Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 6

Double Degree MSc Programme

GEO-INFORMATION FOR SPATIAL PLANNING AND


DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT
Graduate School Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta Phone/Fax. (0274) 564239
Website http://www.geo.ugm.ac.id, www.geoinfopasca.ugm.ac.id and
http://www.itc.nl/pub/study/programmes/joint-educations UGM

INDIVIDUAL ASSIGNMENT

MODELING FOR DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT

LECTURER:

Prof.Dr. Junun Sartohadi, M.Sc

By:
Rizki Ramdani
(18/435105/PMU/09616)

JUNI 2019
TSUNAMI HAZARD MODELLING

BACKGROUND
Tsunami mapping has always been a challenge for researcher. Many have formulated
tsunami wave propagation with various approach. Berryman (2006) modified tsunami
inundation model from McSaveney and Rattenbury (2000) to accommodate slope data and
surface roughness. Inthis exercise, tsunami inundation modeling will be carried out based
on the modified formula.

LEARNING OBJECTIVES
a) Establishing slope and surface roughness
b) Performing tsunami modelling by means of raster calculator tool
c) Utilizing cost distance to produce tsunami inundation model
d) Report writing

STUDY QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS


Tsunami inundation model in Pangkalpinang. The write up should follow a report format
which includes:
a) Brief statement of problem and result identified. Present a conceptual model of the
solution, i.e simple diagram.
b) Present the inundation model as map showing the depth of water inundation. The
map should be to an even scale, include a title and your name, show legend and
identify (by simple graphics the best area), and background layers, i.e roads, river.
It should communicate the solutions but best cartographic quality is not expected.
c) Any supporting explanation of the spatial analysis can be presented in simple images
(screenshot).
METODE
Tools and Datasets
Tools and Datasets used in this exercise is
1. Tools
a. Hardware Laptop
b. ArcGis 10.4 software
2. Datasets:
1. Administrative boundary (admin_desa.shp & admin_kecamatan.shp)
2. Landuse (landuse.shp)
3. Road network (jalan.shp)
4. River (sungai.shp)
5. SRTM (srtm.asc)
Hints:
• Some data has different Coordinate Reference System (CRS). Convert all data to on
CRS, in this case it is recommended to use WGS84 UTM Zone 48S. Use the
command Project to convert CRS.
• Elevation data can be obtain by means of converting contour map into Digital
Elevation Model (DEM). Use the Topo to Raster command to do it.
• You can use either Raster Calculator to execute the formula. If full formula
calculation seems to need too many scripts, try to calculate part by part.
• In order to generate tsunami inundation map, use the Cost Distance located in
Spatial Analyst toolbox.

FLOWCHART

Data
(WGS84 UTM)
Zone 49s)

Landuse + Surface Roughness Digital Elevation Model


Coeffisien (SRC)

Raster SRC map Raster Slope map

HLoss using Berrymen’s


Formula
(Raster Calculator) DATA

PROSES
Inundation using Cost Distance
OUTPUT

PROSES FLOW

Tsunami Inindation
RESULT

MODELING OF TSUNAMI-AFFECTED AREAS DATA IN PANGKALPINANG CITY


NO KECAMATAN LUAS INUDATIONAL TSUNAMI %
1 BUKITINTAN 3529.53928201000 92.77913812 2.628647274
2 GABEK 2039.93744646000 0 0
3 GERUNGGANG 3259.20959687000 0 0
4 GIRIMAYA 426.28699092500 0 0
5 PANGKALBALAM 465.49799928600 0 0
6 RANGKUI 508.46900457100 0 0
7 TAMANSARI 340.39460212300 0 0
LUAS TOTAL 10569.33492224500 92.77913812 0.877814345

Pangkalpinang is one of the city in Province Bangka Belitung which has a coastal area that is
prone to tsunami disasters. The growth of the coastal area makes the study of tsunami
hazard vulnerability important, tsunamis can cause material losses and fatalities so that
early anticipation is needed to reduce the impact. This modeling aims to predict and analyze
the impact of tsunamis through a height of 15 tsunami wave scenarios so that preventive
measures can be taken. The method used in this study is based on the processing of spatial
data with the help of Geography Information System analysis(GIS).
Modeling of tsunami-affected areas using a formulation HLoss ( loss in wave height per
metre of inundation distance) developed by Berryman K (2006) by considering three main
parameters, namely elevation, surface roughness coefficient, and wave height. Elevation
parameters use the DEM map from the SRTM 30 m image (Shuttle Radar Topography
Mission).
While the roughness coefficient was obtained from the cover analysis and land use sourced
from putra (2008).
This study used one scenario of tsunami wave height (run-up) based on the modeling of one
inundation height scenario, the results show that in scenario 1 the affected area reached
92.77913812 ha including 7 District
the District will suffer the most from the tsunami inundation model is the Bukit Intan District
with the area affected by the Tsunami 92.77913812 Ha and The District Bukit Intan is one
District affected by Tsunami.

Coastal areas of the Bukit Intan sub-district which are affected by the tsunami. This area
has very good tourism potential but the consequences of the tsunami had a huge impact
from the tsunami modeling, from this modeling the city government office area of
Pangkalpinang was felt very safe or far from the location of the tsunami impact.

The weakness of this tsunami model is that it does not pay attention to the tide factor so
that the determination of the coastline zero point as the source of the data used becomes
uncertain and will greatly affect the calculation of the cost distance and the effect of the
effect will be very large from the difference in cost distance. weather factors including
rainfall intensity at the time of the tsunami affect the volume of puddle water. Factor
models of buildings or settlements can accelerate or inhibit the rate of movement of water,
building models that have cavities can pass on water better than solid building models. The
area of roads and rivers is not taken into account, the number of roads and rivers can
accelerate the flow of water so that it affects the reach of water.
REFERENCE

McSaveney and Rattenbury, 2000, Tsunami impact in Hawke’s Bay, Institute of Geological
and Nuclear Sciences Limited, Client Report 2000/146 for the Hawke’s Bay Regional Council.

Berryman K 2006 Review of Tsunami Hazard and Risk in New Zealand (New Zealand:
Institute of Geological & Nuclear Sciences) pp 52–59

Putra, R. (2008). Kajian Risiko Tsunami terhadap Bangunan Gedung Non-hunian dengan
Skenario Variasi Ketinggian Run-up pada Garis Pantai (Studi Kasus Kota Banda Aceh,
Indonesia). Tesis, Yogyakarta, Fakultas Geografi UGM.

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi