1
Damping Torque Estimation and Oscillatory
Stability Margin Prediction
Hassan Ghasemi and Claudio Cañizares
Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering
University of Watreloo, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
Emails: hghasemi@uwaterloo.ca and ccanizar@uwaterloo.ca
Abstract— The damping torque of linearized models of power
systems is studied here as a possible on-line security index,
based on system identification techniques applied to realistic
measurements. First, the theoretical values of damping and syn-
chronizing coefficients of the electromagnetic torque are discussed
in detail. These values are then used to investigate the accuracy of
damping coefficient identified from on-line measurements using
the ordinary least square (OLS) method. It is demonstrated that
OLS may not be able to correctly estimate the coefficients due
to the nonlinear nature of power system oscillations. Hence,
generalized least square (GLS) and robust fitting with bisquare
weights (RFBW) are applied to this system identification problem,
showing to be better alternatives. Based on these results, the
damping coefficient is proposed and studied as an index to
calculate the distance to the closest oscillatory instability point.
The results obtained from 3 test cases show that the index is
an effective tool, and can be of significant help to operators for
on-line security monitoring of power systems.
Index Terms— Damping torque, system identification, oscilla-
tory stability, stability indices, bifurcations.
I. I NTRODUCTION
On-line stability monitoring and system surveillance are
considered useful tools in the operation of power systems, as
these allow operators to guarantee system security by ensuring
that there is enough stability margin even in the case of severe
contingencies. These stability margins are typically associated
with voltage and/or oscillatory instabilities which have been
the cause for recent major blackouts (e.g. August 2003 North-
East blackout [1], August 1996 WSCC blackout [2]).
Some research has been carried on detection of oscillatory
instability points as well as their prediction and control [3],
[4], [5], [6]. They may be categorized as off-line and on-
line methods. Off-line methods are basically system studies
based on certain models and their corresponding differential
algebraic equations (DAE’s), and hence are highly dependent
on modeling assumptions as well as availability of accurate
system data. On the other hand, on-line methods, if properly
designed and implemented, can properly capture the actual
dynamic behavior of the system without the need for modeling
assumptions from on-line measurements.
In [3] and [4], the authors propose indices to predict the
closest oscillatory instability or Hopf bifurcation (HB) point.
These indices are based on the critical electromechanical
mode of the system that eventually crosses the imaginary
This research was partially supported by NSERC, Canada.
axis, as system loading changes, assuming that the critical
mode is known. When the system is close to HB point, these
indices present a fairly linear profile allowing for estimation of
stability/security margins. However, electromechanical modes
may present a highly nonlinear behavior, making it difficult
to determine the critical mode, unless the system is very
“close” to the instability point; in this case, these indices fail
to produce accurate estimates of the stability/security margins.
The authors in [7] and [8] investigate the behavior of
the damping and synchronizing torque of the system in a
single-machine-infinite-bus (SMIB), using the time domain
simulation results of the system and utilizing an ordinary
least square (OLS) method. This is then applied to a multi-
machine power system in [9], using classical model of gener-
ators without modeling exciters and governors. Other system
identification techniques such as Kalman filtering and genetic
algorithm have also been utilized to estimate damping and
synchronizing coefficients to achieve less computational time
as well as robustness to noisy measurements [10], [11]. Since
the authors in [9] demonstrate that damping torque variations
are closely related to the trend of electromechanical modes,
this torque could be in principle used as another index to
calculate the stability/security margins. However, the accuracy
of these estimated values have not been studied.
In this paper, the theoretical values of the damping and
synchronizing coefficients of the electromechanical torque
of linearized models (LM) of power systems are discussed,
in order to investigate the accuracy of parameter estimates
obtained using OLS techniques. The LM used is based on sub-
transient models of generators as well as a full representation
of exciters and governors. Alternative methods known as
generalized least square (GLS) and robust fitting with bisquare
weights (RFBW) are proposed to handle the cases when OLS
does not provide accurate estimates. Furthermore, the use of
the estimated damping torque coefficient as an index is studied.
The paper is structured as follows: In Section II, the
theoretical background on damping and synchronizing torques
is presented, and the procedure to derive the damping and
synchronizing coefficients from an LM is described. The
identification techniques used to estimate damping coefficient
from the measured response of the system are explained in
Section III. The results of applying the proposed identification
methods to calculate the damping coefficient are presented
and discussed in Section IV for a variety of test cases,
discussing the behavior of the damping torque coefficient as
 2

a stability/security index. Finally, Section V summarizes the + 1

∆ Tm j (s ) ∆ ω j (s )
main contributions of this paper. 2 Hs
-
∆ Te j (s )
II. BACKGROUND
 Ks 
The concept of damping and synchronizing torques for T j ( s ) =  K d j + j  ω0
 s 
a single-machine-infinite-bus (SMIB) system was first intro-
duced in [12]. Thus, electromechanical torque T e deviations of
Fig. 1. Torque-speed block diagram.
a machine can be expressed in terms of its speed ω and angle
δ deviations, known as damping and synchronizing torque,
respectively. The damping and synchronizing torques are the
A. Damping & Synchronizing Coefficient From Linearized
in time phase components proportional to the speed and angle
Models
deviations [7], and are defined as:
The state-space model of a power system, when linearized
∆Te (t) = Kd ω0 ∆ω(t) + Ks ∆δ(t) (1) about an operating point, can be represented as:

 
 
damping synchronizing ∆ẋ(t) = A ∆x(t) (5)
∆y(t) = C ∆x(t)
or in the frequency domain:
where ∆x ∈  is a vector of state variables that represents
n
Ks the state variables of generators, loads and other system
∆Te (s) = (Kd + ) ω0 ∆ω(s) (2)
s controllers; ∆y ∈ m is the vector of output variables; and A
where Kd (p.u./rad/sec) and K s (p.u.) are damping and and C are constant matrices resulting from the linearization
synchronizing coefficients, respectively; and ω 0 (rad/sec) is process. Let assume that only the i th mode of the system
the system angular frequency. The generator’s angle and speed λi = αi + jβi is excited by an initial condition x 0 in the
deviations in (1) are typically measured with respect to a center direction of right eigenvector U i associated with λi . Hence,
of inertia (COI), i.e. δ i = δ̂i − δCOI and ωi = ω̂i − ωCOI , any output y k (t) can be expressed as y k (t) = Ck Ui eλi t , or
where yk (s) = Ck Ui /(s − λi ) where Ck is the k th row of C. In
this case, one may write the following relationship between
1 
g
the speed and electrical torque of machine j, defined as D j :
δCOI = Mi δ̂i (3)
MT i=1 ∆Tej (t) ∆Tej (s) CTej Ui
Dj = = = (6)
1 dδCOI ∆ωj (t) ∆ωj (s) Cωj Ui
ωCOI =
ω0 dt This ratio is a complex number, i.e. D j = DRj + jDIj and
g can be calculated using state space model. Thus, from (2) and
where MT = i=1 Mi is the total inertia of the g generators.
(6),
Since ω0 ∆ω(t) = d∆δ(t)/dt or in discrete form α D 
ω0 ∆ω[k] = (∆δ[k] − ∆δ[k − 1])/Ts , where Ts is the sam- Ij
+ DRj
β
pling time, one can rewrite (1) as: Kdj = (7)
ω0
2
∆Te [k] = A ∆δ[k − 1] + B ∆δ[k] (4) −DIj |λi |
Ksj =
ω0 β
where A = −Kd /Ts and B = Kd /Ts + Ks . Equation (4) can
The Kdj and Ksj coefficients may be used in the torque-
be used to calculate A and B from sampled signals, yielding
speed block diagram as depicted in Fig. 1. This system is stable
Kd and Ks . Using (4), which only requires two signals T e and
if both Kdj and Ksj are positive, and becomes oscillatory
δ, as opposed to (1), which requires three signals T e , ω and δ,
instable at an operating condition where K d = 0 (HB point).
reduces the errors due to mean value and low frequency trends
Hence, Kd may be used as an index to predict the closest
in the measured signals, due to the effect of the governor’s
oscillatory instability.
response.
It is worth mentioning that the K d and Ks coefficients pre-
For a single-machine-infinite-bus (SMIB) system, the syn- sented here are different from the damping and synchronizing
chronizing and damping coefficients correctly define the fre- coefficients discussed in [13], [14], since in the latter, these
quency and damping of the electromechanical mode. However, coefficients are defined by disabling the shaft dynamics in all
for a multi-machine power system, the electromechanical generators, which is not the case here.
oscillations contain different modes, and hence a single mode
cannot simply be assigned to a single machine [9], since the
III. I DENTIFICATION T ECHNIQUES
oscillations of each machine are a linear combination of all
the modes. Hence, in this case, one must be aware that the A. Ordinary Least Square (OLS):
damping coefficient of a given machine includes the effect of Damping and synchronizing coefficients in (1) can be esti-
several modes. mated using an ordinary least square (OLS) method [7]. It is

basically a fitting problem which can be described as:
Y = [Ω ∆] θ + 
= Xθ + 
where Y =[Te [1] Te [2] ... Te [N ]]T ∈ N ;
Ω = ω0 [∆ω[1] ∆ω[2] ... ∆ω[N ] ] ∈ N ; T and is able to give different weights to each residues during
∆ =[∆δ[1] ∆δ[2] ... ∆δ[N ]]T ∈ N ;  ∈ N represents
“residuals” introduced to account for fitting errors and
measurement noise; θ = [K d , Ks ]T ; and N is the number of
samples. The ordinary least square estimate can be obtained
as:
θ̂OLS = (X T X)−1 X T Y. (9)
Here, θ̂OLS is unbiased, efficient (or Markov estimate), and
consistent when  is white noise with zero mean [15]. Further-
more, it is also identical to the maximum likelihood estimator
when  is normally distributed. However, the condition of
whiteness for the current application is not guaranteed, thus θ̂
might be biased. This will be clearly shown in a number of
case studies in Section IV.
B. Generalized Least Square (GLS)
From the system identification point of view, (8) can be
represented as follows:
y[k] = x[k] θ + H(q −1 ) e[k]
−1 −1
where e[k] is white noise; H (q ) is a whitening filter;
and q is the backward shifting operator defined by q −1 y[k] =
y[k − 1].
Selecting a proper candidate model set in this case,
which includes the true model, is an essential aspect to
obtain accurate parameter estimates. On the other hand, over-
parameterization can lead to high computational costs as well
as numerical problems (e.g. convergence and local minima).
Therefore, one should search for a model set that includes
the true model with as low number of parameters as possible.
It is also important to consider that choosing a rather simple
model, i.e. under-parameterization, might lead to inaccurate
parameter estimates [16].
The candidate model (10) with H(q −1 ) = 1, which leads to
(9), is not a general model and may not correctly represent the
power system dynamics. For example, when the perturbations
are large and hence the linearity assumption does not hold,
the OLS estimates can lead to erroneous results. Experience
shows that by adding a transfer function such as H(q −1 ) =
1/(1 + h1 q −1 + h2 q −2 + ... + hp q −p ) with p = 1 or 2, good
results can be obtained [15]. This method is also known as
generalized least square (GLS) and can be used to correctly
model the residuals or filter the nonlinear effects. In this case,
θ along with the parameters of the whitening filter have to
be estimated using prediction error methods (PEM). These
methods are basically based on an optimization problem such
as:
1  2
N
M in V = e [k]
N
k=1
−1 −1
s.t. e[k] = H (q ) {y[k] − x[k] θ}
3
C. Robust Fitting with Bisquare Weights (RFBW)
(8) Robust fitting may also be employed as another remedial
method for handling the nonlinear effects, which can occur
due to large deviations from an operating point. This method
is basically an iterative weighted least square (WLS) method,
the fitting process; data with lower quality are given less
weight, since the part of the signal that is distorted due to
the nonlinear effects is hard to fit, and hence should be less
important in the estimation process. One may consider using
small perturbations as a way to avoid nonlinearities; however,
in the current application, small disturbances may not be
feasible, since the perturbations have to be large enough to
be distinguished from measurement noise.
Robust fitting employs the following objective function,
which assigns weights to different predicted errors:
1 
N
M in V = ωk 2 [k] (12)
N
k=1
The estimated damping and synchronizing coefficients in this
case are:
θ̂W LS = (X T W X)−1 X T W Y. (13)
where W = diag{ω1 , ω2 , ... , ωN } ∈ N ×N . There are
(10) different weights which can be utilized in the objective func-
tion (12) [17]; in this work, bisquare weights are used. This
method has been previously used in economics to decrease the
sensitivity of least square to “extreme” values called outliers.
IV. T EST CASES
Several test cases based on 2 simple test systems and
their associated transient stability models, and the Power
System Toolbox (PST) [18] were used to generate the required
signals, i.e. electrical torque deviations, generator angle and
speed deviations. White Gaussian noise was added to the
mentioned signals as measurement noise, such that the signal-
to-noise ratio (SNR) would be 40 db. A Monte-Carlo type of
simulation was used to test the feasibility and accuracy of the
identified damping coefficient by simulating 20 independent
cases at each operating condition. Assuming a direction for
load change and generation dispatch, the damping coefficients
using (7) for the electromechanical mode of interest were
computed at different operating conditions using the small
signal stability analysis functions of PST. These values were
then compared to the mean value of the results obtained
from the identification methods OLS, GLS and RFBW based
on the time domain simulation results for the system. The
damping coefficient behavior with respect to load increase was
studied as a possible index to predict the margin to the closest
oscillatory instability.
It is important to mention that, in order to achieve highly
accurate parameter estimates, a proper time window for the
measurement that does not contain nonlinear and saturation
effects should be selected. However, it is not practical to delay
(11) the measurements until the oscillations are small enough and
nonlinear effects have completely disappeared, because this
can result in low SNR and consequently erroneous estimates.
 4

1 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 3
G1 G1 G3

G2 G4
Fig. 2. Single-Machine-Infinite-Bus (SMIB).
2 4

LM Area 1 Area 2
OLS
0.07 GLS
RFBW Fig. 4. Two-area benchmark system.
0.06

(a): Inter−area mode

0.05

5.5
0.04 : Schedule 1
*
Kd (p.u./rad/s)

Imag (rad/s)
0.03 5
o : Schedule 2
0.02
4.5
0.01
4
0
−0.3 −0.2 −0.1 0 0.1 0.2
−0.01 (b): Local mode − Area 1
7.6
−0.02

Imag (rad/s)
100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Loading (MW) 7.4
: Schedule 1
Fig. 3. Damping coefficient Kd for SMIB.
7.2 *o
: Schedule 2

7
In all test cases, in order to excite the system, a three phase
−1.1 −1 −0.9 −0.8 −0.7 −0.6 −0.5
fault was applied and quickly removed. A sampling time of (c): Local mode − Area 2
0.1 sec was used so that the measured signals contain at least
three oscillations periods. Choosing a longer window did not 8.6 * : Schedule 1
o : Schedule 2
Imag (rad/s)

provide satisfactory results, since once the oscillations are 8.4

well damped out, measured signals would not be informative
enough. This is especially important for the RFBW method, 8.2
as this would try to assign larger weights to the tale of the 8
signal, which has an almost negligible magnitude, leading to
erroneous results. −1.2 −1 −0.8 −0.6 −0.4 −0.2 0 0.2
−1
Real (sec )

A. Single-Machine-Infinite-Bus (SMIB) Fig. 5. Eigenvalue profiles for different dispatch scenarios; Schedules 1 and
2.
The generator in the simple test system depicted in Fig.
2 was modeled using sub-transient model. There is an elec- 1
Schedule 1
tromechanical mode which moves toward the right half plane Schedule 2
HB
(RHP) as the load increases from 100 MW to 700 MW, 0.99

resulting in an increase in tie-line power as well as a gradual *

0.98
decrease in the generator’s damping coefficient K d . The results HB
obtained for “theoretical” and estimated values of K d are 0.97
*
shown in Fig. 3; observe that all the identification methods
V (p.u.)

were able to correctly calculate K d . However, for heavy loads, 0.96

7

the different values for K d obtained from the various methods

used coincide, which is to be expected, since at light loading 0.95

conditions the mode is well-damped. This is akin to the case

0.94
when eigenvalues are to be identified using the time domain
response of the system, as reported in [3], [19].
0.93

B. Two-area Benchmark System 0.92

2800 2900 3000 3100 3200 3300 3400 3500 3600 3700 3800
Loading (MW)
The single line diagram of the two-area benchmark system
used here is shown in Fig. 4 [20]. There is an inter-area mode Fig. 6. PV curve at Bus 7 for the 2-area benchmark system.
and two local modes that change as the loads are increased.
Depending on the load and dispatch scenarios, one could
 5

G G G
G 2 1 2
1
0.04 0.04 LM:Inter−area mode 0.08
LM: Inter−area mode 0.08
LM:Local mode Area−2
OLS OLS
0.03 GLS 0.03 0.06 0.06
GLS
RFBW
K (p.u./rad/s)

Kd (p.u./rad/s)

Kd (p.u./rad/s)

Kd (p.u./rad/s)
RFBW
0.04 0.04
0.02 0.02
0.02
0.01 0.01 0.02
d

0
0 0 0
−0.02
−0.02
−0.01 −0.01
2000 2500 3000 3500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2400 2600 2800 3000 3200 3400 2400 2600 2800 3000 3200 3400
Loading (MW) Loading (MW) Loading (MW)
Loading (MW)
G G G G
3 4 3 4
0.02 0.05 0.08

0.015 0.04
0.04 0.06
0.03
Kd (p.u./rad/s)

Kd (p.u./rad/s)

Kd (p.u./rad/s)

Kd (p.u./rad/s)
0.01 0.04
0.02 0.02
0.005
0.02
0.01
0 0
0 0
−0.005 −0.01 −0.02 −0.02
−0.01 −0.02
2000 2500 3000 3500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2400 2600 2800 3000 3200 3400 2400 2600 2800 3000 3200 3400
Loading (MW) Loading (MW) Loading (MW) Loading (MW)

Fig. 7. Damping coefficients of all generators for the 2-area benchmark Fig. 8. Damping coefficients of all generators for the 2-area benchmark
system for Schedule 1. system for Schedule 2.

expect to have different eigenvalue profiles. For instance, in results in terms of accuracy in estimation as well as prediction.
this system, two dispatch scenarios, Schedules 1 and 2, result The RFBW’s accuracy is between the OLS and GLS, and from
in fairly different eigenvalue profiles, as depicted in Fig. 5. computational point of view, it is slower than OLS and faster
There is an HB point before the nose point, as shown in the than the GLS.
corresponding PV curves depicted in Fig. 6. The advantage of using K d , when compared to eigen-
1) Schedule 1: This dispatch results in the inter-area mode value based indices, is that, in order to monitor system
becoming unstable as loading increases. In this case, gener- stability/security margin, the damping coefficient is able to
ators G2 and G3 are dispatched proportionally to their base provide accurate margins without the need for monitoring
power as the loads at Bus 7 and 9 increase. Loads are modeled particular modes. This can be an issue for eigenvalue-based
as constant PQ loads and are increased with a constant power indices. For instance, the damping torque is able to capture
factor. The inter-area mode becomes unstable at a loading level the oscillatory phenomenon for both schedules; on the other
of about 3050 MW. This can also be observed clearly in Fig. hand, for Schedule 2, if only the inter-area mode were used
7, which depicts the theoretical and estimated values of K d as an index, it would yield inaccurate margins.
for this case study. Observe that all the calculated K d ’s tend
to zero as the load increases; however, the GLS method offers V. C ONCLUSION
superior performance in terms of predicting the HB point, The procedure to derive the theoretical values of damping
since the estimates are fairly close to the theoretical values. and synchronizing coefficients obtained using linearized mod-
2) Schedule 2: Schedule 2 is an interesting dispatch sce- els of power system was demonstrated. The accuracy of the
nario where the inter-area mode is primarily the critical one estimates based on system identification and measured time
until at certain loading level (3030 MW), the local mode domain response of the system was investigated by comparing
in Area 2 becomes critical, crossing the imaginary axis and them to theoretical values.
hence leading the system to oscillatory instability conditions The GLS and RFBW identification methods are better alter-
at a loading level of about 3150 MW. In this case, the loads natives to the OLS method. In particular, it is shown that OLS
are increased as in Schedule 1; however, only Generator G 3 may not be able to accurately estimate the coefficients due to
is dispatched to respond to the load change. This certainly the nonlinear effects that appear in the measured response of
stresses G3 more, and thus the local mode in Area 2 becomes a power system, especially when the system is well-damped.
critical, as shown in Fig. 5. These effects can be reduced using smaller perturbations.
For this scenario, it is possible to compute two values of However, there is a trade off between the magnitude of the
Kd using (7) which are associated with the inter-area mode perturbation and SNR of the measured signals, i.e. the lower
and the local mode in Area 2, as depicted in Fig. 8. Since both the SNR, the less accurate the estimates.
inter-area and local mode in Area 2 are dominant modes, time The damping coefficient is shown to be a useful index
domain simulation results, in this case, would be influenced to predict the distance to instability points when system
by both of them, and so would be the identified K d ’s. Notice load changes. It is basically a close duplicate of the elec-
that in this case, the values obtained for K d from OLS are tromechanical modes’ behavior; however, it does not require
not accurate. Neither are the predicted stability margins. On the monitoring of certain modes which can be an issue in
the other hand, the K d ’s obtained using GLS present the best large systems. Hence, this index may help system operators
 6

to determine proximity to an oscillatory instability, without
requiring modeling assumptions and simulations and thus
allowing to take proper action in the case of contingencies
and/for congestion problems.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The authors would like to express their gratitude to Pow-
ertech Labs Inc. personnel and Hamidreza Zareipour from
University of Waterloo for their valuable help, comments and
discussions.
Hassan Ghasemi (S’01) received his B.Sc. and M.Sc. degree from the
University of Tehran, Iran, in 1999 and 2001, respectively. He did research
on analysis and design of machine drives during his master program. He also
worked in Jovain Electrical Machines Co. (JEMCO) 2000-2001 as a part-
time electrical engineer. He has been in the Ph.D. program at the Electrical
and Computer Engineering Department, University of Waterloo, Canada, since
2002 working in the field of power system modeling and application of system
identification to stability analysis of power systems.

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