LATEST PROJECTIONS ON RECENT AP

ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS - 2019

CENTRE FOR PSEPHOLOGY STUDIES (CPS)

(A STUDY CENTRE FORMED UNDER FRSD)
SECUNDERABAD

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 CENTER FOR PSEPHOLOGY STUDIES
SECUNDERABAD
Dr.Venugopala Rao (CPS, Secunderabad) made latest projection on
the likely outcome of recently held AP Assembly Elections - 2019.

Methodology:
With the Synthesis of Triangular Coagulation Methods (1) Verification of
seats obtained by Political Parties in the pre-polls conducted by CPS and
subsequently followed up post polls with in-depth discussions with the local
voters (especially Pasupu-kumkuma beneficiaries, non-beneficiaries, farmers
and old aged) by research staff. (2) Perceptive observations of senior
researchers based on factors just before elections like money and
community mobilizations (3) by conducting nominal random exit-poll survey
on the day of polling. Based on this analysis, Dr.K.Venugopala Rao, CPS,
Secunderabad arrives at the following estimates of results of elections –
2019 in Andhra Pradesh.

Likely Seat Share Prediction:

Total No of Contesting Political Parties

Seats YSRCP TDP Janasena
175 121 - 124 42 - 46 0-2

Possible scenario:
Close
Sl. No Regions YSRCP TDP
Contest*
1 North Coastal Andhra 20 10 4
2 Coastal Andhra 42 22 3
3 South Coastal Andhra 22 -- --
4 Rayalaseema 40 10 2
Total 124 42 9

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 Party-Wise Seats Projection
44
40

20 20 22

10 10
4 3 2
0 0

North Coastal Coastal Andhra South Coastal Rayalaseema

Andhra Andhra

YSRCP TDP Close Contest

NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA

SRIKAKULAM
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Ichchapuram √
2 Palasa √
3 Tekkali √
4 Pathapatnam √
5 Srikakulam Close Contest
6 Amadalavalasa √
7 Etcherla √
8 Narasannapeta √
9 Rajam (SC) √
10 Palakonda (ST) √
Total 5 4
VIZIANAGARAM
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Kurupam (ST) √
2 Parvathipuram (SC) √
3 Salur (ST) √
4 Bobbili √

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 5 Cheepurupalle √
6 Gajapathinagaram √
7 Nellimarla √
8 Vizianagaram Close Contest
9 Srungavarapukota √
6 2
VISAKHAPATNAM
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Bhimili √
2 Visakhapatnam East √
3 Visakhapatnam South √
4 Visakhapatnam North √
5 Visakhapatnam West √
6 Gajuwaka Very Close Contest
7 Chodavaram √
8 Madugula √
9 Araku Valley (ST) √
10 Paderu (ST) √
11 Anakapalle Close Contest
12 Pendurthi √
13 Yelamanchili √
14 Payakaraopet (SC) √
15 Narsipatnam √
Total 9 4

COASTAL ANDHRA

EAST GODAVARI
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Tuni √
2 Prathipadu √
3 Pithapuram √
4 Kakinada Rural √
5 Peddapuram √
6 Anaparthy √
7 Kakinada City √
8 Ramachandrapuram √

4
 9 Mummidivaram √
10 Amalapuram (SC) √
11 Razole (SC) √
12 Gannavaram (SC) √
13 Kothapeta √
14 Mandapeta √
15 Rajanagaram √
16 Rajahmundry City √
17 Rajahmundry Rural √
18 Jaggampeta √
19 Rampachodavaram (ST) √
Total 9 10
WEST GODAVARI
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Kovvur (SC) √
2 Nidadavole √
3 Achanta √
4 Palacole √
5 Narasapuram √
6 Bhimavaram Very Close Contest
7 Undi √
8 Tanuku √
9 Tadepalligudem √
10 Ungutur √
11 Denduluru √
12 Eluru √
13 Gopalapuram (SC) √
14 Polavaram (ST) √
15 Chintalapudi (SC) √
Total 8 6
KRISHNA
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Tiruvuru (SC) √
2 Nuzvid √
3 Gannavaram √
4 Gudivada √
5 Kaikalur √
6 Pedana √

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 7 Machilipatnam √
8 Avanigadda √
9 Pamarru (SC) √
10 Penamaluru √
11 Vijayawada West √
12 Vijayawada Central Close Contest
13 Vijayawada East √
14 Mylavaram √
15 Nandigama (SC) √
16 Jaggayyapeta √
Total 11 4
GUNTUR
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Pedakurapadu √
2 Tadikonda (SC) √
3 Mangalagiri √
4 Ponnur √
5 Vemuru (SC) √
6 Repalle √
7 Tenali √
8 Bapatla √
9 Prathipadu (SC) √
10 Guntur West Very Close Contest
11 Guntur East √
12 Chilakaluripet √
13 Narasaraopet √
14 Sattenapalle √
15 Vinukonda √
16 Gurajala √
17 Macherla √
Total 14 2

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SOUTH COASTA ANDHRA

PRAKASAM
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Yerragondapalem (SC) √
2 Darsi √
3 Parchur √
4 Addanki √
5 Chirala √
6 Santhanuthalapadu (SC) √
7 Ongole √
8 Kandukur √
9 Kondapi (SC) √
10 Markapuram √
11 Giddalur √
12 Kanigiri √
Total 12 --
NELLORE
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Kavali √
2 Atmakur √
3 Kovur √
4 Nellore City √
5 Nellore Rural √
6 Sarvepalli √
7 Gudur (SC) √
8 Sullurpeta (SC) √
9 Venkatagiri √
10 Udayagiri √
Total 10 --

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RAYALASEEMA

KADAPA
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Badvel (SC) √
2 Rajampet √
3 Kadapa √
4 Kodur (SC) √
5 Rayachoti √
6 Pulivendla √
7 Kamalapuram √
8 Jammalamadugu √
9 Proddatur √
10 Mydukur √
Total 10 --
KURNOOL
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Allagadda √
2 Srisailam √
3 Nandikotkur (SC) √
4 Kurnool √
5 Panyam √
6 Nandyal √
7 Banaganapalle √
8 Dhone √
9 Pattikonda √
10 Kodumur (SC) √
11 Yemmiganur √
12 Mantralayam √
13 Adoni √
14 Alur Close Contest
Total 11 2
ANANTHAPUR
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Rayadurg √
2 Uravakonda √
3 Guntakal √
4 Tadpatri √

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 5 Singanamala (SC) √
6 Anantapur Urban √
7 Kalyandurg Close Contest
8 Raptadu √
9 Madakasira (SC) √
10 Hindupur √
11 Penukonda √
12 Puttaparthi √
13 Dharmavaram √
14 Kadiri √
Total 9 4
CHITTOOR
Sl. No Name of AC YSRCP TDP
1 Thamballapalle √
2 Pileru √
3 Madanapalle √
4 Punganur √
5 Chandragiri √
6 Tirupati √
7 Srikalahasti √
8 Satyavedu (SC) √
9 Nagari √
10 Gangadhara Nellore (SC) √
11 Chittoor √
12 Puthalapattu (SC) √
13 Palamaner √
14 Kuppam √
Total 10 4

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VOTE SHARE

Preferred Choice of Political Party

47.60%
50% 39.10%

30%

8.20%

10% 1.20% 2.70% 1.20%

YSRCP TDP Janasena BJP Congress Others

-10%

YSRCP TDP Janasena BJP Congress Others

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