Impact of j on i

S. No. t ∈ (0,1) i j (D) (P) (R) (I) (V)

1 0.6 Distress (D) 0.4 -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 0.8
2 0.3 Preparedness(P) 0.3 -0.1 -0.3 0.4 0.3
3 0.5 Resources (R) 0.4 0.2 -0.1 -0.2 --
4 0.4 Infrastructure(I) 0.3 -- -- -0.2 --
6 0.2 Violence(V) 0.5 -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 --
7 0.3 No. of Refugees (N) -- -- 0.3 -- -0.1

Scale
0 NIL
0.1 Marginal
0.3 Mild
0.5 Moderate
0.7 High
0.9 V. High

Simulati on After Interv

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5
d p r i v n
Distress (D) 0.8
0.4 -0.4 -0.8 -0.6 1.6 1.8
Preparedness(P) 0.6 -0.2 -0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8
Resources (R) 0.3
0.8 0.4 -0.2 -0.4 0 1.2
Infrastructure(I) 0.6
0.2 0 0 -0.4 0 0.6
Violence(V) 1 -0.2 -0.6 -1 0 1
No. of Refugees (N) 0.1
0 0 0.6 0 -0.2 0
0
At t=0 At t=1 At t=2 At

Di stres s (D) Prepa rednes s (P)

Infra structure(I) Vi ol ence(V)
 After Intervention
(N) Law & Enforcement Accord Reimbursement
0.9 0 -0.1 -0.4
0.4 0.3
0.6 0.4 0.3
0.3
0.5 -0.5 -0.3
-- -0.5 0.2 -0.7

Numerator
Denominator
P(i)

Numerator
Denominator
P(i)
ti on After Interventi on
Numerator
Denominator
P(i)

Numerator
LE A RE Denominator
0 -0.2 -0.8 P(i)
0 0.6 0
0.8 0.6 0
0 0 0 Numerator
-1 0 -0.6 Denominator
-1 0.4 -1.4 P(i)

At t=2 At t=3 At t=4 At t=5

Numerator
Denominator
P(i)
Prepa rednes s (P) Res ources (R)
Vi ol ence(V) No. of Refugees (N)
 At t=0 At t=1 At t=2 At t=3 At t=4 At t=5
0.6 0.56267 0.670648 0.53712 0.342035 0.131909
0.3 0.458132 0.572526 0.662244 0.725637 0.76921
0.5 0.644016 0.711621 0.791824 0.845753 0.855587
0.4 0.458769 0.495133 0.528829 0.545666 0.561422
0.2 0.088948 0.017168 0.000951 2.36E-06 2.97E-12
0.3 0.138088 0.038027 0.006142 0.000412 7.54E-06

Distress
1.88 0.986864 2.047694 2.107827 2.147128
1.67 1.420505 1.316219 1.221136 1.137187
1.125748503 0.694727 1.55574 1.72612 1.888105

Preparedness
1.18 1.239018 1.270739 1.303772 1.32629
1.82 1.734228 1.719609 1.67541 1.621042
0.6483516484 0.714449 0.73897 0.778181 0.818171

Resource
1.13 1.156155 1.170189 1.184948 1.193708
1.78 1.495387 1.705581 1.650982 1.282189
0.6348314607 0.773148 0.686094 0.717723 0.930993

Infrastructure
1.08 1.091754 1.099027 1.105766 1.109133
1.27 1.210227 1.212603 1.162978 1.163823
0.8503937008 0.902106 0.906337 0.950805 0.953008

Violence
2.18 2.268403 2.318306 2.368186 2.399123
1.45 1.350379 1.354338 1.271631 1.171223
1.5034482759 1.679827 1.711763 1.862322 2.04839

No. of Refugee
2.22 2.208895 2.201717 2.200095 2.2
1.35 1.337631 1.413486 1.437547 1.453726
1.6444444444 1.651349 1.55765 1.530451 1.513353
 Impact of j on i
S. No. t ∈ (0,1) i j (D) (P) (R) (I) (V)
1 0.6 Distress (D) 0.4 -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 0.8
2 0.3 Preparedness(P) 0.3 -0.1 -0.3 0.4 0.3
3 0.5 Resources (R) 0.4 0.2 -0.1 -0.2 --
4 0.4 Infrastructure(I) 0.3 -- -- -0.2 --
6 0.2 Violence(V) 0.5 -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 --
7 0.3 No. of Refugees (N) -- -- 0.3 -- -0.1

Scale
0 NIL
0.1 Marginal
0.3 Mild
0.5 Moderate
0.7 High
0.9 V. High

Simulati on Graph
0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6
d p r i v n
Distress (D) 0.5 0.8 -0.4 -0.8 -0.6 1.6 1.8
Preparedness(P) 0.6 -0.2 -0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8
0.4
Resources (R) 0.8 0.4 -0.2 -0.4 0 1.2
Infrastructure(I) 0.3 0.6 0 0 -0.4 0 0.6
Violence(V) 1 -0.2 -0.6 -1 0 1
No. of Refugees (N) 0.2 0 0 0.6 0 -0.2 0

0.1

0
At t=0 At t=1 At t=2 At t=3 At t=4 A
Di stres s (D) Preparednes s(P) Res ources (R)
Infrastructure(I) Vi ol ence(V) No. of Refugees (N)
 (N) At t=0 At t=1 At t=2 At t=3 At t=4 At t=5
0.9 0.6 0.655656 0.703785 0.746304 0.78267 0.814333
0.4 0.3 0.392718 0.487643 0.581414 0.666553 0.740837
0.6 0.5 0.58906 0.634232 0.718667 0.791472 0.850749
0.3 0.4 0.458769 0.519713 0.579942 0.638544 0.685848
0.5 0.2 0.216159 0.228491 0.238459 0.244713 0.248463
-- 0.3 0.343739 0.383287 0.438637 0.499529 0.562911

Distress
Numerator 1.38 1.451798 1.507135 1.577732 1.641463
Denominator 1.67 1.744555 1.809265 1.884062 1.958414
P(i) 0.8263473054 0.832188 0.83301 0.83741 0.838159

Preparedness
Numerator 1.18 1.21599 1.239034 1.273742 1.304097
Denominator 1.52 1.582548 1.640883 1.70286 1.763444
P(i) 0.7763157895 0.768375 0.755102 0.748001 0.739517

Resource
Numerator 1.13 1.15066 1.167366 1.187855 1.206856
Denominator 1.48 1.337375 1.609015 1.677986 1.746096
P(i) 0.7635135135 0.860387 0.725516 0.707905 0.691174

Infrastructure
Numerator 1.08 1.091754 1.103943 1.115988 1.127709
Denominator 1.27 1.299819 1.326122 1.355482 1.341422
P(i) 0.8503937008 0.839928 0.83246 0.823315 0.840682

Violence
Numerator 1.38 1.445374 1.49889 1.563713 1.623369
Denominator 1.45 1.499698 1.543536 1.59247 1.641099
P(i) 0.9517241379 0.963777 0.971076 0.981941 0.989196

No. of Refugee
Numerator 1.02 1.021616 1.022849 1.023846 1.024471
At t=4 At t=5 Denominator 1.15 1.137631 1.19027 1.2156 1.237442
s ources (R) P(i) 0.8869565217 0.898021 0.859342 0.842255 0.827895
. of Refugees (N)