Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 20

SELECTION AND POLYMORPHISM IN THE A-B-O

~t~i
BLOOD GROUPS

ALICE M. BRUES
'fmc SCALP IN HEALTH AND DISEASE. By Howard T. Behrman. University ot Ok!ahorna School ot Med'icine
C. V. Mosby Company, St. Louis. 566 pp. 1952.- In "The Scalp
in Health and Disease" Dr. Behrman has written a thoroughly up-to­
T'VO F'IGURES
date text. Admittedly expensive ($12.75), it contains 512 drawings
and photographs and a large number of references, including over
500 on the embryology, anatomy, and physiology of the hair, the skin After many years of discussion and delmte about the racial
glands, and alopecia. distribution of the A-B-O blood groups, several questions still
'l'hongh many sections are fascinating in themselves, and Doctor have not been answered to the satisfaction of all students.
Behrman's stand on detergent rinses, lotions, and hair dressings is
Three of the questions are purely historical: (1) At the point
,commendably frank, the chapters on male pattern balding and the nor­
mal anatomy and physiology of the hair should prove of major interest 'where the line of human descent diverged irrevocably from
to anthropologists. In discussing male pattern balding the work of all others, did it carry one, two, or all three of the A-B-O
J. B. Hamilton is followed in detail, though some space is allotted allelomorphs ~ (2) If not all of the genes were part of the
to Yonng's fat-loss theory of balding and the multiple-factor Szasz­ basic human inheritance, which are the more recent muta­
Robinson hypothesis is reviewed. The latter, it may be recalled, in­
tions ~ (3) Have these more recent mutations occurred as
vokes genes, hormones, fat, scalp muscles and muscular tensions
arising out of the cnltural context. unique events, or has eaell recurred from time to time in
Chapter 1 (100 pages), devotee! to the anatomy and physiology various populations '? The 4th question is functional, though
of hair, inclndes a comparison of the pilons systems of rodents and closely related to the historical questions: (4) Is there any
men, and summarizes some of the work of Kneberg, Steggerda, Trotter, selective valne attached to the A-B-O blood group genes or
Danforth and others. Pilometric studies are discussed, and the Copley
to the genotypes formed by them '?
pilometer is described. 'fhe molecular structure of hair and the
alpha-beta keratin shift are also considered, as are the recent studies To these questions the present paper proposes to add a
on the red hair pigments by Rothman and Flesch. In discussing the 5th, which must be considered relevant to the others: (5) vVhy
role of hormonal secretions on hair growth, Speert's work on topical has only a small part of the possible range of A-B-O blood
applications has not been employed to advantage, and much basic group frequencies been realized by now existing races ~ At
information on nntritional achromotrichia has been displaced in favor
of clinical studies. However, this book is directed primarily at the
first glance this may seem an unreasonable question, like
clinician, who in turn may care less for those sections that will inter­ asking why there are upper and lower limits to human body
,est anthropologists most. size; but in respect to characteristics which have been fre­
quently assumed to lack any selectlve value, the question
becomes an interesting one. Figure la, adapted from a com­
pilation by ·Wiener ('4-3) shows graphically the distribution
of 215 representative human populations all checked for con­
sistency by the equations of Bernstein. Our adaptation shows
559
PER CENT OF GENE A 561
SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS
o0 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
-- u o
6 7 1 2 4
only the number of series reported in each group range, so
3 3 2 I 1
that it represents various races somewhat in proportion to
I ) 4 7 10 the number of times thcy have been studied, although dupli­
~
10
1 2
" 7 1 1 1
cating and repetitious values have been largely eliminated
z: 8 13 15 16 8 1 by the original compiler. Since the principal value of the
~ IS
figure is to demonstrate the outside limits of variation so
o I 4 13 10 9 2
.... 20 far recorded, a further checlc was made on the accompanying
z:
~

'-' 2 9 6 2
tahular series of 351 populations, and a few at or near the
~ 25 limits of variation were added,' No further data were in­
....
2 7 6 2 1 serted, since the sampling seemed snfiiciently broad in its
30 ~
coverage to define the runge of variation for our prcscnt
I 2 2
35 purposes. In order to present the distribution in proper
perspective, which is u:-mally not done for space-saving rea­
40 sons, figure 1b has been prepared to show the outlines of the
Fig. In QuantitatiYe distribution of 215 represeutative human populations ill "inhabited portion" of the A-B-O gene frequency range, in
respect to f"eqllencies of the A-B-O blood gronp genes. proportion to the total possible range for the genes. It will
be seen tha t a bout four-fifths of the possible range is vacant
PER CENT OF GENE A

100
or nearly so.
Certain generalizations arJOut the distribution may he made.
The 0 gene is rarely reduced below 50%, and then only by a
.
I
small amount. In the absence or near-absence of the A gene, '
the B gene usually remains low. In the absence or near­
a hS811Ce of the B gene, the pereentages of the genes A and
o are rather widely distributed, from zero to 50'10 A. Where
the frequency of the B gene is high, on the other hand, the
~
z:
.u range in respect to 0 and A is more restricted, centering
""
~ around 20% gene A. There 8eems no way in which the pecu­
o
....z: liarities of this distributiou can be explained in terms of
~

'-' random independent fluctuations of the A, B, and 0 genes; t


there appeal' to be some correlative factors acting between i
~

....
~

them. This lllUSt be explained either 11y particnlar historical


circnmstance or by the assumption that selective factors
operate to mal,e certain areas of the chart" uninhabitable."
The nature of the limiting faetors which have resulted in
1 1,Vc ,have COllcurred with ,ricuer in elirniu3ting one Tibetan series, with gross

100 inc-onsistenc)' between A, B, alld AB frequencies, whicll would have showed a


Fig;. 1b I~irnits of the world range in A-R-O blood group frequencies, in I"ela­ frequency of gene 0 lower th~ll any group here included.
tiOll to the eomp]ete possible mnge.

560
562 ALICE M. BRDES SELECTION IN BLOOD GHOUPS 563

the world distribution we now have must be such as to counter­ cal literature it is well to recapitulate. The genes present in "
act genetic drift, which will always tend to diversify popu­ any generation of a given group represent a statistical sam­
lations and break down limits ~mch as appear in figure l. pling of the genes present in the germ cells of the previous
The following discussion will therefore include both nega­ genera tion. Wi thin certain slight limitations (due to the fact.
tive and positive arguments. Historical reconstructions based that there is a maximum practicable family size in the species) b.,>
on the assumption that the A-B-O genes lack selective value, these genes represent a random sample of the statistical 'I
which include a variety of hypotheses regarding the origin universe defined by the gene frequencies of the previous I
and relative antiquity of the three genes, must be examined generation. The va~'iance of such a sample may be calculated I
to see wlJether they can satisfactorily account for the present by the formula ylNp<i. In a tribe with an average comple­
ranges uf frequency of the three genes. To some extent the ment of 1,000 individuals (2,000 genes of any given set of
geogra phical distrihution of the genes, especially B, so often allelomorphs) a 255Yr' frequency of any gene in one generation
discussed before, must be reviewed again. Then it will he will hecome 25 -+- .65% in the second generation. This vari­
necessary to detenl1ine whether a hypothesis involving selec­ ance is cunmlative, so that as time goes on the distribution '"­
tive factors can explain these data more satisfactorily. This of possible future values derived from the starting point
will require the preparation of a mathematical model of a of 251'0 frequency acquires a progressively higher probable
selective system, into which must be incorporated any direct error. Hence in any population which breaks up into isolated
evidence now at hand for selective effects involving the A-B-O subgroups, the gene frequencies of the subgroups will become
genes. First, however Wl, must consider genetic drift, muta­ progressively more dispersed as time goes on; and if the
tion, and selection, particularly as they may apply to the total population is small and the subgroups few, any inference
blood group genes and as they have been invoked in the past as to the original gene freqnencies will be uncertain in pro­
to explain the polymorphism of the human species in respect portion to the smallness of the population and the lengt11 of
to this gene system. time elapsed. This means unfortunately that the affinities of
some most interesting groups, Lapps, Bushmen, Congo Pyg­
GENE'rIC DRIFT
mies, etc., are perhaps beyond the reach of valid deduction
'llhe effect of genetic drift 11roducing random variations from blood group evidence, though much attention has been
between fragments of races, where population numbers are given to them. Later increase in size will not reverse any )-.,
smnll, is certainly suhstantial in respect to the blood groups, peculiarities acquired while a group is small.
often in contrast to tIle apparent stability of a comhination 'fhe effects of genetic drift are strongly evident in respect
of other traits. This has been interpreted, according to the to the A-B-O gene frequencies within populations otherwise
prejudice of the observer, either as indicating that other distinet and relatively homogeneous. :H'igures for a few se­
traits are standardized by some form of selection (Boyd, lected groups, in which isolatiou or low population numbers
'50) or that because of their multiple rather than simple are favorable to drift, speak for themselves. Frequencies of
genetic determination they are less susceptible to the random the A gene only are given, since B will be discussed later
fluetua tions of single genes (Birdsell, '50). Genetic drift has with emphasis on factors other than drift. 'l'he North Ameri­
been delicately cl(!fined in mathematical term~ by "¥rigllt' and can Indians are of course outstanding for bracketing the
others; ("Wright, '49, '51; Dobzhansky, '41, '50) but since it entire world range of A gene frequency from 0-54%; and
has somet imes heen l'a ther poorly descrihed in an thropologi- though they undoubtedly began with some diversity of strains,
564 ALICE l\L BRUES
SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 565
there is no indication that this is directly correlated with the
would have been realized by some now existing group. If
present differences. Other groups which are reasonably homo­
we attempt to explain the control of genetic drift in the blood­
geneous in morphological features but show a large range
groups by assuming continual back-crossing of human strains,
in A-gene frequencies are Pre-Dravidians, with an A-gene
we cannot account for the maintenance of the other racial
range of 34% between various subgroups; Eskimos, with a
differences. "Ye might express this phenomenon in the form
range of 32%, Polynesians, with 28%, Australians with 24%, of a rather unorthodox equation;
and Ainu with 17%. Of course the comment may be made 2~% diffeI:ence in frequen~~e>J'A gene = Xo/0tliff~J'ence_in f...,qlleucy of A gcne
that various subgroups of the populations cited above have maximum difference between Rny two difference between Australians and
been subject to influence from different admixtures. But Australian tribes in otl1er features any other race in other fea tllres
where the range between subgroups of a principal group is
X, which would represent the potential world rang'e for
half or more of the total world range (as in the first 4 cases
the A gene, could clearly go up to 100% (or more) without
cited) it is not possible to find supposed mixing groups ex­
violating the terms of the equation. It appears then that a
treme enongh in A-B-O frequencies to produce this diversity. disproportion exists between the development of local and
In marked contrast also are the rather mild gradients of total diversity in regard to blood groups, with a total world
A-B-O frequency found within continental European nation­ range of blood group frequencies somewhat restricted as
alities or between adjacent ones. In these cases we know of
compared to what might be expected on the basis of local
admixtures and infiltrations from different directions as his­ condi tions.
torical facts; yet, in the presence of high population densities
in this area, the diversity of gene frequency is very low com­ ORIGINS 01" 'fHE A-B-O GENBS
pared to the examples cited above. '11 he evidence for the vigor
The question of the present average range of human popu- "\
of genetic drift under more primitive conditions is so con­
lations in respect to the A-B-O blood group has always been !
vincing as to be disturbing. If it has acted so strongly even
closely involved with hypotheses regarding the time of orig'in i
after the formation of certain races and sub races as we now
of the three allelomorphs. An early explanation assumed that I
know them, why has it not produced, during the whole period
only one of the genes, 0, was present in the original human
of the differentiation of the species, often under conditions
stock, and that the other two" arose" and" spread" at dif­
of isolation and smallness of numbers more marked than
ferent times from a hypothetical diffusion center for the
have existed subsequently, a range of variation much greater
species, thereby producing the general pattern of distribution
than we now see'? "Ve can hardly assume that A-B-O gene
now seen. U nfortuna tely the words "arose" and "spread,"
frequencies remained stable during the period when other
which roll so easily off the tongue or pen, are in the nature
fundamental racial differences were developing, only to scatter
of genetical time-bombs. :Hany things have been calculatcd
centrifugally by genetic drift after the other racial differences
about the future of a new-born mutation. Its situation at
had been clearly developed; this would virtually imply higher
the beginning is precariolls in respect even to mere survival,
population densities at the earlier period than at the later.
and even if by favorable chance it manages to arrive at a
But if the present scatter within racial groups such as cited
level of frequency which preve.nts its actual loss in some
above is projected over the whole period of racial differen­
generation, its chances of becoming abundant are very slight,
tiation, with nothing to control it, it would seem that nearly
unless it possesses some selective advantage. It may persist
every possible percentage distribution of the A-B-O genes
as a constant minority in a large group, or achieve a fairly
566 ALICE M. BRUES
SELECTION IN BLOOD GlWUPS 567
high percentage value in a small group, but its absolute num­
The basic difficulty is that the word "spread" as applied
bers are likely to remain small indefinitely. The parallel
to a gene, whether the user so intends or not, implies selective
frequently cited of newer or mOl'e progressive traits" spread­
advantage of some kind.
ing" froIl! centers, in the evolution of other genera or orders
Numerous variations on this general scheme have been
is an entirely proper one as regards the behavior of a muta­
proposed. One attempts to explain the building up of the
tion of positive selective value; it cannot properly be applied
A and B genes, without selective advantage, by assuming
to a mutation which we choose to consider entirely neutral
in value. One explanation which recognized this difficulty that the mutations occurred repeatedly; this of course does
attributed the eventual fn~quencies attained by genes A and not explain the existence of geographical difference in eli s­
B to the fact that the entil'e species, at the time the mutations trilmtion unless a particular mutation occurred repeatedly
occnrred, consi~d of so few individuals that chance alone in one p01JUlation without occurring in another. Since this
could bring the new genes up to appreciable percentages. virtually assumes a pre-existing genetic difference predispos­
'1'he geographical distribution was accounted for by supposing ing to the occurrence of a particular mutation, it puslICs the
that A "m'ose" very shortly before the first invasion of the prohlem hack one step without explaining it. A similar theory
New ,Vodd, so that the invading groups carried a small speaks of "precursors" of genes fl'Clln which the final mu­
amount of it, and subsequently" spread," i.e. increased its tations OCCUlTed to produce the gene::; as we now know them.
percentage value, in the population remaining in the Old However, for historical purpo::;es, ancl to explain the geo­
'Vorld. If this" spread" in the Old ,Vorld occurred purely graphical distrihution of the A-B-O genes at the present time,
by genetic drift, we must assume that the basic immigration it little matters whether at a given moment in the past a gene
into the New ,Vorld was accomplished while the nucleus of existed as a predisposition to mutate, as a "l)recnrsor," or
the human species in the Old ,Yorld still consisted of a few a::; the real thing; the problem of explaining the geographical
thousand ilHlividuals. In regard to the development of B, distribution of the genes remains the same.
which would appear by all evidence to have come later, the The notion of repeated mutations has sometimes been ap­
situation is even more paradoxical. :\Tow a fairly well popu­ plied in a more logical way, by a::;::;lllning that the mutations
lated wodd is assumed, with the corners of the Old 'World occurred more or less at random in various populations,
and the New filled with the genes A and 0 in various pro­ sometimes becoming extinguished, sometimes hanging on, and
portions, while somewhere in Asia a small group in some way occasionally multiplying with isolation and good luck. '1'his
isolated, developed a high percentage of the B gene purely would serve to explain some of the erratic behavior of the
by geuetic drift from a chance mutation. Then subsequently gene frequencie::;, such 3S the occasional B in the New 'Wodd;
tllis B-bearing gronp nlllltiplied explosively, expanded out­ undoubtedly the sporadic reCUlTence of the various lllutations
ward as the result of a SllIJposed "superior culture" and should be taken into consideration as a possibili ty regardless
eventually established the B gene in substantial amounts of how we propose to explain the broader aspects of A-B-O
throughout Asia, the Pacific Islands, Africa and Eastern gene distribution. However, if various mutations involving
Europe, till it constituted about 15 of the A-B-O genes of these genes have be-en oceuITing oceasionally throughout
the human species. It appears to the present author that this human history, it is probahle that they occurred early enough
plot is too much contrived, adjusting population size, degree to make all three forms, A, B, and 0, for practical purposes
of isolation, and even cultural advantage, to suit the case. coeval with the human species. The latter suppositiou is the
568
ALICE llL BRDES SELECTlON IN BLOOD GROUPS 569

basis for tIle other principal school of thought in regard to about 2070, developed maximal values of B, and produced
A-B-O gene distribution.
the peculiar triangular distrihution of figures 1a and Ib by
If it is assumed that all three allelomorphs wel"(~ present mixing' with a variety of B-Iess groups ranging from zero
! at the" birth" of the human species, the present geographical to 50;70 in gene A. This would account for the tendency of
( distributions are accounted for by relative degrees of gene the hig'h B groups to converge in respect to their pereentage
: loss in the early stages of dispen:Jion when communities were of the A gene. Whether the high-B group was the group in
small. The probahle starting point was set by Boyd (Schiff which the B gene originated or the one in which it solely
and Boyd, '42) at 25% A gene, 15% B g(me and 60% 0 gene remained after loss in other areas, does not affect the subse­
, - a present average for the species. Clearly, in the process of quent course of events. In considering the probable effects of
dispersion and genetic drift B is the most likely to be lost such mixture we must take into account two aspects of the
by some groups, A the next. It is assumed that a number proeess; the production of a basic fre(]llellcy of the B gene
of groups lost B, and that the B-Iess groups were in very intermediate between the mixing groups, in proper proportion
large part the ones which first populated the New ,Vorld, to the amount of mixture; then variations in the resulting
Australia and western Europe. (It should be noted that these hyhrids due to genetic drift in separate population fragments.
must have been not only small groups, but few groups, else '1'he present highest levels of the B gene (ca. 30%) include
some groups emiched in B hy genetic drift would have gone represelltatives of groups which are otherwise quite diveri:Je;
along to counteract the B-Iess groups.) The gcne n then Indians (including Pre-D ra vidians), Gypsies, Chinese, Indo­
remained only in the la rger (pl'eSllma bly) breeding group of nesians, classical Mongoloids of J'vlanehuria and Siberia, and
contil1elltal Asia where it was protccted from cxtinetion by Ainu. If we assume that these groups arose by the mixture
the size of the group in which it occurred. Then in some way of various gronps which lacked the B gene altogether, with
B, within this larger group, increased to frequencies of 20-30% a bypothetical "B-race," it is evident that even if the" B­
in one or more subgroups, which expanded outward and spread rac('" was 100ro saturated with the B gene, the amount of
B by mixture over a very extensive area. Since B is supposed common admixture in these cases would bave to be ahout
to have increased markedly in thl' larger central population, 3 °1'\:'. It seems most douhtfnl that a 100% saturation of the
which would be less subject to genetic drift, it might be pref­ B-gene could have been attained hy genetic drift alone in a
erable to start out with a primeval frequency of B nearer to population large enough subseqnently to modify the blood
its maximum in present groups than near its average. In gronp picture of the world OIl a COIl tinental scale. If the
regard to A this theory supposes that, being in the beginning "B-race" was lesi:J i:Jaturated with the gene B, the amount
commoner than B, it rC!lched all areas in reasonable amonnts, of mixture must have been still more. Of course, other repre­
there to give rise by genetic drift to a variety of combinations sentatives of the same groups mentioned above are much
with O.
lower in respect to B-gene frequency; Pre-Dravidians, for
,Vith regard to explaining the non-random features of the instance range down to 8% B gene, Indonesians to 110/<:,
total chart of frequencies, the two main approaches outlined classical Mongoloid to 12%, Ainu to 16;0. If these intra­
above (addition of genes by mutation, deleLion of genes by group differences were due to different amounts of admixture
drift) present very much tIle same aspect. In either case with the "B-racc," and if the amount of mixture involved
the result is best explained by assuming that at some time was in some cases 30%, or more, the" B-race" should have
in the past a particular group, with a frequency of the A gene produced a visible differentiation within these groups in other
570 ALICE l'vI. BRUES
SELEOTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 571
physical features; almost enough, one would suspect, to pre­
has offered this suggestion in explanation of the frequency
ven t them from ha ving' been considered" groups" in the first
of the B gene in Australia, which seems to him to be out of
place. (Ashman, who has explored the" B-l'ace" hypothesis
proportion to the amount of admixture which introduced it,
very carefully, has suggested that it had a 70%. frequency of
as, he adds succinctly, "in so many other areas of the world."
the B-gene. Thi~ would involve 50;0 admixture with it in
'rhe Ainu mig'hi represent a later stage of such a process,
some of tlw groups mentioned above.) 'rhe necessity of mas­
origina ting from the" infection" of an O-A population by a
sive amount" of mixture may lJe obviated if we assume that
relatively small B-bearing group. A selective advantage of
the groups involved bad retained a respectable amount of a
the B gene, even if slight, would eliminate numerous dilemmas
primeval B. But in reducing the assumed amount of admix­
of historical reconstruction which we have touched on above.
ture with the "B-race" we I'educe the standardizing effect Selection, however, bring's new prohlems. If the B gene is
of this mixture on tlw frequency of t11e A gene. By another
constantly and universally favored by selection, then all hu­
approach the necessity of assuming that different Ainu gTOUpS,
man populations containing it would be unstable as regards
for instance, received markedly different amounts of the
their A-B-O gene frequencies, and on the move in the direction
B-race without showing divL~rsity in other traits could be
of higher B. \Ve do not like to a"sume that we have happened
explained hy supposing that genetic drift has suhsequently
to observe the B gene in a short transitional period between
scattered various Ainu subdivisions which once Were alike
its absence and its univL~rsality, ami that the present maximum
in B gene frequency. But in this case the j\'-gene frequencies
B gene frequency of 3G% is only this millenium's maximum.
should also have become diverse as the result of drift, and
This sort of reasoning was no doubt responsible in part for
most markedly in those groups whose circumstances had
favored extreme drift in the direction of high B gene fre­
qnencies. Yet in fact all these highest-B groups tend to cluster
the now traditional view that the blood group genes are non­
selective, However, in more recent years a balanced type of
selection has been recognized, in which heterozygotes and \
I"
\

ahout 20% A gene, regardless of the greater diversity in A


homozygotes of the same g'ene have diffL,rent seledive values, i
frequencies of their low-B relatives, 'rhis was the phenomenon
so that the gene has selecti~e advantage at some percentage "
that thL' assumption of a single source of B, acting by mixture,
was supposed to explain.
levels and not at others. ThIS phenomenon termed "balanced i
polymorphism," which has been carefully studied by Ford J
Perhaps only one non-controversial thing may be said
and others, can actively maintain the coexistence of different .
abont ge1lC B; it appears that a very large proportion of the
allelomorphs, and wonld be capable of con trolling the extreme
B genes now in existence have radiated from a single area
vagm'ies of genetic drift. It does not now seem possible, as
of origin somewhere in Eastern Asia. 'l'his has been attributed
it did before the extent of genetic drift was appreciated, to
to the phenomenal expansion and mig'l'ation of some particu­
suppose that the coexistence of the genes A-B-O, within a
lar and orig'inally small population group. The fact that
limited range of frequencies, has been maintained passively
high B-gene levels cross-cut racial diffel'ences as distinct
for millennia by virtue of an absolute neutrality as reg'ards
as between Ainu and classical JHongoloid, however, strongly selective value.
suggests another hypothesis which most students have handled
gingerly if at all- namely that the B gene has a positive SRLECTlON ANn ITS CONSEQUENCES
seleetive value, and tends to increase disproportionately in
Recently the question of selection in the A-B-O blood groups
anygrollp which once hecomes infected with it. Birdsell ('50)
has been raised in a more concrete form. Waterhouse and
572 ALICE JlI. BItUES SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 573

Hogben, following a line of investigation first suggested by elimination of the genes A and 0, B, if present in the popu­
Hirszreld in 1925, have shown that selection against the lation, would passively profit. Anyone selective influence,
phenotype OA, of a very severe sort, takes place when the OA therefore, throws the whole A-B-O system into a state of
embryo develops in an 00 TllOther. The data which they have flux which demands some counter-selection to account for the
assembled show that only 75% as many A (OA) children are maintenance of the three genes in the percentages in which
born to 0 women with A husbands as to A women with 0 we commonly find them. '1'he most likely form of counter­
hushands, although the frequency of the two reciprocal types selection in the present case would be a straight selective
of marriage, and the relative per cents of OA and AA geno­ advantage in viability of the OA zygote (provided he survived
types included under the phenotype A, would be the same the hazards of incompatibility). This however cannot be an
for- any population or combination of populations. The effect exact antidote at all gene frequency levels. Straight selective
is shown in defici(JIlcy of recorded fertile matings, deficiency advantage of OA would increase the number of OAs in direct
of total number of children produced, and deficiency of A proportion to the nnmlJer expected to be produced in a given
children produced. They estimate therefore that 25% of the genera lion; elimina tion by incompatibility decreases the num­
OA embryos exposed to this risk are eliminated, apparently ber of OAs in proportion to the number of them produced by
by an incompatibility similar to that produced by the Rh 00 mothers. 'Thus in each generation we add to the OAs a
genes. 2 A selective effect of any such magnitude immediately quantity OA mnltiplied by one constant and subtract a
raises a puzzling problem by rendering the A-B-O gene fre­ quantity 0 2 A multiplied hy another constant. Obviously we
quencies unstable in any population containing both A and 0 cannot obtain by this means an equilibrium at all percentage
genes, unless in absolutely equal numbers. Selection against levels of A and 0 genes. There will be instead a stable range
a heterozygote eliminates at each stroke one specimen of each or ranges of A-O gene frequency, at or near an equilibrium,
gene, and will finally eliminate whichever of the two genes and an unstable range or ranges where the advantages and
was in the heginning the less abundant. In the present case disadvantages of the OA genotype do not satisfactorily cancel
the B gene would he affected also, since in any internecine out. In order to conform to the pattern of world distribution
'Currently Bennett and Brandt ('54) have contcsted this interpretation by it will be necessary to assume that the stable range covers·
breal<ing the question of significance of differenccs down into three parts: differ­ the area in which existing groups have been recorded, i.e. from
ence in nllmbers of the two types of matings enconntered in a group of families zero to 50% A gene, and that the unstable range is in the
which had proved fertile; difference in nnml,ers of children per family appearing
in the two types of matings; and difference in ratio of A to 0 children in the two
"uninhabited" area from 50 to 100ro A. Eventnally the B
types of family. They have showed that these portions of the phenonemon taken genotypes must also be related to the others in such a way
separately do not show statistical significance. However, no acconnt is taken of as to explain the maintenance of the B gene at the levels at
the prolJability that all three of the events should have occurred in thc same series
which it has been found to occur. If it is possible to hypothe­
and all in the same direction, namel.y that of redncing the nnmlJer of A Offspring
to 0 mothers. '1'he separate prolJalJilities (the last calculated by the present anthor) cate selective factors which would make the" empty areas"
are: for alJcrrance in representation of families) .12; for aberrance in respect to of figure 1b genetically unstable, we will have constructed a
total fertility, AI, and for aberranee in respect to ratio of A and 0 offspring born tentative hypothesis for explaini.ng how the polymorphism
to 0 mothers, .10. The product of these prolJalJiIities, which defines the likelihood
of the A-B-O genes comes to be maintained within the range
of all three deviations havillg appcared conelll'rently is only .0049. It does not
therc[ore appear that the newer analysis has abolished the pheuomellon nnder
in which we find it. .
consideration. It certailily must be assumed for the present as at least 200 times The procedure followed was to concentrate first on the
more probable than not that there is a sllOl'tage of A ehildren to 0 mothers. relatlons of A and 0 to one another in the absence of B, for
574 ALICE 1\1. DRUES
SELEC'l'lON IN DLoon GROlTPS 575
two reasons; til'sl, b(~cullse the existence of the incompatibility
phenomenon definitely demands consideration of selective was not considered sufficient to have a general illward trend
factors in resped to these two genes; second, because the towards a central point suitably IDeated; the selective factors
known approximu te magnitude of the incompa tibili ty effect should also account for the fact that the range of the A gene
gi ves a concrete point of departure for determining other is less where B is high than where it is low. No attempt has
factOI's quantitatively. The second step Wal,; then to examine been made to establish the absolute magnitude of selective
the possibilities of selective factors illvolving the gene B; a pressure necessary to block genetic drift for praetical pur­
more speculative malter, not necessitated by known incom­ poses and form a "border" for the world distrilmtioll. This
patibility, but "trongly sugge"ted by the apparent manner is of course a relative matter, since ill bmaller populations
of di ffusion of the B gene aud the lack of randomness between with greater genetic drift a group may extend further from
B freqnencies and A and 0 frequencies. the center against selective pressure than if it were more
populous; one might picture a distrihution of blood group
A HYPO'i'lIESI8 HASED ON SELECTION gene fn'quencies of the human speeies iu Paleolithic times
having a far wider and more diffuse range than at the present
Tn constructing a mathematical lllodel to account for the
time. I£ffort was therefore concentrated on ohtainillo'
.,=,
correct
limi ta tiOllS on exi sting A-B-O gene formulae, the basic as­
relative values of selective pressure at various points, and
sumption will be made that the present world range of dis­ demonstrating that the shape, not merely the general location,
tribution is in equilibrium and that no effects due to the
of the distribution eould he accounted for by some sort of
comparn tive recency of occu nence of anyone gene are evi­ genot ype selection.
deut. 11~ven if B, for instance, is actually a "newer" gene, we
will a:,;Sllme that it has had sufficient time to produce all the Procedure
various percentage combinations with A and 0 that it is likely
The first step in deriving a mathematical model for selec­
to form. 'Ve are assllmiug, theu, that the distribution is
tion eff(~cts \vas to set dowll the fre(wencies of tIw (j genotypes
essentially a permanent one and that its outlines will remain
of the A-B-O system for each of Hie 50 combinations made
the same though in a sllf:ficiently great length of time indi­
vidual groups within it may shift. A corollary is that no possible by varying the gene frequencies in 100/0 steps. The
value of OA in each squal'(~ was then adjusted downward to
deduction can be drawn from the mathematical model as to
the greater age of any gene. represent the survivill'.\' OAs in a succeeding generation after
the elimination of 25% of OA zygotes ill 00 mothers. This
The mathematical model must satisfy several requirements.
It must be such that the action of selective factors on any reduction is of course most marked in the presence of high
group located outside the present world range is such as to frequencies of the 0 gene. rrhen each square was ready for
change that group's gene frequencies in the direction of a the determination of the direction and magnitude of selection
more normal ratio. The marginal groups will probably be pressure which would affect it if the various genotypes had
(and, in fact, generally are) small and isolated groups in somewhat different DUrvival values. Since the survival values
which genetic drift is snch as to defy selection to some extent of the various genotypes would have meaning only in relation
to one another, it was decided to assign a neutral value to
in an erratic fashion. The magnitude of the selective factors
must be such that the "inward" trend is approximately the the abundant genotype 00, leaving only 5 variables. '1' he
same at all points along the borders of the distribution. It survival values of the other genotypes were designated in
plus or minus per cents; minus 5% meaning of a particular

576 ALICE M. lJHUES SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 577

type that 57<) less would survive to reproduce than from an the g'ain being greatest for the one which is already tl18 more
equal numher of OOs (or that their fertility was 5% less). abundant. In all cases the survival differential of any geno­
On ihis hasis a set of hypothetical survival values for the type, whether plus or minus, will have its greatest effect
various genotypes eould he tested. A number of squares at where the genotype is common; in marginal cases, in fact,
key points in the distrihution were selected, and their hasie when a genotype constitutes only 1 or 21'0 of the population,
genotype distribution altered to eOl'l'espond to the distrihution it can make only very slow progress even with a g'ood plus
whieh would appear in the see(Hld generation, each genotype survival value. Different selective values of the 6 genotypes
being added io or subtracted from aeeording to its assigned therefore give rise to a complicated pattern of vectors, in­
survival value. The genotype distribution was then hroken volving 6 foci; the three homozygous peaks where one gene
down into thE~ genes involved and the tot81 of surviving genes is 100%, the three heterozyg'ous peaks where two genes are
ill the second generation was ealeulated. (The total of sur­ each 5070. Since the effect of selection induced by any differ­
viving genes almost never eomes to 1007~, due to the up and ential survival is most marked lIear the focus of its genotype,
clown adjustments made, so that a true per eent has to be there is only a general resemblance between the effect of loss
caleulatecl each time. A ttempts were made to set up equations of OAs and the effect of gain in BBs, for instance; the first
for these changes, but ihey proved so ponderous and sus­ process acting most strongly where the B gene is rare, the
ceptihle to calenlation error that the more objective method second where it is abundant. 'rhis allows great flexibility in
was adhered to. It should be noted that anyone who attempts adapting a mathematic81 model to any given pattern.
to estimate spJection effects easually, without a final percent­ "B'irst approximations were Imsed on general deductions
age adjnstrnent, may he greatly misled.) rrhe results of these from the distribution shown in figures la and lb. Since the
caleulations were recorded as "vectors" for each square; distribution has a single eenter it seems likely that hetero­
the vectors being the expected amounts of change in gene zygotes are in general more favored than homozygotres. If
freqlllellcy per generation resulting from selective effects. the latter had the higher sUl'vival value the distrihution would
Certain g'eneralizatiolls about the effects of genotypic se­ tend to break up, with populations piling up in one or more
ledion bad to be considered before any scheme could be corners of the range, producing A, B, or 0 "races." Biologi­
intelligently set up. As previously mentioned, selection in cal success of the homozygote leads to "pure types;" this
) favor of a heterozygote will, where only two genes are in­ is not what we see in human blood group distribution. By
! volved, draw popnla tion frequellcies towards the point at the location of the center of the disiributioll we may assume
<J whidl each gene is 50%: selection ag;aillst the heterozygote
will draw popnlation frequencies towards the two ends of
that the homozygote 00 is more favored by selection than
AA or BE. The lack of groups having any appreciable amount
I of the g'ene B where 0 alld B only are involved suggests that
I the scale; i.e., result in elimination of one gene or the other
from ally popu18tion gronp. "Vhere three genes are present, B does 1I0t have as much 8dvantage as A in competition with
the third may become passively involved; loss of OA geno­ O. A very general sclwme was therefore set UIl with survival
types, for installce, will canse a relative increase of the B valnes as follows: 00, zero; OA, OB, and AB, plus; and AA
,- gene 8nd vice versa. A high survival vallie of a homozygote and BB, minus. It was believed ihat OB should have a less
\
will increase the one gene directly involved and produce a positive value than the other heterozygotes, or BB a more
I'P In t ive decrease, of the other two; a low survival vahw for strongly millUs value than AA, to account for the generally
a homozyg'ot(~ will act to the ndvalltage of both the other genes, lower frequency of gene B than of gene A. OA clearly must
578 ALICE M. BRDES
SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 579
have all outstanding positive value to counteract the fetal loss
A gene. Undercompeusation at all levels (selective advantage
due to incompatibility. AB was at first set quite high as it
zero or less) would tend to shift groups centrifugally towards
was considered to represent the principal selective advantage
100% A geml or 1001'6 0 gene. If the selective advantage just
of the B gene; this later proved untenable.
balances incompatibility whe1'e the A gene is 50%, the area
between 10070 and 5070 A gene will be overcompensated, with
EQuilibrium of 0 and A genes vectors consequently directed towards 50;10 A gene, and the
In an arrangement of this kind there will normally be 4 area between 5070 and zero A gene will be undercompensated,
points of equilibrimn (exclusive of the cases where only one with vectors directed down towards zero value of the A gene.
gene is present at all). Three of these represent cases where In this case the A gene will progressively be eliminated, with
only two of the three genes are present; the 4th and most a slight reprieve just at 5070 A gene, a precarious equilibrium.
complexly determined will be the equilibrium where all three
1'ABLE 1
genes are present. The addition of the factor of incompati­
Vectors produced by incompatibilit!l loss of 0.1 (850/,,) comb ined with selective

bili ty introduces anothpr variable, however, which follows laws advantage (10%) of surviving OAs whe"e 0 and A are the only

somewhat different, and gives rise to the possibility of still genes present in the popillation

another equilibrium point on the O-A axis. rrhe incompati­ ~'O Oll' A GENE IN 'l'HE I'OPULA'J'lQN
hiliiy loss, as previously mentioned, is not a fixed fraction of 10 20 20 40 50 60 7U dU 90
the numbc~r of OAs in any population, since the number of Vectol' (change
OAs subject to the risk clepends on the ratio of 00 to other per generation
genotypes among the mothers. If we are considering the O-A in frequency of
A gene in %) - .16 -.10 +.01 +.07 0 -.22 -.47 -.79 -.63
axis only, wc find that the incompatibility effect ranges from
a loss of 12.570 of all OAs where gene 0 equals 99%, to a
negligible loss whel'e gene 0 equals 1 ro. '11 he compensation The most complex result will ensue if the point at which selec­
introduced by straight selection will he a fixed fraction of tive advantage balances incompatibility loss lies between 10
the number of OAs llresent at any lloint (in calculation this and 40%, or between 60 and 90% A gene. This will produce
was considered a fixed fraction of the number of OAs left a reversal in direction of vectors at the point of exact compen­
after incompatibility loss, not of the number pre,;ent before sation (transition between over and undercompensation);
such loss). Therefore, if the effect of straight selection is moreover, it produces a reduction of vector values and conse­
plus, and between 12.5 and 0%, it will overcompensate at quently an alleviation of selection pressure ncar the point
some frequencies of the gene A and ulldercompensate at where the direction of vectors changes. This phenomenon can
others. vVhere it overcompensates, the vectors will be directed hardly be described without an example. In table 1 are given
towards 50% A gene, since the heterozygote will be at an vectors based on incompatibility loss combined with selective
advantage, and where it undercompensates the vectors will advantage so that the two factors balance at approximately
be directed away from the 50% point. 30% A gene. (It is assnmecl that the B gene is not present.)
It is interesting to note the slightness of the vectors, all in
This produces a very interesting series of possibilities.
fractions of per cents, despite the magnitude of the interacting
Overcompensation at all levels (selective advantage more
factors. ~l'his vector system produces a range from zero to
than 12.5%) would tend to shift all groups towards 50%
50% A gene where selective pressure is relatively small, and
580 ALfCE M. BRUES
SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 581
would allow considerable genetic drift of populations. It will
present all the way down to 100% 0 gene, and the selective
be noted that there are three points of equilibrium; one at
plateau of weak vectors which served to explain the wide
zero A gene, with a vector slope leading towards it; one at
spread of population gene frequencies from zero to 50% A
50% A gene, with vector slopes leading towards it from both has vanished.
directions; and one at 30% A gene, with slopes leading away
This dilemma can be avoided if a negative value for AA is
from it in both directions. It will be seen that the latter
hypothecated. 'J'his possibility has already been suggested
point, though an equilibrium, is a precarious one from which
as a deduction from the average levels of the A and 0 genes
a group might fall away in one direction or another; however
in the species. A negative selective value for AA will reduce
the vectors involved are so small that genetic drift might
the A gene differentially with the greatest effect where the
from time to time push groups over its hump to the other
AA genotyp(~ is commonest. It was found possible by increas­
side. The final tendency would probably be to produce a
ing the positive value of OA ahove that previously set, and
somewhat bimodal distribution with concentrations at zero
introducing a negative value for AA, to produce a minus-A
and 5070 A gene, but always a certain numher of groups in
hetween. TABLE 2

Table 1 presents a picture consistent in general outline with Vectors produced by incompatIbility loss of 0.1 (2.5%) combined with selec~'ive

the maintenance of the world distribution as regards popula­ advantage (15%) of surviving OAs and se1eci'ive d'isadvantage (6%) of

tions in which the B gene is nearly or entirely absent. The AAs, where 0 and A are the only genes pre"ent ,in the popll.lation

alternative vector schemes described above which would tend % OF A GKN}~ IN '.rH~ POPUL_-\.TION

to produce standardization at a 50% level of both genes, or 10 20 :JO 40 50

breaking down of populations into a predominantly A division Vector (chn.nge per generation
and a predominantly 0 division, are quite impossil)le _ unless in frequency of A gene ill %) +,10 +.14 +.03 -,26 -.74

we accept the (~d hoc hypothesis that one or the other gene is
"new" and that a state of equilibrium has not been reached. vedor at 50% A gene and at the same time rctain the flatness
The vectors of ta ble 1 however could provide stabilization on and lack of strong vectors at 10-300/0 A gene. 'With the selec­
a permanent basis; since the weak vectors between zero and tive value of OA increased to plus 15 % (which by itself would
501'0 A gene would allow a scattering of groups throughout result in a piling' up of all populations by strong vectors at
this range, ,md the much stronger vectors above 50% A gene 50% A gene) aud a selective valnc of AA set at minus 6;;~,
wonld keep that area unoccupied. There are imperfections the vpetors of table 2 are produced. This was considered a
in this picture, however; there is not really an optimum point l'easonable vectol' system to explain the present range of
or accumulation of populations at 50% A gene; this is rather gene frequencies in populations having the A and 0 genes
an extreme. The real center of the distribution along the O-A only. In view of the approxirg.ateness of the iigure of 25%
axis is more nearly at 30% A gene; the small numher of for incompatihility loss, whicl~ is involved in all vectors, it
groups near 50% seems to indicate that some countering of would he supererogatory to attempt to refine the mathematical
selective pressnre is necessary to reach that point. Yet it is model further.
not easy to shift the upper end of our bimodal distribution Equilibriwn of the B gene
down. If there is any degree of undercompensation at 50%
A gene, tending to push A values down, this effect will be In regard now to the B genotypes, it might be asked whether
it is necessary that they also should have a selective value.

---- - ~-
;:----~"'"~.
---------­
j
582 ALICE M. BRUES SELECTION 11'1 BLOOD GROUPS 58~~

In a sense this question is meaningless; if 00, 011. and A11. I t~


Ig 00
have different valnes nle 13 genotypes cannot he the same rl

as all three; they must be placed somewhere on the scale, and " 0
I~ 0
00

then~ is certainly no necessity for them to be at that arbitrary '" ;;'


j'+
t- l­

"
." ~ I"
zero point which was deilned as equal to the snrvi\Tal rate >G
a
of the 00 genotype. The question then resolves itself into two
I~ ~c
~l~ <:.0<:.0
" '.oM 0',0.
parts: are the 13 genotypes identical with one another in lJ:­
'"
"

00 I" ....;+
I

1'+
selective value ~ and where are they located on the scale formed ~

by 00, OA, and 11.11. 1 \Ve can assume that the B gene, in some ~
<:t'~ eoC"l co

combinations at least, mnst be better favored than 00, or


else it could not establish itself at all except where the geno­
~
a
''"- ~
r
f1 ° r--r-<

T+ 7+
~M ~cr.;

I' -I'

type 11.11. is abundant; a picture not corresponding to the ~<S


t? ~
rl 0 l~ IQ 0;. 00 M M

."" 0 ..,,0 ,",,::0 Or-! Q~

world distribution. It sC'ems impossible to make BB equal <::J",


COl;,; ~ 7 7+ T+ 7+ (+
to 01' superior to the heterozygous B genotypes, since then
the gene B, if estahlislled at all in the heterozygous form,
~"~ '~" I
~
~ ~ <: ~
~~ ~tl(L'-Q O~
~o
~rl
~~
I~C]
OO~l
~t­
~rl "''''
Cl ~l
would rapidly prog;rcss towards a 100% frequency, But ap­ ~~
;";""
°lg
;:.. I
I" (+ I' I' (I I' I' 1'+
parently the frequency of the B gene, like that of the A gene, ~~ ~
'" ~
is self-limited. So we have little cllOice but to assign plus ~] ~ ~ ~c rl~
-<+
OO'<:ti
~ rl
1.00
"""'~
~o-
Ml~
l()~ ~"<:tI

I' + I' ( i'l" ,'t' (I'


0

+(
rllQ -1,.....,

values to OR and AB, and a minus value to BR, On this ~ ~ ~ ;:. ~ J

hasis quantitative, vat'iations were tested until a pattern of cci ~~"' I


'"
~:; "<: I.Q ~ \f)C e;,oc OC) 0 0';. ~ I(~ 0 ~ '-0
vectors for llOth A and B genes, consonant with the limits 'ti"'"' t;':oo
<.'1 1;1

;; + + :" I' o
OM 000""1"" t- 00. C'lo:. ""1"""""

of tile world distributiOll, was obtained, ~~ !' ( I' (I' +r' +( + I"
"'I ':i
At first the attempt was made to attrihute most of the a;::
.;; _"<t' 1;\1 t- C\l '<ti I,:: l_ a ~ l~_ '.:::' Q 0';. \ ..... r l 00 00

~~ ~o rirl riO rlC\l C>J~ QJO cr:lrl "'d'M


pm,itiYe selection of the 13 gene to a high survival value of j:: l()l.Q

AB, and to keep' OB "down" in survival vaIne, in order to


"'''1-
]~
g + ++ +~ +1' +r' ~~ +7 +7 +1'
aecollIlt for the rarity of good development of the B gene in ~''''
~~ 0 ~~ ~o ~~ ~~ ~~ rlcr:l ~IQ cr:l~ 00

~~ t~ ~o
populations where the A gene is rare, This proved to have ri~l rlQJ riO ~"<:tI QJ~ cr:lri MQJ ~o l.Q~

the effect, however, of encouraging B to the greatest extent


:3 ~ + ++ ++ ~( +( ~ ( +7 +1 +1 +(
""'"
where A was at a high ratller than at a moderate level. It
was tinally decided that the principal effort would he elevated
"'"'"
,~ 0100 OM
C\l
oro
Ie
Orl
~
0","
LC>
0..- C>
000
~
00
M 0
o.:=..'
C
o

t- 00

to obtaining a suitable vector pattern in the range in which "'" + ,i + r' I' I"
1 "I I'
all three genes we,re represented, and let the separate inter­ ~
~
actions of tlw 0 awl 13 genes come out as HlPY would, Suc­ ""
5'"
~ ~ ,.",." J-olo-< ~~ ~I-I J-<~ ~"-' J-<I-I 10-<10-< Io-<J-o

cessive approximations were made by a process of enlightened BE 00 ~o 00 00 :>0 00 00 00 00 ""


.8.£
~
:i, ~ <:) "t~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~"t ~~ ~~ ~~
~ (l) '" C) Q) :ll a.J a.J a.J 0) <1.l J.) a.J c],) a.J Q;l Q;l Q.l a.J ~ ~
" ;;..
"
(l) C)

k"
trial and error, finally resulting in the system of which the ,... >;- ~ P-~ ........ >;.-;;.. ;;..;;.. ;;..> t» ?-;> » >:.> ~
o ~ <ti I:Q ~1'1 ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~~
vectors are shown in table 3 and figure 2, This appeared to "",
~~ o. t~ ~ t-':. 0"o ~ ~ t~ lJ:­
lw about as satisfactory as could be obtained without defining ~
~
0
rl ""
c:i
o
"" ~ LC>
t'"
o
<0
o
h
o
00
o
a-
o
o
rl

~c ~ "'= ~ "C-~C'-' ~ ., ~_
.. "" 1

584 ALICE M. BRUES


SELECTION IN BLOO)) GROUPS 585
sUl"vival values in fractions of per cenUi. One comment should
be made; if the survival factors of all the g'enotypes, exclu­ 4%. In figure 2 the individual squares for which vectors
have been calculated are numbered for ease of reference.
sive of the basic plus value of 1070 for OA which counteracts
incompatibility effects, were to be changed within moderate
The mathematical model
li111i ts in proportion to one another, the vector pattel"ns would
remain approximately the same except that the magnitude The vector system in general focusses upou a point at 2570
A gene and 15% B gene, with very Slllall vectors close to the
PER ((NT OF GUH A
focus and large ones at a distance hom it. The magnitude
10
1
10

,
, )0
.. <10
,
50
,
60

'r'
70 80 90 100
and detailed direction of the vectors are of complicated pat­
<--,---
I tern, however, a fact which led to many hours of rechecking

V
~
<-­ ~
o

Ii)
,
11
, " " " " <­ "....-­ ".--- " " in search of arithmetical enol's. Iu graphic repl'e::;entation
10 ~
.----­ /
the vectors appeal' more consistent than in tabular form. '11 he
,.

. "-
--
'" " " " " " 7> 7>
10

.
I ..------- / distribution of vectors along the line A-O (i.e., where B is
~ ~
1 _•

. " " ", »


" absent or very rare) has already been discussed. A population
.-­
.
30
/
>
>

."
'-­
may be located anywhere from square 1 to square 4 without
~
" " 'J
" '­ ellcountCl'ing a vector in either direction stronger than one­
.
.0 T ? 1 T '\ /
~
"
fourth of one per cent 1)er gencl'Lltion. As the B gene in­
1 T "r
~

~ so 1 i " < creases, the vectors for A become stronger, tending 10 restrict
:5
'" 1 " T "! ~ .. variation in frequency ofA. In squaro 4, for instance, the
;; 60
I !

vector fOl' tllP A gC)lJe is minus .2G% ; in square 24, minus .4870 ;
- 10 "
r " Ir "
I " /' ::;imilarly in square 2 the vector for the A gene is plus .10%,
in square 24, pIn::; .15 7{,. 'rhis phenomenon, due ultimately
'"
r " ! " /'
80

'0
. T
" /'
to the complications introduced by the incompatibility effect,
offers a possillle explanation for the less range of A gene
lOOU frequency at high B levels than at low B levels. The downward
vector for the H g'ene in square 42, just above the upper limit
Pig. 2 Gl'Ilphic representation of the vectors of table B. 'rhe magnitude of tho of B frequencies, is approximately equal to the downward
vectors has been exaggerated so that on the scale of the framework of the chart, vector for A in square 5, which is virtually the upper limit
each arrow represents the equivalent of about 100 years of seloctive change.
for the A gene.
'rhe vectors fo)' the B gene in combination with 0 are not
of the vectors would be proportionally chnnged also. So no as anticipated ,tn the beginning-. The first examination of
certainty can be given that the absolute magnitude of any the distribution suggested that B vectors where the A gene
selective factor has been determined or is determinable in was absent should be almost entirely negative, so as to pre­
this way.
vent the d('velopment of B in a population originally homo­
The final selective values On which table 3 and figure 2 are zygous for O. Instead we find strong plus B vectors in squares
based are then; 00, zero (the point of reference); OA, plus 10 and 20, easing' off at square 30, and strongly l1Pgative at
1570; OR, plus 5*.; AA, minus 6%; AD, plu::; 3%; BB, minus
squares 40 and 50. It was not found possible to avoid this by
586
ALICE M. BRUES
SELECTION IN BLOOD GnOUps 587
manipulation of the quantitative value of selective factors
the respective effects of Brownian movement and gravity on
except at the cost of disrupting the successful parts of the
suspended particles of different sizes.) All such populous
vector system. Along the O-B axis there is found one out­
groups should then tend inexorably to move towards the final
lying group in square 30 (the Caraja Indians of Brazil) which
equilibrium point at about 25% gene A and 1510 gene B. Is
on first examination was thought to be possibly an erroneous
it then possible for groups of this magnitude to be at the
report. Perhaps they actually represent a unique achievement
present time as different from one another as they now are,
of O-B equilibrium in the absence of A. (To say this is to
in view of this selective pressure j! Most of these major popu­
admit that" newness" of genes is involved, that certain com­
la tion groups, \Yhi te, Mongoloid and Negro alike, are located
binations have not been fully exploited, in contrast to Our
in squares 12, 13, 22 and 23, with very low vectors. In square
previous statement of principle.) But such an isolated de­
13, the typical location of most North European populations,
velopment of the B gene, might very well be a comparatively
the vectors are minus .0510 for the A gene and plus .10% for
new independent mutation. The principal upward vectors
the B gene. 'l'wentieihs and tenths of one per cent do not
of B are at low A levels (squares 11, 12, 21) and at high A
make for very rapid changes, particularly in a species which
levels (squares 17, 18, 19, well outside the limits of recorded
takes a century to run through 4 generations. A group under
populations). The greatest weakness of the vector system
the selective pressure at square 13 would require 2,500 years
is in squares 21 and 31, where we would wish to see stronger
to change its frequency of the B gene by 10% and its fre­
plus-A vectors to account for the lack of populations there.
quency of the A gene by 5% - provided the vectors remained
'Ilhe vectors in sqnare 31, for instance, are by no means strong
constant. (The vectors actually would decrease as the group
enough to account for the fact that this is an "empty" area
approached the central equilibrium point.) The magnitude
on fignre lb. Other marginal empty or nearly empty areas
of the time factor here seems adequate to indicate that the
such as squares 42, 14 and 5, have considerably stronger
vectors. present divergencies of the majOl' population groups could
SOME HISTORICAL CONSIDEHATIONS
be explained as vestiges of more marked peculiarities in the
past, which had developed du ring the period when the an­
'I'he absolute magnitude of the vectors, as we have said cestors of even our largest modern populations lived under
previously, cannot be determined in any a IJriori fashion; the conditions of low population density which favored genetic
pattern here shown could be essentially retained by a system drift. Such population densities need not be less than those
in which all vectors were greater or all less. However, it is of the Pre-Columbian New \Vorld, in which scatter due to
interesting to consider the magnitUdes suggested here, and genetic drift is very evident. If we assume that the Old \Vorld
see whether they are seriously inconsistent with historical has overall population densities of this same magnitude up to
probabilities. Any such vector system as we have proposed the beginnj.ll,g of the Neolithic at least, the primitive condition
will be always interacting with genetic drift. Small or isolated of wide random range of blood group frequencies is not too
populations will be continually scattering as the result of far in the past to account for the diversities of the now more
drift, bn t in more copious populations (of the magnitude populous groups, even though constant selective factors may
of most European groups in the last millenium, or of the have been standardizing blood group frequencies since popu­
larger sedentary groups in Asia and Africa), genetic drift la ti on levels increased. In contrast to the extreme slowness
will be quite ineffective, and selective pressures will act with with which selective pressures would act in the "occupied"
great constancy. (An interesting analogy may be made with area of figure 1, are the high vectors for other parts of the

-.----:--~ -~";:: ;::-=~~=-:,,;~; _:;:-:~,_:c,·,_,:"" -:::-::-~~~""~'7;::.:=::;==~._


... _~ _ _
j
588 ALlCE M. BRUES
SELECTlON IN BLOOD GROUPS 589
range. A population located in square 9 (that is, an A popu­
cult for the selective vector, three or 4 times this magnitude,
lation which had acquired lOre of the gene 0) would take only
to be reversed or neutralized for even a generatioll. If the
1,000 years to reach square 4, under the strong selective
populousness of the Blackfoot was not of long standing, and
pressure to which it would he subjected.
if the tribe had arisen by rapid breeding up of a small geneti­
Another interesting problem in constancy of values is pre­
cally drifting group, an um~sual run of luck for the A gene
sented by the oft-rited case of' the similarity in hlood-group
could have placed them in the position they now hold. Since
frequencit~s of' Gypsies and Hindus, after long separation.
in fact they are an extreme group out of many, they are e11­
Coon states that the sepnration is of approximately 1,000
titled to a submarginal prolmbility. All these cases sugge"t
years standing. If the Gypsies started at square 31, with
that the magnitude of the vectors here proposed is not im­
the vectors there assigned, in the course of 1,000 years they
possibly great, though perhaps somewhat too large.
would, if selective pressure alone was acting (though un­
The vector system then seems to be satisfactory according
doubtedly genetic drift would have played a part also) have
to the requirements originally sCet up fOl' it. It demonstrntes
changed to the extent of 6.8% in the A gene and 2A7c in the
that it is possihle to explain the overall range of blood g'l'ClUP

I
B g'ene; by no means enough to equatc, them with the Hun­
gene frequencies found in the human species by the action of
garians, with whom they are always compared, or other
selective fadm's inherent in the hlood group genotypes them­
European populations. Incidentally, the group from ~which
selves. Some readers may I'ightly conclude that the apparent
they separated would have tended to change cOlTespondingly
limitations on the range of human blood gronp gene frequen­
in the same length of time; so that similarity of fractions of
cies do not require coxplilnation, or at least do not require
a group 101lg separated is uo evidence against change in blood
explanation so hadly that we must be forced to leap into
gTOUp frequencies iu time, if the changes arc determined by
fac~tors intrinsic to the genotypes.
such extremely hypothetical mathematics to solve the prob­
lem. However, the dulJious and fictitious chnracter of the
Another case which tests the magllitude of the vectors is
hypothesis pre"ented here makes it all the better company
that of' the Blackfoot Indians, who, according to our vector
for various other entirely unprovable theories regarding the
system, are presently in a position where selection alone
origin of the present A-B-O frequencies. At least an attempt
would tend to reduce their percentage of the A gene hy 1 ro has been made to make the system as far as possible absolute
per generation, or 10ro in 250 years. vVhether their situation
and not contingent; we have rejected, for instance, li'ord's
is a plausible one will depend on the extent to which genetic
suggestion that the maintenance of somewhat different A-B-O
drift hns been able to nct on them in the past. In any event,
frequencies in different races is due to differences in other
they would represent an extreme case. The tribe, according
features of the jgenetic makeup, ,\'hieh canse the hlood group
to Chown and Lewis ('53), consisted of about 10,000 members
genes to reach\ slightly different points of equilibrium in
in the 18th century; a hundred years later their numbers were
different races. And of course, 110 consideration has becn
greatly reduced; how long previously they had held a high
given to the possihility that the various blood group pheno­
population level is not known. In a group of 10,000 genetic
types are of different sclective value in different environments.
drift is not very effective; each generation's sample of 20,000
Anyone who wisl1es to introduce th(~se possibilities can no
genes would reproduce the previous generation's percentages
doubt fit a scheme to the facts far 1110re closely than we havco,
with a probable error of only .240/0. This would make it diffi­
since he will be under no limitations whatsoever.
590 ALICE ,VI. £tHIES SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 591

ExtralJolation toward the ongw of the genes in a stable condition, very rapid change for a period, and then
It is clea l' from an examination of the vector system that settling down in a new equililJriurn.
under snch rules the range of values finally attained by the If the first mutation to become established in the original
human species will be the same regardless of whether all A population were B, the course would be similar, but with
three genes were present in the basic human population the rate of reduction in the percentage of A less rapid. As
(whatever and whenever that was) and of what order they long as the A and B genes only were present, the tendency
appeared in, if they appeared at different times. rrhe same would he towards an equilibrium in which the B gene would
configuration could be reached by starting from A or B as Le slightly in excess. At any time, however, the introduction
from O. There has always been an inconsistency felt between of 0 would cause the trend to turn towards the final equi­
tll(~ average frequencies of the A-B-O genes in man, which librium point at 15% B gene. If the 0 gene did not appear
certainly indicates 0 as the most likely original gene, and the till B bad become commoner than this, there would be a stage
fact that A is the only gene common to man and all 4 of the of decline in hath A and B.
great apes. So it will be interesting, by way of examining If 0 was the first mutation from A, then B became estab­
possible ways in which selective vectors might function, to lished probably in some population with both the 0 and j~
choose as an example the case in which A was the original genes. If the establishment of B was at all delayecl, it would
gene. The historical reconstruction would run somewhat probably not occur until some populations were ncar 0]'
as follows: An all-A population would be extremely vulnerable beyond 60'ii1 0 gene. 'l'he vectors in squares 14 to 17 are so
to change if either the 0 or the B gene became established, strongly downward for A and so slightly favorable to B that
hecause of the selective advantage of OA and AB over AA. any groups in this area would be rushed through towards 0
(The term "became established" is used advisedly. Even with little opportunity to stray upwards in B. '1'hen the most
in the presenc·.e of selective advantage, a gene may not survive likely opportunity for 13 to develop - i.e. the strongest upwarcl
the first generations following its appearance. The likelihood vectors for the B gene - would he in gronps which had reached
of successful establishment of a gene - a bridgehead this SO or 90% 0 gene. Since the consensus of distributional evi­
side of oblivion, so to speak - will be much less than the deuce is that tbe B gene, at least the earliest and most suc­
mutation rate.) If a mutation to gene 0 occurred in the A cessful establishment of it (leaving aside local developments
population, it would, after becoming established and going from scattered B mutations) is later than the 0 gene, it seems
through the slow early stages of increase to a level of 10/0, most likely that it got its start in low-A fractions of a world
have a vector of plus .21 % per generation which would con­ population already well diversified in O-A frequencies in about
tinually increase as gene 0 became more abundant. The the range now found. These first O-A-B populations could
selective advantage of OA would be very great at first since be "proto-119ngoloids.' ,
incompatibility effects would not appear until 00 genotypes A "polyph.{ylctic" interpretation is also possible; the 0 and
were encountered with some frequency. Two hundred and 13 mutations Tllay have originated in populations whicb were
fifty years would then be required to bring the 0 gene up for a time isolated from one another, producing two main
to 5%; 100 years to carry it from 5 to 10%; and 1,000 years divisions; an A-O division, and an A-13 devision; either or
to take it to 60%, where some population units would hegin both may have gone to their respective equilibrium points
i
to hesitate and lag as genetic drift countered the lessening at some time, then come in contact with one another later.
selective pressure. There would be, that is, a sudden brealc j The A-B strain could be designated "proto-Pre-Dravidian­

1\
592 ALICE M. BRllES
SELECTION IN BLOOD GHOUl'S 593
and-Ainu." The hasic difference between the latter two pos­ The possibility of differential slll'vival in the pre-natal period
sibilities is whether, of the present high-B groups, the Mon­ has already been approached by study of the precise fre­
goloid or nOll-Mongoloid contrilmted the B gene. quencies of children produced by mating'S of various types.
Further detailed speculation on the basis of such a tcnta­ In the case of the A-B-O blood groups difficulty is introduced
tive scheme would be out of place. Numerous developments by the fact that the genotype AA cannot be distinguished
will nndoubtedly necessitate the revision of any values for from OA, or BB from OB. If selection is such as to favor
selective effect guessed at now. 1\[ore careful examination heterozygotes over homozygotes, the selection effects will
may reveal other incompatibility reactions which would re­ tend to cancel out, as far as phenotype is concerned. In the
place 01' modify the selective values now proposed. '1'he mag­ case of the 1I-N blood groups, where all phenotypes are
llitude of the incompatibility between A and 0 may be better immedia tely distinguishable, very. strong' evidence of differ­
defined in the future. The degree of complication which may ential survival of the heterozygous embryo (about plus 20%)
resnlt in these matters is shown by the demonstration that has been adduced by some workers. (li'ol' an excellent account
incompatibility between parents in the A-B-O system affords of this and other selective effects of blood groups, see Race
some degree of protection agalust the development of hemo­ and Sanger, '50; also Race, '50)." However, these results have
lytic disease in response to Rll-incompatibility in the same been challenged by other workers as due to constant errors
fami ly (Levine, '43). 1£ this phenomenon can he accurately in technique. The possible scope of such errors, as claimed
defined it may contrill11te also to the selective patterll, in a by immunologists engaged in disputes with one another
way correlated with the Rh-gene composition of the population C\Viener, '43), is very considerable and somewhat disillusion­
in qnestion. Another probability is that the various subtypes ing to the anthropolog·ist. Thus any selective deviations of
of the gene A, which differ in the vigor of their serological the magnitude which we have hypothecated are likely, even
reactions, may well differ also in the degree to which they if detected, to be challenged for a long time in the immuno­
are affected hy incompatilJility or other selective phenomena. logical field, where the anthropologist is not properly entitled
Possibly the only permanent contribution of snch a premature to take sides.
llypotbesis as presented here will be to poiut ont that any The question of postnatal mortality differences presents
system of selective factors of whatever kind must eventually other difficulties (aside from the confusion of homozygotes
be consistent with the limitations of the world range of A-B-O and heterozygotes). "Mortality rates and causes in civilized
frequencies. Once the hypothesis of absolute non-selectivity peoples are very different from those of primitive and pre­
of the A-R-O blood groups has been abandoned, through historic peoples, and we cannot assume that any differential
necessi ty or choice, even if ill respect to one genotype only, mortality rates which were effective through most of the
we must assume that the genes are in a state of dynamic history pf the race are still effective at the present time. In
equilibri um, and that the world range of frequencies in respect fact, with mortality in the age period 0-35 years reduced to
to the A-B-O genes is an essential piece of evidence in ascer­ little more than 5% as compared with a probable 5070 or
tailling' this equilibrium.
more in former times, it can hardly be said that differential
lllortali ty, as far as it affects the production of the next
DIRECT STUDY or' A-HO SELECTION
genera tion, exists at all among civilized peoples; and selec­
Numerous attempts have been made to demonstrate selec­
3 As this goes to pl'ess, Neel ('54) has pnblished :l paper in which the most
tive effects with respect to blood groups by statistical means. recent work on this suhject is ably summarized.
594 ALICE M. BRUES SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 595

tion cannot act in the absence of mortality. Any study of specially versed in other branches of physical anthropology.
differences in blood group freqnencies at different ages in Altogether too many statements about the selectivity or non­
a modern population, then, can hardly show appreciable selecti vi ty of varioulO traits have been preceded by the deadly
changes with age except in the older age groups from which phras(, "of course." It would be more ad visaLIe to keep an
some proportion of individuals have actually been eliminated; open mind on all such matters, and let the burden of proof
and even here the mortality causes involved may be totally fall equally on both pm'ties to the contest.
different from those which decimated the young and adolescent
in prehistoric times. S1TMMAl1Y OF TI-IB; ARG1'MENT

Still another way in which selective effects might be exer­ It is pointed out that the frequencies of the A-B-O blood
cised is through differences, not in individual survival, but group genes, which vary considerably among various human
ill fertility. Obviously a slightly higher fertility of any races and subraces, are nevertheless suhject to certain limita­
A-B-O genotype will have the same effect on the gene fre­ tions, Of the total possihle range of variation, only about
quencies of' the next generation as if more individuals of one-fifth is found to be occupied by hl1man groups now living.
that genotype were pnesent and reproducing at average rate. rrhose areas of the range representing- less than 5070 0 gene,
The possible complexity of this sort of selection is shown or an excess greater than 10~~. of the B gene over the A gene,
(Bryce et al., '51) in a study suggesting' that the genotype AB are ouly marginally OOCl] pied.
is produced in slightly less than expected ratios by A and B The traditional view is that a complete lack of selective
mothers, but that the surviving ARs (at least if female) value on the part of the A-B-O genes has made possible the
reverse the effeel by their higher fertility. Obviously the maintenance, from the time of inception of the species, of a
selective resultants can be very complicated, and require lUllch basic gene formnla which has developed a moderate degree
study, of diversity but has never varied radically from its original
It may be adequately argued that the present paper has proportions.
not clearly proved that the A-B-O blood group genes 'are .A suitable explanation for the origin of some diversity in
selective. However, it may be pointed out that neither has frequency of the A-B-O genes has been seen in tIle workings
anyone ever proved that they are not selective. Early in of genetic drift, by which entirely randorn factors may produce
the history of the stuely of blood groups, it was decided with alteration of gene frequencies, especially in small populations.
fairly universal concurrence that the hlood group genes had Examples of this phenomenon may be seen in the diversity of
no selective value. ·When analyzed, the reason for this de­ blood group gene frequencies within subgroups of a given
cision appears to be the rather a pr'iori one that since the race.
agglutinogens of the blood did not come into any very obvious A certain paradox becomes evident, llOwever, when the evi­
or direct contact with the external environment, they did not de1"rtle for genetic (hift is examined carefully. '1'he most
seem to be the sort of th·ing that would be selective. By con­ striking case is the variation in frequency of gene A within
tinuous repetition this assumption has attained the status the ahoriginal populations of North America. These tribes
of a dogma, so tha t the entire burden of proof is placed on include examples of A gene frequencies which are absolute
those who venture to contest it. In part even the dogma has 1 maxima aud minima for the human species. Yet these groups
been cherished as a weapon in a faintly personal contest j are certainly racially al,in to OIle another wi thin the limits
between those specially versed in immunology and others
j allowed to major races, and can hardly be considered to con-

I
1
j

. =--"::;':;;-'-~:;:::'~~~~3'':-- .........,"-",=,"",=;;;=;;;·======~

J
596
ALICE M. BUUES
SELECTION IN BLOOD GROUPS 597
Rtitute an "old" raee in the sense that they have had a maxi­
mum length of time in which to develop A-B-O gene di:fferences gene A, which is common to a.ll the highest primates, COUld)'
by genetic drift. If genetic drift has acted so strongly on very well have been the original blood group gene of man.
a relatively local basis and during a limited time, why has
it not produced even more Rtriking diversity in the ~pecies LITERA TURE CITED

as a whole during the entire period of its evolution'? It is DF,KNETT', J. R., AND JANE DRANDT 1954 Some mol'C eXRct tests of significance
for 0-,1 matenJal-fetal incompatibility. Ann. Eugen., 18: 302-310.
, therefore suggested that positive factors of some sort act BIRDSELL. J. E. 1G50 Some implications of the genetical concept of race in
il
to re:strict variation in the freqmmcies of the A-D-O hlood terms of ,patial analysis. Cold :Spring Harbor Symposia on Qnanti­
. group g'enes, so that increase of time and opportunity does tative TIlology, 15: 259-3]4.

not allow genetic drift to go heyond certain limits. BOYD, ,VILLIA1[ C. 1947 The use of gonet ieally determined cha radel'S, especially
serologi(:al faetol's sHeh as Hh, ill physical anthropology. Southwestern
Since a reasonable explanation for such a limitation is the ,T. A lIthrop., 3: 32-+9. Heprinted in Yearbook of Phys. Anthrop., 1947:
If existence of selective factors discriminating against certain 212-~29.

Ii gcmotypes (in this case prohably the homozygous types AA BRYCE, LllCY
1950 Genetics Bnd the Races of Man. Boston. 1950.

.M., It. ,JACOBOWICZ, )i. MACARTHUR AND L. S. P~NROSE 1!Jf\1

and BE), the idea of a halanced selective system maintaining Blood'group frequencies in a mother and infant sample of the Ans.

A-B-O gene frecllwncies was entertained. tral1all populntinn. Ann. :Eugen" 15: 271-275.
I C~nsidcration :vas also given. to evidence that t~e gC~lOtype CIIOW~. B., AND M,'RION LE'WIS 1953 The ABO, II1NSs, P, Rh, Lntheran, Kell,

Lewis, Dnffy and Kidd blood gronps and the secretor 8ta£1,s of the

\ AO lS acted agamst by some form of maternal-fetal lllcom­ nJackfoot Indians of Alberta, Canada. Am: J. PhyR. Anthrop., 11:

patibility. :FJxamination of the ultimate effects of such a 369-384.


plllmornenoll emphasizes the fact that the pl'('sence of a single COON, C. S. 1939 TIle Races of Europe. New York.
DOBZHANSKY, THEODOSIUS 1941 Genetics anil thc Origin of Species. 2nd cd. rey.
seleetive effect all any olle of the A-B-O genotYIJes would New York.
introduce a disturbing factor into the whole system such that 1950 HlIman Diversity allil Adaptation. Cold Spring HarllOr Sym­
connteracting seleetive effects Oll the same or other genotYRes posia au Quantitative Biology, 15: 385-400.
FORD, E. H. 194:] GQn<;ties YOlO mcdiC:31 students. Loudon.
would be necessary to maintain stahility of gene frequencies
for any length of time. LEVINE. P. 1943 8ero]ngi,,"1 factors as possible causes iu spontaneous abortions.
J. Hereil., 24: 71-80.
It appears to the present anthor that tJ~ere is no middle NEEL, J. V. 1954- Implications of sOme recent developOlents ill hematological
gronnd between the doctrine of complete non-selectivity as ann serological genetics. AID . .T. Hum. Gen., ,(j: 208-223.
RAG,:, R. R 1n50 'fhe oight blond group systoms alld their inheritance. Cold
an explanation for the persistence of a heterozygous condition
Spring Harhor S)'rnposi" on Quantitative Biulogy, 15: 207-220.
. for many millenia, and the alternativeUloctrine of a dynami­ BAlm, R._ R., AND RUTH SANGER H150 Blood Groups in Man. Oxford.
I cally balanced set of selective factors which maintains the S0,HIFP, FRI'PZ, AND 'V. C. nOYD 1942 mood Gronping Technique. New York.
! diversity of the gene formula within certain limits. If non­ ,VA1'ERHOUSE, ,r. A. H., AND L. HOGlmN 194i Incompatibility of mother Rnd
fetus with respect to the isoagglutinogen A and its antibody. Brit. J.
selectivity breaks duwn at all, it hreaks down completely. Soe. Meil.. 1: 1-17.
On the basis of the evidencc~ above it is concluded that the ,VIEKER, A. S. 1943 Blood groups and 'l'ransfnsions:- ~pringfield, Ill. Chapter
latter doctrine must he held. XVIII of same. Reprinted in Yearbook of Phys. Anthrop., H145:
17;3-214.
On this hasis experimental calculations were made, to show WRIGHT', SEWALL 1941l L\daptation 'md Selection. Chapter in Genetics, Palae­
that a system of balanced selective effects could be made to ontology, aurl Evolution, pp. 065-389. Princeton.
explain in some detail the limitations on the present range 1951 The genetical strne.ture of populations. Ann. Engen., 15:
323-354.
of A-B-O gene frequencies. It is shown that on this basis

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi