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ex x 1
, 0, 0 x
f (x) ()
0 , otherwise
Where ( ) x 1e x dx for 0
0
12 2
Problem:
In a certain city, the daily consumption of electric power in
millions of kilowatt hours can be treated as a random variable
having gamma distribution with parameters (1/2, 3). If the
power plant of this city has a daily capacity of 12 millions
kilowatt hours. What is the probability that this power supply
will be inadequate on any given day?
eax x 1a
f ( x) , a 0, 0, 0 x
( )
x 3
e 2 x2 1
f ( x) 2
(3)
Dr.K.Kavitha(SAS)
P (the power supply is inadequate)=P(X>12)
( since the daily capacity is only 12)
x
x 2e 2
= 3
dx ( ( 3 ) ( 2 1) 2!)
12 2 (3 )
x x x
1 2 e
2 e 2 e 2
x 2 x 2
= 16 1 1 1 (Using Bernoulli’s formula)
2 4 8 12
1 6
= e 288 96 16 0.0625
16
Weibull Distribution
A continuous random variable is said to follow a weibull
distribution with parameter , 0, if it has the probability
density function given by
x 1 e x , x 0, , 0
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
e x , x 0
Note: When 1, then f ( x)
0, x 0
Dr.K.Kavitha(SAS)
Which is the probability density function of the
exponential distribution. Therefore, When 1 , the Weibull
distribution reduces to the exponential distribution with
parameter .
Mean and Variance of Weibull Distribution
1
1
Mean = 11 1
2
2
12 1
2 2
2 1
Variance 2 1 1 ]
Problem:
1. Each of the 6 tubes of a radio set has a life length (in
years). Which may be considered as a random
variable that follows a Weibull distribution with
parameters 25, 2. If these tubes function
independently on one another, What is the
probability that no tube will have to be replaced
during the first 2 months of service?
Let X represents the life length of each tube, then
its probability density function is
1 x
x e , x 0, , 0
f ( x)
0 , otherwise
Dr.K.Kavitha(SAS)
Given 25, 2.
25 x 2
f ( x) 50xe , x0
P(X ) P ( X ) 50 xe 25 x dx
12 6 1
6
P( all the 6 tubes are not to be replaced during the 1st two months)=
6
25
e 36 ( independen ce )
25
e 6 0 .0155
Dr.K.Kavitha(SAS)