ANALISIS ESTADISTICO DE LA ESTACION PLUVIOMETRICA 301

AÑO m X (mm) X*0,10

1960 1 95.05 9.51
1961 2 98.13 9.81
1962 3 100.18 10.02
1963 4 101.66 10.17
1964 5 101.76 10.18
1965 6 105.21 10.52
1966 7 105.81 10.58
1967 8 106.4 10.64
1968 9 107.43 10.74
1969 10 107.62 10.76
1970 11 108.75 10.88
1971 12 110.77 11.08
1972 13 114.31 11.43
1973 14 116.69 11.67
1974 15 119.52 11.95
1975 16 123 12.30
1976 17 123.22 12.32
1977 18 124.31 12.43
1978 19 127.82 12.78
1979 20 128.15 12.82
1980 21 132.49 13.25
1981 22 134.1 13.41
1982 23 136.22 13.62
1983 24 144.22 14.42
1984 25 145.79 14.58
1985 26 146.08 14.61
1986 27 153.64 15.36
1987 28 153.97 15.40
1988 29 154.8 15.48
1989 30 156.8 15.68
1990 31 158.48 15.85
1991 32 162.29 16.23
1992 33 164.35 16.44
1993 34 169.18 16.92
1994 35 169.64 16.96
1995 36 177 17.70
1996 37 182.53 18.25
1997 38 183.11 18.31
1998 39 183.49 18.35
1999 40 184.98 18.50
2000 41 193.78 19.38
2001 42 193.88 19.39
2002 43 197.58 19.76
2003 44 207.78 20.78
2004 45 208.18 20.82
2005 46 212.48 21.25
2006 47 217.52 21.75
2007 48 239.07 23.91
2008 49 256.62 25.66
2009 50 266.54 26.65
 N 50 Δt 0.100
S 4.361241368 Δ0 0.192
PROM. 15.22476

CONDICION SI D TABULAT MAX < D CRITICO SI CUMPLE

P(%) F(Z)
16 10.86
50 15.22
85 19.59

REGISTRO HISTORICO DE INCAHUASI

30.00

25.00

20.00

15.00

10.00

5.00

0.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100

DISTRIBUCIONES TEÓRICAS QUE MEJOR SE AJUSTAN A LOS DATOS

 WEIBULL CALIFORNIA HAZEN
X*0,10
PX(1) PX(1)*100 PX(2) PX(2)*100 PX(3) PX(3)*100
9.51 0.0196 1.96 0.02 2 0.01 1
9.81 0.0392 3.92 0.04 4 0.03 3
10.02 0.0588 5.88 0.06 6 0.05 5
10.17 0.0784 7.84 0.08 8 0.07 7
10.18 0.0980 9.80 0.10 10 0.09 9
10.52 0.1176 11.76 0.12 12 0.11 11
10.58 0.1373 13.73 0.14 14 0.13 13
10.64 0.1569 15.69 0.16 16 0.15 15
10.74 0.1765 17.65 0.18 18 0.17 17
10.76 0.1961 19.61 0.2 20 0.19 19
10.88 0.2157 21.57 0.22 22 0.21 21
11.08 0.2353 23.53 0.24 24 0.23 23
11.43 0.2549 25.49 0.26 26 0.25 25
11.67 0.2745 27.45 0.28 28 0.27 27
11.95 0.2941 29.41 0.3 30 0.29 29
12.30 0.3137 31.37 0.32 32 0.31 31
12.32 0.3333 33.33 0.34 34 0.33 33
12.43 0.3529 35.29 0.36 36 0.35 35
12.78 0.3725 37.25 0.38 38 0.37 37
12.82 0.3922 39.22 0.4 40 0.39 39
13.25 0.4118 41.18 0.42 42 0.41 41
13.41 0.4314 43.14 0.44 44 0.43 43
13.62 0.4510 45.10 0.46 46 0.45 45
14.42 0.4706 47.06 0.48 48 0.47 47
14.58 0.4902 49.02 0.5 50 0.49 49
14.61 0.5098 50.98 0.52 52 0.51 51
15.36 0.5294 52.94 0.54 54 0.53 53
15.40 0.5490 54.90 0.56 56 0.55 55
15.48 0.5686 56.86 0.58 58 0.57 57
15.68 0.5882 58.82 0.6 60 0.59 59
15.85 0.6078 60.78 0.62 62 0.61 61
16.23 0.6275 62.75 0.64 64 0.63 63
16.44 0.6471 64.71 0.66 66 0.65 65
16.92 0.6667 66.67 0.68 68 0.67 67
16.96 0.6863 68.63 0.7 70 0.69 69
17.70 0.7059 70.59 0.72 72 0.71 71
18.25 0.7255 72.55 0.74 74 0.73 73
18.31 0.7451 74.51 0.76 76 0.75 75
18.35 0.7647 76.47 0.78 78 0.77 77
18.50 0.7843 78.43 0.8 80 0.79 79
19.38 0.8039 80.39 0.82 82 0.81 81
19.39 0.8235 82.35 0.84 84 0.83 83
19.76 0.8431 84.31 0.86 86 0.85 85
20.78 0.8627 86.27 0.88 88 0.87 87
20.82 0.8824 88.24 0.9 90 0.89 89
21.25 0.9020 90.20 0.92 92 0.91 91
21.75 0.9216 92.16 0.94 94 0.93 93
23.91 0.9412 94.12 0.96 96 0.95 95
25.66 0.9608 96.08 0.98 98 0.97 97
26.65 0.9804 98.04 1 100 0.99 99
X*0,10 z f(z) w-f(z) c-f(z)
9.51 -1.3115 0.09484 0.075 0.075
9.81 -1.2409 0.10733 0.068 0.067
10.02 -1.1939 0.11626 0.057 0.056
10.17 -1.1599 0.12304 0.045 0.043
10.18 -1.1576 0.12350 0.025 0.024
10.52 -1.0785 0.14040 0.023 0.020
10.58 -1.0648 0.14349 0.006 0.003
10.64 -1.0513 0.14657 0.010 0.013
10.74 -1.0276 0.15206 0.024 0.028
10.76 -1.0233 0.15309 0.043 0.047
10.88 -0.9974 0.15929 0.056 0.061
11.08 -0.9511 0.17079 0.065 0.069
11.43 -0.8699 0.19218 0.063 0.068
11.67 -0.8153 0.20745 0.067 0.073
11.95 -0.7504 0.22650 0.068 0.073
12.30 -0.6706 0.25123 0.062 0.069
12.32 -0.6656 0.25284 0.080 0.087
12.43 -0.6406 0.26090 0.092 0.099
12.78 -0.5601 0.28770 0.085 0.092
12.82 -0.5525 0.29029 0.102 0.110
13.25 -0.4530 0.32526 0.087 0.095
13.41 -0.4161 0.33866 0.093 0.101
13.62 -0.3675 0.35662 0.094 0.103
14.42 -0.1841 0.42698 0.044 0.053
14.58 -0.1481 0.44114 0.049 0.059
14.61 -0.1414 0.44377 0.066 0.076
15.36 0.0319 0.51273 0.017 0.027
15.40 0.0395 0.51575 0.033 0.044
15.48 0.0585 0.52333 0.045 0.057
15.68 0.1044 0.54157 0.047 0.058
15.85 0.1429 0.55682 0.051 0.063
16.23 0.2303 0.59106 0.036 0.049
16.44 0.2775 0.60930 0.038 0.051
16.92 0.3882 0.65108 0.016 0.029
16.96 0.3988 0.65498 0.031 0.045
17.70 0.5676 0.71483 0.009 0.005
18.25 0.6944 0.75627 0.031 0.016
18.31 0.7077 0.76042 0.015 0.000
18.35 0.7164 0.76312 0.002 0.017
18.50 0.7505 0.77353 0.011 0.026
19.38 0.9523 0.82953 0.026 0.010
19.39 0.9546 0.83011 0.007 0.010
19.76 1.0394 0.85070 0.008 0.009
20.78 1.2733 0.89855 0.036 0.019
20.82 1.2825 0.90016 0.018 0.000
21.25 1.3811 0.91637 0.014 0.004
21.75 1.4966 0.93276 0.011 0.007
23.91 1.9908 0.97675 0.036 0.017
25.66 2.3932 0.99165 0.031 0.012
26.65 2.6206 0.99561 0.015 0.004
Δt 0.102 0.110
j-f(z)
0.085
0.077
0.066
0.053
0.034
0.030
0.013
0.003
0.018
0.037
0.051
0.059
0.058
0.063
0.063
0.059
0.077
0.089
0.082
0.100
0.085
0.091
0.093
0.043
0.049
0.066
0.017
0.034
0.047
0.048
0.053
0.039
0.041
0.019
0.035
0.005
0.026
0.010
0.007
0.016
0.020
0.000
0.001
0.029
0.010
0.006
0.003
0.027
0.022
0.006
0.100
 DISTRIBUCION ESTADISTICAS PARA ESTACION 301
TR(AÑOS)
NORMAL LOG N. 2P LOG. N. 3P GAM. 2P GAM. 3P LOG. PEA. GUMBEL GUMBEL LOG
2 15.23 14.65 14.29 14.84 14.69 14.47 14.51 14.00
5 18.89 18.5 18.32 18.59 18.65 18.42 18.36 17.88
10 20.81 20.9 21.14 20.77 21.04 21.04 20.91 21.03
25 22.86 23.8 24.85 23.28 23.84 24.39 24.14 25.81
50 24.18 25.88 27.72 24.99 25.79 26.92 26.53 30.04
100 25.37 27.91 30.66 26.6 27.64 29.47 28.9 34.93
200 26.46 29.91 33.69 28.12 29.41 32.06 31.27 40.59

45

40

35

30 NORMAL
LOG NORMAL 2P
25 LOG NORMAL 3P
GAMMA 2P
20 GAMMA 3P
LOG PEARSON
15 Col umn H
LOG GUMBEL
10

0
0 50 100 150 200 250
Distribución de probabilidades pluviométricas Subcuenca 301

Mes Precipitación (mm)

Nº Año
Max. Precip. xi (xi - x)^2

1 1960 0 9.51 32.72

2 1961 0 9.81 29.29
3 1962 0 10.02 27.11
4 1963 0 10.17 25.59
5 1964 0 10.18 25.49
6 1965 0 10.52 22.13
7 1966 0 10.58 21.56
8 1967 0 10.64 21.02
9 1968 0 10.74 20.09
10 1969 0 10.76 19.92
11 1970 0 10.88 18.92
12 1971 0 11.08 17.20
13 1972 0 11.43 14.39
14 1973 0 11.67 12.64
15 1974 0 11.95 10.71
16 1975 0 12.30 8.55
17 1976 0 12.32 8.43
18 1977 0 12.43 7.81
19 1978 0 12.78 5.97
20 1979 0 12.82 5.81
21 1980 0 13.25 3.90
22 1981 0 13.41 3.29
23 1982 0 13.62 2.57
24 1983 0 14.42 0.64
25 1984 0 14.58 0.42
26 1985 0 14.61 0.38
27 1986 0 15.36 0.02
28 1987 0 15.40 0.03
29 1988 0 15.48 0.07
30 1989 0 15.68 0.21
31 1990 0 15.85 0.39
32 1991 0 16.23 1.01
33 1992 0 16.44 1.46
34 1993 0 16.92 2.87
35 1994 0 16.96 3.02
36 1995 0 17.70 6.13
37 1996 0 18.25 9.17
38 1997 0 18.31 9.52
39 1998 0 18.35 9.76
40 1999 0 18.50 10.71
41 2000 0 19.38 17.25
42 2001 0 19.39 17.33
43 2002 0 19.76 20.55
44 2003 0 20.78 30.84
45 2004 0 20.82 31.28
46 2005 0 21.25 36.28
47 2006 0 21.75 42.60
48 2007 0 23.91 75.38
49 2008 0 25.66 108.94
50 2009 0 26.65 130.63
50 Suma 761.2 932.0
 Cálculo variables probabilísticas Cálculo de las Precipitaciones Diarias Máximas Probables para distint

x
x i
 15.22 mm Periodo Variable Precip. Prob. de
n Retorno Reducida (mm) ocurrencia
Años YT XT'(mm) F(xT)

n 2 0.3665 14.5100 0.5002

x  x
2
i 5 1.4999 18.3600 0.7999
i 1
S  4.36 mm 10 2.2504 20.9100 0.8999
n 1 25 3.1985 24.1400 0.9600
50 3.9019 26.5300 0.9800
6
 * s  3.40 mm 100 4.6001 28.9000 0.9900
 200 5.2958 31.2700 0.9950
 x u 
  
u  x  0.5772 *   13.26 e   
F x  e
mm
Probables para distintas frecuencias

Corrección
intervalo fijo
XT (mm)

16.3963
20.7468
23.6283
27.2782
29.9789
32.6570
35.3351
 x u 
  
e   
F x  e
Coeficientes para las relaciones a la lluvia de duración 24 horas Fuente: D. F. Campos A., 1978

Duraciones, en horas
1 2 3 4 5 6 8
0.30 0.39 0.46 0.52 0.57 0.61 0.68

Precipitaciones máximas para diferentes tiempos de duración de lluvias

Tiempo de Precipitación máxima Pd (mm) por tiempos de duración

Cociente
Duración 2 años 5 años 10 años 25 años 50 años
24 hr X24 16.3963 20.7468 23.6283 27.2782 29.9789
18 hr X18 = 91% 14.9206 18.8796 21.5018 21.8226 27.2808
12 hr X12 = 80% 13.1170 16.5974 18.9026 21.8226 23.9831
8 hr X8 = 68% 11.1495 14.1078 16.0672 18.5492 20.3857
6 hr X6 = 61% 10.0017 12.6555 14.4133 16.6397 18.2871
5 hr X5 = 57% 9.3459 11.8257 13.4681 15.5486 17.0880
4 hr X4 = 52% 8.5261 10.7883 12.2867 14.1847 15.5890
3 hr X3 = 46% 7.5423 9.5435 10.8690 12.5480 13.7903
2 hr X2 = 39% 6.3946 8.0913 9.2150 10.6385 11.6918
1 hr X1 = 30% 4.9189 6.2240 7.0885 8.1835 8.9937
uente: D. F. Campos A., 1978

12 18 24
0.80 0.91 1.00

tiempos de duración
100 años 200 años
32.6570 35.3351
29.7179 32.1549
26.1256 28.2681
22.2068 24.0279
19.9208 21.5544
18.6145 20.1410
16.9816 18.3743
15.0222 16.2541
12.7362 13.7807
9.7971 10.6005
Intensidades de lluvia a partir de Pd, según Duración de precipitación y Frecuencia de la misma

Tiempo de duración Intensidad de la lluvia (mm /hr) según el Periodo de Retorno

Hr min 2 años 5 años 10 años 25 años 50 años
24 hr 1440 0.6832 0.8645 0.9845 1.1366 1.2491
18 hr 1080 0.8289 1.0489 1.1945 1.2124 1.5156
12 hr 720 1.0931 1.3831 1.5752 1.8185 1.9986
8 hr 480 1.3937 1.7635 2.0084 2.3186 2.5482
6 hr 360 1.6670 2.1093 2.4022 2.7733 3.0479
5 hr 300 1.8692 2.3651 2.6936 3.1097 3.4176
4 hr 240 2.1315 2.6971 3.0717 3.5462 3.8973
3 hr 180 2.5141 3.1812 3.6230 4.1827 4.5968
2 hr 120 3.1973 4.0456 4.6075 5.3192 5.8459
1 hr 60 4.9189 6.2240 7.0885 8.1835 8.9937
ecuencia de la misma

n el Periodo de Retorno
100 años 200 años
1.3607 1.4723
1.6510 1.7864
2.1771 2.3557
2.7758 3.0035
3.3201 3.5924
3.7229 4.0282
4.2454 4.5936
5.0074 5.4180
6.3681 6.8903
9.7971 10.6005
 K T m
Representación matemática de las curvas Intensidad - Duración - Período de retorno: I 
tn

Realizando un cambio de variable: d  K T m

d
Con lo que de la anterior expresión se obtiene: I n
 I  d  t n
t

Periodo de retorno para T = 2 años

Nº x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 0.6832 7.2724 -0.3810 -2.7708 52.8878
2 1080 0.8289 6.9847 -0.1876 -1.3105 48.7863
3 720 1.0931 6.5793 0.0890 0.5856 43.2865
4 480 1.3937 6.1738 0.3320 2.0494 38.1156
5 360 1.6670 5.8861 0.5110 3.0078 34.6462
6 300 1.8692 5.7038 0.6255 3.5677 32.5331
7 240 2.1315 5.4806 0.7568 4.1479 30.0374
8 180 2.5141 5.1930 0.9219 4.7875 26.9668
9 120 3.1973 4.7875 1.1623 5.5645 22.9201
10 60 4.9189 4.0943 1.5931 6.5226 16.7637
10 4980 20.2968 58.1555 5.4230 26.1517 346.9435
Ln (d) = 4.1269 d = 61.9866 n= -0.6164

Periodo de retorno para T = 5 años

Nº x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 0.8645 7.2724 -0.1457 -1.0593 52.8878
2 1080 1.0489 6.9847 0.0477 0.3332 48.7863
3 720 1.3831 6.5793 0.3243 2.1339 43.2865
4 480 1.7635 6.1738 0.5673 3.5023 38.1156
5 360 2.1093 5.8861 0.7463 4.3930 34.6462
6 300 2.3651 5.7038 0.8608 4.9100 32.5331
7 240 2.6971 5.4806 0.9922 5.4377 30.0374
8 180 3.1812 5.1930 1.1573 6.0096 26.9668
9 120 4.0456 4.7875 1.3976 6.6912 22.9201
10 60 6.2240 4.0943 1.8284 7.4862 16.7637
10 4980 25.6822 58.1555 7.7763 39.8378 346.9435
Ln (d) = 4.3623 d = 78.4338 n= -0.6164
 Periodo de retorno para T = 10 años
Nº x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 0.9845 7.2724 -0.0156 -0.1135 52.8878
2 1080 1.1945 6.9847 0.1778 1.2416 48.7863
3 720 1.5752 6.5793 0.4544 2.9896 43.2865
4 480 2.0084 6.1738 0.6973 4.3052 38.1156
5 360 2.4022 5.8861 0.8764 5.1585 34.6462
6 300 2.6936 5.7038 0.9909 5.6518 32.5331
7 240 3.0717 5.4806 1.1222 6.1505 30.0374
8 180 3.6230 5.1930 1.2873 6.6849 26.9668
9 120 4.6075 4.7875 1.5277 7.3138 22.9201
10 60 7.0885 4.0943 1.9585 8.0187 16.7637
10 4980 29.2492 58.1555 9.0769 47.4011 346.9435
Ln (d) = 4.4923 d = 89.3274 n= -0.6164

Periodo de retorno para T = 25 años

Nº x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 1.1366 7.2724 0.1280 0.9311 52.8878
2 1080 1.2124 6.9847 0.1926 1.3451 48.7863
3 720 1.8185 6.5793 0.5980 3.9346 43.2865
4 480 2.3186 6.1738 0.8410 5.1921 38.1156
5 360 2.7733 5.8861 1.0200 6.0040 34.6462
6 300 3.1097 5.7038 1.1345 6.4711 32.5331
7 240 3.5462 5.4806 1.2659 6.9378 30.0374
8 180 4.1827 5.1930 1.4309 7.4308 26.9668
9 120 5.3192 4.7875 1.6713 8.0015 22.9201
10 60 8.1835 4.0943 2.1021 8.6068 16.7637
10 4980 33.6007 58.1555 10.3845 54.8549 346.9435
Ln (d) = 4.7233 d = 112.5414 n= -0.6336

Periodo de retorno para T = 50 años

Nº x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 1.2491 7.2724 0.2224 1.6177 52.8878
2 1080 1.5156 6.9847 0.4158 2.9043 48.7863
3 720 1.9986 6.5793 0.6924 4.5558 43.2865
4 480 2.5482 6.1738 0.9354 5.7749 38.1156
5 360 3.0479 5.8861 1.1144 6.5597 34.6462
6 300 3.4176 5.7038 1.2289 7.0096 32.5331
7 240 3.8973 5.4806 1.3603 7.4552 30.0374
8 180 4.5968 5.1930 1.5254 7.9211 26.9668
9 120 5.8459 4.7875 1.7657 8.4535 22.9201
10 60 8.9937 4.0943 2.1965 8.9933 16.7637
10 4980 37.1105 58.1555 11.4573 61.2450 346.9435
Ln (d) = 4.7304 d = 113.3360 n= -0.6164
 Periodo de retorno para T = 100 años
Nº x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 1.3607 7.2724 0.3080 2.2399 52.8878
2 1080 1.6510 6.9847 0.5014 3.5020 48.7863
3 720 2.1771 6.5793 0.7780 5.1187 43.2865
4 480 2.7758 6.1738 1.0210 6.3032 38.1156
5 360 3.3201 5.8861 1.2000 7.0633 34.6462
6 300 3.7229 5.7038 1.3145 7.4976 32.5331
7 240 4.2454 5.4806 1.4458 7.9241 30.0374
8 180 5.0074 5.1930 1.6109 8.3654 26.9668
9 120 6.3681 4.7875 1.8513 8.8631 22.9201
10 60 9.7971 4.0943 2.2821 9.3436 16.7637
10 4980 40.4257 58.1555 12.3130 66.2211 346.9435
Ln (d) = 4.8159 d = 123.4606 n= -0.6164

Periodo de retorno para T = 200 años

Nº x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 1.4723 7.2724 0.3868 2.8131 52.8878
2 1080 1.7864 6.9847 0.5802 4.0525 48.7863
3 720 2.3557 6.5793 0.8568 5.6373 43.2865
4 480 3.0035 6.1738 1.0998 6.7898 38.1156
5 360 3.5924 5.8861 1.2788 7.5273 34.6462
6 300 4.0282 5.7038 1.3933 7.9472 32.5331
7 240 4.5936 5.4806 1.5247 8.3561 30.0374
8 180 5.4180 5.1930 1.6897 8.7747 26.9668
9 120 6.8903 4.7875 1.9301 9.2404 22.9201
10 60 10.6005 4.0943 2.3609 9.6664 16.7637
10 4980 43.7409 58.1555 13.1012 70.8047 346.9435
Ln (d) = 4.8947 d = 133.5852 n= -0.6164
 K T m
I 
tn
 en la cual:
I= Intensidad (mm/hr)
t= Duración de la lluvia (min)
T= Período de retorno (años)
K, m, n = Parámetros de ajuste
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Serie T= 2 años
x
1440
Regresión T= 2 años
1080
720
6
480
4 f(x) = 61.9866257743 x^-0.6163860881 360
R² = 0.9994380348
300
2
240
0 180
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
120
Duración (min)
60
I Vs. t Power (I Vs . t)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Serie T= 5 años
x
1440
Regresión T= 5 años
1080
720
8
480
f(x) = 78.4338007729 x^-0.6163860881 360
4 R² = 0.9994380348
300
240
0 180
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
120
Duración (min)
60
Column D Power (Column D)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r) Serie T= 10 años
x
1440
Regresión T= 10 años
1080
720
8
480
f(x) = 89.3273842136 x^-0.6163860881
R² = 0.9994380348 360
4
300
240
0 180
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
120
Duración (min)
60
I vs T Power (I v s T)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Serie T= 25 años
x
1440
Regresión T= 25 años
1080
720
12
480
8
f(x) = 112.5414097385 x^-0.6336250046 360
R² = 0.9952916657 300
4
240
0 180
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
120
Duración (min)
60
I vs T Power (I v s T)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Serie T= 50 años
x
1440
Regresión T= 50 años
1080
720
10
480
f(x) = 113.3359877182 x^-0.6163860881
R² = 0.9994380348 360
5
300
240
0 180
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
120
Duración (min)
60
I vs T Power (I vs T)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r) Serie T= 100 años
x
1440
Regresión T= 100 años
1080
720
45
40 480
35
30 360
25
20 300
15
10 240
5 f(x) = 123.4606123278 x^-0.6163860881
0 R² = 0.9994380348 180
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 120
Duración (min) 60
I vs T Power (I vs T)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Serie T= 200 años

x
1440
Regresión T= 200 años 1080
720
480
360
300
240
f(x) = 133.5852369374 x^-0.6163860881
180
R² = 0.9994380348
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 120
Duración (min) 60
Column D Power (Column D)
Serie T= 2 años
y
0.6832
0.8289
1.0931
1.3937
1.6670
1.8692
2.1315
2.5141
3.1973
4.9189

Serie T= 5 años
y
0.8645
1.0489
1.3831
1.7635
2.1093
2.3651
2.6971
3.1812
4.0456
6.2240
Serie T= 10 años
y
0.9845
1.1945
1.5752
2.0084
2.4022
2.6936
3.0717
3.6230
4.6075
7.0885

Serie T= 25 años
y
1.1366
1.2124
1.8185
2.3186
2.7733
3.1097
3.5462
4.1827
5.3192
8.1835

Serie T= 50 años
y
1.2491
1.5156
1.9986
2.5482
3.0479
3.4176
3.8973
4.5968
5.8459
8.9937
Serie T= 100 años
y
1.3607
1.6510
2.1771
2.7758
3.3201
3.7229
4.2454
5.0074
6.3681
9.7971

Serie T= 200 años

y
1.4723
1.7864
2.3557
3.0035
3.5924
4.0282
4.5936
5.4180
6.8903
10.6005
 Resumen de aplicación de regresión potencial
Periodo de
Retorno (años)
2
5
10
25
50
100
200
Promedio =

Nº
Término ctte. de
regresión (d)
61.98662577426
78.43380077294
89.32738421363
112.54140973852
113.33598771821
123.46061232778
133.58523693736
101.81015106896

En función del cambio de variable realizado, se realiza otra regresión de potencia entre las columnas del perio
el término constante de regresión (d), para obtener valores de la ecuación:

x
d  K T m
Coef. de
regresión [n]

t
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.63362500463
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61638608809
-0.61884879045

Regresión potencial
y ln x ln y
1 2 61.9866 0.6931 4.1269
2 5 78.4338 1.6094 4.3623
3 10 89.3274 2.3026 4.4923
4 25 112.5414 3.2189 4.7233
5 50 113.3360 3.9120 4.7304
6 100 123.4606 4.6052 4.8159
7 200 133.5852 5.2983 4.8947
7 392 712.6711 21.6396 32.1458
Ln (K) = 4.0893 K = 59.6972 m=

Termino constante de regresión (K) = 59.6972

Coef. de regresión (m) = 0.162703
C o n s t a n t e d e R e g re s ió n d

140
135 f(x) = 59.6972444405 x^0.1627029917
130 R² = 0.9508272534
125
120
115
110
105
100
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Período de Retorno (años)

d Vs . T Power (d Vs . T)
105
100
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Período de Retorno (años)

d Vs . T Power (d Vs . T)
cial
t
a entre las columnas del periodo de retorno (T) y

ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
2.8606 0.4805
7.0208 2.5903
10.3439 5.3019
15.2038 10.3612
18.5053 15.3039
22.1781 21.2076
25.9339 28.0722
102.0463 83.3175
0.1627

x y
2 61.9866
5 78.4338
10 89.3274
25 112.5414
50 113.3360
100 123.4606
200 133.5852
La ecuación de intensidad válida para la cuenca resulta:

0.162703
59.6972 * T
I= 0.61885
t

Tabla de intensidades - Tiempo de duración

Frecuencia Duración en minutos
años 30 60 90 120 150 180
2 8.14 5.30 4.13 3.45 3.01 2.69
5 9.45 6.16 4.79 4.01 3.49 3.12
10 10.58 6.89 5.36 4.49 3.91 3.49
25 12.28 8.00 6.22 5.21 4.54 4.05
50 13.75 8.95 6.97 5.83 5.08 4.54
100 15.39 10.02 7.80 6.53 5.68 5.08
200 17.23 11.22 8.73 7.31 6.36 5.68

Curvas IDF de la cuenc

INTENSIDAD (mm/h)

25.00

22.50

20.00

17.50

15.00

12.50

10.00

7.50

5.00

2.50

0.00
0 30 60 90 120 150 180

TIEMPO DE DURACION (min)

T2 T5 T10 T25 T50

0 30 60 90 120 150 180

TIEMPO DE DURACION (min)

T2 T5 T10 T25 T50

 Donde:
I = intensidad de precipitación (mm/hr)
T = Periodo de Retorno (años)
t = Tiempo de duración de precipitación (min)

ades - Tiempo de duración

Duración en minutos
210 240 270 300 330 360
2.44 2.25 2.09 1.96 1.85 1.75
2.84 2.61 2.43 2.27 2.14 2.03
3.17 2.92 2.72 2.55 2.40 2.27
3.68 3.39 3.15 2.95 2.78 2.64
4.12 3.80 3.53 3.31 3.12 2.95
4.62 4.25 3.95 3.70 3.49 3.31
5.17 4.76 4.42 4.14 3.91 3.70

vas IDF de la cuenca

150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360

EMPO DE DURACION (min)

T10 T25 T50 T100 T200

 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360

EMPO DE DURACION (min)

T10 T25 T50 T100 T200

 ELABORACIÓN DE HIETOGRAMAS PARA CADA TIEMPO DE RETORNO

Tr = 2 años
t (min) I (mm/h) P (mm) ΔP
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 2 AÑOS
30 8.14 4.07 4.07 0.38 4.50
60 5.3 5.30 1.23 0.41 4.00
90 4.13 6.20 0.90 0.47 3.50
3.00
120 3.45 6.90 0.71 0.62
2.50

P (mm)
150 3.01 7.53 0.62 0.90 P (mm)
2.00
180 2.69 8.07 0.55 4.07
1.50
210 2.44 8.54 0.47 1.23 1.00
240 2.25 9.00 0.46 0.71 0.50
270 2.09 9.41 0.41 0.55 0.00
300 1.96 9.80 0.40 0.46 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360
330 1.85 10.18 0.38 0.40 Tiempo (min)
360 1.75 10.50 0.33 0.33

Tr = 5 años
t (min) I (mm/h) P (mm) ΔP
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 5 AÑOS
30 9.45 4.73 4.73 0.42 5.00
60 6.16 6.16 1.44 0.50 4.50
4.00
90 4.79 7.19 1.03 0.58
3.50
120 4.01 8.02 0.84 0.71 3.00
P (mm)

150 3.49 8.73 0.71 1.03 2.50 Column E

180 3.12 9.36 0.63 4.73 2.00
1.50
210 2.84 9.94 0.58 1.44
1.00
240 2.61 10.44 0.50 0.84 0.50
270 2.43 10.94 0.50 0.63 0.00
300 2.27 11.35 0.42 0.50 30 60 90 120150180210240270300330360
330 2.14 11.77 0.42 0.42 Tiempo (min)
360 2.03 12.18 0.41 0.41

Tr = 10 años
t (min) I (mm/h) P (mm) ΔP
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 10 AÑOS
30 10.58 5.29 5.29 0.45 6.00
60 6.89 6.89 1.60 0.56 5.00
90 5.36 8.04 1.15 0.62
4.00
120 4.49 8.98 0.94 0.80
P (mm)

150 3.91 9.78 0.80 1.15 3.00 Column E

2.00

1.00

0.00
 5.00

4.00

P (mm)
3.00 Column E
180 3.49 10.47 0.70 5.29
2.00
210 3.17 11.10 0.62 1.60
240 2.92 11.68 0.59 0.94 1.00
270 2.72 12.24 0.56 0.70 0.00
300 2.55 12.75 0.51 0.59 30 60 90 120150180210240270300330360
330 2.4 13.20 0.45 0.51 Tiempo (min)
360 2.27 13.62 0.42 0.42
 Tr = 25 años
t (min) I (mm/h) P (mm) ΔP
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 25 AÑOS
30 12.28 6.14 6.14 0.54 7.00
60 8 8.00 1.86 0.61 6.00
90 6.22 9.33 1.33 0.73 5.00
120 5.21 10.42 1.09 0.93
4.00

P (mm)
150 4.54 11.35 0.93 1.33 Column E
3.00
180 4.05 12.15 0.80 6.14
210 3.68 12.88 0.73 1.86 2.00
240 3.39 13.56 0.68 1.09 1.00
270 3.15 14.18 0.61 0.80 0.00
300 2.95 14.75 0.58 0.68 30 60 90 120150180210240270300330360
330 2.78 15.29 0.54 0.58 Tiempo (min)
360 2.64 15.84 0.55 0.55

Tr = 50 años
t (min) I (mm/h) P (mm) ΔP
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 50 AÑOS
30 13.75 6.88 6.88 0.61 8.00
60 8.95 8.95 2.08 0.69 7.00
90 6.97 10.46 1.51 0.80 6.00
120 5.83 11.66 1.21 1.04 5.00
P (mm)

150 5.08 12.70 1.04 1.51 4.00 Column E

180 4.54 13.62 0.92 6.88 3.00
210 4.12 14.42 0.80 2.08 2.00
240 3.8 15.20 0.78 1.21 1.00
270 3.53 15.89 0.69 0.92 0.00
300 3.31 16.55 0.67 0.78 30 60 90 120150180210240270300330360
330 3.12 17.16 0.61 0.67 Tiempo (min)
360 2.95 17.70 0.54 0.54

Tr = 100 años
t (min) I (mm/h) P (mm) ΔP
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 100 AÑOS
30 15.39 7.70 7.70 0.70 9.00
60 10.02 10.02 2.33 0.78 8.00
90 7.8 11.70 1.68 0.93 7.00
6.00
120 6.53 13.06 1.36 1.14
5.00
P (mm)

150 5.68 14.20 1.14 1.68 Column E

4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
 8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00

P (mm)
4.00 Column E
180 5.08 15.24 1.04 7.70
3.00
210 4.62 16.17 0.93 2.33 2.00
240 4.25 17.00 0.83 1.36 1.00
270 3.95 17.78 0.78 1.04 0.00
300 3.7 18.50 0.72 0.83 30 60 90 120150180210240270300330360
330 3.49 19.20 0.70 0.72 Tiempo (min)
360 3.31 19.86 0.67 0.67
 Tr = 200 años
t (min) I (mm/h) P (mm) ΔP
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 200 AÑOS
30 17.23 8.62 8.62 0.81 10.00
60 11.22 11.22 2.61 0.85 9.00
8.00
90 8.73 13.10 1.88 1.06 7.00
120 7.31 14.62 1.53 1.28 6.00

P (mm)
150 6.36 15.90 1.28 1.88 5.00 Column E
180 5.68 17.04 1.14 8.62 4.00
3.00
210 5.17 18.10 1.06 2.61
2.00
240 4.76 19.04 0.95 1.53 1.00
270 4.42 19.89 0.85 1.14 0.00
300 4.14 20.70 0.81 0.95 30 60 90 120150180210240270300330360
330 3.91 21.51 0.81 0.81 Tiempo (min)
360 3.7 22.20 0.70 0.70
A Tr = 2 AÑOS

P (mm)

210 240 270 300 330 360

min)

A Tr = 5 AÑOS

Column E

210240270300330360
in)

Tr = 10 AÑOS

Column E
 Column E

210240270300330360
in)
 Tr = 25 AÑOS

Column E

210240270300330360
in)

Tr = 50 AÑOS

Column E

210240270300330360
in)

Tr = 100 AÑOS

Column E
 Column E

210240270300330360
in)
Tr = 200 AÑOS

Column E

210240270300330360
in)