c a c a c
q2 = 1 b 1 = 18 9 = (759)
54 a c 54 b b 6b
1 b 4
a c
4 1
1 b
a c 1 a c a c a c
q3 = 1 4 b = 18 9 = (760)
54 a c 54 b b 6b
1 1 b
Equilibrium price
a c a c a c a c a+c
P =a b (q1 + q2 + q3 ) = a b + + =a = (761)
6b 6b 6b 2 2
2
a+c a c a c (a c)
1 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q1 C1 = c = (762)
2 6b 6b 12b
2
(a c)
2 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q2 C2 = (763)
12b
2
(a c)
3 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q3 C3 = (764)
12b
QED.
109
Baldani J, J. Brad…eld and R. Turner (2004) Mathematical Economics, the Drydon Press,
London.
Murakami H And R Asahi (2011) An Empirical Analysis Of The E¤ect Of Multimarket
Contacts On Us Air Carriers’Pricing Behaviors, Singapore Economic Review 56:04, 593-600
These OLI factors indicate why MNCs have cost advantages in going abroad because of own-
ership of …rm speci…c factors such as R&D, scienti…c and technical workers, product novelty and
complexity, and marketing expenditures. Also when they have more intangible assets such as
management, engineering, marketing, …nancial services, patents and trademarks. Similarly, tari¤s,
quota, transportation cost, cheap production and customer base are also key location factors for
FDI by a MNC. Internalisation refers to full exploitation of product and processes within the …rm
rather than by licensing or franchising to …rms in other countries. The degree of economies of scale
and the structure of market determine the amount of in‡ows and out‡ows and which one of its FDI
activities are strategically stable in the long run.
110
A simple way to analyse the underlying microeconomic theory of FDI activity is to think of
a MNC as a monopolist facing two di¤erent demand functions at home and abroad. It has …rm
speci…c capital, but the two markets di¤er on the structure of demand and cost conditions. In order
for an MNC to open a subsidiary in a foreign market the cost of exporting goods (transportation,
tari¤ and other costs) must be higher than the …xed cost of setting up business in that foreign
country. Bargaining on the share of pro…t for host and MNC has to be further considered in order
to determine net bene…ts to each. In a survey of …rms in the Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany,
Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Finland, Sweden, the United Kingdom and
Norway the proportion of enterprises carrying out international sourcing state labour cost to be the
main motivation of FDI as stated in Table 1.
Markusen (1995) nicely illustrated the strategic interaction issues of licensing versus subsidiary
production. Taking a two period model of production with given rental fees of license or cost of
subsidiary operation and possibility of defect in the second period. Committing host …rms to the
licence agreements is di¢ cult. Pro…ts earned by an MNC that sells licence of running the business
to a host …rm that defects on the agreement in the second period are less than when the MNC
runs subsidiary operation in the country. Pro…ts from the subsidiary operation would be less if the
licence agreement is implemented without defecting in the second period. This can be summarised
as (R + D F C < 2M F C < 2R F C) where R is the rental income from licensing of a partner
foreign …rm, D is the payments made in case the licensee defects in the second period (this deters
the licensee from supplying the market itself after gaining the know-how from the MNC in the …rst
period), F C is the …xed cost of FDI to the MNC, and M is the pro…t from subsidiary when FDI takes
the form of subsidiary operation. Higher probability of cheating on license agreements motivates
an MNC to run a subsidiary but it would have preferred licensing than opening a subsidiary if it
was guaranteed of full commitment to a license agreement. He concludes that direct investment
is more likely in cases where technology has the joint input characteristic of knowledge capital.
Thus reduction in the production cost is the main microeconomic evidence for the operation of the
multinational corporations of the OECD countries. Here the reduction in the labour costs is the
main incentive of the multinational followed by access to markets for strategic decisions, reduction
of other costs as can be seen from Table above (see Appendix C for a micro model with uncertainty).
How does the market structure in‡uence on price and output decision of a …rm?
Assume that the MNC has home and foreign markets, faces distinct demand curves across
two countries and faces di¤erent cost curves. Home market is more lucrative than the foreign
market both in terms of prices and cost e¤ectiveness. Despite that the MNC has a global ambition,
therefore it aims to extend its business in overseas markets. The main objective of the MNC is to
control the market and to maximise pro…t.
Demand in home country
P1 = 130 Q1 (765)
and associated cost function is
C1 = 10Q1 (766)
Demand in the foreign (host) country
P2 = 90 Q2 (767)
and associated cost function is
111
C2 = 20Q2 (768)
Under the perfect competitions free entry among potential …rms drive the prices to the average
costs.
Q P R C Pro…t
Home 120 10 1200 1200 0
Host 70 20 1400 1400 0
If this …rm possessed absolute monopoly power in the home and foreign markets it will earn
abnormal economic pro…t both at home and abroad by charging very high prices and by reducing
amount supplied.
This reduces consumer surplus from 7800 to 2100, a reduction of 73 percent.
Q P R C Pro…t
Home 60 70 4200 600 3600
Host 35 55 1925 700 1225
Markets are distinct and separate, it is not possible for others to buy in one and sell in another
country. It is possible for MNC to engage itself in a discriminatory practice.
Marginal revenue and marginal cost principle for country 1 implies
90 2Q2 = 20 (770)
The solution of these two markets
Q P R C Pro…t
Home 60 70 4200 600 3600
Host 35 55 1925 700 1225
The transportation cost should be greater than the cost di¤erences (t > C1 C2 )to justify
foreign operation. If (t C1 C2 ) the MNC can safely export by producing at home country.
If the MNC plays a Nash non-cooperative game:
112
Demand in host country is given by
P = 90 (q1 + q2 ) (771)
with associated cost function
C1 = 20Q1 (772)
Foreign …rms are less competitive
C2 = 30Q2 (773)
Now the pro…t functions
2q1 + q2 = 70 (776)
q1 + 2q2 = 60 (777)
80 50
q1 = 3 = 26:6 and q2 = 3 = 16:7 Market price
113
MNC can do better by playing a price leadership or predatory pricing strategy.
For price leadership, it takes account of reaction function of its rival host form while deciding
price
1 1 2
1 = 90q1 q12 q1 q2 = 30 q 20q1 = 40q1 q (781)
2 1 2 1
q1 = 40 and q2 = 10
Price in the host country
Where Y is demand shock, r is constant interest rate, 0 < < 1 is share of FDI in total
investment, F is the amount of FDI. Shock to demand is given by a Winner process z with drift
term aF and the standard deviation of F .
dY = aF dt + FY dz (784)
114
Whether it is pro…table to invest depends on the critical level of demand shock Y that depends
on a host of technology and preference side parameters. Optimisation problem of the …rm is given
by:
h i
1
V (Y ) = max E ; (1 + rdt) V (Y + dY ) (785)
According to Dixit and Pindyk (1994) the Ito’s Lemma implies partial di¤erential equation
1 2 2 00
Y V (Y ) + aF V 0 (Y ) rF V 0 (Y ) = 0 (786)
2 F
and F V 0 (Y ) must satisfy following boundary conditions:
V (Y ) = E F Y (787)
E F Y
V 0 (Y ) = (788)
@Y
E F = l ( )Y F (789)
The function that satis…es all above equations is:
V (Y ) = mY (790)
mY = l ( )Y F (791)
1 1
mY = l ( )Y (792)
Solving these we get
2 3
1 F
Y =4 5 (793)
l ( )
Flow of FDI thus occurs only when the critical conditions are met and rely mainly on the future
expectations of pro…ts by the investors in a world that is inherently uncertain as shown by the
Brownian motion in this model. Micro motivations of FDI in this model …ts well to characterise
the analytical aspects of microeconomic justi…cation for the foreign capital (F) from MNCs that
was driving growth in our macro model.
115
4.9 General equilibrium model of a multinational …rm:Batra and Ra-
machandran(1980)
Two country two …rm model with perfect competition, linearly homogeneous and concave
production functions, full employment, and inelastic factor supplies.
Let X be the output of a multinational …rm and Y be the output of local …rms in the source
country.
Multinational …rm’s product requires labour and capital input and …rm speci…c input S.
X = X(Lx ; Kx ; S) (796)
Local …rm produces output using capital and labour.
Y = Y (LY ; Ky ) (797)
Host country MNC and Local …rms: A star denotes the variables in the host country:
X = X (Lx ; Kx ; S ) (798)
Y = Y (LY ; LY )
Marginal conditions
2
Xj > 0; Xjj < 0; Xjk > 0 (j; k = K; L; S; j#k); XLL XKK XKL >0 (799)
and in Y
2
Yj > 0; Yjj < 0; YKL > 0 (j = L; K); YLL YKK YKL =0 (800)
Tax base in host country with p as the relative price of X in terms of Y:
B = (p X w Lx ) (801)
p = p(l + ) where > 0 is the host country’s tari¤ rate on its import of good X
Tax base in source country
C = (p X w Lx )t (803)
Global pro…t after taxes:
116
F be the expenses incurred by the …rm for research and managerial development necessary to
maintain its global leadership.
capital stock owned by the international …rms is mobile across countries
r=r (805)
Factor prices and optimal conditions: pro…t maximization by the multinational …rm:
pXL = wx ; p XL = wX (806)
pXk (l t) = rx ; p XK (l t ) = rx (807)
pro…t maximization by local …rms:
YL = wY ; YL = w (808)
YK = ry YK = ry (809)
The wage rate is the same in both sectors:
w = wx = wy ; w = wx = wy (810)
Equilibrium conditions between MNC and Local …rms; factor-market equilibrium conditions
which determine the allocation of labor between the two sectors in each country and of the multi-
national capital between the two countries.
Lx + Ly = L (814)
Lx + Ly = L (815)
Kx + Kx = K x (816)
Equilibrium between MNC and Local …rms; resource allocation within each country and the
process of capital movements between the two countries can be determined with the help of six
equations given above, containing six variables (Lx ; Ly ; Lx ; Ly ; Kx and Kx )and eleven parameters
(S; S ; KY ; ; Ky ; L; L ; K x ; p; t; t ; and ; p = p(l + ))
Reduced form:
p XL (Lx ; Kx ; S ) = YL (L Lx ; Ky ) (817)
117
pXL (Lx ; Kx ; S) = YL (L Lx ; Ky ) (818)
2 3 2 3 12 3
dLx p XLL + YLL p XLK 0 0
4 dKx 5 = 4 0 pXLK pXLL + YLL 5 4 0 5 (821)
dLx p 1 t XLK p 1 t XKK + p (1 t) XKK p (1 t) XKL p Xk dt pXk dt
D e te rm in a nt
2
D = p XLL + YLL p XLK (1 t) XKL
2
+p XLK pXLL + YLL 1 t XLK
p 1 t XKK
pXLL + YLL p XLL + YLL > 0 (822)
+p (1 t) XKK
0 p XLK 0
0 pXLK pXLL + YLL
p Xk dt pXk dt p 1 t XKK + p (1 t) XKK p (1 t) XKL
dLx = (823)
D
h i
p XLK pXLL + YLL p Xk dt pXk dt
=
D
p XLL + YLL 0 0
0 0 pXLL + YLL
p (1 t ) XLK p Xk dt pXk dt p (1 t) XKL
dKx = (825)
D
(pXLL + YLL ) [p Xk dt pXk dt] (p XLL + YLL )
=
D
Impacts of taxes and tari¤s on the employment, income and pro…ts
A number of impact assessment could be carried out with this model:
1. Impact of taxes on international investment on employment, wages and capital stock in the
host country
2. impact of tari¤s imposed by the host country
3. Implications on the terms of trade
118
4.9.1 Empirical evidence on growth e¤ects of FDI
Consider a panel data regression model aimed to measure the impacts of FDI on economic growth:
Table 29: Determinants of growth in OECD countries: Panel Model (pooled estimation)
Coe¢ cient t-value t-prob
Intercept 0.03319 2.400 0.017
growth-1 0.30686 2.360 0.019
FDI ratio 0.00049 4.680 0.000
tax rate -0.00042 -2.010 0.045
invratio 0.86255 4.270 0.000
invratio-1 -0.85115 -4.670 0.000
R2 = 0.42; N =31; T = 14; Chi2 =399.2 [0.000]
Bhattarai (2012)
P S = 2Q + 1 (828)
119
2. Consider a multiproduct …rm with revenue and total cost as following
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121
4.9.3 General equilibrium with production
1. Consider problems of households and …rms in a market economy.
Households problem
max U = C:L (831)
P C + wL = wL (832)
L = L + LS (833)
Firm’s problem
Subject to
Y = LS K (835)
(a) Derive the household’s optimal demand functions for C and L. Explain how the real
wage rate, K and L in‡uence in these demands.
(b) Derive the demand for labour,LS and explain how it relates to the real wage rate.
(c) Find the real wage rate that solves both household and …rm problems.
(d) What are the optimal consumption, leisure demand, labour supply and utility?
(e) Represent this result in a diagram.
2. Simplify the production technology further to Y = aLS: What would be optimal consumption,
leisure and labour supply now.
3. What will be allocations if the utility is additive on consumption and leisure U = C + L and
the the production is linear in labour supply Y = aLS:
122
and pollution over time and also to determine how a government can in‡uence market outcomes
by distorting the equilibrium prices by means of taxes and transfers. It can show how the labour
leisure choice of households and employment level of …rms, growth rate of output, employment and
capital and the investments occurs through the optimization process of the households, …rms and
traders and how one set of policies can be more e¢ cient than others in generating the optimal levels
of utility for all households leading to just and best social welfare result for the economy.
Equilibrium is a point of rest, where the opposing forces remain in balance. Theoretically there
has been much work, since the time of Adam Smith and Walras to Arrow-Debreau-Hahn-McKinzie
for …nding whether it exists, or is unique or is stable along with analysis of Pareto e¢ ciency for a
centralised or decentralised economy. In abstract level, existence of equilibrium or Walras’ law is
proved using a unit simplex and Brouwer’s …xed point theorem in which the uniqueness is guaranteed
by the choice of preferences and technology and trade functions that ful…l continuity, concavity
or convexity or twice di¤erentiability properties. In applied policy work, numerical methods are
adopted to …nd the solutions of these models as the explicit analytical solutions are possible only for
very small scale models that hardly represent highly complicated mechanism in a modern economy.
A general equilibrium is obatained when the excess demand (demand -supply) is eliminated by
the adustment in the relative prices.
Given the vector of prices, p = (p1; p1; ; :::; pj; :::pn ) demand for commodities are expressed in
terms of the price vector Xjd = Xjd (p) = Xjd (p1; p1; ; :::; pj; :::pn ) and
supply functions de…ned similarly Xjs = Xjs (p) = Xjs (p1; p1; ; :::; pj; :::pn ) and
the excess demand functions E (p) = Xjd (p) Xjs (p) re‡ect the gap between demand and
supply for each commodity for j = 1; 2; : : : : : : :n: Economy has n excess demand functions.
The general equilibrium is a price vector, p , such that p > 0, when E (p ) 0 ;if E (p ) < 0
then p = 0
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equilibrium theory. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 2:95–118.
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Debreu G (1970). Economies with a …nite set of equilibria. Econometrica, 38:387–392.
Kehoe T. J. (1984) Computing all of the equilibria of economies with two factors of production.
Journal of Mathematical Economics, 13:207–223.
123
T.J.Kehoe and J.Whalley (1985) Uniqueness of equilibrium in large-scale numerical general
equilibrium models. Journal of Public Economics, 28:247–254.
McKenzie L. (1954).On equilibrium in Graham’s model of world trade and other competitive
systems. Econometrica, 22:147–161.
If the excess demand functions satisfy above properties then, the existence of the general
equilibrium is guaranteed by …xed point theorems.
Consider a set of the excess demand functions evaluated at p. Update or adjust this price
according to following rules for each of j commodities:
8 9
< pj = pj if E (pj ) = 0 =
pj = pj + if E (pj ) > 0 for j = 1; 2; :::; N (837)
: ;
pj = pj if E (pj ) < 0
124
Here represents a very small positive constant. Following above rule in each iteration …nd
new prices as
p ! E (pj ) =) p (838)
p remains unchanged if excess demand is zero, E (p) = 0 ; p rises if, E (p) > 0 and p falls if
E (p) < 0and if E (p) < 0 then p = 0.
The …xed equilibrium point is found by continuous transformation of the nonempty convex set
onto itself
p ! E (p ) =) p (839)
Graphical Illustration of Brouwer …xed point theorem
x* = f ( x* )
f (x)
450
a
a x* b
125
Steps:
1. select an initial simplex and grid size D (5 in above simplex).
2. calculate the labels of vertices of the initial simplex by applying the labelling rule.
3. If the simplex is completely labelled go to step 5 else to step 4.
4. generate a new vertex applying the replacement rule. Determine the label of new vertex.
5. Since the vertex is completely labelled an approximation to competitive equilibrium has
been found where the excess demand is less than a selected small number.
Merrill’s algorithm, Van der Laan and Talman algorithm, Newton methods, Miles, Path are
other algorithm to compute general equilibrium.
Exercise (i) …nd the co-ordinates for any …ve sub-simplices (ii) show division of this unit simplex
for grid size of 10.
Shoven J. B. and J. Whalley (1992) Applying General Equilibrium, Chapters 2 and 3, Cam-
bridge University Press.
More explicit proof of the Brouwer’t theorem requires use of Sperner’s Lemma and Kanster-
Kuatowski-Mazzurkeiwiecz (KKM) theorem which can be found at Ross Starr (1997) on …xed point
algorithm and convex hull.
Kakutani …xed point theorems
For K an non-empty compact (closed and bounded) convex set in Rn , let F a correspondence
K K and suppose that
a. . F (x)is a nonempty convex set in K for each x in K
b. F is upper hemicontinous
Then F has a a …xed point x in K i.e a point x such that x 2 F (x ) :
First and second theorems of welfare
The equilibrium is unique if the principal minors of J alternate in sign, its values is positive
for even number of rows and columns; and negative for uneven number of rows and columns.
126
Stability of equilibrium Intriligator (1971) suggests decentralised iterative computation of equi-
librium, leading to time paths for quantities and prices. If these time paths eventually converge to
equilibrium values then the process is table.
x = (x1; x1; ; :::; xj; :::xn )
p = (p1; p1; ; :::; pj; :::pn )
Equilibrium is locally stable if
where p (t0 ) denotes the initial starting point and the Euclidean norm in the price space.
Equilibrium is globally stable if it is reached regardless of any starting point lim p (t) = p
t !1
for any p (t0 ) :
The classical approach to Walrasian tatonement process is to raise the price if the total market
demand is greater than supply and lower the prices if the demand is less than supply and keep price
unchanged in the total market demand equals total market supply. This in terms of excess demand
function stability in the Walrasian system requires
8 9 8 9
@pj < > = < > =
=p < = if E (pj ) < 0 for j = 1; 2; :::; N (842)
dt : ; : ;
= =
Economic system is described by a system of relative prices that clear all goods and factor
markets. It is often stated in terms of vectors of prices, demand and supply and excess demand
functions for inputs and outputs.
127
m
X m
X
Feasibility condition: xi = ei
i i
Equilibrium can be represented using a budget constraint for consumer i and Edgeworth box
diagram in case of two consumers and Euclidian space for m consumers.
Prove existence using the Fixed point theorem such that equilibrium price vector p and the
allocation x each of dimension 1 m and equilibrium allocation (p; x) are feasible and maximise
consumer’s preferences over commodities.
Equilibrium with production
A possible allocation (x; y) = (x1; ::::; xm; y1::::; yn ) for consumers and producers satisfying fol-
lowing:
Consumption set: x 2 X
Production possibility set: y 2 Y
m
X Xm X m
Resource balance condition: xi = ei + yi
i i P i
Wealth of the consumer: w1 (p) = p:e1 + i;j j (p)
j
Supply correspondence: sj (p) = fy 2 Yj : y 0 2 Yj =) p:y p:y 0 g
Xm
P
Excess demand correspondence: z (p) = (di (p) ei ) si (p)
i i
A competitive equilibrium is a pair of prices, demand and supply (p; (x; y)) with p a vector in
Rn and xi 2 di (p) for consumer i to m, and y j 2 Sj (p) for …rms j to n and where the excess
demand z (p) is zero in equilibrium.
Now consider a Robinson Crusoe economy
Commodity space: R2 (leisure and food)
Consumer characteristic: Xi = R2+
Endowment: ei = (24; 0)
Preference relation: i U (L; F n= LF
p o
Producer characteristics: ; Yj ( L; F ) : L 0; F L
p
where F = L is the production function.
2
PF PF PF PF2 PF2 2
1 PF
Pro…t : = PF F PL F 2 and F = 2PL and = PF 2PL PL 2PL = 2PL 4PL = 4 PL
2
1 PF PF
Supply of Food : s (PL ; PF ) = 4 PL ; 2P L
P 1 PF
2
Value of endowment: w1 (p) = p:e1 + i;j j (p) = 24PL + 4 PL
j
n o n o
P2 P2 2
1 PF PL 1 PF
1
Demand: d (PL ; PF ) = 2PL 24PL + 14 PFL ; 2P1F 24PL + 14 PFL = 12 + 2 ; 12 P
8 PL F
+ 8 PL
1 PF2 1 PF2
12 + = 24 (844)
8 PL2 4 PL
128
Food demand and supply
PL 1 PF PF
12 + = (845)
PF 8 PL 2PL
Both of above markets give the same solution; by the Walras’ law when labour market clears
food market
p clears as well. This model determines the only relative price. From labour market
PF
PL = 4 2:
Normalise PL = 1:
Equilibrium solution: p
price vector: (PL ; PF ) = h1; 4 2
2
1 PF
p p i
demand vector: (L; F ) = 12 + 2
8 PL = 12 + 1 16 2
8 1 = 16; 12 PPFL + 1 PF
8 PL
1
= 12 4p 2
+ 14 2
8 1 = p3
2
+ p1
2
=2 2 =
p
16; 2 2
p
output vector: (LS; F ) = 8; 2 2
Propositions
1. excess demand function is homogenous of degree zero; for every constant 0 the
m
X
z ( p) = z (p). Prove it. (numeraire commodity, normalisation of absolute prices jpi j =
i
m
X
1;. p2i = 1.
i
2. If consumer’s preferences are non-satiated then the Walras’law holds. Use the neighbour-
hood theorem with " > 0
p1 z1 (p) + p2 z2 (p) + ::: + pm 1 zm 1 (p) + pm zm (p) = 0
Represent equilibrium allocations of production, endowment and consumption in a single dia-
gram.
Households, h = A B.
Two goods X1 and X2
Endowments of two goods ! A A B B
1 !2 !1 !2
Objective of each is to maximise life time utility subject to budget constraints w r t X1 and
X2
Equilibrium relative price determines the optimal allocation; It is Pareto Optimal.
Three conditions
129
3. Firms maximise pro…t: zero economic pro…t in competitive markets
Relative Prices
2. equilibrium.
3. Relative prices are determined by forces of demand and supply.
4. Numeraire or anchor price; normalised to 1.
P1 X1A + P2 X2A = P1 ! A A
1 + P2 ! 2 = I
A
(847)
For household B
1
U (X1B ; X2B ) = X1B X2B
B B
M ax (848)
Subject to the budget constraint:
P1 X1B + P2 X2B = P1 ! B B
1 + P2 ! 2 = I
B
(849)
Intertemporal budget constraint
Lagrangian for constrained optimisation for Household A :
1
LA = X1A X2A P1 ! A A
P1 X1A P2 X2A
A A
+ 1 + P2 ! 2 (850)
Lagrangian for constrained optimisation for Household V :
1
LB = X1B X2B P1 ! B B
P1 X1B P2 X2B
B B
+ 1 + P2 ! 2 (851)
First order conditions for optimisation
For household A and B
130
@LA 1 1
X1A X2A
A A
= A P1 = 0 (852)
@X1A
@LA
X1A X2A
A A
= (1 A) P2 = 0 (853)
@X2A
@LA
= P1 ! A A
1 + P2 ! 2 P1 X1A P2 X2A = 0 (854)
@
@LB 1 1
X1B X2B
B B
= B P1 = 0 (855)
@X1B
@LB
X1B X2B
B B
= (1 B) P2 = 0 (856)
@X2B
@LB
= P1 ! B B
1 + P2 ! 2 P1 X1B P2 X2B = 0 (857)
@
Demand and market clearing conditions
For household A
A A
AI (1 A) I
X1A = ; X2A = (858)
P1 P2
For household B
B B
BI (1 B) I
X1B = ; X2B = (859)
P1 P2
Market clears each period
X1A + X1B = ! A B
1 + !1 (860)
X2A + X2B = ! A B
2 + !2 (861)
Market clearing Prices
Obtained from the market clearing conditions
A B
AI BI
+ = !A B
1 + !1 (862)
P1 P1
A B
(1 A) I (1 B) I
+ = !A B
2 + !2 (863)
P2 P2
Walrasian numeraire: P1 = 1: with this speci…cation
I A = !A
1 I B = P2 ! B
2 (864)
Equilibrium Relative Price and Proof of Walras’Law
131
Table 30: Parameters in Pure Exchange Model
Household A Household B
A A
Endowments ! 1 ; ! 2 = f100; 0g B
!1 ; !B
2 = f0; 200g
Preference for X1 ( ) 0:4 0:6
Preference for X2 (1 ) 0.6 0.4
A B
AI BI A B
+ = AI + BI
P1 P1
A B
= A !1 + B P2 ! 2 = !A
1
0:4 (100) + 0:6 (200) P2 = 100; P2 = 0:5
I A = !A
1 = 100 I B = P2 ! B
2 = 0:5 (200) = 100 (865)
Theoretical observations
Relative prices of goods, income and consumption change when preferences ( alpha, beta)
change.
Change in the relative income a¤ects the level of utility and welfare of households
Household A can make household B worse o¤ by increasing the demand of good 1 that he
owns ( or supplying less to the market).
Household B can increase his relative income and reduce the relative price of good 1 by
increasing the demand for good 2 (reducing its supply).
Relative prices and allocations depend on preferences and endowments.
Homework
Do sensitivity analysis (solve model for various parametric speci…cations
1) by changing endowments ! A A
1 ; !2 = f100; 50g and ! B B
1 ; !2 = f200; 150g
2) by changing preferences f A , B g = f0:50; 0:50g ; f A , B g = f0:750; 0:30g
3) introduce VAT of 20 percent in commodity 1. Assume that revenue collected is spent entirely
by the government and does not add to any utility for the household.
GAMS programme: pexchange.gms; proto.gms; tax2sector.gms; tax_3sectr_utils.gms
132
5.3.1 Exercise 11: Ricardian trade model
1. Develop the above model for two countries and …nd the global equilibrium in two country
world.
2. Show that relative output of country 1 not only in domestic costs but also the output and
cost in the foreign country.
3. Represent the global economy by three representative countries with the following problem
subject to
System of prices when all markets clear simultaneously (all goods and factor markets)
In general equilibrium is obtained by the price system when economy is in perfect harmony.
Consider one of the easiest possible example of a general equilibrium model with production
Exercise
Prove that a …rm need to pay higher wage rate to its workers and lower the price of commodity
while expanding output if it operates under an increasing returns to scale technology such as
Y = L2 .
133
5.5 General equilibrium with production
Bhattarai K. (2006) Macroeconomic Impacts of Taxes: A General Equilibrium Analysis, In-
dian Economic Journal, 54:2:95-116.
max U = C l(1 )
(869)
Subject to time and budget constraints:
l + hs = 1 (870)
pc = whs + (871)
c > 0; h > 0;and l > 0;
s
where c is consumption,l is leisure and hs is labour supply, p is the price of the commodity, w
is the wage rate is the pro…t from owning the …rm.
General equilibrium question: problem of the …rm
The producer wants to maximise pro…t by selling goods produced using the labour supplied by
the household.
Problem of the …rm
= py whd (872)
subject to technology constraint as:
y = (hs ) (873)
y > 0; hd > 0;
where y is the output supplied by the …rm and hd is its demand for labour.
134
Lagrangians for constrained optimisation
For the houshold:
(1 )
L (C; L; ) = C (1 hs ) + [whs + pC] (874)
First order conditions here given demand for consumption and leisuer C; L , supply of labour
(1 l) and shadow price
For the …rm:
@L (C; L; ) 1 (1 )
= C (1 hs ) p=0 (876)
@C
@L (C; L; )
= (1 ) C (1 hs ) ( 1) w=0 (877)
@hs
@L (C; L; )
= whs + pC = 0 (878)
@
From above two
(1 ) C (1 hs ) ( 1) w
(1 )
= (879)
C 1 (1 hs ) p
First order conditions for households:
w
C= (1 hs ) (880)
(1 ) p
from the budgent constraint and this FOC
w s w
h + =C= (1 hs ) (881)
p p (1 ) p
Supply labour
w
p (1 ) p
hs = w (882)
p
135
w
!
ws p (1 ) p w
C= (1 h ) = 1 w (884)
(1 ) p (1 ) p p
Demand for consumption and leisure and supply of labour are thus functions of
w
Real wage rate p
d 1w 1
h = (886)
p
s w d 1w 1
w 1w 1
= (h ) h =
p p p p p
" 1 #
w 1
1 1
1 1
= (887)
p
d 1w 1
p (1 ) wp
h = = hs = w (888)
p p
1
1
1 ( wp ) 1 (1) 1 (1) 1 (1 )w
p
1 w
p = w
p
1
w
=h i 1 (889)
p 1 1 1
1
1
(1 )
136
0 1 1
1
1
B1 C
l=1 h=1 @ h 1 i 1A (891)
1 1 1 1
(1 )
Optimal labour output and consumption
the equilibrium in the labour supply is the function of the real wage rate
0 1 1
1
sB1 C
y = (h ) = @ h 1 i 1A (892)
1 1 1 1
(1 )
and optimal consumption
w
C = (1 hs ) =
(1 ) p
0 0 1 1 1
1
B B1
1
C C
B1 @ h C
(1 )@ 1 i 1A A
1 1 1 1
(1 )
1
h 1 i 1 (893)
1 1 1 1
(1 )
137
Table 32: Parameters of the model in the base scenario
Parameter of the model Numerical value in the base model
Utility weight on consumption ( ) 0.6
Utility weight on leisure (1 ) 0.4
Elasticity of output to labour input ( ) 0.6
Value of Endowment L 68 hours
Base consumption tax rate (tc ) 0.17
Income tax rate in the base case (tl ) 0.35
Time endowments of 68 ours per week is used here as is customary in the literature.
Normalisation of price , w + p = 1
The benchmark economy includes consumption tax rate of 17 percent and income tax rate of 35
percent, similar to the one that actually exists in many of the OECD countries including the UK.
In all experiments the government returns tax revenue to the household in the form of a lump sum
transfer. The model is then used to evaluate the impacts of four di¤erent tax reform experiments:
(1) the distortionary cost of both income and consumption taxes; (2) impact of a complete switch
to the labour income tax holding the revenue …xed; (3) impact of a complete switch towards the
consumption tax; and (4) the test of reliability and robustness of the model by examining the
sensitivity to the key parameters of the model.
The Hicksian equivalent variations (EV) are presented in terms of the money metric utility
in the counter factual scenario in comparison to the benchmark scenario by asking how much
the household bene…ts from the tax changes equivalent in terms of the original equilibrium. The
corresponding compensating variation is also in terms of the money metric utility measuring the
amount of compensation a consumer needs to bring back her to the original level of utility after the
changes in tax rates.
The overall welfare costs of taxes, as presented in Table 3 above, show that the costs of using
both consumption and income taxes are higher than of using only either the consumption or only the
labour income tax. The overall distortionary impacts of both consumption and labour income taxes
are up to 3.2 percent of the benchmark utility. This compares to results as contained in Bhattarai
and Whalley (1999, 2003). If the revenue is returned as a lump sum form to the households, the
model results con…rm that the labour income tax has highly distortionary impact in the economy. It
may cost up to 6.2 percent of the benchmark utility. Higher rate of labour income tax …rst reduces
labour supply and output and consumption consequently. In comparison, sole reliance on only
consumption taxes signi…cantly lowers distortions than labour income taxes. Model calculations
suggest that the cost of moving towards only consumption taxes is 0.05 percent of the benchmark
utility. Thus the overall costs are lower when tax is only on consumption than when taxes are both
on consumption and labour income simultaneously.
For this hypothetical economy taxes a¤ect the aggregate output, employment, leisure, labour
138
Table 34: Parameters of the model in the base scenario
Parameter of the model Numerical value in the base model
Utility weight on consumption ( ) 0.25 to 0.6 with steps size of 0.05
Utility weight on leisure (1 ) 0.75 to 0.4 with steps size of 0.05
Elasticity of output to labour input ( ) 0.3 to .65 with steps size of 0.05
Value of Endowment L 68 to 108 hours with steps size of 5
Base consumption tax rate (tc ) 0.17 to 0.67 with steps size of 0.05
Income tax rate in the base case (tl ) 0.40 to 0.85 with steps size of 0.05
Time endowments of 68 ours per week is used here as is customary in the literature.
Normalisation of price , w + p = 1
Table 35: Overall Welfare Impacts of Tax Changes in the General Equilibrium Model of Taxes
Equivalent variation Compensating variation
Elimination of all taxes 3.2% -3.1%
Labour tax only -6.2% 6.7%
Consumption tax only -0.05% 0.05%
supply as well as consumption of the household as shown in Table 4 to Table 7. It is obvious that
the adverse macroeconomic impacts of only labour income taxes are a lot higher than those of only
consumption taxes.
When both labour income and consumption taxes are removed, households lose the amount
of transfer income from the government but still it has a very good positive impact on output,
consumption and utility level of the representative household. In contrast the labour income tax
discourages labour supply relative to both the no tax and consumption tax only cases leading to
highly distortionary e¤ects on the economy.
This model generates predictable results when subject to sensitivity tests along the various
rates of consumption and labour income tax rates. It con…rms that the welfare costs of taxes rise
proportionately to the squares of tax rates as suggested by the famous Harberger triangle, a measure
of the dead weight loss of taxes.
The model also behaves well when subject to changes in the endowments. Households receive
higher utility as their endowments rise but at a decreasing rate given the law of diminishing marginal
utility. Since the consumer values both consumption and leisure, the increase in utility of increasing
only consumption show a diminishing utility as does the increase in the share of labour in production
which raises the marginal productivity of labour and reduces the amount of leisure in the utility
function.
The …rst scenario considers the e¢ ciency impacts of removing all the taxes and transfers in
the UK. When a representative household does not pay tax it also does not receive any transfer
from the government. This is an extreme scenario in which all public services are provided by the
private sector. The second scenario considers switching completely to the labour income tax and
eliminating all indirect taxes. The third scenario, on the other hand is switching completely to
consumption taxes and removing all taxes on the labour income. The results of the model are very
intuitive.
139
Table 36: Macroeconomic Impacts of Alternative Taxes
Variables Both taxes No taxes Labour income tax Consumption tax
Utility 14.142 14.601 13.689 14.526
Output 6.505 8.032 5.849 7.431
Leisure 45.333 35.789 49.012 39.703
Labour Supply 22.667 32.211 18.988 28.297
Consumption 6.505 8.032 5.849 7.431
Revenue 2.109 1.687 1.687
Wage 0.147 0.13 0.156 0.136
Price 0.853 0.87 0.844 0.864
Pro…t 14.142 14.601 13.689 14.526
Consumption tax 0.17 0.263
Labour income tax 0.35 0.57
Table 37: Impact of Alternative Taxes: Percentage changes compared to the base case
Variables Both taxes Labour income tax Consumption tax
Utility 3.246 -6.246 -0.511
Output 23.471 -27.174 -7.478
Leisure -21.053 36.946 10.936
Labour Supply 42.105 -41.051 -12.151
Consumption 23.471 -27.174 -7.478
Revenue -100
Wage -11.406 19.868 4.595
Price 1.964 -2.972 -0.687
Pro…t 25.896 -29.339 -8.114
Consumption tax 0.17 0.263
Labour income tax 0.35 0.57
Summary of results The key results of this exercise in the general equilibrium impacts of tax
reforms are the following:
1. The e¢ ciency gains from switching to only consumption taxes are about 80 percent of the gains
of eliminating all the taxes. Optimal consumption tax rate given the revenue constraint set
140
equal to 80 percent of the benchmark revenue level is 2.9 percent. This seems a very sensible
result considering the fact that consumers ultimately bear the burden of all taxes. Similarly
consumers make a choice whether to consume a certain product or not depending upon its
price. If the prices are high because of taxes they can increase utility by not consuming the
heavily taxed good and by taking more leisure instead of work.
2. Labour income tax is highly distortionary in this model for various reasons. As before 47
percent tax rate of labour income is optimal to meet the required revenue target. It reduces
the labour supply. Both output and consumption becomes smaller after such a tax is imposed.
The e¢ ciency losses from switching to this sort of taxes can be up to 6.9 percent of the original
utility.
3. The …rst result shows that the net deadweight loss of the current tax and transfer system is
about 4 percent of GDP.
M ax U = C L(1 )
(894)
c;l
Subject to
p:C + w:Lh = wL (895)
Lh + Lf = L (896)
C > 0; L > 0;and Lf > 0;
M ax = PY w Lf (897)
Lf
Y = Lf (898)
Y > 0; Lf > 0;
Household Problem: Maximise Utility
M ax U = C L(1 )
(899)
c;l
Subject to
p:C + w:Lh = wL (900)
Lagrangian optimisation:
L (C; Lh ; ) = C L(1 )
+ wL p:C w:Lh (901)
141
Optimal demand for goods C:solving the …rst order conditions
wL L
C= = p (902)
p w
Buy more when goods are cheaper and when they have more income
Optimal demand for leisure Lh
(1 ) wL
Lh = = (1 )L (903)
w
if L = 1600 and = 0:4 then :Lh = 0:6 1600 = 960:
= PY w Lf (904)
Y = Lf (905)
1
P 1
Lf = (906)
w
P 1
Y = (907)
w
Let = 0:5
Clearing Goods and Labour Markets: Real Wage Rate
Y =C (908)
P 1
Y = = 6400:5 = 25:29 (910)
w
L 0:4 1600
C= p = p = y = 25:29 (911)
w w
p 0:4 1600
= = 25:29 (912)
w 25:29
if w = 1 set as numeraire labour market clears as
142
Table 38: Parameters of the General Equilibrium Model
Parameters Value
0.4
0.5
L 1600
w (normalised) 1
Welfare loss to households from the government = (224:19 178:09) =224:19 = 0:2056 = 20:56%:
E¤ective labour tax = 400/1600=0.25= 25%. True if households do not get utility of from
public spending. How far this is true depends on the e¢ ciency of the public sector.
Exercise
Prove that a …rm need to pay higher wage rate to its workers and lower the price of commodity
while expanding output if it operates under an increasing returns to scale technology such as
Y = L2 .
143
p p
. Preferences for type 1 are given by U1 = Y1 and for type 2 by U2 = Y2 . In a given year total
output, Y, was 1000 billion pounds.
1. What is the distribution of output between type 1 and type 2 that maximises the social welfare
index? What is the maximum value of the social welfare index of this economy?
2. What would have been the allocation if policy makers had given equal weight to the utility
1 1
of both types of people in the economy such as W = U12 U22 . By how much does the welfare
index change in this case than compared to the social welfare in (1) above?
3. How would the social welfare index change in (1) if a tax rate of 20 percent is imposed in
consumption and the tax receipts are not given back to any of these consumers? How much
would the value of social welfare index be in this case?
3 1
4. Assume that the policy makers still hold the welfare function to be W = U14 U24 . How would
the social welfare index change in (3 ) if all tax receipts are transferred to type 2 people?
Answer
Here
Y = Y1 + Y2 = 1000
3 1 p 3
4
p 1
4
L = U14 U24 + [1000 Y1 Y2 ] = Y1 Y2 [1000 Y1 Y2 ] (916)
3 1
L = Y18 Y28 [1000 Y1 Y2 ] (917)
@L 3 5 1
= Y1 8
Y28 =0 (918)
@Y1 8
@L 1 3 7
= Y18 Y2 8
=0 (919)
@Y2 8
@L
= 1000 Y1 Y2 = 0 (920)
@
3 5 1 1 38 7
Y 8
Y28 = Y Y 8
(921)
8 1 8 1 2
3Y2 = Y1 (922)
1000
1000 = Y1 + Y2 = 3Y2 + Y2 =) Y2 = = 250 (923)
4
144
Answer (2) For both of them to get same level of utility:
1 1 p 1
1
p 1
2
L = U12 U22 + [1000 Y1 Y2 ] = Y1 Y2 [1000 Y1 Y2 ] (926)
1 1
L = Y14 Y24 [1000 Y1 Y2 ] (927)
@L 1 3 1
= Y1 4
Y24 =0 (928)
@Y1 4
@L 1 1 3
= Y14 Y2 4
=0 (929)
@Y2 4
@L
= 1000 Y1 Y2 = 0 (930)
@
1 3 1 1 14 3
Y 4
Y24 = Y Y 4
(931)
4 1 4 1 2
Y2 = Y1 (932)
1000
1000 = Y1 + Y2 =) Y2 = = 500 (933)
2
Y1 = Y2 = 500 (934)
Index of social welfare in this economy is
1 1 p 1
1 p 1
2 1 1
W = U12 U22 = 500 500 = 500 4 500 4 = 22:4 (935)
Answer (3)
3 1 p 3
4
p 1
4
L = U14 U24 + [1000 Y1 Y2 ] = 0:8Y1 0:8Y2 [1000 Y1 Y2 ] (936)
3 1
L = 0:8 Y18 Y28 [1000 Y1 Y2 ] (937)
@L 3 5 1
= 0:8 Y 8
Y28 =0 (938)
@Y1 8 1
@L 1 38 7
= 0:8 Y Y 8
=0 (939)
@Y2 8 1 2
@L
= 1000 Y1 Y2 = 0 (940)
@
3 5 1 1 38 7
0:8 Y 8
Y28 = 0:8 Y Y 8
(941)
8 1 8 1 2
145
3Y2 = Y1 (942)
1000
1000 = Y1 + Y2 = 3Y2 + Y2 =) Y2 = = 250 (943)
4
3 1 p 3
4 p 1
4 3 1
W = U14 U24 = 600 400 = 600 8 400 8 = 23:3 (947)
1. There are two people living in an economy. For simplicity assume that a …xed amount of
output of 200 is produced each year. Entire
p output is consumed
p in the same year. Utility of
individual 1 and 2 is represented by U1 = Y1 and U2 = 12 Y1 .
(a) What is the utility received by each individual if the output is divided equally between
these two people? What is the output received by each if it is distributed so that each
of them gets the same amount of the utility?
(b) What is the distribution of output that maximises the total utility for the whole economy?
(c) If person 2 needs utility 5 in order to survive how should the output be distributed?
1 1
(d) Suppose that the authorities like to maximise the social welfare function W = U12 U22 ,
how should the output be distributed between them?
2. (a) An economy is inhabited by type 1 and type 2 people. The type 1 is more productive than
the type 2. Policy makers encourage productive people by assigning a greater weight to
the utility of more productive people. They aim to maximise the social welfare function:
3 1
W = U14 U24 where W is the index of the social welfare, U1 represents the utility of type
1 people and U2 is the utility of type 2 people. For simplicity assume that resources of
this economy produce a given level of output Y. It is consumed either by 1 or by 2 type
people. Marketpclearing condition implies: p Y = Y1 + Y2 . Preferences for type 1 are
given by U1 = Y1 and for type 2 by U2 = Y2 . In a given year total output, Y, was
1000 billion pounds.
(b) What is the distribution of output between type 1 and type 2 that maximises the social
welfare index? What is the maximum value of the social welfare index of this economy?
146
(c) What would have been the allocation if policy makers had given equal weight to the
1 1
utility of both types of people in the economy such as W = U12 U22 . By how much does
the welfare index change in this case than compared to the social welfare in (a) above?
(d) How would the social welfare index change in (a) if a tax rate of 20 percent is imposed
in consumption and the tax receipts are not given back to any of these consumers? How
much would the value of social welfare index be in this case?
3 1
e. Assume that the policy makers still hold the welfare function to be W = U14 U24 . How
would the social welfare index change in (c ) if all tax receipts are transferred to type 2
people?
max U = C l(1 )
(948)
Subject to time and budget constraints:
l + hs = 1 (949)
pc = whs + (950)
c > 0; h > 0;and l > 0;
s
where c is consumption,l is leisure and hs is labour supply, p is the price of the commodity, w
is the wage rate is the pro…t from owning the …rm.
Maximisation problem for the representative …rm can be states as:
= py whd (951)
subject to technology constraint as:
y = (hs ) (952)
y > 0; h > 0;
d
where y is the output supplied by the …rm and hd is its demand for labour.
147
(g) What is the equilibrium quantity of c or y?
(h) What is the equilibrium quantity of l and h?
(i) Formulate the problem with sales and income tax. Discuss qualitatively the macroeco-
nomic impacts of (a) switching completely to the sales taxes or (b) to labour income
taxes or to (c) capital income tax.
148
5.8 Two sector model of nessecity and luxury goods (income distribtu-
ion)
Workers and capitalists dwell in an economy. Workers consume only necessities and capitalists
consume necessities and luxury goods. Workers supply all labour and capitalists save 20 percent of
their income, spend 20 percent in necessities and 60 percent in luxury goods. Total labour supply
is 50.
LS = 50; w1 = w2 = w (953)
Production function of sector i is
Qi = Ai Ki i Li1 i
(954)
@
= (1 1 ) A1 K1 L1
1 1
= P1 0:5 1000:5 L 0:5
w=0 (956)
@L1
Thus labour demand in necessity goods sector
2
5P1 P1
L0:5
1 = ; L1 = 25 (957)
w w
Supply of necessity goods
( )0:5
2
P1 P1
Q1 = A1 K1 1 L11 1
= 10L0:5
1 = 10 25 ; Q1 = 50 (958)
w w
Demand for labour and supply function of luxuries
@
= (1 2 ) A2 K2
2
L2 2
= P2 0:5 1440:5 L 0:5
w=0 (960)
@L2
149
Thus labour demand in luxury goods sector
2 2
6P2 6P2 P2
L0:5
2 = ; L2 = = 36 (961)
w w w
Supply of luxury goods
( )0:5
2
P2 P2
Q2 = A2 K2 L22
2 2
= 12L0:5
2 = 12 36 ; Q2 = 72 (962)
w w
Income of labour and capitalists
Income of workers
YL = wL1 + wL2 = 50w (963)
Income of capitalists (from the production function capitalist get the same as the labour)
YK = YL = 50w (964)
w
Qd1 = 60 (966)
P1
Demand for luxury goods
w
Qd2 = 40 (968)
P2
Market clearing conditions in goods and labour markets
P1 w
Q1 = 50 = Qd1 = 60 (969)
w P1
P2 w
Q2 = 72 = Qd2 = 40 (970)
w P2
2 2
P1 P2
L1 + L2 = LS = 25 + 36 = LS = 50 (971)
w w
I=S (972)
Walras’Law: sum of excess demand is zero; when two markets clear third market automatically
clears.
Market clearing prices
Set numeraire P1 = 1:
From necessity goods market:
150
P1 w 1 w 5
50 = 60 =) 5 = 6 =) w2 = =) w = 0:913 (973)
w P1 w 1 6
From luxury goods market:
P2 w 5 5 5 25
72 = 40 =) P22 = w2 = = = 0:463 =) P2 = 0:680 (974)
w P2 9 9 6 54
Allocations:
1 w 0:913
Q1 = 50 = 54:8 = Qd1 = 60 = 60 = 54:8 (975)
0:913 P1 1
P2 0:680 w 0:913
Q2 = 72 = 72 = 53:63 = Qd2 = 40 = 40 = 53:7 (976)
w 0:913 P2 0:680
2 2
P1 1
L1 = 25 = 25 = 29:97 (977)
w 0:913
2 2
P2 0:680
L2 = 36 = 36 = 19:97 (978)
w 0:913
151
Small Open Economy Trade Model: Expansionary Devaluation Open above model by
including exports and imports and for simplicity …rst assume …xed output and inputs
X = f K; L = C + E (986)
Exports depends on exchange rate (e), domestic price (P) and foreign price for domestic goods
( ) and the elasticity of exports ( )
E = E0 e (987)
P
Imports depends on exchange rate (e), domestic price (P) and price of imported goods (Pm )
and the elasticity of exports ( )
C P
= K0 e m (988)
M P
Resource Balance with foreign borrowing B
P X + eB = P C + ePm M (989)
Small Open Economy Trade Model: Expansionary Devaluation
Devaluation lowers the foreign price of domestic goods ( ) , it raises supply of exports (E), it
reduces the amount of imports (M ) raises the production of import substitute goods. Thus both
domestic and foreign demand for home products rise. Thus devaluation is expansionary.
Excess of imports over exports need to be …nanced by foreign borrowing.
eB = ePm M PE (990)
If borrowing rise, imports rise or exports fall, domestic consumption rise. Borrowing may be
necessary when import prices rise or domestic prices fall. This is an over-determined system. Many
things may happen
Parameters of the model
E0 ; K0 ; ; ; K; L; X; ; B; Pm (991)
Gains from Devaluation
Variables of the model
C; E; M; P; e (992)
Draw a diagram of import export trade-o¤ and export supply and demand functions.
Whether workers or capitalist gain depends on what kind of goods are exported and imported
by external borrowing.
Imported goods may contain necessary goods such as food, medicine, agricultural inputs used
by workers or luxury goods such as cars, perfumes, entertainment goods for capitalists. Exports
may contain necessity goods or luxury goods. Redistribution impacts of devaluation thus depend
on the composition exports and imports.
152
5.9 General equilibrium model of Trade: Ricardian Comparative Ad-
vantage Theory
Theory of international trade has developed over time in works of Ricardo (1817), Ohlin (1933),
Stopler-Samuelson (1947), Bhagawati Helpman (1976), Dixit and Stiglitz (1977), Meade(1978),
Krugman (1980), Whalley (1985), Neary (1988),Krugman and Venables (1995), Hine and Wright
(1998), Edwards(1993), Eaton and Kortum (2002), Markusen (1995), Taylor (1995), Raut and Ranis
(1999), Roe and Mohladi (2001), Greenaway, Morgan and Wright (2002),Melitz (2003), Beaulieu,
Benarroch and Gaisford (2004). These theories are applicable in explaining real world problems
( eg.Bhattarai and Whalley (2006), Bhattarai and Mallick (2003)). As the growth rate of global
trade is greater than the growth of the global GDP there the space of globalization is rapid and it
is a¤ecting lives of millions of people. Trade models, essentially involve application of the general
models to answer who gains and who loses from exchange of goods and services across borders.
Essentially it is application of basic microeconomic theories at international scale.
Preferences in country 1 are expressed by its utility function in consumption of good 1 and 2
, C1;1 and C1;2 respectively:
1 1 1
max U1 = (C1;1 ) (C1;2 ) (993)
Income of country 1 is obtained from the wage income in sector 1 and sector 2 plus the transfers
to country 1
153
where L1;1 and L1;2 are labour employed in sector 1 and sector 2 w1;1 and w1;2 are corresponding
wages respectively and T R1 is the transfer income.
Technology constraints in sector 1 in country 1
1 :I1
C1;1 = (1000)
P1
the demand for good 2 therefore is:
(1 1 ) :I1
C1;2 = (1001)
P2
Such autarky solution is close to the production arrangement when countries were adopting
ISI trade strategy.
Proposition 1 Autarky solution is Pareto dominated by trade equilibrium for reasonable pa-
rameters of preferences and technology.
154
A Lagrangian function is used to express how each country maximises welfare subject to its
production possibility frontier constraint under the autarky equilibrium as:
(1 1)
1 1
$1 = X1;11 X2;1 + L1 X1;1 X2;1 (1002)
a11 a12
First order conditions with respect to X11 and X21 and as:
@$1 1 (1 1)
= 1 X1;1
1
X2;1 =0 (1003)
@X1;1 a11
Analytical solutions in autarky
@$1 ( 1)
= (1 1 ) X1;1 X2;1
1
=0 (1004)
@X2;1 a12
@$1 1 1
= L1 X1;1 X2;1 = 0 (1005)
@ a11 a12
Analytical solutions of in autarky
1 1 (1 1)
1 X1;1 X2;1 X2;1 a12
From the …rst two …rst order conditions 1 ( 1)
= (1
1
1) X1;1 = a11
(1 1 )X1;1 X2;1
(1 1) a12
X2;1 = X1;1 (1006)
1 a11
optimal value of X1;1 is found now putting this condition in the production possibility frontier
constraint.
1 1 1 1 (1 1) a12 1 (1 1)
X1;1 + 1 X2;1 = 1 X1;1 + 1 X1;1 = 1 X1;1 1 + = L1 (1007)
a11 a2 a1 a2 1 a11 a1 1
(1 1) a12 (1 1) a12 1 1
X2;1 = X1;1 = 1 a1 L1 = (1 1 ) a2 L1 (1009)
1 a11 1 a11
For each of 1 country amount produced depends on productivity and preferences parameters
and the endowment of its labour input. The autarky welfare level is:
1 1 (1
1 1)
U 1 = (X1;1 ) 1 1
1
(X2;1 ) = 1 a1 L1 (1 1 ) a2 L1 (1010)
Two Country Ricardian Trade Model
Preferences in country 2 are expressed by its utility function in consumption of good 1 and 2
, C2;1 and C2;2 respectively:
155
2 1 2
max U2 = (C2;1 ) (C2;2 ) (1011)
Income of country 2 is obtained from the wage income in sector 1 and sector 2 plus the transfers
to country 2
2 :I2
C2;1 = (1017)
P1
the demand for good 2 therefore is:
(1 2 ) :I2
C2;2 = (1018)
P2
Autarky or Trade
Theoretically two trade arrangements are possible in this model. First one is an autarky
equilibrium in which each country is separate and isolated from another. It produces just for
its own consumption and no trade take place between these two countries.
Such autarky solution is close to the production arrangement when countries were adopting
ISI trade strategy.
Proposition 2 Autarky solution is Pareto dominated by trade equilibrium for reasonable pa-
rameters of preferences and technology.
156
Analytical solutions in autarky
A Lagrangian function is used to express how each country 2 maximises welfare subject to its
production possibility frontier constraint under the autarky equilibrium as:
(1 2)
1 1
$2 = X1;22 X2;2 + L2 X1;2 X2;2 (1019)
a2;1 a2;2
First order conditions with respect to X12 and X22 and as:
@$2 1 (1 2)
= 2 X1;2
2
X2;2 =0 (1020)
@X1;2 a2;1
@$2 ( 2)
= (1 2 ) X1;2 X2;2
2
=0 (1021)
@X2;2 a2;2
Analytical solutions in autarky
@$2 1 1
= L2 X1;2 X2;2 = 0 (1022)
@ a2;1 a2;2
2 1 (1 2)
2 X1;2 X2;2 X2;2 a2;2
From the …rst two …rst order conditions 2 ( 2)
= (1
2
2) X1;2 = a2;1
(1 2 )X1;2 X2;2
(1 2) a2;2
X2;2 = X1;2 (1023)
2 a2;1
optimal value of X1;2 is found now putting this condition in the production possibility frontier
constraint.
1 1 1 1 (1 2) a2;2 1 (1 2)
X1;2 + X2;2 = X1;2 + X1;2 = X1;2 1 + = L2 (1024)
a2;1 a2;2 a2;1 a2;2 2 a2;1 a2;1 2
(1 2) a2;2 (1 2) a2;2
X2;2 = X1;2 = 2 a2;1 L2 = (1 2 ) a2;2 L2 (1026)
2 a2;1 2 a2;1
For each of 2 country amount produced depends on productivity and preferences parameters
and the endowment of its labour input. The autarky welfare level is:
2 2
1 (1 2)
U 2 = (X1;2 ) (X2;2 ) =( 2 a2;1 L2 )
2
((1 2 ) a2;2 L2 ) (1027)
Summary of two country trade model in Autarky
Thus the level of welfare in country 1 is determined in terms of its preferences for consumption
of good 1 and 2 as re‡ected by 1 and its own production technology as re‡ected in a11 and
a12 .
157
Numerical version of this model is applied to country 1 and country 2 taking the population
as rough indicator of its resource in production. country 1 has 200 million population and
country 2 has 400 million population. country 1 is more productive in producing services goods
X1 whereas country 2 has more advantage in producing manufacturing goods X2 . Preferences
are similar but technologies are di¤erent. These parameters are set out in Table 1.
Under the autarky equilibrium these two economies are completely isolated and produce only
for domestic consumption. The optimal production and consumption and employment of
labour for both sectors, prices of commodities and labour, and utility for the representative
hocountry 1ehold are as given in Table 2. In per capita terms citizens of the country 1 and
country 2 have welfare of 1.46 and 1.76 respectively.
Each country produces both goods in no trade equilibrium which as explained here is very
ine¢ cient. Welfare can be improved by making these countries trade.
Analytical solutions for trade equilibrium under specialisation
A representative hocountry 1ehold in each country maximises its welfare subject to its budget
constraint.
Demand for goods are derived by standard constrained optimisation on supply side for each
country j . Under trade equilibrium it is optimal for each country to specialise in goods in which it
has comparative advantage. The optimisation problem and the …rst order conditions for constrained
optimisation are given as follows:
(1 j)
$j = X1;jj X2;j + [Ij P1 X1;j P2 X2;j ] (1028)
First order conditions:
@$j j 1 (1 j)
= j X1;j X2;j P1 = 0 (1029)
@X1;j
@$j j ( j)
= (1 j ) X1;j X2;j P2 = 0 (1030)
@X2;j
Analytical solutions for trade equilibrium under specialisation
158
@$j
= Ij P1 X1;j P2 X2;j = 0 (1031)
@
j 1 (1 j)
j X1;j X2;j j X2;j P1
(
= = (1032)
j) (1
(1 j ) X1;j X2;j
j
j ) X1;j P2
(1 j) P1
X2;j = X1;j (1033)
j P2
(1 j) P1
P1 X1;j + P2 X2;j = P1 X1;j + P2 j P2 X1;j = Ij
j Ij (1 j ) Ij
X1;j = ; X2;j = (1034)
P1 P2
Analytical solutions for trade equilibrium under specialisation
Global market clearing conditions for goods 1 and 2 are
N
X
X1;j = X1 (1035)
j
N
X
X2;j = X2 (1036)
j
159
1 I1 2 I2
X1;1 = = 0:4 (1000) = 400; X1;2 = = 0:6 (1000) = 600 (1041)
P1 P1
(1 1 ) I1 0:6 (1000) (1 2 ) I2
X2;1 = = = 1200; X2;2 = (1042)
P2 0:5 P2
0:4 (1000)
= = 800 (1043)
0:5
Solutions of both autarky and trade equilibria are given in Table 3 and 4. Given the prefer-
ences and technology speci…cations, with complete specialisation both countries gain from trade.
Comparative static analysis of trade can be done changing the preference or technology parameters.
Analytical solutions for trade equilibrium under specialisation
Table 45: Comparing Employment and Welfere under Specialisation and Autarky
Employment Uitlity
Autarky Trade Autarky Trade
L1 L2 L1 L2 U U
80 120 200 0 294.4 773.3
240 160 0 400 588.8 673.2
Gains from trade may be distributed di¤erently across countries (Bhattarai and Whalley (2006)).
Further there are opportunities for bargaining on the share of those gains particularly from dynamic
strategic considerations and the basic elements required for such dynamic model is provided in the
next section.
GAMS programme: trade.gms; trade_2.gms
Beaulieu E, M. Benarroch and J. Gaisford (2004) Trade barriers and wage inequality in
a North-South model with technology-driven intra-industry, trade, Journal of development
Economics, 75:113-136
Bhattarai K. and S. Mallick (2013) Impact of China’s currency valuation and labour cost
on the US in a trade and exchange rate model. North American Journal of Economics and
Finance, 25, 40-59.
Bhattarai K and J Whalley (2006), Division and Size of Gains from Liberalization of Trade
in Services, Review of International Economics, 14:3:348-361, August.
160
Dixit A K and J E. Stiglitz (1977) Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity,
American Economic Review, 67:3:297-308.
Eaton J and S. Kortum (2002) Technology, Geography, and Trade, Econometrica, 70: 5:Sep:1741-
1779
Ohlin B (1933) Interregional and international trade, Harvard economic studies ; no.39
Raut L and G Ranis (eds.) Trade, Growth and Development: Essays in Honour of Professor
T N Srinivasan, Contribution to Economic Analysis 242, Elsevier, NorthHolland, Amsterdam,
1999
Roe T and H. Mohladi (2001) International Trade and Growth: An Overview Using the New
Growth Theory, Review of Agricultural Economics, 23:2:423-440
Taylor M. P. (1995) The Economics of Exchange Rates, Journal of Economic Literature,
March, vol 33, No. 1, pp. 13-47.
Whalley, J. (1985) Trade Liberalization Among Major World Trading Areas, MIT Press
161
5.10 Exercise 12’: migration and factor mobility
Problem 8: Migration or Factor Movement Across Countries
1. Consider trade between two countries. One is abundant in capital and another in labour. For
simplicity assume that the production functions of these economies are given by
Y1 = K1 1 L1 1 (1044)
Y2 = K2 2 L2 2 (1045)
K L Output
Country 1 500 1000 0.4 0.6 ?
Country 2 1000 500 0.6 0.4 ?
1. (a) What will be the rental rate of capital and wage rate in each country if both goods
and factors are immobile across countries?
(b) What will be the rental rate and output if there is a global market for capital and
labour? Explain the pattern of migration across countries.
(c) Is free trade equivalent to free mobility of factor of production according to Heckscher-
Ohlin-Stopler-Samuelson theorem?
(d) Trade is not bene…cial to every one. Discuss how labour in labour abundant and
capitalists in capital abundant countries gain from trade on the basis of this model.
(e) Show that in a static world like this aggregate global income remains the same but
there is a change in the distribution of income.
Beaulieu E, M. Benarroch and J. Gaisford (2004) Trade barriers and wage inequality in
a North-South model with technology-driven intra-industry, trade, Journal of development
Economics, 75:113-136
Bhattarai K and J Whalley (2006), Division and Size of Gains from Liberalization of Trade
in Services, Review of International Economics, 14:3:348-361, August.
Dixit A K and J E. Stiglitz (1977) Monopolistic Competition and Optimum Product Diversity,
American Economic Review, 67:3:297-308.
Greenaway D. W. Morgan and P. Wright (2002) Trade Liberalisation and Growth in Devel-
oping Countries, Journal of Development Economics, 67 229-244.
Helpman E (1976) Macroeconomic Policy in a Model of International Trade with a Wage
Restriction, International Economic Review, 17:2:262-277.
Hine R.C. and P.W. Wright (1998) Trade with Low Wage Economies, Employment and Pro-
ductivity in UK Manufacturing, Economic Journal, 108:450:1500-1510.
162
Krugman P. (1980) Scale Economies, Product Di¤erentiation and the Pattern of Trade, Amer-
ican Economic Review, 70:5:950-959.
Melitz M. T. (2003) The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate
Industry Productivity, Econometrica, 71:6:1695-1725.
Roe T and H. Mohladi (2001) International Trade and Growth: An Overview Using the New
Growth Theory, Review of Agricultural Economics, 23:2:423-440
Taylor Mark (1995) The Economics of Exchange Rates, Journal of Economic Literature,
March, vol 33, No. 1, pp. 13-47.
max U h = (1 ) ln Y h Th + ln G (1046)
subject to
P Yh Th + G = I (1047)
h h
where V is the utility of households, Y T is the net of tax income, G the public good and
the weight in utility from consumption of public goods. The production side of the economy is
represented here by income for simplicity.
L Y h ; G; = (1 ) ln Y h Th + ln G + I P Yh Th G (1048)
Optimal Tax and Public Goods
L Y h ; G; (1 )
= P =0 (1049)
@Y h (Y h T h)
L Y h ; G;
= =0 (1050)
@G G
This implies optimal public good and optimal tax correspond to preference for public goods
(1 ) G
=P (1051)
(Y h T h)
G = PTh = PT (1052)
G = PY (1053)
Samuelson’s Theory on Optimal Public Spending
Sum of the marginal rate of substitution of all citizens should equal marginal cost of providing
public goods
(see two citizen public good model)
Consumers consume private (x) and public goods (G)
163
max u1 = u1 (x1 ; G) (1054)
subject to a given level of utility for the second consumer
x1 + x2 + c (G) = w1 + w2 (1056)
Constrained optimisation for this is
max U = C L (1059)
Subject to
p (1 + t) C + wL = wL (1060)
Lagrangian for houshold optimisation
L (C; L; ) = C L + p (1 + t) C + wL wL (1061)
Household Optimisation
L (C; L; )
= L + p (1 + t) = 0 (1062)
@C
L (C; L; )
=C+ w=0 (1063)
@L
L (C; L; )
= p (1 + t) C + wL wL = 0 (1064)
@
Above three FOC equations (1403) - (1064) can be solved for three variables :
L(C;L; )
@C L p (1 + t)
M RSCL = L(C;L; )
=) = (1065)
C w
@L
164
Household Optimisation
p (1 + t)
L= C (1066)
w
Putting (1410) into (1064)
p (1 + t)
p (1 + t) c + wL wL = p (1 + t) C + w C wL = 0 (1067)
w
1 wL
C= (1068)
2 p (1 + t)
p (1 + t) p (1 + t) 1 wL 1
L= C= = L (1069)
w w 2 p (1 + t) 2
Demand for goods is low with higher taxes and prices, high with higher wage rate and labour
endowment; high with the higher share of spending on goods and services.Given these pref-
erences the demand for leisure is half of the labour endowment.
L + LS = L (1072)
Goods market clearing
C=Y (1073)
Let total labour endowment L be 200. Then labour supply is
1 1
LS = L L=L L = L = 100 (1074)
2 2
Given this labour supply the level of output will be
r
p 1 p
Y = LS = L = 100 = 10 (1075)
2
From the zero pro…t condition required equilibrium = p:Y w:LS = 0 and setting the
numeraire p = 1
165
p:Y = w:LS (1076)
Y 10 1
w= = = (1077)
LS 100 10
Numerical Example of the General Equilibrium Model
1
Given the equilibrium relative wage rate of w = 10 both goods and labour market clear
when t = 0, demand for good eqauls supply as:
1 wL 1 1
C= = (200) = 10 (1078)
2 p (1 + t) 2 10
Similarly the demand for labour and leisure equal total endowment of labour
M ax U = C L(1 )
(1085)
c;l
Subject to
p:C + w:Lh = wL (1086)
Lagrangian optimisation:
L (C; Lh ; ) = C L(1 )
+ wL p:C w:Lh (1087)
166
Optimal demand for goods C:solving the …rst order conditions
wL L
C= = p (1088)
p w
Households buy more when goods are cheaper and when they have more income
Optimal demand for leisure Lh
(1 ) wL
:Lh = = (1 )L (1089)
w
if L = 1600 and = 0:4 then :Lh = 0:6 1600 = 960:
= PY w Lf (1090)
Y = Lf (1091)
1
P 1
Lf = (1092)
w
P 1
Y = (1093)
w
Let = 0:5
Clearing Goods and Labour Markets: Real Wage Rate
Y =C (1094)
P 1
Y = = 6400:5 = 25:29 (1096)
w
L 0:4 1600
C= p = p = y = 25:29 (1097)
w w
p 0:4 1600
= = 25:29 (1098)
w 25:29
if w = 1 set as numeraire labour market clears as
167
Table 47: Parameters of the General Equilibrium Model
Parameters Value
0.4
0.5
L 1600
w (normalised) 1
Welfare loss to households from the government = (224:19 178:09) =224:19 = 0:2056 = 20:56%:
E¤ective labour tax = 400/1600=0.25= 25%. True if households do not get utility of from
public spending. How far this is true depends on the e¢ ciency of the public sector.
1. Using geometric method prove the Heckscher-Ohlin theorem that a country will export the
commodity that uses its relatively abundant factor with unique relation between prices of
factors and products making the commodity trade complete substitutes for trade in factors.
(hint: constant return to scale, free trade in goods but complete immobility of factors of
production; use PPP and Edgeworth boxes for Xand Y and K and L,px =py and w and r).
2. Consider a …rm in monopolistically competitive industry
Q=A B P (1102)
168
Prove that its marginal revenue is given by
Q
MR = P (1103)
B
(a) If the cost function is C = F + cQ then prove that the average cost declines because of
the economy of scale.
(b) Further assume that the output sold by a …rm, number of …rms, its own price and average
prices of …rms are given by
1
Q=S b P P (1104)
N
show that the average cost rises to number of …rms in the industry when all …rms charge
same price.
AC = n:F
s +c
(c) Prove that price charged by a particular …rm declines with the number of …rms
P = c + b1n
(d) Determine the number of …rms and price in equilibrium. Explain entry exit behavior
and prices when number of …rms are below or above this equilibrium point.
(e) Collusive and strategic behaviors may limit above conclusions. Discuss.
(f) Apply above model to explain international trade and its impact on prices and number
of …rms in a particular industry.
(g) Use this model to explain interindustry and intra-industry trade.
(h) Use monopolistic competition model to analyse consequences of dumping practices in
international trade.
1. Assume that the MNC has home and foreign markets, faces distinct demand curves across
two countries and faces di¤erent cost curves. Home market is more lucrative than the foreign
market both in terms of prices and cost e¤ectiveness. Despite that the MNC has a global
ambition, therefore it aims to extend its business in overseas markets. The main objective of
the MNC is to control the market and to maximise pro…t.
P1 = 130 Q1 (1105)
and associated cost function is
C1 = 10Q1 (1106)
Demand in the foreign (host) country
P2 = 90 Q2 (1107)
169
and associated cost function is
C2 = 20Q2 (1108)
1. (a) what will be output price and welfare under perfect competition?
(b) What will be price, output and welfare in the host country if the monopolist forms a
cartel with the …rm in the host country?
(c) What will be price, output and welfare if the MNC plays Cournot game with the …rm in
the host country?
(d) How will above result change if the monopolists acts as a price leader in Stackelberg
equilibrium?
(e) How will above result change if both …rms play under a Bertrand equilibrium adopting
a predatory pricing strategy?
Atkinson A. B.and N. H. Stern (1974) Pigou, Taxation and Public Goods The Review of
Economic Studies, 41:1:119-128.
Bhattarai K (2010) Taxes, public spending and growth in OECD countries, Journal of Per-
spective and Management, 1/2010.
Bhattarai K and J. Whalley (2009) Redistribution E¤ects of Transfers, Economica 76:3:413-
431 July.
Blundell R (2010) Empirical Evidence and Tax Policy Design: Lessons from the Mirrlee’s
Review, Institute of Fiscal Studies.
Darling A. Chancellor of Exchequer, HM Treasury (2009), Securing the Recovery: Growth
and Opportunity, Pre-Budget Report, December , 2009.
Feldstein M (1974) Incidence of Capital Income Tax in a Growth Economy with Varying
Saving Rates, Review of Economic Studies, 41:4:505-513
Fullerton, D., J. Shoven and J. Whalley (1983) Dynamic General Equilibrium Impacts of Re-
placing the US Income tax with a Progressive Consumption Tax, Journal of Public Economics
38, 265-96.
170
6 L6: Game theory: Bargaining in Goods and Factors mar-
kets
In many circumstances optimal decisions of an economic agent depends on decisions taken by
others. Dominants …rms competing for a market shares, political parties contesting for power and
research and scienti…c discoveries aimed for path-breaking innovations are in‡uenced by decision
taken by others. In all these circumstances there are situations where collective e¤orts rather
than individual ones generate the best outcome for the group as a whole and for each individual
members of the group. Concepts of bargaining, coalition and repeated games developed over years
by economists such as Cournot (1838), Bertrand (1883), Edgeworth (1925) von Neumann and
Morgenstern (1944) and Nash (1950, 1953) is developing very fast in recent years following works
of Kuhn (1953), Shapley (1953),Shelten ( 1965) Aumman (1966) Scarf (1967), Shapley and Shubik
(1969), Harsanyi(1967), Spence (1974), Hurwicz (1973), Myerson (1986), Maskin and Tirole (1989),
Kreps (1990), Fundenberg and Tirole (1991) and Binmore (1992), Rubinstein (1982) Sutton (1986)
Cho and Kreps (1987) Sobel (1985) Machina (1987) Riley (1979) McCormick (1990), Ghosal and
Morelli (2004) and others. These have generated models that can be applied to analyse the relative
gains from coalitions rather than without these coalitions.
Outcome of a noncooperative games can be more easily explained by Nash bargaining game that
is popularly known as a game of splitting a pie between two parties, right or left. Rule of this game
is that the sum of the shares of the pie claimed by players cannot exceed more than 1, otherwise
each will get zero. Standard technique to solve this problem is by maximising the Nash Product.
It is natural that economic agents play a zero sum and non-cooperative game until they realise
the bene…ts of coalition and cooperation. When an agreement is made and cooperation is achieved
there is a question on whether such coalition is stable or not. There are always incentives at least
for one of the player to cheat others from this cooperative agreement in order to raise its own share
of the gain. However, it is unlikely that any player can fool all others at all the times. Others
will discover such cheating sooner or later. Therefore a peaceful solution requires credibility and a
punishment mechanism by which any party that tries to cheat on the agreement is punished unless
it amends its uncooperative behaviours toward others.
A coalition of players should ful…l individual rationality, group rationality and coalition rational-
ity. These can be ascertained by the supper-additivity property of coalition where the maximisation
of gain requires being a member of the coalition rather than playing alone. The imputations in the
core guarantees each member of a coalition the value at least as much as it could be obtained by
playing independently. At the core of the game each player gets at least as much from the coalition
as from the individual action, there does not exist any blocking coalition. This is equivalent to
Pareto optimal allocation in a competitive equilibrium (Scarf (1967)). Some imputations are domi-
nated by others; the core of the game is the strong criteria for dominant imputation. Core satis…es
coalition rationality.
Ability of a player to in‡uence the outcome of the game depends on the pivotal status enjoyed by
that player. In a game with 3 players; power of player i is re‡ected by its Shapley value. Consider
six possible ordering of 123 pivotal game. Three players can order themselves in 3!= 6 ways. Each
of these number can appear only twice in the middle out of six possible combinations. A player
located in the middle is pivotal. If parties realise this fact while bargaining, such bargaining is likely
to generate a stable and cooperative solution.
When intention cannot be directly revealed or stated players can signal indirectly to other play-
ers. These signals can take many forms. Signalling plays important roles in strategic choices of
171
individuals, parties, communities, regions, national and the global community as a whole. For-
mation of payo¤ discussed above depends on signalling - players do not know the moves of their
opponents but based on their interpretation of signal they can however, put some numerical values
to the payo¤.
A rational player interprets signals correctly and chooses actions that support each other. This
brings that player up in the progress ladder. Wrong interpretation of signals results in status quo or
even a gradual decline in the standard of that player. Success in the game thus relates very much on
ability and dexterity in providing right signals and accurate interpretation of signals coming from
other players. Interpreting those signals correctly and translating them into actions more accurately
brings success; sending wrong signals or interpreting them incorrectly is a recipe of failure. Status
of player i, si is thus a stochastic process that depends on ability of signal extraction. Such ability
depends on intuition and information set i .
Very few games are plaid only once. Economic agents, political parties, live for a long time and
play games repeatedly. Economists have applied Cournot-Nash bargaining game of oligopoly to
explain the consequences of cooperative and non-cooperative games on the division of gains from
bargaining. It can quantitatively be illustrated using a Nash bargaining oligopoly model.
Players often do not have enough information about other players in the game. They have
to guess intention of other players looking at their choices. People are principals of a political
game, they want better standard of living, peace and prosperity in a country but they do not have
enough information about the true intention of the members of political parties act as their agents
and should in principle be responsible for their principals - the common people who elect political
parties frequently in the parliament. Once elected party with majority forms the government and
tries to ful…l its collective interest. Political contracts are as similar as wage contracts in a labour
market that are designed to match e¤orts put by a worker to their productivities in the labour
maker. Political parties know their type but the people do not.Thus in the presence of information
asymmetry , the e¤orts by the good party is at the …rst best level as the bad e¤ort by him is not as
attractive as the good e¤ort, it is not pro…table for a good party to pretend to be bad party. Good
party is not attracted by the contract for the bad party. Similarly it is costly for the bad party to
act as a good party - it is optimal for it to select the contract appropriate for a bad party, that is
being out of the o¢ ce.
Cournot (1838), Bertrand (1883), Edgeworth (1925) von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944),
Nash (1950);
Kuhn (1953), Shapley (1953),Shelten (1965) Aumann (1966) Luce and Rai¤a (1957) Scarf
(1967), Shapley and Shubic (1969), Harsanyi (1967), Spence (1974),
Myerson (1986), Kreps (1990), Fundenberg and Tirole (1991) and Binmore (1992), Roth
(2008); Sobel (1985), Hey (1987), Kreps (1990)
Mirlees (1971), Maskin and Moore (1999), Maskin and Tirole (1992), Cripps (1997), Perlo¤
(2013)Osborne and Robinstein (1994)
Cripps and Thomas (1995), Gardener (2003)
Bhaskar and To (2004), Mailath and Samuelson (2006)
Texts: Holt (2007), Rasmusen (2007), Dixit, Skeath and Reiley (2009), Varian (2010), Perlo¤
(2014)
172
6.1 Formal de…nitions
Strategic form game is a tuple G = (Si ; ui ) for each player i = 1; :::; N where Si is the strategy
available to player i and ui : xN
j=1 Sj ! R is payo¤ of play i. It is …nite if the strategy set contains
…nitely many elements. For instance strategy set of column player Sj = fR; M; Lg and of the row
player Sj = fT; M; Bg
R M L
T 3,0 0,-5 0,-4
M 1,-1 3,3 -2,4
B 2,4 4,1 -1,8
Strictly dominated strategy ui (bsi ; si ) > ui (si ; s i ) for (si ; s i ) 2 S and sbi 6= si .
Eliminate the dominated strategies for row and column player
R L
T 3,0 0,-4
B 2,4 -1,8
Weak dominance ui (b si ; si ) ui (si ; s i ) for (si ; s i ) 2 S and sbi 6= si .
N
Given G = (Si ; ui )i=1 strategy sbi is pure strategy Nash equilibrium if for each player i ui (b
s)
ui (si ; sb i ) for all si 2 S.
Mixed strategy Mi is probability distribution over Si
Expected utility from Neumann-Morgenstern utility function is:
X
ui (m) = (m1 (s1 ) ::mN (sN )) ui (si ) (1109)
s2S
For given pure strategies s = (s1 ; ::::; sN ) 2 S with probabilities m1 (s1 ) ; ::; mN (sN )
Theorem: Every …nite strategic form game possesses at least one Nash equilibrium.
Proof of Nash equilibrium
De…nitions:
a. m b 2 M is a Nash equilibrium
b. For every player i, ui (m b i ) = ui (si ; m
b i ) for every si 2 Si given positive weight mb i and
b i ) ui (si ; m
ui (m b i ) for every si 2 Si given zero weight m b i.
c. For every player i, ui (mb i ) ui (si ; m
b i ) for every si 2 Si
1. construct a continuous function that maps m into itself.
2. Apply Brouwer’s …xed point theorem to …nd a …xed point ; here numerator is a continuous
function and the denominator is continuos and bounded by contraction mapping f : M ! M it
has a …xed point.
3. demonstrate that the …xed point is Nash equilibrium. LSH = RHS in above function.
b i;j then above function is
fi;j (m) = m
173
n
X
max (0; ui (j 0 ; m i ) b = max (0; ui (j; m i )
ui (m)) ui (m)) (1111)
j 0 21
b i)
Multiply both sides by ui (j; m b and sum over j
ui (m)
n
X n
X
b i;j (ui (j 0 ; m
m b i) b
ui (m)) max (0; ui (j 0 ; m i ) b
ui (m))
j 0 21 j 0 21
X n
= (ui (j 0 ; m
b i) b max (0; ui (j; m
ui (m)) b i) b
ui (m)) (1112)
j 0 21
Rj = Si (1114)
expected payo¤
n
X
vj (r) = p (t i j ti ) ui rj ; r(k;tk ) k6=i
; ti ; t 1i (1115)
t0 1 2T o
Bayesian Nash equilibrium is the Nash equilibrium of this associated strategic form game.
Theorem: Every …nite game of incomplete information possesses at least one Bayesian Nash
equilibrium.
174
6.1.3 Extensive form Game ( )
1. A …nite set of players N.
2. A set of actions, A
3. A set of nodes, histories, X. it includes initial nodes and a complete description of actions
that have been taken so far. A (x) fa 2 A j (x; a) 2 Xg
4. Probability distribution over actions A (x) A:
5. Set of end nodes E fx 2 X j (x; a) 2
= Xg for all a 2 A: Each end node describes the
complete play of the game so far.
6. A function : fX n (E [ fx0 g) j (x) = ig. When the game reaches at node X it tells it is
the turn player i next.
7. Information set belonging to player i ; Ii fI (x) j (x) = i , some x 2 X n (E [ fx0 g)g
8. for each i 2 N ; Neumann-Morgenstern payo¤ functions at the end node ui : E ! R. This
is payo¤ for every possible complete play of the game.
9. Extensive form game is summarised then, = < N; A; X; E; ; ; I; (ui )i2N .
Economic activities of consumers, producers, governments and nations or regions are interde-
pendent.
Game theory provides tools to study the strategic interactions among such economic agents
where decisions taken by one individual depend on actions taken by others.
Each game has a number of players who choose a set of strategies and rules. .Optimal choices
available to one depend on choices made by others.
Pay-o¤s are clearly de…ned for each player strategy pairs.
Strategic modelling like this started with classics such as Cournot (1838), Bertrand (1883),
Edgeworth (1925) von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944), Nash (1950). It is developing very
fast in recent years following works of Kuhn (1953), Shapley (1953),Shelten ( 1965) Aumann
(1966) Scarf (1967), Shapley and Shubic (1969), Harsanyi(1967), Spence (1974), Kreps (1990),
Fundenberg and Tirole (1991) and Binmore (1992).
Elements of a Game
Rational Players
Strategies
Payo¤ matrix
R
1;1 is pay-o¤ to row player if he plays strategy 1 and the column player plays strategy 1.
Players like to maximise their own pay-o¤ given opponent’s strategy; B will choose strategy 1
or 2 that maximises his/her payo¤ looking at the choice of player A.
Most games have equilibrium from which players do not have any incentive to move away.
175
Table 49: Structure of a Game
Player A
Strategy 1 Strategy 2
Player B R C R C
Strategy 1 1;1 ; 1;1; 1;2 ; 1;2
R C R C
Strategy 2 2;1 ; 2;1; 2;2 ; 2;2
176
c) Why the cooperation is Pareto superior than non-cooperation?
d) What is the solution in mixed strategy?
Story 3
Over time people are taken over by greed and self interest. They started competing out others
for material bene…ts. They played non-cooperative game. Private corporations and …rms emerged
to organise people in production process. Property rights and legal provisions for protecting those
rights got built up in the economic system.
177
Auctioning and competitive bids are mechanism to assign contracts and reveal some information
that would otherwise would not be revealed.
Binmore K. (1990) Fun and Games: A text on Game Theory, Lexington, Heath.
Bhattarai K. (2013) Coalition for constitution and economic growth in Nepal, International
Journal of Global Studies (IJGS), 1:1, Feb, 1-4
Cripps, M.W.(1997) Bargaining and the Timing of Investment, International Economic Re-
view, 38:3 :Aug.:527-546
Dixit A., S. Skeath and D. F. Reiley (2009) Games of Strategy, Norton.
Gardener R (2003) Games of Business and Economics, Wiley, Second Edition.
Hey J. D. (2003) Intermediate microeconomics, McGraw Hill.
Holt Charles (2007) Markets, Games and Strategic Behaviour, Pearson, .
Hurwicz L (1973) The design of mechanism for resource allocation, American Economic Re-
view, 63:2:1-30.
Kreps D. M. (1990) A Course in Microeconomic Theory, Princeton.
Maskin E, J. Moore (1999) Implementation and Renegotiation The Review of Economic Stud-
ies, Vol. 66, No. 1, Special Issue: Contracts Jan, pp. 39-56
Maskin E and J Tirole (1992) The principal-agent relationship with an informed principle:
common values, Econometrica, 60:1:1-42
Mailath G. J. and L. Samuelson (2006) Repeated Games and Reputations: long run relation-
ship, Oxford.
Mirlees, J.A. (1971) "An exploration in the theory of optimum income taxation." Review of
Economic Studies,38:175-208.
Myerson R (1986) Multistage game with communication, Econometrica, 54:323-358.
Osborne M.J. and A. Robinstein (1994) A course in game theory, MIT Press.
Pathak P and T Sönmez (2013) School Admissions Reform in Chicago and England: Com-
paring Mechanisms by Their Vulnerability to Manipulation." American Economic Review,
103(1): 80-106.
Perlo¤ J. M. (2013) Microeconomics: Theory and Applications with Calculus, Pearson, 3rd
Edition.
Rasmusen E(2007) Games and Information, Blackwell.
Roth A E. (2008) What have we learned from market design?, Economic Journal, 118 (March),
285–310.
Shapley L (1953) A Value for n Person Games, Contributions to the Theory of Games II,
307-317, Princeton.
178
Shapley L and M. Shubik (1969) On Market Games, Journal of Economic Theory, 1:9-25
Varian HR (2010) Intermediate Microeconomics: A Modern Approach, Norton,8th ed..
zero sum game: one’s gain = loss of another ; sports ; market shares
Dominant strategy
Fact: both players did a crime together. Police suspects and arrest both of them.
179
Table 56: Advertisement Game
Player A
Advert Dont Advert
Player B
Advert (10; 5) (15; 0)
Dont Advert (6; 8) (20; 2)
Playing non cooperatively each convicts another. Game results in Nash solution (confess,
Confess) = ( 5; 5); Each ends up with 5 years in prison.
By confessing, each gives evidence to the police to determine the highest possible punishment.
If they had cooperated remaining silent, police would not have enough evidence.
Each would have been given only two years of prison ( 2; 2) : This is Pareto optimal
outcome, "where no one could be made better o¤ without making someone worse-o¤".
Cooperation is better but each think that other player will cheat and therefore doesn’t coop-
erate. Therefore stay longer in jail.
There are many example of prisoner’s dilemma game in real world -pricing and output in a
cartel, pollution, tax-revenue.
180
Table 58: Prisoners’Dilemma Game
Player A
Confess Dont Confess
Player B
Confess ( 5; 5) ( 1; 10)
Dont Confess ( 10; 1) ( 2; 2)
p = 0:7 (1119)
B plays Top 70 % of times and Bottom 30% of times.
Subsidy Game Between the Airbus and Boeing
If both Boeing and Airbus produce a new aircraft each will lose -10. If Airbus does not produce
and only Boeing produces Boeing will make 100 pro…t. If Airbus does not produce Airbus can make
100 but then Boeing will decide to produce even at a loss of 10 so that Airbus does not enter in
that market.
Subsidy Game Between the Airbus and Boeing
EU countries want Airbus to produce, they change this by subsidising 20 to Airbus.
Producing new aircraft is dominant strategy for Airbus now, no matter whether Boding produces
or not.
Entry Deterrence Game
In‡ation and unemployment game between public and private sectors
Higher payo¤ is good.
First element represents payo¤ to the row-player (Government). Second element represents
payo¤ to the column-player (private sector).
Nash solution is (H; H) = (4; 4) Cooperative solution would have been better with (L; L) =
(5; 5).
Cost of Cheating
Cooperative solution would have been better with (L; L) = (5; 5) but distrusting each other
results in (H; H) = (4; 4) .
If the game is plaid repeatedly what will be value of the game? It is given by the discounted
present value of the game for any discount rate 0 < < 1:
2 n 5
P V (cooperate) = 5 + 5 + 5 + :::: + 5 = (1120)
1
181
Table 60: Competitive Game
Player A
Left Right
Player B
Top (50; 50) (80; 80)
Bottom (90; 90) (20; 20)
However, there is an incentive to cheat to get 6 instead of 5. when one player deviates from the
cooperative strategy this way another will found out being cheated next period. Then he/she will
punish the cheater by playing non-cooperatively next period. So the value of game :
2 n
P V (cheat) = 6 + 4 + 4 + :::: + 4 (1121)
Cost of Cheating
2 n
P V (cheat) = 6 + 4 + 4 + :::: + 4 (1122)
multiply it by
2 n+1
P V (cheat) = 6 + 4 + :::: + 4 (1123)
taking the di¤erence
2 n+1
(1 ) P V (cheat) = 6 6 +4 4 + :::: + 4 =6+4 (1124)
(1 )
Whether a person cheats or not depends on discount factor
5 1
=6+4 or5 = 6 (1 )+4 1= 2 ; = (1125)
1 (1 ) 2
Extensive form of the game
Solution by Backward Induction (Is there any …rst movers advantage?)
In‡ation and unemployment game in a diagram
In‡ation and unemployment game in a diagram
Economic policy game between the …scal and monetary authority
Binmore K. (1990) Fun and Games: A text on Game Theory, Lexington, Heath.
Cripps, M.W.(1997) Bargaining and the Timing of Investment, International Economic Review, 38:3
:Aug.:527-546
182
Table 62: Subsidy Game
Airbus
Produce Don’t produce
Boeing
Produce ( 10; 10) (100; 0)
Don’t produce (0; 120) (0; 0)
Mailath G. J. and L. Samuelson (2006) Repeated Games and Reputations: long run relationship,
Oxford.
Osborne M.J. and A. Robinstein (1994) A course in game theory, MIT Press.
Equilibrium concepts:
Backward induction; subgame perfect equilibrium, sequential equilibrium, Bayes’s rule.
Standard technique to solve this problem is to use the concept of Nash Product
max U = ( i 0) ( j 0) (1126)
183
Table 64: Subsidy Game
Entrant
Enter Dont Enter
Incumbent
Enter ( 10; 10) (100; 0)
Dont Enter (0; 120) (0; 0)
subject to
i + j 1 (1127)
or by non-satiation property i + j =1
L ( i; j; )=( i 0) ( j 0) + [1 i j] (1128)
L ( i; j; )
= j =0 (1129)
@ i
L ( i; j; )
= i =0 (1130)
@ j
L ( i; j ; )
=1 i j =0 (1131)
@
From the …rst two …rst order conditions j = i implies j = i and putting this into
the third …rst order condition j = i = 12 . This is called focal point.
Thus Nash solution of this problem is to divide the pie symmetrically into two equal parts. Any
other solution of this not stable. Roy Gardner (2003) and Charles Holt (2007) have a number of
interesting examples on bargaining game.
Application of Bargaining Game
Money to be divided between two players
M = u1 + u2 (1132)
The origin of this bargaining game is the disagreement point d(0; 0), the threat point.
184
Here the utility of player one (u1 ) is plotted against the utility of player two u2 and the line
u1 u2 is the utility possibility frontier (UPF).
Starting of bargaining can be (0; M ) or (M; 0) where one player claims all but other nothing.
But this is not stable.
1 1
O¤ers and counter o¤ers will be made until the game is settled at u = 2 M; 2 M where
each player gets equal share.
L (u1; u2 ; )
= u2 =0 (1134)
@u1
L (u1; u2 ; )
= u1 =0 (1135)
@u2
L (u1; u2 ; )
= 1000 u1 u2 = 0 (1136)
@
From the …rst two …rst order conditions u2 = u1 implies u2 = u1 and putting this into
the third …rst order condition u2 = u1 = 1000 2 = 500. This is called focal point.
Numerical Example of Bargaining Game
The Nash bargaining solution is the values of u1 and u2 that maximise the value of the Nash
product u1 u2 subject to the resource allocation constraint,u1 + u2 = 1000.
This bargaining solution ful…ls four di¤erent properties: 1) symmetry 2) e¢ ciency 3) linear
invariance 4) independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA).
Symmetry implies that equal division between two players and e¢ ciency implies no wastage of
resources u1 + u2 = M or maximisation of the Nash product, u1 u2 .
Linear invariance refers to the location of threat point as can be shown in a bankruptcy game
say dividing 50000. If u is a solution to the bargaining game then u + d is a solution to the
bargaining problem with disagreement point d.
Numerical Example of Bargaining Game
185
L (u1; u2 ; )
= u2 =0 (1139)
@u1
L (u1; u2 ; )
= u1 15000 =0 (1140)
@u2
L (u1; u2 ; )
= 50000 u1 u2 = 0 (1141)
@
Numerical Example of Bargaining Game
L (u1; u2 ; )
= u2 =0 (1143)
@u1
L (u1; u2 ; )
= u1 2 u2 = 0 (1144)
@u2
L (u1; u2 ; )
= 100 u1 u22 = 0 (1145)
@
Numerical Example of Bargaining Game
From the …rst two …rst order conditions uu1;2 = 2 u2 implies u1 2u22 and putting this into the
third …rst order condition .3u22 = 100 ; u22 = 100
3 = 33:3 ; u2 = 5:77
2 2
u1 = 2u2 = 2 (5:77) = 66:6
u1 + u22 = 66:6 + 33:3 = 100
Thus the risk-averse player’s utility is 66.7 and risk neutral player’s utility is only 5.7.
Morale: do not reveal anyone if you are risk averse, otherwise you will lose in the bargaining.
Coalition Possibilities
186
2N -1 rule for possible coalition
Consider Four Players A,B,C,D
A, B, C, D
AB, AC, AD
BC, BD, CD
ABC, ABD,ACD, BCD,
ABCD
16 -1=15
187
1 2 3
= + + (1147)
X N
X
i i
v (N ) = = (1148)
i2N i=1
Group rationality implies that total payo¤ to each players in the coalition equals at least the
payo¤ of its independent actions.
i
v (fig) ; i2N (1149)
In the dynamic context players like to maximise the present value, V, of the gain from in…nite
period, with a given discount rate r over years:
Z t=1
V = v (i) e rt dt (1150)
t=0
The imputations in the core guarantees each member of a coalition the value at least as much as
it could be obtained by playing independently. At the core of the game each player gets at least as
much from the coalition as from the individual action, there does not exist any blocking coalition.
This is equivalent to Pareto optimal allocation in a competitive equilibrium (Scarf (1967)). Some
imputations are dominated by others; the core of the game is the strong criteria for dominant
imputation. Core satis…es coalition rationality.
A unique imputation in the core is obtained by Shapley value. This re‡ects additional payo¤
that each individual can bring by adding an extra player to the existing coalition above the pay-o¤
without this player. This is the power of that player. Consider a game of three players in which
the 3rd player always brings more to the coalition than the 1st or the 2nd player.
Payo¤ for coalition of empty set: v ( ) = 0
Payo¤ from players acting alone: v (1) = 0; v (2) = 0; v (3) = 0 ;
Payo¤ from alternative coalitions: v (1; 2) = 0:1; v (1; 3) = 0:2; v (2; 3) = 0:2;
Payo¤ from the grand coalition: v (1; 2; 3) = 1
Power of individual i in the coalitions is measured by the di¤erence that person makes in the
value of the game v (S [ fig v (S)) = 1 , where S is the subset of players excluding i, S [ fig is
the subset including player i. The expected values of game for i is found by taking account of all
possible coalition that person i can enter with N number of players, where is the weighting factor
that changes according to the number of people in a particular coalition. This is the probability
that a player joins coalition,S 2 N and there are (2N -1) ways of forming in N player game:
X s! (n s 1)
i
= n (S) v (S [ fig v (S)) ; n (S) = (1151)
n!
S2N
v (1) v ( ) = 0
v (1; 2) v (1) = 0:1
v (1; 3) v (1) = 0:2 0 = 0:2
v (1; 2; 3) v (2; 3) = 1 0:2 = 0:8
s! (n s 1) 0! (3 0 1) 2! 2
0 (S) = = = = (1152)
n! 3! 3! 6
188
s! (n s 1) 1! (3 1 1) 1! 1
1 (S) = = = = (1153)
n! 3! 3! 6
s! (n s 1) 2! (3 2 1) 2! 2
2 (S) = = = = (1154)
n! 3! 3! 6
Shapley value for player 1 is thus
X 2 1 1 2 19
1
= n (S) v (S [ fig v (S)) = (0) + (0:1) + (0:2) + (0:8) = (1155)
6 6 6 6 60
S2N
For player 2
X 2 1 1 2 19
2
= n (S) v (S [ fig v (S)) = (0) + (0:1) + (0:2) + (0:8) = (1156)
6 6 6 6 60
S2N
Note as before
v (2) v ( ) = 0
v (1; 2) v (1) = 0:1
v (2; 3) v (1) = 0:2 0 = 0:2
v (1; 2; 3) v (1; 3) = 1 0:2 = 0:8
For player 3
X 2 1 1 2 22
3
= n (S) v (S [ fig v (S)) = (0) + (0:2) + (0:2) + (0:9) = (1157)
6 6 6 6 60
S2N
v (3) v ( ) = 0
v (1; 3) v (1) = 0:2 0 = 0:2
v (2; 3) v (2) = 0:2 0 = 0:2
v (1; 2; 3) v (1; 2) = 1 0:1 = 0:9
As the player 3 brings more into the coalition its expected payo¤ is higher than of players 1
and 2. Similar con…gurations can be made where players 1 and 2 can bring more in the coalition.
In the context of Nepal which of three parties mentioned above are pivotal depends on the value
they add to the game. The value of grand coalition is the largest possible value of the game with
N players. This fact is shown by the core of the game in Figure 1.
Figure 1
189
Solutions towards the core are more stable than those towards the corners which are prone to
con‡icts. This is equivalent to …nding a central ground in politics. Ego centric solutions are less
likely to bring any stable solution to the game. In the most stable equilibrium all players gain in
equal proportions to their supporters.
190
Table 66: No Pivotal Player in a Bargaining Game
orderings M(1,S) M(2,S) M(3,S)
1 123 0 1 0
2 132 0 0 1
3 213 1 0 0
4 231 0 0 1
5 312 1 0 0
6 321 0 1 0
Simple game theoretic models applicable to analyse the current Nepalese situation could be
developed taking seminal ideas of Shapley and Shubik (1969), Rubinstein (1982), Myerson (1986),
Sutton (1986), Dixit (1987), Maskin and Moore (1999) and Riley (2001).
191
xi = Li (S1 ; S2 ; ::::; Sn ; b0 ; b1 ; b2 ; ::::; bn ) (1159)
Beliefs on these parameters could be formed on the basis of history, principles and values of parties
and key personalities of the party and studying their relations to other players. Convergence on
beliefs among all parties occurs when they understand and trust each other. This gives credibility
to the outcome of the game. Equilibrium in such case is more certain and e¢ cient and generates
greater payo¤ for parties and welfare of the country.
Still leaders of Nepal seem to be confused in understanding the basic fact that the gains from
he commitment and cooperation should be much larger than of noncooperation to form coalition
192
or in releasing that the bene…ts of dynamic optimisation are far greater than zero sum game being
played at the moment. It is important to rethink about the true and realistic social welfare function
such as W (Y; S) where Y denotes the level of aggregate economic activities and its growth rates
and S the stability of the system, can be one way to redirect resources wasted in the process of
unsuccessful coalition formation to bring more e¢ cient and Pareto optimal solution. Reinvigorate
the spirits of April 2006 Revolution. Nepal’s per capita income is one third of India and about 12
percent of China though it had similar per capita income with them till 1980. Political instability
in the last two decades has been very costly to Nepal. These could have been decades of spectacular
growth but turned into disaster. There cannot be bigger irony than this in the context of Nepal and
cooperative strategies of each political party is the only way to sort out this problem. Credibility,
respect and commitment only can make this happen.
F e b r u a r y, 1 - 4
B h a t t a r a i K . ( 2 0 1 1 ) C o n s t it u t io n a n d E c o n o m ic M o d e ls fo r t h e Fe d e r a l R e p u b lic o f N e p a l, E c o n o m ic J o u r n a l o f N e p a l, Vo l. 3 3 , N o .1 ,
J a nu a ry _ M a rch , Issu e N o . 1 2 9 , p . 1 -1 5
1 2 6 ,M a rch 2 0 1 1
E c o n o m ic s a n d B u sin e ss, 5 :2 :3 1 5 -3 2 1 .
K u h n H . W . ( 1 9 9 7 ) C l a s s i c s i n G a m e T h e o r y, P r i n c e t o n U n i v e r s i t y P r e s s .
P a th a k P a n d T S ö n m e z (2 0 1 3 ) S ch o o l A d m is s io n s R e fo rm in C h ic a g o a n d E n g la n d : C o m p a rin g M e ch a n is m s b y T h e ir Vu ln e ra b ility to
R o t h A E . ( 2 0 0 8 ) W h a t h a v e w e l e a r n e d f r o m m a r k e t d e s i g n ? , E c o n o m i c J o u r n a l , 1 1 8 ( M a r c h ) , 2 8 5 –3 1 0 .
S h a p le y L lo y d S . a n d M a r t in S h u b ik ( 1 9 6 9 ) P u r e C o m p e t it io n , C o a lit io n a l P o w e r , a n d Fa ir D iv is io n , In t e r n a t io n a l E c o n o m ic R e v ie w ,
10 , 3, 33 7-36 2.
193
6.6 Equivalence of Core in Games and Core in a General Equilibrium
Model
Both game theory and general equilibrium models analyse optimal choices of consumers and pro-
ducers faced with resource constraints in which the essential process involves bargaining over the
gains from the intra and intertemporal trade on goods, services and …nancial assets. In terms of
game theory the core of a bargaining game is given by the payo¤ from a non-blocking coalition. It
is a Pareto e¢ cient point. Similarly core of a general equilibrium lies in the contract curve where
it is di¢ cult to make one economic agent better o¤ without making another worse o¤. The core
of the coalition in the game and core of the equilibrium in a general equilibrium model represent
basically the same thing. The optimal allocation of resources to economic agents possible with given
endowments con…rm to the …rst and second theorems of welfare economics. Abstract solutions of
both models can characterise the optimal allocation of resources after more complex bid and o¤er
interactions among economic agents. Debreu and Scarf (1963) have proven the equivalence of a
competitive equilibrium to the core of the game for economies with and without production by con-
tradiction when preferences are non-satiable, strictly convex and continuous. Scarf (1967) theorem
states that a balanced n person game has a nonempty core. This is best illustrated in terms of a
Venn diagram with three players as given in Figure below.
Assume a pure exchange economy in which each individual i is endowed with ! i endow-
ments,
X i =1. . . n. Let the competitive allocations
X X beX
xi . Then the competitive equilibrium implies
xi = ! i with usual preferences, u xSi u (xi ). In the n person game,T = fSg , the
i i i i
collection of coalitions, is called balanced X
collection if it is possible to …nd factors to weight value
of allocations to each coalition such that i = 1 . Competitive allocations are proven to be in
T =fSg
S fig
core using these weights as:
X n X
X X X X X n
X X X
S
xi = i xi = S xSi = S !i = !i S = !i (1160)
i i T =fSg T =fSg i2S S2T i2S i T =fSg i
S fig S fig
194
Consider three player game as presented in Figure 3. By 2N 1 rule for possible number of
coalitions in N person games, there are seven possible coalitions: f1g,f2g ,f3g ,f1; 2g , f1; 3g,f2; 3g
,f1; 2; 3g . There is some parallel between the value of a property in the central business district as
the values of coalition in intersection can be far greater than values under no coalition; in addition
in a bargaining game there
X can be externality from the bargain as shown by points E around three
circles. The condition i = 1 required for the core thus represents summative weight assigned
T =fSg
S fig
to these individual coalitions.
Thus the competitive equilibrium is equivalent to the allocation at the core, “An exchange
economy with convex preferences always gives rise to a balanced n person game and such will
always have a nonempty core (Scarf (1967)).”
Above state principle is generally true under full information. However, it does not work under
incomplete information. Competitive …nancial markets are perfect under when all agents that have
complete information and are e¢ cient in processing such information. This assumption, however,
is not always correct. Financial markets are full of asymmetric information, activities of one set of
players depend on actions taken by another set of players and the amount of information they have
impacts on the likely choices of others. This requires incentive compatible mechanisms for e¢ cient
allocation of …nancial resources.
Bejan C and J C Gomez (2009) Core extensions for non-balanced TU-games, International
Journal of Game Theory, 38:3-16.
Bullard James, Alison Butler (1993) Nonlinearity and Chaos in Economic Models: Implica-
tions for Policy Decisions, Economic Journal, 103, 419: 849-867
195
Lipsey R. G. and K. Lancaster (1956 - 1957) The General Theory of Second Best, Review of
Economic Studies, 24, 1,11-32
Nash J. (1951) Non-cooperative games, Annals of Mathematics, 54:286-295
Roth, A., Erev, I., 1995. Learning in extensive-form games: Experimental data and simple
dynamic models in the intermediate term. Games Econ. Behav. 8, 164–212
Scarf H. (1967) Core of n Person Game, Econometrica, 35:50-69.
Shapley L (1953) A Value for n Person Games, Contributions to the Theory of Games II,307-
317, Princeton.
wt = (1 ) Kt (At Lt ) At (1162)
Supply of labour occurs through the utility maximising behavour of the household.
1
X
t
max U (ct ; 1 lt ) (1163)
t=0
subject to
ct + kt+1 = wt lt + (1 + rt ) kt (1164)
196
This results in labour supply to be:
(1 )
Lt Lt = Lt (1165)
(1 ) + (1 )b
Income patterns over time are di¤erent for di¤erent individuals. Some people start at a very low
level of earnings and experience a rapid rise in income as they gain more job speci…c experience.
Others may have a steady and stagnant income process over years. Still others may even have to
face declining growth in income. What are the factors that lead to higher income growth rates and
what are the factors that setback the process of income growth has been an issue of great interest
among the labour economists.
The years of schooling and job market experience are the most important factors associated
with higher income levels. Given other things constant, generally it is believed that an individual
with greater number of schooling years earns more than a person with a few years or no schooling.
Similarly a person with greater experience earns higher income. Both schooling and experience are
perceived to be the main factors enhancing productivity of an individual.
There are a number of factors that set back the income process. Gender bias has been an area
of continuous research in the labour economics. Females earn less than male either because of a
structural breaks in their career for family reasons or due to gender discrimination in the labour
market. Similarly there are cross regional variation in the income process.
Thinks of millions of workers in the economy. They work for earnings; in Mincerian traditions
earnings depend on quali…cations and status of health and many other conditions as shown in a
regression table below.
2
wi;t = ai + i Si;t + i Ai;t + i Ai;t + i Gi;t + i Ri;t + i Pi;t + t t + "i;t
where wi;t is the wage rate of individual i in year t; Si;t is years of schooling; Ai;t is age of
individual i in time t; Gi;t is the gender of an individual, Ri;t is regional location, t is wave t,
Pi;t is professional background of individual i. Coe¢ cients of such earning functions are estimated
using cross section or panel dataset. For instance using the cross section of the APS:
In addition to above variable earning di¤er by location of the labour markets. Local, regional,
national, urban, rural, global labour market function di¤erently. Earning also veray by profession.
Teachers, lawyers, doctors, engineers, scientists, artists have di¤erent levels of earning. Skilled
workers are paid more than unskilled or semi-skilled workers. Labour market institutions mater.
Job prospects are less in the rigid and opaque labor markets than in ‡exible and transparent labour
markets. Labour earning also vary by the term of employment. Earnings are less in short term
compared to medium term and long term employments. There are professions where labour supply
occurs in intergenerational setting.
As discussed in Pissarides (2013) and in Bhattarai and Dixon (2014) "the phenomenon of equilib-
rium unemployment results from the interaction among N number of …rms and unions (representing
H number of households) which bargain over wages and employment. Following the market sig-
nals of demand and relative prices and costs of inputs, pro…t maximising …rms create vacancies
for speci…c tasks and hire workers when they …nd suitable candidates for these jobs. Similarly
there are workers seeking jobs that match their skills and others who quit jobs and join the pool of
unemployed who may choose to quit jobs and become unemployed. Market speci…c idiosyncratic
shocks cause such entries and exits in the labour market. Equilibrium unemployment and wage
rates result from a Nash-bargain between workers and …rms. Whether the rate of unemployment
falls or rises depends on the relative proportion of entry and exit into the labour market.
197
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 368525
-------------+------------------------------ F( 17,368507) = 8.76
Model | 139225393 17 8189728.98 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 3.4450e+11368507 934864.212 R-squared = 0.0004
-------------+------------------------------ Adj R-squared = 0.0004
Total | 3.4464e+11368524 935198.879 Root MSE = 966.88
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GRSEXP | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
ILLDAYS2 | .5135184 3.158899 0.16 0.871 -5.67783 6.704866
ILLDAYS1 | 2.180592 2.085396 1.05 0.296 -1.906723 6.267907
ILLDAYS3 | -4.435447 3.853808 -1.15 0.250 -11.9888 3.117903
ILLDAYS4 | 8.066717 4.485219 1.80 0.072 -.7241797 16.85761
ILLDAYS5 | -5.238917 3.738412 -1.40 0.161 -12.56609 2.08826
ILLDAYS6 | -1.988442 6.544168 -0.30 0.761 -14.81482 10.83793
ILLDAYS7 | -.1315924 8.270102 -0.02 0.987 -16.34075 16.07756
QUAL_14 | 4.705906 5.354454 0.88 0.379 -5.788664 15.20048
QUAL_15 | -6.997297 16.48718 -0.42 0.671 -39.31169 25.3171
QUAL_16 | -12.89791 11.85998 -1.09 0.277 -36.14313 10.3473
QUAL_17 | 97.47657 34.51317 2.82 0.005 29.83178 165.1214
QUAL_18 | -13.84225 32.57728 -0.42 0.671 -77.69276 50.00826
QUAL_19 | 3.716753 4.476542 0.83 0.406 -5.057138 12.49064
QUAL_2 | 13.91868 12.39392 1.12 0.261 -10.37304 38.2104
QUAL_20 | 32.4236 7.656584 4.23 0.000 17.41692 47.43028
QUAL_21 | 43.351 4.285564 10.12 0.000 34.95142 51.75058
QUAL_22 | -1.453274 6.644386 -0.22 0.827 -14.47607 11.56953
_cons | -5.248379 52.42735 -0.10 0.920 -108.0044 97.50769
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Matching and bargaining functions across all N industries are key elements determining equilib-
rium unemployment . The Matching function (Beveridge curve) gives equilibrium conditions in the
labour market balancing entry and exit from unemployment by aggregating sector and skill speci…c
h h
vacancies Vi;t and unemployment U Ni;t with job creation as:
(1 t)
Mt = M (Vt ; U Nt ) = Vt t U Nt (1166)
where Mt ; Vt and U Nt denote the aggregate number of matching, vacancies and unemployment
respectively among job seekers at time t and aggregate variables are geometric means of household
level variables2 . The matching parameter t is between zero and one and varies over time. It can be
adjusted for prosperous period when there are more vacancies than job seekers or in recession when
there are more unemployed than vacancies. In steady state it should be about 0.5 to re‡ect the
balance between job creation and job destruction. Heterogeneity in the labour market is re‡ected
h h h
by sector and skill speci…c Mi;t ; Vi;t and U Ni;t . These capture the labour market conditions where
production sectors su¤er from shortages of certain skills while facing abundance of other skills.
In each case job seekers and employers bargain over expected earnings by maximising the Nash-
h h
product N Pi;t of the bargaining game over the di¤erence between the earnings from work (Wi;t )
h h h
than in being unemployed (U Ni;t ) and earnings to …rms from …lled Ji;t and vacant jobs Vi;t .
h h
h h h b h h 1 b
N Pi;t = Wi;t U Ni;t Ji;t Vi;t (1167)
Market imperfections in the labour market create opportunity of gains from bargains which is
divided between …rms and workers as indicated by parameter hb that can assume any value be-
tween zero and one, re‡ecting the relative strength of unions (workers) over …rms in such bargains.
Symmetric solution of this satis…es joint pro…t maximisation condition as:
N N N N
2V = V h ; U Nt = h ;M =
U Ni;t h =
Mi;t h ; UNh .
M Vi;t
t t
i=1 i;t i=1 i=1 i=1 i;t
198
h h h h h h h
Wi;t U Ni;t = b Ji;t + Wi;t Vi;t U Ni;t (1168)
In aggregate the job search model can be explained using three simple equations as summarised
by Pissarides (1979, 2000).
First, for each skill type h the dynamics of unemployment depends on the rate of job destruction,
h
t 1 unht , and the rate of job creation, ht q ht unht as unht = ht 1 unht h
tq
h h
t unt .
The steady state equilibrium implied by this is:
h
t T
unht = ; unT = (1169)
h
+ h h + Tq( T)
tq
T
t t
where ht is the rate of idiosyncratic shock of job destruction of household type h and ht is the ratio of
vacancy to the unemployment and q ht is the probability of …lling a job with a suitable candidate
through the matching process explained in (1166). Then unT is the equilibrium unemployment rate
average across all households expressed in terms of avarages of ht ht and q ( T ) given by T , T
and q ( T ) respectively.
Secondly the upward sloping wage curve in ( ht ; wth ) space shows positive links between the
reservation wage (zth ) the price of product p and cost of hiring ( ht cht ) implying higher wage rates
for tighter labour markets as:
h h h h h
wi;t = zth 1 b + b pt 1+ t ct (1170)
h pt c h
Finally there is a downward sloping job creation curve wth = pt rt + t q( h
t
; where pt
t)
h pt c h t
is the price of product, wth the wage rate, and rt + t q( h
, is the cost of hiring and …ring. It
t)
shows the possibility of job creation at lower wage rates and creation of fewer jobs at higher wage
rates. The optimal job creation (demand for labour curve) occurs when …rms balance the marginal
revenue product of labour to wage and hiring and …ring costs" (see some details in Bhattarai and
Dixon (2014)).
M =V U (1171)
where M denote the number of matching of vacancies and job seekers, V is number of vacancies
and U the number of unemployed, is the parameter between zero and one.Job seekers and
employers bargain over expected earnings by maximising the Nash-product of the bargaining
game over the di¤erence between the earnings from work (W) rather than in being unemployed
(U) and earnings to …rms from …lled and vacant jobs.
199
(Wi U ) (Ji V) (1172)
(a) Show that the dynamics of unemployment depends on the rate of job destruction, (1 u)
, and the rate of job creation,
1. (a) Optimal job creation or (demand for labour curve) shows how …rms balance the marginal
revenue product of labour to wage and hiring and …ring costs. Derive the Beveridge curve.
Moral hazard Owners of a …rm principals (P) and workers as agents (A) play a production game
in which agent exerts e¤orts (a) in return of income (y) and principal maximises net pro…t. Agent
can put high or low e¤orts and P cannot observe it. Utility of agent at work is given by
V = u(y) a V0 (1173)
0
This must be greater than a reservation utility V that is available from alternative work. The
income level that an individual worker requires is then given by
1
y=V V0+a (1174)
Less informed P can make sure that A exerts good e¤ort by making wage contract as
200
i v(y1 ) + (1 i ) v(y2 ) ai V0 (1177)
There is uncertainty in production resulting in x1 and x2 levels of production, x1 < x2 . Because
of this uncertainty x1 may happen despite A putting high level e¤ort, which P cannot observe.
Thus the owners of the company force managers to put the same level of e¤orts. Risk-neutral
owers bear all risk.
P can design contracts similarly if they like A to put low e¤orts.
and
201
h v(y1 ) + (1 h ) v(y2 ) ah l v(y1 ) + (1 l ) v(y2 ) al (1188)
( h l) 1
+ = (1194)
h v 0 (y1 )
( h l) 1
= (1195)
h v 0 (y2 )
1 1
< < =) y1 > y > y2 (1196)
v 0 (y1 ) v 0 (y2 )
Payment to A now varies according to the contribution in the gross pro…t. It given A an incentive
to choose ah and al
0
( h l ) [v (y1 ) v 0 (y2 )] = ah al (1197)
202
Adverse selection
First best
max xi yi (1198)
subject to
203
Managers’utility function is positively related with wages and negatively with the e¤orts as
Re2
u w (1201)
2
Here R is a disutility from work parameter; u0 (w) > 0 and u00 (w) < 0. and reservation wage is
w0 . Thus the participant constraints for A is
Re2
Eu w w0 (1202)
2
Full knowledge equilibrium
Pro…t is a stochastic variable with a random variable
=e+" (1203)
Here " is a random variable with E" = 0
If the shareholder could observe e¤orts, the optimal contract would be w = w is a …xed wage.
Here this from the participation constraint is
Re2
w = w0 + (1204)
2
maximisationof shareholder’s expected pro…t is :
Re2 Re2
E( )=E e+" w0 =e w0 (1205)
2 2
@E ( ) 1 1
= 1 Re = 0 () e = if w0 (1206)
@e R 2R
This is the optimal solution when shareholders could obseve the e¤ort of managers.
Now suppose the e¤orts are not observable. Consider a linear incentive scheme:
w( ) = a+b (1207)
What is the expected utility of A with linear scheme:
Re2 b
Eu a + be + b" () b Re =) e = (1208)
2 R
E¤ort grows with the slope of the incentive scheme. If b = 1; then e = e :
The expected utility at this level of e¤orts is
b2 b2 b2
Eu a + + b" () Eu a + + b" (1209)
R 2R 2R
Shareholder’s expected pro…t
e b b2 b
= E [e + " a be b"] = a = (1 b) a (1210)
R R R
Linear optimal scheme:
204
e b
max = (1 b) a (1211)
R
subject to
b2
Eu a + + b" w0 (1212)
2R
Substitute a from the participation constraint
e b b2
Eu + + b" = w0 (1213)
R 2R
di¤erentiating wrt b
1 b
Eu0 + Eu0 " = 0 (1214)
R
This gives b = 1:
This value of the linear scheme optimises pro…t for the shareholder as the agent puts maximum
e¤orts at work.
205
Moral hazard (hidden action)
iPeople who have theft insurance are likely to haven low quality locksthat are easy to break
(in cars, houses, bicycle (car)) most likely to claim insurances
Remedy: deductible amount; to ensure that some customers take care in security.
Warranty is costly for low quality cars as they frequently break down.
Buyers can decide whether a car is good or bad looking at the warrantee and pay appropriately.
Right signalling can remove ine¢ ciency due to incomplete information.
Markets for both types of car can operate e¢ ciently by right signals of warranty and Guarantee
206
Pooling, Separating and Mixed Equilibrium
pooling equilibrium (same price for good and bad cars; good cars disappear from the market)
Separating equilibrium where players act as they should according to the signal (prices according
to quality)
(both good and bad cars are bought, some feel cheated)
Near Market failure (mixed strategies) Bayesian updating mechanism at work
Pooling equilibrium Consider a situation where there are N individuals applying to work. In
absence of education as the criteria of quality employers cannot see who is a high quality worker
and who is a low quality worker. Employers know that proportion of workers is of high quality
and (1- ) proportion is of bad quality. Therefore they pay each worker an average wage rage as:
w = wh + (1 ) wl (1215)
Every worker gets the average wage rate ; there is no wage premium for higher quality in pooling
equilibrium. If more productive worker is worth 40000 and less productive worker is worth 20000
and =0.5 then the average wage rate will be 30000;
w = wh + (1 ) wl = 0:5 (40000) + 0:5 (20000) = 30000.
Let c denote the cost of education. It is worth for high quality worker to go to school only if
the wage di¤erence having and not having education is greater than the cost of education which is
given by
wh w = wh [ wh + (1 ) wl ] (1216)
Simpli…cation of this condition implies a signalling condition
c
<1 (1217)
wh wl
Going to school is not worth if the wage premium of school is less than the cost of educa-
tion
wh wl < c (1218)
207
If the cost of education is 15000, the net of education wage for high quality worker is 25000
which is less than wage at the pooling equilibrium. Therefore no signalling occurs in this case.
Employers pay average wage rate to each worker without any consideration of their abilities. This
pooling equilibrium remains ine¢ cient as productive workers do not have enough incentive to put
their full e¤orts at work.
wh wl > c (1219)
This is possible if the cost of education is 5000; then wage net of education cost for high quality
is 35000 which is above the pooling wage rate. This makes sense to signal by choosing higher
education. Signalling is optimal in this case; fraction of workers will signal by going to education.
Aggregate labour cost will be the same but wages will be paid according to the productivity of
workers as re‡ected by the level of education of workers.
208
Excel calculations
While making a hiring decision employers take level of education as a signal of quality of workers.
Government Policy and Signalling
It is important to have optimal amount of signalling –too little or too much signalling generates
ine¢ cient result. Empirical …nding on signalling is mixed. Public policy could be designed to
generate right amount of signalling as following:
1. It can create separating equilibrium by subsidizing education of more able workers. It can
ban on wasteful signalling by banning schools that do not produce good workers.
2. High education provides signals, employers pay according to this signal, this will a¤ect the
distribution of wages.
209
so the low quality worker gets no education, but the higher quality worker gets education.
Employers pay according to the level of education.
Education works as a signalling device and makes the market e¢ cient.
Education separates the equilibrium.
c1 e c2 e =) c1 c2 (1220)
(a2 a1 ) (a2 a1 )
<e < (1222)
c1 c2
Workers choose level of education according to their beliefs about its impact on wage o¤er:
wt (e).
Utility from wage and education is given by ut (w; e).
@ut (w;e):
Utility is rising in wage received @w >0
@ut (w;e):
Utility falls in work e¤orts @e <0
210
Spence model of education: Problem of Choosing Right Level of Education
It is more expensive for less productive worker to produce education signal k1 > k2
More Speci…cally
p
ut (w; e) = 42 wt kt e1:5 k1 = 2; k2 = 1 w1 = e; w2 = 2e (1224)
Level of education chosen by less productive worker
@ut (w; e) : 1 1
= 42 p 3e 2 = 0 (1226)
@e 2 e
1 1 42
42 p = 3e 2 =) e1 = =7 (1227)
2 e 6
It is optimal for the less productive worker to takes only seven years of education
@ut (w; e) : 1 1
= 42 p 2 1:5e 2 = 0 (1229)
@e 2 2e
1 1 1 42
42 p = 1:5e 2 ; 42 p = e =) e2 = = 19:8 (1230)
2e 1:5 2 2:121
It is optimal for the more productive worker to takes 19.8 years of education.
211
It is important to have optimal amount of signalling – too little or too much signalling gen-
erates ine¢ cient result. Empirical …nding on signalling is mixed. Public policy could be
designed to generate right amount of signalling as following
It can create separating equilibrium by subsidizing education of more able workers. It can
ban on wasteful signalling by banning schools that do not produce good workers.
High education provides signals, employers pay according to this signal, this will a¤ect the
distribution of wages.
Principal wants to produce output employing workers with a scheme of wage contract that
matches e¤orts put by a worker to produce.
Worker knows his type but the principal does not.
Principal knows the distribution of quality of workers F(s), where s denotes either good or
bad state such as probability of observing good is 0.5 and of bad 0.5.
Basically worker evaluates the utility from the wage and disutility from work and decides the
amount of work to put in.
Output from good workers is q (e; good) = 3e and from bad state is q (e; bad) = e
If agent rejects the contract there is no work both worker and principal get zero payo¤.
Principal’s pro…t: . .
Vp (q; w) = q w (1232)
The …rst part is wage income and the second part of disutility of work.
212
The optimal level of e¤orts by good agent is:
The principal does not know what levels of e¤orts are appropriate for good and bad workers.
Principal’s Objective
Principal maximises expected pro…t
by designing separate contracts for good (qG ; wG ) and bad workers (qB ; wB ) and .
Wage for good worker: wG = q (e; good) = 3e or e = q3G
Wage for bad worker: wB = q (e; bad) = e or e = qB
Incentive Compatibility Constraints for Agents
Self selection constraint for good worker
qG 2 qB 2
UG = wG e2G = wG UG = wB e2B = wB (1238)
3 3
Self selection constraint for bad worker
2
UB = w B e2B = wB (qB ) UB = w G e2G (1239)
Participation constraints for good worker
qG 2
UG = wG 0 (1240)
3
Participation constraint for bad worker
2
UB = wB (qB ) 0 (1241)
Binding Constraints
Participation constraint of bad worker
2
wB = qB (1242)
Self selection constraint for good worker
qG 2 qB 2 qG 2
2 qB 2
wG = + wB =) wG = + qB (1243)
3 3 3 3
Principal’s Optimal Solution
213
M ax UP = [0:5 (qG wG ) + 0:5 (qB wB )]
qG ;qB ;wG ;wB
Now principal decides how much to produce from each type of worker
First order conditions with respect to qG and qB
@UP 2qG
= 0:5 1 = 0 =) qG = 4:5 (1244)
@qG 9
@UP 2qB
= 0:5 2qB + 0:5 (1 2qB ) = 0 =) 34qB = 9 =)
@qB 9
qB = 0:265 (1245)
2 2
wB = qB = (0:265) = 0:07 (1246)
2 2 2 2
qG 2 qB 4:5 2 0:265
wG = + qB = + (0:265) = 2:32 (1247)
3 3 3 3
Thus in the presence of information asymmetry , the e¤orts by the good worker is at the …rst
best level as the bad e¤ort by him is not as attractive as the good e¤ort.
It is not pro…table for good worker to pretend as a bad worker. Good worker is not attracted
by the contract for bad worker.
It is very costly for the bad worker to accept the contract of good worker. Bad worker’s …rst
best to put low e¤ort.
214
Incentive compatible game on rending a piece of agriculatural land
(a) renting the land where the workers pays a …xed rent R to the owner and takes the residual
amount of output, at equilibrium
f (x ) c(x ) R = u (1248)
(b) Take it or leave it contract where the owner gives some amount such as
B c(x ) = u (1249)
(c) hourly contract
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1. Project B earns more but is riskier than project A. Probability of success of projects A and
B are given by PA and PB respectively.
a. Illustrate how the rate of interest rate should be lower in project A than in project B
in equilibrium?
b. Probability of types A and B agents is given by PA and PB respectively. Prove under
the asymmetric information a lender charging a pooling interest rate is unfair to the safe
borrower A and more generous to the risky borrower B.
c. How can agent signal its worth? How can the lender ascertain the degree of moral
hazard in B?
2. Principal wants to produce output by employing workers with a scheme of wage contract
that matches e¤orts put by a worker to produce. Worker knows his type but the principal
does not but the principal knows the distribution of quality of workers F (s), where s denotes
either good or bad state. Probability of observing good is 0.5 and of bad 0.5. Principal
o¤ers the agent a wage contract W (q) worker accepts or rejects this contract based on self-
selection and participation constraints. Basically worker evaluates the utility from the work
and disutility from work and decides the amount of work to put in. Output from good worker
is q(e; g) = 3e and from bad state is q(e; b) = e . Both of them are risk neutral. If agent
rejects the contract there is no work both worker and principal get zero payo¤ otherwise the
agent = U (e; w; s) = w e3 and . principal = V (q w) = q w
7.5 Mechanism Design for Price Discrimination: Low Cost Airlines Ex-
ample
There are three steps in mechanism design.
1. Principal designs a mechanism or contract
2. agents accept or reject mechanism
3. Those who accept the mechanism play the game.
Consider a case of monopolist which supplies q with marginal cost c and tari¤ (price) T. Its
objective is
217
U1 (q; T; ) = V (q) T (1251)
V is a common knowledge, is private information. There are high and low type buyers.
= with probability p
= with probability p
and p+ p = 1
First best solution: If the seller knew its tari¤ would be V (q) = T Its pro…t would be
V (q) cq and V 0 (q) = c: Most often it does not know , therefore o¤ers q; T and q; T
bundles. Then the expected pro…t will be
Eu0 = p q; T + p q; T (1252)
Sellers’constraints
1. consumers need to be willing to purchase and this requires ful…llment of individual rationality
constraint and participation constraint.
IR1 : V q T 0 (1253)
218
Binding constraints are IC1 and IR2 This implies
T = V q T + V (q) (1257)
T = V (q) V q (1258)
c
V q = (1260)
p( )
1 p
V (q) = c (1261)
Allocation is socially optimal
Reference Fundenbege and Tirole (1995)), Game Theory, MIT press.
Economy and Business Class Ticket Problem for Airlines (Based on Dixit et. al. (2009))
219
Assume 100 travellers and 70 of them economy type tourists and 30 business type …rst class.
Cost of Reservation Price Airline’s Pro…t
the Airlines Tourists Business Tourists Business
Economy 100 140 225 40 125
First Class 150 175 300 25 150
Economy class tickets cost less than the business class.
Business traveller is ready to pay higher price than economy class for both economy and …rst
class but the airlines cannot separate them out.
Why Mechanism Design for Price Discrimination: Low Cost Airlines Example
Economy class tickets cost less than the business class.
Business traveller is ready to pay higher price than economy class for both economy and …rst
class but the airlines cannot separate them out.
Business traveller may well buy economy class ticket rather then business class.
Airlines likes to build a mechanism so that business class buy business class tickets and
economy class buy economy class ticket.
What is the pro…t to the airlines if it knows reservation prices of tourists and business group
of travellers?
How would this pro…t change in business type buy the economy class ticket?
What is the incentive compatible price that the airlines can o¤er to the business group?
Incentive Compatible Mechanism
What would happen if the split between the business and economy class is 50/50? What will
be the optimal reaction of the airlines?
Pro…t in an ideal scenario ( perfect price discrimination; if the airlines knew each customer type)
220
Airline initially does not have enough information on types of customers
It should design incentive compatible pricing scheme so that business class travellers do not
defect to economy class.
This requirement is contained in the incentive compatible constraint. If it charges 240 for the
business class then the their consumer surplus will be equal (300-240) = 60 from business
class travel and (225-165)=60
However 140 is the maximum the tourist class traveller is ready to pay. If the airline raises price
to 165 they will lose all tourist travellers. Mechanism requires ful…llment of the participation
constraint.
Airlines should operate taking account of the participation constraint of tourists and incentive
compatible constraint of the business travellers.
X < 140 is the participation constraint; incentive compatible constraint is 225 -X < 300-Y
or Y < X+75
Suppose the composition of travellers changes to 50% of each. Pro…t with the above price
mechanism
It is more pro…table to scrap the tourist class tickets instead and charge the business class its
full reservation price
50(300 150) = 50 150 = 7500 (1267)
There are relatively few customers but all are willing to pay higher price. There is no problem
of screening as the airlines now does not serve to the tourist class at all.
Probability of success with normal e¤ort from the manager is 60 percent and this can increase
up to 80 percent if the manager puts extra e¤orts.
The basic salary of the manager is 100,000. He would put extra e¤orts only if he is paid
additional amount of at least 50,000. Owners cannot monitor whether the manager is putting
high or low e¤orts.
221
a) Is it pro…table to pay extra for the manager?
Pro…t without paying extra: 0.6 * 600,000 - 100,000 = 260, 000
Pro…t with extra incentive payment: 0.8 * 600,000 - 150,000 = 330, 000
Extra payment can make up to 70,000 with probability of 0.8.
Once extra payment is made how can owners make sure that he puts extra e¤orts? This requires
evaluation of incentive compatibility and participation constraints.
Mechanism to ensure high e¤orts by a CEO
a) Incentive compatibility constraint
s = 150; 000 0:8b; s = 150; 000 0:8 (250; 000) = 50; 000 (1271)
It is not possible to hire manager with negative salary. At most managers can be conditioned
to bonus payment but with zero salary.
Mechanism to ensure high e¤orts by a CEO
222
Revenue
R = P:q (1275)
Mechanism design in renting lands
Under the joint pro…t maximisation agreement
72 is the total pro…t. It is divided between the tenant and the landlord by their mutually
agreed arrangement. Under the …xed fee contract landlord may …x the amount that he needs
at 48.
Then the residual 24 pro…t goes to the tenant.
This arrangement achieves production e¢ ciency, is incentive compatible, ful…ls the participa-
tion constraint and motivates to put the optimal e¤ort and solves the moral hazard problem.
Hire contract
Landowner can hire workers in …xed fee basis, say 12 per unit of output a.
This does not motivate tenant to work because his cost per a is also 12 and so does not make
any pro…t. Landlord has to raise payment to tenant to say 14 to motivate him to work.
Then the pro…t maximisation problem of the landlord will be
0
(q) = 24 q 14 = 0 (1281)
223
Let the landlord enter into a revenue sharing contract whereby she gets 14 th of the revenue
and leavening 34 of revenue to the tenant who also bears all production cost. The pro…t
function of the tenant is now modi…ed as
3 3
(q) = P:q C= (24 0:5q) q 12q (1283)
4 4
0 3
(q) = 6 q=0 (1284)
4
3
q = 8; p = 20; R = 160; C = 96; LL (q) = (160)
4
1
= 120; T (q) = (160) = 40 (1285)
4
Pro…t of tenant = 120 - 96 =24
This level of production is not incentive compatible for the land-lord who would be interested
in maximising revenue by producing 24.
Pro…t sharing contract
Now let us assume the landlords and tenants enter into a pro…t sharing deal, say 1/3rd of
pro…t goes to the tenant and 2/3rd to the landlord.
1 1 1
(q) = (P:q C) = 24q 0:5q 2 12q (1286)
3 3 3
0 1
(q) = 4 q=0 (1287)
3
There are many other situations, including optimal tax designs, optimal price discrimination,
fund management, management of theme-park, renting of buildings, collection of taxes or tari¤s,
union-management contracts, where these types of models have been applied.
The state-space of the game rises exponentially with the length of time period t. T
224
he objective of these rich and poor households is to maximize the expected utility that is
assumed to be concave in income.
The government can in‡uence this outcome by choices of taxes and transfers that can be
liberal, normal or conservative.
Mechanism for Poverty Alleviation: Proposition 1
Proposition 1: The state contingent expected money metric utility of poor is less than that of
rich, which can be expressed as:
s X
X l X
k X
T
p p p
t (s; l; k) t u (yt (s; l; k))
s=1 l=1 k=1 t
s X
X l X
k X
T
R R
< t (s; l; k) t u ytR (s; l; k) (1289)
s=1 l=1 k=1 t
where pt (s; l; k) gives the probability of choosing one of strategies by poor given that the rich
and the government has chosen l and k strategies. Utility is derived from income as given by
u (ytp (s; l; k)) and pt = (1+r
1
p is the discount factors for poor and R 1
t = (1+r R ) the discount factor
t) t
for rich.
Mechanism for Poverty Alleviation: Proposition 2
Proposition 2: Transfer raises money metric expected utility of poor and reduces the utility of
rich.
l X
s X k X
T
" T
#
X p p p
X
t (s; l; k) t u (yt (s; l; k)) + Ttp (s; l; k)
s=1 l=1 k=1 t t
s X
l X
k
" T T
#
X X X
R R
< t (s; l; k) t u ytR (s; l; k) TtR (s; l; k) (1290)
s=1 l=1 k=1 t t
s X T
k X
l X
" T
#
X p p p
X
t (s; l; k) t u (yt (s; l; k)) + Ttp (s; l; k)
s=1 l=1 k=1 t t
X l X
s X k X
T
p p p
> t (s; l; k) t u (yt (s; l; k)) (1291)
s=1 l=1 k=1 t
and
s X
X l X
k X
T
R R
t (s; l; k) t u ytR (s; l; k)
s=1 l=1 k=1 t
s X
l X
k
" T T
#
X X X
R R
> t (s; l; k) t u ytR (s; l; k) + TtR (s; l; k) (1292)
s=1 l=1 k=1 t t
225
Mechanism for Poverty Alleviation:Proposition 4
Proposition 4: Growth requires that income of both poor and rich are rising over time:
Above …ve propositions comprehensively incorporate all possible scenarios in the poverty game
mentioned above. Propositions 2-5 present optimistic scenarios for a chosen horizon T .
Mechanism for Poverty Alleviation: Tests
Bhattarai K. (2010) Strategic and general equilibrium models of poverty, Romanian Jounral
of Economic Forecasting, 13:1:137-150
Ci = 10qi (1298)
If played in…nite number of times two …rms form a cartel and monopolise the market.
226
Each will supply only 30, set market price to monopoly level at £ 70 and divide total pro…t
£ 3600 equally; each getting £ 1800.
This is shown by (1800,1800) point in the diagram.
It pays to cooperate in the long run; it is sub-game perfect equilibrium.
Cooperative Solution
It pays to cooperate in the long run; it is sub-game perfect equilibrium.
@ 120
= 130 2Q 10 = 0 =) Q = = 60 (1300)
@Q 2
Price:
P = (130 Q) = 130 60 = 70;
Cost:
C = 10Q = 10 60 = 600;
Pro…t:
= P Q C = 60 70 600 = 3600
Non-Cooperative Nash Equilibrium
If any one …rm cheats and tries to supply more in order to get more pro…t; it will be found
out by another …rm.
Opponent …rm will react to this.
If …rm 1 plays Cournot game but …rm 2 still plays cartel and supplies just 30.
Then from the …rm 1’reaction function . 2q1 + q2 = 120
1 1
q1 = 60 q2 = 60 (30) = 45 (1301)
2 2
If …rm 1 supplies 45, market price will be .
This makes pro…t margin of …rm 1 to be 45 and its pro…t . 1 = (55q1 10q1 ) = 45q1 =
45 45 = 2025
227
Firm 2 will …nd out that …rm 1 has cheated. If it does not react its pro…t will be down to
1350.
It will also produce according to its reaction curve.
Thus the Nash equilibrium will result with each …rm producing 40 and earning 1600 pro…t
for the rest of the periods and the market price will be 50.
Workout Bertrand type competition for above game and illustrate "cut-throat" price com-
petion in a diagram.
228
L
X
l (e) u (W p l + BL ) d (e) u (1304)
l=0
Lagrangian function
L
" L
#
X X
L= p (e) Bl + l (e) u (W p l + Bl ) d (e) u (1305)
l=0 l=0
@L 0
= 1 l (e) u (W p l + BL d (e) u) = 0 (1307)
@Bl
" L #
@L X
= l (e) u (W p l + Bl ) d (e) u =0 (1308)
@
l=0
From above
u0 (W p l + Bl ) = d (e) + u (1309)
Under full insuranceBl = l this implicitly de…nes the insurance premium for e¤ort level .
u0 (W p) = d (e) + u (1310)
Since low e¤ort is less costly than more e¤ort for the costumer d (e) d (1) ; the premium under
lower e¤ort must be set higher than for the higher e¤ort: p (0) p (1) for pro…t maximisation
L
X
p (e) :l (1311)
l=0
This is the prediction of moral hazard with complete information but uncertainty with con-
sumer’s hidden action.
229
L
X
l (e) u (W p l + BL ) d (e) u (1314)
l=0
u0 (W p) = d (e) + u (1315)
however the incentive compatibility requires d (0) d (1). Therefore lower insurance avoidance
costs more for the costumer.
For high e¤orts case e = 1
Lagrangian function
L
" L
#
X X
L = p (e) Bl + l (e) u (W p l + Bl ) d (e) u
l=0 l=0
2 ( L ) 3
X
6 l (e) u (W p l + BL ) d (e) 7
6 7
+ 6
6 (l=0
L
) 7
7 (1316)
4 X 5
0
l (e ) u (W p l + BL ) d (e0 )
l=0
" L #
@L X 0
= 1 l (1) + ( l (1) l (0)) u (W p l + BL ) = 0 (1317)
@p
l=0
@L 0
= l (1) + l (e) + [( l (1) l (0))] u (W p l + BL ) = 0 (1318)
@Bl
" L #
@L X
= [( l (1) l (0))] u (W p l + Bl ) + d (0) d (1) = 0 (1319)
@
l=0
" L #
@L X
= [( l (1) l (0))] u (W p l + Bl ) + d (0) d (1) 0 (1320)
@
l=0
1 l (1)
= + 1 (1321)
u0 (W p l + Bl ) l (0)
since > 0 the RHS is strictly decreasing, this implies that u0 (W p l + Bl ) must be
strictly increasing for this to happen l Bl be must increase with e¤ort levels and losses l =
0; 1; 2; ::::L:Optimal high policy does not provide full insurance but the deductible payment in-
creases size of loss.
Problem
Consider a moral hazard insurance model with an insurance policy fp; B0 ; B1 ; :::::; BL g where p
is insurance premium and B0 ; B1 ; :::::; BL denote the bene…t from the insurance company against
230
loss l. Normally the insurance company can observe the loss but not the level of accident avoidance
e¤ort (e) of the consumer. The problem of the insurance company is:
L
X
max p l (e) BL (1322)
e;p;B0 ;B1 ;:::::;BL
l=0
L
X L
X
l (e) u (w p l + BL ) d (e) l (e0 ) u (w p l + BL ) d (e0 ) u (1324)
l=0 l=0
1. Show that it is Pareto optimal to do full insurance under symmetric information when the
insurance company can observe the level of e¤orts of the consumer.
2. How could the insurance company design an e¢ cient contract to induce e¤orts to minimise
cost under the assymetric information? Is full insurance still optimal?
7.8 Auction
Types of Auction
First price, sealed-bid: person who bids the highest amount gets the good.
Second-price, Sealed-bid: Each submit a bid. Higher bidder wins and pays second-highest bid
for the good.
Dutch Auction: Seller begins from very high price and reduces it until someone raises a hand.
English Auction: Begins with very low price, bigger drops out by raising a hand.
Which one of these four mechanism is good for the seller??
Online auctions -ebay (http://www.ebay.com/); car auction (http://www.carandvanauctions.co.uk/);
Art auction (http://www.artinfo.com/artandauction/); Online advertisement auctions in Google,
Microsoft, Yahoo, Facebook, You Tube
Honesty is the best policy in Vickery auction; truth telling is the winning strategy.
Proof
Let there be two bidders bidding b1 and b2 but with true values v1 and v2 . Highest bidder
wins the auction at the price of the second-highest bid. English auctions and second-highest
sealed-bid auctions are equivalent.
231
Expected value for bidder 1 is then given by
If (v1 > b1 )it is in the best interest of bidder 1 to raise the probability of winning prob (b1 > b2 )
, this can happen when (v1 = b1 )
Similarly If (v1 < b2 ) then it is in the interest of bidder 1 to make prob (b1 < b2 ) as small as
possible. It happens when .(v1 = b1 ) Thus the truth telling is the best interest in such action.
Each would pay according to the value they put in such public good. Unfortunately it is
impossible to know preferences of individuals.
Individuals do not tell true value when asked that how much they are ready to pay for this.
Let N individuals be indexed by i. Then the utility from the public good to an individual i is
given by Ui (x).
There is free rider problem with public goods. Individuals may underreport their utility
thinking that others will pay higher for it if they act like this but they will have opportunity
of full bene…t.
Under Vickrey-Clark-Grove mechanism it is in the best interest of individuals to tell the truth.
Therefore it is in the best interest of an individual to tell the truth Ui (x) = ri (x). All agents
tell truth like this and this mechanism generates e¢ cient outcome. (page 27 of the new handbook
on sum of MRS =MC of public good.)
(See Varian HR (2010) Intermediate Microeconomics: A Modern Approach, Norton,8th edition).
232
Binmore K. (1990) Fun and Games: A text on Game Theory, Lexington, Heath.
Cripps, M.W.(1997) Bargaining and the Timing of Investment, International Economic Review, 38:3
:Aug.:527-546
Mailath G. J. and L. Samuelson (2006) Repeated Games and Reputations: long run relationship,
Oxford.
Moore J (1984) Global Incentive Constraints in Auction Design Econometrica, 52:. 6 pp. 1523-1535
Osborne M.J. and A. Robinstein (1994) A course in game theory, MIT Press.
g =e+" (1328)
Cost of e¤orts to the manager is given by C(e):
n = g s=e+" s (1330)
Then the expected net pro…t becomes:
233
A. What is the …rst best solution if the owners can observe the level of e¤orts by
the manager? What will be the variance of salary 2s in the …rst best solution?
What is the relation between the marginal cost of e¤orts and marginal bene…ts
of the manager in this case?
If owners are not able to observe the level e¤orts by the managers, they will o¤er him a perfor-
mance based salary contract subjecting it to gross pro…t as:
s( g) =a+b g (1333)
Owners set salary by setting parameters a and b …rst where a is …xed component and b is
incentive payment. Then the manager decides the level of e¤orts conditional on the contract. If
the cost of e¤orts is given by:
e2 2
C(e) = ; = 1; A = 2 (1334)
2
B. What will the optimal value of incetive coe¢ cient (b) be in the second best solu-
tion? What will the optimal level of e¤orts (e ) be ? What will the …xed component
of the salary (a) be? What will the expected pro…t for the owners be? Solve this
game by backward induction to …nd answers to these questions.
Q2 This exerice aims to investigate how di¤erent production technologies adoped by a …rm results
in di¤erent level of output, employment and investment in each sector.
First exercise is …xed input process under the linear programming framework with limited
price based substitution.
The second problem contains adoption of the Cobb-Douglas technology with elasticity of
substituion equal to 1.
Third process involves usign the CES production technology with a constant elasticity of
substitution. Overall resource available to this …rm is given in each case.
1. Subject to:
1. where Y1 0 and Y2 0;
234
What are the revenue maximising levels of output of Y1 and Y2 . How many workers /machine
hours are devided between producing these two products to maximise revenue. If wage rate is 2
and capital cost is 0.05 per hour what would be total pro…t?
Cobb-Douglas Technology
= P1 Y1 + P1 Y1 C1 C2 (1338)
Subject to
(1 )
Y1 = K1 L1 (1339)
(2 )
Y2 = K2 L2 (1340)
= P1 Y1 + P2 Y2 C1 C2 (1343)
Subject to
1
Y1 = [ 1 K1 + (1 1 ) L1 ] (1344)
2
Y2 = [ 2 K2 + (2 2 ) L2 ] (1345)
Y K L R C Pr
Firm 1
Linear Programming
Cobb-Douglas
CES
Firm 2
Y K L R C Pr
Linear Programming
Cobb-Douglas
CES
235
Impacts of microeconomic policies in …rms output decision.
1) cost of capital doubles to …rms because of credit crisis. How would this a¤ect these variables.
2) Wage dispute between the management and workers caused wage rate to rise by 25 percent.
Given no change in capital market conditions how would this a¤ect the production.
3) There is a change in preferences of consumers because of substitutable product in the market.
How does these variables.
Y K L R C Pr
Firm 1
Linear Programming
Cobb-Douglas
CES
Firm 2
Y K L R C Pr
Linear Programming
Cobb-Douglas
CES
1 = P1 q1 C1 (1348)
2 = P2 q2 C2 (1349)
where 1 ,P1 ,q1 ; C1 and 2 ,P2 ,q2 ; C2 are pro…t, price, demand and cost of production at home
and foreign markets
236
q1 = 21 0:1P1 (1352)
and its inverse demand is
at home but it is costlier to set up business in foreign country because of higher …xed costs,
(marginal costs may also be di¤erent). The optimal condition for pro…t maximisation is given by a
point where the marginal revenue equals marginal cost in each market:
M R1 = M C1 and M R2 = M C2 (1358)
Given the above information, the total revenue from the home market is
.. Similarly, the total revenue from the sales in the foreign market would be
Fixed costs of production are di¤erent across countries, but the marginal costs are assumed to
be the same in both countries.
M C1 = M C2 = 10 (1363)
Now it is possible to solve the model for the optimal amount of goods supplied at home and
abroad by using conditions where the marginal revenue in each market needs to equal its marginal
cost.
237
M R1 = M C1 ) 210 20q1 = 10 ) q1 = 10 =) P1 = 210 10q1
=) P1 = 110 (1364)
Thus, the amount supplied at home is much smaller than amount supplied abroad and prices
charged at home are much higher than prices charged abroad. Corresponding revenues are:
In this paper, the microeconomic e¤ects of FDI have been illustrated with an example of
a multi-plant MNC that faces a di¤erent structure of demand and costs between home and
foreign countries with strategic consideration of licensing or subsidiary production in foreign
countries.
On the macro side, the total FDI aggregated over MNCs accounts for a signi…cant proportion
of total investment and has a signi…cant impact on economic growth. This growth e¤ect is
shown theoretically using an endogenous growth model with FDI in which foreign capital
complements domestic capital and contributes to both investment and growth rate of output.
Our model predictions have been tested using panel data growth regressions for 30 OECD
countries over 1990 to 2004. Our analysis establishes positive impacts of FDI in‡ows and
negative impacts of FDI out‡ows on investment and economic growth. The impacts of time
and country speci…c e¤ects are found to be consistent with the stylized facts relating to
growth rates of output, investment ratios and in‡ows and out‡ows of FDI. The empirical
results illustrated in this paper are comparable to Desai et al. (2000).
238
8 L8: Uncertainty and Insurance
Future is uncertain. Arrow (1963), Harsanyi (1967), Roy (1968), Akerlof (1970), Rothschild and
Stiglitz (1976), Kahneman and Tversky (1979), Machina (1987), Hey (1987), Moore (1988) Newbery
and Stiglitz (1982) Hirshleifer and Riley (1992) Hey and Orme (1994) Hey, Lotito and Ma¢ oletti
(2010) Conte and Hey (2013) has analysed how optimal choices under uncertainty occur in many
aspects. Income or expenditure of individuals are uncertain. Return on stocks and portfolios
are uncertain. Von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility theory is applied to analyse choices in
uncertain world. For an asset or commodity x the expected utlity is sum of u(x) weighted by their
densities, dF .
Z
U (F ) = u(x)dF (1371)
Consider a case where safe asset earns £ 1 per £ 1 invested and an unsafe risky assets ears a
random amound z per £ 1 invested, z has a distribution F(z).
Z
zdF (z) > 1 (1372)
Return on risky asset exceed that in the safe asset. Investor has initial wealth w to invest, which
could be invested in and proportion in risky and safe assets. Return from the portfolios is
z+ (1373)
and + = w: Investors problem is to choose and to maximise expected utility.
Z Z
max u ( z + ) dF (z) = max u (w + (z 1)) dF (z) (1374)
;
subject to
+ =w (1375)
Z
max u (w + (z 1)) dF (z); 0 6 6w (1376)
Optimal > 0: If the risk is acturially fair, the risk averstor will take small amount of risk.
Bernoulli utility functions increasing in x are continueous and concave and ful…ll Jensen’s in-
equality conditions.
Z Z
u(x)dF (x) 6 u[ xdF (x)] (1377)
239
1 1
u (1) + u (3) 6 u (2) (1378)
2 2
In a general expected return maximisation problem
Z
U ( 1 ; ::; N ) = u( 1 z1 + :: + N zN )dF (z1 ; ::; zN ) (1379)
240
See Mas-Colell et at. (1995) Chapter 6.
8.1 Allais’paradox
A B =)
241
Two urns R and H contain 100 white and black balls; R has 49 whites and 51 black but the
number of white or black balls in unknown for urn H.
Lotterty: draw a white ball from R and win 1000 or draw a white balls from H and earn 1000.
People prefer to draw from R because they know probability of 0.49 of drawing white ball rather
than from H which may have more than 50 black balls. Decision makers do not like risk; so removes
Allais paradox. Expected utility theory is still applicable.
Portfolio choice and insurance contract Two …rms two states; N shares v price V value
V j = v j N j and proportion of 0 < j < 1
1 1 2 2
wi = i + i (1385)
Budget constraint
v1 1
N 1 + v2 2
N 2 6 v1 1 1
0N + v2 2 2
0N (1386)
v1 N 1 1 1
0 + v2 N 2 2 2
0 60 (1387)
j
Avoid short selling and choose optimal for optimal portfolio.
Lagrangian for optimisation
1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2
L( ; ) = pu 2 + 2 + (1 p) u 1+ 1
1 1 2 2
+ 0 v1 N 1
0 v2 N 2
0 (1388)
FOC:
L( ; ) 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2
= pu0 2 + 2
2
2 + (1 p) u0 1 + 1
2
1 v2 N 2 = 0 (1389)
@ 2
L( ; ) 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2
= pu0 2 + 2
1
2 + (1 p) u0 1 + 1
1
1 v1 N 1 = 0 (1390)
@ 1
1 1 2 2
v1 N 1 0 + v2 N 2 0 =0 (1391)
From this
1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2
pu0 2 + 2
2
2 + (1 p) u0 1 + 1
2
1
= (1392)
v2 N 2
or
1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2
pu0 2 + 2
1
2 + (1 p) u0 1 + 1
1
1
= (1393)
v1 N 1
Then
1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2
pu0 2 + 2
2
2 + (1 p) u0 1 + 1
2
1 v2 N 2
1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 = (1394)
pu0 2 + 2
1
2 + (1 p) u0 1 + 1
1
1
v1 N 1
Now solve for optimal
242
Watt(2011).
Insurance contract: Given initial wealth w0 and the possibility of loss L insurance contract
means for individual:
w0 + (1 p) x1 + px2 6 w0 L (1399)
243
Probability of good times g and of bad times b
I = Pg Cg + Pb Cb (1401)
Lagrangian for constrained optimisation
Fair market for contingent goods implies ratio of prices in good and bad states equals ratio of
respective probabilities.
Utility and allocation in good and bad times
u0 (Cg )
=1 (1407)
u0 (Cb )
Cg = Cb (1409)
244
consumer likely to fully insure against any risk; like to have same consumption in both good
and bad states.
Represent above result in a diagram with certainty line. budget line and indi¤erence curve
u (Cg ; Cb ) :
It is possible that individuals like to consume a bit more in good times and a bit less in bad
times.
u0 (W L mq + q) (1 p) m
0
= (1412)
u (W mq) p (1 m)
Pro…t function of the insurance company
= (1 p) mq p (1 m) q (1413)
Assume perfect competition in the insurance business, pro…t is zero
p (1 m) q (1 p) mq = 0 (1414)
The premium rate equals the probability of loss in equilibrium
p=m (1415)
This is actuarially fair insurance.
Insert (??) into (1411)
u0 (W L mq + q) = u0 (W mq) (1417)
00
For risk averse consumer u (W ) < 0
W L mq + q = W mq (1418)
q=L (1419)
Consumer completely insures (q) against the loss (L).
Risk spreading and risk diversi…cation
245
Risk can be spread among individuals. Imagine a society with 1000 individuals each endowed
with £ 35000.
Each faces a risk of losing £ 10000 with probability of 1 percent.
Only 10 person in aggregate face this risk. It is a big loss for each individual as it can happen
to each of them.
Now they create an insurance market. Each contributes 100 to mitigate this uncertainty. This
creates 100,000 insurance fund.
This is enough to ensure each for any eventual loss.
Every one will be certain (ensured) to have 34,900.: endowment minus insurance contribution.
This is an example of risk spreading. Risk is spread (divided) among all. Each pays 100 to
ensure against loss of 10000.
There is considerable risk. If case of splitting 50/50 the expected value of investment is
[0:5(25) + 0:5(100)]+[0:5(100) + 0:5(25)] =125.
Thus 125 is guaranteed no matter rainy or shiny. Diversi…cation has ensured 125.
Do not put all your eggs in one basket.
Homework
A person has wealth worth £ 35000. There is 1 percent probability of loss. If this event occurs
there is a loss of 10,000. This individual is risk neutral.
1) What is expected wealth without insurance?
2) This person can buy insurance equal to amount K to cover insurance by paying K insurance
premium, where is the premium rate. Write individuals budget in case of accident and in case
of no accident.
3) Write the expected utility function of this person. Assume that person receives utility from
the wealth that he has.
4) What is expected pro…t of the insurance company?
5) Prove that premium rate equals the probability of the event.
6) Prove that consumption is same in both states with insurance.
L) Prove that it is optimal to fully insurance against the loss and that is actuarially fair insurance.
246
Dixit A., S. Skeath and D. F. Reiley (2009) Games of Strategy, Norton.
Hirshleifer J and J G Riley (1992) The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information, Cambridge.
Perlo¤ J. M. (2008) Microeconomics: Theory and Applications with Calculus, Pearson.
Nicholson W. (1985) Microeconomic Theory: Basic Principles and Extensions, Norton. (Holt-
Saunders).
Rasmusen E(2007) Games and Information, Blackwell, ISBN 1-140513666-9.
Varian HR (2010) Intermediate Microeconomics: A Modern Approach, Norton,8th edition
http://cepa.newschool.edu/het/home.htm.
U (W ) = ln(W ) (1420)
p 1
U (W ) = W =W2 (1421)
Expected utility theorem: utilities under uncertainty are additively separable (von-Neumann-
Morgenstern Utility)
M ax EU = H
:u (WH ) + L:
u (WL ) (1422)
Utility from expected wealth
U (EW ) = ln ( H
WH + L
WL ) = ln (EW ) (1423)
Certainty equivalent wealth
247
CEW = exp (ln (EU )) (1424)
Maximum insurance against risk and a measure of risk aversion
Maximum insurance that person is ready to pay to cover risk:
EU = H
:u (WH ) + L:
u (WL ) = H
: ln (WH ) + L:
ln (WL ) (1426)
= 0:75 ln (5000) + 0:25 ln (1000) = 6:388 + 1:727 = 8:115 (1427)
U 00 (W )
r(W ) = >0 (1430)
U 0 (W )
Risk lovers
U 00 (W )
r(W ) = <0 (1431)
U 0 (W )
248
Risk neutral
U 00 (W )
r(W ) = =0 (1432)
U 0 (W )
Maximum insurance against risk and a measure of risk aversion
Measure of risk aversion for logarithmic preference
U (W ) = ln(W ) (1433)
1 1 1
1
U 00 (W ) 2 2W
2 1 1
r(W ) = = 1 = >0 (1436)
U 0 (W ) 1
2W
2 2W
Maximum insurance against risk and a measure of risk aversion
Risk lovers
U (W ) = exp(aW ) (1437)
U 00 (W ) a2 W 2 exp(aW )
r(W ) = = = aW < 0 (1438)
U 0 (W ) aW exp(aW )
Risk neutral
U (W ) = aW (1439)
U 00 (W ) 0
r(W ) = = =0 (1440)
U 0 (W ) a
1 1 1 1
1 =
> 2= 2 > 3 = > :::::: > n = (1442)
2 2 23 2n
but the Expected Utility is …nite here
249
E (u) = 1 ln (2) + 2 ln 22 + 3 ln 23 + ::: + n ln (2n ) < 1 (1443)
People buy lotteries for small amount but not for more (Allais Paradox)
St Petersberg Paradox (Bernoulli Game)
1 1 1 1
E (u) = ln (2) + 2 ln 22 + 3 ln 23 + ::: + n ln (2n ) < 1 (1444)
2 2 2 2
1
X X1
1 i
E (u) = i ln (2) = ln (2) = ln (2) 2 = 1:39 (1445)
i=1
2i i=1
2 i
People are ready to pay small amount to buy lotteries but do not want to risk large sums
(Allais Paradox)
u = V (q) T
V 0 (q) > 0 and V 00 (q) < 0:
Firm’s problem is
=T cq
Participation constraint
[ V (q) T] > 0
First best solution This is when …rm knows the consumer type. It is binding , V (q) = T:
Substitute this information on consumer into the …rms objective function.
= V (q) cq
Optimal pro…t then means
@
= V 0 (q) c = 0 =) V 0 (q) = c
@q
This leads to the …rst degree price discrimination; high value consumer will be sold more goods
at discounted per unit price and low value cumtomer will be sold less but ends up paying more per
unit. (do a graph here)
250
Sedond best solution This is when the …rm does not know the type of the consumer. It has a
probability belief on type of each type of consumer,0 < < 1 for type high and (1 ) for type
low. Now the …rms pro…t becomes:
[ LV (qL ) TL ] > 0
[ HV (qH ) TH ] > 0
LV (qL ) = TL
TH = [ H (V (qH ) V (qL )) + TL ]
Now put this into the …rm’s pro…t function
@ 0 0 0
= HV (qL ) + LV (qL ) + (1 ) LV (qL ) (1 )c = 0
@qL
0 0 0
HV (qL ) + LV (qL ) + (1 ) LV (qL ) = (1 )c
0 0
( H L) V (qL ) + (1 ) LV (qL ) = (1 )c
0
0 [ H L] V (qL )
LV (qL ) = c +
(1 )
Since the last term is positive it implies that L V (qL ) > c Since L V 0 (qL ) = c is the …rst
0
best and qL now should be smaller to have L V 0 (qL ) > c. For the high value type H V 0 (qL ) = c,
this means "no distortions at the top".
An example from Nicholson and Snyder about co¤ee market:
p
V (q) = 2 q and f H ; L g = f20; 15g c=5, = 21
First best solution when the type of consumer is known.
251
c 1 1 1 2
V 0 (q) = V 0 (q) = q 2 then V 0 (q) = q 2 = c; q2 = c; q = c
(
2 20 2
5 = 16
q= 15 2
c 5 =9
Tari¤
p
20 2 p16 = 160
T = f V (q)j
15 2 9 = 90
Expected pro…t of the …rm:
2 2
1 2 L H 2 L H 2 15 20
q2 = ; q= = = 22 = 4
c c 5
Tari¤ for the low customer
p
TL = LV (qL ) = 15 2 4 = 60
252
The pro…t in the second best solution is:
g =e+"
Cost of e¤orts to the manager is
n = g s=e+" s
E( n) = E (e + " s) = e E (s)
Manager’s utility
A A 2
E (u) = E (s) s C(e) = e e C(e)
2 2
E( n) =e E(s ) = e C(e ); C 0 (e ) = 1
This would gaurantee maximum (full) e¤orts.
253
Second best case Owners cannot observe the e¤orts. Therefore they can subject salary to gross
pro…t to a linear scheme as:
s( g) =a+b g
Owner sets salary by setting a and b …rst; a is …xed component and b is incentive payment. Then
the manager decides the level of e¤orts conditional on the contract. Solve the game by backward
induction:
A A
E (u) = E (s) s C(e); E (u) = E (a + b g) var (a + b g) C(e)
2 2
A
E (u) = E (a + be + b") var (a + be + b") C(e)
2
A
= a + be var (a + be + b") C(e)
2
Ab2 2
= a + be C(e)
2
C 0 (e) = b
How do they choose b? Manager accepts contratct if the E (u) > 0. That implies:
Ab2 2
a > C(e) +
be
2
owener decides whether to o¤er the contract at the 3rd stage.
Ab2 2 Ab2 2
E( n) = e(1 b) C(e) + be = e C(e)
2 2
@E ( n )
=1 C 0 (e) A 2
C 00 (e) = 0; * C 0 (e) = b
@e
1
C 0 (e) = 2 C 0 (e)
1+A
1
b = 2 C 00 (e)
<1
1+A
Thus the second best e¤ort is less than the …rst best e¤ort.
Numerical example
e2 2
C(e) = ; =1
2
First best solution
e2 1
C 0 (e) = e = 1; s = C(e) = =
2 2
254
Owner’s pro…t in the …rst best solution:
1 1
E ( ) = E (e) E (s) = 1 =
2 2
Assume the degree of risk aversion A = 1
1 1 1
C 0 (e) = 2 C 00 (e)
= =
1+A 1 + 1:1:1 2
1 1
C 0 (e) = b = ; e =
2 2
Ab2 2 e2 e2
a = C(e) + be = + e:e = 0
2 2 2
Manager receives no …xed pay but receives 50 percent of the gross salary.
1 1 1
E( n) = e(1 b) a= =
2 2 4
If A = 2,
1 1 1 1
e= 2 C 00 (e)
= = ; b=e=
1+A 1+2 3 3
Nicholson and Snyder state that empirical results for b = 0.003.
Ab2 2 e2 2e2 e2 1 1
a = C(e) + be = + e:e = = =
2 2 2 2 9 2 18
Owner’s pro…t
1 2 1 2 1 4 1 3 1
E( n) = e(1 b) a= = = = =
3 3 18 9 18 18 18 6
W1 = W0 e p
Wealth in state 2 with loss (L) and payment from insurance (x)
W2 = W0 e p l+x
Expected utility of individual
Eu = (1 ) U (W1 ) + U (W2 )
Expected pro…t of the insurance company
E =p x
255
First best solution
When the insurance company can monitor e¤orts perfectly, full insurance is optimal:
@L
=1 [(1 ) U 0 (W0 e p) + U 0 (W0 e p l + x)] = 0
@p
@L
= + U 0 (W0 e p l + x) = 0
@x
@L @ (1 ) U 0 (W0 e p) @ U (W0 e p)
= x + =0
@e @e + U 0 (W0 e p l + x) @e U (W0 e p l + x)
1
= [(1 ) U 0 (W0 e p) + U 0 (W0 e p l + x)]
0
= U (W0 e p l + x)
This implies l = x, full insurance is optimal in the …rst best world. From the last …rst order
condition @@e x = 1:
The marginal social bene…t of precautionary e¤orts equals the marginal social cost of precaution.
U = ln (W )
Individual can …t an alarm and reduce the probability of theft from 25 percent to 15 percent;
with W=100000 and L =20000
EUN A = ln (W L) + (1 ) ln (W )
= 0:25 ln (80000) + 0:75 ln (100000) = 11:45714
EUA = ln (W L) + (1 ) ln (W )
= 0:15 ln (80000 1750) + 0:85 ln (100000 1750) = 11:46113
Utility from putting alarm is higher than from not putting it; EUA > EUN A
Premium with alarm in the …rst best world
256
U = ln (100000 1750 p) = 11:46113 =) 98250 p = e11:46113
Company pro…t
EUA = ln (W e p) + (1 ) ln (W e p L + x)
= 0:85 ln (100000 1750 p) + 0:15 ln (100000 1750 p 20000 + x) = 11:46113
EUA = ln (W p) + (1 ) ln (W p L + x)
= 0:75 ln (100000 p) + 0:25 ln (100000 p 20000 + x) = 11:46113
These two equation could be solved numerically to …nd optimal p and x. These solutions are p
= 601.8 and x = 3374.4
Company pro…t now
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Mechanism The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84, 3. (Aug., 1970), pp. 488-500.
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Review of Economic Studies, 31, 2 (Apr., 1964), pp. 91-96
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Risk Uncertain 46:113–132
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Case of Irreplaceable The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 91, 1 pp. 143-156
Dixit A., S. Skeath and D. F. Reiley (2009) Games of Strategy, Norton.
Epstein L. G. and S E. Zin (1989) Substitution, risk aversion and the temporal behaviour of
consumption and asset returns: A theoretical Framework, Econometrica, 57:4:937-969.
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among CEOs, Journal of European Economic Association, 2:5:743-771.
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9 L9:Class Test
Questions are given in sections A and B. Answer two questions, at least one from each section. Each
question is worth 100 marks. Each subquestion within a question is of equal value. Use diagrams
to illustrate your answers.
Section A
Q1. A certain consumer has £ 8 to spend in commodities x and y; prices in the market were
px = 1 and py = 4. She evaluates utilities from these products according to a standard utility
function; u = xa y b and has a = 0:5 and b = 0:5.
(a) Derive the Marshallian demand functions for good x and y. Determine the amount
purchased of each.
(b) Evaluate the optimal utility obtained by this consumer. Derive the expenditure function
from that indirect utility function.
(c) What is the compensated demand for good x and y for this consumer? What are the
compensated and Marshallian demands for good x when the price of x increases to 4,
px = 4?
259
(d) Using Slutsky equation decompose the change in demand into the substitution and in-
come e¤ects.
(e) Are the relative size of income and substitution e¤ects sensitive to parameters a and b,
i.e. share of income spent on x and y?
a. When consumers’utility function is given by U (X; Y ) and the production possibility frontier
is T (X; Y ):
b. E¢ ciency of production when:
K1 + K2 = K (1447)
L1 + L2 = L (1448)
c. Prove that e¢ cient provision of public goods requires that the sum of the marginal rate of
substitution equals the marginal cost of provision of public good with a two consumer economy in
which consumers like to maximise utility by consuming private (x) and public goods (G):
x1 + x2 + c (G) = w1 + w2 (1451)
p = qD qS (1452)
where p is percent change in price (p) and is the adustment coe¢ cient. Demand for the
product with parameters a > 0 and b < 0 is q D = a + bp; and its supply with a parameter m > 0
is q S = mN . Then:
p = (a + bp mN ) >0 (1453)
There is free entry and exit of …rms in this market:
N = (p c) >0 (1454)
Find the dynamic time path for prices (pt ) and the number of …rms (Nt ) and examine conver-
gence towards the steady state.
260
Q4. Consider general equilibrium with production (x; y) = (x1; x2; :::::xm ; y1; y2; :::::ym ) for con-
sumer i = 1; ; ; m and producer j =1,.,. n. A possible allocation for consumers and producers
satisfying following:
Consumption set: xi 2 X
Production possibility set: yi 2 Y
Pm P
m P
n
Resource balance condition: xi = ei + yj
i=1 i=1 j=1
P
n
Wealth of the consumer: wi (p) = p:e1 + i;j j (p)
j=1
Supply correspondence: sj (p) = fyi 2 Yj : y 0 2 Yj =) p:y > py 0 g
Pm P
n
Excess demand correspondence: Z (p) = (di (p) e1 ) sj (p)
i=1 j=1
Here a competitive equilibrium is a pair of prices, demand and supply (p; (x; y)) with a p vector
in Rl and x 2 di (p) for consumers i to m, and yj 2 sj (p) for …rms j to n and where the excess
demand is zero in equilibrium. Simplify this model to a Robinson Crusoe economy as:
Commodity space: R2 (leisure and food)
Consumer characteristic: Xi = R2+
Endowment: ei = (24; 0)
Preference relation: i U (L; Fn = LF
p o
Producer characteristics: Yj ( L; F ) : L 0; F L
p
where F = L is the production function.
Solve this model for price vector, demand vector and the output vector that satisfy
conditions of general equilibrium in that economy.
261
Section B
Q5. Consider a Dixit-Stiglitz model of monopolistic competition in which consumers maximise
utility (u) by consuming varieties of di¤erentiated products qi in addition to a unique nu-
meraire product q0 . Their problem is:
X 1
max u = u q0 ; qi (1455)
1 @qi pi 1
1. Prove that elasticity of demand is 1 ;i.e. = qi @pi = 1 :
2. How much does each …rm produce? How does it relate to the elasticity of demand
as well as the …xed cost (f ) and the variable cost (c).
3. How many …rms exist in the market? Explain the role of in it.
1. Illustrate the …rst order conditions for consumer optimisation in this model.
2. By total di¤erentiation of the …rst order conditions determine
(a) the impact of a change in shadow prices on the demand for X and Y:
(b) the impact of a change in price of X on the demand for X and Y:
(c) the impact of a change the price of Y on the demand for X and Y:
(d) the impact of a change in income on the demand for X and Y and the shadow
price.
3. Decompose the total e¤ect of a price change into substitution and income e¤ects.
4. Show the major di¤erences between Hicksian and Marshallian demand functions.
262
Q7. A …rm’s objective is to minimise cost (C)
C = rK + wL (1460)
Here Y is output, K capital, L labour inputs, r interest rate, w wage rate, 0 < < 1 share of
labour the substitution parameter.
@L @U @T
= + =0 (1464)
@X @X @X
@L @U @T
= + =0 (1465)
@Y @Y @Y
@L
= [T (X; Y )] = 0 (1466)
@
263
@U @T
@X @X
@U
= @T
(1467)
@Y @Y
@Y
M RSX;Y = = RP TX;Y (1468)
@X
This is the optimal point in the production possibility frontier. See the trade model.
K1 + K2 = K (1470)
L1 + L2 = L (1471)
X = f1 (K1 ; L1 ) + f2 (K K1 ; L L1 ) (1472)
Ux Px Ux Px
M RSx;y = = = ::::::: = M RSx;y = = (1477)
Uy Py 1 Uy Py N
264
10.1.4 A simple numerical example of optimal tax or optimal public spending
Assume consumption (C) equals income (Y ); C = Y and public sector is balanced, tax revenue =
public spending, T = G
Y = Y0 + aG bG2 (1478)
@Y a
=a 2bG = 0 =) G = (1479)
@G 2b
2
a
From second order condition, @@GY2 = 2b < 0 it is clear that G = 2b is maximum. If Y0 = 50;
60
a = 60 and b = 2; G = 2 2 = 15. Then
Y = Y0 + aG bG2 = 50 + 60 15 2 152 = 500:
To prove that G = 15 is the maximum evaluate the above function for G = 14 and G = 16:
In both cases Y should be less than 500 with optimal G = 15:
Y = Y0 + aG bG2 = 50 + 60 14 2 142 = 498:
Y = Y0 + aG bG2 = 50 + 60 16 2 162 = 498:
This proves that optimal tax revenue in this case is G = T = 15:
10.1.7 Externality
Externality has been one important issue of research in microeconomics in recent years (Porter and
van der Linde (1995) Hanemann (1994) Dixit (1992) Palmer, Oates, Portney (1995), Stern (2008)).
What would happen to public parks if city councils do not maintain? Personal and social bene…ts
of a beautiful garden?
Why does not produce e¢ cient amount of education and health?
Why will market produce excessive amount of water, air or noise pollution?
Why many cities in England are introducing congestion charges?
265
Aldy et al. (2010) have discussed how much action in carbon reduction is desirable on cost
minimisation and welfare maximising grounds along with the alternative policy artitecture at the
international level. Earlier Stern (2008) did a very comprehensive study on economics of climate
change. Bohringer and Rutherford (2004) Grubb (2004) Green and Newbery (1992), Manne and
Richel (1992), McFarland, Reilly and Herzog (2002) Nordhaus (1979), Perroni and Rutherford
(1993), Backus and Crucini (2000), Boyd and Doroodian (2001), Coupal and Holland (2002), Grep-
perud and Rasmussen (2004), Jansen and Klaassen (2000), Kumbaroglu (2003), Spear( 2003) and
Thompson (2000) use partial or general equilibrium models with the electricity sector to examine
how pollution arises in process of generating energy required for e¢ cient functioning of economies
under investigation. How do the production activities over time generate pollution at the local,
national or the global level? How do these a¤ect the climate change? What are their consequences?
Who bears the burdens of such adjustments? How is the dividend from the improved environment
from emission control at the global level shared by advanced or developing economies under the
Montreal or Kyoto protocols? These questions are examined in several studies including those of
Aronsson, (1999), Bohringer and Conrad and Loschel (2003), Crettez and Aronsson (1999), Crettez
(2004) Dissou, Mac Leod, and Souissi (2002), Faehn and Holmoy (2003) Nordhaus and Yang (1996),
Proost and Van Regemorter (1992), Rasmussen (2001), Kumbaroglu (2003), Roson (2003) , Uri and
Boyd (1996) and Vennemo (1997). Despite so many global negotiations including Cancun (2001)
and Copenhagen (2009) summits, apparently very few studies have measured and demonstrated
the level of pollution as a consequence of economic activities in multisectoral dynamic general
equilibrium framework for the UK.
Positive Externality A classic example of positive externality: bees pollinate apple trees and
they get materials for honey from apples. For instance cost of producing apples is Ca = a2 and
cost of producing honey Ch = h2 a,
Private market solution
Firms maximise own pro…t independently:
a = Pa a a2 (1483)
@ a
by marginal cost pricing rule and @a = Pa 2a = 0 =) Pa = 2a and hence supply of apples
Pa
a= (1484)
2
Similarly
h = Ph h h2 + a (1485)
Supply of honey by the private market
@ a
@a = Ph 2h = 0 =) Ph = 2h and
Ph
:h= (1486)
2
Private market does not consider positive externality.
Now consider a social planner that produces both to maximise joint pro…t:
= Pa a a2 + Ph h h2 + a (1487)
Then optimal apple supply is :
266
@ a
@a = Pa 2a + 1 = 0 =) Pa = 2a 1 .and
Pa 1
a= + (1488)
2 2
Optimal honey supply is
@ h
@h = Ph 2h = 0 =) Ph = 2h .and
Ph
h= (1489)
2
It is optimal to produce more apples taking account of its positive externality.
Negative Externality Negative externality production of electricity and pollution and food
production
Electricity production using coal generates electricity as well as pollution. This pollution raises
production cost in the food industry.
Cost of electricity production when the environment is not taken into account
2
Ce = e2 (x 3) and its pro…t function is: e = Pe e e2 (x 3)
the cost of food production Cf = f 2 + 2x and its pro…t f = Pf f f 2 2x. Pollution adds
extra cost in food production.
Private market solution
2
e = Pe e e2 (x 3)
@ e
@e = Pe 2e = 0 =) Pe = 2e and hence supply of electricity
Pe
e= (1490)
2
f = Pf f f 2 2x
@ f
@f = Pf 2f = 0 =) Pf = 2f and hence supply of food
Pf
f= (1491)
2
Here pollution is produced more than optimal.
@ e
= 2 (x 3) = 0 =) x = 3: (1492)
@x
Socially optimal solution :
2
= e + f = Pe e e2 (x 3) + Pf f f2 2x (1493)
@ e
@e = Pe 2e = 0 =) Pe = 2e and hence supply of electricity
Pe
e= (1494)
2
@ f
@f = Pf 2f = 0 =) Pf = 2f and hence supply of food
Pf
f= (1495)
2
267
@
= 2 (x 3) + 2 = 0 =) x = 2: (1496)
@x
Social solution generates less pollution than the market solution.
1 1
L1 = (x1 + x2 ) 2 y12 [300 10x1 y1 ] (1499)
@L 1 1 1
= (x1 + x2 ) 2 y12 10 = 0 (1500)
@x1 2
@L 1 1 1
= (x1 + x2 ) 2 y1 2
=0 (1501)
@y1 2
@L
= 300 10x1 y1 = 0 (1502)
@
From the …rst two FOC
y1
= 10 =) y1 = 10(x1 + x2 ) (1503)
(x1 + x2 )
Putting this y1 back in the budget constraint
300 10x1 y1 = 300 10x1 10(x1 + x2 ) = 0
x2
x1 = 15 (1504)
2
As the problem is symmetric dimilar proces for individual 2 we get
1 1
L2 = (x1 + x2 ) 2 y22 [300 10x2 y2 ] (1505)
x1
x2 = 15 (1506)
2
x2 1 x1 41
x1 = 15 = 15 15 =) x1 = 15 = 10 (1507)
2 2 2 32
x1 = x2 = 10 =) x1 + x2 = 20 (1508)
268
Utility level in non-cooperative Nash scenario is:
1 1 1 1
u1 = (x1 + x2 ) 2 y12 = (20) 2 200 2 = 63:2 = u2 (1510)
Under the Samuelsonian rule
@L @L
@x1 @x2
@L
+ @L
= M RS1 + M RS2 = M RT (1511)
@y1 @y2
1 1 1 1
1 1
2 (x1 + x2 ) y12 2 (x1 + x2 ) y22 y1 y2 px 10
2 2
1 + 1 = + = = = 10 (1512)
1 1 1 1 x x py 1
2 (x1 + x2 ) y1 2 (x1 + x2 ) y2
2 2 2 2
y1 + y2 = 10x (1513)
Combined budget constraint of both persons:
Key questions: Pollution controls are less important in developing countries such as China and
India. How does it a¤ect the global environment?
Readings: VAR 35
269
max u1 = u1 (x1 ; G) (1518)
subject to a given level of utility for the second consumer
x1 + x2 + c (G) = w1 + w2 (1520)
Constrained optimisation for this is
xo = f (yi ) (1524)
yo = g(xi ; xo ) (1525)
xc + xi = xo + x (1526)
yc + yi = yo + y (1527)
See: Snyder C. and W. Nicholson (2012) Microeconomic Theory: Basic Principles and Exten-
sions, 11th ed.. South Western.
Competitive equilibrium is ine¢ cient; There is over production of x.
FOC:
@L
i: = U1 + 3 =0 (1529)
@xc
@L
ii: = U2 + 4 =0 (1530)
@yc
270
@L
iii: = 2 g1 + 3 =0 (1531)
@xi
@L
iv: = 1 fy + 4 =0 (1532)
@yi
@L
v: = 1 + 2 g2 3 =0 (1533)
@xo
@L
vi: = 2 4 =0 (1534)
@yo
From i and ii
U1 3
= M RSx;y = (1535)
U2 4
From iii and vi
3 2 g1
M RSx;y = = = g1 (1536)
4 2
from iv
1 1
= (1537)
4 fy
From v
3 1 + 2 g2 1 2 g2 1 2 1
M RSx;y = = = + = g2 = g2 (1538)
4 4 4 4 fy 2 fy
Competitive equilibrium condition
dy py 1
M RSx;y = = = (1539)
dx px fy
but the optimal allocation after taking of externality is
1
M RSx;y = g2 (1540)
fy
here g2 is the measure of negative externality; x is over produced.
1
2000Ly2 (x x0 ) x > x0
y=f 1 (1542)
2000Ly2 x 6 x0
271
If = 0 production of x has no e¤ect on production of y. If < 0 output of y decrease as x
increase.
Assume px = 1; w=50; = 0 no externality
@x 1 1
w = p: =) 50 = 1:2000 Lx 2 =) Lx = 202 = 400 (1543)
@Lx 2
1
x = 2000Lx2 = 40000 (1544)
Downstream …rms also produces same product:
1
y = 2000Ly2 = 40000 (1545)
1
Suppose = 0:1; x0 = 38000; x still produce x = 2000Lx = 40000: 2
1
0:1
y = 2000Ly2 (40000 38000) (1546)
@y 1 1
0:1
w = p: =) 50 = 1:2000 Ly 2
(2000)
@Ly 2
1
=) Ly2 = 9:35; Ly = 9:352 = 87:5 (1547)
1 1
0:1 0:1
y = 2000Ly2 (2000) = 2000 (87:5) 2 (2000) = 8753 (1548)
Pigouvian tax forces x to produce just x0 = 38000
1
x = 2000Lx2 = 38000 =) Lx = 192 = 361 (1549)
@x 1 1
(1 t) w = (1 t) p: =) (1 t) 50 = (1 t) 1:2000 Lx 2
@Lx 2
1 1
=) 50 = (1 t) 1:2000 (362) 2
2
= 50 =) t = 0:05: (1550)
272
Table 74: Sources of Green-House Gas (GHG) Emission in UK
Percentage
Electricity Generation 35
Household Consumption 14
Industry and Business 17
Transport 20
Waste 3
Agriculture 8
Public Sector 3
Total 100
Source: DECC Carbon Plan, London, (2010).
Figure 1
Economists together with natural scientists have attempted to assess the amount of damage
of such encroachment into the environment using a dynamic general equilibrium models of one or
multiple economies with proper appreciation of interactions among them (Nordhaus (DICE-1993);
Perroni and Rutherford (1993), Nordhaus and Yang (Rice -1976); Hope and Newberry (2008)
273
,Grubb, Jamasb and Pollit (2008)). The amount of pollution generated in this manner a¤ects not
only the national economy but has global consequences (Stern (2007, 2008)).
Scienti…cally pollution - carbon dioxide, methane, nitrogen dioxide or nitric oxide, chloro‡uoro-
carabon (CFC)) in solid, liquid or gaseous form or the explosive, oxidizing, irritant, toxic, carcino-
genic, corrosive, infectious, teratogenic, mutagenic hazardous solid wastes - is detrimental to human,
animal and plant lives. It not only contaminates and adulterates the natural environment and eco-
logical balances locally but also has global consequences resulting in the rise of global temperature,
acid rains, a large Arctic ozone hole ultimately generating a process called the “greenhouse e¤ect”.
Despite that it is hard to quantify the overall damage caused by a particular industry or a nation.
Containing global warming requires cooperation of all nations, putting energy and environmental
taxes might not be a prudent way of controlling such pollution. Using applied general equilibrium
models Whalley and Wigle (1991) had estimated consequence of 50 percent reduction in CO2 gases
to cause up to 19 percent reduction in GDP, Vennemo (1997) had shown carbon taxes caused a fall
in the wage rate of up to 5 percent, Kombaroglu (2003) reported them to dampen the growth rate
by up to 6 percent, Bohringer, Conrad and Loscel (2003) found negative impacts of such taxes on
output, employment and the wage rate, Perroni and Rutherford (1993) had shown how pollution
permits would a¤ect the structure of trade among economies.
Imposition of extra environmental and energy taxes to reduce the pollution a¤ects the behaviour
of households and …rms. Taxes reduce the pro…tability of …rms. They invest less, have less capital
stock and can produce less. Taxes depress the real income of households and their levels of utility
despite working more. These a¤ect sectoral and national growth rates and allocations of inputs
and distribution of income among households. There is still a great deal of uncertainty about the
optimal rate of carbon tax even after several years of intense research activity on carbon taxes and
global warming (Poterba (1993), Stern (2008)).
Growth of capital stock, output and investment in the agriculture sector,- that includes farms
crops, livestock, forestry, and …sheries- is lower when taxes are imposed in the use of inputs. Scien-
ti…cally it is true that the malpractices in agriculture can generate biomass, organic and inorganic
wastes that cause environmental problems and hazards to human and animal health which may re-
sult from animal manure and other dejections, animal corpses, residues of plastic, rubber and other
petrochemicals, pesticides, pharmaceuticals, papers and wood, mineral fertilizer, scrap tools and
agricultural machines. Nitrous oxides generated by these processes can bring respiratory infections,
burning of eyes, headache, chest tightening, ground water pollution. Inadequate measures taken
to control the spread of crop or animal diseases can produce biological hazards. It is questionable,
whether extra tax for controlling such pollution in this manner is reasonable as most of agricultural
wastes can be valuable resources if properly recycled with adoption of better agricultural recy-
cling practices; more taxes in input merely deter farmers from spending on better environmentally
friendly production technology.
Extra taxes reduce the growth rate of output, investment and capital stock in the mining sector.
It is well understood that pollution emerging from physical and chemical processing of minerals in
metal ores extraction as well as other mining and quarrying sector may generate acids. Drilling
mud, dangerous substances, land deformation can be minimised by designing dumping sites for
sul…dic waste speci…c materials with proper consideration of climate, hydrogeological conditions to
prevent air penetration and water in…ltration rather through higher rates of input taxes.
Accumulation of capital stock, output, and investment is a¤ected by extra taxes in the manu-
facturing sector relative to the benchmark. At the current state of technology manufacturing is not
possible without burning fossil fuels directly from machines operating from burning such fuels or
274
indirectly through the use of electricity that is generated through CO2 releasing fossil fuels. This is
evident from a cursory look at the composition of 45 di¤erent industries within the manufacturing
sector [see Appendix A for a complete list of subsectors]. Despite continuous e¤orts for adopting
more e¢ cient and environmental friendly production technologies over years, production plants of
these industries are known for generating pollutants such as CO2 , S2 or other hazardous gases as
by-products in the production process, ever since the time of industrial revolution. Environmental
or energy taxes can only raise the cost of production and lower their motivation to search for the
better technology.
Growth of capital, output and investment in the energy sector - that includes production and
distribution of electricity and gas - are a¤ected negatively by extra input taxes. Electricity is
generated from coal, oil, gas, wind turbines and nuclear sources. Coal and oil plant generate larger
amount of CO2 in atmosphere and the nuclear sources are di¢ cult to build in the beginning and
leave plenty of hazardous wastes at the end. If one looks at the current industrial structure of the
energy sector, environmentally friendly renewable sources can not ful…l even a fraction of energy
demand and this industry is in needs of support for better technology such as carbon tapping,
development of hydrogen and other sources of green energy, extra taxes can only cause a setback.
The growth of capital, output and investment in the construction sector is relatively higher than
in other sectors mainly because of higher taxes in the use of input in this sector in the benchmark.
The distribution sector here consists of motor vehicle distribution and repair, automotive fuel
retail, wholesale distribution, retail distribution, hotels, catering, pubs etc. Improper scrapping
of old vehicles generates solid waste, cold-storages and refrigeration generates CFC and improper
treatment of residues at the retail level causes pollution. Again extra taxes slightly lower the growth
of output, capital and investment compared to the steady state.
Transport and communication sector that comprises of railway transport, other land transport,
water transport, air transport, ancillary transport services, postal and courier services and telecom-
munications, generates air, water, noise and land pollutions. Extra environmental taxes raise cost of
operating their businesses and depress the growth of capital, output and investment in this sector.
Better technology rather than taxes can promote the growth of this sector.
The business service sector represents banking and …nance, insurance and pension funds, auxil-
iary …nancial services, owning and dealing in real estate, letting of dwellings, estate agent activities,
renting of machinery etc, computer services, research and development, legal activities, accoun-
tancy services, market research, management consultancy, architectural activities and technical
consultancy, advertising and other business services. Negative externality in this sector may be less
visible; intense competition for market often generates rivalry, spam, fraud and unhealthy practices
that can put extra costs of providing services. It is di¢ cult for any tax system to prevent such
malpractices. Higher rates of taxes reduce its growth compared to the benchmark.
The other services sector includes public administration and defence, education, health and
veterinary services, social work activities, membership organisations, recreational services, other
service activities, private households with employed persons and sewage and sanitary services.
Malpractices in social services sector appear in the form of corruption, sleaze, unfair treatment
and breach of fundamental liberties, trust and social values which may cause anxiety and create
psychological burden and create an unhealthy environment for workers as well as entrepreneurs in
the economy. It requires more creative thinking and putting extra taxes creates disincentives and
cannot contribute to higher productivity required for growth prospect of this sector.
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Y = GP K 1 ; 0 1
1
H= (CGc ) + K +B (1 ) rB + GP K 1 (1 !) C T
@H
= (1 ) GP (1 )K =0
@K
@H
= (1 )r = 0
@B
Firms optimal conditions:
GP r
Y = (1 ) K= K
K 1
Solving this equilibrium results in:
GP
(1 ) r = (1 ) (1 ) =
K
278
Transversality conditions:
t t
Lim Be = Lim Ke =0
t!1 t!1
Y = C + Gc + GP + K
( 1) ln C + n ln Gc = ln + ln (1 !)
C Gc
( 1) + n = = r (1 )
C Gc
Balanced growth:
C K B Gc GP
= = = = =
C K B Gc GP
Steady state growth
( 1) + n = r (1 )
r (1 )
=
1 n
Consumption to capital ratio:
Y C Gc GP K
= + + + ; Gc = gc Y and
K K K K K
GP = gP Y ; 0 < gc < 1; 0 < gP < 1;
C Y Gc GP K
= =
K K K K K
Impact of tax on consumption ratios
C Y Gc GP K r r r
= = = gC
K K K K K 1 1 1
1 gC gP
=r
1
C
Increase in ince tax ( ) reduces growth rate but raises the private consumption ratio K
with no e¤ect in the interest rate.
Consumption tax (!) does not a¤ect growth rate, .
279
Increase in government consumption (gc ) has no e¤ect on growth rate or interest rate but
crowds out private consumption.
Spending on infrascture (GP ) raises growth rate.
[Following is bases on a paper presented to the AEA (Jan 2012) and ESEM/EEA
(August 2012)]
Fig. 1
3 They were 0.08 percent and 1.5 percent in per capita term. These estimates are based on time series data
provided by Maddision (1991) at http://www.ggdc.net/maddison/. See also Hansen and Prescott (2002) and Parente
and Prescott (2002).
280
Fig. 2
The public …nance in UK, until 1815, was limited to heavy borrowing to …nance military and
naval expenses during the wars and redeeming such debts using revenues from rents, royalties and
indirect taxes in the peaceful years (O’Brien (1988), Fig. 4). Equity issues were ignored in the
traditional feudalistic or mercantilist mind-set of ‘the rich man in his castle, the poor man at his
gate, God made them high and lowly and ordered their estate’even after the Magna Carta (1215)
and the Glorious Revolution (1688) that had transferred political power to the people and the
parliament. According to economic historians the unprecedented economic growth brought by the
industrial revolution and development of trade, commerce and capitalism not only made UK a global
economic leader from 1750 to up to 1900 but also created wide gaps in the distribution of income
and wealth between the rich and the poor (Williamson (1980), Ward(1994), Weaver (1950)). In
the celebrated four cannons of taxation Smith (1776) preached for equality, certainty, convenience
and economy while taxing rents, wages and pro…ts. He was worried more on e¢ ciency rather than
on redistribution. Frustrated by the plight and worsening living conditions of workers, socialist
reformers and radical thinkers including Wilberforce, Owen, Marx and Engels supported unions to
organise and agitate for more equal rights and better working conditions of workers. This movement
raised the number of MPs representing workers such as Snowden (1907), who eventually were able
to promulgate a series of entitlements by enshrining them into the laws such as the Income Tax Act
(1853) or Finance Act (1909). Clauses to mobilise additional revenues from the direct and indirect
taxes to provide for social services including education and health in these Acts truely initiated an
egalitarian tax and transfer system raising the size of state in the economy upto 12 percent of the
national income (Fig 3).
281
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
A massive expansion in the public sector relative to the GDP that occurred through the public
debt during the World Wars I and II, as suggested by Keynes (1940), left a legacy of a large public
sector that have become a permanent feature of the UK economy since then (Hicks, 1954). Acts
aimed at relieving the war devastated economy resulted in the public commitment to the social
security system as proposed in the Beveridge report in 1942 that brought the share of public sector
to around 40 percent of GDP as shown in Table 1. While it seems obvious that the public tax
and transfer system has eliminated absolute poverty among the bottom income group, inequality of
income has widened further after the another wave of reforms of the public …nance that started in
early 1980s. It is shown by increase in Gini coe¢ cients of both the original and post tax income from
28.6 in 1970s to 38.3 in 2000s in Table 1. High in‡ation has further made distribution of income more
unequal as the burden of higher in‡ation are born mostly by the low income households (Keynes
1940, Sargent 1987). Such an upward trend in the inequality in the last two decades despite a
continuos reform of the tax and bene…t are discussed in greater details in Dutta,Sefton and Weale
(2001), Johnson and Webb (1993) and Clark and Leicester (2004) for the UK and Aghion et al.
(1999) for other countries.
Despite above U-shaped trend in inequality one still …nds a signi…cant degree of redistribution
taking place in the UK under the existing tax-bene…t system. Net of tax income of the top income
282
Table 75: Fiscal policy, growth and inequality in the UK: Recent Trends
1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Revenue/GDP 41.1 40.0 41.1 42.5 37.1 37.3
Spending/GDP 39.0 40.2 44.4 44.7 40.4 40.7
De…cit/GDP 2.0 -0.2 -3.3 -2.2 -3.3 -3.4
Debt GDP ratio 145.0 89.6 49.9 40.6 34.6 34.2
Growth rate 2.5 3.1 2.4 2.5 2.2 1.7
Gini of original income 41.3 32.1 43.3 48.8 52.4 51.7
Gini of post tax income 35.4 25.1 28.6 33.8 38.6 38.3
In‡ation 4.2 3.6 13.6 7.6 3.6 2.5
Data source: ONS, OBR, IFS, and http://www.ukpublicspending.co.uk/index.php
Gini for 1950 and 1960 rely on Stark (1972), Barna (1945), Nicholson (1964).
households are trimmed down and that of bottom income group is raised substantially by it. For
instance in 2009, as shown in Table 2, the net tax payment by an average top 20 percent income
earner raises enough revenue to …nance bene…ts received by an average bottom 40 percent household,
who get net amount around ten thousand pounds each, twice as much as their contribution to the
Treasury (Fig. 5). The extent of redistribution is less serious in the middle income group where
four thousand pounds received by the third quintile almost matches the net tax payment by the
fourth quintile (Table 2). In real income terms, the impacts of redistribution are more pronounced
for households in the top and bottom income groups. The absolute amount received in bene…ts or
paid in taxes grow with the growth of the economy.
Table 76: Net E¤ects of Tax and Transfer to an Average Household by Quintile in 2009
Bene…ts Taxes Net
Cash In Kind Total Direct Indirect Total Gain or Loss
Bottom 6883 7555 14,438 -1195 -2965 -4,160 10,278
2nd 8280 7252 15,535 -2200 -3466 -5,666 9,866
3rd 6139 7088 13,227 -4850 -4459 -9,309 3,918
4th 3949 6162 10,111 -8403 -5386 -13,789 -3,678
Top 1992 5123 7,115 -19500 -7441 -26,941 -19,826
Average 5448 6636 12,084 -7230 -4743 -11,973 111
Data source: O¢ ce of the National Statistics; in £ .
283
Fig. 5
Time series on a sets of income measures including the original, gross and post-tax income, avail-
able from the O¢ ce of the National Statistics (http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/statbase/) are helpful
in estimating the impacts of tax and transfer in income of a household by the decile or quintile they
belong to. The original income contains the sum of wages and salaries, interest and pro…t, annuities
and pension, investment and other income. The gross income is obtained by adding cash bene…ts,
total of contributory and non-contributory types, to the original income. Direct taxes - income tax,
national insurance and council tax, are deducted from the gross income to calculate the disposable
income. Further deductions of indirect taxes from it results in the post tax income (PTI) which
truly measures the real economic position of a household as in Table 3 for each decile. In kind
bene…ts including education, health and housing subsidies are then added to get the amount of
…nal income. Thus comparing inequality in the original and PTI provides a rough indication of the
di¤erence made by the tax and transfer system in the distribution of income among households in
UK (Blundell 2001, Bhattarai, and Whalley 2009). As expected the post-tax income is less unequal
than the original income; compare 4.0 versus 69.6 thousands of PTI to 1.9 versus 101.5 thousands
of original income in Table 3 for the bottom and top income household respectively.
S o u rc e : C o n s tru c te d fro m d a ta ava ila b le a t: http :/ / w w w .sta tistic s.g ov .u k / S TAT B A S E / P ro d u c t.a sp ? v ln k = 1 0 3 3 6 ; Ta b le 1 4 A .
284
A summary of redistribution by taxes and transfers by quintile is given in Table 4. While the
average share of the bottom quintile was about 2.5 percent of original income in comparison to 50.7
percent of the top quintile, the operation of the tax and transfer system lifts the share of the bottom
quintile up to 6.8 percent in the PTI and drops the share of top quintile down to 43.8 percent of it.
These shares have fallen for the bottom groups and risen for the top groups in the last two decades
as is clear from the smaller area under the Lorenz curve in 1983 compared to that in 2009 in Fig.
6.
Table 78: Share of origina and post tax income by quintile in UK, 2009
Original income share Post-tax income share Impacts of tax and transfers, %
Bottom 2.46 6.75 4.29
2nd 6.92 11.33 4.41
3rd 15.04 15.92 0.88
4th 24.92 22.25 -2.67
Top 50.71 43.75 -6.96
Data source: O¢ ce of the National Statistics
Fig. 6
285
Fig. 7
The ratio of disposable income of 90th to 10th percentile was around 4.5 twice as much to the
ratio of the 3rd to the …rst quartile.
Table 79: Growth Inequality Relations: Testing Middle Income Share Hypothesis
Change in growth rate on quintile shares Inequality (Gini-all) on growth rate
Variables Coe¢ cient t-value t-prob Variables Coe¢ cient t-value t-prob
Intercept 0.54** 21.0 0.00 Intercept 44.6** 16.1 0.00
3rd_PTI 1.81* 2.3 0.03 Growth -0.29 -1.7 0.10
4th_PTI -1.32 -2.6 0.02 Bottom_PTI -1.48** -3.6 0.00
R2 = 0.41, F(1,21) = 7.04 [0.00]** R2 = 0.45, F(1,21) = 8.9 [0.02]*
2 2
=8.77(0.02) DW=1.11, N=24 =1.5(0.47) DW=1.94, N=24
While the fairness of tax system was at the heart of Meade (1951, 1978) as the optimality of
taxes were in Mirrlees (1971 and 2011) the reversion of the Kuznets process as indicated by above
in the UK in recent years (Gemmell 1985, Atkinson and Voitchovsky 2011) clearly show that those
ideas have not been translated into actions adequately. Behavioural responses to welfares system
286
are shaped fundamentally by the structural features of the economy including the preferences of
households, technologies and composition of …rms or the trading arrangements with the global econ-
omy. Proper evaluation of full impacts of tax transfer policies therefore requires an applied dynamic
general equilibrium model that takes account of the decentralised structure of the UK economy.
Even though the general equilibrium model have been built for the UK to study intersectoral and
multi-household allocation issues since the pioneering work of Whalley (1975, 1977) and then in
Piggott and Whalley (1985) only limited e¤orts have been made to measure the dynamic impacts
of taxes in e¢ ciency and growth simultaneously (Bhattarai 1999, 2007). In the current context of
rising inequality and declincing growth rate, what will happen to these in the next century is an
issue of immense interest which we aim to analyse in this paper.
287
Fig. 8
The UK government has set its activities within the constraints set by the structure of revenue
and spending that have evolved over years by striking a balance between the direct taxes (income
tax, national insurance, corporate tax and council tax) that bring about 60 percent of total revenue
and the indirect taxes (VAT/Excise and Business Rates) for the remaining 40 percent to minimise
the burden of taxes (Table 7). This requires assessment of the more complicated economy-wide
income and substitution e¤ects which depend on the ‡exibility of markets as re‡ected in the elas-
ticities of demand and supplies of goods and factors of production over time (Whalley (1975),
Bhattarai and Whalley (1999)). While the right blending of progressive income and corporation
taxes with regressive national insurance contribution, council taxes and VAT, petrol and fuel du-
ties, business and other taxes is necessary to minimise the burden of taxes, the actual post tax
distribution is determined not only by the net of tax income but also by the allocation of public
provision of various items of public services and accessibility of households to them. As Table 8
shows around 60 percent of the public spending takes the form of transfer of resources mainly from
high income to low income individuals or families for social protection, for personal social services,
for health, education and transport services and the remaining 40 percent provides for the basic
public goods including defence, public order and safety and servicing of debt required for the smooth
functioning of the economy. Thus it is important to consider both the revenue and spending sides
simultaneously to assess impacts of …scal policy on growth and redistribution.
288
Fig. 9
Note: In 2010/11 income tax is paid for any income above £ 7475 at the basic rate of 20% up to
income of £ 35,000, at 40% rate on additional income up to £ 150,000 and at 50% for income above
this. National insurance contribution rate is 12% for every employee. Council tax rate vary by the
value of property in A to H bands, A paying two third and H paying twice of band D which is
liable for council tax amount of £ 1332 for each year. VAT is 20 % and corporation tax is 28 % of
corporate pro…t, excise and business tax-subsidy rates vary by product, going up to 95 percent.
289
Fig. 10
Above objectives and constraints faced by the UK economy can be successfully studied here
with an applied dynamic general equilibrium model bench-marked to the micro-consistent data
constructed from the latest input-output table for the decentralised market of the UK. Long run
impacts of current policies on capital accumulation, investment, output and distribution among
households is evaluated using results of this model for the 21st century (see Hansen and Prescott
(2002) applied Malthus model to 1275 to 1800 and Solow model to 1800-1989 for the UK).A multi-
sectoral dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated to the micro-structural features provided by
the input-output table and social accounting matrix of the economy is the most appropriate tool
to assess long run impacts of …scal policy in the economy.
290
10.5 Features of Dynamic Tax Model of UK
A general equilibrium model in spirit of Walras (1874), Hicks (1939), Arrow and Debreu (1954),
Scarf (1973) and Whalley (1975) is a complete speci…cation of the price system in which prices and
quantities are determined for each year by the interactions of demand and supply sides of goods and
factor markets. In the dynamic version the relative price for every good for each year depends on
the intertemporal preferences of households regarding labour-leisure and consumption and of …rms
for capital and labout inuts similar to that in Ramsey (1927, 1928), Solow (1956) or Lucas (1988).
Government in‡uences market outcome by distorting the prices by means of taxes and transfers
which impact on income, savings, investments and the growth rate of the economy and its produc-
tion sectors. As a regular macro model, households, …rms and traders optimise (Samuelson 1947,
Sargent 1987, Prescott 2002) and choose optimal levels of labour supply, employment, consumption,
production and trade. Intertemporal optimisation results in the optimal growth rate of output,
capital and investment as in Holland and Scott (1998) or Jensen and Rutherford (2002). How can
a set of policies be more e¢ cient in terms of welfare to one household rather than to another is
evaluated with a social welfare function. Model is good for analysing available alternatives for long
run growth prospects from the accumulation of physical and human capital or for evaluating the
e¢ ciency gains from inter-temporally balanced budget or from the tax-transfer system or welfare
reforms or from the low-carbon growth strategy. Short run ‡uctuations often studied in the Key-
nesian or the new Keynesian type economy could be introduced incorporating stochastic shocks to
the production or the consumption sides of the economy (see Stern 1992 for desirable properties of
this type of model). Dynamics of the applied general equilibrium model of UK with tax and trans-
fer system contained here is an advancement on the comparative static frameworks available in the
pioneering work of Whalley (1975), Piggott and Whalley (1985) and Bhattarai and Whalley (2000).
This model is better suited to study growth and inequality and shows the evolution of the whole
economy based on intertemporal optimsation problems of households, …rms and the government for
the 21st century.
10.5.1 Preferences
Model adopts a standard Ramsey (1928) type time separable constant elasticity of substitution
(CES) utility function to measure the welfare of households in each period. They engage in the
intra-period and inter-temporal substitution between consumption and leisure on relative prices,
interest rate, wage rate, tax rates and spending allocations in the economy. It contains AIDS
demand similar to that in Deaton and Muellbauer (1980) and has multiple nests. The …rst stage
h
of it is the aggregation at the level of goods and services Ci;t , next stage of the nest is the choice
between that composite goods and leisure Cth ; lth and …nally choice is over consumption-saving
decisions across various periods based on Euler conditions. Thus the problem of household h is:
1
X
t;h
max U0h = Uth Cth ; lth (1551)
t=0
" 1
# "1 #
X X h
Pi;t 1 + tchi Ci;t
h
+ wj;t 1 twih h
li;t h
wi;t 1 twih Li;t + rj;t (1 h
tki ) Ki;t (1552)
t=0 t=0
291
here tax rates on consumption and income tchi ; twih ; tki are set by the policy makers who aim for
optimality and revenue neutrality in process of tax reform.
1
X 1
X
P Ei;t Ei;t = P Mi;t Mi;t (1557)
t=0 t=0
UK economy, being one of the most liberal economies in the world, has almost no tax on exports
and has very minimal tari¤s and non-tari¤ barriers on imports.
292
10.5.4 Government sector
Government receives revenues from direct and indirect taxes and tari¤s. These taxes are distor-
tionary and a¤ect the marginal conditions of allocation in consumption, production and trade
causing widespread shifts in the demand and supply functions of commodities.Which ones of these
tax instruments are optimal sources of revenue and which ones are the most ine¢ cient for it and in
generating growth process of the economy is a very important question but could be set following
the logic of micro level incentive compatible mechanism of Mirrlees (1971, 2011) or in Diamond-
Mirrlees (1971). It can adopt a balanced budget or a de…cit budget or a cyclically balanced budget
or inter temporally balanced budget or it may simply peg de…cit to a …xed debt/GDP ratio. Which
one of these strategies is adopted may depend on circumstances of the economy, policy debates and
rules based on conventions and international commitments made in the treaties or agreements (i.e.
EU or G20).
H X
X N H X
X N N
X
Rt = tchi Pi;t Ci;t
h
+ twih wj;t
h h
LSi;t + tki ri Ki;t Gt (1558)
h=1 i=1 h=1 i=1 i=1
Ideally people’s preference for public good should decide the degree of freedom the government
is given in determining the size public sector relative to the aggregate economic activities (Devereux
and Love 1995, Barro (1990), Jensen and Rutherford (2002)).
N
X
Gt = gi;t (1561)
i=1
293
Markets for goods clear but the economy may not always be in equilibrium. Imperfections either
in goods or input markets are common giving rise to monopolistic or oligopolist situations. Such
imperfections in the markets are often represented by appropriately designed mark-up schemes
(Dixit and Stiglitz 1977). These mark ups may be sensitive to strategic interactions between
consumers and producers, …rms and government or between the national economy and the Rest of
the World. With widening gap between number of vacancies and unemployed workers it is possible
to incorporate the equilibrium unemployment features of Mortensen and Pissarides (1994) in the
model.
t k
Ri;t = (r + i ) Pi;t = (r + i ) Pi;t+1 (1563)
k
Pi;t+1 1
k
= (1 i) (1564)
Pi;t 1 + ri
This helps to calibrate the capital stock and the level of investment in equilibrium path:
k V i;t k
V i;t = (r + i ) Pi;t+1 Ki;t ; Ki;t = ; Pi;t = Pi;t+1 (1565)
ri + i
gi + i
Ii;t = V i;t (1566)
ri + i
Even a small reform in the public policy of a sector can have a large impact on the welfare and
growth over time if such policy has larger knock on e¤ects in the wider economy and removes
the root source of the distortions that can have a detrimental impact on output, employment and
investment levels in the economy.
294
(http://www.dwp.gov.uk/research-and-statistics/). Share parameters from these tables are used to
decompose the labour and capital income as well as consumption across households. It assumes
inter temporal balance of budget by the government during the model horizon allowing occasional
de…cits, like the current one, in the short run. It uses existing rates of direct and the indirect taxes
that in‡uence the stream of income and consumptions of households and input choices of …rms.
Detailed discussion of the microconsistent data set and algorithm and GAMS/MPSGE programmes
are skiped here for space reasons.
Model uses literature based values of elasticities of substitution among inputs in production for
each sector and the demand for consumption of various goods or between consumption goods and
leisure for each household. Intertemporal elasticity of substitution provides trade-o¤ between the
current and future choices.
Thus the income redistribution e¤ect in the model occurs not only through the di¤erentiation
in endowments but also by variations in tax rates on labour and capital income as well as full or
reduced rate of VAT on consumption of goods and services and di¤erentiated rates of subsidies
and transfers according to criteria set for the households and …rms in the economy. The optimal
design of the tax system occurs by considering which one of these tax instruments is cost e¤ective in
raising a given amount of revenue and has the least distortions in choices of households and …rms.
295
ability or stochastic factors or individual choice or on human capital or on inheritance or educational
inequality or life cycle or public choices for redistribution or justice as presented in Sahota (1978) or
Aghion et al. (1999). The dynamic general equilibrium theory thus is the the most comprehensive
theory of income distribution (Sen 1974, Auerbach, Kotliko¤ and Skinner 1983, Huggett et al.
2011). Model solutions are used to compute the Gini coe¢ cient to measure impacts of reform
on distribution taking note of related literature such as Persson and Tabellini (1994), Mookherjee
and Shorrocks (1982), Perotti (1993), King (1983) and Cowell and Flachaire (2012). We adopt
Z 1
Dorfman (1979) approach to compute the area under the Lorez curve for L(u) A = L(u)du =
0
Z y
1 2
2 (1 F (y)) dy from the solution of the model for each year and apply Gini (G) coe¢ cient as
0
G = AeAe A to measure the inequality of distribution (Fig. 12). Since the level of utility is the most
relevant indicator of the welfare of households we focus on growth and inequality in this variable
that are caused by changes in the tax and transfer system. It is observed that more equality
not necessarily brings the highest possible welfare to all households. While the welfare of every
household can rise if the growth rate is higher but more equality with lower growth rate can reduce
the level of the lifetime utility of households as is clear from the solution of the model (Fig. 11).
This brings us to more di¢ cult question of choosing an appropriate social welfare function based on
comparison of all types households in the model. Given utilities of individual households, U (C1 ; l1 ),
U (C2 ; l2 )...U (C10 ; l10 ) it is possible to compute the social welfare function W = W fU1 ; U2 ; :::U10 g
which has desirable properties (Dasgupta et al. 1973). Philosophical controversy is in whether
to use maxmin criterion of Rawls (1971) which requires …nding the welfare level of the lowest
income household to base the improvement in the social welfare or to adopt a weak equity axiom
of Sen (1978) to justify Gini computed from the model solutions for ranking policies on the ground
of distributional objective. In Atkinson’s measure of inequality (I) with income density function
1
P yi 1 1 "
f (yi ) with mean income , I = 1 f (yi ) ; transfer to lower income is weightier
i
in the social welfare function as the parameter rises (Rawlsonian case when ! 1) in the
measure of inequality. By constraining revenue neutrality or social welfare neutrality of taxes and
spending policies, the model presented here can generate optimal numerical values of tax rates that
are consistent to the principles set in Mirrlees (1971) or in Diamond-Mirrlees (1971). When tax
rates are properly designed in this manner these can not only minimise the risks due to income
uncertainty for low income households but also ensure that the economy moves along its long run
steady state mitigating impacts of disturbances as seen in the current recession.
296
Fig.11
Fig. 12
297
Fig. 13
Fig. 14
Model results also help us to evaluate the impacts of current …scal policies in the industrial
composition over the long run which could be important in evaluating emerging features of UK
economy in a very competitive global economy.
10.5.9 Conclusion
UK economy that grew annually at 2.05 percent in the last two centuries had experienced a rise in
income inequality during the peak phase of the industrial revolution around 1850. Thus UK became
the economic leader in the global economy in 19th century creating inequality in income distribution.
298
Greater concerns towards the plight of ordinary workers in the 19th century led to actions by trade
unions, politicians and philanthropists that resulted in the promulgation of a series redistributive
tax and transfers measures changing the focus of public …nance from debt …nancing of wars to an
egalitarian modern welfare state from the beginning of 20th century. Disappearance of the Kunznets
curve phenomenon on inequality in both the original and the post tax income in the last …ve decades
has caused quite a lot of discomfort and tension among people and policy makers particularly when
the contribution of recent reforms to growth has become controversial. An attempt is made here to
provide an evidence based on a dynamic multisectoral, multi-household general equilibrium model
with tax and transfer, calibrated to the structural features of microconsistent input-output table,
preferences and technological features of the UK economy. Model results are used to study the
evolution of the whole economy in the 21st century. These show how the tax- transfer policies
could be designed to prevent income inequality rising further and to ensure that growth rates of all
sectors converge towards the steady state by the model horizon. Whether the growth enhancing
and inequality reducing objectives could be achieved in the long run depend on the degree of
cooperative choices from low as well as high income households in response to the public policies
aimed at realising the long run vision of the UK economy. Achieving greater equality by increasing
the level of utility of all households would be a sensible policy and is possible from higher rate of
economic growth. It is not easy to …nd such solutions if the compensation principles are not clear
in setting up a social welfare function as the greater equality in income does not automatically
guarantee greater welfare for everyone when the economy is not growing at a desirable space.
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11 L11: Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model:
Recent Developments
One sector growth models are analytically tractable but practically they are not designed to answer
questions relating to sectoral structure of production, issue of structural transformation and distri-
bution of income as an outcome of the general equilibrium process in the economy. This requires a
full dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model for a decentralised economy. DCGE
models contain the relative price system and intertemporal choices of …rms and households as key
factors determining the growth of various sectors of the economy and distribution of income among
households while studying the long run cycles of model economies (Bhattarai 2010, 2014). The
main equations for a typical DCGE model are as follows:
1) Demand side: welfare of households U0h given by consumption Ci;t h
and leisure Lht :
1
X
t h t
M ax U0h = h Ut ; 0< h <1 (1567)
t=1
Uth = U Ci;t
h
; Lht ; c (1568)
Subject to budget constraints:
"1 N
#
X X
I0h = e t h
Pi;t (1 + ti ) Ci;t + wth (1 tl ) Lht (1569)
t=0 i=1
1 1
" #
X X h
t h
= e It = wth (1 tl ) Lt + rt (1 tk ) Kth
t=0 t=0
T T
" H
#
X X X
Pi;t Yi;t = rt (1 + tk ) Ki;t + wth (1 + tl ) Lhi;t (1571)
t=0 t=0 h=i
At rt + Yt Ct fAt+1 (1 ) At g = 0 (1573)
In equilibrium there is equivalence between …nancial assets (At ) and physical capital (Kt ) ;
replace At by Kt :
305
N
X N
X N
X
Kt Ki;t
Ft = ; Fi;t = ; Ft = Fi;t ; Kt = Ki;t ; Yt = Yi;t (1575)
Yt Yi;t i=1 i=1 i=1
3) Intetemporal balance:
T X
X N T
X
Pi;t 1 + thci Ci;t
h
= rt (1 tk ) Kth + Rth + wth (1 tl ) LSth (1576)
t=0 i=1 t=0
T T
" H
#
X X X
Pi;t Yi;t = rt (1 tk ) Ki;t + wth Lhi;t (1577)
t=0 t=0 h=i
T T H
!
X X X
Gt 7 RVt + Rth (1578)
t=1 t=1 h=1
X N
T X T X
X N
P Ei;t Ei;t = P Mi;t Mi;t (1579)
t=0 i=1 t=0 i=1
N
X N
X
P Ei;t Ei;t P Mi;t Mi;t = F Lt (1580)
i=1 i=1
H X
X N N X
X H
RVt = Pi;t thci Ci;t
h
+ wth tl Lhi;t + rt (1 + tk ) Ki;t
h=1 i=1 i=1 h=i
The general equilibrium is achieved when the excess demand are zero in each market for each
period representing balance between demand and supply in each market. Households and producers
optimise given their budget constraints. Relative price adjustment mechanisms guarantee the most
e¢ cient outcome in these markets. The existence of the general equilibrium is guaranteed by …xed
point theorems and solved using the dynamic routines in the GAMS/MPSGE software. Given the
properties of demand and supply functions equilibrium is stable and unique and gives the evolution
of the model economies from 2006 to 2101(see Bhattarai (2007) and Bhattarai (2011)).
This model has been applied to China, India to study optimal and actual capital deepening
ratios (OFDR and AFDR) and the results are summarised in Table 15. These show that the
optimal capital intensity in China at 0.81 is much lower than in India’s 1.54. This implies India
economy being more capital intensive than the Chinese economy in production technology. However
the ratio of actual stocks of the …nancial assets to GDP is much higher in China at 1.88 compared
to 0.78 in India. Thus China is over-…nanced with over …nancing ratio (OFR) at 2.3 and India is
under-…nanced with the OFR at 0.49. This result implies speedy growth in India requires a rapid
growth of its …nancial sector (see Dougas and Rajan (2008) and Kawai (2011)).
306
Ta b le 1 5 : O p tim a l a n d a c tu a l …n a n c ia l d e e p e n in g ra tio s a n d G row th R a te s fo r 2 0 0 8 -1 2
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309
11.1 Capital market: models and issues
Financial markets, consisting of intermediaries, banks or trusts, channel funds from millions of risk
adverse savers/lenders to investors or entrepreneurs who have all skills but lack funds to implement
investment projects with the lower spread between lending and borrowing indicating the e¢ ciency
of a …nancial system in the economy. Full of asymmetric information and arbitrage and hedging
activities this market is very complicated. Thus major objective of participants in the capital
market is to maximise the return and to minimise the risks given the arbitrage opportunities in the
economy. It rests on intertemporal trade between borrowers and lenders. Essential steps include
discounting to derive the net present value. It applies capital asset pricing (CAPM) model, arbitrage
and e¢ cient market hypothesis in determining the structure of portfolios. Individuals planning for
life cycle decisions exercise options for intertemporal balance by mobilising savings and investment.
Bad …nancial system very harmful for the economy as it creates bubbles and crises. E¢ cient
regulation and mechanism is required to correct moral hazard and adverse selection Good …nancial
system allows risk pooling and sharing by the economy as a whole. E¢ ciency of the …nancial system
is important for the real growth of …rms and the economy as a whole.
Given a production function that relates output (Yt ) to capital (Kt ), technology (At ) and labour
(Lt )
1
Yt = Kt (At Lt ) 0< <1 (1582)
The real interest rate should equal the marginal productivity of capital:
1
At Lt
rt = (1583)
Kt
In real life the value of assets di¤ers signi…cantly by the types of assets as they they di¤er in
the amount of riks they contain. In theory the risk adjusted return should be the same across all
assets. Large body of …nancial literature is devoted in measusing and predicting such risk (Fama
(2014) and Shiller (2014)) in which risks are measured by the variance of returns. Because of the
availability of data from the major stock markets on thousands of …rms on daily, weakly or monthly
basis there are plenty of studies that try to explain the risk by organisational, sectoral, cyclical,
regional or various other market characteristics of …rms. Equity premium puzzle or the …nancial
crisis puzzles are far from settled because of highly stochastic nature of transactions in these capital
markets.
Many models have been built to analyse …nancial interactions. Many models have been desinged
to explain factors determining savings, investment, interest rate, stocks and bond markets and inter-
temporal budget balance of the households, …rms, government and economy as a whole. Excellent
summary of the …nancial markets problems and thinkings contains in Fama (2014) and Shiller
(2014). Many authors have contributed to the understanding of the …ncial markets. Some of them
relate to role of …nance in growth of a …rm or growth of funds such as Schumpeter (1911), Robin-
son (1952), Markowitz (1959), Osberne (1959) Merton (1973), Ross (1973) Fama(1980) Diamond,
Douglas, and Dybvig (1983), Fama and French(1988) Weil (1989) then other relate to porfolio
allocations such Hansen and Jagannathan (1991) Hull (1993) King, and Levine (1993) Dixit and
Pindyck (1994), Campbell , Lo and MacKindlay (1997) Bank of England (1999),Sproul (1947),
310
Warren (1958), Chiang (1959), Tobin (1969), Klein (1971); then others try to explain role of …-
nance in in economic growth Shaw(1973), McKinnon (1973), Fry (1978); then next literature takes
the strategic interactions and result of non-cooperative games in the …nancial markets including by
Nash (1951), Shapley (1953), Shapley and Shubik (1969), Rogerson (1985), Rasmusen (1987), Milde
and Riley (1988), Riley (2001), Cripps (1997), Dasgupta and Maskin (2000), Roth (2008). Dia-
mond,and Dybvig (1983), Bolnick(1987), Boyd and Prescott (1986), Shaw (1973), Towsend (1983),
Bhattarai (1997), Kiyotaki and Moore (2006), Townsend and Ueda (2006).
Stochastic theory of …nance is Epstein and Zin (1989), Kiyotaki and Moore (2006), Sinn (2009),
Sinn (2010), Pilbeam, Olmo and Pouliot (2011), Levine, Pearlman, Perendia and Yang (2013),
Greenwood and Scharfstein (2013), Farmer (2013). Banks and …ndical sector issues Fama (1980),
Spencer(1984), Bank of England (1999, 2001), Friedman (2005), Spencer (2008), Arestis and Deme-
triades (1997), Arestis, Demtriades and Luintel (2001), Raghuram and Zingales (1998), Roubini and
Sala-i-Martin (1992) , Radelet, Sachs, Cooper and Bosworth (1998), Cecchetti (2009), Brunnermeier
(2009), Banerji and Basu (2009), Taylor (2010), Hills and Thomas and Dimsdale (2010), Giovan-
nini and de Melo (1993), Greenwood, and Javanovic (1990). Applied general equilibrium models of
…nance are discussed by Mercenier and Srinivasan ed. (1994), Altig, Carlstrom and Lansing (1995),
Ginsburgh and Keyzer (1997), Boycko, Shleifer and Vishny (1996), Champ, Smith and Williamson
(1996). King and Levine (1993), King, Sentana and Wadhwani (1994).. Political eocnomy and
business cycle aspects are disucced by l Wickens (1995), Hansen, Sargent and Tallarini (1999),
Chari,Kehoe and McGrattan (2000), Chadha and Nolan (2002), Davies and Richardson, Katinaite
and Manning (2010). In simple terms we can categorise these theories as follows:
Model 1: Model of households’consumption and saving decisions
Choice of a households between consumption and saving and the interest rate that clears the
…nancial market is often presented with a two period pure exchange economy in which households
have …xed endowments and trade guided by demand for consumption for current and future periods.
Model 2: Life time income and consumption
Saving decision in each period of life of an individual is based on prediction of life time income
and her consumption smoothing behaviour. In the life cycle model the permanent rather than
temporary income is more important for determining the consumption smoothing plans of the
households.
Model 3: Producer’s problem: the marginal productivity of investment
In a classical or neo-classical production function the marginal productivity of capital is positive
but diminishes as more capital is employed in production. Given this technical relation the optimal
amount of investment is determined by the user cost of capital, which includes the market rate of
interest rate, the rate of depreciation and the expected value of capital gains or losses.The major
idea of marginal productivity theory of investment is that the investors compare costs and bene…ts
from the investment project.
Model 4: Acceleration Principle
In addition to the marginal productivity theory of investment there is a long tradition in eco-
nomics to consider the demand for investment and capital stock of a …rm as derived from the
demand for the output. For instance capital stock is proportional to the level of output, ; where ,
its inverse is the capital output ratio that indicates the average productivity of capital.
311
Model 5: Finance in the neoclassical growth model
Importance of saving and investment in long run growth of output and capital stock in the
Solow model with and without intermediation costs and technical progress are illustrated in Table
4. The output, capital stock and consumption are lower with transaction costs and higher with the
technical progress in comparison to the base scenario in the steady state that appears after1761
periods. Exogenous technology and higher productivity of capital can generate unbounded growth
in this model.
Models for household’s saving, investment and neoclassical growth models presented above show
how saving in investment a¤ect the economy. This issue can further be illustrated with an in…nite
horizon model due to Ramsey (1928) Cass (1965) Koopmans (1965) in which a representative
household with in…nite horizon optimises the utility from life time consumption.
Sources of capital for an investment project include self …nancing, debt …nancing and …nancing
through the stock markets. Majority of households and corporations self-…nance their investment
from their personal savings and or from retained earning. Many others, who do not have, these
resources sell bonds or equities to borrow from the …nancial markets. Bonds are …nancial assets
that represent the claims on gross of interest payment in a speci…ed date in the future. Equities
represent claims on real assets of …rms. In an ideal world equities or bonds generate equivalent
outcome (Modigliani-Miller theorem).
Accumulation of the …nancial assets grow when an economy is growing. It causes increase in the
permanent or in the life time income of households and values of …rms leading a rise in the prices
of stocks and bonds. Consumption and investment and ultimately the aggregate demand rise with
good prospects for economic growth. Economy expands. When macroeconomic conditions are weak
it slows down the …nancial markets. It leads to the lower values of stocks and bonds. Economy
further contracts with …nancial problems. Thus the aggregate demand and supply conditions are
linked to …nancial markets as often studied in macro models including those in the IS-LM and
AS-AD models, DSGE or RBC models.
Financial sector is vulnerable to bubbles and crashes from time to time whenever the economic
agents deviate from market fundamentals and violate their inter temporal budget balance. A stable
…nancial system requires that households, …rms, government and the economy as a whole are disci-
plined in managing their …nancial assets. Such discipline is obtained when the present value of their
expenses are compatible to the present value of their income. Nation as a whole cannot sustain the
current account de…cit for a long time. A nation which has persistent de…cit in its current account
is forced to adopt structural adjustment programs either by devaluing its currency or by improving
imports and restraining exports. Any economy that makes choices within the constraints set by
above budget constraints is stable and can sustain for a long period. When an economy deviates
312
from above fundamental conditions it faces crises and readjustment become inevitable. Regular
re-assessment of these conditions is necessary to reduce cost of such re-adjustment. Other issues
include the convertibility and controls of the capital account; in or outward direct foreign invest-
ments, long and short term interest rates, credit rationing, market segmentation and asymmetric
information at the international levels, impact of liberalisation of …nancial markets and economic
crises and contagion e¤ects, origin of speculative bubbles and attacks on …nancial and exchange
rate markets, monitoring, supervision and deposit insurance.
rx = xrm + (1 x) rf (1586)
Variance of the portfolio is
S
X S
X
2 2 2
x = [(xms + (1 x) rf ) rx ] s = (xrm xrx ) s = x2 2
m (1587)
s=1 s=1
Price of risk
x =x m (1588)
Price of risk from return-risk diagram:
rm rf
p= (1589)
m
Marginal rate of substitution between return and risk should equal this price ratio
@U (W )=@ rm rf
M RS ; = = (1590)
@U (W )=@ m
risk of asset i
i = (1591)
risk of stock market
amount of risk i m ;cost of risk i mp
Price of risk
rm rf
Risk adjustment = i mp = i m = i (rm rf ) (1592)
m
Risk adjusted returns should be equal in all assets
313
ri i (rm rf ) = rj j (rm rf ) (1593)
If one of the assets is the risk free asset
f =0
ri = rf + i (rm rf ) (1595)
This the theory behind the capital asset price model (CAPM).
Homework
Crops are worth 50000. Probability of storm or ‡ood is 0.01 percent. Crop is completely
destroyed if a storm or ‡ood occurs. How much insurance is ideal in this business?
An individual has a car worth £ 10000. Probability of accident is 0.01 percent and the car will
be useless if it meets any accident. How much insurance should this person pay?
John has a house worth 200,000. Probability of …re is 0.05 percent. House is worthless after
the …re. How much insurance should John pay for the …re insurance?
Jane has a business worth 1 million. Probability of bankruptcy is 0.02 percent. How much
insurance should Jane pay to protect against such bankruptcy?
var (Rp )
= 2cov(Rs ; Rf ) + 2hvar(Rf ) = 0 (1598)
@h
p p
cov(Rs ; Rf ) var(Rs ) var(Rf ) cov(Rs ; Rf ) s
h= = p p = s;f (1599)
var(Rf ) var(Rs ) var(Rf ) var(Rf ) f
Value of the hedging factor h thus depends on the correlation coe¢ cient s;f , standard
deviations of returns on the risky and non-risky assets ( s and f ). Empirical question then would
be to estimate the value of h from given data on Rp ; Rs and Rf .
314
11.1.2 Industrial regulation
Tirole (2014) in his Nobel lecture states producer deliver goods to costumers but policy makers
should be aware that …rms may provide low quality goods at higher prices. This must be checked
by developing a business model speci…c to …rms based empirical analysis or laboratory experiments.
Markets fail to provide quality goods in unchecked.
Theory of industrial regulations starts from Cournot and Du Point in 19th century; Sherman Act
1890 and Structure Conduct Performance (SCP) hypothesis. Chicago school led by Stigler, Demeltz
and Posner in general favoured the competitive market without any speci…c theoretical doctrine for
regulation. Collective e¤orts by Fundenberg (191), Markin, La¤ront (1997), Jaskow (1996), Rochet
and Tirole (1997) Rey (1998), Lerner (1934) combined game theory and information economics in
designing optimal regulations. Regulatory authorities, for electricity, telecommunication, railways,
airlines and road transports, postal o¢ ces, …nancial institutions and ports sprang up in Europe
as well as in America. The regulators paid attention to the cost of …rms, prices they charge and
the rate of return analysis in regulating these industries. Particularly they compared trade-o¤s
between the lower prices and rate of return. Anti-trust laws were designed to prevent horizontal
and vertical mergers and to protect patents and innovations. Industries controlling the bottleneck
inputs such as railway tracks or postal services were allowed to integrate their downstream services
in order provide cheaper commodities to the …nal producers based on cost plus or …xed price
contracts to avoid adverse selection and moral hazard problems in the research and development
and innovations. Authorities also could auction monopoly rights. Regulators can design incentive
compatible mechanism so the it is not in the interest of the …rms with market power to their full
extent following Ramsey Boiteux pricing strategy. Such incentive contracts can generate superior
outcome as …rms most often have more information about their customers than the regulators
particularly in two sided markets. Regulators should not intervene in a¤ecting the price structure
and should practice fair reasonable and non-discriminating rates (FRAND) in anti-trust regulation
for e¢ cient to make a better world. Better understanding of the cost and demand sides of industries
is essential for better regulations.
Literature in regulation
Tirole Jeane (2014) Market Failure and Public Policy, Nobel Prize Lecture. http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prize
sciences/laureates/2014/tirole-lecture.html
Hotz and Mo Xiao (2011) Bundorf and Kosali (2006),Calzolari (2004),Bhattacharya , Gold-
man, Sood (2004), Buch (2003) Knittel C R V.
Stango (2003),Pargal and Mani (2000), Saal and Parker (2000), Cowling (1990)
Newbery (1999),Unnevehr, Gómez, Garcia (1998) ,Viscusi (1996),
Wheelock and Wilson (1995),Dewatripont and Tirole (1994),
Olsen and Torsvik (1993) Berg and Tschirhart (1988), Cowling and Waterson (1976) Ja¤e
and Mandelker (1975), Stigler (1971),
Bain (1951), Mayson (1939), Lerner (1934),Marshall (1890)
315
11.1.3 IO Approach to pricing and industrial concentration
Start with a Cournot Duopoly model:
P =a bQ Q = q1 + q2
1 = P q1 cq1
@ 1 dP
=P + q1 c1 = 0 =) a 2bq1 bq2 = 0
@q1 @Q
Reaction functions
a c 1 a c 1
q1 = q2 and q2 = q1
2b 2 2b 2
a c a c
q1 = and q2 =
3b 3b
Extension to many …rms:
i = P qi cqi
@ i dP @Q
=P + qi ci = 0 and =1
@qi @Q @qi
dP Q qi @Q
P 1+ ci = 0 and =1
@Q P Q @qi
P @Q
by de…nition the elasticity is e = Q dP
Si P ci Si
P 1+ ci = 0 and =
e P e
P
Multiply both sides by Si
P P P
P Si Si2 HHI
Si ci
= =
P e e
Mark up relates inversely to the Herphindahl-Hirchman Index
cm P HHI
=
P e
Why regulation? Welfare e¤ects of monopoly
@Q P
TR = PQ ; e = (1600)
@P Q
316
@ (T R = P Q) @P
MR = =P + Q
@Q @Q
@P Q 1
= P 1+ =P 1+ (1601)
P @Q e
1 P MC 1
M R = M C =) P 1+ = M C =) =
e P e
1 P P
M R = M C =) P 1+ = M C =) e = =
e P MC P
P Q
Q= Qe =) =1
P Q
Pro…t of the …rm:
= (P c )Q = PQ
Welfare of price changes (a la Harberger):
1 1
W = P Q= PQ =
2 2 2
Thus welfare cost of monopoly is half of its pro…t.
= PQ cQ A and Q = f (P; A)
@ dQ dC dQ
=Q+P =0
@P @P @Q @P
@ dQ dC dQ
=P 1=0
@A @A @Q @A
dQ
Dividing the …rst FOC by @P Q.
@ Q dP dC P @Q dC Q dP
= +1 = 0 =) =
@Q P @Q P @Q P @Q P @Q
dC
P @Q Q dP 1
= =
P P @Q e
The second FOC:
dC dQ dQ 1
P 1 = 0 =) =
@Q @A @A P @QdC
317
dQ P
P = = e
@A dC
P @Q
This results in Dorfman-Steiner condition for the optimal advertisement intensity for a period:
dQ A A A ea
P = e =) =
@A Q Q PQ e
Overtime these are discounted by r and the depreciation rate ( )
A ea
=
PQ e (r + )
References
[1] Berg, Sanford; John Tschirhart (1988). Natural Monopoly Regulation: Principles and Practices.
Cambridge University Press.
[2] Bhattacharya J, D. Goldman, N Sood (2004) Price Regulation in Secondary Insurance Markets,
The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 71, No. 4 (Dec., 2004), pp. 643-675
[3] Buch C. M (2003) Information or Regulation: What Drives the International Activities of
Commercial Banks? Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 35, . 6, 851-869
[4] Bundorf K. and Kosali I. Simon (2006),The E¤ects of Rate Regulation on Demand for Supple-
mental Health Insurance American Economic Review, Vol. 96, No. 2 (May, 2006), pp. 67-71
[8] Cowling K. and M. Waterson (1976) Price-cost margins and market structure, Economica 43:
267-74.
[9] Dag Morten Dalen, Steinar Strøm, Tonje Haabeth(2006) Price Regulation and Generic Compe-
tition in the Pharmaceutical MarketThe European Journal of Health Economics, Vol. 7, No. 3
(Sep., 2006), pp. 208-214
[12] Dewatripont M. and Jean Tirole (1994) The prudential regulation of banks, Cambridge Mass.:
MIT Press.
318
[13] Fang L and R. Rogerson (2011) Product Market Regulation and Market Work: A Benchmark
Analysis, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 3 (April 2011): 163–188
[14] Ferguson P R and G L Ferguson (1994) Industrial Economics: Issues and Perspectives, London:
McMillan.
[15] Green R (2007) EU Regulation and Competition Policy among the Energy Utilities, Institute
for Energy Research and Policy University of Birmingham
[16] Hotz V. J. and Mo Xiao (2011) The Impact of Regulations on the Supply and Quality of Care
in Child Care Markets, American Economic Review 101 (August 2011): 1775–1805
[17] Ja¤e J. F. and G. Mandelker (1975) The Value of the Firm Under Regulation, The Journal of
Finance, Vol. 31, No. 2, December 28-30, 701-713
[18] Knittel C R V. Stango (2003) Price Ceilings as Focal Points for Tacit Collusion: Evidence from
Credit Cards, American Economic Review, December 2003
[19] Marshall A. (1890) Principles of Economcis, McMillan.
[22] Pargal S and M. Mani (2000) Citizen Activism, Environmental Regulation, and the Location
of Industrial Plants: Evidence from India, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 48,
829-846
[23] Saal D. S and David Parker (2000) The Impact of Privatization and Regulation on the Water
and Sewerage Industry in England and Wales: A Translog Cost Function Model, Managerial and
Decision Economics, 21, 6 , 253-268
[24] Stigler, G. J. (1971) "The Theory of Economic Regulation." Bell J. Econ. and Management
Sci. 2: 3-21.
[25] Tirole, Jean (2006) The theory of corporate …nance, Princeton, N.J. ; Oxford : Princeton
University Press
319
11.1.4 Signalling and Incentive Compatibility in the Financial Markets
Consider a situation of lender that has two potential borrowers. Borrower type 1 has a high yielding
project than the borrower type 2. It is however not clear to the lender, the principal, which one
of the two borrowers is more productive. Faced with this situation the principal is left with two
options. Easy option would be to treat both borrowers in the same way and charge the same rate
of interest rate to both of them. Such pooling strategy is not e¢ cient because the type 2 borrower
does not have enough incentive to put in extra e¤orts in the project. It creates disincentive to be
more productive borrower. Part of the market disappears. The second more e¢ cient option is to
design a contract that guarantees a separating equilibrium. For this the lender needs to design a
mechanism that ful…ls participation and incentive compatibility constraints. The objective function
of principal contains agent’s optimal choices conditional on the choice that is specially suited to the
type of the agent. Under such a contract agents have incentive to reveal their true type through
choices of options available to them. Anyone hiding information will …nd itself cheated in the
game. This can be illustrated looking at an incentive compatible model for the …nancial market in
which both principal and agents have a objective functions de…ned on their net bene…ts from an
investment project.
Principal’s objective function:
Here Ri is measures the returns to principal from borrower i and Bi the bene…t to the investor
i from that.
2
Utility function of agent 1: U1 = B1 (R1 ) given that or R1 = 3B1 simply B1 = R31 .
2
Utility function of agent 2: U2 = B2 (R2 ) given that orR2 = B2 .
R1 2 2
Participation constraint in this game is given by U1 = B1 3 and U2 = B2 (R2 ) . At the
same time the agents need to ful…l the self selection constraint as:
2 2
R1 R2
U1 = B1 U 2 = B2 0 (1603)
3 3
2 2
U 2 = B2 (R2 ) U 2 = B2 (R1 ) 0 (1604)
Principal, say a bank, enforces binding constraints appropriately to the type of borrower by
self selection constraints. For this the high productivity type investor should take project designed
for a high productivity type and low productive investor should undertake a loan project designed
by binding him by enforcing the participation constraint for the low productivity type. Then the
principal uses those values in its objective function to derive optimal conditions for allocation of
credit between agents more e¢ ciently.
2 R2 2
B1 = R31 + B2 3 0
" ! #
2 2
R1 R2 2
UP = 0:5 R1 + B2 + 0:5 R2 (B2 ) (1605)
3 3
" ! #
2 2
R1 2 R2 2
UP = 0:5 R1 + R2 + + 0:5 R2 (R2 ) (1606)
3 3
320
Now it is possible for the lender to maximise its own utility taking account of the incentive
compatible conditions for both productive and non productive investors and determine the op-
timal amount loans to be made to the borrowers according to their productivity in the project
evaluating two relevant …rst order conditions @U@R1 = 0:5 1
P 2R1
9 and @U
@R2 = 0:5
P
2R2 2R 3
1
+
0:5 (1 2R2 ) = 0. The optimal solution will be and . It makes sense for the bank to lend more
money to investor 1 which generates more return than the borrower 2. This is the separating
equilibrium which is a more e¢ cient equilibrium and better than a pooling equilibrium that would
provide same amount of loan to each borrower. Net bene…t for more productive investor B1 is 2.25
and bene…t for less e¢ cient investor B2 is 0.07. Thus the system would encourage more productive
investors. Having designed contract s in this manner to di¤erentiate customers according their
potentials the lender ensures proper appropriation of funds according to the productivity of the
project and thus to solve the problem of missing market or the credit rationing. It re…nes e¢ cient
equilibrium in the presence of asymmetric information in the …nancial markets.
Real economies are more complex than discussed in this example. It is important to be more
realistic on consumption and production sides of the economy. It is not very unrealistic to assume
that the market forces of competition between borrower and lenders in the …nancial markets bring
an economy close to a competitive general equilibrium outcome. Thus analysing role of …nancial
sector in accumulation and growth process of the economy as a whole should be studied in a more
decentralised dynamic general equilibrium model as presented brie‡y in the next section.
a rA = b rB (1607)
Since rB > rA then a > b to get this identity. Probability of success of projects A is higher
than that of project B but the rate of return is lower in project A than in B.
Pooling interest rate is
r = pa rA + pb rB (1608)
It need to be proved that r > rA and r < rB . Probability of types of borrower sums to 1:
pa + pb = 1.
321
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12 Assignment (optional): One in Four
12.1 General equilibrium and game theoretic analysis of …nancial sector
First introduce the contingent market hypothesis to formulate transfer of resources across time
and states. Then discuss ine¢ ciencies caused by asymmetry in information among lenders and
borrowers and their impact on the welfare of households. More ambitious project would introduce
the …nancial deepening in the general equilibrium framework.
5. Construct a social welfare function that can guide the government in deciding taxes and public
spendings.
6. De…ne the competitive equilibrium for this economy, derive reduced form of the system.
7. Prove that equilibrium exists, is unique and stable for this economy. Find relative prices and
corresponding allocations consitent with the competitive equilibrium.
327
8. Consider a numerical example with four producers S1... S4, three types of households H1..
H3 and two factors labour and capital (L,K) and publi policy that includes values added
tax (VAT), income taxes (tax-hh) and lump-sum transfers as given in following tables.
Table 85: Consumption, income, tax, base year price and total output for benchmarking
S1 S2 S3 S4
C-H1 4 2 4 1
C-H2 2 3 1 3
C-H3 1 1 3 4
rK 1 2 3 1
wL 2 4 3 1
VAT 1 2 1 1
P-Base 1 1 1 1
Total 15 16 13 12
Table 86: Sources of household income and lump sum tax for benchmarking
H1 H2 H3
Interest 5 1 1
wages 3 3 4
transfers 6 7 6
tax-hh 3 2 2
1. Calibrate model to this economy and compute the equilibrium prices and allocations numer-
ically for this economy. Check that equilibrium satis…es all market clearing conditions.
2. Find the marginal cost of public funds for this economy and mark up by …rms.
3. How would allocations change when the rules implemented by the competition commission
reduce the mark-up power of …rms by …fty percent?
Q2. Develop a dynamic multi-household general equilibrium model benchmarking frist to the
above dataset and then to a more realistic microfoundation based on the input-output table
of an economy.
328
Q3 In a principle agent game design mechanism required for e¢ cient functioning of goods and/or
factor markets in the context of asymmetric information and incomplete information. Provide
examples from …nancial, labour or goods markets.
Q4. Do multinational corporations raise consumer welfare in the host country? Analyse based on
models of price discrimination and FDI.
Note: Each part of this question is very much interconnected and formes a coherent general
equilibrium model of an ecnomy. You may need to write codes in GAMS/MPSGE or MATLAB
for numerical implementation part of the model. Lecture notes and tutorials from microeconomics
can be used for analysis. Student should submit both hard copy and electronic copy of the essay
by the due date. Submission procedure through turnitin is outlined in the module handbook.
Household savings with a constant marginal propensity to save from disposable income:
SH = mps (Y ty Y ) (1612)
Consumer price index with bench mark consumption CZi and prices P DZi
X
(1 + tci ) P Di CZi
P =X (1613)
(1 + tci ) P DZi CZi
PZ(i) initial price level of domestic sales of composite commodities
PDZ(i): initial price level of domestic output of …rm(i)
Demand for capital by …rms:
XDi fi h i1 fi
fi fi (1 fi) fi (1 fi) fi
Ki = fi P Ki + 1 fi P Ki (1614)
af i P Ki
Demand for labour by …rms
XDi fi h i1 fi
fi (1 fi) fi (1 fi) fi
Li = f i P Ki
i
+ 1 fi P Ki (1615)
af i P Li
Kelegen: capital from bottom-up estimate of electricity generation capital
Lelegen: labour from bottom-up estimate of electricity generation labour input
Melegen: imports into elegen
Total national savings:
S = SH + SG + SF ER (1616)
Inverstment:
329
Pi IN Vi = i S (1617)
Government consumption and use of capital and labour inputs in public services:
X
T AXR = ty Y + (i; (Pi tci Ci + tki Ki P K + tli Li P L + tmi Mi P W M Zi ER)) (1621)
Tari¤ revenue:
T RY = ty Y (1623)
Export price:
h i( ti =(1 ti )
(1 ti ) (1 ti )
XPi = (XDi =aTi ) ( ti =P Ei )
ti ti
ti P Ei + (1 ti )
ti
P DDi (1624)
h i( ti =(1 ti )
(1 ti ) (1 ti )
XDDi = (XDi =aTi ) ((1 ti )=P DDi )
ti ti
ti P Ei + (1 ti )
ti
P DDi
(1625)
Domestic price of exported good:
P Ei = P W EZi ER (1626)
Price of imported commodity
P Mi = E = (1 + tmi ) ER P W M Zi (1627)
Amounts of imports:
h i Ai =(1 Ai )
(1 Ai ) (1 Ai )
Mi = (Xi =aAi ) ( Ai =P Mi )
Ai
Ai
Ai
P Mi + (1 Ai )
Ai
P DDi
(1628)
Domestic demand import and domestic prices:
330
h i Ai =(1 Ai )
(1 Ai ) (1 Ai )
XDDi = (Xi =aAi ) ((1 A i )=P DDi )
Ai Ai
Ai P Mi + (1 Ai )
Ai
P DDi
(1629)
Trade balance:
X X
Mi P W M Zi = P W EZi XPi + SF (1630)
Market clearings conditions
Labour market
X
Li = LS (1631)
Capital market
X
Ki = KS (1632)
Goods market:
X
Ci + IN Vi + io(i; j) XDj + CGi = Xi (1633)
Total income:
X
Y = P K KS + P L (LS U N EM P ) + T RF + LAM BDARESi + ET SREV (1634)
X
P Di XDi = (1+tki ) P K Ki +(1+tli ) P L Li + ioj;i XDi Pj +CCOEFj P CO2 ET SONi ))+LAM BDARESi
(1635)
331
ETSREV: revenue from carbon permits under Emission Trading Scheme (ETS):
XX
ET SREV = ioj;i XDi CCOEFj P CO2 ET SONi (1641)
Some Useful Texts on CGE Modelling: In addition to above journal articles Carlos may
refresh his idea on CGE modelling by reading standard texts on CGE models as mentioned below:
332
References
[1] Adelman, Irma and Sherman Robinson (1978). Income Distribution Policy in Developing Coun-
tries: A Case Study of Korea, Stanford University Press
[2] Ballard, Fullerton, Shoven and Whalley (1985), A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy
Evaluation, University of Chicago Press
[3] Barro J and Sala-i-Martin (2003), Economic Growth (2nd ed), MIT Press
[4] Bhattarai K (2008) Static and Dynamic Applied General Equilibrium Tax and Trade
Policy Models of the UK Economy, Serials Publications, New Dehli. 2nd part of
http://www.hull.ac.uk/php/ecskrb/Nepal_Book.pdf .
[5] Centre for Global Trade Analysis (2002) Global Trade Assistance and Production: GTAP5
Database, Purdue University.
[6] de Melo and Tarr (1992), A General Equilibrium Analysis of US Foreign Trade Policy, MIT
Press.
[7] Dervis, Kemal, Jaime de Melo and Sherman Robinson (1982). General Equilibrium Models for
Development Policy. Cambridge University Press.
[8] Dixon, Peter and Maureen Rimmer (2002). Dynamic General Equilibrium Modelling for Fore-
casting and Policy: a Practical Guide and Documentation of MONASH, North Holland.
[9] Dixon, Peter, Brian Parmenter and Alan Powell (1992). Notes and Problems in Applied General
Equilibrium Economics, North Holland.
[10] Dixon, Peter, Brian Parmenter, John Sutton and Dave Vincent (1982).ORANI: A multisectoral
model of the Australian Economy, North-Holland.
[11] Francois JF and KA Reinert (eds.) (1997). Applied Methods for Trade Policy Analysis: A
Handbook. Cambridge University Press (UK).
[12] Ginsburgh, Victor and Michiel Keyzer (1997). The Structure of Applied General Equilibrium
Models, MIT Press.
[13] Harrison, G. W. (2000) Using dynamic general equilibrium models for policy analysis Contri-
butions to Economic Analysis, 248. Amsterdam, Elsevier Science, North-Holland
[14] Hertel, Tom (ed.) (1997). Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications, Cambridge
University Press.
[15] Johansen, Leif (1960). A Multi-Sectoral Study of Economic Growth, North-Holland [2nd edition
1974].
[16] Keller, Wouter J. (1980), Tax incidence: a general equilibrium approach, North-Holland.
[17] Koopman,TC, (1957), essay 1 in: Three Essays on the State of Economic Science, McGraw-Hill,
New York.
333
[18] Lofgren H, Exercises in General Equilibrium Modeling Using GAMS and Key to Exercises in
CGE Modeling Using GAMS, http://www.ifpri.org/pubs/microcom/micro4.htm
[19] Löfgren, Hans, Rebecca Lee Harris and Sherman Robinson (2002). A standard Computable
General Equilibrium (CGE) in GAMS, Microcomputers in Policy Research, 5, International Food
Policy Research Institute. http://www.ifpri.org/pubs/microcom/micro5.htm
[20] Mas-Colell, Whinston and Green (1995), Microeconomic Theory: Part 4, Oxford University
Press, USA.
[21] Mercenier J. and Srinivasan, T.N. ed. (1994) Applied General Equilibrium and Economic
Development: Present Achievement and Future Trends, University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor.
[24] Piggott, J. and J.Whalley (1985) UK Tax Policy and Applied General Equilibrium Analysis,
Cambridge University Press.
[25] Quirk and Saposnik, Introduction to General Equilibrium Theory and Welfare Economics,
Mcgraw Hill, New York, 1968
[26] Robinson, Sherman. 1989. "Multisectoral Models." Chapter 18, in Handbook of Development
Economics. H. Chenery and T.N. Srinivasan (eds.). Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Co.
[27] Rutherford T.F. http://www.mpsge.org/
[28] Scarf, H. (1973) The computation of economic equilibria, New Haven, Connecticut, Yale Uni-
versity Press.
[29] Shoven, John and John Whalley (1992). Applying General Equilibrium, Cambridge University
Press.
[30] Stone Richard. 1961. Input-output and National Accounts, Paris:OECD.
[31] Taylor, Lance ed. (1990) Socially Relevant Policy Analysis: Structuralist Computable General
Equilibrium Models for the Developing World, MIT Press, Cambridge.
[32] Wickens M. (2012) Macroeconomic Theory: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach, 2nd
edition, Princeton University, Press.
[33] Whalley J. (1985) Trade Liberalization Among Major World Trading Areas, MITPress, Cam-
bridge.
334
12.2 Dynamic CGE model of the energy and emmission
Households solve the inter-temporal allocation problem by maximising the lifetime utility subject
to their lifetime budget constraint as:
1
X 1
X
t;h
max U0h = Uth Cth ; lth EMth (1650)
t=0 t=0
Subject to
1
X
1
Rt Pi;t 1 + tchi Ci;t
h
+ wth 1 twh lth + P Pt EMth
t=0
1
X
= wth 1 twh LSth + rt (1 tk) Kth + T Rth (1651)
t=0
1
y 1 y 1
y 1
y y
max j;t = (1 i ) P Dj;t + i P Ej;t
1
X 1
X
d m
i P Yj;t i ai;j Pi;t i am
i;j Pi;t (1652)
t=0 t=0
where: j;t is the unit pro…t of activity in sector j; P Ej;t is the export price of good j; P Dj;t
is the domestic price of good j; P Yj;t is the price of value added per unit of output in activity j; y
is a transformation elasticity parameter ; Pi;t is the price of …nal goods used as intermediate goods;
i is the share parameter for exports in total production; i is the share of costs paid to labour and
capital; di is the cost share of domestic intermediate inputs,( m i for imported intermediate inputs);
ami;j are input-output coe¢ cients for domestic supply of intermediate goods.
This is an open economy model in which goods produced at home and foreign countries are
considered close substitutes by Armington assumption, popular in the applied general equilibrium
literature. The production, trade and supply processes by sectors is easy to comprehend with four
level nests of functions for each as in Figure 1.
335
Figure 1:
Figure 2:
336
Households pay taxes to the government, which it returns either as transfers to low income
households or spends to pay for public consumption.
The government revenue is generates from taxes on consumption, income and trade as:
N X
X H N X
X H N
X
REVt = tki;t rt Ki;t
h
+ tchi Pi;t Ci;t
h
+ tgv
i Pi;t Gi;t
i=1 h=1 i=1 h=1 i=1
N
X N
X N
X
vk p
+ ti Pi;t Ii;t + ti Pi;t GYi;t + tm
i P Mi;t GYi;t
i=1 i=1 i=1
H
X H
X
+ rt tk Kth + wth twh LSth (1653)
h=1 h=1
where REVt is total government revenue and is a composite tax rate on capital income from
sector i, tchi is the ad valorem tax rate on …nal consumption by households, tgv i is that on public
consumption and tvk h
i is the ad valorem tax rate on investment, tw is the tax rate on labour income
of the household, tk is the tax on production, and tm i is the tari¤ on imports.
The steady state equilibrium growth path of the economy is determined by relative prices of
goods and factors such as the rental rate and the interest rate, that ultimately depend on parameters
of the model such as subjective and objective discount factors, elasticities of substitution and many
other shift and share parameters. By Walras’ law these prices eliminate the excess demand for
goods and factors. These conditions emerge from the resource balance and zero pro…t conditions
for the economy and for each household and for the government and for the rest of the world sectors
in each period as well as over the entire model horizon. Government tax and transfers policies can
alter this equilibrium. Income of each type of household evolves over time as a function of the
relative prices of goods and share of households in total endowment of capital and labour.
The production process releases emissions that manifests itself in the forms of air, water,
land and noise pollutions. Pollution is a by product of production process. This is included by an
emission function in the model as following:
XN
EM ISt = i Yi;t (1654)
i=1
where EM ISt represents the total amount of emission and i is the pollution coe¢ cient for
industry i the rate of pollution generated in producing output Yi;t . It is assumed to remain constant
for this model. Higher rate of pollution is harmful for growth and hence for the welfare of households.
While the consumption of goods generates utility to the households and such pollution generates
negative externality. Their utility level falls with the increased amount of emission as it e¤ectively
reduces households’life time income. It also raises cost of production as they have spend more on
anti-pollution measures.Economists however have paid little attention to the form of social pollution
that a¤ects mainly service industries. Corruption, sleaze, malpractices, breach of fundamental
human rights and social values create tensions, anxieties, social con‡icts and reduce the creativity
and productivity of workers and utility of households though it is very hard to quantify impacts of
these externalities.
Question 2: Study the dynamic model of UK economy in Bhattarai and Dixon (2014) contained
in UK011_HH.GMS and analyse dynamics growth and redistributions impacts of energy sector
337
policies in UKwhen carbon taxes are cut by 20%, 40% and 60% respectively. Write your explanation
for the results.
Literature on Regulation
Tirole (2014) Market Failure and Public Policy, Nobel Prize Lecture. http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/econ
sciences/laureates/2014/tirole-lecture.html
Fundenberg (191), Markin and Tirole (1990), La¤ront (1997), Jaskow (1996), Rochet and
Tirole (1997) Rey (1998), Lerner (1934)
Hotz and Mo Xiao (2011) Bundorf and Kosali (2006),Calzolari (2004),Bhattacharya , Gold-
man, Sood (2004), Buch (2003) Knittel C R V.
Stango (2003),Pargal and Mani (2000), Saal and Parker (2000), Cowling (1990)
Newbery (1999),Unnevehr, Gómez, Garcia (1998) ,Viscusi (1996),
Wheelock and Wilson (1995),Dewatripont and Tirole (1994),
Olsen and Torsvik (1993) Berg and Tschirhart (1988), Cowling and Waterson (1976) Ja¤e
and Mandelker (1975), Stigler (1971),
Bain (1951), Mayson (1939), Lerner (1934),Marshall (1890)
Introduction to regulation
Tirole (2014) in his Nobel lecture states producer deliver goods to costumers but policy makers
should be aware that …rms may provide low quality goods at higher prices.
This must be checked by developing a business model speci…c to …rms based empirical analysis
or laboratory experiments. Markets fail to provide quality goods in unchecked.
Theory of industrial regulations starts from Cournot and Du Point in 19th century; Sherman
Act 1890 and Structure Conduct Performance (SCP) hypothesis.
338
Chicago school led by Stigler, Demeltz and Posner in general favoured the competitive market
without any speci…c theoretical doctrine for regulation.
Collective e¤orts by Fundenberg (1991), Markin (1994), La¤ront (1997), Jaskow (1996), Ro-
chet and Tirole (1997) Rey (1998), Lerner (1934) combined game theory and information
economics in designing optimal regulations. Regulatory authorities, for electricity, telecom-
munication, railways, airlines and road transports, postal o¢ ces, …nancial institutions and
ports sprang up in Europe as well as in America.
The regulators paid attention to the cost of …rms, prices they charge and the rate of return
analysis in regulating these industries. Particularly they compared trade-o¤s between the
lower prices and rate of return.
Anti-trust laws were designed to prevent horizontal and vertical mergers and to protect
patents and innovations.
Industries controlling the bottleneck inputs such as railway tracks or postal services were
allowed to integrate their downstream services in order provide cheaper commodities to the
…nal producers based on cost plus or …xed price contracts to avoid adverse selection and moral
hazard problems in the research and development and innovations.
Authorities also could auction monopoly rights.
Regulators can design incentive compatible mechanism so the it is not in the interest of the
…rms with market power to their full extent following Ramsey Boiteux pricing strategy.
Such incentive contracts can generate superior outcome as …rms most often have more infor-
mation about their customers than the regulators particularly in two sided markets.
Regulators should not intervene in a¤ecting the price structure and should practice fair rea-
sonable and non-discriminating rates (FRAND) in anti-trust regulation for e¢ cient to make
a better world.
Better understanding of the cost and demand sides of industries is essential for better regu-
lations.
Number of …rms (n), buyers and sellers, nature of products and entry barriers
P
x
Concentration curves, concentration ratios (cumulative market share: CRx = Si ), He…ndahl-
i=1
1
P
n P
n 1
Hirschman Index (HHI) : HHI = Si2 , Hannah and Kay Index (1977): HK = Si
i=1 i=1
P
n
1 1
Pn
2
, Entropy Index: E = Si log Si , Variance of the logarithms of …rm size: V = N (log Si )
i=1 i=1
1
P
n
2
N (log Si ) , Gini Coe¢ cient
i=1
339
Welfare measure: Harberger’s welfare loss
1 1 q e p q p
Dwl = q p= p *e=
2 2 p q p
@ (T Ri = Pi Yi ) @Pi
M Ri = = Pi + Yi
@Yi @Yi
@Pi Yi 1
= Pi 1 + = Pi 1 (1656)
Pi @Yi
M Ci
M Ri = M Ci =) Pi = 1 = M Ci
1
Here 1 is the measure of the mark up.
13.0.3 Regulation for solve the moral hazard problems in the …nancial markets
Asymmetric information
Problem: Project B earns more but is riskier than project A. Probability of success of projects
A and B are given by a and b respectively. Proportions of types A and B agents is given by pa
and pb respectively
340
Proper signaling (incentive compatible insurance schemes) can remove such ine¢ ciency due
to moral hazard in the …nancial markets.
a rA = b rB (1657)
Since rB > rA then a > b to get this identity. Probability of types of borrower sums to 1:
pa + pb = 1. Pooling interest rate:
r = pa rA + pb rB (1658)
Probability of success of projects A is higher than that of project B but the rate of return is
lower in it.
It need to be proved that r > rA and r < rB .
Consider a bank that has two potential borrowers with amount borrowed B1 and B2 and returns
R1 and R2 respectively.
Borrower type 1 has a high yielding project than the borrower type 2.
Banker compare returns from the type 1, R1 = 3B1 to that from the type 2. R2 = B2 .
Banker is not clear to this bank that which one of the two borrowers is more productive.
Here Ri measures the returns to the bank from borrower i and Bi the amount let to the investor i from
the bank.
2
U1 = B1 (R1 ) 0
Participation constraints type 2:
341
2
U2 = B2 (R2 ) 0
Let the incentive compatible (the self selection constraints) be given by:
2 2
R1 R2
U1 = B1 U 2 = B2 0 (1662)
3 3
2 2
U 2 = B2 (R2 ) U 2 = B2 (R1 ) 0 (1663)
Here Ri is measures the returns to principal from borrower i and Bi the bene…t to the investor
i from that.
2
Utility function of agent 1: U1 = B1 (R1 ) given that or R1 = 3B1 simply B1 = R31 .
2
Utility function of agent 2: U2 = B2 (R2 ) given that orR2 = B2 .
R1 2 2
Participation constraint in this game is given by U1 = B1 3 and U2 = B2 (R2 ) . At the
same time the agents need to ful…l the self selection constraint as:
2 2
R1 R2
U1 = B1 U 2 = B2 0 (1665)
3 3
2 2
U 2 = B2 (R2 ) U 2 = B2 (R1 ) 0 (1666)
Solving the mechanism design problem of a bank
2 R2 2
B1 = R31 + B2 3 0
" ! #
2 2
R1 R2 2
UP = 0:5 R1 + B2 + 0:5 R2 (B2 ) (1667)
3 3
" ! #
2 2
R1 R2 2
UP = 0:5 R1 + R22 + + 0:5 R2 (R2 ) (1668)
3 3
Net bene…t for more productive investor B1 is 2.25 and bene…t for less e¢ cient investor B2 is
0.07.
342
Design contracts in this manner to di¤erentiate customers according their potentials the lender
ensures proper appropriation of funds according to the productivity of the project
This solves the problem of missing market or the credit rationing.
It re…nes e¢ cient equilibrium in the presence of asymmetric information in the …nancial
markets.
P =a bQ Q = q1 + q2
1 = P q1 cq1
@ 1 dP
=P + q1 c1 = 0 =) a 2bq1 bq2 = 0
@q1 @Q
Reaction functions
a c 1 a c 1
q1 = q2 and q2 = q1
2b 2 2b 2
a c a c
q1 = and q2 =
3b 3b
Extension to many …rms:
i = P qi cqi
@ i dP @Q
=P + qi ci = 0 and =1
@qi @Q @qi
dP Q qi @Q
P 1+ ci = 0 and =1
@Q P Q @qi
P @Q
by de…nition the elasticity is e = Q dP
Si P ci Si
P 1+ ci = 0 and =
e P e
P
Multiply both sides by Si
P P P
P Si Si2 Si ci
HHI
= =
P e e
Mark up relates inversely to the Herphindahl-Hirchman Index
P cm HHI
=
P e
343
13.0.8 Why regulation? Welfare e¤ects of monopoly
Why regulation? Welfare e¤ects of monopoly
@Q P
TR = PQ ; e = (1669)
@P Q
@ (T R = P Q) @P
MR = =P + Q
@Q @Q
@P Q 1
= P 1+ =P 1+ (1670)
P @Q e
1 P MC 1
M R = M C =) P 1+ = M C =) =
e P e
1 P P
M R = M C =) P 1+ = M C =) e = =
e P MC P
1 P P
M R = M C =) P 1+ = M C =) e = =
e P MC P
P Q
Q= Qe =) =1
P Q
Pro…t of the …rm:
= (P c )Q = PQ
Welfare of price changes (a la Harberger):
1 1
W = P Q= PQ =
2 2 2
Thus welfare cost of monopoly is half of its pro…t.
= PQ cQ A and Q = f (P; A)
@ dQ dC dQ
=Q+P =0
@P @P @Q @P
@ dQ dC dQ
=P 1=0
@A @A @Q @A
dQ
Dividing the …rst FOC by @P Q.
@ Q dP dC P @Q dC Q dP
= +1 = 0 =) =
@Q P @Q P @Q P @Q P @Q
344
dC
P @Q Q dP 1
= =
P P @Q e
The second FOC:
dC dQ dQ 1
P 1 = 0 =) =
@Q @A @A P @QdC
This results in Dorfman-Steiner condition for the optimal advertisement intensity for a period:
dQ A A A ea
P = e =) =
@A Q Q PQ e
Overtime these are discounted by r and the depreciation rate ( )
A ea
=
PQ e (r + )
F (K) (1 ) P2K K
= P1K K + (1671)
(1 + r) (1 + r)
@ F 0 (K) (1 ) P2K
= P1K + =0 (1672)
@K (1 + r) (1 + r)
k
M P K = (1 + r) (1 ) 1+ P1K (1674)
k
MPK ' r + P1K (1675)
Marginal productivity theory and capital income tax
(1 ) F (K) (1 ) P2K K
= P1K K + (1676)
(1 + r) (1 + r)
@ (1 ) F 0 (K) (1 ) P2K
= P1K + =0 (1677)
@K (1 + r) (1 + r)
345
k
(1 ) M P K = (1 + r) (1 ) 1+ P1K (1679)
k
(1 ) MPK ' r + P1K (1680)
4
3
K= = 504 = 6; 250; 000 (1684)
0:06
Capital stock without capital income tax
Y = K and = 0:75 and = 0:2
What is the optimal capital stock for this manufacturer? (hint ).
1 k
(1 ) M RP K = P: K ' r+ P1K (1685)
4
2:4
K= = 404 = 2; 560; 000 (1688)
0:06
346
L = labour supply –(assume this as given)
Example :
If K =100, L=100 h =3 =0.8, =0.3
1 1 0:3
Y = K ( hL) = 1000:3 (0:8 3 100) = 185 (1690)
1 1 0:3
Y = K (L) = 1000:3 (100) = 100 (1691)
Stock of Human Capital without tax
Stock of human capital (ht )depends on
initial human capital: h0
fraction of time spent on studies: (1 )
the rate of human capital created by per unit of time spent on studying: :
(1 )t
ht = h0 e (1692)
growth rate of human capital:
gh = (1 ) (1693)
if h0 =1, = 0.4, (1 ) = 0.2 at after 20 years (t = 20) the human capital stock becomes 4.95.
(1 )t
ht = h0 e =1 e0:4 0:2 20
= e1:6 = 4:95 (1694)
output rises to 262:
1 1 0:3
Y = K ( hL) = 1000:3 (0:8 4:95 100) = 262 (1695)
Stock of Human Capital with tax
Stock of human capital (ht )depends now on also on the tax:
initial human capital: h0
fraction of time spent on studies: (1 ) (1 )
the rate of human capital created by per unit of time spent on studying: :
(1 )(1 )t
ht = h0 e (1696)
growth rate of human capital:
gh = (1 ) (1 ) (1697)
if h0 =1, = 0.4, (1 ) = 0.2 (1 ) = 0:8 at after 20 years (t = 20) the human capital stock
becomes 4.95.
(1 )(1 )t
ht = h0 e =1 e0:4 0:8 0:2 20
= e1:28 = 3:597 (1698)
output rises to 262:
1 1 0:3
Y = K ( hL) = 1000:3 (0:8 3:597 100) = 209:6 (1699)
347
13.0.13 Dixit-Stiglitz Model of Monopolistic Competition
Monopolistic competition Examples
Monopolistic competition - (Chamberlain): Brand loyalty
Product di¤erentiation characterised the main form of the monopolistic competition.
Examples includes: ipod, CD, DVD, diskettes
Soft drinks: Coke, Pepsi, Fanta, Tango, Sprite, 7 Up, Dr. Pepper,
Cars: BMW, Voxhaul, Poeguet, Chrisler, Ford, GM, Toyota, Nissan, Hyundai, Fiat.
Cosmetics , Shoes ,Watches, Camera, PC Computers, Fast food,Yoghurt, Aspirins,Pens, Books
in microeconomics or macroeconomics.
If a …rm reduces its own price rival …rms will reduce it, when it raises its own price none of
the others will raise their prices.
max u = u q0 ; qi (1700)
subject to:
X
q0 + pi qi I (1701)
First order conditions qi
X 1
1
1
u1 pi = u2 qi qi (1702)
1
1
qi = k:pi ; k>0 (1703)
Demand elasticity
@qi pi 1
= = (1704)
qi @pi 1
Producer’s problem
1 c
pi 1 = c; pi = (1706)
348
f
q= (1707)
c1
How many …rms exist in the market?
Put this solution in the consumers’optimality condition.
c X 1
1
1 1
1 1
u1 = u2 qi qi = u2 (nq ) q (1708)
Q=A B P (1709)
1
Q=S b P P (1711)
N
show that the average cost rises to number of …rms in the industry when all …rms charge
same price.
AC = n:F
s +c
Prove that price charged by a particular …rm declines with the number of …rms
1
P =c+ (1712)
b n
1. (a) Determine the number of …rms and price in equilibrium. Explain entry exit behavior
prices when number of …rms are below or above this equilibrium point.
(b) Collusive and strategic behaviors may limit above conclusions. Discuss.
(c) Apply above model to explain international trade and its impact on prices and number
of …rms in a particular industry.
(d) Use this model to explain interindustry and intra-industry trade.
349
(e) Use monopolistic competition model to analyse consequences of dumping practices in
international trade.
1
Q=S b P P (1717)
N
show that the average cost rises to number of …rms in the industry when all …rms charge same
price.
F F N:F
AC = +c= +c= +c (1718)
Q S=N S
Thus the cost of production rise when the number of …rms increase in the industry.
c. Price is downward sloping in N ; P = c + b 1N but the average cost is upwards sloping in
N AC = N:FS +c .
S S
Q= + S:b:P S:b:P ; + S:b:P = A ; S:b: = B (1719)
N N
Q S 1 1
MR = P =P = c =) P = c + (1720)
B N S:b b N
Equilibrium number of …rms in the market
The intersection of these two lines determines the equilibrium number of …rms, prices and the
average cost. This condition c + b 1N = N:F
S + c implies:
r
S
N= (1721)
F:b
q q
The market price is P = c + b 1N = c + p1 S and AC = F:b S :F
s + c = S
F:b + c
b F:b
350
13.0.15 Krugman (1980): Trade and scale economy and regulation
Krugman (1980): Trade and scale economy and regulation
All individuals in the economy have the same utility function
X
U= Ci 0< <1
varieties of goods produced, i = 1; :::; n
li = + xi ; >0
output must equal consumption of a representative individual times the labor force:
xi = Lci
total labor force must just be exhausted by labor used in production:
X
L= ( + xi )
Krugman (1980): Trade and scale economy and regulation
The …rst order conditions from that maximum problem have the form
1
Ci = pi
demand curve facing the single …rm producing that good:
xi 1
1 1 1
pi = Ci =
L
each …rm faces a demand curve with an elasticity of 1=(1 ),and the pro…t-maximizing price
is therefore
1
pi = w
Pro…ts of the …rm producing good i are
i = pi xi f + xi g w
Krugman (1980): Trade and scale economy and regulation
In equilibrium, then i =0, implying for the output of a representative …rm:
xi = p =
w (1 )
the number of goods produced
L L (1 )
n= =
+ x
Two country case:
L (1 ) L (1 )
n= ;n =
351
a fraction of their income on foreign goods,
n =(n + n )
Krugman (1980): Trade and scale economy and regulation
foreigners spend of their income on home country products
n =(n + n )
value of product
Ln =(n + n ) = LL =(L + L )
only a fraction g of any good shipped arrives, with 1 g lost in transit
pb = p=g; pb = p =g
the home country’s trade balance in alpha products
n n n n L
Ba = wL wL = wL w
n+n n+n n+n n+n L
wL
= [n n ]
n+n
u = V (q) T (1722)
0 00
V (q) > 0 and V (q) < 0:
Firm’s problem and the participation constraint is
This is when …rm knows the consumer type. It is binding , V (q) = T: Substitute this
information on consumer into the …rms objective function.
352
= V (q) cq (1725)
Optimal pro…t then means
@
= V 0 (q) c = 0 =) V 0 (q) = c (1726)
@q
This leads to the …rst degree price discrimination; high value consumer will be sold more goods at
discounted per unit price and low value customer will be sold less but ends up paying more per unit.
(do a graph here)
This is when the …rm does not know the type of the consumer. It has a probability belief
on type of each type of consumer,0 < < 1 for type high and (1 ) for type low. Now the
…rms pro…t becomes:
Participation constraint of the low type customer and incentive constraint of the high type
customers are binding; resulting in
LV (qL ) = TL (1732)
H (V (qH ) V (qL ))
= cqH + (1 )( LV (qL ) cqL ) (1735)
+ L V (qL )
353
@ 0 0 0
= HV (qL ) + LV (qL ) + (1 ) LV (qL ) (1 )c = 0 (1736)
@qL
0 0 0
HV (qL ) + LV (qL ) + (1 ) LV (qL ) = (1 )c (1737)
0 0
( H L) V (qL ) + (1 ) LV (qL ) = (1 )c (1738)
Quantity implications of non-linear pricing
0
0 [ H L] V (qL )
LV (qL ) = c + (1739)
(1 )
Since the last term is positive it implies that L V 0 (qL ) > c
Since L V 0 (qL ) = c is the …rst best and qL now should be smaller to have L V 0 (qL ) > c.
For the high value type H V 0 (qH ) = c, this means "no distortions at the top".
354
1 1
0 0
LV (qL ) = c + [ H L] V (qL ) ; Lq 2 =c+[ H L] q 2 (1744)
2 2
1 2 L H 2 L H 2 15 20
q2 = ; q= = = 22 = 4 (1745)
c c 5
Tari¤ for the low customer
p
TL = LV (qL ) = 15 2 4 = 60 (1746)
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IMF Lists 25 Brightest Young Economists, August 27, 2014 (source IMF.org)
1. Nicholas Bloom, Stanford, Uncertainty 1. Hélène Rey, LBS, international macro
2. Amy Finkelstein, MIT , healthcare 2. Emmanuel Saez, California, income inequality
3. Raj Chetty, Harvard, tax policy 3. Jonathan Levin, Stanford, market design
4. Atif Mian, Princeton, Debt
4. Melissa Dell, Harvard Poverty
5. Emi Nakamura, Columbia, business cycle
5. Kristin Forbes, BOE and MIT International macro 6. Nathan Nunn, Harvard, economic development
6. Roland Fryer, Harvard, Randomised experiment 7. Parag Pathak, MIT, market design
7. Xavier Gabaix, New York, finance and macro 8. Thomas Philippon, NYU, risk and financial intermediation
8. Gita Gopinath, Harvard, exchange rate 9. Amit Seru, Chicago, regulation and financial intermediation
9. Esther Duflo, MIT microeconomics issues in developing countries 10. Amir Sufi, Chicago, house price
11. Iván Werning, MIT, macro prudential policy
10. Matthew Gentzkow, Chicago, empirical micro and media
12. Justin Wolfers, Peterson Institute, political economy
11. Emmanuel Farhi, Harvard, Macro
12. Oleg Itskhoki, Princeton, globalisation and inequality 13. Thomas Piketty, Paris, income inequality
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14 Real Analysis
Basic Concepts for Review
1.Euclidian distance 15.Lower hemicontinuity
2.Convergence of a sequence 16.Fixed point and contraction mapping
3.Cauchy sequence 17.Brower’s and Kakutani …xed point theorems
4.Boundedness in R SETS
5.Compactness 18.Sets and functions and De Morgan’s Laws
368
6.Contineous functions 19.Indexed sets
7.Maximum theorems 20.Relations
8.Convex set 21.Functions
9.Convex Hulls 22.Direct and inverse images
10.Extreme points of convex set 23.Least upper bound principle
11.Strictly convex sets 24.Sequence of real numbers
12.Separation theorems 25.Upper and lower limits
13.Coorespondence 26.In…mum and supremum of functions
14.Upper hemicontinuity 27.lim inf and lim sup of functions
369
see : Syddeater K,P. Hammond P and A. Seierstad and A Strom (2008) .
Open Ball : If a is a point in Rn amd r is a positive number then the set of all points x in
n
R whose distance from a is less than r is called the open ball around a with radius r.
Br (a) = B (a; r) = fx 2 Rn : d (x; a) < rg
A set in Rn is closed only if its complement is open or A set in Rn is closed if contains all its
boundary points.
Three properties of a open set
a. The whole space Rn and the empty set ? is open
b. arbitrary unions of open sets are open
c. the intersection of …nitely many open sets is open.
Three properties of a closed set
a. The whole space Rn and the empty set ? are both closed
b. arbitrary unions of close sets is closed
c. the intersection of …nitely many closed sets is closed.
14.1.1 Convergence
Convergence of a sequence
Existennce of a limit of a sequence is necessary for convergence of a sequence. If the elements
1
of sequence get closer to some limit they are getting close to each other for intance X for any
X > 1: De…ne upper bound, least upper bound or supremum; greatest lower bound or in…ma A set
bounded both above and below is bounded. For a monotonically increasing sequence xn 1 xn
for all n and monotonically decreasing sequence xn xn 1 for all n. Every bounded monotonic
sequence always converge.
A seqeunce fxk g in Rn converges to a point x if for each " > 0 there exists a natural number
N such that xk 2 B" (x) for k > N or d (xk ; x) ! 0 as k ! 1: A sequence that is not convergent
is divergent; lim xk = x:
k!1
Cauchy sequence
1
A sequence fxn gn=1 is a cauchy sequence for any " > 0 if there is an integer N such that for
i; j N the distance between xi ; xj d (xi ; xj ) ".
Prove that 1) All cauchy sequence is convergent and bounded.
2) Any convergence sequence in Rm is cauchy.
Boundedness, Compactness and Continous Functions
14.1.2 Boundedness
A set S in Rn is bounded if there exists a number M such that kxk M for all x in S. No point of
S is at a distance greater than M from the origin. A seuence fxk g in Rn is bounded if the the
set fxk : k = 1; 2; ::::g is bounded. Any convergent sequence is bounded. An example of spliting a
rectangle in four parts then spliting it again and again to …nd a converging sequence fxk g :
Compactness (Bolzano- Weirstrass theorem)
A set S in Rn is compact (closed and bounded) if and only if every sequence of points in S has
a subsequence that converges to a point in S.
Continuous functions
370
A function f with domain S Rn is continuous at a point a in S if for every " > 0 there exists
a > 0 such that jf (x) f (a)j < " for all x in S with kx ak < . If f is continous at every point
of a in a set S, then f is continous at S.
Maximum theorems
maximize f (x; y) subject to y 2 F (x). De…ne the corresponding value function
V (x) = max f (x; y)
y2F (x)
Then the general case of maximum theorem is
"Suppose f (x; y) and gi (x; y) i = 1; 2; :::; l are continous functions from X Y in R where
X Rn , Y Rn and Y is compact. suppose further that for every x in X the constraint asbove is
nonempty and equal to the closure of F 0 (x): = fy 2 Y : gi (x; y) < ai , i = 1; 2; ::lg : Then the value
function V (x) is continous over X. If the maximization problem has a unique maximum y = y(x)
for each x in X, then y(x) is continous.
Convex set
A set S in the plane in called convex if each points in S can be joined by the line segments lying
entirely within S.
A set S in Rn is convex if [x,y] S for all x and y in S, or equivalently , if x + (1 )y 2 S
for all x, y in S and all in [0; 1]
A function f is call concave (convex) if it is de…ned on a convext set and the line segment joining
any two points on the graph is never above (below) the graph (dome).
H = fx : a:x = g (1753)
n
If S and T are subsets of R , H separates S and T if S is contained in one of the closed half
determined by H and T is contained in the another.
a:x a:y for all x in S and for all y in T. In case a:x = = a:y H strictly separates S
and T.
14.1.4 Correspondence
A correspondece F from a set A into a set B is a rule that maps each x in A to a subset F (x) of
B.
371
F :A B and x F (x). Most popular example in economics is the budet set
Brouwer’s …xed point theorems For K an non-empty compact (closed and bounded) convex
set in Rn , let f is continous mapping of K into itself. The f has a …xed point f (x ) = x :
Kakutani …xed point theorems For K an non-empty compact (closed and bounded) convex
set in Rn , let F a correspondence K K and suppose that
a F (x) is a nonempty convex set in K for each x in K
b. F is upper hemicontinous
Then F has a a …xed point x in K i.e a point x such that x 2 F (x ) :
14.2 SETS
Let A and B be some sets.
union: A [ B = fx : x 2 A or x 2 Bg
intersection: A \ B = fx : x 2 A and x 2 Bg
complement: A-B or AnB A B = fx : x 2 A and x 2 = Bg
De Morgan’s Laws
An (B [ C) = (AnB) \ (AnC) ; An (B \ C) = (AnB) [ (AnC)
A B=B A
Indexed sets
Let set ai be de…ned for each i 2 I then fai gi2I ; is an index set.
[i2I Ai consists of all x belonging to Ai
A [ (\i2I Bi ) = \i2I (A [ Bi )
372
14.2.1 Relations and functions
Relations
Let a and b be certain sets; a relation between them aRb can be (a) re‡exive (b) transitive (c)
symmetric (d) anti-symmetric (e) complete (f) partial or linear ordering.
Functions
A function (mapping, map or transformation) f : X ! Y from a set X to a set you is a rule
that assings exactly one element y = f (x) in Y to each x in X.
Direct and inverse images
Let f : A ! B be a function. The direct immage under f of subset S of A is the set
f (S) = fy 2 B : y = f (x) for some x in Ag
The inverse image under f of a set T B is
f 1 (T ) = fx 2 A : f (x) 2 T g
Upper and Lower Bounds
Least upper bound principle
A set of real numbers S is bounded above if there exists a number b such that b > x for all x in
S. Any such b is upper bound of S. A number b is the least upper bound of S if b b for every
upper bound b.
Sequence of real numbers
A sequence is a function k 7 ! x (k) with the set of N = f1; 2; 3; ::::g all positive integer in the
1
domain; it is written o¤en as fxk gk=1 or simply fxk g. It is
a. increasing if xk xk+1 for k = 1; 2; :::;
b. strictly increasing if xk < xk+1 for k = 1; 2; :::;
c. decreasing xk xk+1 for k = 1; 2; :::;
d. strictly decreasing if xk > xk+1 for k = 1; 2; :::;
Increasing or decreasing sequences are monotone sequence.
14.3 Limits
Upper limits
Let fxk g be a sequence of real numbers and b be a …ne real number. Then lim xk = b is
k!1
the upper limit if and only if the following two conditions are satis…ed
a. For each " > 0 there exists an integer N such that xk < b + " for all k > N
b. For each " > 0 there exists an integer M ther exists a integer k > M such that xk > b ".
Lower limits
Let fxk g be a sequence of real numbers and b be a …ne real number. Then limk!1 xk = b
is the lowrer limit if and only if the following two conditions are satis…ed
a. For each " > 0 there exists an integer N such that xk > b " for all k > N
b. For each " > 0 there exists an integer M ther exists a integer k > M such that xk < b + " .
In…mum and supremum of functions
In…mum and supremum of functions
Let f (x) be de…ned on x in B where B Rn then in…mum and supremum are de…ned as:
inf f(x) = infff (x) : x 2 Bg ; sup f(x) = supff (x) : x 2 Bg
x2B x2B
If the range of f (x) is the interval [0; 1] and then inf f(x) = 0 and sup f(x) = 1
x2B x2B
lim inf and lim sup of functions
373
lim inf f (x) = lim inf f (x) : x 2 B x0 ; r \ M; x 6= x0 ;
x!x0 r!0
0 0
lim sup f (x) = lim sup f (x) : x 2 B x ; r \ M; x 6= x
x!x0 r!0
A function is upper semicontinous at point x0 in M if limx!x0 f (x) f x0
A function is lowerer semicontinous at point x0 in M if limx!x0 f (x) f x0
According to the extreme value theorem.if K Rn is a nonempty and compact set anf if f is
upper semicontinous, the f has a maximum point in the set K; if f is lower semicontinous, the f
has a minimum point in the set K
15.1 GAMS
GAMS is good particularly in solving linear and non-linear system of equations. It has widely been
used to solve general equilibrium models with many linear or non-linear equations on continuous
or discrete variables. It comes with a number of solvers that are useful for numerical analysis such
as CONOPT, DICOPT, MILES, MINOS, DNLP, PATH. It can solve very large scale models using
detailed structure of consumption, production and trade arrangements on unilateral, bilateral or
multilateral basis in the global economy where the optimal choices of consumers and producers are
constrained by resources and production technology or arrangements for trade.It is a user friendly
software.
Any GAMS programme involves declaration of set, parameters, variables, equations, initial-
isation of variables and setting their lower or upper bounds and solving the model using New-
ton or other methods for linear or non-linear optimisation and reporting the results in tables or
graphs see examples below. GAMS/MPSGE software is good for large scale standard general equi-
librium models. GAMS programme can be downloaded from demo version of GAMS free from
www.gams.com/download.
Learn GAMS by practicing following examples. First write them using a text editor and save
…le *.gms. Then execute the program and study the result and then revise the model as necessary.
$Title a simple linear programming problem
Variables R, X1, X2;
Equations ER, Ex1, Ex2;
Er..
R =e= 10*x1 +5*x2;
374
Ex1..
25*x1 +10*x2 =l= 1000;
Ex2..
20*x1 +50*x2 =l= 1500;
Model lp / all/;
R.lo=1;
X1.lo=1;
X2.lo=1;
Model lp /ER, Ex1, Ex2/;
solve lp maximizing R using lp;
$Title cartel model
Variables P, Q, q1,q2, C1, C2, Pro…t, prof1, prof2;
Equations EP, EQ, EC1, EC2, EPro…t,eprof1, eprof2;
EP..
P =e= 300 -(1/2)*Q;
EQ..
Q =e= q1+q2;
EC1..
C1 =e= 500 +20*q1;
EC2..
C2 =e= 1000 +(1/4)*q2*q2;
EPro…t..
Pro…t =e= p*Q-c1-c2;
eprof1..
prof1 =e= p*q1 -c1;
eprof2..
prof2 =e= p*q2 -c2;
model cartel /all/;
solve cartel maximizing pro…t using nlp;
$Title General Equilibrium in a Pure Exchange Global Economy
$ontext
Global economy produces oil and grains. It includes economies A and B. Economy A owns the
oil …eld and produces 100 units of oil and
economy B produces 200 units of grain. Both economies like to consume oil and grains.Their
consumption preferences by given by Cobb-Douglas Utility functions, household in eocnomy A
spends 40 percent of income in oil and 60 percent in grains and household in economy B spends 60
percent in apples and 40 percent in grains. Market structure is competitive. Find the relative price
in these economies that is consistent with maximization of utility (satisfaction) by representative
households in both countries. Choose price of oil 1 as a numeraire. Find the income of both
countries, their demands for both oil and grains. Check whether the conditions for equilibrium are
ful…lled. Find their levels of utility at equilibrium.
$o¤text
Parameters WA, WB, a1, b1;
WA = 100;
WB = 200;
a1 =0.4;
375
b1 =0.6;
Free variables UA, UB;
Variables
X1A, X1B, X2A, X2B, IA, IB, P1, P2;
Equations EX1A, EX1B, EX2A, EX2B, EI1, EI2, MKT1, MKT2,EUA, EUB;
EI1..
IA =e= P1*WA;
EI2..
IB=e= P2*WB;
EX1A..
X1A =e= (a1*IA)/P1;
EX1B..
X1B =e= (b1*IB)/P1;
EX2A..
X2A =e= ((1-a1)*IA)/P2;
EX2B..
X2B =e= ((1-b1)*IB)/P2;
MKT1..
X1A + X1B =e= WA;
MKT2..
X2A + X2B =e= WB;
EUA..
UA =e= (X1A**a1)*(X2A**(1-a1));
EUB..
UB =e= (X1B**b1)*(X2B**(1-b1));
IA.lo=1;
IB.lo=1;
X1A.lo=1;
X1B.lo=1;
X2A.lo=1;
X2B.lo=1;
P1.fx =1;
*P1.lo= 0.001;
P2.lo= 0.001;
Model pure /all/;
option nlp = conopt2;
solve pure maximising UA using nlp;
Parameters
ep
report, Report1;
set sc /sc1*sc5/;
a1= 0.1;
ep(sc) = 0.1;
loop(sc,
solve pure maximising UA using nlp;
report(sc,"UA")=UA.L;
376
report(sc,"UB")=UB.L;
report(sc,"X1A")=X1A.L;
report(sc,"X2A")=X2A.L;
report(sc,"X1B")=X1B.L;
report(sc,"X2B")=X2B.L;
report(sc,"IA")=IA.L;
report(sc,"IB")=IB.L;
report(sc,"a1")=a1;
report(sc,"b1")=b1;
a1= a1+ep(sc);
);
a1=0.4;
b1 =0.1;
loop(sc,
solve pure maximising UA using nlp;
report1(sc,"UA")=UA.L;
report1(sc,"UB")=UB.L;
report1(sc,"X1A")=X1A.L;
report1(sc,"X2A")=X2A.L;
report1(sc,"X1B")=X1B.L;
report1(sc,"X2B")=X2B.L;
report1(sc,"IA")=IA.L;
report1(sc,"IB")=IB.L;
report1(sc,"a1")=a1;
report1(sc,"b1")=b1;
b1= b1+ep(sc);
);
display report,report1;
$Title Cobb Web Model
set t time /t1*t20/
t…rst
tlast
i sectors /i1*i100/;
t…rst(t) = Yes$(ord(t) eq 1);
tlast(t) = Yes$(ord(t) eq card(t));
alias (t, tt);
Parameters al, gm, dl, bt, A, P0, Pbar;
dl = 2;
bt = 4;
al = 500;
gm =200;
P0 = 100;
pbar = (al+gm)/(bt+dl);
display pbar;
Variables q(t), P(t), QT;
Equations Eq(t), EPP(t), EP(t), EQT;
377
Eq(t)..
Q(t) =e= al-bt*P(t);
EPP(t)$t…rst(t)..
P(t)=e= P0;
EP(t+1)$(ord(t) gt 1)..
P(t+1)=e= -(dl/bt)*P(t) + (al+gm)/bt + P(t)$tlast(t);
EQT..
QT =e= sum(t, Q(t));
Model Cobbweb /all/;
q.Lo(t) =0.01; P.Lo(t) =0.01; QT.Lo =0.01;
Solve Cobbweb maximising QT using nlp;
Parameter report base case solution;
report(t, "Price") = P.L(t);
report(t, "Output") = Q.L(t);
Display report;
15.2 MATLAB
MATLAB is widely used for solving models. It has script and function …les used in computations.
Both have *.m extensions. Its syntax are case sensivite. It is good for solving a system of linear
equations and handling matrices
Example 1
Write a programme …le matrix.m like the following and execute it.
% now solve a linear equation
% 5x1 + 2x2 =20
% 3x2 + 4x2 =15
k =[5 2;3 4];
n = [20 15];
kk = inv(k)
x = kk*n’
378
One more example of system of equation and factorisation of matrices
A=[1 2 3; 3 3 4; 2 3 3]
b=[1; 2; 3]
%solve AX=b
X = inv(A)*b
%eigen value and eigenvectors of A
[V,D]=eig(A)
%LU decomposition of A
[L,U]=lu(A)
%orthogonal matrix of A
[Q,R]=qr(A)
%Cholesky decomposition (matrix must be positive de…nite)
%R = chol(A)
%Singular value decomposition
[U,D,V]=svd(A)
%simple Markov Chain
a = [0.2 0.8];
%transition matrix
b = [0.9 0.1; 0.7 0.3];
%initial state
c0 = a*b
%subsequent states
c1 = c0*b
c2 = c1*b
c3 = c2*b
c4 = c3*b
c5 = c4*b
c6 = c5*b
%stationary state
c7 = c6*b
%eigen values
d = eig(b)
[V,D]=eig(b)
Example 3
Solving …rst order ordinary di¤erential equation
write the function simpode.m which has just two lines
function xdot = simpode(t,x);
xdot = x+t;
simpode(t,x) is MATLAB function.
Write a scrit …rst_ode.m
tspan =[0,2], x0=0;
[t,x]=ode23(’simpode’,tspan,x0);
plot(t,x)
xlabel(’t’), ylabel(’x’)
then execute program in the commandline to get the graph
379
>>…rst_ode
Example 3
%solving system of ordinary di¤erential equations
type the following and save in regid.m functiion …le
function dy = rigid(t,y)
dy = zeros(3,1); % a column vector
dy(1) = y(2) * y(3);
dy(2) = -y(1) * y(3);
dy(3) = -0.51 * y(1) * y(2);
end
Then script …le second_ode.m
tspan =[0,20], z0=[1;0];
[t,z]=ode23(’pend’,tspan,z0);
x=z(:,1); y=z(:,2);
plot(t,x,t,y)
xlabel(’t’), ylabel(’Consumption and Income’)
…gure(2)
plot(x,y)
xlabel(’consumption’), ylabel(’income’)
title(’consumption and income’)
then execute the program typing
>>second_ode
This will give two …gures from the solution.
Example 3
Evaluating an integral
de…ne the function
function y =erfcousin(x);
y = exp(-x^2)
end
write script integral.m
y = quad(’erfcousin’,1/2,3/2)
>>integral
Example 3
Evaluating a double integral
write a script …le
%evaluating double integral
F = inline(’1-6*x.^2*y’);
I = dblquad(F,0,2,-1,1)
>>integral_d
For more see MATLAB help/ examples and documentation/Mathematics.
Try sample programs provided there and have a tiny model to practice.
See other programs like intro.m; travel.m; simul.m. Contents.m for list of …les in MATLAB demo.
http://www.mathworks.com/products/demos/ ; Some demonstrations on how to use MATLAB also
available in http://www.youtube.com/.
380
Pratap Rudra (2002) Getting started with MATLAB : a quick introduction for scientists and
engineers.
http://www.mathworks.com/academia/student_center/tutorials/ps_solve/player.html
See Cleve Moler’s text book such as Numerical Computing with MATLAB or Experiments with
MATLAB available at http://www.mathworks.com/moler/index.html.
Michael Ferris has developed Interface between GAMS and MATLAB. The details of the new
package can be found at:
http://www.cs.wisc.edu/math-prog/matlab.html. For this a) install a new version of GAMS
(23.4) b) put the system directory of GAMS into your MATLAB path .
Shazam
micro…t
RATS
GAUSS
LIMDEP/NLOGIT
STATA12/SPSS20
http://www.feweb.vu.nl/econometriclinks/; https://www.aeaweb.org/rfe/
381
References
[1] Doornik J A and D.F. Hendry ((2013) PC-Give Volume I-III, GiveWin Timberlake Consultants
Limited, London
382
ABA 1* Journals Applied Economics Letters; Australian Economic Review; Business Eco-
nomics; Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies; Eastern European Economics; ; International
Review of Applied Economics; Information Economics and Policy;International Journal of Social
Economics; Journal of interdisciplinary Economics;
For the latest version visit: http://www.associationofbusinessschools.org/node/1000257.
https://ste¤enroth.…les.wordpress.com/2015/06/abs-2015-ste¤en-roth-ch.pdf
Note also that there are many journals which have not been ranked by the ABS.
383
15.4 Core texts in Economic Theory and Equivalent reading
References
[1] Aumann R.J. and S. Hart. (1994) Handbook of game theory with economic applications, North
Holland, 1992-1994.
[2] Allen R.G.D. (1956) Mathematical Economics, MacMillan.
[3] Atkinson A.B. and J. E. Stiglitz (1980) Lectures on Public Economics, McGraw Hill.
[4] Balasko, Yves (1988) Foundations of the theory of general equilibrium, Boston : Academic
Press.
[5] Baldani J, J Brad…eld and R Turner (1996) Mathematical Economics, Dryden Press.
[6] Basu, Kaushik (1993) Lectures in industrial organization theory, Oxford : Blackwell.
[7] Bhagwati J. N. and T.N. Srinivasan (1992)Lectures on International Trade, MIT Press
[8] Bhattarai K. (2007) Models of Economic and Political Growth in Nepal, Serials Publications,
New Delhi.
[9] Binmore K. (1990) Fun and Games: A text on Game Theory, Lexington, Heath.
[10] Bridel P. (2011) General equilibrium analysis: a century after Walras, Routledge, London.
[11] Cohen, S. I. (2001) Microeconomics; Economic policy, London ; New York : Routledge.
[12] Cornwall R R (1984) Introduction to the use of general equilibrium analysis, North-Holland.
[13] Debreu, G. (1954) The Theory of Value, Yale University Press, New Haven.
[14] Estrin S., D Laidler and M. Dietrich (2008) Microeconomics,Prentice Hall.
[15] Gardner R (2003) Games for Business and Economics, Willey.
[16] Ginsburgh V.and M. Kayzer (1997) The Structure of Applied General Equilibrium Models,
MIT Press.
[17] Gravelle H and R Rees (2004) Microeconomics, 3rd ed. Prentice Hall
[18] Fundenbeg D and J Tirole (1995) Game Theory, MIT Press.
[19] Hershleifer J and J G Riley (1992) The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information, Cambridge
[20] Harrison GW ed. (2000) Using dynamic general equilibrium models for policy analysis2000,
pp. xi, 411, Contributions to Economic Analysis, 248 North-Holland.
[21] Hillman Arye (2005) Public Finance, Cambridge University Press.
384
[22] Hirshleifer J and J G Riley (1992) The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information, Cambridge.
[23] Hicks J R (1939) Value and Capital, ELBS, MacMillan.
[24] Holt C A (2007) Markets, Games and Strategic Behaviour, Pearson.
[25] Jehle G A and P.J. Reny (2005) Advanced Microeconomic Theory, Pearson Education.
[26] Katzner D W (1988) Walrasian Microeconomics: An Introduction to the Economic Theory
and Market Behaviour, Addison Wesley.
[27] Kreps D. M. (1990) A Course in Microeconomic Theory, Princeton.
[28] Krugman P R and M Obstfeld (2000) International Economics, Addison Wesley.
[29] La¤ont JJ and M. Moreaux (1989) Dynamics, incomplete information and industrial economics,
Oxford : Blackwell
[30] La¤ont, Jean-Jacques (1989) The economics of uncertainty and information, Cambridge, Mass
: MIT Press
[31] Luce R. D. and Rai¤a H. (1957) Games and Decisions, John Wiley and Sons, New York.
[32] Marshall A. (1890) Principles of Economcis, McMillan.
[33] Mailath G. J. and L. Samuelson (2006) Repeated Games and Reputations: long run relation-
ship, Oxford.
[34] MasColell A, M.D.Whinston and J.R.Green (1995) Microeocnomic Theory, Oxford University
Press.
[35] Myles G.D. (1995) Public Economics, Cambridge University Press.
[36] Nicholson W (1989) Microeconomic Theory and Extensions, 4th edition, Dryden Press.
[37] Neumann John von and Oskar Morgenstern (1944) Theory of Games and Economic Behavior,
Princeton University Press.
[38] Ok Efe A. (2007) Real Analysis with Economic Applications, Princeton University Press.
[39] Osborne M.J. and A. Robinstein (1994) A course in game theory, MIT Press.
[40] Pigou, A. C. (1932) The economics of welfare, McMillan.
[41] Pascal Bridal (2011) General Equilibrium Analysis: A Century After Walras, Routledge.
[42] Rasmusen E (2006) Games and Information, Blackwell.
[43] Ricardo D. (1817) Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, London, John Murray.
[44] Romer D. (2006) Advanced Macroeconomic Theory, McGraw Hill.
[45] Romp (1997) Game Theory: Introduction and Applications, Oxford.
[46] Rubinstein Ariel (1990), Game theory in economics ,Aldershot : Elgar.
385
[47] Samuelson P. (1947) Foundation of Economic Analysis, Harvard University Press.
[48] Schmalensee R. and R. Willig (1989) Handbook of industrial organization, North Holland,
1992-1994.
[49] Shoven, J.B. and J.Whalley (1992) Applying General Equilibrium, Cambridge University Press,
1992.
[50] Shone R (2001) Economic Dynamics, Cambridge.
[51] Simon C. P. and L. Blume (1994) Mathematics for Economists, Norton.
[52] Snyder C and W. Nicholson (2011) Microeconomic Theory: Basic Principles and Extensions,
11th edition, South Western.
[53] Starr R M (1997) General Equilibrium Theory: An Introduction, Cambridge.
[54] Takayama (1974) Mathematical Economics, Dryden Press.
[55] Tirole, Jean (2006) The theory of corporate …nance, Princeton, N.J. ; Oxford : Princeton
University Press
[56] Tirole J. (1995) The Theory of Industrial Organisation, MIT Press.
[57] Thijs ten Raa (2005)The economics of input-output analysis Cambridge : Cambridge Univer-
sity Press.
16 Schedule
1. Axioms; optimisations; linear and nonlinear programmes
2. Consumption
3. Production
4. Markets
386
11. Class Test (1 hour)
12. Microeconomics for multinationals
13. Microeconomic policies (and welfare analysis)
387
16.1 Sample class test
Section A
Q1. Production function for a fruit …rm operating in the competitive market is given by
p
y=2 l (1755)
where y is output and l is labour input. Product price is p and input price is w.
I = px X + py Y (1757)
Q3. Consider a two sector two class model of an economy. Workers supply labour and spend all
their income in necessity goods. Capitalists do not work but own all capital and spend 60
percent of their income in luxury products, 20 percent in necessity goods and save and invest
20 percent of the remaining income.
388
Table 87: Parameters in production of the two sector model
K A
Necessity sector 0.5 100 1
Luxury sector 0.5 144 1
Total labour supply is 50 and the wage rates are equal in both sectors of production
LS = 50; w1 = w2 = w (1758)
Qi = Ai Ki i Li1 i
(1759)
Parameters of the model are given in two tables below.
Capitalist hires workers and allocates labour to maximise its pro…t
Income of capitalists (from the production function capitalist gets the same as the labour)
YK = YL = 50w (1762)
1. Determine the demand for labour for both necessity and luxury goods sectors.
2. Derive the supply and demand functions for each product.
3. Find the equilibrium relative prices Pi and w (assume necessity good as a numeraire P1 = 1).
4. What is the demand for necessity and luxury goods by workers and capitalists?
5. How much is invested in this economy?
6. What will happen to the level of income and consumption if the labour endowment increases
by 10 percent due to migration or better health of the existing working age population?
389
Section B
Q3. Market demand function for a certain product with two …rms (Q = q1 + q2 ) is given by
P = 120 Q (1763)
cost function of each …rm is
Ci = 10qi (1764)
Solve for optimal output, revenue, cost, pro…t, consumer, producer and total welfare under
following market conditions
1. Cournot duopoly.
2. Stackelberg leadership when …rm 2 follows …rm 1.
3. Cartel.
4. Bertrand duopoly.
5. Perfect competition.
6. Provide brief explanation on …ndings.
Q4. Cost function of a …rm producing a certain product under perfectly competitive market is
quadratic as:
C = 0:1q 2 + 10q + 50 (1765)
Monopoly model:
Pro…t function of a monopolist with taxes
= PQ TC T (1766)
P =a bQ (1767)
total cost with marginal cost c and …xed cost f
390
T C = cQ + f (1768)
Tax revenue
T = tQ (1769)
Oligopoly model
There arei = 1; :::; N …rms in the market
Market supply
n
X
Q= qi (1770)
i=1
T Ci = (c + t) qi (1772)
Tax revenue
T = tQ (1773)
Pro…t of a particular …rm in oligopoly is:
n
!
X
1 = P q1 (c + t) q1 = a b qi q1 (c + t) q1
i=1
n
!
X
= a b qi q1 bq12 (c + t) q1 (1774)
i=2
Prove that revenue maximising tax rate is the same for both monopoly or oligopoly.
Market structure does not matter for it.
1. Illustrate the …rst order conditions for consumer optimisation in this model.
391
2. By total di¤erentiation of the …rst order conditions determine
(a) the impact of a change in shadow prices on the demand for X and Y:
(b) the impact of a change in price of X on the demand for X and Y:
(c) the impact of a change the price of Y on the demand for X and Y:
(d) the impact of a change in income on the demand for X and Y and the shadow
price.
3. Decompose the total e¤ect of a price change in substitution and income e¤ects.
4. Show the major di¤erences between Hicksian and Marshallian demand functions.
C = rK + wL (1777)
Here Y is outpt, K capital, L labour inputs, r interest rate, w wage rate, 0 < < 1 share of
labour the substitution parameter.
max u = u q0 ; qi (1779)
subject to:
X
q0 + pi qi I (1780)
Producer i maximises pro…t, setting prices pi given marginal cost c and …xed cost f as:
1 @qi pi 1
1. Prove that elasticity of demand is 1 ;i.e. = qi @pi = 1 :
392
2. How much does each …rm produce? How does it relate to the elasticity of demand
as well as the …xed cost (f ) and variable costs (c).
3. How many …rms exist in the market? Explain the role of in it.
max U = C l(1 )
(1782)
Subject to time and budget constraints:
l + hs = 1 (1783)
pc = whs + (1784)
c > 0; hs > 0;and l > 0:Here c is consumption,l is leisure and hs is labour supply, p is the price
of the commodity, w is the wage rate, is the pro…t from owning the …rm.
The maximisation problem for the representative …rm can be stated as:
= py whd (1785)
subject to the technology constraint:
y = (hs ) (1786)
y > 0; hd > 0;where y is the output supplied by the …rm and hd is its demand for labour.
1. Form a Lagrangian for the constrained maximisation problem for this household.
2. Derive its demand for consumption goods and its demand for leisure.
393
Q5. An economy is inhabited by "more productive" type 1 and "less productive" type 2 people.
Policy makers encourage more productive people by assigning a greater weight to the utility of more
3 1
productive people. They aim to maximise the social welfare function: W = U14 U24 where W is the
index of the social welfare, U1 represents the utility of type 1 people and U2 is the utility of type 2
people. For simplicity, assume that the resources of this economy produce a given level of output
Y . It is consumed either by type 1 or by 2ptype. Market clearing condition
p implies: Y = Y1 + Y2 .
Preferences for type 1 are given by U1 = Y1 and for type 2 by U2 = Y2 . In a given year total
output, Y , was 1000 billion pounds.
1. What is the distribution of output between type 1 and type 2 that maximises the
social welfare index? What is the maximum value of the social welfare index of
this economy?
2. What would have been the allocation if policy makers had given equal weight to
1 1
the utility of both types of people in the economy such as W = U12 U22 . By how
much does the optimal welfare index change in this case when compared to the
social welfare in (1) above?
3. How would the social welfare index change in (1) if a tax rate of 20 percent is
imposed on consumption and the tax receipts are not given back to any of the
consumers? What would the value of social welfare index be in this case?
3 1
4. Assume that the policy makers still hold the welfare function to be W = U14 U24 .
How would the social welfare index change in (3) if all tax receipts are transferred
to type 2 people?
Q6. Consider a mechanism design problem in which the owner of a premium quality piece of
land can enter into various arrangements with tenants to share output of the land (q). For simplicity
assume that the demand for the proceeds of the land and associated costs are given by
1. Proposition 1: results of …xed fee (F ) contract and joint pro…t maximisation are
equivalent.
2. Proposition 2: hire contract (e.g. 14 wage per unit of output) is incentive incom-
patible and leads to production ine¢ ciency.
Q7. Consider the cost of production (C) and production technology constraint of a …rm that
produces output (y) using capital (K) and labour (L) inputs
394
C = rK + wL (1788)
y=K L (1789)
Terms w and r represent wage and interest rate respectively and …rm sells output at price p.
1. Write the pro…t function for this …rm and a Langrangian to maximise pro…t
subject to the technology constraint.
Q8. Consider a moral hazard insurance model with an insurance policy fp; B0 ; B1 ; :::::; BL g
where p is the insurance premium and B0 ; B1 ; :::::; BL denote the bene…ts provided by the insurance
company against loss l. Normally the insurance company can observe the loss but not the level of
accident avoidance e¤ort (e) of the customer. The problem of the insurance company is:
L
X
max p l (e) Bl (1790)
e;p;B0 ;B1 ;:::::;BL
l=0
395
17 Tutorials in Advanced Microeconomics
17.1 Tutorial 1:Consumers’problem
1. What are the properties of a utility function? Find demands functions for x1 and x2 solving
the consumer’s optimisation problem in following:
max u = x1 x2 (1793)
subject to budget constraint:
2x1 + 4x2 = a (1794)
Prove that demand for xi is ratios of partial derivative of indirect utility function (u) to price
xi and income in the following problem
Show that utility e¤ect of price changes will be higher for the commodity that is heavily weighted
in the consumer’s consumption basket.
Prove that the indirect utillity function ful…lls following properties.
Continuous
Homegenous of degree zero in (p; y)
Strictly increasing in y
Decreasing in p
Quasiconvex in p and y.
Roy’s identity
3. Derive generic demand functions for consumers and examine their properties in the
following problem.
Consumer optimisation:
p:x y (1796)
M ax U = x1 x2 + =1 (1797)
X;Y
Subject to
m = p1 x1 + p2 x2 (1798)
396
1. Derive the demand functions for both x1 and x2 and associated indirect utility function.
2. Formulate the dual of this problem and derive the expenditure function.
@E @L
3. Prove the Shephard Lemma that, @pi = @pi = xi (p1 ; p2 ; m):
4. Prove Roy’s identity.
5. Decompose the total price e¤ect into the compensated (Hicksian) and uncompensated (Mar-
shallian) demand functions using the Slutskey equation.
6. Prove numerically Shephard Lemma,Roy’s identity and Slutskey equation when 0:5; =
0:5 and M =200.
Q2. Answer all above questions for a CES utility function as given below
1
M ax u(x; y) = [ x + (1 )y ] (1799)
x;y
Subject to
x + py y = m (1800)
1
Note that the elasticity of substituion and are linked as: =1 ; px = 1:
397
17.3 Tutorial 3: Dual of the producer’s problem
Q1. A …rm’s objective is to minimise cost (C) taking prices of inputs (r; w) of K and L as given:
C = rK + wL (1801)
subject to
1
(x1 + x2 ) y (1804)
Show that solution is
h i 1
1 1
c (w; y) = y w1 + w2 (1805)
= py rK wL (1806)
Derive supply function and input demand function using Hotelling’s Lemma when technology
y = K 0:4 L0:4
@ (p; w)
y (p; w) = (1807)
@p
@ (p; w)
xi (w; p) = (1808)
@w
398
17.4 Tutorial 4: Markets, Price War and Stability Analysis
Q1. Market demand fuction is given by
P = 30 q1 q2 (1809)
Cost function
Ci = 6qi (1810)
Pro…t:
i = P qi Ci (1811)
Solve this duopoly model for market price P;quantities produced (q1 ; q2 );revenue (R1 ; R2 ); cost
(C1 ; C2 ) pro…t ( 1 ; 2 );consuer surplus (CS1 ; CS2 ) and welfare cost, W under following market
conditions:
1. Cournot duopoly.
2. Stackelberg leader- follower model
3. Cartel
4. Perfect competition (Bertrand price competition model).
Summarise all results in one table.
Q2. Two rival …rms are competing for a market by engaging in a price war; for 0 < < 1 and
0< <1
Price set by the …rst …rm against price of the rival xt
p = qD qS (1815)
where demand is q D = a + bp; and supply is q S = mN
p = (a + bp mN ) >0 (1816)
There is free entry and exit of …rms
N = (p c) >0 (1817)
Find the continuous dynamic time path for two prices p(t) and N (t) and examine convergence
towards the steady state.
Example based on Hoy et al. (2001) Mathematics for Economics, MIT Press.
399
17.5 Tutorial 5: Ricardian General Equilibrium Trade Model
Consider a two good-two country Ricardian pure exchange economy. Preferences in country 1 are
expressed by its utility function in consumption of good 1 and 2 , C11 and C21 respectively:
1 1
1
max U 1 = C11 C21 (1818)
Income of country 1 is obtained from the wage income in sector 1 and sector 2 plus the transfers
to country 1
Assuming price in country one as a numeraire p1 = 1 solve this model for demand C11 ; C12 C21 ; C22 levels
of output under complete specialisation (X1 ; X2 ) ;level of employment (L1 ; L2 ) ;level of utility U;
relative price of commodity two p2 . Compare these results to an autarky. Put solutions into the
tables given below.
Analytical solutions for trade equilibrium under specialisation
400
Table 89: Parameters of the Autarky Model
a1 a2 L
country 1 0.4 5 2 200
country 2 0.6 2 5 400
max U = C l(1 )
(1826)
Subject to time and budget constraints:
l + hs = 1 (1827)
pc = whs + (1828)
c > 0; hs > 0;and l > 0;
where c is consumption,l is leisure and hs is labour supply, p is the price of the commodity, w
is the wage rate is the pro…t from owning the …rm.
Maximisation problem for the representative …rm can be states as:
= py whd (1829)
subject to technology constraint as:
y = (hs ) (1830)
y > 0; h > 0;
d
where y is the output supplied by the …rm and hd is its demand for labour.
401
Table 91: Comparing Employment and Welfere under Specialisation and Autarky
Employment Uitlity
Autarky Trade Autarky Trade
L1 L2 L1 L2 U U
6. Compute the real wage that brings goods and labour market in equilibrium.
7. What is the equilibrium quantity of c or y?
8. What is the equilibrium quantity of l and h?
9. Formulate the problem with sales and income tax. Discuss qualitatively the macroeconomic
impacts of (a) switching completely to the sales taxes or (b) to labour income taxes or to (c)
capital income tax.
Q2. Equilibrium with production (x; y)=(x1; x2; :::::xm ; y1; y2; :::::ym ) for consumer i = 1; ; ; m
and producer j =1,.,. n
A possible allocation for consumers and producers satisfying following:
Consumption set: xi 2 X
Production possibility set: yi 2 Y
Pm P
m P
n
Resource balance condition: xi = ei + yj
i=1 i=1 j=1
P
n
Wealth of the consumer: wi (p) = p:e1 + i;j j (p)
j=1
Supply correspondence: sj (p) = fyi 2 Yj : y 0 2 Yj =) p:y > py 0 g
Pm P
n
Excess demand correspondence: Z (p) = (di (p) e1 ) sj (p)
i=1 j=1
A competitive equilibrium is a pair of prices, demand and supply (p; (x; y)) with a p vector inRl
and x 2 di (p)for consumer i to m, and yj 2 sj (p)for …rms j to n and where the excess demand is
zero in equilibrium.
Now consider a Robinson Crusoe economy
Commodity space: R2 (leisure and food)
Consumer characteristic: Xi = R2+
Endowment: ei = (24; 0)
Preference relation: i U (L; F n= LF
p o
Producer characteristics: ; Yj ( L; F ) : L 0; F L
p
where F = L is the production function.
Solve this model for price vector, demand vector and the output vector.
402
17.7 Tutorial 7:Monopoly and monopolistic competition and taxes
1. Consider monopoly and oligopoly models given below.
Monopoly model:
Pro…t function of a monopolist with taxes
= PQ TC T (1831)
P =a bQ (1832)
total cost with marginal cost c and …xed cost f
T C = cQ + f (1833)
Tax revenue
T = tQ (1834)
Oligopoly model
There are i = 1,..., N …rms in the market
Market supply
n
X
Q= qi (1835)
i=1
T Ci = (c + t) qi (1837)
Tax revenue
T = tQ (1838)
Pro…t of a particular …rm in oligopoly is:
n
!
X
1 = P q1 (c + t) q1 = a b qi q1 (c + t) q1
i=1
n
!
X
= a b qi q1 bq12 (c + t) q1 (1839)
i=2
Prove that revenue maximising tax rate is the same for both monopoly or oligopoly.
Market structure does not matter for it.
403
Q2. Consider a tripoly market where only three …rms supply to the market. Conjectural
variation one …rm against another matter for pricing and output decisions and have impact on
pro…ts.
P =a bQ = a b (q1 + q2 + q3 ) (1840)
C i = ci q i (1841)
1 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q1 C1 (1842)
2 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q2 C2 (1843)
3 = [a b (q1 + q2 + q3 )] q3 C3 (1844)
Solve for output and pro…t of each …rms and market price in equilibrium.
Q3. Consider a tripoly market with the following demand, cost function and conjectural varia-
@qi
tion for each …rm to be one as @q j
=1
P =a bQ = a b (q1 + q2 + q3 ) (1845)
Ci = cqi (1846)
Solve for output and pro…t of each …rms and market price in equilibrium.
404
17.8 Tutorial 8:Moral Hazard and Insurance
Q1 Honesty is the best policy in Vickery auction; truth telling is a winning strategy. Prove it.
Q2 Project B earns more but is riskier than project A. Probability of success of projects A and
B are given by a and b respectively.
a. Illustrate how the rate of interest rate should be lower in project A than in project B in
equilibrium?
b. Probability of types A and B agents is given by pa and pb respectively. Prove under the
asymmetric information, a lender charging a pooling interest rate is unfair to the safe borrower A
and more generous to the risky borrower B.
c. How can agent signal its worth? How can the lender ascertain the degree of moral hazard
in B?
Q3 Consider a moral hazard insurance model with an insurance policy fp; B0 ; B1 ; :::::; BL g where
p is insurance premium and B0 ; B1 ; :::::; BL denote the bene…t from the insurance company
against loss l. Normally the insurance company can observe the loss but not the level of
accident avoidance e¤ort (e) of the consumer. The problem of the insurance company is:
L
X
max p l (e) BL (1847)
e;p;B0 ;B1 ;:::::;BL
l=0
L
X L
X
l (e) u (w p l + BL ) d (e) l (e0 ) u (w p l + BL ) d (e0 ) u (1849)
l=0 l=0
1. Show that it is Pareto optimal to do full insurance under symmetric information when the
insurance company can observe the level of e¤orts of the consumer.
2. How could the insurance company design an e¢ cient contract to induce e¤orts to minimise
cost under the assymetric information? Is full insurance still optimal?
Q4. A monopolistic …rm engages in non-linear pricing scheme with its two types of customers
f H ; L g; where H is an index of the valuation that high value customers put in its product
and L is that of the low value customers. Non-linear price scheme is to set tarrifs (T ) and
output (q) in such a way that maximises …rm’s pro…t by designing price scheme appropriate
to these consumers. Utility function (u) of consumers in generic form is:
405
u = V (q) T (1850)
0 00
V (q) > 0 and V (q) < 0; T is the tarrif paid by the customer. With marginal cost c …rm’s
pro…t ( ) is
=T cq (1851)
Participation constraint
What would be the expected pro…t if the high value type customer defects to the
low value type customer?
Show how the …rm could reduce the size of qL to make high value customer to
stick to its qH .
Prove that price discrimation in this manner favours high value customer more
than the low value customer.
406
17.9 Tutorial 9:Coalition, Bargaining, Signalling, Contract, Auction and
Mechanism
1 Consider Four Players A,B,C,D. How many coalitions are possible? Empty core.
1. Prove that a risk averse person loses but the risk neutral person gains in the bargaining.
0:5
Suppose the utility functions of risk averse person is given by u2 = (m2 ) but the risk
neutral person has a linear utility u1 = m1 . m1 + m2 = M ; u1 + u22 = 100:
2. Consider a three player (1,2,3) game in which the 3rd player always brings more to the
coalition than the 1st or the 2nd player.
Payo¤ for coalition of empty set: v ( ) = 0
Payo¤ from players acting alone: v (1) = 0; v (2) = 0; v (3) = 0 ;
Payo¤ from alternative coalitions: v (1; 2) = 0:1; v (1; 3) = 0:2; v (2; 3) = 0:2;
Payo¤ from the grand coalition: v (1; 2; 3) = 1
Power of individual i in the coalitions is measured by the di¤erence that person makes in the
value of the game v (S [ fig v (S)) = 1 , where S is the subset of players excluding i, S [ fig is
the subset including player i. X
Compute the Shapley value of the game for each player. [hint : i = n (S) v (S [ fig v (S)) ; n (S) =
S2N
s!(n s 1)
n! ]
4 Prove equivalence of core in games and core in general equilibrium.
5 Given the market demand and cost functions
P = 24 0:5q C = 12q (1858)
more productive worker is worth 70000 and less productive worker is worth 30000 and =0.5
then the average wage rate will be 50000. Prove separtating equilibrium is more e¢ cient than
the pooling equilibrium and that it is worth for high quality workers to signal their quality
by the standard of their education.
407
8 Consider a situation of lender that has two potential borrowers. Borrower type 1 has a
high yielding project than the borrower type 2. It is however not clear to the lender, the
principal, which one of the two borrowers is more productive. Faced with this situation
the principal is left with two options. Easy option would be to treat both borrowers in
the same way and charge the same rate of interest rate to both of them. Such pooling
strategy is not e¢ cient because the type 2 borrower does not have enough incentive to put
in extra e¤orts in the project. It creates disincentive to be more productive borrower. Part
of the market disappears. The second more e¢ cient option is to design a contract that
guarantees a separating equilibrium. For this the lender needs to design a mechanism that
ful…ls participation and incentive compatibility constraints.
Principal’s objective function:
Here Ri is measures the returns to principal from borrower i and Bi the bene…t to the investor
i from that.
2
Utility function of agent 1: U1 = B1 (R1 ) given that or R1 = 3B1 simply B1 = R31 .
2
Utility function of agent 2: U2 = B2 (R2 ) given that orR2 = B2 .
a. Formulate participation constraints for both borrowers
b. formulate incentive compatible constraits
c. Determine the binding constraints.
d. solve the game and determine the level of utility for all players in equilibrium.
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17.10 Tutorial 10: E¢ ciency and Social Welfare
Q1 Illustrate e¢ ciency conditions in allocations of resources
a. When consumers’utility function is given by U (X; Y ) and the production possibility frontier
is T (X; Y ):
b. E¢ ciency of production when
K1 + K2 = K (1862)
L1 + L2 = L (1863)
c. Prove that e¢ cient provision of public goods require that the sum of the marginal rate of
substitution equals the marginal cost of provision of public good with a two consumer economy in
which consumers like to maximise utility by consuming private (x) and public goods (G)
x1 + x2 + c (G) = w1 + w2 (1866)
Q2 There are two people living in an economy. For simplicity assume that a …xed amount of
output of 200 is produced each year. Entire
p output is consumed
p in the same year. Utility of
individual 1 and 2 is represented by U1 = Y1 and U2 = 12 Y2 .
(a) What is the utility received by each individual if the output is divided equally between
these two people? What is the output received by each if it is distributed so that each
of them gets the same amount of the utility?
(b) What is the distribution of output that maximises the total utility for the whole economy?
(c) If person 2 needs utility 5 in order to survive how should the output be distributed?
1 1
(d) Suppose that the authorities like to maximise the social welfare function W = U12 U22 ,
how should the output be distributed between them?
Q3 An economy is inhabited by type 1 and type 2 people. The type 1 is more productive than
the type 2. Policy makers encourage productive people by assigning a greater weight to
the utility of more productive people. They aim to maximise the social welfare function:
3 1
W = U14 U24 where W is the index of the social welfare, U1 represents the utility of type
1 people and U2 is the utility of type 2 people. For simplicity assume that resources of
this economy produce a given level of output Y. It is consumed either by 1 or by 2 type
people. Market
p clearing condition implies:
p Y = Y1 + Y2 . Preferences for type 1 are given
by U1 = Y1 and for type 2 by U2 = Y2 . In a given year total output, Y, was 1000 billion
pounds.
409
(a) What is the distribution of output between type 1 and type 2 that maximises the social
welfare index? What is the maximum value of the social welfare index of this economy?
(b) What would have been the allocation if policy makers had given equal weight to the
1 1
utility of both types of people in the economy such as W = U12 U22 . By how much does
the welfare index change in this case than compared to the social welfare in (a) above?
(c) How would the social welfare index change in (a) if a tax rate of 20 percent is imposed
in consumption and the tax receipts are not given back to any of these consumers? How
much would the value of social welfare index be in this case?
3 1
e. Assume that the policy makers still hold the welfare function to be W = U14 U24 . How
would the social welfare index change in (c ) if all tax receipts are transferred to type 1
people?
R = P Y =) dR = Y dP + P dY
Quotient Rule
Y L dY Y dL dY dL Y
y= =) =
L L2 L L L
Chain Rule
2 @W
W = Y2+L =) =2 Y2+L 2Y = 4Y Y 2 + L
@Y
= P L K1 wL rK
First order conditions for pro…t maximization.
1
L = PL K (1 )
w=0
K = (1 )PL K r=0
Hessian determinants should be positive Second order derivatives:
2
LL = ( 1) P L K (1 )
410
2
LK = (1 )PL K( )
1
K;K = (1 )PL K
K;L = (1 )PL K
Hessian determinant:
LL LK ( 1) P L 2 K (1 )
(1 ) P L 2K ( )
= 1
K;L K;K (1 )PL K (1 )PL K
H1 = j LL j <0
LL LK
H2 = >0
K;L K;K
H1 = j LL j >0
LL LK
H2 = <0
K;L K;K
for minimum.
Exercise:
1. Consider a cost function for a …rm.
f (x1 x2 ; ) = 0
and
g (x1 x2 ; ) = 0
be implicitly related to each other. By total di¤erentiation:
@f @f @f
dx1 + dx2 + d =0
@x1 @x2 @
@g @g @g
dx1 + dx2 + d =0
@x1 @x2 @
411
@f @f @f
dx1 + dx2 = d
@x1 @x2 @
@g @g @g
dx1 + dx2 = d
@x1 @x2 @
" # " #
@f @f @f
@x1 @x2 dx 1 @
@g @g = @g
@x @x
dx1 @
1 2
d
" # 1 " #
@f @f @f
dx1 @x1 @x2 @
= @g @g @g d
dx2 @x1 @x2 @
@f @f
@ @x2
@g @g d
@ @x2
dx1 = @f @f
@x1 @x2
@g @g
@x1 @x2
The numerator is called the Jacobian determinant; a solution for this model exists in the presence
of the Jacobian.
@L (x1 x2 ; )
= f1 + g1 = 0
@x1
@L (x1 x2 ; )
= f2 + g2 = 0
@x2
@L (x1 x2 ; )
= g (x1 x2 ) = 0
@
Second order conditions (bordered Hessian Determinant)
412
L1;1 = f11 + g11 = 0
g1 LLL 0 g1 0 g1
D = H = g2 LL2 +L22 = g2 (g1 L2;1 g2 LLL ) LL2 g1 g2 +L22 ( g1 g2 )
g2 L2;1 g2 L2;1 g1 L1;1
:::::::
L0 = l1 X1 + l2 X2 + ::: + :: + ln Xn
K0 = k1 X1 + k2 X2 + ::: + :: + kn Xn
Input-output model for this system involve solving the output for each sectors in terms of the
vectors of the …nal demand and the technology coe¢ cient matrix:
413
2 3 2 3 1 2 3
X1 1 a11 a12 : a1n F1
6 X2 7 6 a22 1 a22 : a2n 7 6 F2 7
6 7=6 7 6 7
4 : 5 4 : : : : 5 4 : 5
Xn an1 an2 : 1 ann Fn
Or in the matrix notation
1
X = (I A) F
where X and F are n 1 vectors of output and the …nal demand and I is the identity matrix of
order n n and A is the n nmatrix of the Leontief technology coe¢ cients.
The explicit solution of the above model is obtained either by application of the Cramer’s rule or
by the matrix inverse method in which
1 1
(I A) = adj ((I A))
j(I A)j
and then with the matrix multiplication (note the order of resulting from the matrix multiplication
n n n 1 = n 1. To illustrate the case of Cramer’s rule for X1
F1 a12 : a1n
F2 1 a22 : a2n
: : : :
Fn an2 : 1 ann
X1 =
1 a11 a12 : a1n
a22 1 a22 : a2n
: : : :
an1 an2 : 1 ann
The above solution can be applied to all other sectors.
No where in the above solution is explicitly mentioned that above system is also an optimal
solution in a linear programming problem. In fact it can be proved that the above solution generated
by an input-output model is equivalent to a solution given by the optimisation process with a linear
programming. The above problem need to be restated including an objective function such as the
minimising the requirement of labour or capital input in the following way.
Minimize
L0 = l1 X1 + l2 X2 + ::: + :: + ln Xn
Subject to the resource balance constraint
:::::
414
Xn an;1 X1 + an;2 X2 + ::: + :: + an;n Xn + Fn
or taking the Leontief inversion a constraint.
2 3 2 3 1 2 3
X1 1 a11 a12 : a1n F1
6 X2 7 6 a22 1 a22 : a2n 7 6 F2 7
6 7 6 7 6 7
4 : 5 4 : : : : 5 4 : 5
Xn an1 an2 : 1 ann Fn
and non-negativity constraint: X1 0, X2 0,.., Xn 0. These constraints can be read
either horizontally or vertically. When read horizontally they describe the feasibility set in n n
Euclidean space. From the algebra of metric space or vector space the optimal point is obtained at
the maximum of these feasible sets. The objective function
L0 = l1 X1 + l2 X2 + ::: + :: + ln Xn
gives the isobar hyperplane to produce the optimal output of n sectors as given by
X = X1 ; X1 ; ::::; Xn
where Xi is the optimal output.
When read vertically columns of the above constraint matrix represent activity for that sector.
Then
1
X (I A) F
is spanned in n n metric space of …nal demand, The solution is contained in the convex polyhedral
set with F1 , F1 , . . . , Fn giving the convex cone of n dimension.
415