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QUALIFICATIONS
Epidemiology at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. From 2006 to 2016 I was Chair
of the Department of Environmental Health at the Harvard Chan School. For the past ten years,
until April U* of this year, I have been Director of the HSPH - NIEHS Center for Environmental
Health, the oldest Core Science Center (now in its 56* year) supported by the National Institute
from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1972), and an MS (1974) and ScD (1979) in
Environmental Protection Agency Region 1 office in Boston, MA from 1972 to 1973, where I
did air quality modelling. 1 returned to school at the Harvard School of Public School in the fall
of 1973. During my first year of studies (1973-74) I worked part-time as a Staff Meteorologist at
Thoracic Society, the Society for Epidemiologic Research, and the International Society for
5. I was a Reviewer of the US EPA Air Quality Criteria for Particulate Matter and Sulfur
Oxides (1980), the Air Quality Criteria for Nitrogen Dioxide (1989, 1992), the Air Quality
Criteria for Ozone (1993), and the Air Quality Criteria for Particulate Matter (1995). I was a
Member of the US EPA Clean Air Science Advisory Committee (CASAC) Oxides of Nitrogen
6. To date, I have published 201 original research articles and 37 reviews and commentaries
in the peer-reviewed seientific journals. These publications have been frequently cited in the
scientific literature. A recent Web of Science search found 34 thousand citations to this body of
publications, including 6 articles with more than 1,000 citations, 23 publications with more than
Health Foundation (La Fundacion Mexicana para la Salud) for our paper entitled “Effects of
ambient ozone on respiratory function and symptoms in Mexico City schoolchildren.” In 2003,
my colleagues and I received the IMS Doctor Award from the Irish Journal of Medical Sciences
for the Best Clinical Research Paper (Respiratory and Overall) “Effect of air-pollution control on
death rates in Dublin, Ireland: an intervention study.” In 2009, my colleagues and I received the
first Best Environmental Epidemiology Paper Award from the International Society for
Environmental Epidemiology for our paper entitled “Fine-Particulate Air Pollution and Life
8. In 1999,1 received the first John Goldsmith Award from the International Society for
Environmental Epidemiology for sustained and outstanding contributions to the knowledge and
9. Over the past 45 years, my research has focused on air pollution exposures and their
associated health effects. In 1988,1 became Principal Investigator of the Harvard Six Cities
Study. That study examined the health effects of air pollution exposures in populations who have
been followed for over thirty-five years. We examined the growth of lung function in children,
its decline in adults, and the environmental risk factors affecting these trajectories. In 1993 our
team showed that life expectancy was strongly associated with community particulate air
pollution levels; that study remains the single most frequently cited paper in the air pollution
literature. Our studies were pioneering in identifying particulate air pollution as a trigger for
acute cardiovascular events. Our work has been instrumental in the designation of health-based
air pollution standards for fine particulate air pollution by the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency and the World Health Organization. My current work is assessing the health benefits of
TESTIMONY
10. Although air modeling was reported to have been conducted according to EPA
Guidelines, the choice of models and model inputs given the shoreline location was not
II. The site of the proposed compressor and pipeline at Fore River presents specific
challenges with regard to modelling air pollution concentrations in the surrounding communities.
This is a particular issue for the population in Braintree, which is west and immediately inland of
the Fore River site. Specifically, dispersion from such shoreline sites are affected by sea breeze
circulation which changes the wind directions, wind speeds and turbulence intensities both
spatially and temporally in the areas inland of sources on the coast. Under sea breeze conditions,
the plume can be carried inland aloft largely intact before being brought down to the ground in a
process known as “sea breeze fumigation.” The classic reference Meteorology and Atomic
"The sea breeze is important to diffusion studies at seaside locations because of the
associated changes in atmospheric stability, turbulence and transport patterns. Moreover
its almost daily occurrence at many seaside locations during the warmer seasons results
in significant differences in diffusion climatology over rather short distances. ”
^ Slade, D.H.. METEOROLOGY AND ATOMIC ENERGY, 1968. Section 2-3.5. doi:10.2172/4492043.
https://www.osti.fiov/biblio/4492043 . (Relevant sections are attached hereto as Exhibit 2.)
12. Selection ofAERMOD: The Trinity Consultants ‘‘‘'Updated Air Dispersion Modelling
Report”^ states that following the U.S. EPA’s Guideline on Air Quality Models^ AERMOD was
used to model the air quality impact of the proposed compressor and associated emissions. This
is consistent with the Traditional Stationary Source Models Recommendations in the EPA
13. However, as noted later (Section 6.0 Other Model Requirements and 7.0 General Model
Considerations) in the EPA Guidelines on Air Quality Models, other models are recommended
for sources on the shoreline. Specifically, the relevant sections are quoted below (emphasis
added).
Trinity Consultants, Updated Air Dispersion Modelling Report, Algonquin Gas Transmission, LLC > Weymouth
Compressor Station, Atlantic Bridge Project, Revised May 2018 (included in "Basic Documents")
^ U.S. era's Guideline on Air Quality Models, 40 CFR Part 51, Appendix W (7-1-11 edition) (attached hereto as
Exhibit 31
EPA’s Internet SCRAM Web site (subsection 2.3) may be applied on a
case-by-case basis when air quality estimates under shoreline fumigation
conditions are needed.
14. In summary, the selection of AERMOD for evaluation of air pollution exposures from the
proposed Weymouth Compressor Station at this shoreline location is not consistent with these
16. When applying the AERMET meteorological processor to process meteorological data
for the AERMOD model, the user must determine appropriate values for three surface
characteristics; surface roughness length {zq}, albedo {r}, and Bowen ratio {Bo}. These
parameters are used to adjust diffusion characteristics, and are in turn estimated by the
AERSURFACE^ tool. AERSURFACE requires the input of land cover data from the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS) National Land Cover Data 1992 archives (NLCD92), which it uses to
determine the land cover types for the user-specified location. AERSURFACE matches the
NLCD92 land cover categories to seasonal values of albedo, Bowen ratio, and surface roughness.
categories for the area within a 2 kilometer circle (Focus Area) of the proposed site (Updated Air
Dispersion Modeling Report, Table 3-2 Urban/Rural Determination Results). Based on the
observation that on 13.8% of the cells in this Focus Area were Urban, which they defined as
characterized the entire Focus Area as “Rural” for the AERSURFACE characterization of
18. However, 30% of the cells within the Focus Area (Table 3-2) are Open Water (Code 11).
There are major differences in AERSURFACE characterization for surface roughness, albedo,
and Bowen ratio between Urban, Rural, and Open Water land cover. To illustrate, the Table
below gives the surface roughness, albedo, and Bowen ratio for Mid-Summer conditions.
Table: Mid-Summer Surface Roughness, Albedo, and Bowen Ratio by NLCD 1992 3-2
Category
19. This Table shows the very substantial difference in Bowen Ratio (8 to 15 fold) and
Smface Roughness (50 to 100 fold) between Open Water (Code 11) and the Urban (Codes 222
21. By characterizing the entire area around the Weymouth Compressor site as Rural, Trinity
Consultants have not followed the AERMOD Implementation Guide which would have taken
into account the dominant Open Water surface characteristics at this site. This is of particular
importance for estimating the air pollution impacts of the Weymouth Compressor Station in
Braintree, as the upwind open-water fetch would reduce ground level dispersion characteristics.
22. Meteorological Data for AERMOD: AERMOD requires two types of meteorological
observations for its calculations - hourly records of surface meteorology (wind direction, wind
speed, air temperature, cloud cover, etc) and twice daily measures of the vertical temperature
data provided by MassDEP for the period 2012 to 2016 from National Weather Service site at
Logan International Airport (WBAN 14379) for the surface observations and vertical structure
8
data from the National Weather Service Rawinsonde Site (WBAN 74389, KGYX) at Gray,
Maine. The surface observations at Logan Airport are at a similar shoreline site less than 8 miles
from the Fore River, and therefore provide an excellent representation of surface meteorological
conditions at the Fore River site. The Gray, Maine Rawinsonde site approximately 11 miles from
the coast and approximately 120 miles from the Fore River site. While it represents generic
upper air conditions under most meteorological conditions in eastern New England, it does not
capture the vertical temperature structure of the atmosphere at shoreline locations during sea
breeze conditions. For context, a study of sea breeze conditions at Logan Airport formd 309 days
o
with sea breeze over a ten year period (1998-2007).
23. Conclusions Regarding Air Modeling: As noted at the outset, the unique location of the
modelling due to the temporally and spatially varying wind direction, wind speed, and vertical
dispersion characteristics during sea breeze conditions. The air pollution modelling of the
Weymouth Compressor Station fails to follow good practice for such conditions in three key
aspects.
1. The AERMOD model is not equipped to deal with emissions from shoreline sources,
and based on EPA Guidelines should not be used in this situation.
2. The designation of the entire modelled area as having the surface characteristics or a
“rural” area, is not consistent with large fraction of this area being open water. For
sea breeze conditions in which the wind would blow emissions from the Weymouth
Compressor Station over Braintree, the upwind overwater fetch produces minimal
surface roughness and possibly decreased vertical dispersion. Again, the EPA
Guidelines were not followed for specifying these surface characteristics given the
shoreline location.
3. While the use of Logan Airport observations is appropriate for surface meteorology,
the use of the inland site at Gray, Maine for measures of the vertical structure of the
Jennifer Thorp. "Eastern Massachusetts Sea Breeze Study" MS Thesis, Piymouth State University, May 2009
httos://www.nrc.BOv/docs/ML1106/ML110600926.Ddf. (Attached hereto as Exhibit 7).
atmosphere will not capture the unique spatially and temporally varying depth of the
mixing layer during sea breeze conditions.
24. These weaknesses in the model selection, choice of surface characteristics, and choice of
meteorological data call into question the ambient air exposure estimates for Braintree and the
single source without consideration of other sources or background ambient air concentrations
is not consistent with the stated MassDEP policies to protect the public health.
26. Total Versus Incremental Ambient Air TELs: Massachusetts DEP sets Threshold
Exposure Limits (TELs) to limit exposure from ambient air taking into account that people may
be exposed to a chemical from sources in addition to outdoor ambient air, including indoor air,
food, soil, and water.^ That is, chemical exposures from multiple sources are additive, and need
to be considered jointly. It follows that the chemical exposure in the ambient air from all sources
needs to be considered jointly, without separately considering the specific source of that airborne
exposure. Thus, the TELs for ambient air limit total chemical exposures, and not incremental
27. MassDEP Evaluation ofImpact on Toxic Air Pollutants: MassDEP has evaluated the
impact of the Weymouth Compressor project on the health of the population in the affected
Department of Environmental Protection, Air Quality Plan Approval, Transmittal no. X266786,11 January 2019,
Page 10.
population by comparing estimated air pollution exposures to AALs and TELs. In its “Response
to Public Comments”'® MassDEP described the review process as follows (emphasis added):
MassDEP required Algonquin to conduct toxics air dispersion modeling. In this modeling
Algonquin followed MassDEP’s long-standing protocol that requires an assessment of
the ambient concentrations of air toxics caused solely by that source’s emissions. These
modeled concentrations were then compared to the AALs and TELs to determine whether
there may be potentially unacceptable risks associated with that particular source. As
shown in the amended Table 5 of the Air Plan Approval, the maximum modeled 24-hour
and annual concentrations for each toxic air pollutant attributable to the facility are
below all applicable MassDEP’s AALs and TELs.
28. While the combined estimated ambient air exposures to formaldehyde and benzene from
the Wejnnouth Compressor project, other sources, and local background concentrations were
above TELs and AALs, in the Approval Letter of January 2019," MassDEP states “Based upon
a review of the modeling analysis contained in the application, maximum impacts from emissions
29. What is the basis for evaluating the impact of the Weymouth Compressor station alone
without consideration of background concentrations or other sources? I was not able to find
protocol is not consistent with the science discussed above that all airborne exposures to
chemieals are additive and contribute to net health risk. This protocol also is not consistent with
the MassDEP use of a relative souree contribution factor in defining TELs, which accounts for
cumulative risk of chemical exposures from multiple, independent pathways (outdoor air, indoor
° MassDEP Response to Public Comments on the "Proposed Plan Approval".January 2019, page 8 (included in
Basic Documents)
Department of Environmental Protection, Air Quality Plan Approval, Transmittal no. X266786,11 January 2019,
Page 11.
30. Finally this protocol is not consistent with the screening approach used by MassDEP for
31. Screening Evaluation of Criteria Air Pollutants: In their assessment of the impact of the
Weymouth Compressor station with respect to National Ambient Air Quality Standard,
MassDEP evaluates the modelled source-specific ambient air concentrations of the criteria air
32. These SILs have been recommended by US EPA as compliance demonstration tools for
evaluating impact of new sources. Guidance on the basis and implementation of SILs was
provided by the US EPA Office of Air Planning and Standards in a memorandum to all Regional
33. Note that the SILs are designed for Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD)
evaluation that is in cases in which existing ambient air concentrations are less than the National
Peter Tsirigotis. Guidance on Significant Impact Levels for Ozone and Fine Particles in the Prevention
of Significant Deterioration Permitting Program, Memorandum to Regional Air Division Directors, April
18, 2018. Office of Air Planning and Standards, US EPA https://www.eoa.gov/sites/production/files/2Q18-
04/documents/sils policy guidance document final signed 4-17-18.pdf. (Attached hereto as Exhibit 8).
34. SILs are set as a small fraction of the National Ambient Air Quality concentrations. For
example, the SIL for annual PM2.5 is 0.3 |Xg/m compared to the NAAQS of 12 |Lig/m , and for
24-hour PM2.5 the SIL is 1.2 pg/m^ compared to the NAAQS of 35 pg/m^. That is the PM2.5 SIL
is only 2.5% (1/40*) of the annual ambient air standard and 3.4% (~l/30*) of the 24-hour air
quality standard. SILs for the other criteria air pollutants are similarly only small fractions of the
NAAQS.
35. Thus, based on the US EPA Guidance and MassDEP practice in evaluating ambient air
• Screening values for criteria ambient air pollutants for compliance demonstration tools
for evaluating impact of new sources are defined by Significant Impact Levels.
• These screening values are applied only in the case of ambient air concentrations below
the air quality standards.
• Screening values are set at very small fractions of ambient air standards.
36. Screening Evaluation of Toxic Air Pollutants: In their assessment of the impact of the
Weymouth Compressor Station with respect to toxic air pollutants, MassDEP evaluates the
modelled source-specific ambient air concentrations of each chemical against MassDEP TELs
and AALs.
37. In contrast to the protocol used for evaluation of the source impact of the Weymouth
Compressor Station on criteria air pollutants this screening evaluation was applied in the case of
toxic air pollutants (benzene and formaldehyde) which have existing ambient concentrations
above the MassDEP ambient air standards (TELs and AALs). Secondly, the ambient air source
contributions of the Weymouth Compressor Station, were compared to the full ambient air
standards (100% of TELs and AAls), rather than an indicator of significant impact level, which
in the case of criteria air pollutants are only a small fraction (1/40**' to l/SO***) of the ambient air
standard.
38. Using a screening approach for toxic air pollutants consistent with the well documented
US EPA protocol for evaluating the impact of a new source for criteria air pollutants, benzene
and formaldehyde emissions from the proposed Weymouth Compressor Station would be denied
39. Expected ambient air concentrations of known human carcinogens (benzene and
formaldehyde) will exceed MassDEP standards for noncancer (TELs) and cancer (AALs).
40. Toxic Chemicals: Benzene and formaldehyde have been classified as Group 1
carcinogens by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (lARC), that is there is
sufficient evidence that these chemicals are known human carcinogens. There is not a defined
safe level (threshold) for these Group 1 human carcinogens. Rather, exposure limits are set to
41. Cancer risks from airborne exposures to each of these chemicals are toxicologically
equivalent and additive. That is there is no differentiation of chemical exposures for specific
sources of the Group 1 human carcinogens. Moreover, the MassDEP has set ambient air Annual
Ambient Limits (AALs) for these Group 1 human carcinogens recognizing that total dose comes
from multiple exposures through multiple pathways including not only outdoor air, but also
Metropolitan area (Boston and Lynn) and at the Weymouth Compressor site found levels of
formaldehyde and benzene above the TELs and AALs. Monitoring at the Fore River site
confirmed that benzene and formaldehyde ambient air concentrations already are above the TEL.
Any incremental increase in the ambient air benzene or formaldehyde concentrations would be a
43. Ambient air formaldehyde concentrations are consistently above the AAL (annual
average 0.08 |ig/m ). In 2017 the annual average formaldehyde was 2.3 jig/m in Boston, and 1.8
|ig/m^ in Lynn. Over the shortened sampling period of July to August 2018 in Weymouth, mean
average formaldehyde was 2.4 |Lig/m^. These average observed formaldehyde concentrations are
far above the AAL. They are also higher than or close to the 24-hour TEL of 2.0 |Xg/m^
indicating that most days are above the TEL. Indeed half of the sampled days in Weymouth (7 of
1
14 days) had 24-hour formaldehyde levels above the TEL.
44. Measured ambient air benzene concentrations also were above the MassDEP AAL
■3
(annual average 0.1 |Lig/m ) at the monitoring sits in Boston (2017 average 0.37 |a.g/m ) and
Lynn (2017 average 0.29 pg/m^), and slightly lower than the AAL in Weymouth (0.08 pg/m^).
During the short sampling period in Weymouth (August to November 2018) there were not any
24 hour average benzene concentrations observed above the TEL (24 hour average 0.6 pg/m^).
45. In summary, ambient air formaldehyde levels measured at the Weymouth Compressor
site had long term averages concentrations 3 times the AAL, and 24 hour values above the TEL
on half of the monitored days. In addition, average benzene concentrations in Weymouth were
See Figure 52, Health Impact Assessment of a Proposed Natural Gas Compressor Station in Weymouth, MA.
Metropolitan Area Planning Council, January 2019 (included in Basic Documents)
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80% of the AAL. These ohservations show this community is already at unacceptable cancer risk
from each of these VOCs. Moreover, together these two VOCs jointly produce an unacceptable
cancer risk. Adding to these background exposures even by a small increment is not protecting
46. Effects Are Not Independent: AALs and TELs consider each chemical separately and
pathologies in the body. Therefore the pharmaco-toxicologic pathways of these VOCs are likely
not independent but rather likely additive (or super-additive). Protecting the public health of the
affected population would call for considering the combined effects of these VOCs rather than