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Across 95 studies in low-income and middle-income countries, the weighted mean prevalence of all types of active TB among
household contacts and other close contacts of a person with active TB was 3.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.2–4.4%), and
the weighted-mean prevalence of microbiologically proven TB was 1.2% (95% CI, 0.9–1.8%). In 108 studies in high-income
Very
Infrequent
Moderately
frequent
Very
settings, the weighted-average prevalence of all types of active TB among close contacts or household contacts was 1.4% (95%
Is it frequent? infrequent frequent frequent
CI, 1.1–1.8%). In children aged <5 years in low-income and middle-income countries, the weighted-average prevalence of all
types of active TB was 10% (95% CI, 5.0–18.9%).1
Burden of illness or problem
Across 89 studies, the weighted mean number needed to screen (NNS) for all types of active TB in household contacts was 40
(range, 2–568) (Shapiro 2012). The weighted average NNS ranged from 54 in low-incidence settings to 17 in high-incidence
settings (Shapiro 2012).
Hosehold contacts and other close contacts of a person with active TB have a high risk of becoming infected. People who have
Very
mild moderate severe
Very been recently infected with TB have a higher risk of progressing to active disease in the near future compared with people who
mild severe*
have distant latent TB infection.
Is it severe?
*e.g. life threatening or disabling
Household contacts who are aged <5 years, have HIV, or have other diseases that impair their immune system are at a
particularly high risk of developing active TB, and are also at high risk for poor disease outcomes.
1
Fox G et al. Contact investigation for tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta analysis. European Respiratory Journal, 2013, 4:140–156.
Sensitivity and specificity (based on van’t Hoog et al 2012)
Confidence In accuracy of the diagnostic
Outcome Any cough Cough lasting >2 Any symptom Chest X-ray (any Chest X-ray (TB-
weeks abnormality) related
What is the Very
Low Moderate High abnormality)
low
confidence in the
test
Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality
accuracy of the
diagnostic test ? TP
Sensiti
56%
OO
35%
OOO
77%
OOO
98%
O
87%
OO
(40– (24– (68– (95– (79–
FP vity Low Very low Very low Moderate Low
74%) 46%) 86%) 100%) 95%)
TN 80% 95% 68% 89%
Specifi OO OO OOO 75% O OO
(69– (93– (50– (87–
FP city Low Low Very low (72–79%) Moderate Low
90%) 97%) 85%) 92%)
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative.
For further details see the GRADE tables on the accuracy of diagnostic tests.
Modelled yeild of different algorithms based on point estimates from the systematic review of the accuracy of screening
tools (van’t Hoog et al 2012) and systematic reviews of the accuracy of sputum-smear microscopy2 and the Xpert
MTB/RIF test3
Cough lasting SSM+CD 124 407 99093 376 247 405 98595 753 494 401 97599 1506
>2–3 weeks XP 162 53 99447 338 324 52 98948 676 647 52 97948 1353
B enefi ts a nd har m s
SSM+CD 271 2482 97018 229 542 2470 96530 458 1084 2445 95555 916
Any symptom
XP 355 321 99179 145 710 320 98680 290 1420 317 97683 580
Overall,
are the No Yes 1. Cough SSM + CD 111 179 99321 389 222 178 98822 778 445 177 97823 1555
anticipated lasting >2–3
undesirable weeks. 2. XP 146 23 99477 354 291 23 98977 709 583 23 97977 1417
effects small? Chest X-ray
1. Any SSM + CD 244 1092 98408 256 488 1087 97913 512 976 1076 96924 1024
symptom. 2.
Chest X-ray XP 319 141 99359 181 639 141 98859 361 1278 139 97861 722
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; SSM, sputum-smear microscopy; XP, Xpert
Overall, is there MTB/RIF test; CD, clinical diagnosis.
certainty of the
link between the Very
uncertain
Moderately
Certain
Very
uncertain certain certain
accuracy of the
diagnostic test
and the
consequences?
2Approaches to improve sputum smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis: expert group meeting report. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009.
3Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011
(WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
Direct assessment of outcomes of screening (Kranzer 2012)
Summary of findings
Diagnostic category Potential effect
Effect No. of studies Quality
Benefit on case detection Contact tracing contributed 5 cross-sectional OOO
2 to 19% of all cases studies Very low
Benefit on time to diagnosis - 0 studies OOO
Very low
Benefit on severity at diagnosis Risk of severe x-ray changes 1 cross sectional OOO
True positives at diagnosis RR 0.38 study Very low
Benefit on treatment outcome - 0 studies OOO
Very Low
Benefit on transmission 15% reduction in incidence 2 cluster RCTs OO
22% reduction in Low
prevalence
False negatives Harm from missed diagnosis - Not reviewed -
Benefit from reassurance - Not reviewed -
True negatives
Harm from unnecessary screening - Not reviewed -
False positives Harm from unnecessary treatment - Not reviewed -
What is the
There is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that investigating contacts could improve case-detection rates for the population where
Confi dence i n benefi ts
overall Very
the investigation is carried out. There is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that investigating contacts could identify cases earlier
and harm s
What is the
confidence in the Very High In 24 studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening during
values that Low Moderate Very high
V al ues
low
patients place on investigation of household contacts was 80%; the range was 39–99%; and the median proportion was 85%.
the benefits and
harms?
benefits?
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly Undesirable consequences probably Desirable and undesirable Desirable consequences probably Desirable consequences clearly
consequences outweigh desirable consequences outweigh desirable consequences consequences outweigh undesirable consequences outweigh undesirable consequences
closely balanced or uncertain
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against against option very rarely if evidence is too sparse)
Proposed recommendation for discussion
Household contacts and other close contacts of someone with active TB should be systematically screened for active TB.
(This is a strong recommendation with very low quality evidence. )
Remarks
Contacts may be investigated either by invitation to a clinic or through a household visit. No empirical data are available on the relative effectiveness and cost effectiveness of each type of
investigation. The panel believes that household visits are more effective but also more resource intensive.
For details on prioritizing index cases for investigation, operational aspects of contact investigations, and monitoring and evaluating of contact investigation, see WHO’s guidelines on contact
investigations.4 Contact investigations should always be done when the index case has any of the following: sputum smear-positive pulmonary TB; proven or suspected multidrug-resistant TB
(MDR-TB) or extensively drug-resistant TB (XDR-TB); is a person living with HIV; is a child aged <5 years. In addition, resources permitting, investigations of household contacts and close
contacts may be performed for all index cases with pulmonary TB.4
For those whose screening is positive, whether further diagnostic evaluation is undertaken depends on the profile of the contact and the index case.4 For individuals who are contacts of a
patient with MDR-TB or at high risk of MDR-TB for other reasons,5 the primary diagnostic test should be the Xpert MTB/RIF test.6 All persons living with HIV who have signs or symptoms of TB,
persons who are seriously ill and suspected of having TB regardless of their HIV status, and persons whose HIV status is unknown who present with strong clinical evidence of HIV infection in
settings where there is a high prevalence of HIV should have as their primary diagnostic test an Xpert MTB/RIF test.
In settings where there is a high prevalence of HIV, all household contacts and close contacts should be counselled and tested for HIV. When an index case is a person living with HIV, all
household contacts should be counselled and tested for HIV. All household contacts and close contacts who have symptoms compatible with active TB should receive counselling and testing
for HIV as part of their clinical evaluation. People living with HIV who are household contacts or close contacts of someone with TB and who after an appropriate clinical evaluation have been
found not to have active TB should be treated for presumed latent TB infection following WHO’s guidelines.7
Children who are younger than 5 years and who are household contacts or close contacts of someone with TB and who after an appropriate clinical evaluation have been found not to have
active TB should be treated for presumed latent TB infection following WHO’s guidelines.3
Contacts should have a nutrition assessment as part of the investigation. If malnutrition is identified, it should be managed according to WHO’s recommendations.8
4
Recommendations for investigating the contacts of persons with infectious tuberculosis in low- and middle-income countries. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2012
(WHO/HTM/TB/2012.9).
5
Guidelines for the programmatic management of drug-resistant tuberculosis: emergency update 2008. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2008 (WHO/HTM/TB/2008.402).
6
Rapid implementation of the Xpert MTB/RIF diagnostic test: technical and operational ’how-to’. Practical considerations. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011 (WHO/HTM/TB/2011.2).
7
Guidelines for intensified tuberculosis case-finding and isoniazid preventive therapy for people living with HIV in resource-constrained settings. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011.
8
Guideline: Nutritional care and support for patients with Tuberculosis. WHO 2013 (draft guideline)
Should people living with HIV be systematically screened for active TB at each
visit to a health facility in all settings?
Very
Infrequent
Moderately
frequent
Very
The review of the number needed to screen (NNS) found that the average NNS among people with HIV in low-incidence countries
Is it frequent? infrequent frequent frequent
is 30 (range, 8–391); in countries with a moderate incidence it is 61 (5–316); in countries with a medium incidence it is 13 (2–
Burden of illness or problem
120); and in countries with a high incidence it is 10 (3–64) (Shapiro 2012).
Very
mild
mild moderate severe
Very
severe*
TB is responsible for more than one quarter of deaths occurring in people living with HIV.1 Among people who are HIV-positive,
Is it severe? outcomes from treatment for TB are much worse than in other people with TB.2 Delayed diagnosis of TB in people living with HIV
*e.g. life threatening or disabling is associated with an increased risk of poor treatment outcomes and death.3
1 Getahun H et al. HIV infection-associated tuberculosis: the epidemiology and the response. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2010, 50 (Suppl. 3):S201–S207.
Cox JA et al. Autopsy causes of death in HIV-positive individuals in sub-Saharan Africa and correlation with clinical diagnoses. AIDS Reviews, 2010, 12:183–194.
2 Global tuberculosis control: WHO report 2011. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011.
Sanchez M et al. Outcomes of TB treatment by HIV Status in national recording systems in Brazil, 2003–2008. PLoS One, 2012, 7(3): e33129 (doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0033129).
Farley JE et al. Outcomes of multi-drug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) among a cohort of South African patients with high HIV prevalence. PLoS ONE, 2011, 6(7): e20436 (doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0020436).
Gandhi NR et al. Extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis as a cause of death in patients co-infected with tuberculosis and HIV in a rural area of South Africa. Lancet, 2006, 368 :1575–1580.
Gandhi NR et al. HIV coinfection in multidrug- and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis results in high early mortality. American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, 2010, 181:80–86.
3 Timothy R et al. HIV infection–related tuberculosis: clinical manifestations and treatment. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2010, 50(Suppl. 3):S223–S230.
Getahun H et al. Diagnosis of smear negative pulmonary tuberculosis in people with HIV infection or AIDS in resource-constrained settings: informing urgent policy changes. Lancet 2007, 369:2042–2049.
Chaisson RE et al.. Tuberculosis in patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome: clinical features, response to therapy, and survival.
American Review of Respiratory Disease, 1987, 136:570–574.
A systematic review found that the best symptom-based screening tool for HIV-positive people used four symptoms, and had a
sensitivity of 79% and a specificity of 50%.4 At a 5% prevalence of TB among people living with HIV, the negative predictive
value was 97.7% (95% confidence interval, 97.4–98.0). Adding abnormal findings on chest X-ray to the screening for four
symptoms increased the sensitivity from 79% to 91% but there was a drop in specificity, from 50% to 39%. At a 5% prevalence of
TB among people living with HIV, augmenting the symptom-based screening with abnormal findings seen on chest X-ray
increased the negative predictive value by a margin of 1% (98.7% versus 97.8%). Adding abnormal findings on chest X-ray to the
symptom-based screening at a TB prevalence of 20% among people living with HIV increased the negative predictive value by
almost 4% (94.3% versus 90.4%).
One study5 assessed a screening algorithm for HIV-positive children. The presence of cough lasting >2 weeks, fever or failure to
thrive had a sensitivity of 95% and specificity 59%. The absence of these symptoms had a negative predictive value of 99%.
GRADE table from the guideline on intensified case-finding in people living with HIV.6
Confidence in accuracy of the diagnostic
What is the
Very Moderat
confidence in the Low High
low e
test
accuracy of the
diagnostic test ?
4 Getahun H et al. Development of a standardized screening rule for tuberculosis in people living with HIV in resource-constrained settings: individual participant data meta-analysis of observational studies. PLoS Medicine, 2011, 8(1):e1000391 (doi:
10.1371/journal.pmed.1000391).
5 Song R et al. Evaluation of tuberculosis screening approaches among HIV-infected children in Rwanda, 2008 [Abstract no. TUPEB132]. Geneva, International AIDS Society, 2013 (http://www.iasociety.org/Abstracts/A200721790.aspx, accessed 15.09.2012[
6
Guidelines for intensified tuberculosis case-finding and isoniazid preventive therapy for people living with HIV in resource-constrained settings. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011.
Impact on case detection
Overall, No published controlled trial has assessed the impact of screening HIV-positive people on changes in overall case detection. One
are the No Yes
anticipated
cross-sectional study in India from a setting with a low prevalence of HIV found that 1% of the total cases detected came from
desirable effects screening people with HIV (Shetty 2008).
large?
Impact on time to diagnosis and severity at diagnosis
No studies were found.
Overall,
B enefi ts a nd har m s
What is the
overall
confidence in Very
Low Moderate High
However, TB is a cause of death and suffering among people with HIV, and delayed diagnosis of TB in HIV-positive people is
low
the estimates of associated with an increased risk of poor outcomes from treatment, including death. It is therefore plausible that screening HIV-
effect for positive people for TB will be beneficial.
benefits and
harms?
An additional benefit is that screening for active TB can identify people who are eligible for treatment of latent TB infection;
treating latent TB infection has been shown to be effective in reducing the incidence of TB and death from TB.
What is the
confidence in Very High
the values that Low Moderate Very high In 17 studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening among people
V al ues
low
patients place
living with HIV was 78%; the range was 52–99%; and the median proportion was 83%.
on the benefits
and harms?
net benefits?
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly Undesirable consequences probably Desirable and undesirable Desirable consequences probably Desirable consequences clearly
consequences outweigh desirable consequences outweigh desirable consequences consequences outweigh undesirable consequences outweigh undesirable consequences
closely
balanced or uncertain
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against against option very rarely if evidence is too sparse)
We decide
People living with HIV should be systematically screened for active TB at each visit to a health facility in all settings.
7
Guidelines for intensified tuberculosis case-finding and isoniazid preventive therapy for people living with HIV in resource-constrained settings. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011.
Should systematic screening for active TB be done in miners?
Note: See the systematic reviews for full references to cited papers.
Domain
COMMEN
CRITERIA JUDGEMENT EVIDENCE
TS
Very Very A systematic review of eight studies (Shapiro 2012) of the number needed to screen (NNS) to detect a previously undetected
Infrequ Moderatel
Is it frequent?
infrequen
ent y frequent
frequent freque case of TB found that for miners the mean weighted NNS was 87 (range, 20–233); all of the high-incidence countries represented
t nt
in these studies are known to have a high prevalence of HIV among miners. For low-incidence countries the mean NNS was 48;
Burden of illness or problem
for moderate-incidence countries, the mean NNS was 154; and for high-incidence countries the mean NNS was 37.
Exposure to silica dust and silicosis are among the strongest risk factors for TB, with a relative risk of 2.8–39 for silicosis,
Very depending on the severity of the disease.1 Silicosis is common in miners,2 which is the main reason for the high incidence of TB
Very moderat
mild
mild
e
severe severe among them.3 In some countries, such as those in southern Africa, the prevalence of HIV is high among miners, which further
*
Is it severe? increases their risk of TB and poor outcomes from TB treatment if diagnosis is delayed. The combined increase in risk for silicosis
*e.g. life threatening or disabling
and HIV infection is multiplicative.4 TB patients with silicosis have an increased risk of death (adjusted relative risk [RR], 3.0; 95%
confidence interval [CI],1.4–6.3).5
1 Barboza CEG et al. Tuberculosis and silicosis: epidemiology, diagnosis and chemotherapy. Jornal Brasileiro de Pneumologia, 2008, 34:959–966.
2 Churchyard GJ et al. Silicosis prevalence and exposure-response relations in South African gold miners. Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 2004, 61: 811–816.
3 Hnizdo E, Murray J. Risk of pulmonary tuberculosis relative to silicosis and exposure to silica dust in South African gold miners. Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 1998, 55:496–502. Erratum in: Occupational and
4:705–712.
Though data are scarce on the prevalence of silicosis in most low-income and middle-income settings, it is plausible that silicosis
is particularly common in settings where working conditions are poor, such as in many low-income countries. Delayed diagnosis
of TB leads to an increased risk of transmission, especially in crowded settings, such as mines, and especially where miners both
work and live in crowded conditions.6 In some middle-income countries, the mining industry attracts migrant workers from
countries with a high burden of TB, and there is migratioin into and out of mining communitiies.7 In theory, mines can amplify TB
transmission, leading to increased transmission both within and outside mining communities. Mining is a significant determinant of
countrywide variation in the incidence of TB in sub-Saharan nations.8
Sensitivity and specificity (based on van’ t Hoog et al 2012)
Outcome Any cough Cough lasting >2 Any symptom Chest X-ray (any Chest X-ray (TB-
Confidence in accuracy of the diagnostic
6 Godfrey-Faussett P et al. Tuberculosis control and molecular epidemiology in a South African gold-mining community. Lancet,. 2000, 356:1066–1071.
7 Girdler-Brown BV et al. The burden of silicosis, pulmonary tuberculosis and COPD among former Basotho gold miners. American Journal of Industrial Medicine, 2008, 51:640–647.
8 Stuckler D et al. Mining and risk of tuberculosis in sub-Saharan Africa. American Journal of Public Health, 2011, 101:524–530.
Modelled yield of different algorithms based on point estimates from the systematic review of the accuracy of screening
Overall,
are the anticipated No Yes tools (van’t Hoog et al 2012) and systematic reviews of the accuracy of sputum-smear microscopy9 and the Xpert
desirable effects MTB/RIF test10
large?
Chest X-ray: SSM+CD 305 815 98685 195 611 810 98190 389 1222 802 97198 778
TB
abnormalities XP 400 105 99395 100 800 105 98895 200 1601 104 97896 399
Benefits and harms
Cough lasting SSM+CD 124 407 99093 376 247 405 98595 753 494 401 97599 1506
>2–3 weeks XP 162 53 99447 338 324 52 98948 676 647 52 97948 1353
Overall,
No Yes SSM+CD 271 2482 97018 229 542 2470 96530 458 1084 2445 95555 916
are the anticipated
undesirable Any symptom
effects small? XP 355 321 99179 145 710 320 98680 290 1420 317 97683 580
1. Cough SSM + CD 111 179 99321 389 222 178 98822 778 445 177 97823 1555
lasting >2–3
weeks. 2. XP 146 23 99477 354 291 23 98977 709 583 23 97977 1417
Chest X-ray
1. Any SSM + CD 244 1092 98408 256 488 1087 97913 512 976 1076 96924 1024
symptom. 2.
Chest X-ray XP 319 141 99359 181 639 141 98859 361 1278 139 97861 722
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; SSM, sputum-smear microscopy; XP, Xpert
MTB/RIF test; CD, clinical diagnosis.
9Approaches to improve sputum smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis: expert group meeting report. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009.
10Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011
(WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
Direct assessment of outcomes of screening (Kranzer 2012)
Summary of findings
Diagnostic category Potential effect
Effect No. of studies Quality
Benefit on case detection - 0 studies OOO
Very low
Benefit on time to diagnosis - 0 studies OOO
Very low
Benefit on severity at diagnosis - 0 studies OOO
True positives
Very low
Benefit on treatment outcome Fewer deaths 1 cohort OOO
(See text) Very Low
Benefit on transmission - 0 studies OOO
Very low
False negatives Harm from missed diagnosis - Not reviewed -
Benefit from reassurance - Not reviewed -
True negatives
Harm from unnecessary screening - Not reviewed -
False positives Harm from unnecessary treatment - Not reviewed -
Overall, is there
certainty about
the link between Very uncert Moderatel
Certain
Very Impact on case detection
the accuracy of uncertain ain y certain certain No studies.
the diagnostic test
and the
consequences? Impact on time to diagnosis and severity at diagnosis
No studies.
Impact on TB epidemiology
No studies.
Screening interval
One randomized controlled trial (Churchyard 2011) compared miners who had 6-monthly screening by chest X-ray with miners
who had 12-monthly screening by chest X-ray. There was no difference in the number of cases detected, but miners identified by
6-monthly screening had significantly less extensive disease at the time of diagnosis and a lower case-fatality rate than those
identified by 12-monthly screening, although only the reduction in case-fatality rate at 2 months was significantly lower.
There is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that screening for TB among miners reduces the case-fatality rate. There is no evidence from
and harms
in benefits
What is the
confidence in the Very High Very
In six studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening in miners was 70%; the
Values
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh Undesirable consequences probably outweigh Desirable and undesirable consequences Desirable consequences probably outweigh Desirable consequences clearly outweigh
consequences desirable consequences desirable consequences closely undesirable consequences undesirable consequences
balanced or uncertain
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this option very Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against Against rarely if evidence is too sparse)
Options for recommendation and for discussion
For options 2 and 3: These are conditional recommendations with very low quality evidence.
Remarks
Screening miners should be a high priority, particularly in settings with a high prevalence of HIV and a high prevalence of silicosis.
It may not be possible to implement this recommendation in resource-constrained settings. However, mining companies tend to be resource-rich and could probably afford to offer screening.
When the prevalence of rifampicin resistance in the screened population is <10% , an Xpert MTB/RIF result that is positive for rifampicin should be confirmed by conventional drug-susceptibility
testing or line probe assay.11
In settings with a high prevalence of HIV, counselling and testing for HIV should be offered to all people whose screening is positive for TB.12
The screening interval should be ≤1 year.
Screening miners for TB should be combined with general health screening.
11
Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement.
Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011 (WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
12
Guidelines for intensified tuberculosis case-finding and isoniazid preventive therapy for people living with HIV in resource-constrained settings. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011.
Should systematic screening for active TB be done routinely in prisons?
Note: See the systematic reviews for full references to cited papers.
N
A
I
A systematic review found that the incidence of TB in prisoners averages 23 times higher than in the general population
(Baussano et al 2010). This review reported a median incidence of 1943/100 000 population in middle-income and low-income
countries, and an incidence of 238/100 000 in high-income countries.
A systematic review of the number needed to screen (NNS) in different risk groups (Shapiro et al 2012) reported a mean weighted
Very
Infrequent
Moderately
frequent
Very NNS from 44 studies of prisoners in all countries of 315 (range, 4–2945). In low-incidence countries the weighted mean NNS was
Is it frequent? infrequent frequent frequent
1180 (range 4-2945) ; in medium-incidence countries the weighted mean NNS was 155 (range 19-191); and in countries with a
Burden of illness or problem
moderate incidence or a high incidence it was 110 (range 7-2762).
TB transmission rates are high in prisons because there is often a high prevalence of TB among people who are incarcerated,
and living conditions are often crowded. Prisons can amplify community transmission of TB. In high-income countries Baussano
(2010) estimated that the population-attributable fraction of TB in prisons was 8.5%; in middle-income and low-income countries
it was estimated to be 6.3%.
Very Very
mild moderate severe
mild severe* The prevalence of risk factors for poor treatment outcomes may be high in prisons; these risk factors include HIV infection,
Is it severe?
*e.g. life threatening or disabling undernutrition, and drug abuse and alcohol abuse.
Sensitivity and specificity (based on van’ t Hoog et al 2012)
Outcome Any cough Cough lasting >2 Any symptom Chest x-ray (any Chest X-ray (TB-
weeks abnormality) related
abnormality)
Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality
TP 56% 35% 77% 98% 87%
Sensiti OO OOO OOO O OO
(40– (24– (68– (95– (79–
FP vity Low Very low Very low Moderate Low
Confidence in accuracy of the diagnostic
Chest X-ray: SSM+CD 305 815 98685 195 611 810 98190 389 1222 802 97198 778
TB
abnormalities XP 400 105 99395 100 800 105 98895 200 1601 104 97896 399
Cough lasting SSM+CD 124 407 99093 376 247 405 98595 753 494 401 97599 1506
>2–3 weeks XP 162 53 99447 338 324 52 98948 676 647 52 97948 1353
Benefits and harms
SSM+CD 271 2482 97018 229 542 2470 96530 458 1084 2445 95555 916
Overall, Any symptom
are the No Yes XP 355 321 99179 145 710 320 98680 290 1420 317 97683 580
anticipated 1. Cough SSM + CD 111 179 99321 389 222 178 98822 778 445 177 97823 1555
undesirable lasting >2–3
effects small? weeks. 2. XP 146 23 99477 354 291 23 98977 709 583 23 97977 1417
Chest X-ray
1. Any SSM + CD 244 1092 98408 256 488 1087 97913 512 976 1076 96924 1024
symptom. 2.
Chest X-ray XP 319 141 99359 181 639 141 98859 361 1278 139 97861 722
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; SSM, sputum-smear microscopy; XP, Xpert
MTB/RIF test; CD, clinical diagnosis.
Overall, is there
certainty about
the link between Very
uncertain
Moderately
Certain
Very
uncertain certain certain
the accuracy of
the diagnostic
1Approaches to improve sputum smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis: expert group meeting report. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009.
2Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011
(WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
Direct assessment of outcomes of screening (Kranzer 2012)
Summary of findings
Diagnostic category Potential effect
Effect No. of studies Quality
Benefit on case detection - 0 studies OOO
Very low
Benefit on time to diagnosis Delay 3xlonger with passive 1 cross sectional OOO
detection study Very low
Benefit on severity at diagnosis Less likely to be smear 1 cross sectional OOO
True positives
positive at diagnosis study Very low
Benefit on treatment outcome No control group 2 cross sectional OOO
studies Very Low
Benefit on transmission Reduction in incidence over 1 longitudinal study OOO
time (10 years) Very low
False negatives Harm from missed diagnosis - Not reviewed -
Benefit from reassurance - Not reviewed -
True negatives
Harm from unnecessary screening - Not reviewed -
False positives Harm from unnecessary treatment - Not reviewed -
What is the
confi dence i n benef it s
overall Very
There is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that screening prisoners could detect cases of TB earlier and affect the epidemiology of
and harm s
What is the
confidence in the Very High In 16 studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening in prisons was
values that Low Moderate Very high
V al ues
low
patients place on 72%; the range was 18–98%; and the median proportion was 86%.
the benefits and
harms?
benefits?
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly Undesirable consequences probably Desirable and undesirable consequences Desirable consequences probably Desirable consequences clearly
consequences outweigh desirable consequences outweigh desirable consequences closely balanced or uncertain outweigh undesirable consequences outweigh undesirable consequences
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this option Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against Against very rarely if evidence is too sparse)
3
Yanjindulam et al. Reduction of tuberculosis burden among prisoners in Mongolia: review of case notification, 2001-2010. INT J TUBERC LUNG DIS 16(3):327–329
Options for recommendations and for discussion
For options 2 and 3: These are conditional recommendations with very low-quality evidence.
Notes: While direct evidence of the impact on morbidity from and transmission of TB from screening prisoners is very weak, there are several reasons to conditionally recommend such
screening:
prisoners are among the highest risk group for TB in all settings, although the NNS is high in low-burden settings;
transmission in prisons is believed to be high, especially where living conditions are crowded; additionally, prisons can amplify transmission. The population-attributable fraction of TB in
prisoners has been estimated to be 8.5% in high-income countries, and 6.3% in middle-income and low-income countries;
screening in prisons is feasible in many settings, and general health screening is already taking place in many prisons.
Remarks
It may not be possible to implement these recommendations in resource-constrained settings.
When the prevalence of rifampicin resistance in the screened population is <10% , an Xpert MTB/RIF result that is positive for rifampicin should be confirmed by conventional drug-
susceptibility testing or line probe assay.2
In settings with a high prevalence of HIV, counselling and testing for HIV should be offered to all people whose screening for TB is positive.4
For recommendations on managing TB in prisons and other penitentiary institutions, and for advice on managerial and administrative issues, see Guidelines for the control of tuberculosis in
prisons.5
Screening for TB in prisons and other penitentiary institutions should be combined with general health screening.
4
Guidelines for intensified tuberculosis case-finding and isoniazid preventive therapy for people living with HIV in resource-constrained settings. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011.
5 Guidelines for the control of tuberculosis in prisons. The Hague, Tuberculosis Coalition for Technical Assistance (TBCTA), 2009.
Should systematic screening for active TB be done routinely in settings with a
moderate-to-high prevalence of TB (>100/100 000 population) among people
seeking care for any reason who:
(i) belong to one of the following risk groups for TB – people older than 60 Patients: People living in areas with a moderate–to-high prevalence of TB who
years, with previously known or suspected TB, who are undernourished, who attend for health-care services and belong to special risk groups
smoke, who have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, who have diabetes, Screening intervention: Symptom screening or chest X-ray screening, or both
Comparison: Passive case-finding
with alcohol or substance abuse disorders, with a disease or undergoing
treatment that impairs their immune system, who are pregnant, or who work
Implied purpose: Reducing TB morbidity, mortality and transmission
in health care; or who work in health care. Linked treatment: Anti-TB chemotherapy
and
(ii) have not been screened for TB during the preceding 6–12 months?
Note: See the systematic reviews for full references to cited papers.
DOMAIN
In 5 studies from low-incidence countries (Shapiro et al 2012) the average number needed to screen (NNS) in people with
diabetes was 1 276; in 5 studies from countries with a medium-to-high incidence it was 40 (Shapiro et al 2012). A systematic
review of screening for TB in people with diabetes also reported a lower NNS in settings with a high background prevalence of TB
and a tendency towards a lower NNS in people with more severe diabetes (Jeon et al 2010).
The NNS for people who abuse drugs or alcohol ranged from 151 in 7 studies from settings with a low-to--moderate incidence to
20 in 2 studies from medium-incidence settings (Shapiro et al 2012); no study has been done in a setting with a high incidence .
Burden of illness or problem
Very
Infrequent
Moderately
frequent
Very The weighted average NNS for people with a lesion previously identified by chest X-ray was 75 in 3 studies (Shapiro 2012).
infrequent frequent frequent
Is it frequent?
Recent prevalence surveys have consistently found that the prevalence of active TB increases with age, and the prevalence is
higher in people older than 50-60 years than in the rest of the population (surveys from Bangladesh, China, Myanmar, Pakistan,
the Philippines and Viet Nam). Elderly people account for a large proportion of the prevalence, and increase the total burden of
TB in countries undergoing rapid demographic transition. However, there are no studies on the yield and impact of screening
among elderly people attending health clinics.
The incidence of TB in people with previous TB or a lesion seen on chest X-ray is much higher than in the general population.
Okada (2012) found that the incidence of smear-positive TB was 0.67%/year in people with an abnormality seen on chest X-ray
compared with 0.08%/year in people with a normal chest X-ray at baseline (relative risk, 8). Four studies (Shapiro 2012) looking
at other disease risk groups in low-incidence settings found an average NNS of 510 (range, 36–2846).
Very
mild
mild moderate severe
Very
severe*
People with diabetes,1 people who are undernourished,2 people who abuse alcohol,3 injecting drug users ,4 patients with
Is it severe? diseases that impair their immune system,4 and elderly people4 all have an increased risk of poor outcomes from TB treatment.
*e.g. life threatening or disabling Pregnant women with TB have a higher risk of complications for themselves and their infants than other pregnant women.5
low
accuracy of the (40– (24– (68– (95– (79–
FP vity Low Very low Very low Moderate Low
diagnostic test? 74%) 46%) 86%) 100%) 95%)
TN 80% 95% 68% 89%
Specifi OO OO OOO 75% O OO
(69– (93– (50– (87–
FP city Low Low Very low (72–79%) Moderate Low
90%) 97%) 85%) 92%)
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative.
For further details see the GRADE tables on the accuracy of diagnostic tests.
1 Baker MA et al. Systematic review: the impact of diabetes on tuberculosis treatment outcomes. BMC Medicine, 2011, 9:81 (doi:10.1186/1741-7015-9-81).
2 Hanrahan CF et al. Body mass index and risk of tuberculosis and death. AIDS, 2010, 24:1501–1508.
Khan A et al. Lack of weight gain and relapse risk in a large tuberculosis treatment trial. American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, 2006, 174:344–348.
Krapp F et al., Bodyweight gain to predict treatment outcome in patients with pulmonary tuberculosis in Peru. International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 2008, 12:1153–1159.
Zachariah R et al., Moderate to severe malnutrition in patients with tuberculosis is a risk factor associated with early death. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 2002, 96:291–294.
Cegielski JP, McMurray DN. The relationship between malnutrition and tuberculosis: evidence from studies in humans and experimental animals. International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 2004, 8:286–298.
3 Rehm J et al. Alcohol consumption, alcohol use disorders and incidence and disease course of tuberculosis (TB) – is there a causal connection? BMC Public Health, 2009, 9:450 (doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-450).
4 Waitt CJ, Squire SB. A systematic review of risk factors for death in adults during and after tuberculosis treatment. International Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, 2011, 15:871–885.
5 Figueroa-Damian R, Arredondo-Garcia JL. Neonatal outcome of children born to women with tuberculosis. Archives of Medical Research, 2001, 32:66–69.
Bjerkedal T, Bahna SL, Lehmann EH. Course and outcome of pregnancy in women with pulmonary tuberculosis. Scandinavian Journal of Respiratory Diseases, 1975, 56:245–250.
Nhan-Chang CL, Jones TB. Tuberculosis in pregnancy. Clinical Obstetrics and Gynecology, 2010, 53: 311–321.
Modelled yield of different algorithms based on point estimates from the systematic review of the accuracy of screening
tools (van’t Hoog et al 2012) and systematic reviews of the accuracy of sputum-smear microscopy6 and the Xpert
MTB/RIF test7
Prevalence 0.5% Prevalence 1% Prevalence 2%
Screening Diagnosi (500/100 000) (1 000/100 000) (2 000/100 000)
s TP FP TN FN TP FP TN FN TP FP TN FN
Overall,
are the No Yes Chest X-ray: SSM+CD 1890 97610 156 688 1881 97119 312 1377 1862 96138 623
anticipated any
XP 245 99255 49 902 244 98756 98 1803 241 97759 197 197
desirable effects abnormality
large? Chest X-ray: SSM+CD 815 98685 195 611 810 98190 389 1222 802 97198 778
TB
abnormalities XP 400 105 99395 100 800 105 98895 200 1601 104 97896 399
B enefi ts a nd har m s
Cough lasting SSM+CD 124 407 99093 376 247 405 98595 753 494 401 97599 1506
>2–3 weeks XP 162 53 99447 338 324 52 98948 676 647 52 97948 1353
SSM+CD 271 2482 97018 229 542 2470 96530 458 1084 2445 95555 916
Any symptom
XP 355 321 99179 145 710 320 98680 290 1420 317 97683 580
1. Cough SSM + CD 111 179 99321 389 222 178 98822 778 445 177 97823 1555
lasting >2–3
Overall, weeks. 2.
are the No Yes XP 146 23 99477 354 291 23 98977 709 583 23 97977 1417
Chest X-ray
anticipated
undesirable 1. Any SSM + CD 244 1092 98408 256 488 1087 97913 512 976 1076 96924 1024
effects small? symptom. 2.
Chest X-ray XP 319 141 99359 181 639 141 98859 361 1278 139 97861 722
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; SSM, sputum-smear microscopy; XP, Xpert
MTB/RIF test; CD, clinical diagnosis.
6Approaches to improve sputum smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis: expert group meeting report. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009.
7Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011
(WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
Direct assessment of outcomes of screening (Kranzer 2012)
Summary of findings
Diagnostic category Potential effect
Effect No. of studies Quality
Benefit on case detection See text 4 cross-sectional OO
Low
Benefit on time to diagnosis - 0 studies OOO
Very low
Benefit on severity at diagnosis - 0 studies OOO
True positives
Very low
Benefit on treatment outcome - 0 studies OOO
Very Low
Benefit on transmission - 0 studies OOO
Very low
False negatives Harm from missed diagnosis - Not reviewed -
Overall, is there Benefit from reassurance - Not reviewed -
True negatives
certainty about Harm from unnecessary screening - Not reviewed -
the link between Very
uncertain
Moderately
Certain
Very False positives Harm from unnecessary treatment - Not reviewed -
uncertain certain certain
the accuracy of
the diagnostic
For further details see the GRADE tables.
test and the
consequences?
Impact on case detection
Meijer (1971) reported on the contribution to overall case detection of routine screening with chest X-ray in chest clinics;
screening included people with fibrotic lesions previously seen on X-ray and contacts of people with TB and people whose
tuberculin skin test (TST) had recently converted. The studies were done in Canada (Ontario), the former Czechoslovakia (Kolin
district) and the Netherlands at various times during the 1950s and 1960s. The proportion of all notified, bacteriologically
confirmed cases detected through such screening was 10% (96/1020) in Canada, 34% (109/319) in the former Czechoslovakia
and 20% (981/4872) in the Netherlands. The contribution of screening among people with a lesion seen previously on chest X-
ray was not reported separately. Okada (2012) reported on the contribution of rescreening 2 years after a prevalence survey of
people who had been identified with active TB and people with abnormalities seen on chest X-ray but without active TB in the
initial survey. Among the 35 notified smear-positive cases (from 22 160 persons in the survey clusters) during the 2 years after
the initial survey, 21 (60%) were identified by rescreening, including 1 (3%) relapsed case of cured TB and 20 (57%) cases
among people who had had an abnormal chest X-ray but did not have active TB at the time of the initial survey. The weighted
average contribution to overall case detection across all of the studies above is 19% of all bacteriologically confirmed, notified
cases.
There are no published studies on the contribution from screening to overall case detection in other risk groups within health
facilities.
Impact on time to diagnosis and severity at diagnosis
No studies.
Impact on TB epidemiology
No studies.
What is the
Confi dence i n benefi ts
overall There is LOW QUALITY evidence that screening people with a previous lesion seen on chest X-ray contributes to overall case-
confidence in Very
and harm s
low
Low Moderate High detection rates. There is no such evidence for other clinical risk groups. There is no evidence about the impact of screening on
the estimates of
effect for delay to diagnosis and treatment outcomes. There is no evidence from published trials demonstrating an impact on case
benefits and detection or on the epidemiology of TB. A GRADE table is presented only for people with a lesion previously seen on chest X-ray.
harms?
In two studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening among people
with diabetes was 94%; the range was 94–98%; and the median proportion was 96%.
In six studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening among pregnant
What is the
women was 94%; the range was 68–96%; and the median proportion was 90%.
confidence in Very High
the values that Low Moderate Very high In two studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening among elderly
V al ues
low
patients place
people living in institutions was 72%; the range was 72–95%; and the median proportion was 83%.
on the benefits
and harms?
In three studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening among people
with drug dependencies was 93%; the range was 69–94%; and the median proportion was 89%.
No studies assessed consent for screening among people with alcohol use disorders, malnourished people, smokers, and people
with diseases that impair their immune system.
No Uncertain Yes
relative to the No cost–effectiveness analysis has been published.
net benefits?
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly Undesirable consequences probably Desirable and undesirable Desirable consequences probably Desirable consequences clearly
consequences outweigh desirable consequences outweigh desirable consequences consequences outweigh undesirable consequences outweigh undesirable consequences
closely
balanced or uncertain
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this option Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against Against very rarely if evidence is too sparse)
NOTE: The only published evidence about the impact of screening in these risk groups concerns the contribution to case detection made by screening people with a lesion seen on a previous
chest X-ray. Thus, there is an argument for making a recommendation only for this risk group. However, there are six reasons for recommending screening in all of these groups in settings
where the burden of TB is very high despite a lack of evidence of an impact on morbidity and transmission:
1. early diagnosis and treatment of TB are essential parts of infection control in health facilities;8
2. the burden of undiagnosed TB among these risk groups is high in settings with a moderate-to-high prevalence of TB, and the NNS is therefore low, especially if a sensitive algorithm is
used for screening and diagnosis;
3. several of these groups are at higher risk of having poor outcomes from TB treatment;
4. the additional cost of screening is small in comparison with the additional cost of screening outside health-care facilities;
5. the acceptability of screening is likely to be high among patients;
6. access to further tests and specialist clinical evaluation is good when compared with screening done outside health facilities.
8
WHO policy on TB infection control in health-care facilities, congregate settings and households. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009 (WHO/HTM/TB/2009.419).
Remarks for option 3
This recommendation concerns interventions that should be undertaken in addition to passive case-finding and the standard diagnostic work-up of people seeking care for symptoms compatible
with TB.9
Individuals known to have TB or suspected of having TB and who are at a high risk for multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) should have as their primary diagnostic test the Xpert MTB/RIF test.
This group includes persons suspected of having pulmonary TB and considered to be at risk of harbouring MDR-TB bacilli (risk groups defined by national policies or as defined in WHO’s
Guidelines for the programmatic management of drug-resistant TB,10 and persons who have been treated with anti-TB chemotherapy and in whom pulmonary TB has again been diagnosed –
that is, patients in all retreatment categories (failure, default, relapse).11
All persons living with HIV who have signs or symptoms of TB, persons who are seriously ill and suspected of having TB regardless of their HIV status, and persons whose HIV status is
unknown but who present with strong clinical evidence of HIV infection in settings where the prevalence of HIV is high should have as their primary diagnostic test the Xpert MTB/RIF.8 In
settings with a high prevalence of HIV, counselling and testing for HIV should be offered to all people whose screening is positive for TB.12
There is no evidence on the appropriate interval between screenings. The suggested 6–12 month interval is arbitrary, and a different interval may be applied, or people may be eligible for
screening at each health-care visit, a strategy that would simplify implementation.
Screening people with lesions seen on chest X-ray can be done either in a chest clinic or specialist TB clinic, or in a general health facility. Other risk groups should be targeted within the clinic
where their care is managed – for example, pregnant women can be screened at antenatal clinics or people with diabetes can be screened at the endocrinology department.
Screening for TB in people with diabetes should be complemented by screening for diabetes in people with TB, see the Collaborative framework for care and control of TB and diabetes.13
Screening for TB in in smokers or people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease should be complemented by screening for smoking in people with TB, see the monograph by WHO and the
International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease.14 Screening for TB in people who abuse drugs or alcohol should be complemented by HIV screening in these groups and with
screening for alcohol and drug abuse in people with TB, see the Policy guidelines for collaborative TB and HIV services for injecting and other drug users.15
Screening for TB in health facilities should be offered to all health-care staff and combined with other infection-control interventions, see the guidelines on infection control in health facilities.16
9
Implementing the WHO Stop TB Strategy: a handbook for national tuberculosis control programmes. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2008 (WHO/HTM/TB/2008.401).
10
Guidelines for the programmatic management of drug-resistant tuberculosis: 2011 update. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011 (WHO/HTM/TB/2011.6).
11
Rapid implementation of the Xpert MTB/RIF diagnostic test: technical and operational ‘how-to’. Practical considerations. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011 (WHO/HTM/TB/2011.2).
12
Guidelines for intensified tuberculosis case-finding and isoniazid preventive therapy for people living with HIV in resource-constrained settings. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011.
13
Collaborative framework for care and control of tuberculosis and diabetes. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011 (WHO/HTM/TB/2011.15).
14
A WHO/The Union monograph on TB and tobacco control: joining efforts to control two related global epidemics. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2008 (WHO/TB/2007.390).
15 Policy guidelines for collaborative TB and HIV services for injecting and other drug users: an integrated approach. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2008
(WHO/HTM/TB/2008.404).
16
WHO policy on TB infection control in health-care facilities, congregate settings and households. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009 (WHO/HTM/TB/2009.419).
Should screening for active TB be done in communities with a high burden
of TB through door-to-door screening or through invitation for chest X-ray
screening (high-intensity community screening)?
Note: See the systematic reviews for full references to cited papers.
DOMAIN
A systematic review of the number needed to screen (NNS) (Shapiro 2012) reported for community screening an average NNS
(range) of:
Very
infrequent
Infrequent
Moderately
frequent
frequent
Very
frequent
3922 (137–30 865) in countries with a low incidence;
Is it frequent?
669 (15–5594) in countries with a moderate incidence;
601 (138–618) in countries with a medium incidence; and
100 (16–6355) in countries with a high incidence.
Burden of illness or problem
In principle, screening an entire community targets people who have an average risk of adverse outcomes and consequences
from TB.If screening focuses on particularly vulnerable communities, it is likely to target people with TB who have a higher-than-
average risk of both delayed diagnosis and adverse outcomes (including health, social and economic consequences) related to
Very
mild moderate severe
Very undiagnosed TB or to late diagnosis and treatment.
mild severe*
Is it severe?
*e.g. life threatening or disabling In communities with high prevalences of both TB and HIV, a large proportion of people with TB are HIV-positive and therefore are
particularly vulnerable to the negative effects of late diagnosis and treatment of TB.
Sensitivity and specificity (based on van’ t Hoog et al 2012)
Outcome Any cough Cough lasting >2 Any symptom Chest X-ray (any Chest X-ray (TB-
Confidence In accuracy of the diagnostic
low Sensiti
accuracy of the (40– (24– (68– (95– (79–
diagnostic test ?
FP vity
74%)
Low
46%)
Very low
86%)
Very low
100%)
Moderate
95%)
Low
TN 80% 95% 68% 89%
Specifi OO OO OOO 75% O OO
(69– (93– (50– (87–
FP city Low Low Very low (72–79%) Moderate Low
90%) 97%) 85%) 92%)
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative.
For further details see the GRADE tables on the accuracy of diagnostic tests.
B enefi ts a nd har m s
Overall,
are the No Yes
anticipated
desirable effects
large?
Modelled yield of different algorithms based on point estimates from the systematic review of the accuracy of screening tools (van’t
Hoog et al 2012) and systematic reviews of the accuracy of sputum-smear microscopy1 and the Xpert MTB/RIF test2
Prevalence 0.5% Prevalence 1% Prevalence 2%
Screening Diagnosi (500/100 000) (1 000/100 000) (2 000/100 000)
s TP FP TN FN TP FP TN FN TP FP TN FN
Overall,
are the No Yes Chest X-ray: SSM+CD 344 1890 97610 156 688 1881 97119 312 1377 1862 96138 623
anticipated any
undesirable abnormality XP 451 245 99255 49 902 244 98756 98 1803 241 97759 197
effects small? Chest X-ray: SSM+CD 305 815 98685 195 611 810 98190 389 1222 802 97198 778
TB
abnormalities XP 400 105 99395 100 800 105 98895 200 1601 104 97896 399
Cough lasting SSM+CD 124 407 99093 376 247 405 98595 753 494 401 97599 1506
>2–3 weeks XP 162 53 99447 338 324 52 98948 676 647 52 97948 1353
SSM+CD 271 2482 97018 229 542 2470 96530 458 1084 2445 95555 916
Any symptom
XP 355 321 99179 145 710 320 98680 290 1420 317 97683 580
1. Cough SSM + CD 111 179 99321 389 222 178 98822 778 445 177 97823 1555
lasting >2–3
weeks. 2. XP 146 23 99477 354 291 23 98977 709 583 23 97977 1417
Chest X-ray
1. Any SSM + CD 244 1092 98408 256 488 1087 97913 512 976 1076 96924 1024
symptom. 2.
Overall, is there Chest X-ray XP 319 141 99359 181 639 141 98859 361 1278 139 97861 722
certainty about
the link between Very Moderately Very
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; SSM, sputum-smear microscopy; XP, Xpert
uncertain Certain
the accuracy of uncertain certain certain MTB/RIF test; CD, clinical diagnosis.
the diagnostic
1Approaches to improve sputum smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis: expert group meeting report. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009.
2Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011
(WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
Direct assessment of outcomes of screening (Kranzer 2012)
Summary of findings
Diagnostic category Potential effect
Effect No. of studies Quality
Benefit on case detection See text 2 cluster RCTs OO
9 cross sectional Low
Benefit on time to diagnosis See text 2 RCTs OOO
Very low
Benefit on severity at diagnosis Less likely to be smear 7 cross sectional OOO
True positives
positive at diagnosis Very low
Benefit on treatment outcome No differences have been 3 cross sectional OOO
shown studies Very Low
Benefit on transmission See text 1 RCT OOO
I Longitudinal study Very low
False negatives Harm from missed diagnosis - Not reviewed -
Benefit from reassurance - Not reviewed -
True negatives
Harm from unnecessary screening - Not reviewed -
False positives Harm from unnecessary treatment - Not reviewed -
What is the
There is LOW QUALITY evidence that door-to-door and other intensive community screening interventions lead to increased case
Confi dence I n benefit s
overall
confidence in Very detection; and there is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that these interventions reduce the delay in diagnosis. There is VERY
and harm s
low
patients place In nine studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening in indigenous
on the benefits
and harms?
populations was 69%; the range was 40–97%; and the median proportion was 89%.
RE S O URCE S
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly Undesirable consequences probably Desirable and undesirable Desirable consequences probably Desirable consequences clearly
consequences outweigh desirable consequences outweigh desirable consequences consequences outweigh undesirable consequences outweigh undesirable consequences
closely
balanced or uncertain
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against against option very rarely if evidence is too sparse)
Proposed options for discussion
For option2: This is a conditional recommendation with very low quality evidence.
In settings with a high prevalence of HIV, counselling and testing for HIV should be offered to all people who are screened and found positive for TB.
Children aged ≥10 years should be screened using the algorithm for adults. No study has specifically assessed the sensitivity and specificity of screening algorithms for children and
adolescents who are not contacts of people with TB. The panel believes that the screening algorithm for adults is likely to have similar precision in adolescents. However, the prevalence of
undiagnosed TB is likely to be lower, thereby adversely affecting the test’s performance and the risk–benefit ratio.
Screening for symptoms and using chest X-rays in children aged <10 years is likely to have low specificity since pulmonary TB is a relatively rare cause of lower respiratory symptoms and
signs, which are common in this age group. A large number of young children who do not have TB would need further investigations for TB if they were systematically screened as part of
general screening in their community. Furthermore, since most confirmatory, diagnostic TB tests have a lower sensitivity in young children than in adults, the final diagnosis would be
uncertain for many of the children who had further evaluations, likely resulting in a high number of false-positive cases. The panel thus judges that there is a risk of doing more harm than
benefit in children aged <10 years. The situation is different when contacts are being investigated, since this type of investigation targets children with a higher prevalence of TB and also aims
to rule out TB in children aged <5 years who are eligible for treatment of latent TB infection (see WHO’s recommendations on contact investigations).3
To the extent possible, community screening should be combined with other screening, health-promotion activities or social support . When screening is done in refugee camps among
displaced populations, consult the guidelines on tuberculosis care and control in refugee and displaced populations for recommendations on TB management and operational aspects.4
3
Recommendations for investigating the contacts of persons with infectious tuberculosis in low- and middle-income countries. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2012
(WHO/HTM/TB/2012.9).
4
Tuberculosis care and control in refugee and displaced populations: an interagency field manual, 2nd ed. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2007 (WHO/HTM/TB/2007.377).
Should screening for active TB be done in communities that
have a high burden of TB by inviting people to mobile or
stationary facilities to be screened for symptoms and for sputum
collection (low- to moderate-intensity community screening)?
Note: See the systematic reviews for full references to cited papers.
IN
A systematic review of the number needed to screen (NNS) (Shapiro 2012) reported for community screening an average NNS
(range) of:
Very
infrequent
Infrequent
Moderately
frequent
frequent
Very
frequent
3922 (137–30865) in countries with a low incidence;
Is it frequent?
Burden of Illness or problem
Any symptom
Overall, XP 355 321 99179 145 710 320 98680 290 1420 317 97683 580
are the No Yes 1. Cough SSM + CD 111 179 99321 389 222 178 98822 778 445 177 97823 1555
anticipated lasting >2–3
undesirable weeks. 2. XP 146 23 99477 354 291 23 98977 709 583 23 97977 1417
effects small? Chest X-ray
1. Any SSM + CD 244 1092 98408 256 488 1087 97913 512 976 1076 96924 1024
symptom. 2.
XP 319 141 99359 181 639 141 98859 361 1278 139 97861 722
Chest X-ray
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; SSM, sputum-smear microscopy; XP, Xpert
MTB/RIF test; CD, clinical diagnosis.
Overall, is there
certainty about
the link between Very
uncertain
Moderately
Certain
Very
uncertain certain certain
the accuracy of
the diagnostic
1Approaches to improve sputum smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis: expert group meeting report. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009.
2Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011
(WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
Direct assessment of outcomes of screening (Kranzer 2012)
Summary of findings
Diagnostic category Potential effect
Effect No. of studies Quality
Benefit on case detection Not pooled 3 RCTs OOO
Very low
Benefit on time to diagnosis Reduced in both studies 1 cluster RCT OO
1 cross sectional Low
Benefit on severity at diagnosis - 0 studies OOO
True positives
Very low
Benefit on treatment outcome Neither study found a 2 cross sectional OOO
difference studies Very Low
Benefit on transmission One study found a 2 cluster RCTs OOO
reduction and one did not Very low
False negatives Harm from missed diagnosis - Not reviewed -
Benefit from reassurance - Not reviewed -
True negatives
Harm from unnecessary screening - Not reviewed -
False positives Harm from unnecessary treatment - Not reviewed -
overall evidence that community screening may reduce the delay in diagnosis. There is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that treatment
confidence in Very
a n d harm s
low
Low Moderate High outcomes are similar in those screened compared with those detected by passive case-finding; there is MODERATE QUALITY
the estimates of
effect for evidence that providing health information along with decentralized sputum-collection points, symptom screening and sputum
benefits and collection during health camps has no impact on the epidemiology of TB. There is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that more
harms? intense symptom screening through use of mobile vans may have an impact on the epidemiology of TB.
What is the In 11 studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening among residents
confidence in Very High in poor urban areas was 91%; the range was 59–99%; and the median proportion was 88%.
the values that Low Moderate Very high
V al ues
low
patients place
on the benefits In nine studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo screening in indigenous
and harms? populations was 69%; the range was 40–97%; and the median proportion was 89%.
Is the cost low
No cost–effectiveness analysis of community screening has been published.
Res our c
net benefits?
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly Undesirable consequences probably Desirable and undesirable Desirable consequences probably Desirable consequences clearly
consequences outweigh desirable consequences outweigh desirable consequences consequences outweigh undesirable consequences outweigh undesirable consequences
closely balanced or uncertain
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against against option very rarely if evidence is too sparse)
Proposed options for discussion
Option 1: There is insufficient evidence to make any recommendation.
Option 2: Inviting people to TB screening at a mobile facility or fixed facility should be considered in subpopulations estimated to have a very high prevalence of undetected TB (>0.5–1%) if
other interventions have been shown to be insufficient to improve the early detection of TB.
For both options: This is a conditional recommendation with very low-quality evidence.
People can be invited for screening by providing general health information or through face-to-face interaction (by going door to door, by establishing health camps and through other
outreach activities). If people are invited through face-to-face interaction, screening for cough lasting >2 weeks or haemoptysis, as well as collecting sputum for sputum-smear microscopy or
Xpert MTB/RIF testing, can be done at the place of interaction. A second screening with a chest X-ray, as well as diagnosis using the Xpert MTB/RIF test, can be done in mobile facilities or
fixed facilities.
In settings with a high prevalence of HIV, counselling and testing for HIV should be offered to all people who are screened and found positive for TB.
Children aged ≥10 years should be screened using the algorithm for adults. No study has specifically assessed the sensitivity and specificity of screening algorithms for children and
adolescents who are not contacts of people with TB. The panel believes that the screening algorithm for adults is likely to have similar precision in adolescents. However the prevalence of
undiagnosed TB is likely to be lower, thereby adversely affecting the test’s performance and the risk–benefit ratio. Screening for symptoms and using chest X-rays in children aged <10 years
is likely to have low specificity since pulmonary TB is a relatively rare cause of lower respiratory symptoms and signs, which are common in this age group. A large number of young children
who do not have TB would need further investigations for TB if they were systematically screened as part of general screening in their community. Furthermore, since most confirmatory,
diagnostic TB tests have a lower sensitivity in young children than in adults, the final diagnosis would be uncertain for many of the children who had further evaluations, likely resulting in a
high number of false-positive cases. The panel thus judges that there is a risk of doing more harm than benefit in children aged <10 years. The situation is different when contacts are being
investigated, since this type of investigation targets children with a higher prevalence of TB and also aims to rule out TB in children aged <5 years who are eligible for treatment of latent TB
infection (see WHO’s recommendations on contact investigations).3
3
Recommendations for investigating the contacts of persons with infectious tuberculosis in low- and middle-income countries. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2012
(WHO/HTM/TB/2012.9).
Should screening for active TB be undertaken in communities with a very high
burden of TB?
Note: This Decision table combines door-to-door screening and screening Patients: Population in communities with a very high burden of TB
by inviting people to mobile or stationary facilities to be screened for Intervention: Symptom screening, chest X-ray screening, or both; door-to-door or by
symptoms and for sputum collection and, in communities with a high invitation
burden of TB. The panel may develop a combined recommendation for the Comparison: Passive case-finding
two approaches, separate recommendations, recommendations for either,
both, or none of the approaches. Implied purpose: Reducing TB morbidity, mortality and transmission
Linked treatment: Chemotherapy for active TB
C R IT ER IA JU D GEM EN T EVIDENCE C OM M EN T S
A systematic review of the number needed to screen (NNS) (Shapiro 2012) reported for community screening an NNS (range) of:
Very Moderately Very
3922 (137–30 865) in countries with a low incidence;
Infrequent frequent
Is it frequent? infrequent frequent frequent
669 (15–5594) in countries with a moderate incidence;
Burden of illness or problem
601 (138–618) in countries with a medium incidence ; and
100 (16–6355) in countries with a high incidence .
In principle, screening an entire community targets people who have an average risk of adverse outcomes and consequences
Very Very from TB. If screening focuses on particularly vulnerable communities, it is likely to target people with TB who have a higher-than-
mild moderate severe
mild severe* average risk of both delayed diagnosis and adverse outcomes (including health, social and economic consequences) related to
Is it severe?
*e.g. life threatening or disabling undiagnosed TB or to late diagnosis and treatment. In communities with high prevalences of both TB and HIV, a large proportion
of people with TB are HIV-positive and therefore are particularly vulnerable to the negative effects of late diagnosis and treatment
of TB.
Sensitivity Any cough Cough lasting >2 Any symptom Chest X-ray (any Chest X-ray (TB-
and weeks abnormality) related
Confidence in accuracy of the
specificity abnormality)
What is the (based on Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality
diagnostic
Very
confidence in the Low Moderate High
test
accuracy of the
low van t’Hoog
diagnostic test ? et al 2012)
Outcome
TP Sensiti 56% OO 35% OOO 77% OOO 98% O 87% OO
FP vity (40- [Should (24– Very low (68– Very low (95– Moderate (79– Low
74%) this 46%) 86%) 100%) 95%)
[95% designa
CI?] tion be
explain
ed
anywhe
re?]
Low
TN 80% 95% 68% 89%
Specifi OO OO OOO 75% O OO
(69– (93– (50– (87–
FP city Low Low Very low (72–79%) Moderate Low
90%) 97%) 85%) 92%)
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative.
For further details see GRADE tables on the accuracy of diagnostic tests.
Modelled yiled of different algorithms based on point estimates from the systematic review of accuracy of screening
tools (van’t Hoog et al 2012), and systematic reviews of accuracy of sputum-smear microscopy1 and the Xpert MTB/RIF
test.2
Prevalence 0.5% Prevalence 1% Prevalence 2%
B enef it s and har m s
1Approaches to improve sputum smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis: expert group meeting report. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009.
2Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011
(WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
SSM+CD 271 2482 97018 229 542 2470 96530 458 1084 2445 95555 916
Any symptom
XP 355 321 99179 145 710 320 98680 290 1420 317 97683 580
Cough lasting SSM + CD 111 179 99321 389 222 178 98822 778 445 177 97823 1555
>2–3 weeks
Overall, plus [OK?] XP 146 23 99477 354 291 23 98977 709 583 23 97977 1417
are the No Yes chest X-ray
anticipated Any symptom SSM + CD 244 1092 98408 256 488 1087 97913 512 976 1076 96924 1024
undesirable plus [OK?] XP 319 141 99359 181 639 141 98859 361 1278 139 97861 722
effects small? chest X-ray
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; SSM, sputum-smear microscopy; XP, Xpert
MTB/RIF test; CD, clinical diagnosis.
Direct assessment of outcomes fof screening (Kranzer 2012)
Summary of findings
Diagnostic category Potential effect
Effect No. of studies Quality
Benefit on case detection All four trials showed a 4 cluster RCTs O
benefit 10 cross-sectional Moderate
Benefit on time to diagnosis See text 3 cluster RCTs OOO
1 cross sectional Very low
Benefit on severity at diagnosis Less likely to be smear 9 cross sectional OOO
True positives
positive at diagnosis Very low
Benefit on treatment outcome No benefits seen 6 cross sectional OOO
Very Low
Benefit on transmission See text 2 RCTs OO
1 Cohort Low
Overall, is there False negatives Harm from missed diagnosis - Not reviewed -
certainty of the Benefit from reassurance - Not reviewed -
link between the True negatives
Very Moderately Very Harm from unnecessary screening - Not reviewed -
diagnostic test uncertain
uncertain
certain
Certain
certain
accuracy False positives Harm from unnecessary treatment - Not reviewed -
information and
the con-
sequences? RCT, randomized controlled trial.
For further details see the GRADE tables.
A trial in Brazil (Miller 2010)using door-to-door screening increased the case yield during the intervention but not overall during
the entire period of the study so the intervention seemed to affect the delay in diagnosis rather than the total number diagnosed. A
trial in South Africa (Moyo 2012) followed a cohort of infants randomized to screening or passive case–finding, and found that
case-finding was 2.6 times higher in the screened group. Two Ethiopian studies used community health-workers in different ways
to increase case-finding and diagnosis. One of the Ethiopian studies (Shargie 2006) used preadvertised outreach clinics; the
other (Datiko 2009) worked to increase awareness of TB and TB symptoms and make it easier to collect sputum samples. Both
studies found higher case rates in the intervention communities: 27 more cases were detected per 100 000 population in the first
study and 53 more cases were detected in the second study. However in the study by Shargie (2006) the difference was not
statistically significant. The two Ethiopian studies focused primarily on delivering health information and decentralizing sputum
collection; the actual method of identifying people with TB symptoms was not clearly described.
Two studies – one from South Africa (den Boon 2008) and one from Cambodia (Eang 2012) – reported a lower proportion of
sputum smear-positive cases in patients identified through screening than in patients detected through passive case-finding: 67%
versus 94% in the South African study, and 29% versus 60% in the Cambodian study. These studies also assessed smear grade
in smear-positive cases, and found that the proportion of cases with smears graded 3+ was 57% lower in South Africa and 11%
lower in Cambodia among those detected through screening than in other smear-positive patients. A lower proportion of smear-
positive cases may reflect the use of screening and diagnostic tools that are more sensitive in diagnosing culture-positive TB
rather than the impact of community screening itself. Furthermore, smear-positive TB does not necessarily indicate that a patient
had a longer delay before being diagnosed than someone with smear-negative TB: the difference in smear grade is more likely to
reflect the impact of community screening on early detection.
Impact on epidemiology
Three studies assessed the epidemiological impact of community screening.
A community-based RCT [OK to say RCT?] in Zimbabwe (Corbett 2010) used two different case-finding interventions (mobile
vans or door-to-door screening for symptoms). There was no control group that did not receive an intervention, so the comparison
is the prevalence of TB in the communities before and after the interventions; this was assessed by surveys. The prevalence fell
by 40% over 3 years for both arms combined but the reduction was not statistically significant. The reduction was similar in areas
covered by the different interventions, although the cumulative yield of cases during the intervention was higher in the mobile-van
group. The population of the area increased by 10% during the study period which may have affected the prevalence.
Okada (2012) reported on a follow-up study conducted in Cambodia 2 years after a national TB prevalence survey to capture
incident TB cases in communities previously screened for TB as part of the national survey. The standardized TB notification ratio
was 0.38 (95% confidence interval, 0.27–0.52) in the 2012 study, showing a two thirds reduction in notification in the study areas
compared with what would have been expected if the communities had followed the national notification trend.
A community-based RCT in Zambia found no impact on TB epidemiology of an intervention delivering health information that was
combined with decentralized sputum-collection points and sputum collection during health camps (Ayles 2012).
What is the There is MODERATE QUALITY evidence that community screening leads to increased case detection; and there is VERY LOW
Co n fi de nc e in b en ef i ts
overall QUALITY evidence that community screening reduces the delay in diagnosis. There is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that
confidence in Very
treatment outcomes are similar among those screened compared with those identified by passive case-finding. There is
a nd h ar ms
Community-based screening had high participation rates, ranging from 2% to 99% of eligible individuals. The average
participation rate was 82% ± 0.2 (interquartile range, 80–95%). Acceptability ranged from 12% to 100%, with a median of 90%.
What is the In 47 studies (Mitchell 2012), the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening in the general
confidence in High
community was 82%; the range was 2–99%; and the median proportion was 90%.
Very
the values that Low Moderate Very high
V alues
low
patients place In 11 studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening among residents
on the benefits
and harms?
in poor urban areas was 91%; the range was 59–99%; and the median proportion was 88%.
In nine studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening in indigenous
populations was 69%; the range was 40–97%; and the median proportion was 89%.
Is the cost small
Res our c es
[low?] relative to No Uncertain Yes No cost–effectiveness analysis of community screening has been published.
the net benefits?
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly Undesirable consequences probably Desirable and undesirable Desirable consequences probably Desirable consequences clearly
consequences outweigh desirable consequences outweigh desirable consequences consequences outweigh undesirable consequences outweigh undesirable consequences
closely
balanced or uncertain
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against against option rarely if evidence is sparse)
We decide –
Proposed options for discussions:
option 1: There is insufficient evidence to make any recommendation;
option 2: Community screening for active TB should be considered in subpopulation estimated to have a very high prevalence of undetected TB (>0.5–1%) if other interventions have been
shown to be insufficient to improve the early detection of TB.
For option 2: This is a conditional recommendation with very low quality evidence.
Remarks for option 2
To improve the efficiency of screening and reduce the risk of high numbers of false-positives even in settings with a high prevalence of TB only the highest risk subpopulations should be
targeted; these settings include urban slums, areas where homeless people congregate, remote areas with difficult access, and areas with indigenous populations, migrants or other
vulnerable groups.
Even if highly focused it may not be possible to implement this recommendation in resource-constrained settings.
People can be invited for screening by providing general health information or through face-to-face interaction (by going door to door, by establishing health camps, and through other
outreach activities). If people are invited through face-to-face interaction, screening for symptoms , as well as collecting sputum for sputum-smear microscopy or Xpert MTB/RIF testing, can
be done at the place of interaction. A second screening with a chest X-ray, as well as diagnosis using Xpert MTB/RIF testing, can be done in mobile facilities or fixed facilities.
When the prevalence of rifampicin resistance in the screened population is <10% , an Xpert MTB/RIF result that is positive for rifampicin should be confirmed by conventional drug-
susceptibility testing or line probe assay.3
In settings with a high prevalence of HIV, counselling and testing for HIV should be offered to all people who are screened and found positive for TB.
Children aged ≥10 years should be screened using the algorithm for adults. No study has specifically assessed the sensitivity and specificity of screening algorithms for children and
adolescents who are not contacts of people with TB. The panel believes that the screening algorithm for adults is likely to have similar precision in adolescents. However the prevalence of
undiagnosed TB is likely to be lower, thereby adversely affecting the test’s performance and the risk–benefit ratio.
Screening for symptoms and using chest X-rays in children aged <10 years is likely to have low specificity since pulmonary TB is a relatively rare cause of lower respiratory symptoms and
signs, which are common in this age group. A large number of young children who do not have TB would need further investigations for TB if they were systematically screened as part of
general screening in their community. Furthermore, since most confirmatory, diagnostic TB tests have a lower sensitivity in young children than in adults, the final diagnosis would be
uncertain for many of the children who had further evaluations, likely resulting in a high number of false-positive cases. The panel thus judges that there is a risk of doing more harm than
benefit in children aged <10 years. The situation is different when contacts are being investigated, since this type of investigation targets children with a higher prevalence of TB and also aims
to rule out TB in children aged <5 years who are eligible for treatment of latent TB infection (see WHO’s recommendations on contact investigations).4
To the extent possible, community screening should be combined with other screening, health-promotion activities or social support. When screening is done in refugee camps among
displaced populations, consult the guidelines on tuberculosis care and control in refugees and displaced populations for recommendations on TB management and operational aspects.5
3
Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement:
Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011 (WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
4
Recommendations for investigating the contacts of persons with infectious tuberculosis in low- and middle-income countries. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2012
(WHO/HTM/TB/2012.9).
5
Tuberculosis care and control in refugee and displaced populations: an interagency field manual, 2nd ed. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2007 (WHO/HTM/TB/2007.377).
Should systematic screening for active TB be done routinely in homeless people
and people in shelters, including drug users?
From 18 studies in countries with a low incidence of TB Shapiro (2012) reported a weighted mean number needed to screen
(NNS) of 133 (range, 22–1778). Screening programmes using chest X-rays reported significantly higher prevalences than those
Very
Infrequent
Moderately
frequent
Very using other screening tools.
infrequent frequent frequent
Is it frequent?
Burden of illness or problem
A systematic review of 17 studies of the prevalence of TB in homeless people as reported by TB-screening programmes targeting
this group1 reported a range of 0.2–7.7% in low-incidence settings. The weighted average was 1.1% (95% confidence interval,
0.8–1.5%), but there was significant heterogeneity.
There is a high prevalence of risk factors for TB transmission in this group, as well as a high risk of progression to active TB and
Very Very
mild
mild moderate severe
severe* poor treatment outcomes.
Is it severe?
*e.g. life threatening or disabling
Homeless people are among the groups with the poorest access to health services.
1
Beijer U, Wolf A, Fazel S. Prevalence of tuberculosis, hepatitis C virus, and HIV in homeless people: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2012, 12:859–870.
Sensitivity and specificity (based on van’t Hoog et al 2012)
Outcome Any cough Cough lasting >2 Any symptom Chest X-ray (any Chest X-ray (TB-
weeks abnormality) related
abnormality)
Confidence in accuracy of the diagnostic
Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality Effect Quality
TP 56% 35% 77% 98% 87%
Sensiti OO OOO OOO O OO
(40– (24– (68– (95– (79–
What is the FN vity
74%)
Low
46%)
Very low
86%)
Very low
100%)
Moderate
95%)
Low
Very
confidence in the Low Moderate High
test
For further details see the GRADE tables on the accuracy of diagnostic tests.
Modelled yield of different algorithms based on point estimates from the systematic review of the accuracy of screening
tools (van’t Hoog et al 2012) and systematic reviews of the accuracy of sputum-smear microscopy2 and the Xpert
MTB/RIF test3
Overall, Prevalence 0.5% Prevalence 1% Prevalence 2%
are the No Yes Screening Diagnosi (500/100 000) (1 000/100 000) (2 000/100 000)
anticipated s TP FP TN FN TP FP TN FN TP FP TN FN
desirable effects Chest X-ray: SSM+CD 344 1890 97610 156 688 1881 97119 312 1377 1862 96138 623
large? any
abnormality XP 451 245 99255 49 902 244 98756 98 1803 241 97759 197
Chest X-ray: SSM+CD 305 815 98685 195 611 810 98190 389 1222 802 97198 778
TB
abnormalities XP 400 105 99395 100 800 105 98895 200 1601 104 97896 399
Cough lasting SSM+CD 124 407 99093 376 247 405 98595 753 494 401 97599 1506
>2–3 weeks XP 162 53 99447 338 324 52 98948 676 647 52 97948 1353
B enefi ts a nd har m s
SSM+CD 271 2482 97018 229 542 2470 96530 458 1084 2445 95555 916
Any symptom
XP 355 321 99179 145 710 320 98680 290 1420 317 97683 580
1. Cough SSM + CD 111 179 99321 389 222 178 98822 778 445 177 97823 1555
lasting >2–3
weeks. 2. XP 146 23 99477 354 291 23 98977 709 583 23 97977 1417
Overall, Chest X-ray
are the No Yes
anticipated 1. Any SSM + CD 244 1092 98408 256 488 1087 97913 512 976 1076 96924 1024
undesirable symptom. 2.
effects small? Chest X-ray XP 319 141 99359 181 639 141 98859 361 1278 139 97861 722
TP, true positive; FP, false positive; TN, true negative; FN, false negative; SSM, sputum-smear microscopy; XP, Xpert
MTB/RIF test; CD, clinical diagnosis.
2Approaches to improve sputum smear microscopy for tuberculosis diagnosis: expert group meeting report. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2009.
3Automated real-time nucleic acid amplification technology for rapid and simultaneous detection of tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance: Xpert MTB/RIF system. Policy statement. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011
(WHO/HTM/TB/2011.4).
Direct assessment of outcomes of screening (Kranzer 2012)
Summary of findings
Diagnostic category Potential effect
Effect No. of studies Quality
Benefit on case detection 5% of all detected cases 1 cross-sectional OOO
Very low
Benefit on time to diagnosis Delay 3x longer with passive 0 studies OOO
detection Very low
Benefit on severity at diagnosis Less likely to be smear- 3 cross-sectional OOO
True positives
positive at diagnosis Very low
Benefit on treatment outcome - 0 studies OOO
Very Low
Benefit on transmission Reduction in incidence over 2 longitudinal OOO
time Very low
False negatives Harm from missed diagnosis - Not reviewed -
Benefit from reassurance - Not reviewed -
True negatives
Overall, is there Harm from unnecessary screening - Not reviewed -
B enefi ts a nd har m s
certainty about False positives Harm from unnecessary treatment - Not reviewed -
the link between Very
uncertain
Moderately
Certain
Very
uncertain certain certain
the accuracy of
the diagnostic For further details see the GRADE tables.
test and the
consequences? Impact on case detection
A study in Rotterdam (de Vries 2007) reported that 5% of all notified cases were detected by screening homeless people. There
are no published controlled trials assessing the impact of screening homeless people on overall case detection.
Impact on epidemiology
A study in the United States evaluated a programme of mandatory screening combined with mandatory prophylaxis and treatment
for people wanting to use homeless shelters (Rendelman 1999). Trends in TB in the district studied fell by almost 90% over 10
years. The incidence of TB statewide was much lower, but the incidence did not fall during the same period as the intervention. It
was not possible to isolate the effect of screening for active TB from the effect of chemoprophylaxis. The population of the district
changed during the study period as a result of gentrification, and this may have contributed to some of the fall in incidence.
One study (de Vries 2007) reported trends in TB after mobile chest X-ray screening was introduced for homeless people and
drug users in Rotterdam between 2002 and 2005; this was initiated after a rapid increase in the incidence of TB in these groups.
The incidence within the risk group fell by 54%; and the proportion of cases contributed to the overall incidence from homeless
people and drug users in the city fell from 16% to 8% (de Vries 2007).
What is the
Confi dence i n benefi ts
overall
confidence in Very There is VERY LOW QUALITY evidence that screening homeless people could improve case detection, identify cases earlier
and harm s
What is the
confidence in Very High In five studies (Mitchell 2012) the weighted average of eligible persons who consented to undergo TB screening among homeless
the values that Low Moderate Very high
v al ues
low
patients place on people was 96%; the range was 41–97%; and the median proportion was 75%.
the benefits and
harms?
Is the cost low No cost–effectiveness analysis based on empirical data has been published.
Res our c
net benefits?
Overall balance of Undesirable consequences clearly Undesirable consequences probably Desirable and undesirable Desirable consequences probably Desirable consequences clearly
consequences outweigh desirable consequences outweigh desirable consequences consequences outweigh undesirable consequences outweigh undesirable consequences
closely
balanced or uncertain
Recommendation Strongly recommend Conditionally recommend Do not make recommendation (use this option Conditionally recommend Strongly recommend
against Against very rarely if evidence is too sparse)
Options for recommendations and for discussion
For option 2: This is a conditional recommendation with very low quality evidence.
NOTE: While direct evidence is very weak about the impact of screening in homeless people on morbidity and transmission, there are several reasons to conditionally recommend such
screening:
homeless people are among the highest risk group for TB in all settings, and in low-burden settings with a concentrated TB epidemic they may account for a significant proportion of all
cases;
homeless people are at particularly high risk of having poor access to health services, and may not use the services that are available. For many health conditions, they are among the most
vulnerable groups;
in some countries, homeless people who are a close contact of someone with active TB are eligible for treatment of latent TB infection. Screening for active disease would have the added
benefit of identifying people eligible for treatment of latent infection.
Remarks
This recommendation applies to settings with an intermediate burden or a low burden where these risk groups account for a significant proportion of notified cases or when there are indications
of an outbreak occurring among them.
In settings with a very high prevalence of TB, homeless people should be prioritized for screening (see Recommendation 7 in Section 8 in the guidelines).
In settings with high a prevalence of HIV, counselling and testing for HIV should be offered to all people whose screening is positive for TB).4
There is no evidence on the appropriate interval between screenings. Screening may done continually, at time of entry into a homeless shelter, or through outreach campaigns at annual or
other intervals.
To the extent possible, screening should be integrated with other outreach screening, health-promotion activities and social support.
4
Guidelines for intensified tuberculosis case-finding and isoniazid preventive therapy for people living with HIV in resource-constrained settings. Geneva, World Health Organization, 2011.